Asian Paint - Rounding Bottom PatternAsian Paint is about to complete the formation of Rounding Bottom.
Rounding Bottom pattern will activate only after the breakout of the Neckline - 3040 level
Rounding bottom chart pattern is a bullish reversal pattern which is formed at prior intermediate support level and hold this level from 2021.
Long trade will initiate only after the neckline breakout.
Stop Loss would be the prior swing low before breakout.
First target would be the depth of the bottom pattern, Calculate depth and add the depth from the neckline level
Tradingstrategies
Granules India - Breakout after 3-yearsThis stock is looking strong in weekly and daily charts. The company has given a strong breakout on daily chart of 428 resistance level. This resistance level is created in Dec 2020 i.e 3-year ago. Generally we have seen if a stock gives long term consolidation breakout, big upside moves can be expected from the stock. The stock is from pharma sector and pharma sector is also performing good. So I think this stock to give big returns in medium term.
Please note weekly breakout is yet to confirmed on the stock. Possible targets on the stock can be find using Fibonacci retrenchment tool
Disclaimer: The stock discussed is for educational purpose and does not have any buy or sell recommedations.
HINDCOPPER: 🔍 Technical Analysis Update for NSE:HINDCOPPER - Week Starting January 23, 2024
📈 Entry Point: Consider entering the trade if the price crosses ₹275.40.
🎯 Target: Aim for a first target at ₹289.45.
🛑 Stop Loss: Set your stop loss at ₹230.60 to manage risk.
💹 Indicators Summary:
Parabolic SAR: Buy signal initiated around ₹245.00.
EMA & MA Crossover: Bullish signal at ₹264.05.
MACD: Awaiting crossover; signal at 18.42, MACD at 14.69.
Stochastic RSI: Buy signal present; K at 14.90, D at 8.78.
%R: Neutral at 43, indicating potential upward movement.
Fisher Transform: Bullish signal at the lower band; Fisher value at 0.72.
🚦 Overall Outlook: The market indicators suggest a cautiously optimistic trend towards bullishness, with key signals aligning for a potential upward movement. Monitoring the MACD crossover and %R values will be crucial in the coming days.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#HindustanCopper #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #Investing #TradingStrategy #FinancialMarkets
🌟 Stay updated and invest wisely! 🌟
CEAT LTD - Fresh breakout on Daily and Weekly chartsEntire tyre manufacturing companies are in good position.
This tyre manufacturing company has given a strong breakout on daily and weekly chart. Volume near the breakout is also increasing which is good sign. The stock is in blue sky zone hence, possible targets in the chart can be calculated using Fibonacci retrenchment tool.
Disclaimer: Stock shared is for educational purpose and does not contains any buy or sell recommedations.
Anupam Rasayan - Inverse H&S Breakout on Weekly ChartChart patterns are the most loved trading strategy among traders. There are different kind of patterns traded in stock market. One of which is inverse head and shoulder - a trend reversal pattern. Upon formation of this pattern the stock trend get reversed. Generally if the stock is in consolidation phase then this pattern is seen.
Now here I have observed inverse head and shoulder pattern formation in one of the chemical manufacturing company in India named Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. On closely observing the chart, I found that the stock is in downtrend since May 2022 after making a high of 1234 and remain in downtrend till Oct 2023. Now the fresh uptrend in the stock is supported by inverted head and shoulder pattern which signifies that the stock can continue the uptrend in coming months.
The targets for this stock can be found by projecting the depth of head just after the breakout which comes around 1320. Also the stop loss for this trade can be put at the depth of right shoulder which is around 990.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not hold any buy or sell recommendations.
TV18 BROADCAST LTD - LONGThe stock is giving confirmation of its uptrend by breaking out level of 56. The next resistance om the chart is seen at around 80.
The Jan to Dec of Technical Analysis - 1 strategy per month1. January - The Value at Play
Before we start discussing the different technical chart patterns, we need to have some clarity on how buying and selling happens on stocks and options. Every trade has a buyer or seller. That means at a specific point in time, for a specific price there are 2 conflicting thoughts
Someone who thinks the price is too cheap
Someone who thinks the price is damn expensive
The guy who thinks the stock/option is cheap is ready to buy and the guy who thinks it is expensive and it is a good time to sell.
Just think, how is it that two people can have conflicting mindsets about the same instrument at the same time? I am 100% sure that both of them cannot be right, one of them is making a wrong decision. Over time - 5 minutes, 50 minutes, 5 hours, 50 hours, 5 days, 50 days, or 500 days - whatever the period be, that particular instrument will tick away from the quoted price - either move up or move down.
This leads to the important question - what is the fair value? If you have an internal price gauging mechanism - you can quickly calculate if the price quoted is below or above the fair value. Wow, that looks exciting - can you give me the shortcut to calculate the fair price?
Unfortunately, there is no holy grail that does it for you, over time you need to develop that tool or spreadsheet. Have you heard the saying, “Veterans are good stock pickers” - It is mainly because of their experience in the markets. They have developed the intuition to guess the fair value when they see the ticker tape without relying on a spreadsheet or calculator.
The first rule is “Never buy anything at a premium and never sell anything at a discount”. This rule does not guarantee that you will not lose money - but it is a filter that weeds out poor decision-making. The question arises - how do I calculate the fair price of a stock or options strike?
A good place to start would be to start reading “The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit (Little Books. Big Profits) by Aswath Damodaran” - you can even finish the book in 2 straight hours. It gives some insights into valuation techniques.
Most valuation methods available in the markets are part of “Fundamental Analysis”, you might ask me - “What does that have to do with Technical Analysis?”. My answer is everything. Technical Analysis is the process of guessing the future price by looking at the historical data. But what the stock/option has to do with the price today is mostly due to fundamental reasons. A mix of fundamental + technical study is much better than pure fundamental or pure technical analysis.
These days lot of people have turned to options trading as a side gig to make some extra money. Someone would have told them, that it is easy to make money in options trading. The biggest mistake they make would be to short-sell a strike too cheap and buy a strike too pricey. Option premiums do not move in a linear pattern and are totally different from the valuation techniques used to gauge the underlying. If you are able to calculate the fair value of a particular strike with some level of accuracy - then you can avoid selling it cheap and buying it pricey. More often than not, not taking a trade would be the best trade there is. If something is way above your price level, choose not to buy. If way below, choose not to sell. Have faith that a better opportunity will come and gather the courage to skip the trade.
There are 2 option types - CALLS and PUTS. The option strikes above the current trading price are called CALLS and the strikes below the price are called PUTS. The premiums of these far-away strikes are not that easy to calculate or guess, mainly because the prices are derived by a few factors like price movements, time, level of uncertainty & the interest rates in the markets.
This makes options trading like a double-edged sword. You get it right - it will reward you more than you can imagine. You get it wrong - it will take away what you have and more. I think hard guessing the fair value of a particular strike of a stock or index is 10 times more complicated than assessing the intrinsic value of that index/stock. This means if you took 15mts to find out the fair value of say “PQR” stock, you might take 150+ minutes to assess the price of a strike say 2600 CE when PQR is trading at 2500. The challenge here is that, once you calculate the fair price - the goal post would have shifted. A change in time will affect the strike prices as “time” is a variable that contributes to its value - so it is a moving target.
Now tell me, what would you call someone when they say “Options trading is easy”, “You can make 100000 in 1 month with just Rs1000 capital”, “100% guaranteed success in options trading…” etc.
The next thing to know is the difference between trading and investing. Both are tools intended to make money but the main difference is the “time” component. Investing is usually done with no particular “time” value in mind whereas trading is done for a specific “time period”. That is why you hear people say, I have bought “XYZ” stock for the long term - Even if it appreciates in price say 10% in 10 days, the investor may not sell it. Partly because they do not want to miss out on further gains after selling.
On the other hand, trading is done with a specific time frame in mind. The trader is only worried about the prices during that window. What happens after that is none of this botheration. The fear of missing out seldom affects the trader because they know their next opportunity will come if they keep looking.
Time has more relevance & weightage than you can possibly imagine. In fact, price is relative to time and it is not the other way around. You can physically measure this concept in options trading wherein strikes go to zero value on the expiry date. The major index options have weekly expiry and the stock options have monthly expiry. So a particular strike will go from “X” value to “0” value in a week. Also important to note that during this lifecycle the strike could swing between X to 4X to 100X to 0.5X to 0.2X and end at 0 after the expiry. The prices of a strike are much more volatile than their underlying - this is the main reason options trading is a double-edged sword.
Generally, people do not respect time. Most of them respect money more than time. The decisions they make are usually to save money even if it means to waste time. If you are into stock markets - that should change. Even though your purpose is to make money - you should give the due credit to the “time factor”. Let me explain with an example. A trader buys 100 qty of ABC at 1500 intending to sell it at 1600 once the results are out. If on the results day the prices drop to 1400 - that trader will say “Let me not book the loss, I will hold it for some more time for the prices to recover”. In this particular instance, the trader is not ready to book the loss but hoping that his money will recover. Most long-term investors are traders who forget to close their trades.
A trader has to have a 180-degree opposite mindset of an investor because we are playing with limited resources. If your money is blocked on a particular trade for a period longer than your calculation - then it is 100% true that you will not be able to take another trade when there is an opportunity. No trader in the world has unlimited resources and unlimited leverage but all of them have got the exact same amount of time per day. If you know how to manage the time - the money will find a way.
This comes to the final segment of this chapter - “Value at Play”. It means the amount of money adjusted for the time factor to the reward it brings in. You might be familiar with the word “Value at Risk” (VaR). Value at Play is something similar but not measured in the same way.
.... to be continued...
USDT Trade Idea - USDT Dominance works inversely with the Crypto Market
- USDT has been following my path and I firmly believe this wave could lead to every alt jump soon.
- The narratives are obviously going to be there playing out in a different way but make sure you follow this closely
- Once you see this approaching it's previous lows try cutting down your size in Alts and crypto so that when USDT bounces you are mostly sitting cash or FIAT.
- This will help you in accumulating more cash
Indo Borax & Chemicals Ltd | A Momentum StockIndo Borax & Chemicals Ltd | A Momentum Stock
was incorporated in the year 1980 in Asangaon and its first Boric Acid plant was established in the year 1981, followed by the establishment of a Borax plant in 1983.
Fundamentals: excellent
Market Cap =₹ 604 Cr. ROCE = 28.7 % ROE = 21.0 % Debt to equity =0.0
Promoter holding =52.1 % Quick ratio =10.7 Current ratio=13.7
Piotroski score =9.0 Profit Var 3Yrs =44.1% Sales growth 3Years =25.0%
Return on assets = 19.6 %
I shared my personal view so just take it as educational purpose and learn how to invest in momentum stocks and grow fast.
nugget ; it takes time but big money earn with boring way.
If you find some value for this idea than like boost and follow me for more ideas.
HCL Technologies Ltd | A IT Sector Momentum StockHCL Technologies Ltd | A IT Sector Momentum Stock
HCL Tech is a leading global IT services company, which is ranked amongst the top five Indian IT services companies in terms of revenues
Financial :Strong
Market Cap n= 3,96,928 Cr. ROCE = 28.3 % ROE = 23.0 %
Debt to equity = 0.08 Promoter holding = 60.8 % Quick ratio = 2.56
Current ratio = 2.56 Piotroski score = 8.00 Profit Var 3Yrs = 10.2 %
Sales growth 3Years = 12.8 % Return on assets = 16.1 %
HCL Tech is strong fundamental stock with right now in monthly basis have strong momentum.
also all IT sector is in bullish trend .This is ready to going in uncharted territory space.
so we have to closely watch this stock for future.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas.
Thanks and comment freely
BREKOUT IN POLYMED 📌SWING TRADE FOR NEXT WEEK🚀
Hello guys,
I am a swing trader by passion i only trade on swing stocks.
📌I post daily SWING CHARTS analysis on my trading view profile..
so let's start
📌TRADE ANALYSIS OF POLYMED :-
•Breakout of Darvasbox on DTF with strong candle
•Break major Resistance
•Volume increases last few day high
•Bullish trend/ make good structure also
•Made good price action
•Make higher highs/higher lows
- Price rally above 50EMA
📌 Add on your watchlist....
📌 If you have any questions about any stock you can DM me Or comment on post 📱
📌Disclaimer:-
This all chatrs analysis are only for educational purposes only
I do not provide any CALL or Tips
Indiabulls Housing Finance Analysis Stock 113 to 193 as per previous analysis, again after retesting ready for another breakout, follow chart for proper support and resistance levels.
XAUUSD is looking for DOWN.Gold is seeking for Big Players to short and to trap buyers from here. Retailers are trying to push gold above 1980 and even above 2000 but they(MM) have some other plans. Retailers did not come out from the mindset of buying, but there is still a chance for buyers if war escalates.
Fundamentally and Technically gold is down.
Stay updated!!
LEMONTREE: Riding the Upward Wave 🔥Lemon Tree: Ascending Triangle Breakout 🚀
Lemon Tree, a major player in India's hotel industry, is making waves. 🏨🌟
📈 Technical Analysis:
The stock is exhibiting an ascending triangle pattern breakout, indicating a potential bullish move ahead. This formation suggests that the upward momentum could continue, presenting a trading opportunity.
🔍 What's Happening:
Lemon Tree, known for its hospitality excellence, is riding on positive sentiment. The ascending triangle breakout could signal a further rise in stock value.
📊 Trade Idea:
Consider a long position in Lemon Tree with appropriate risk management strategies. Keep an eye on price action and volume for confirmation.
(Note: This is not financial advice. Perform your analysis before making trading decisions.)
Stay tuned for more trade ideas and insights! 📈🔍
#TradingView #StockAnalysis #LemonTree #TradeIdeas