Tradingstrategies
Angel One Ltd - Breaking Barriers, Eyeing the Next MoveWe’ve got a breakout on our hands with Angel One Ltd! The yellow line in the chart is a counter-trendline that’s been rejecting price action multiple times. But now, we’re seeing some serious strength as the stock has blasted through it with authority. This signals a potential shift in momentum.
Supporting this move is the green trendline, showing that the stock is not just breaking out—it’s bouncing off a solid foundation of support. The market clearly respects this level, adding confidence to the bullish outlook.
But here’s where it gets interesting—I've added two white dotted lines, my "hidden hurdles." These are potential areas of resistance that might slow the stock down for a bit. Don't be surprised if we see some consolidation around this zone.
Now, check out the red box, which hints at a possible short-term pullback or sideways movement—just a breather before the next leg up! After this, I'm eyeing a strong bullish candle (marked by the green box) to close above resistance, setting the stage for an exciting trade opportunity.
The final piece of the puzzle? I’ll be planning my risk-reward strategy only after that confirmation candle is locked in. For now, I’m keeping this one on my radar—this stock could be setting up for something big!
CANFINHOME - The Ascending Triangle PatternCan Fin Homes Ltd has recently exhibited a notable range-bound movement, forming an ascending triangle pattern that highlights its price consolidation phase. The stock oscillated between key price levels, with a significant high of 938 on July 1st and a low of 680 on June 4th, before peaking at 909.80 on July 25th. This range-bound behavior reflects a period of accumulation and steady buying pressure, as the price repeatedly tests the horizontal resistance while respecting the upward-sloping support line. This consolidation phase is crucial as it sets the stage for a potential breakout, indicating that the stock is gearing up for a significant directional move. The pattern suggests that investors are increasingly optimistic, with the price confined within these key levels, paving the way for future volatility and trading opportunities. In this analysis, we will explore three key trading strategies for CANFINHOME based on the recent ascending triangle pattern. First, we will examine the Breakout Strategy, which capitalizes on the price movement once it surpasses key resistance levels. Next, we will discuss the Pullback Strategy, focusing on entering trades during price retracements to the breakout level. Finally, we will consider the Breakdown Strategy, which prepares for a potential bearish reversal if the price falls below critical support levels. Each strategy will be detailed with entry points, stop losses, and targets to help you make informed trading decisions.
In this analysis, we will explore three key trading strategies for CANFINHOME based on the recent ascending triangle pattern. First, we will examine the Breakout Strategy, which capitalizes on the price movement once it surpasses key resistance levels. Next, we will discuss the Pullback Strategy, focusing on entering trades during price retracements to the breakout level. Finally, we will consider the Breakdown Strategy, which prepares for a potential bearish reversal if the price falls below critical support levels. Each strategy will be detailed with entry points, stop losses, and targets to help you make informed trading decisions.
Breakout Strategy:
Entry Point: For an optimal entry, consider buying above 914 as an early signal or above 938 for a regular entry. This indicates a confirmed breakout from the ascending triangle pattern, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the support level of 838. This precautionary measure helps safeguard against potential reversals or false breakouts.
Target: Set your price target around 1196. This level is calculated by adding the vertical height of the triangle to the breakout point, reflecting the expected upward movement based on the pattern.
Rationale: Entering at 914 or 938 allows you to capitalize on the upward potential following the breakout. With a stop loss at 838, you manage risk effectively. The target of 1196 aligns with the pattern’s projection, maximizing your profit potential.
Pullback Strategy:
Entry Point: Look for a buying opportunity during a pullback to the breakout level around 914 or the support level of 903.85. This approach leverages a temporary price retracement to secure a more advantageous entry.
Stop Loss: Position the stop loss below the support level of 838 to mitigate risk in case the pullback evolves into a deeper correction.
Target: Maintain the target at approximately 1196, consistent with the breakout strategy.
Rationale: The pullback strategy offers a chance to enter at a better price while confirming the validity of the breakout. The stop loss below 838 provides protection against significant losses, and the target of 1196 remains aligned with the anticipated price movement.
Breakdown Strategy:
Entry Point: If the price drops below the key support level of 838, consider this a breakdown of the ascending triangle pattern. This shift indicates a bearish reversal and a potential shift in market sentiment.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above the support level of 838 to prevent substantial losses if the breakdown proves to be a false signal.
Target: For a breakdown scenario, the target will need to be adjusted based on new technical analysis of lower support levels. Immediate downside targets should be reevaluated as the situation unfolds.
Rationale: The breakdown strategy addresses the possibility of a bearish reversal when the support level is breached. The stop loss above 838 helps limit potential losses, while the target will depend on further analysis of the emerging support levels.
Conclusion :
The ascending triangle pattern for Can Fin Homes Ltd indicates a bullish outlook with a potential price target of 1196 if the breakout is confirmed. The breakout strategy aims to capture the upward trend, while the pullback strategy provides an opportunity to enter during a retracement. Conversely, the breakdown strategy prepares for a potential bearish scenario if the support level is breached. Each strategy includes specific entry points, stop losses, and targets, offering a comprehensive approach to trading based on the pattern’s analysis.
Disclaimer :
The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and the publisher are not responsible for any losses or damages that may occur as a result of using the information provided in this article. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
*** Hint*** Use a buffer at entry to avoid false breakout
Britannia analysisBritannia, after an untiring rally since the beginning of this month, now comes to a halt for another correction.
Entry-1 is on a retest of 5873-75 range as resistance with Stop above this range.
The second entry is below 5801-5800 range, if the price fails to retrace and continues to fall.
Bearish invalidation above resistance range till 5975 as t1 upside level.
DLF Chart set up and my trading strategyDLF
We are looking at daily charts of DLF
- the stock looks like trading in down trend channel since Apr 2024
- the stock is trading below both 21 day and 63 day EMA
- 21 day EMA is below 63 day EMA
- channel resistance around 840
Chart structure is looking weak
- likely support zone around 200 day EMA which is currently around 769
Given the set up and my view, my trading strategy
Sell DLF 29 Aug 2024 850 Call option currently around 19.5
Review point if DLF sustains above 842 on closing basis
In built protection for a rise up to 869.5 till 29 August 2024 (giving ample scope to adjust / exit with less damage in case view is wrong)
Max profit potential (Rs 16087) on Margin (Rs 126800 approx) : 12.5% approximately till Aug 2024 expiry
The strategy covers known risk and provides some cushion above those levels to some extent and provides decent ROI potential.
Do not follow me blindly.
Understand the implication of the strategy and learn to manage your risk
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
ITC's Key Support & Resistance: Trade Smartly!Current Scenario:
• ITC is currently trading at ₹429.05, showing signs of consolidation.
• The stock has tested the support level twice (T1 and T2), indicating strong support around ₹402.90.
Key Levels:
• Entry Point: ₹416.25
• Stop Loss: ₹402.90
• Target Levels:
• Target 01: ₹437.90
• Target 02: ₹444.70
Analysis:
• The stock is forming a pattern where it respects the support level, which could be a good opportunity for a bullish entry.
• The previous low and support touches suggest that buyers step in around these levels, providing a safety net for long positions.
Trading Strategy:
• Bullish Scenario: Enter at ₹416.25 with a stop loss at ₹402.90. Look for the stock to move towards the first target of ₹437.90 and possibly extend to ₹444.70.
• Bearish Scenario: If the stock breaks below the stop loss level of ₹402.90, it might indicate further downside risk. In this case, it’s advisable to exit long positions to prevent losses.
Conclusion:
• ITC is showing a well-defined support and resistance structure, offering clear entry and exit points.
• Traders can leverage these key levels to strategize their trades effectively, minimizing risk while maximizing potential gains.
Keywords:
• ITC Stock
• Technical Analysis
• Support and Resistance
• Trading Strategy
• Entry Point
• Stop Loss
• Target Levels
• Market Analysis
• Stock Trends
Tata Motors on the Verge: Key Resistance Levels
Current Scenario:
• Tata Motors is experiencing a consolidation phase just below its previous high.
• The stock has touched the resistance line twice (Touch 01 and Touch 02), indicating a strong resistance level around the previous high.
Key Levels:
• Entry Point: ₹1,029.00
• Stop Loss: ₹1,051.00
• Target Levels:
• Target 01: ₹991.95
• Target 02: ₹938.20
• Target 03: ₹904.00
Analysis:
• The stock is trading close to the resistance line, and a breakout above this level could signal a potential upward movement.
• Conversely, if the stock fails to break this resistance and moves downward, it might reach the indicated target levels.
Trading Strategy:
• Bullish Scenario: If Tata Motors breaks above the resistance and sustains, consider entering a long position at ₹1,029.00 with a stop loss at ₹1,051.00.
• Bearish Scenario: If the stock fails to break the resistance and shows signs of reversal, consider shorting with target levels at ₹991.95, ₹938.20, and ₹904.00.
Conclusion:
• Tata Motors is at a critical juncture with significant resistance levels in play.
• Traders should watch for a breakout or reversal at these levels to strategize their trades effectively.
Swing Trade Alert : HSCL BreakoutI'm excited to share a promising swing trade setup for Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited (HSCL).
The stock has given a strong breakout on the daily chart, backed by significant volume, pushing above the crucial resistance level of Rs 390.
The stock has made a run-away gap on daily chart. With the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages and an RSI at 65, HSCL shows a bullish outlook.
The breakout volume indicates strong buying interest, making it a compelling swing trade candidate.
The stock can seen touching new levels on higher side in upcoming day. Keep this in radar.
𝐀𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐲
Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd is a global speciality chemical conglomerate
Specializes in producing speciality carbon black, coal tar pitch, refined naphthalene, new energy materials, SNF, speciality oils, power, etc
Serving industries such as lithium-ion batteries, paints, plastics, tires, aluminium, graphite electrodes, agrochemicals, defence and construction chemicals.
Happy trading! 📈
Disclaimer: Chart shared is for educational purpose and does not include any investment or trading advice
TITAN - Triple Top Chart PatternTitan has formed a bearish chart pattern called Triple Top.
Triple top is a bearish chart pattern which is formed in an uptrend where three tops are lying on a flat horizontal resistance line and pattern will activate only when closing below the neckline or support. Pattern will activate only below the closing 3475 marks.
Triple top pattern is one the rarest chart pattern with high accuracy.
Thank You
Arvind Share Academy
LICI - Ready to RunThe stock is trading above its long term and short term moving averages.
The stock has retested its previous all time level twice and now gave breakout on daily chart of Rs 1000 resistance level. The stock seems to reach a target of 1150 in coming days.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is for educational purpose and does not have any buy or sell recommendation.
Wondering where the Dollar is headed next? He're is a hint. Analysis
A five wave decline from 107.34, the high on Oct 03, 2023 to 100.62, the low on Dec 28, 2023.
In Elliott terms, this impulse structure tells us that the movement at the next larger degree of trend is also downwards. Within this impulsive structure, wave (i) is a Leading Diagonal, wave (ii) is a Flat which neatly predicts a Zigzag wave (iv) by guideline of Alternation. Both waves (iii) and (v) are extensions. The impulsive decline holds well within the parallel trend channel as is often expected.
A five wave move is always followed by a three wave corrective pullback or variation thereof, irregardless of degree; in this case, a rally wave ((ii)).
To where? The Elliott wave guideline on the depth of corrective waves suggests that price action should ideally end within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Second, the ensuing correction, wave (ii) is unfolding as a sharp Double Zigzag correction labelled (w)-(x)-(y) with waves (w) and (x) completed, wave (y) in progress.
In ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave (ii) of an Impulse or wave (b) in a larger Zigzag.
Also, the actionary waves in a Double Zigzag correction namely waves (w) and (y) are often related by equality or Fibonacci (0.618) in time or amplitude.
wave (y) = 0.618 X (w) at 104.87; this level falls neatly within the previous guidelines.
Thus, the cluster of evidence suggest the rally is nearing its end and a reversal is onset; a third wave.
Trade Plan
1) Conservative Approach
Entry: Short at 104.879; the 0.618 retracement.
Protective Stop: 107.34; in an Impulse wave (ii) CAN NEVER retrace more than 100% of wave (i).
Target: 10.87 decline; in an impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the loss of
the first, as in:
wave ((i)) = -6.72 (100.62-107.34),
wave ((iii))= 1.618 X (-6.72) equals (-10.87)
Risk-Reward: 1:3
2) Aggressive Approach
Requires price action to break below a recent swing low; wave b of a Zigzag, that will virtually suggest the rally has ended and a reversal was underway.
Entry: Break below 103.89
Protective Stop: Recent swing high
Targets: Below 100.62
Risk-Reward: Greater than 1:3
NOTE: Stay tuned to get follow-up adjustments to stops as we monitor the move through completion.
Amazing swing trading idea for 5 April MarketsI make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
AUD/USD: A Third Wave "...Wonders to Behold..."Prices advanced in five waves from 0.6477 to 0.6667. This wave pattern is significant because impulse waves identify the direction of the larger trend. Thus, the five-wave advance in AUDUSD implies further buying to come that would push prices above 0.6667 as wave (iii).
The subsequent decline that is developing in three waves supports this analysis. Counter trend price action typically consists of three waves, so we expect another move up. Moreover, the three-wave decline travels to 0.6550 to retrace 61.8% of the previous impulsive advance. 61.8% is a common retracement for corrective waves especially when they occur as wave 2 of an impulse or wave B of a zigzag correction.
Also nearby is 0.6558, the price level at which wave c equaled wave a, which is a common Fibonacci relationship between wave C and A of zigzag correction.
Also adjacent is 0.6560, the end of the fourth wave of one lesser degree. As a guideline, corrections tend to end upon reaching the end of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Besides, the correction is unfolding as a Zigzag A-B-C with a triangle characteristic in the b wave position as is common. Also, the correction neatly adheres to the parallel channel with wave c hugging the lower boundary of the channel.
These cluster of evidence suggests that prices are approaching an important juncture and a reversal to the upside is on the horizon. If so, then a break above 0.6629 would virtually indicate the correction ended and the next significant move is to the upside.
Trading Plan
Entry : Buy at market.
Protective Stop : 0.6477; in an impulse wave 2 can NEVER retrace 100% of wave 1.
Target : 307 pips i.e ((0.6667-0.6477) X 1.618)
In an impulse, the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the
first.
Risk-to-Reward : 1:3