Tradingstrategies
Updating Old trades and 1 New Idea for swing trading I daily make educational content videos for swing trading ideas and opportunities with price action logic
HDFC: Power of Expanding FlatFrom the high of 2680 stock has given a correction in an Expanding Flat category. The post market price action of an Expanding flat is very powerful. Based on this observation HDFC stock is likely to extend the gains towards 2710-2715 in the coming days. Any weakness should remain above the level of 2632 however, nearest stop loss can be taken as 2649.
Buy: 2675-70 SL:2649 TGT: 2710-15
IGL: Inverse H&SInverse Head and Shoulders Continuation:
This pattern forms in an extensive upside rally. It consists of a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder.
At the end of the left shoulder, a minor correction takes place on the upside which happens on the low volumes comparatively the starting of the left shoulder. After this again a down move can be seen on large volumes forming a head having its bottom is below the left shoulder following an upmove correction on lower volumes & completing the head.
The completion of the head must be above the top of the left shoulder. If the prices rise above the top of the left shoulder then too this pattern remains intact. In the end, the right shoulder is formed usually on smaller volumes comparatively the previous two rallies.
Now if you connect the tops of the left shoulder, head & the right shoulder there will be a formation of the ‘Neckline‘. This line will act as a decision line. If the prices break this neckline & give closing above the line, this will be the confirmation of the breakout of the Inverse head and shoulders pattern.
However, it has been noticed that after breaking of the neckline the prices again attracted towards this neckline. We say this phenomenon as a retest of the neckline which will add some more confidence while trading this pattern.
After retesting if the prices again start rising, this will be the final confirmation of the up move as shown above.
The bookish target of this pattern is taken as the vertical price range from the bottom of the head to the neckline & the bookish Stop loss should be the bottom of the right shoulder. However this stop loss can be big, so it is advised to keep a stop loss of 4-5% of the price range below the neckline.
TRADING STRATEGY:
Buy on cmp add on dips , keeping SL of 410 look for the measured target of 500-505 region
RBL BANKChart is self explanatory. Levels of breakdown, possible down-moves (where stock may find support) and resistances (close above which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Deepak Nitrate - Bullish patternDear Chartist, trader and investor,
Deepak Nitrate is moving upward and follow the Dow Theory Tenant - Higher High and Higher low and today break the previous high and entered into suppliers zone.
Waiting for through back and then entered into a long position.
All the details are mentioned in charts.
DLF: Chart set up and trading strategyDLF
Multiple Line of resistance around 376 - 385
- 21 day EMA around 370
- 63 day EMA around 369
- 252 day EMA around 354
Given the set up one may consider a Short strangle strategy in DLF
Sell DLF 400 Call option
Sell DLF 340 Put option for October series
Net receivable Rs 9.6 per strategy lot.
Max profit potential Rs 15840 per strategy and gives a yield potential of approximately 11 % on Margin till expiry.
Review points, if closing below 353 or above 385
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
-The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
How to set an alert for BankNifty Intraday Strategy [5min TF] ? Set Alert on 77% Profitable Bank-Nifty Back-tested Intraday Strategy with FREE TRIALS
Trend Follower Intraday for 5 minute Time-Frame (Adjustable) , that has the time condition for INDIAN | CRYPTO | FOREX Markets
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Unlike the Free Scripts - Risk Management , Position Sizing , Partial Exit etc. are also included .
Send us a Message to know more about the strategy.
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The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "SQUARE-OFF TIME" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) EMA1 crosses above EMA2 , is a Long condition.
2) EMA1 crosses below EMA2 , is a Short condition.
3) Green Section indicates Long position.
4) Red Section indicates Short position.
5) Allowed hours specifies the trade entry timing .
6) ATR STOP is the stop-loss value on chart , can be adjusted in INPUTS.
7) Target 1 is the 1st target value on chart , can be adjusted in INPUTS.
8) RISK is Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
9) Total Capital used can be adjusted under INPUTS.
10) ATR TRAIL is used for trailing after entry , as mentioned in the inputs below.
11) Check trades under the list of trades .
12) Trade only in liquid stocks .
13) Risk only 1-5% of total capital.
14) Inputs can be changed for better back-test results, but also manually check the trades before setting alerts
15) SQUARE OFF TIME - As you change the time frame , also change the square-off time to the candle's closing time.
Eg: For 3min Time-frame , Hour = 2Hrs | Minute = 57min
16) Strategy stops for the day if you have a loss .
17) COMMISSION value is set to 10Rs and SLIPPAGE value is set to 1 . Go to properties to change it .
Apply it to your charts Now !
Send us a message for FREE TRIALS | Instant Access
Thank You ☺
Gap up / gap down intraday strategy with simple entry / exitI get queries from a lot of people who don't want to study technical analysis much.
They're just focused on getting a predefined trading strategy, which they can use effectively in the market without looking much at the charts .
So, in this video, I share a strategy which has been given really good results and it works a lot of times and I believe the probability of this particular strategy is close to around 65 to 70%.
It has simple entry and exit rules, and you can only apply this particular strategy when the market opens gap up or gap down.
See, whenever the market opens gap up or gap down, there is high volatile period of the market during the beginning half an hour or an hour.
And in that period of time,if you place a trade, then you have a good probability if market moves as per expectation.
As you can see these days, nifty and back nifty have been creating gap up and gap down opening almost on a daily basis.
In this case, the first rule is that if the market opens gap up by more than half a percent.
So for example, if bank nifty opens gap up by more then 200 points. , then only you can apply this strategy.
And on the other hand, if nifty opens gap up or gap down by more than 50 or 60 points, then only you should think of applying this particular strategy.
Small gaps do not count in this strategy.
So if bank nifty gaps down or gaps up by only 50- 60 points, then avoid this strategy altogether.
See, whenever the market is opening gap up or gap down, there are two possibilities.
The market might continue the current trend.
For example, if the market opens gap up, the chances are that the market might move higher, or the other possibility is that the market might go sideways the whole day.
So ,in this case, whenever you see the market opening gap up or gap down by more than half a percent, just have to follow this simple procedure.
Just plot the 15 minute chart with a 20 exponential moving average.
Why 20 exponential moving average because the market usually gets good support and resistance around the 20 moving average.
You can expect the market to stall around the moving average for a lot of times if you take a trade.
So ,you just have to plot the 15 minute chart, and if the market gaps up or gaps down, you just have to watch the first 15 minute candle.
So if the market opens gap up and it forms a bullish candle.
Then , what you can do is you can sell puts if price breaks the first 15M candle high. You can sell puts with the stop loss at the low of the candle.
If the market comes below the low of the candlestick the first 15 minute bar, then you exit your position and book the loss.
Why sell puts?
The idea behind selling puts is that during the first 15-30 minutes, the volatility is on a very higher side during that period.
And if at that point of time you start to sell options, then with the passage of time, as the market starts to move sideways, the volatility reduces.
And, what occurs is a concept called IV Crush.
The volatility starts to reduce very quickly and that will give you a benefit if you sell a put, even if the market goes sideways.
So for example, the market formed a very big bullish candle, and the criteria is if it crosses the high of the candle ,sell puts .
So, the whole day, if the market is moving sideways/upwards , the volatility crush will start to happen.
And with the passage of time, you'll start to see the benefit of the IV Crush and the time decay.
So this is a very handy strategy which you can apply.
Always remember, keep the stop loss below of the first 15M candle.
It's a very effective technique, and it's based upon gap openings.
And ,the first 15 minutes usually tell us who is on the stronger side, who's winning , buyers or sellers.
So make sure the gap is big and whatever bar is being formed in the first 15 minutes.
If the bar is bullish, you sell a put If the price crosses the high of that candle stick, and stop plus below the low of that candlestick.
It's an effective rule based strategy and you can back test it on nifty and bank nifty.
And you can also check its reliability, its effectiveness, you can also add this particular strategy in your tool kit.
So I hope this strategy will provide some sort of value to you in your trading.
And if you find the video helpful, don't forget to like this and share it and also comment your thoughts.
Thank you very much and take care.
Nifty at 240 day EMA and trading strategyNifty
- RBI Policy Meet on 28Sept- 30 Sept 2022
- Result season is about to begin
and Nifty is near 240 day EMA
Important Fibonacci level that may provide Support
61.8% retracement 16293
76.4% retracement 15868
Important Resistance zone
17166-17320 zone
17758-17820 zone
Given the set up one may consider to go for a Short Strangle strategy in Nifty for Oct series
Sell 15800 Put option and
Sell 17800 Call Option
The strategy has a profit potential of 10% and gives a protection
- for a fall up to 15620 odd levels on the downside
- for a rise up to 17980 odd levels in the up side
That's a protection of approximately 1200 points on either side from current levels. However do understand that trading in F&O involves risk. Read the disclaimer carefully.
Do Like and Share if you find it useful.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Wheels on the Nifty go up and down On September 28, it was suggested that Nifty is near 240 day EMA and that 17166-17320 zone might act as short term resistance and short term support being around 16300 odd levels.
Well, Nifty has made a high of 17187 thereafter and and now is back at it's 240 day EMA.
For the October month, Important Support and resistance levels going forward
Gap support 1 - 16653-16746
Gap support 2 - 16360-16490
- 50 day and 20 day EMA around 17270 and 17340 coinciding with Gap resistance zone at 17166-17320
The Short strangle strategy suggested on 28 September, which had a Net receivables of 181 points at that time; is currently valued at 125. That gives a profit of 56 points per strategy lot. We continue to hold and as long as Nifty is between 16300-17320 odd points, we would be passive in our trading approach.
Important levels to watch out for till 6th October 2022
16980 / 17062 / 17123 on the upside
16855 / 17733 / 17608 on the downside
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Maxhealth to take long entryLong max health care above 410 after the BO of the marked trend lines. Stock in the consolidation phase for a long time. High probability that the stock can move upwards as the long-term trend of the stock is in the uptrend. Long above 410 for the target level of 450-460 with SL of 385. This is for your educational purpose only.