One-Sided Broadening Pattern | Pure Price Action Storytelling🔹 White Line: Captures the expanding higher-high resistance zone — part of the broader one-sided broadening pattern. Each new high is breaching the prior, giving the top side its expanding identity.
🔹 Horizontal Zone (Red to Green Shift): What once acted as a strong supply zone now flipped to a demand zone — price has respected this region multiple times, marking its evolution.
🔹 Red Line: A clean Counter-Trendline (CT) containing multiple touches, recently broken.
🔹 Yellow Line: A hidden diagonal resistance — tight and respected — offering another layer of confluence.
🔹 Green Dotted Line: Subtle hidden support built over time — watch how the structure was reacting along this line.
🔹 Orange Line: Marks wick-based rejection from a recent swing — subtle but clear evidence of supply exhaustion on that specific level.
🧠 This chart is not about predictions — it's about how beautifully price respects structure when drawn with logic and precision. Just charting. Just behavior. Just price.
Tradingview
PIUSDT – Potential Long Setup from Ascending Channel Support (4HI’m watching PIUSDT closely as it approaches a significant confluence of technical levels on the 4-hour chart:
🔹 Key Highlights:
Ascending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel (orange trendline).
Descending Trendline Resistance: Creating a wedge structure—breakout potential if momentum builds.
Bullish Structure: Clear rejection wicks and consolidation near support suggest accumulation.
✅ Trade Plan:
Entry Trigger: Confirmed breakout and close above the descending trendline.
Targets:
🥇 1st Target: 0.5650 (local resistance)
🥈 2nd Target: 0.6550 (major horizontal resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 0.4392 (breakdown invalidates the setup)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper position sizing and a disciplined stop loss. This setup is shared for educational purposes—do your own research before entering any trades.
Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?Gold Faces Resistance at 3300 – Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?
Market Overview: USD Gains Pressure Gold as Trade Deals Unfold
Gold has been under pressure recently due to the strong recovery of the US dollar. Positive developments in global trade talks and agreements between major nations, including the US, have been a key driver for the USD, which in turn has weighed on gold.
US inflation data continues to show signs of easing, providing the Fed more room to hold off on rate hikes, strengthening the USD.
FOMC meeting minutes due this week will provide further insight into the Fed’s approach to interest rates.
With geopolitical tensions easing and trade deals stabilizing, the demand for safe-haven assets like gold is slightly reduced.
In the short-term, the market is testing crucial levels, and while gold remains bullish in the long run, the current market conditions suggest potential for a pullback before further upside.
Technical Analysis: Gold in a Range-Bound Market
Looking at the H1 timeframe, gold has formed a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, which could signal further corrective action if the price remains within this range. If gold fails to break above resistance at 3360, a dip to 3250 might occur, especially if the USD strength continues to put pressure on gold.
However, waiting for confirmation patterns before entering a trade is key. False breakouts can be a risk when price moves quickly through key levels without sustaining momentum.
Buy Bias in Short-Term with Caution on Bearish Moves
Given the current market structure, there is more room for buy opportunities than for selling at the moment. Watch out for a potential bounce back in the 3320-3325 region as gold might test these levels before continuing its rise. The rejection wick on yesterday's D1 candle shows that the sellers are losing control, and buying pressure is starting to build again.
In the M30 chart, there's a continuation pattern forming around the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal place to enter a buy position if it holds.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361
Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248
Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones
BUY ZONE:
3250 – 3248
Stop Loss: 3244
Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ????
SELL SCALP:
3303 – 3305
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260
SELL ZONE:
3334 – 3336
Stop Loss: 3340
Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ????
Key Updates to Watch: FOMC and Trade Policy News
With FOMC minutes due and trade policy developments on the horizon, it’s crucial to stay alert for any shifts in market sentiment. Ensure you stick to TP/SL levels to protect your account from any unexpected volatility.
Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?Gold Reverses Below 3300 – Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?
🧭 Market Update: Is the Sell-Off Really That Dangerous?
Gold had a surprising reversal at the end of the US session yesterday, after a sudden sharp drop targeting the 329x liquidity zone, followed by strong buying momentum pushing the price back above this level.
When gold tested the liquidity zone below 3300, large buying volumes appeared and pushed prices above this region. Overall, the market has not yet made a clear decision for either the bulls or the bears. We are still in an accumulation phase, with liquidity sweeps happening around both highs and lows, so it's crucial for traders to stay cautious and focus on finding appropriate scalping points to enter and exit.
Short-Term Outlook: Buy Bias Takes Over Today
For today, the buy bias appears to be stronger than yesterday. Focus on buying early at continuation patterns to catch the market trend. The D1 candle from yesterday formed a wick rejection, showing that the selling pressure was absorbed and the buying momentum has returned in the short term. So, it’s important to be proactive and look for early buy opportunities.
In the M30 timeframe, a solid continuation pattern is forming in the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal entry point for today. If the price drops further, we’ll watch for a test of the old bottom at 03-00, and we’ll wait for any strong downward momentum to confirm if the bearish trend continues. On the other hand, for those considering sell positions, caution is advised. As mentioned earlier, with yesterday’s D1 wick rejection, the SELL pressure has likely been absorbed, and BUY momentum may overpower in the next few days. Avoid rushing into sell trades prematurely.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Important Resistance: 3342 – 3353 – 3362 – 3381
Important Support: 3330 – 3314 – 3303 – 3295
Scalping Opportunities and Buy Zones:
BUY SCALP:
3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350
BUY ZONE:
3303 – 3301
Stop Loss: 3297
Take Profit: 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → 3340 → ????
Sell Opportunities and Caution on Bears:
SELL SCALP:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 → 3354 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
SELL ZONE:
3380 – 3382
Stop Loss: 3386
Take Profit: 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
Key Takeaway:
We are at a crucial juncture where both bulls and bears are battling for control. Will gold bounce from the support and continue its bullish momentum, or will the sellers take charge and drag prices lower? Be patient and wait for clear price action signals before entering trades.
The market is currently in an accumulation phase, so don't rush into trades. Focus on buying when clear confirmations appear at support zones and be aware of sell rejections at key resistance levels.
💬 What’s Your View on Gold Today?
Do you think gold is ready to break 3390 and continue its bullish trend? Or are we looking at a deeper correction to 3270 in the coming days?
👇 Share your analysis and thoughts in the comments below! I’d love to hear your take on where gold is heading next! Let’s discuss and refine our strategies together!
RattanIndia: Next New-Age Multi-Bagger Play ? Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:RTNINDIA Could Be Your Next Multi-Bagger Play, let's analyse my "Chart of the Week" Idea.
Price Action:
• Multiple base formations visible across the timeline from 2021-2025
• Classic cup and handle pattern formation during the 2023-2024 consolidation phase
• Rectangle consolidation pattern between ₹35-40 levels during Early 2025
• Strong breakout from multi-year resistance around the ₹75-80 zone
• Current pullback to retest breakout levels around the ₹47-50 range
Key Supports and Resistance Levels:
• Primary Support: ₹47-50 (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: ₹35-40 (rectangle pattern base)
• Major Support: ₹25-30 (long-term base level)
• Immediate Resistance: ₹65-70 (previous consolidation zone)
• Major Resistance: ₹75-80 (breakout level)
• Target Resistance: ₹94-95 (measured move projection)
Base Analysis:
• Stage 1 Base: ₹10-25 range from 2021-2022 (Accumulation phase)
• Stage 2 Base: ₹35-45 range during 2023-2024 (Re-accumulation)
• Current Base: ₹47-50 retest zone (Healthy pullback after breakout)
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Characteristics:
• Massive volume spike during recent breakout (300+ million shares)
• Above-average volume during consolidation phases
• Volume expansion on upward price movements
• Volume contraction during pullback phases indicates a healthy correction
• Volume profile shows strong institutional participation
Volume Patterns:
• Accumulation is visible during base formation periods
• Distribution avoided during recent highs
• Current pullback on lower volume suggests buying interest at support
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
• Primary Entry: ₹48-50 (current support retest)
• Secondary Entry: ₹52-55 (breakout reconfirmation)
• Aggressive Entry: ₹45-47 (deeper pullback opportunity)
Exit Levels:
• Target 1: ₹65-70 (38% upside from ₹50)
• Target 2: ₹80-85 (65% upside from ₹50)
• Target 3: ₹95-100 (90% upside from ₹50)
Stop Loss Levels:
• Conservative: ₹42-43 (below rectangle support)
• Moderate: ₹45-46 (below recent lows)
• Tight: ₹47-48 (below immediate support)
Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Risk 1-2% of portfolio capital per trade
• Use a 2-3% position size for a conservative approach
• Maximum 5% allocation for aggressive traders
Risk-Reward Ratios:
• Entry at ₹50 with ₹45 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:3 to 1:9
• Entry at ₹52 with ₹47 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:2.6 to 1:8.6
Portfolio Allocation:
• Small-cap allocation: 10-15% maximum
• Individual stock limit: 2-5% of total portfolio
• Sector diversification recommended
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
Business Overview:
• NSE:RTNINDIA comprises of tech-focused new age businesses, including e-commerce, electric vehicles, and drones
• The company is completely focused on providing world-class electric mobility products that are affordable and accessible to every Indian
• Multi-business model spanning fintech, e-commerce, and drone technology
Sector Dynamics:
• The electric vehicle sector is experiencing government policy support
• The e-commerce segment is benefiting from the Digital India initiatives
• Drone technology is gaining traction in commercial applications
• Tech-focused businesses aligned with India's digital transformation
Financial Highlights:
• Market cap of RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd stood at Rs. 8,263 Cr
• RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd's net Sales rose by 22% since the same period last year to ₹ 6,866 Cr in the FY2025
• The company is in a growth investment phase with expanding business verticals.
Investment Thesis:
• Diversified exposure to high-growth sectors
• Potential beneficiary of India's transition to electric mobility
• Strong technical setup after multi-year base formation
• Early-stage company with significant scaling potential ahead
Risk Factors:
Technical Risks:
• Small-cap volatility and liquidity concerns
• Dependence on broader market sentiment
• Potential for gap-down moves in adverse conditions
Fundamental Risks:
• Current losses and cash burn in the growth phase
• Execution risk across multiple business verticals
• Competition in the electric vehicle and e-commerce segments
• Regulatory changes affecting drone and fintech operations
My Take:
This technical setup presents a compelling opportunity with the stock breaking out of a well-defined pattern, supported by decent enough fundamentals in the Growth Sectors of New Age Company and favourable sector dynamics. The risk-reward profile appears attractive for traders and investors willing to manage position size appropriately.
Keep in the Watchlist.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Supreme Power Equipment: Technically Strong, Chart of the MonthNSE:SUPREMEPWR Technically Strong Momentum is my pick in this month's "Chart of the Month"
Price Action Analsis:
- Stock currently trading at ₹227.50, up 21.35 (+10.36%), showing strong bullish momentum
- Recent breakout from a prolonged Correction phase that lasted from July 2024 to May 2025
- Price has successfully cleared multiple resistance levels and is now approaching previous highs
- Strong recovery from the March 2025 lows around ₹95-100 levels
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Current volume at 324.68K shares, significantly higher than the 20-day average
- Volume spike during the recent breakout confirms institutional participation
- Volume pattern shows accumulation during the consolidation phase
- Strong volume support during the current upward move validates the breakout
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Immediate support: ₹210-215 (recent breakout level)
- Secondary support: ₹190-195 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major support: ₹160-170 (consolidation zone)
- Critical support: ₹120-130 (long-term moving average zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance: ₹240-250 (previous high zone)
- Major resistance: ₹280-290 (historical resistance)
- Ultimate target: ₹350-370 (measured move from base)
Base Formation:
- Clear accumulation base formed between ₹120-250 from July 2024 to May 2025
- Base depth of approximately 130 points provides a strong foundation
- Base duration of 10+ months indicates strong institutional accumulation
- Recent breakout from this base suggests potential for significant upward move
Technical Patterns:
- The cup and Handle pattern formation is visible on the monthly timeframe
- The ascending triangle breakout pattern recently completed
- Moving average convergence suggesting trend reversal
- RSI is likely showing bullish divergence from the March lows
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary entry: ₹225-230 on any pullback to the breakout level
- Aggressive entry: Current market price ₹227.50 for momentum traders
- Conservative entry: Wait for retest of ₹210-215 support zone
- Scale-in approach: 50% at current levels, 50% on any dip to ₹215
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹280 (24% upside) - Previous resistance zone
- Target 2: ₹320 (41% upside) - Measured move target
- Target 3: ₹370 (63% upside) - Ultimate breakout target
- Trailing stop: Use a 10% trailing stop once Target 1 is achieved
Stop-Loss:
- Initial stop-loss: ₹195 (14% downside risk)
- Breakeven stop: Move to ₹230 once price reaches ₹260
- Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing high
Position Sizing:
- Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate risk tolerance: 3-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive traders: 5-7% of portfolio (with tight stops)
- Maximum exposure: Not more than 7% given single stock concentration risk
Risk Management:
- Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 minimum for all positions
- Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on this single trade
- Use position sizing calculators to determine the exact share quantity
- Consider partial profit booking at each target level
- Monitor sector rotation and overall market conditions
Sectoral Backdrop:
Power Equipment Sector Overview:
- India's power sector is undergoing a massive transformation with a renewable energy push
- The government's target of 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030 is driving equipment demand
- Infrastructure spending and rural electrification programs supporting sector growth
- PLI scheme for manufacturing provides additional tailwinds
Sector Challenges:
- Raw material cost inflation is impacting margins
- Supply chain disruptions affecting delivery timelines
- Intense competition from Chinese manufacturers
- Regulatory changes and policy uncertainties
Sector Opportunities:
- Make in India initiative favours domestic manufacturers
- Rising power demand from industrial and commercial sectors
- Smart grid implementation creating new revenue streams
- Export opportunities in emerging markets
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
- Established player in power transmission and distribution equipment
- Strong order book providing revenue visibility
- Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk
- Experienced management team with industry expertise
Financial Health:
- Need to verify recent quarterly results for revenue and profit trends
- Debt levels and interest coverage ratios require monitoring
- Cash flow generation capability is important for sustained growth
- Return on equity and asset turnover metrics need evaluation
Growth Catalysts:
- Government infrastructure spending on the power sector
- Rural electrification and grid modernization projects
- Renewable energy integration requires specialized equipment
- Potential for export market expansion
Risk Factors:
- Dependence on government orders and policy changes
- Working capital-intensive business model
- Competition from larger players and imports
- Raw material price volatility affecting margins
My Take:
NSE:SUPREMEPWR exhibits a strong technical setup, characterised by a clear breakout from a well-formed base. The combination of volume confirmation, sector tailwinds, and government policy support creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. However, traders should maintain disciplined risk management and avoid overexposure to this single position.
Honourable Mentions:
Other stocks that have a good Setup
NSE:KIRLOSBROS , NSE:CGCL , NSE:SUNDRMFAST
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Buy on Dips Narayana Hrudayalaya NSE:NH has a beautiful structure on the Daily timeframe it saw Good Volumes around the marked Key Levels which were previously All-Time highs around last year it broke out today and made a new ATH after a year.
Technically above all Moving Averages and RSI and MACD show an Uptrend.
About:
NSE:NH is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super-speciality hospitals spread across multiple locations.
Trade Setup:
Could be a good Positional Trade with Buy on Dips Approach May Retest the Breakout Zones again
Target(Take Profit):
Around 1806 Levels
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low or The Key Levels Marked.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Edelweiss - Double Bottom Reversal PatternNSE:EDELWEISS Made Beautiful Chart Structure today Before Q4 Results with Good Price and Volume action.
Today's Price Action:
- The stock has been in a clear downtrend since December 2024, forming a descending resistance line (white trendline)
- Recently broke above this major downtrend line with strong momentum
- Current price at ₹86.44, up 5.50 points (+6.80%) in today's session
- The stock appears to have formed a Double bottom Pattern around the ₹75 levels, confirming a potential reversal
Volume Analysis:
- Volume spike visible in today's session (13.85M shares traded)
- The previous volume averaged around 5.6M shares
- This high-volume breakout suggests strong buying conviction
- Volume confirms the price movement, adding credibility to the breakout
Key Supports and Resistances:
- Strong resistance zone at ₹87-90 (previous consolidation area marked by red horizontal line)
- Key support established at ₹75-77 (green horizontal line)
- Previous support at ₹86-87 may now act as resistance that needs to be cleared decisively
Trade Setup:
Entry Points:
1. Aggressive Entry: Current level (₹86.44) with partial position size
2. Conservative Entry: On breakout confirmation above ₹90 with closing price
3. Pullback Entry: If price retraces to the ₹82-83 range (previous breakout level)
Exit Strategy:
- Target 1: ₹95 (first resistance level)
- Target 2: ₹105 (previous support turned resistance)
- Target 3: ₹115-120 (major resistance zone from January-February 2025)
- Trailing Stop: Consider implementing a 5% trailing stop after achieving Target 1
Stop Loss Placement:
- Aggressive Stop: Below today's low (approximately ₹82)
- Conservative Stop: Below the green support line at ₹75
- Double Bottom Pattern-Based Stop: Below ₹73
Risk Management:
- Position sizing: Limit to 1-2% risk of total capital per trade
- Risk-reward ratio: Minimum 1:1 for aggressive entry, 1:1.5 for conservative entry
- Consider scaling out of position at each target level (e.g., 33% at each target)
The improved price action comes after several months of decline, with the potential Double Bottom pattern suggesting a possible trend reversal if completed successfully.
Keep in the Watchlist.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Titan - Trendline BO Post Q4 - Chart of the Week NSE:TITAN has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe and qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea post decent Q4 Results.
About:
NSE:TITAN is among India’s most respected lifestyle companies. It has established leadership positions in the Watches, Jewellery and Eyewear categories, led by its trusted brands and differentiated customer experience. It was founded in 1984 as a joint venture between TATA Group and Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation (TIDCO).
Technical View:
The stock has decisively broken above a major descending trendline (marked with a white line) that had contained price action since July-August 2024. This trendline has been respected multiple times over approximately 8-9 months, making today's breakout particularly significant.
The breakout occurred with substantial price momentum, as indicated by the large green candle and 5 %+ gain, suggesting conviction behind the move.
A critical demand zone (marked in green) around ₹2,900-3,000 that has repeatedly provided strong support. This zone has been tested and respected at least four times (marked with green arrows), demonstrating its importance as a major technical floor.
Since January 2025, the stock has formed progressively higher lows, indicating increasing buying interest at higher price levels.
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Key Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹3,600 (horizontal level from previous swing highs)
Major Resistance: ₹3,886.95 (52-week high/all-time high)
Psychological Resistance: ₹3,750 (round number between current price and highs)
Key Support Levels
Immediate Support: ₹3,400-3,450 (previous resistance turned support)
Trendline Support: ₹3,350 (the broken trendline should now act as support)
Critical Support: ₹2,900-3,000 (major demand zone that has consistently held)
Structural Support: ₹2,750 (low of the most recent significant pullback)
Trade Setup:
The combination of a clean trendline breakout, strong momentum, and historically reliable support zone suggests Titan Company may be poised for continued upside. Based on technical projections:
Target(Take Profit):
Near-term Target: ₹3,700-3,750 (measured move from the breakout point)
Intermediate Target: ₹3,886.95 (retest of previous high)
Longer-term Potential: New all-time highs above ₹3,900 if momentum continues
Stop Loss:
The critical factor to watch will be whether the stock can maintain positions above the broken trendline on any pullbacks. This would confirm the validity of the breakout and strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, a failure to hold above ₹3,400 could signal a false breakout scenario.
Keep in the Watchlist and on your Radar.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloy: Flag & Pole BONSE:IMFA Breaks out of the Flag & Pole Pattern with Huge Volumes today.
Price Action Analysis:
- Stock experienced a significant decline from highs around 998.80 to lows near 549.80, representing approximately a 45% correction
- Recent breakout above 720 levels shows strong momentum reversal
- Current price at 772.50 (+ 7.77%) indicates bullish sentiment returning
- Higher highs and higher lows pattern emerging on the right side of the chart
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Volume spike coinciding with recent breakout confirms genuine buying interest
- Volume of 202.22K appears elevated compared to previous months
- Green volume bars during the recent rally suggest an accumulation phase
- Low volume during the consolidation phase indicates smart money positioning
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels
- Primary Support: 720-730 (recent breakout zone)
- Secondary Support: 680-690 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major Support: 600-620 (previous consolidation zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: 800-820
- Major Resistance: 880-900
- Long-term Resistance: 950-998 (previous highs)
Base Formation:
- Cup and Handle pattern visible with base formation between 550-680 levels
- Duration of base: Approximately 4-5 months (February to June 2025)
- Handle formation in the May-June period before the breakout
- Flag & Pole Pattern Broke today
Technical Patterns Identified:
Primary Pattern: Cup and Handle
- Well-defined cup formation with rounded bottom
- Handle shows controlled pullback with lower volume
- Breakout above handle resistance confirms pattern completion
- Target projection: 950+ levels based on pattern height
Secondary Patterns:
- Descending trendline resistance tested today
- Double bottom formation around 550-580 levels
- Bullish flag formation post-breakout
Trade Setup Recommendations:
Entry Strategy:
- Aggressive Entry: Current levels 770-775 on any minor dip
- Conservative Entry: 720-730 on pullback to breakout zone
- Momentum Entry: Above 800 for trend continuation
Exit Strategy:
- Target 1: 850 (10% upside from current levels)
- Target 2: 920 (19% upside potential)
- Target 3: 980 (27% upside to retest previous highs)
Stop-Loss Levels:
- For aggressive entries: 720 (7% risk)
- For conservative entries: 680 (6% risk from 720 entry)
- Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing lows
Risk Management Framework:
Position Sizing:
- Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio
- Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ stop-loss distance
- For ₹1 lakh portfolio with 7% stop: ₹2,000 ÷ 0.07 = ₹28,571 position size
Risk Controls:
- Maximum exposure to single stock: 5% of portfolio
- Sector concentration limit: 15% in the metals sector
- Use of position sizing calculator mandatory
- Weekly portfolio review and rebalancing
Sectoral Backdrop Analysis:
Metals Sector Dynamics:
- Global steel demand recovery supporting Indian metal stocks
- Infrastructure spending by the government boosts domestic demand
- Raw material cost stabilization improves margins
- Export opportunities are increasing with global supply chain shifts
Industry Tailwinds:
- The government's focus on infrastructure development
- PLI schemes supporting the manufacturing sector
- Green energy transition requiring metal inputs
- Automotive sector recovery driving steel demand
Fundamental Considerations:
Company Specific Factors:
- Debt reduction initiatives improving balance sheet strength
- Capacity expansion plans supporting long-term growth
- Technology upgrades enhancing operational efficiency
- ESG compliance improving institutional investor interest
Macroeconomic Factors:
- Rupee stability supporting import-dependent operations
- Interest rate environment favourable for the capital-intensive sector
- Government policy support for domestic manufacturing
- Global commodity cycle showing signs of recovery
Trading Psychology Notes:
Behavioural Considerations:
- Stock showing classic accumulation after major decline
- Institutional buying is likely during the base formation period
- Retail sentiment improving with breakout confirmation
- FOMO factor may drive further momentum
Market Sentiment Indicators:
- Relative strength improving against the broader market
- Sector rotation favours cyclical stocks
- Technical breakout attracting momentum traders
- Long-term investors find value after the correction
My take:
This technical setup presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with clearly defined entry, exit, and risk management parameters. The combination of a strong technical breakout and improving sectoral fundamentals creates a favourable environment for potential gains.
Keep in the Watchlist.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Weekly CT Breakout + 200EMA Flip | GALAXYSURF Structure📉 Main CT Line (Dotted White)
A well-defined counter-trendline finally gave way after weeks of price compression. The breakout was clean, with a strong bullish candle closing decisively above it.
📊 Volume Confirmation
Breakout candle posted a solid spike in volume — the highest weekly volume in months. 💥
📈 200 EMA Broken (Blue Line)
Price has also cleared the 200-week EMA, a key dynamic resistance, now potentially flipping to support. 📉
🟧 Higher Timeframe Supply (Orange Line) / ⚪ (White Lines)
The breakout candle has also stepped into a tight zone between Weekly + Monthly supply, marked by the orange line.
📌 As always, the chart tells the story. No predictions. No assumptions, just structure.
Mahindra & Mahindra – Activity Picking Up! Watch CloselyHey Family, here’s another stock showing a strong technical setup! 🚀
📈 Stock: Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd (NSE: M&M)
🔍 Key Observations:
📊 Chart Pattern:
The stock is displaying a Horizontal Breakout Setup from a well-defined multi-month resistance zone, dating back to 07-10-2021. This forms a strong bullish continuation base, indicating potential for a sustained move higher.
📈 Recent Price Action:
• M&M has recently tested the upper boundary of its resistance zone around ₹3,270, which has been respected multiple times in the past (notably on 18-06-2025 and 20-06-2025).
• The current close at ₹3,184.40 (+2.90%) on June 20, 2025, shows increasing buying momentum near this critical resistance level.
• Volume surged to 8.32M, significantly above average, confirming institutional participation and validating the price action.
📦 Volume Insight:
The volume spike on the breakout attempt signals strong accumulation. This is a vital confirmation factor for the bullish case.
💡 Trading Recommendation:
Aggressive Approach:
• Traders can consider participating based on the current price structure, using proper risk management techniques aligned with individual trading plans.
Conservative Approach:
• Alternatively, wait for a clear breakout confirmation with strong follow-through and closing strength above the resistance zone before considering entry. This helps reduce false breakout risks.
🧠 Rationale:
The recent price behavior, combined with heightened volume activity, reflects growing interest in the stock. Such conditions often signal a shift in market sentiment. Observing how the stock reacts in the coming sessions can provide useful cues. Traders should focus on structure, strength, and participation—adapting their approach based on personal style and risk preference.
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All views are shared for educational purposes only. Please do your own research and always manage your risk before making any trading decisions.
📢 What’s your view? Drop it in the comments and boost the idea if you found it useful – your support helps us keep sharing quality setups! 💬🔥
SOLAR IND 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
SOLAR IND Looking good for upside..
When it break level 17025 and sustain.. it will go upside...
BUY@ 17025
Target
1st 17324
2nd 17758
FNO
SOLARINDS JUN FUT – LOT 3 (Qty-225)
SOLARINDS JUN 17000 CE – LOT 3 (Qty-225)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome to join the ride ..
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JUBLINGREA Breakout📊 1. Price Action & Pattern Analysis
Breakout Trigger:
Double Bottom at ₹660–₹670 confirmed.
Higher Lows and Higher Highs are clearly visible — a bullish trend structure.
Breakout from trendline resistance with a strong bullish candle on extreme volume confirms buyer interest.
Probable Retest Zone: Around ₹745–₹760, which overlaps with the 38.2–61.8% Fibonacci zone, indicating a good low-risk reentry area if price retests.
Stop-Loss (Aggressive): Just below ₹680 support zone (prior bottom and neckline).
🔍 2. Volume & Confirmation
Massive Volume Spike on breakout day — highest in recent months.
Volume confirms genuine buying pressure, validating the pattern breakout.
🧭 3. Stage Classification
✅ Current Stage: Stage 2 – Markup Phase (Early Stage)
Why:
Breakout from long consolidation.
Volume confirms institutional activity.
Trend structure shifting to higher highs/lows.
Strong retest and breakout of previous resistance zones.
🎯 4. Trade Plan Summary
Metric Value
📌 Entry Range ₹760–₹780 (retest possible)
🧯 Stop Loss (Aggressive) ₹675–₹680 zone
📈 Target 1 (Short-Term) ₹840–₹860 (as shown)
📈 Target 2 (Positional) ₹900+
🔎 Risk–Reward 1:2.5+ (Ideal Swing Setup)
🧠 “So many convincing acts happened here to take trade... Trade for 4 to 5% for consistency.”
✅ Conclusion
This is a classic Stage 2 early breakout with:
Multi-confirmation setup (pattern + trendline + volume)
Well-defined risk-reward
Excellent for swing-to-positional trades
GM BREWERIES – A Classic CT Breakout with Strong Demand Flip🔍 A solid Weekly Time Frame (WTF) structure is visible here on GMBREW:
-The red-green zone highlights a classic supply turning into demand, supporting the structure.
-A clear Counter Trendline (CT) breakout (white line) is now visible, showing strength with increasing momentum.
-Notice the strong spike in volume – this breakout isn't silent. Participation has significantly picked up.
-Yellow line represents the MTF supply, which could act as the next area of interest.
-Price is currently showing a wick, so weekly closing behavior will be key from here.
-No predictions – just a technical snapshot. Structure, volume, and zones are aligning well here. Let’s see how it unfolds. 📊
KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LTD | Major Breakout Ahead? Hey Family, here’s another stock showing a strong technical setup! 🚀
Key Observations:
Pattern : Formation of a Rectangle Box Pattern on the Daily Timeframe (1D).
Range Period:
Stock moved within a horizontal range between June 2024 to April 2025.
Multiple tests near the upper resistance band during this period.
Resistance Behavior:
Price repeatedly tested the resistance zone around ₹278–₹285.
Now showing signs of a breakout attempt and trying to sustain above the range.
Volume Insight:
Noticeable volume accumulation over the past few sessions.
Volume spikes during breakout candles suggest strong buyer interest.
Candlestick Structure:
Strong bullish candles with minimal rejection indicate a genuine attempt to break out.
🚨 Disclaimer: What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
🚨 Note: Always manage risk and do your own research.
GRSE: Can this Defence Stock Double Your Money in 2025?NSE:GRSE : Can this Defence Stock Double Your Money in 2025? Let's analyse this weekend's My Chart of the Month
NSE:GRSE presents one of the most compelling technical setups in the defence sector, with the stock currently trading at ₹3,003 after a massive rally from its 2019 lows around ₹77. The chart reveals a textbook case of a multi-year accumulation followed by explosive breakout dynamics.
Price Action Analysis :
The stock underwent a dramatic transformation from a prolonged consolidation phase between 2019 and 2022, during which it traded in a narrow range of ₹150-300. The real fireworks began in late 2022, when GRSE broke out of its multi-year base with exceptional volume, signalling institutional accumulation.
The most striking feature is the parabolic move from ₹1,000 levels in early 2024 to the current high of ₹3,250. This represents over 200% gains in just over a year, accompanied by consistently high volumes averaging 40-130 million shares, indicating strong institutional participation.
Volume Analysis:
Volume patterns have been particularly bullish, with spikes coinciding with price advances. The recent correction has seen relatively lower volumes, suggesting profit-booking rather than institutional selling. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) continues to trend upward, indicating underlying strength.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: The stock has established strong support around ₹2,400-2,500 levels, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Immediate Support: ₹2,683 (recent swing low)
Critical Support: ₹2,165 (0.618 Fibonacci level)
Resistance Levels: The stock recently touched ₹3,250 and is currently consolidating. The next major resistance lies at ₹3,500-3,600 based on measured move projections.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary Entry: ₹2,650-2,750 (current levels to slight dip)
- Aggressive Entry: ₹2,900-3,000 on any pullback
- Conservative Entry: ₹2,400-2,500 (major support retest)
Target Levels:
- Target 1: ₹3,400 (15% upside)
- Target 2: ₹3,800 (35% upside)
- Target 3: ₹4,200 (50% upside based on measured moves)
Stop Loss: ₹2,300 (below critical Fibonacci support)
Risk-Reward: Favourable 1:2 to 1:3 ratio across all entry points
Sectoral & Fundamental Backdrop:
The defence sector is experiencing a renaissance driven by the government's push for Atmanirbhar Bharat and increased defence spending. GRSE, being a premier shipbuilding company under the Ministry of Defence, is directly benefiting from:
1. Increased naval modernization programs
2. Export opportunities under government initiatives
3. Project 75(I) submarine program participation
4. Anti-submarine warfare corvette projects
The company's order book has been consistently growing, with recent announcements of significant contracts providing revenue visibility for the next 3-4 years. The shift towards indigenous defence production gives GRSE a strategic advantage in the naval segment.
Risk Factors:
Primary risks include overall market correction affecting high-beta defence stocks, profit-booking by retail investors after substantial gains, and any delays in government defence projects. The stock's high valuation multiple also makes it susceptible to sector rotation.
My Take:
GRSE represents a compelling blend of strong fundamentals backed by government policy support and technically sound chart patterns. The risk-adjusted returns appear favourable for medium-term investors, with the stock likely to test new highs once the Pullback is done. However, position sizing should account for the inherent volatility in defence stocks and the broader market environment. Therefore, BUY ON DIPS
The combination of sectoral tailwinds, robust order book, and technical breakout makes GRSE a candidate for continued outperformance, though investors should remain mindful of profit-booking opportunities at resistance zones.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Case Study: Weekly Price action chart of SIGACHI 🔹 Key Structural Elements:
-White Solid Line: Primary Counter-Trendline (CT) connecting multiple swing highs, acting as dynamic resistance over several months.
-White Dotted Lines: Hidden supply lines derived from intermediary highs, often acting as secondary resistance.
-Yellow Lines: Higher timeframe resistance zones (MTF) — offering confluence markers for potential supply zones ahead.
🔹Volume Expansion:
The breakout candle is supported by significant volume (~36M), indicating strong participation. Volume here acts as a confirmation trigger, suggesting institutional interest or broad-based buying.
🔹Structure:
The breakout occurs after an extended consolidation and a series of higher lows.
Everyone’s Buying MMTC… I’m Waiting for this to happen✅ CT Breakout (WTF): Well-defined CT break cleared with strong bullish momentum.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Breakout candle accompanied by 269M+ volume, signaling genuine interest.
✅ Structure: Higher low before breakout reinforces structural reliability.
✅ Base Formation: Multiple weeks of tight consolidation at base builds a solid foundation for the move.
⚠️ Caution – DTF Overextension: On the daily timeframe (DTF), price shows back-to-back green candles, indicating a short-term overbought condition.
A retracement is healthy and preferred. A direct move from here risks a poor R:R swing
📌 Conclusion:
Solid weekly breakout with all structural prerequisites in place. However, due to the extended DTF structure, wait for a healthy pullback before initiating swing entries. Avoid chasing strength. Let the price offer a clean opportunity.
🔁 Following the yellow path = strategic patience + optimal R:R.
Castrol: Lubricant Oil Giant's Ends Consolidation PhaseNSE:CASTROLIND : Lubricant Oil Giant's Consolidation Phase Offers Strategic Entry Opportunity
Looking at NSE:CASTROLIND chart on the Daily Timeframe, the stock presents a compelling technical setup after months of consolidation following a significant decline from its October 2024 highs.
Price Action Analysis:
NSE:CASTROLIND has been trading in a well-defined range between ₹190-195 support and ₹210-215 resistance since February 2025. The stock peaked around ₹245-250 in October 2024 before experiencing a sharp correction that bottomed out near ₹162 in January. Since then, it has established a solid base above the ₹190 level with multiple successful retests.
The recent price action shows the stock consolidating around ₹208-210, with the current price at ₹208.70 representing a modest gain of 5.66%. This positioning near the upper end of the trading range suggests potential for a breakout attempt.
Volume Analysis:
Volume patterns reveal interesting insights - the chart shows several volume spikes that coincided with key support tests and bounce attempts. The volume of 25.74M against a 20-day average suggests active participation, though not at extreme levels. The volume profile indicates accumulation phases during dips below ₹200, which is constructive for future upward movement.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support levels are clearly defined at ₹190-195, , which have held multiple times since February. Secondary support exists around ₹180-185. On the upside, immediate resistance sits at ₹210-215 , followed by the more significant ₹230-235 zone . A break above ₹215 would target the previous consolidation high around ₹245.
Technical Pattern:
The stock is forming a classic rectangular consolidation pattern, also known as a trading range. This pattern typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of the prior trend, though given the extended decline from October highs, a base-building scenario appears more likely. The multiple retests of support without breaking down suggest a strong institutional interest at lower levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy: Consider accumulating on dips toward ₹195-200 or on a confirmed breakout above ₹215 with volume confirmation.
Entry Levels: ₹195-200 (value entry) or ₹216+ (momentum entry)
Target 1: ₹225-230
Target 2: ₹240-245
Target 3: ₹255-260
Stop Loss: Below ₹185 for medium-term positions
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 from current levels
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
The lubricants sector has been facing headwinds from the transition to electric vehicles and longer oil change intervals in modern engines. However, Castrol benefits from its strong brand presence, extensive distribution network, and exposure to industrial lubricants. The company's parent, BP, provides technological advantages and global synergies.
Recent quarterly results have shown resilience despite volume pressures, with the company maintaining healthy margins through premiumization strategies. The automotive sector's recovery post-pandemic and increased industrial activity should support volume growth, though EV adoption remains a long-term concern.
India's infrastructure development and manufacturing push under various government initiatives provide tailwinds for industrial lubricant demand. Currency stability and crude oil price moderation also support margin profiles for lubricant companies.
The stock's valuation appears reasonable after the correction, trading below historical averages, which makes it attractive for patient investors willing to ride through the transition phase in the automotive industry.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Venus Pipes Explodes 12% Breaking Out of 6-Month BaseNSE:VENUSPIPES Explodes 12%: Breaking Out of 6-Month Base Could Target ₹1,600 as it made a Beautiful Chart Structure Just Before Q4 FY25 Results.
Price Action Analysis
NSE:VENUSPIPES is experiencing a significant breakout moment, currently trading at ₹1,452.00 with an impressive 12.37% gain (₹159.80). The stock has decisively broken above a critical resistance zone around ₹1,400-1,420 after consolidating in a well-defined base for nearly six months. This breakout comes with strong momentum and represents a potential shift from accumulation to the markup phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is exceptionally strong at 626.33K shares compared to the average of 85.02K - nearly 7.5x times normal volume. This massive surge in participation validates the breakout and suggests institutional buying interest. The volume spike coinciding with the price breakout is a textbook confirmation signal that significantly increases the probability of continuation.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
- Newly Broken Resistance: ₹1,400-1,420 zone (now potential support)
- Next Major Resistance: ₹1,500-1,520 (psychological level and previous resistance)
- Ultimate Target Resistance: ₹1,900-1,950 (red horizontal line - major resistance from earlier highs)
- Strong Base Support: ₹1,100-1,150 zone (multiple green arrows showing successful tests)
- Immediate Support: ₹1,380-1,400 (previous resistance becomes support)
Technical Patterns:
1. Rectangle Breakout: Clean break above the 6-month consolidation range (₹1,100-1,420)
2. Multiple Bottom Formation: Several tests of the ₹1,100-1,150 support zone (marked with green arrows)
3. Ascending Triangle: Recent price action shows higher lows approaching the ₹1,420 resistance
4. Volume Breakout Pattern: Classic high-volume breakout from a prolonged base
Trade Setup - Breakout Continuation
Primary Entry Strategy:
- Entry Point: ₹1,440-1,460 (current levels or minor pullback)
- Aggressive Entry: ₹1,420-1,430 (on any retest of breakout level)
Target Levels:
- First Target: ₹1,520-1,540 (psychological resistance and measured move)
- Second Target: ₹1,650-1,680 (extension target based on base width)
- Ultimate Target: ₹1,800-1,850 (major resistance zone approach)
Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: ₹1,350 (below the breakout zone and recent support)
- Tight Stop: ₹1,390 for short-term traders
- Position Size: Maximum 2-3% of portfolio at risk
Alternative Setup - Conservative Approach
For risk-averse traders:
- Entry: ₹1,480-1,500 (after clearing first resistance convincingly)
- Stop Loss: ₹1,420 (below confirmed breakout level)
- Targets: ₹1,600, ₹1,750
Pattern Analysis:
The stock has formed a solid 6-month base between ₹1,100-1,420, allowing for significant accumulation. The multiple tests of support around ₹1,100-1,150 (green arrows) demonstrate strong buying interest at lower levels. The recent ascending triangle formation within the larger rectangle pattern suggests building momentum that has now been released.
Risk-Reward Assessment:
- Primary Setup R:R: 1:2.8 (Entry ₹1,450, Stop ₹1,350, Target ₹1,730)
- Breakout Target: Rectangle pattern suggests potential for 25-30% move
- Failure Risk: Breakdown below ₹1,380 would invalidate the bullish setup
Key Technical Factors:
The convergence of multiple bullish signals - rectangle breakout, volume confirmation, successful base building, and momentum surge - creates a high-probability setup. The stock has spent considerable time building this base, and the breakout with such strong volume suggests genuine institutional participation rather than retail speculation.
Trading Strategy:
Traders should look for any minor pullbacks to the ₹1,420-1,440 zone as ideal entry opportunities. The key is to ensure the breakout level holds as support. A sustained move above ₹1,500 would confirm the pattern and likely attract momentum buying, potentially accelerating the move toward the ₹1,650-1,700 zone.
Monitor for any evening star or shooting star patterns at resistance levels, which could signal temporary exhaustion and provide profit-taking opportunities.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.