Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
News Background
📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release.
Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉
Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈
➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold.
Key factors to watch:
💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales.
🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports.
🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days.
🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska.
News conclusion:
Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive.
But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely.
Yesterday’s Action (12/08)
Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips .
However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support.
Technical Plan – 13/08
1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓
Entry: 3,374 – 3,376
SL: 3,382
TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx
Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher.
2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3,405 – 3,406
SL: 3,411
TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365
Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel.
Scenarios:
Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker.
Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones.
If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure.
Captain’s Note:
"The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
Tradingview
STAR CEMENT LTD | Strong Breakout After Long-Term Consolidation 📝 Description:
📌 Stock: STAR CEMENT LTD (NSE)
📅 Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
📈 Breakout Date: 04-Aug-2025
💼 Sector: Cement / Infrastructure
⚡️ Technical Setup:
Breakout Above Long-Term Resistance:
Price has finally broken through the ₹240–₹256 resistance zone, which had capped upside for nearly a year.
Strong Volume Confirmation:
The breakout is accompanied by a significant rise in volume, adding credibility to the move and indicating strong buyer interest.
Bullish Market Structure:
Price has shifted into a higher high–higher low structure over the last few weeks, confirming momentum build-up.
Range Built-Up Base:
Price consolidated within ₹190–₹240 for over 10 months, creating a solid foundation for the breakout.
🔍 Key Observations:
📊 Chart Pattern:
The chart shows a horizontal breakout from a long-term consolidation zone between ₹240–₹256. This breakout signals a bullish continuation, as the stock pushes above a multi-month supply zone with strong momentum.
📈 Recent Price Action:
• The stock gave a clean breakout on 04-Aug-2025, closing above the resistance zone required with strong follow-through.
• The rally was supported by 2.5× surge in volume, indicating institutional interest.
• Price structure shows confirming trend reversal from range-bound to bullish.
• This breakout comes after 10+ months of consolidation, adding more weight to the move.
Add-ons:-
✅ Clean breakout with follow-through above ₹256.
🔼 No immediate supply zone until ₹280–₹290 range.
🔁 ₹240 now becomes a key support level.
📊 Increasing volume supports institutional accumulation possibility.
📌 Trade View:
Aggressive Entry:
• Entry around current levels if price holds above the breakout zone (₹256+).
• Use a stop-loss as per your risk plan.
Conservative Entry:
• Wait for a retest of the breakout zone (₹240–₹256) with confirmation through price action and volume support.
• Ideal for traders preferring high conviction and lower risk.
•Bias: Bullish
•Support: ₹240 (flip level), ₹225 (minor swing)
•Invalidation: Close below ₹240
🧠 Rationale:
The long base, clean breakout, and strong volume together suggest a high-probability bullish continuation. Absence of nearby resistance offers a decent runway towards the ₹280–₹290 zone. This move is also backed by strength in the broader cement sector.
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All views are shared for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly before making any trading decisions.
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Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background:
After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock.
Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters.
Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp)
Entry: 3,333 – 3,331
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx
Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit.
Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone)
Entry: 3,311 – 3,309
SL: 3,305
TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx
Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong.
Today’s Scenarios:
If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering.
If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation.
If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage.
Captain’s Note:
“The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
Varun Beverages: From Parallel Channel to Symmetrical TriangleOn the monthly timeframe (right chart), Varun Beverages shows a classic Fibonacci retracement pullback to the 38.2% level after an extended rally.
>Shifting to the weekly timeframe (left chart), we observe:
-Parallel Channel during the earlier uptrend phase, reflecting a strong trending structure.
-A break of the uptrend that transitioned into a sideways phase.
-Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle – characterized by a sequence of lower highs and higher lows, creating a contraction pattern.
This multi‑timeframe view highlights how trends evolve from strong rallies, to corrections, and into consolidation structures.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead?GOLD ANALYSIS 31/07: Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead?
🔍 Technical View | XAUUSD | 2H Chart | End of Month Setup
Gold has completed a final liquidity sweep around the 3269–3271 zone and has since rebounded strongly, in line with the prevailing bullish structure. The sharp drop yesterday during the FOMC rate statement appears to have served its purpose: grabbing final sell-side liquidity before preparing for the next bullish leg.
As of now, price is reacting at the 3295 zone, which coincides with the M30 CP (Change of Character) Zone, showing minor intraday retracement. A healthy pullback is likely before a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline that has been holding price down over recent sessions.
🔵 BUY Strategy: Trend Continuation Setup
We’re watching for potential re-entries on a dip toward the OBS Buy Zone (3286–3284), created after the recent bullish move. This could be the last opportunity to catch the next impulsive leg higher.
Buy Zone: 3286–3284
Stop Loss: 3278
Targets: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → ???
Key breakout confirmation will come if price closes strongly above 3313 (first key resistance). If broken, this opens the door toward the VPOC zone at 3328–3330, where a high-volume cluster awaits.
🔴 SELL Strategy: Short-Term Rejection Levels
Shorts only become favorable below the VPOC Sell Zone (3328–3330). If price closes above this area, bearish pressure is likely to fade, and bulls will dominate the next leg.
Sell Zone: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3335
Targets: 3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300
⚠️ Important: Selling inside a bullish breakout structure is high-risk unless the market gives clear rejection at major supply. Always wait for price action confirmation.
🕯️ Monthly Candle Insight (July Close)
Today marks the final trading day of July. Notably, the last two monthly candles have closed as Doji with long wicks, reflecting deep indecision and ongoing liquidity grabs. This aligns with the upcoming interest rate cut discussions at the next FOMC, which could ignite significant volatility.
📌 Summary:
Liquidity sweep at 3269–3271 is likely complete.
Price now retracing after strong bullish rebound from OBS Buy Zone.
Watch for confirmation above 3313, then 3328–3330 for breakout toward higher zones (335x–337x).
End-of-month close + macro narrative (FOMC) will be crucial to confirm direction.
💡 Pro Tip: Avoid entering late into reactive moves. Wait for retests of clean liquidity zones and use volume-based confluences to validate bias.
📲 Follow us @MMFlowTrading for real-time updates, macro analysis, and market structure insights on gold & major pairs.
Dual Counter-Trend Zone and Market Structure Shift- This chart highlights a dual counter-trend resistance zone formed by two overlapping CT trendlines (marked in the shaded purple region).
🟡 Yellow Cup – Marks the origin base of the structure (assumed starting shift).
🔴 Red Cup – Establishes a Lower Low Base, still within bearish control.
🟢 Green Cup – Forms a Higher Low Base, showing a market structure change supported by a noticeable volume surge.
- The dotted trendline drawn through the zone acts as a hidden resistance confluence
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is non-forecasting in nature. It is not a buy/sell recommendation or financial advice. The chart is shared purely for educational and structural analysis purposes.
Chola Fin. Formed Short Term BaseNSE:CHOLAFIN made a short-term base of 1168-1185 and is near its BO Levels of 1343.15 with RSI and MACD Trending Upwards.
About:
NSE:CHOLAFIN is one of India's premier diversified non-banking finance companies, engaged in providing vehicle finance, home loans and loans against property.
F&O Activity:
Significant Long Buildup With 1300 CE OI Significantly Decreased.
Trade Setup:
It looks like a good 1:1 Trade with the Recent Base as a Stop Loss for a Swing Trade after it Crosses Key Levels of 1343.15.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 1507 Levels for Swing & Positional Traders
Stop Loss:
The base of Channel 1168 for Positional Traders and Entry Candle Low for Swing Traders.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead🟡 XAUUSD 24/07 – Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Overview
Gold dropped sharply from the 343x area, exactly as anticipated, after breaking the rising channel on the H1 chart and starting to sweep liquidity zones below.
Key factors influencing price action today:
Global markets are awaiting the final outcome of US-EU-China tariff negotiations.
Focus now shifts to next week’s FOMC meeting, where talks of potential rate cuts are intensifying.
Tonight’s PMI and Jobless Claims from the US could introduce unexpected volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook
While the broader trend remains bullish on D1 and H4 timeframes, the short-term H1 chart shows a clear break in structure. Price is currently exploring key FVG zones and OBS levels below.
If these liquidity zones are fully filled, it could set up a highly attractive long-term BUY opportunity, especially as markets price in future Fed rate cuts.
🎯 Today’s Trading Strategy
📌 Short-Term SELL Opportunity
→ Look for early entries at resistance zones, but only with proper confirmation.
📌 Long-Term BUY Setup
→ Target strong technical confluences at deeper levels. Be patient — focus on clean RR setups, don’t rush into early longs.
🔎 Key Price Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones (Above):
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Support Zones (Below):
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Scenarios
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ News Alert
Stay cautious with tonight’s US PMI and Jobless Claims releases — these could cause sharp spikes.
✔️ Use proper SL/TP
✔️ Avoid emotional trades
✔️ Let structure confirm before entries
📣 From MMF Team – Trade Smarter Together
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👉 Follow the MMF channel right here on TradingView — we deliver real, actionable market strategies, not just generic analysis.
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Elgi Equpiment - Pullback PlayNSE:ELGIEQUIP rose 13% today with heavy volumes near 52 52-week lows, making it a good candidate for a pullback trade with MACD getting Positive and Trending Up, if it can cross the falling trendline a Swing Towards 200 DSMA is Possible.
About:
Incorporated in 1960, NSE:ELGIEQUIP along with its subsidiaries, is manufacturing and supplying Air Compressors & Automotive equipment. It also provides related after-sales services it is the 6th largest air compressor manufacturer globally and the 2nd largest in India.
Trade Setup:
Trade will get activated after the trendline is crossed.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 200 DSMA or 620 Levels
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low for Swing Traders and Recent Swing Lows for Postional.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NIFTY Technical Breakdown – Rising Wedge Pattern🔻 NIFTY Technical Breakdown – Rising Wedge Pattern
The Nifty 50 has broken down from a rising wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, a bearish reversal formation that often signals distribution at the top.
📉 Key Observations:
Rising wedge breakdown after extended rally
RSI bearish divergence confirming weakness
MACD crossover turning negative
Volume gradually decreasing during the rise, indicating exhaustion
ADX flattening, showing weakening trend strength
📌 Support Levels to Watch:
23,783 – Key swing support
22,798 – Previous breakout zone
📌 Sectoral Rotation:
Defensive sectors like Pharma & FMCG are gaining strength
FII selling pressure, rising DXY, and global uncertainty continue to weigh on sentiment
⚠️ Outlook:
Caution warranted in the short term. Watch for sustained close below 24,900 for further downside confirmation. Macro and global cues to play a key role ahead.
💬 What’s your view on Nifty's near-term direction?
#Nifty50 #TechnicalAnalysis #RisingWedge #MarketOutlook #TradingView #ChartStudy #IndiaMarkets #BearishSetup #NiftyBreakdown #Puneet0130
Psychology Is 80% of Trading Success But Most Traders Ignore ItPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Ignore It
“Have you ever entered a perfect trade… and still lost?”
Right direction.
Clear technical setup.
Trend confirmation was there.
Yet you closed early.
Or held a losing trade too long.
Or jumped back in out of revenge after a loss.
It wasn’t your system’s fault.
It was your psychology.
💡 Most traders don’t fail because of bad analysis – they fail because of poor emotional control
Let’s walk through some common real-life situations every trader has experienced at least once:
🎯 1. You closed your trade early – afraid the market might reverse
Case study:
A trader entered a long position on XAUUSD at a support zone (2360), aiming for TP at 2375.
But when price reached 2366, he closed out early – afraid to “lose profits.”
The market later hit his original TP perfectly.
➡️ This is classic loss aversion – the fear of losing what you’ve already gained.
🎯 2. You refused to cut a loss – hoping the price would come back
Case study:
A trader shorted EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price broke resistance and continued up.
Instead of cutting the loss, he widened his stop loss, holding onto hope.
The result? A bigger loss than planned.
➡️ This is denial – a refusal to accept you’re wrong, leading to emotional attachment to the trade.
🎯 3. You increased your position size after a winning streak
Case study:
After two strong wins, a trader feels confident and increases position size on the next trade…
Even though the setup isn’t as strong.
That trade ends in a loss – wiping out earlier profits.
➡️ This is overconfidence bias – a dangerous psychological state after wins.
📊 Technical skills only account for 20% – the remaining 80% is mastering yourself
You might:
Understand price structure
Use advanced indicators
Follow a solid trading system
But if you:
Break your stop loss rules
Scale up recklessly
Enter trades impulsively
Then your edge vanishes.
Success becomes inconsistent.
🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology
✅ Keep a trading journal – especially track your emotions
Ask: “Did I follow my plan? Or was I trading to ‘feel better’?”
✅ Never change SL or TP mid-trade
Stick to your original plan. Discipline builds consistency.
✅ Use demo accounts to train discipline, not to prove profitability
Treat each demo trade as if real money is at stake.
✅ Set mandatory “cool-off” periods after consecutive losses
For example: 2 losses = no trades for 24 hours.
✅ Practice waiting – patience is your most underrated tool
Pro traders often wait days for a valid setup. That’s not inactivity – that’s control.
🔁 Trading is not a search for the perfect system – it’s a journey of mastering your own mind
A strategy with only 55% win rate can still be highly profitable
…if paired with discipline, risk management, and emotional control.
But…
A system with 70% accuracy can still blow your account
…if your psychology breaks down under pressure.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
The financial markets reward those who can control themselves – not just those who analyze well.
You don’t need to be smarter than others.
You don’t need to master 10 indicators.
But you must be able to stay calm, act rationally, and follow your rules.
Knowledge lets you see the opportunity – but psychology determines if you survive it.
Mastering Multi Time Frame Analysis | Swing and Intraday TradingWhether you're a price action trader or rely on indicators, mastering Multi Time Frame (MTF) Analysis can transform your swing and intraday trading decisions. In this video, I break down how to use MTF effectively to align your entries, spot fakeouts, and trade with higher conviction.
PIUSDT – Potential Long Setup from Ascending Channel Support (4HI’m watching PIUSDT closely as it approaches a significant confluence of technical levels on the 4-hour chart:
🔹 Key Highlights:
Ascending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel (orange trendline).
Descending Trendline Resistance: Creating a wedge structure—breakout potential if momentum builds.
Bullish Structure: Clear rejection wicks and consolidation near support suggest accumulation.
✅ Trade Plan:
Entry Trigger: Confirmed breakout and close above the descending trendline.
Targets:
🥇 1st Target: 0.5650 (local resistance)
🥈 2nd Target: 0.6550 (major horizontal resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 0.4392 (breakdown invalidates the setup)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper position sizing and a disciplined stop loss. This setup is shared for educational purposes—do your own research before entering any trades.
Early Week Correction Ahead of Heavy News Flow GOLD PLAN – July 14 | Early Week Correction Ahead of Heavy News Flow
📰 Macro Context – Volatile Week Expected
Gold opened this week with a sharp correction, retracing after sweeping liquidity from the previous 2-week FVG zone. This early reaction reflects investor caution ahead of key tariff-related announcements due later this week.
In addition to geopolitical factors, the market is also bracing for major US economic data, including:
📊 CPI (Consumer Price Index)
📊 PPI (Producer Price Index)
📊 Unemployment Claims
📊 Retail Sales Figures
These events combined make this a high-volatility week with potentially strong directional moves in the second half.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 Timeframe
Price has taken out minor liquidity above recent highs
Currently retracing over $15 from the top
Price is now trading below the intraday VPOC (around 3358) — suggesting potential bearish momentum
If momentum continues, gold may dip into key demand zones:
🎯 333x
🎯 Possibly lower into 332x
This could provide a healthy retracement before resuming the broader uptrend.
🧭 Trading Strategy
✅ BUY ZONE: 3331 – 3329
Stop-Loss: 3325
Take-Profits:
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3344
TP4: 3350
TP5: 3360 – 3370+
🔍 This zone aligns with prior support, potential liquidity traps, and EMAs on higher timeframes — high-probability area for bounce trades if volume confirms.
⚠️ SELL ZONE: 3393 – 3395
Stop-Loss: 3399
Take-Profits:
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3386
TP3: 3382
TP4: 3378
TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360
📉 Great for short-term scalps if price re-tests the zone and shows rejection signs, especially around key news events.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones
3358
3368
3374
3394
🔻 Support Zones
3349
3340
3331
3318
⚠️ Execution Notes & Sentiment
🕰️ At the time of writing, gold is consolidating near the M30 VPOC with no clear break in either direction.
🧘 Stay patient and wait for clear confirmation from European session volume
🚫 Avoid FOMO trades — stick to structure
✅ Respect all SL/TP levels to protect your capital
This week’s volatility will reward discipline, not speed.
📌 Summary
Gold is currently in a short-term pullback after reaching previous liquidity zones.
There’s potential for a deeper dip early this week before macro news pushes price decisively.
📌 3331–3329 remains the primary BUY zone to watch if price shows bullish confirmation.
📌 3393–3395 remains the key SELL zone for potential short-term rejections.
🔍 What’s your view this week? Are you looking to buy the dip or short the bounce?
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — let’s discuss setups!
✅ If this helped you, hit that like & follow for more daily plans.
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Castrol: Lubricant Oil Giant's Ends Consolidation PhaseNSE:CASTROLIND : Lubricant Oil Giant's Consolidation Phase Offers Strategic Entry Opportunity
Looking at NSE:CASTROLIND chart on the Daily Timeframe, the stock presents a compelling technical setup after months of consolidation following a significant decline from its October 2024 highs.
Price Action Analysis:
NSE:CASTROLIND has been trading in a well-defined range between ₹190-195 support and ₹210-215 resistance since February 2025. The stock peaked around ₹245-250 in October 2024 before experiencing a sharp correction that bottomed out near ₹162 in January. Since then, it has established a solid base above the ₹190 level with multiple successful retests.
The recent price action shows the stock consolidating around ₹208-210, with the current price at ₹208.70 representing a modest gain of 5.66%. This positioning near the upper end of the trading range suggests potential for a breakout attempt.
Volume Analysis:
Volume patterns reveal interesting insights - the chart shows several volume spikes that coincided with key support tests and bounce attempts. The volume of 25.74M against a 20-day average suggests active participation, though not at extreme levels. The volume profile indicates accumulation phases during dips below ₹200, which is constructive for future upward movement.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support levels are clearly defined at ₹190-195, , which have held multiple times since February. Secondary support exists around ₹180-185. On the upside, immediate resistance sits at ₹210-215 , followed by the more significant ₹230-235 zone . A break above ₹215 would target the previous consolidation high around ₹245.
Technical Pattern:
The stock is forming a classic rectangular consolidation pattern, also known as a trading range. This pattern typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of the prior trend, though given the extended decline from October highs, a base-building scenario appears more likely. The multiple retests of support without breaking down suggest a strong institutional interest at lower levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy: Consider accumulating on dips toward ₹195-200 or on a confirmed breakout above ₹215 with volume confirmation.
Entry Levels: ₹195-200 (value entry) or ₹216+ (momentum entry)
Target 1: ₹225-230
Target 2: ₹240-245
Target 3: ₹255-260
Stop Loss: Below ₹185 for medium-term positions
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 from current levels
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
The lubricants sector has been facing headwinds from the transition to electric vehicles and longer oil change intervals in modern engines. However, Castrol benefits from its strong brand presence, extensive distribution network, and exposure to industrial lubricants. The company's parent, BP, provides technological advantages and global synergies.
Recent quarterly results have shown resilience despite volume pressures, with the company maintaining healthy margins through premiumization strategies. The automotive sector's recovery post-pandemic and increased industrial activity should support volume growth, though EV adoption remains a long-term concern.
India's infrastructure development and manufacturing push under various government initiatives provide tailwinds for industrial lubricant demand. Currency stability and crude oil price moderation also support margin profiles for lubricant companies.
The stock's valuation appears reasonable after the correction, trading below historical averages, which makes it attractive for patient investors willing to ride through the transition phase in the automotive industry.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
One-Sided Broadening Pattern | Pure Price Action Storytelling🔹 White Line: Captures the expanding higher-high resistance zone — part of the broader one-sided broadening pattern. Each new high is breaching the prior, giving the top side its expanding identity.
🔹 Horizontal Zone (Red to Green Shift): What once acted as a strong supply zone now flipped to a demand zone — price has respected this region multiple times, marking its evolution.
🔹 Red Line: A clean Counter-Trendline (CT) containing multiple touches, recently broken.
🔹 Yellow Line: A hidden diagonal resistance — tight and respected — offering another layer of confluence.
🔹 Green Dotted Line: Subtle hidden support built over time — watch how the structure was reacting along this line.
🔹 Orange Line: Marks wick-based rejection from a recent swing — subtle but clear evidence of supply exhaustion on that specific level.
🧠 This chart is not about predictions — it's about how beautifully price respects structure when drawn with logic and precision. Just charting. Just behavior. Just price.
Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?Gold Faces Resistance at 3300 – Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?
Market Overview: USD Gains Pressure Gold as Trade Deals Unfold
Gold has been under pressure recently due to the strong recovery of the US dollar. Positive developments in global trade talks and agreements between major nations, including the US, have been a key driver for the USD, which in turn has weighed on gold.
US inflation data continues to show signs of easing, providing the Fed more room to hold off on rate hikes, strengthening the USD.
FOMC meeting minutes due this week will provide further insight into the Fed’s approach to interest rates.
With geopolitical tensions easing and trade deals stabilizing, the demand for safe-haven assets like gold is slightly reduced.
In the short-term, the market is testing crucial levels, and while gold remains bullish in the long run, the current market conditions suggest potential for a pullback before further upside.
Technical Analysis: Gold in a Range-Bound Market
Looking at the H1 timeframe, gold has formed a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, which could signal further corrective action if the price remains within this range. If gold fails to break above resistance at 3360, a dip to 3250 might occur, especially if the USD strength continues to put pressure on gold.
However, waiting for confirmation patterns before entering a trade is key. False breakouts can be a risk when price moves quickly through key levels without sustaining momentum.
Buy Bias in Short-Term with Caution on Bearish Moves
Given the current market structure, there is more room for buy opportunities than for selling at the moment. Watch out for a potential bounce back in the 3320-3325 region as gold might test these levels before continuing its rise. The rejection wick on yesterday's D1 candle shows that the sellers are losing control, and buying pressure is starting to build again.
In the M30 chart, there's a continuation pattern forming around the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal place to enter a buy position if it holds.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361
Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248
Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones
BUY ZONE:
3250 – 3248
Stop Loss: 3244
Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ????
SELL SCALP:
3303 – 3305
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260
SELL ZONE:
3334 – 3336
Stop Loss: 3340
Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ????
Key Updates to Watch: FOMC and Trade Policy News
With FOMC minutes due and trade policy developments on the horizon, it’s crucial to stay alert for any shifts in market sentiment. Ensure you stick to TP/SL levels to protect your account from any unexpected volatility.
Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?Gold Reverses Below 3300 – Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?
🧭 Market Update: Is the Sell-Off Really That Dangerous?
Gold had a surprising reversal at the end of the US session yesterday, after a sudden sharp drop targeting the 329x liquidity zone, followed by strong buying momentum pushing the price back above this level.
When gold tested the liquidity zone below 3300, large buying volumes appeared and pushed prices above this region. Overall, the market has not yet made a clear decision for either the bulls or the bears. We are still in an accumulation phase, with liquidity sweeps happening around both highs and lows, so it's crucial for traders to stay cautious and focus on finding appropriate scalping points to enter and exit.
Short-Term Outlook: Buy Bias Takes Over Today
For today, the buy bias appears to be stronger than yesterday. Focus on buying early at continuation patterns to catch the market trend. The D1 candle from yesterday formed a wick rejection, showing that the selling pressure was absorbed and the buying momentum has returned in the short term. So, it’s important to be proactive and look for early buy opportunities.
In the M30 timeframe, a solid continuation pattern is forming in the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal entry point for today. If the price drops further, we’ll watch for a test of the old bottom at 03-00, and we’ll wait for any strong downward momentum to confirm if the bearish trend continues. On the other hand, for those considering sell positions, caution is advised. As mentioned earlier, with yesterday’s D1 wick rejection, the SELL pressure has likely been absorbed, and BUY momentum may overpower in the next few days. Avoid rushing into sell trades prematurely.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Important Resistance: 3342 – 3353 – 3362 – 3381
Important Support: 3330 – 3314 – 3303 – 3295
Scalping Opportunities and Buy Zones:
BUY SCALP:
3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350
BUY ZONE:
3303 – 3301
Stop Loss: 3297
Take Profit: 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → 3340 → ????
Sell Opportunities and Caution on Bears:
SELL SCALP:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 → 3354 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
SELL ZONE:
3380 – 3382
Stop Loss: 3386
Take Profit: 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
Key Takeaway:
We are at a crucial juncture where both bulls and bears are battling for control. Will gold bounce from the support and continue its bullish momentum, or will the sellers take charge and drag prices lower? Be patient and wait for clear price action signals before entering trades.
The market is currently in an accumulation phase, so don't rush into trades. Focus on buying when clear confirmations appear at support zones and be aware of sell rejections at key resistance levels.
💬 What’s Your View on Gold Today?
Do you think gold is ready to break 3390 and continue its bullish trend? Or are we looking at a deeper correction to 3270 in the coming days?
👇 Share your analysis and thoughts in the comments below! I’d love to hear your take on where gold is heading next! Let’s discuss and refine our strategies together!
RattanIndia: Next New-Age Multi-Bagger Play ? Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:RTNINDIA Could Be Your Next Multi-Bagger Play, let's analyse my "Chart of the Week" Idea.
Price Action:
• Multiple base formations visible across the timeline from 2021-2025
• Classic cup and handle pattern formation during the 2023-2024 consolidation phase
• Rectangle consolidation pattern between ₹35-40 levels during Early 2025
• Strong breakout from multi-year resistance around the ₹75-80 zone
• Current pullback to retest breakout levels around the ₹47-50 range
Key Supports and Resistance Levels:
• Primary Support: ₹47-50 (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: ₹35-40 (rectangle pattern base)
• Major Support: ₹25-30 (long-term base level)
• Immediate Resistance: ₹65-70 (previous consolidation zone)
• Major Resistance: ₹75-80 (breakout level)
• Target Resistance: ₹94-95 (measured move projection)
Base Analysis:
• Stage 1 Base: ₹10-25 range from 2021-2022 (Accumulation phase)
• Stage 2 Base: ₹35-45 range during 2023-2024 (Re-accumulation)
• Current Base: ₹47-50 retest zone (Healthy pullback after breakout)
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Characteristics:
• Massive volume spike during recent breakout (300+ million shares)
• Above-average volume during consolidation phases
• Volume expansion on upward price movements
• Volume contraction during pullback phases indicates a healthy correction
• Volume profile shows strong institutional participation
Volume Patterns:
• Accumulation is visible during base formation periods
• Distribution avoided during recent highs
• Current pullback on lower volume suggests buying interest at support
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
• Primary Entry: ₹48-50 (current support retest)
• Secondary Entry: ₹52-55 (breakout reconfirmation)
• Aggressive Entry: ₹45-47 (deeper pullback opportunity)
Exit Levels:
• Target 1: ₹65-70 (38% upside from ₹50)
• Target 2: ₹80-85 (65% upside from ₹50)
• Target 3: ₹95-100 (90% upside from ₹50)
Stop Loss Levels:
• Conservative: ₹42-43 (below rectangle support)
• Moderate: ₹45-46 (below recent lows)
• Tight: ₹47-48 (below immediate support)
Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Risk 1-2% of portfolio capital per trade
• Use a 2-3% position size for a conservative approach
• Maximum 5% allocation for aggressive traders
Risk-Reward Ratios:
• Entry at ₹50 with ₹45 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:3 to 1:9
• Entry at ₹52 with ₹47 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:2.6 to 1:8.6
Portfolio Allocation:
• Small-cap allocation: 10-15% maximum
• Individual stock limit: 2-5% of total portfolio
• Sector diversification recommended
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
Business Overview:
• NSE:RTNINDIA comprises of tech-focused new age businesses, including e-commerce, electric vehicles, and drones
• The company is completely focused on providing world-class electric mobility products that are affordable and accessible to every Indian
• Multi-business model spanning fintech, e-commerce, and drone technology
Sector Dynamics:
• The electric vehicle sector is experiencing government policy support
• The e-commerce segment is benefiting from the Digital India initiatives
• Drone technology is gaining traction in commercial applications
• Tech-focused businesses aligned with India's digital transformation
Financial Highlights:
• Market cap of RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd stood at Rs. 8,263 Cr
• RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd's net Sales rose by 22% since the same period last year to ₹ 6,866 Cr in the FY2025
• The company is in a growth investment phase with expanding business verticals.
Investment Thesis:
• Diversified exposure to high-growth sectors
• Potential beneficiary of India's transition to electric mobility
• Strong technical setup after multi-year base formation
• Early-stage company with significant scaling potential ahead
Risk Factors:
Technical Risks:
• Small-cap volatility and liquidity concerns
• Dependence on broader market sentiment
• Potential for gap-down moves in adverse conditions
Fundamental Risks:
• Current losses and cash burn in the growth phase
• Execution risk across multiple business verticals
• Competition in the electric vehicle and e-commerce segments
• Regulatory changes affecting drone and fintech operations
My Take:
This technical setup presents a compelling opportunity with the stock breaking out of a well-defined pattern, supported by decent enough fundamentals in the Growth Sectors of New Age Company and favourable sector dynamics. The risk-reward profile appears attractive for traders and investors willing to manage position size appropriately.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Supreme Power Equipment: Technically Strong, Chart of the MonthNSE:SUPREMEPWR Technically Strong Momentum is my pick in this month's "Chart of the Month"
Price Action Analsis:
- Stock currently trading at ₹227.50, up 21.35 (+10.36%), showing strong bullish momentum
- Recent breakout from a prolonged Correction phase that lasted from July 2024 to May 2025
- Price has successfully cleared multiple resistance levels and is now approaching previous highs
- Strong recovery from the March 2025 lows around ₹95-100 levels
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Current volume at 324.68K shares, significantly higher than the 20-day average
- Volume spike during the recent breakout confirms institutional participation
- Volume pattern shows accumulation during the consolidation phase
- Strong volume support during the current upward move validates the breakout
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Immediate support: ₹210-215 (recent breakout level)
- Secondary support: ₹190-195 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major support: ₹160-170 (consolidation zone)
- Critical support: ₹120-130 (long-term moving average zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance: ₹240-250 (previous high zone)
- Major resistance: ₹280-290 (historical resistance)
- Ultimate target: ₹350-370 (measured move from base)
Base Formation:
- Clear accumulation base formed between ₹120-250 from July 2024 to May 2025
- Base depth of approximately 130 points provides a strong foundation
- Base duration of 10+ months indicates strong institutional accumulation
- Recent breakout from this base suggests potential for significant upward move
Technical Patterns:
- The cup and Handle pattern formation is visible on the monthly timeframe
- The ascending triangle breakout pattern recently completed
- Moving average convergence suggesting trend reversal
- RSI is likely showing bullish divergence from the March lows
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary entry: ₹225-230 on any pullback to the breakout level
- Aggressive entry: Current market price ₹227.50 for momentum traders
- Conservative entry: Wait for retest of ₹210-215 support zone
- Scale-in approach: 50% at current levels, 50% on any dip to ₹215
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹280 (24% upside) - Previous resistance zone
- Target 2: ₹320 (41% upside) - Measured move target
- Target 3: ₹370 (63% upside) - Ultimate breakout target
- Trailing stop: Use a 10% trailing stop once Target 1 is achieved
Stop-Loss:
- Initial stop-loss: ₹195 (14% downside risk)
- Breakeven stop: Move to ₹230 once price reaches ₹260
- Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing high
Position Sizing:
- Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate risk tolerance: 3-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive traders: 5-7% of portfolio (with tight stops)
- Maximum exposure: Not more than 7% given single stock concentration risk
Risk Management:
- Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 minimum for all positions
- Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on this single trade
- Use position sizing calculators to determine the exact share quantity
- Consider partial profit booking at each target level
- Monitor sector rotation and overall market conditions
Sectoral Backdrop:
Power Equipment Sector Overview:
- India's power sector is undergoing a massive transformation with a renewable energy push
- The government's target of 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030 is driving equipment demand
- Infrastructure spending and rural electrification programs supporting sector growth
- PLI scheme for manufacturing provides additional tailwinds
Sector Challenges:
- Raw material cost inflation is impacting margins
- Supply chain disruptions affecting delivery timelines
- Intense competition from Chinese manufacturers
- Regulatory changes and policy uncertainties
Sector Opportunities:
- Make in India initiative favours domestic manufacturers
- Rising power demand from industrial and commercial sectors
- Smart grid implementation creating new revenue streams
- Export opportunities in emerging markets
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
- Established player in power transmission and distribution equipment
- Strong order book providing revenue visibility
- Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk
- Experienced management team with industry expertise
Financial Health:
- Need to verify recent quarterly results for revenue and profit trends
- Debt levels and interest coverage ratios require monitoring
- Cash flow generation capability is important for sustained growth
- Return on equity and asset turnover metrics need evaluation
Growth Catalysts:
- Government infrastructure spending on the power sector
- Rural electrification and grid modernization projects
- Renewable energy integration requires specialized equipment
- Potential for export market expansion
Risk Factors:
- Dependence on government orders and policy changes
- Working capital-intensive business model
- Competition from larger players and imports
- Raw material price volatility affecting margins
My Take:
NSE:SUPREMEPWR exhibits a strong technical setup, characterised by a clear breakout from a well-formed base. The combination of volume confirmation, sector tailwinds, and government policy support creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. However, traders should maintain disciplined risk management and avoid overexposure to this single position.
Honourable Mentions:
Other stocks that have a good Setup
NSE:KIRLOSBROS , NSE:CGCL , NSE:SUNDRMFAST
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Buy on Dips Narayana Hrudayalaya NSE:NH has a beautiful structure on the Daily timeframe it saw Good Volumes around the marked Key Levels which were previously All-Time highs around last year it broke out today and made a new ATH after a year.
Technically above all Moving Averages and RSI and MACD show an Uptrend.
About:
NSE:NH is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super-speciality hospitals spread across multiple locations.
Trade Setup:
Could be a good Positional Trade with Buy on Dips Approach May Retest the Breakout Zones again
Target(Take Profit):
Around 1806 Levels
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low or The Key Levels Marked.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.






















