KSB Ltd: Channel Breakout on Budget 2025 Irrigation BoostDetails:
Asset: KSB Ltd
Breakout Level: Channel breakout confirmed
Potential Target: To be determined based on momentum
Stop Loss: Below breakout level or as per risk tolerance
Timeframe: Short to medium-term
Rationale: KSB Ltd has given a channel breakout following positive news on irrigation development in the Budget 2025. Increased government focus on infrastructure and irrigation projects could drive further upside.
Market Analysis:
Technical Setup: The breakout confirms strong bullish sentiment, with sustained buying interest.
Sector Boost: Budget-driven demand for industrial pumps and irrigation solutions strengthens KSB’s growth outlook.
Risk Management:
Implement a stop loss below the breakout level to mitigate downside risks.
Timeframe:
Short to medium-term move expected, depending on follow-through buying.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Favorable, backed by technical breakout and fundamental sector growth.
Monitor for sustained momentum and volume confirmation post-breakout.
Trend Analysis
BankNifty -Target Done, ED Done, Fall Done,Bounce, What’s Next? WaveTalks Market Update - Budget Day Breakdown (Feb 1, 2025)
The much-anticipated Budget 2025 has failed to cheer the markets, triggering a sharp sell-off that aligns perfectly with a classic Ending Diagonal (ED) breakdown.
Technical Setup - ED Play in Action!
For those following the Elliott Wave roadmap, the Ending Diagonal (ED), also known as a Rising Wedge, unfolded in the last Wave 5 of a larger degree impulse that began from the lows of 47844 on January 27, 2025, culminating at the psychological resistance of 50000 today on the Budget day 1st Feb 2025.
This pattern typically marks trend exhaustion, leading to swift and often dramatic reversals. The market exceeded our prior target of 49650+ before peaking at 50000, and today, we are seeing exactly the expected reaction.
Last Bank Nifty Idea - Target 49650+
If you spotted this pattern and managed risk effectively, you are likely riding this sharp decline from the highs of 50000 & Booking Profits close to 48968 key level highlighted in the last idea
Magical Support - Intraday 49000
After a sharp 1000-point fall, the market found support at a key level of 48968, highlighted in the last idea. A strong 500-point bounce once again, pushing towards same target of 49650+.
Breakdown Details:
- Key support level : 48968
- Actual low: 48925 post completion of the Ending Diagonal
- Initial fall: 1000 points
- Current recovery: 500 points approx.
This reversal from key support confirms the significance of the Ending Diagonal breakdown, followed by profit booking and an intraday bounce. Watching the next wave structure will be crucial for further moves.
But here’s the big question:
How Much Fall?
That’s for your financial analyst to answer, but history suggests that ED (Ending Diagonal) or Rising Wedge breakdowns often erase a large portion of prior gains in a relatively short time. Today’s action is a reminder—markets don't forgive complacency.
You witnessed the dramatic 1000+ point fall from 50000 to 49000 (approx.) in a single day post the ED pattern & bounce - all cheers! to the pattern
Fundamental Backdrop - Budget Disappoints Street Expectations
While the government introduced personal income tax cuts aimed at boosting consumption, the markets responded with caution rather than optimism. Several factors weighed on investor sentiment:
- Profit booking after a four-session rally ahead of the budget
- Economic Survey 2024-25 highlighted concerns about a potential market correction, particularly impacting retail investors who may not have seen significant downturns before
This confluence of technical exhaustion and lukewarm fundamental sentiment led to today’s sell-off.
✅ Key Takeaways & Next Steps
- 50000 top confirmed as ED completion
- Sharp downside expected as structure breaks down
- Fundamental triggers amplify selling pressure
- Profit-taking and caution dominate post-budget moves
The reversal is here. The next critical question is: Which wave unfolds next? Will it extend into a deeper corrective structure, or is there a potential counter-trend bounce? Identifying the next logical buying or selling zone will depend on how the upcoming wave develops within the larger Elliott Wave framework.
Stay sharp, stay prepared, and catch me later in another exciting update from WaveTalks – Market Whispers! Can you hear them?🔥
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
#JISLJALEQS - Potential Break Out 📊 Script: JISLJALEQS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 IH&S formed in Daily chart.
📈 Wait for consolidation then enter on BO with volume
📈 Price gave a good up move
📈 Volume spike seen
📈 MACD Cross Over
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 80 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 76
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 20%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 10%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Boost, Like and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
PCR TradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
JK LAKSHMI CEMENT LTD.Presenting One More Chart Analysis after a Long time...
JK LAKSHMI CEMENT LTD Chart is quite strong with Bullish View and looks promising at CMP 813.00.
Patterns are drawn on Daily Chart and as usual complex & detailed drawing with Price Analysis is presented considering all the aspects of the chart.
Target & SL is as follows:
Tgt: 950.00 and above
SL: 750 (Closing Basis)
Market is all about OPPORTUNITY / ENTRY / TIMING !!!!!
Basis some minute observations, chart analysis is made, target and SL is given to understand the core of the subject and for learning purpose only.
Budget Day Analysis - NiftyHi guys, price is at important bullish zone as of now. It has taken support and broke the trend line resistance. Also price has formed a strong bull candle. So what will happen tomorrow?
Now trend deciding zone is 23500. Sustaining this zone is important to be bullish.
Lower time frame shows, price has sustained above the channel resistance.
Please note price will be volatile during budget. If you have less experience, just watch instead of trading.
Buy above 23520 with the stop loss of 23480 for the targets 23560, 23600, 23660, 23720 and 23760. Sell below 23400 with the stop loss of 23440 for the targets 23360, 23320, 23280 and 23240.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Colorful dots... what are they? Mood phase indicator in TradingView. Check it. 😀
As expected silver fall after budget US tarrif is negative How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
To take Fresh trade : EARLY etry willl be above/ below 13.5% level . Safe traders can enter above or below 27.3% level
Targets :
Target T1 is 27.3% if you are taken entry from 13.5% if taken entry from 27.3 then Target T1: 38.2 % level is our 1st Target
( 38.2% if also a reversal zone so if price reverse then we can make fresh entry also).
T2: 50% level is our 2nd Target
T3: 61.8% to 65 % is our 3rd Target
( This is also reversal zone so we have to book profit at this area and if break then take fresh entry with SL of 2nd Target 50% .)
Next Targets are 78.6 % , 88.9 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.2% , 141.5% and 161.8% to 165%.
161.8 to 165% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 13.5 % or 27 .6 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
ONDOUSDT - TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT - BULLISH OUTLOOKSymbol - ONDOUSDT
ONDOUSDT continues to demonstrate an upward trend, with periodic cyclical counter-trend corrections. The chart is currently indicating a potential conclusion of the correction phase, suggesting a readiness for further upward movement. A significant consolidation pattern has developed within the context of the prevailing uptrend. In this regard, the price is attempting to break above the consolidation resistance (triangle) and surpass the next key resistance level at 1.538. This level is of particular importance. Should the bulls successfully maintain support above 1.538, ONDO may experience a recovery towards the 1.7–1.9–2.15 range in the short to medium term.
Support levels: 1.538, 1.44
Resistance levels: 1.7344, 1.90
A minor pullback to support, followed by a false breakdown, remains a possibility. However, sustained price consolidation above this level would confirm readiness for upward movement. Entry, SL & Target levels are indicated on the chart.
BRITANNIA [POSITIONAL | SWING] [LONG]I have taken a long entry In BRITANNIA At 4800
Upcoming Tax budget will have relaxation which would boost FMCG & Auto sector.
Fundamental Information
Britannia Industries Limited is a leading player in India's fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, renowned for its extensive range of bakery and dairy products. Let's delve into its fundamental strengths and key financial metrics:
Market Position and Brand Strength: Britannia boasts a robust brand presence with products like Good Day, Marie Gold, and NutriChoice, enjoying significant market share in the biscuit segment.
Financial Performance:
Revenue Growth: For the fiscal year ending March 2024, Britannia reported a revenue of ₹46.68 billion, marking a 5% increase from the previous year.
REUTERS
Net Profit: The net profit for the same period was ₹5.31 billion, reflecting a decline attributed to challenges like urban demand slowdown and commodity inflation.
REUTERS
Profitability Ratios:
Gross Margin: Stood at 43.05%, indicating efficient production cost management.
INVESTING
Operating Margin: Reported at 17.28%, showcasing effective control over operating expenses.
INVESTING
Net Profit Margin: At 12.9%, reflecting the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
INVESTING
Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 68.38, suggesting market expectations of future earnings growth.
INVESTING
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Around 37.96, indicating investor confidence in the company's asset utilization.
INVESTING
DmartWe are going to discuss on Concept of Max pain for options and Gap theory of big player position, also can be known as market positioning.
first let discuss on What is Max pain and how to interpreter this concept of Max pain
Max pain level for Option buyer vs Option seller :
Max pain is a level where a Short seller is present and will try to defend his position not to enter into loss, as we should be aware that a Short seller is strong than a buyer with respective on capital deployed and when a short seller position is compromised he has to run for a covering his position where we see a movement based move but this should be monitored. this may give better returns mostly on expiry days.
Gap theory Big player vs uninformed trader :
Many of us think if a gap is filled we feel as its now becomes support as we study gaps act as support and resistance, we have a different approach for gaps and it's types. Particularly for this session i would like to tell when a gap is formed with a gap down and no immediate filled scenario happens indicates a foot print of an institution/Big player positions which act as resistance.
My observations in this stock is that untill there is a shift in max pain level and a cross over one should remain cautious with respective of Max pain and stock price with consideration of other parameters, because nothing is holy grail in market. Expect the unexpected is majority times proven, but these are one of the tools which gives some direction for time being.
This is just few insights even i may be not sure. Just View not a Reco...
Database option TradingOptions are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
Options are highly sensitive to market volatility. Significant price swings can lead to substantial gains or losses. A trader might buy a put option expecting a stock to drop. If the stock instead surges in price due to unforeseen events, the value of the put option plummets.
Support and ResistanceTOP-10 Support and Resistance Indicators
Fibonacci Levels.
Support and Resistance Zones Indicator.
Linear Regression.
Margin Zones Indicator.
Trend Lines.
Fair Value Gaps.
Stacked Imbalance Indicator.
Psychological Levels.
The basic strategy is to buy at the support level and sell at the resistance level, recognizing that these are zones of potential demand and supply changes. How does resistance work?
Database TradingIt comes with limited downside risk, making it a safer investment than futures or margin trading. In addition, option trading can be more complex than other financial instruments, as it requires traders to have a good understanding of the underlying asset and market conditions.
Yes, you can make a lot of money, or lose a lot of money, trading options. Options provide a leveraged payoff on some underlying asset, such a stock. Below are the basics and some points to be aware of. The prices of options are based on the movement of some underlying asset, often stocks.
Management and PsychologyTrading Psychology simply refers to the feelings and emotions of a trader experiences and the associated actions the trader takes as a result. Just like in any other aspect of life, understanding how our mind works can improve our ability to trade better, take more informed, rational decisions and calculated risk.
How do I master my trading psychology?
What is Trading Psychology? ...
1) Create a Trading Plan. ...
2) Take Regular Breaks. ...
3) Don't Quit Your Day Job. ...
4) Accept That You Will Lose. ...
5) Practice, Practice, Practice. ...
6) Use a Take Profit and a Stop Loss. ...
7) Backtest Your Trading Strategy.
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