A plan SHORT for BTC
1. I saw a "Break Down cloud" - follow trend signal on the chart in Time Frame M15
2. I saw Main Trend on M15 timeframe showed that : main trend = DownTrend
3. I saw Main trend on H1 - M30 - M15 also : Downtrend
Conclusion:
Setup a SHORT plan with RR= 3 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Entry Zone : From 97300 to 97900
Target : 92699
Stoploss = trailing SL with the Cloud trending system SL on M15 TF.
Trend Analysis
From Novice to Pro: Navigating Support & Resistance Like a BossGreetings to all. I trust that you are all thriving in both your personal lives and trading endeavors. Today, I present educational content aimed at understanding the concepts of support and resistance in chart analysis.
Support and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis used to identify potential price levels where an asset's price might reverse, stall, or consolidate. They are often visualized on a price chart and are critical for traders making decisions about entry, exit, and stop-loss levels.
1. Support:
Definition: Support is a price level at which a downward trend may pause or reverse due to a concentration of buying interest.
Why it works: Traders perceive this level as a "bargain," increasing demand and preventing further price drops.
Visualization: On a chart, support levels often appear as a horizontal line or a sloping line below the current price where previous price action reversed or consolidated.
Breakthroughs: If the price breaks below a support level, it may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
2. Resistance:
Definition: Resistance is a price level where an upward trend might pause or reverse due to selling pressure or profit-taking.
Why it works: Traders perceive this level as "expensive," reducing demand and increasing selling activity.
Visualization: On a chart, resistance levels are horizontal or sloping lines above the current price where the price struggled to move higher in the past.
Breakthroughs: If the price breaks above a resistance level, it may indicate the start of a new upward trend.
Common Characteristics of Support and Resistance:
Role Reversal: Once a support level is broken, it often becomes a new resistance level, and vice versa.
Psychological Levels: Round numbers (e.g., $50, $100) often act as strong support or resistance due to psychological significance.
Volume Confirmation : High trading volume near these levels reinforces their strength.
Types of Support and Resistance:
Horizontal Lines: Based on past price action.
Trendlines : Diagonal lines formed by connecting higher lows (support) or lower highs (resistance) in a trend.
Moving Averages: Dynamic levels that adjust with price movement, often acting as support or resistance.
Fibonacci Retracement: Levels based on mathematical ratios indicating potential reversal zones.
How to Use Support and Resistance:
Entry Points: Buy near support levels or after a breakout above resistance.
Exit Points: Sell near resistance levels or after a breakdown below support.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders just below support (for long positions) or above resistance (for short positions).
Today, I decided to share some educational content, as my previous posts have primarily focused on trade ideas. I hope that you all would find this educational material valuable and engaging. If you appreciate this type of content, I encourage you to show your support by liking this post and following me for more educational insights in the future.
Potential Swing Long: Dabur
Dabur is near a major support zone, it has respected this level from 2020.
Waiting for a dead cat bounce from the support level.
Once the downtrend line is broken and price gives a positive close above it we can initiate a long i.e 515 level.
Early Entry can be initiated with a strict SL, if a bear traps occurs below accumulation phase we can increase quantity.
Note: This is just for analysis purpose, please do your own research before punching any orders.
🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView
BankNifty - 3000+ Points Fall With A Simple Trendline?BankNifty Analysis
Current Scenario:
- As discussed earlier, the rising trendline has been limiting the upside movement since the RBI Policy announcement on 6th Dec 2024
- The price is the primary indicator; economic news often lags behind price action. Elliott Wave Analysis highlights this effectively, using channels and trendlines as key tools.
- BankNifty is currently in a complex correction phase, experiencing a significant 3000-point fall from recent highs.
- Failed to hold 52600 which was important support level
Last BankNifty Idea - 6th Dec 2024
Support and Resistance Zones:
- Support Zones: 51150 – 50900
- Resistance Zones: Gap zone 51775 – 52000
Short-Term Trading Strategy:
1. Intraday Opportunities:
- If the gap zone (51775–52000) is filled, it will act as resistance. Traders should look for potential halts in the rally started from the 50609 lows.
- Watch for a pullback to the support zone (51150–50900) for possible buy setups.
2. Buying Opportunities:
- If the index holds above 50609 lows, look for opportunities to ride the upside towards the channel highs, where resistance is expected.
- Monitor price action near these critical zones to confirm your trade setups.
Outlook:
Santa Rally
- The much-anticipated "Santa Rally" may bring relief to domestic and global markets if the index manages to sustain above its support zones.
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Nifty Analysis
Current Scenario:
- Nifty has a positive bias as long as it holds above 23500.
- A breakout above 24180 will confirm the uptrend, paving the way for a move towards 24800 and potentially the 25000+ zone.
Support and Resistance Zones:
- Support Zone: 23500
- Resistance Zones: 24180, 24800, and 25000+
Short-Term Trading Strategy:
1. Upside Confirmation:
- A decisive move above 24180 could signal a buying opportunity for short-term traders, targeting 24800 and beyond.
2. Caution at Higher Levels:
- Traders should exercise caution near 25000+ levels as FIIs return from vacation, which may introduce volatility.
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Final Thoughts:
- Both indices are presenting potential short-term trading opportunities if key support and resistance levels are respected.
- Always use risk management strategies and avoid chasing moves without confirmation.
Wishing everyone a Happy and Prosperous New Year 2025! May your trades be profitable and your goals achieved. 🎉
From WaveTalks
Market Whispers - Can Hear Them!
Abhishek
Nifty 50 weekly chartNifty Fifty has a gap to fill at 20,500. This implies that the market might revisit this level to close an existing price gap.
The market may need a pullback to achieve this level. This means it may need to retrace from its current levels to fill the gap at 20,500.
The major support is also at 20,500. This indicates that 20,500 is a critical level where the market might find buying interest or stability.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in INTELLECT
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Near & Clean Breakout seen in Mankind Pharma Greetings to all. I trust that you are all well. Today, I would like to present a stock that has recently experienced a clear and significant breakout, and it is currently trading above the breakout levels. This stock possesses the potential to yield returns in the range of 15% to 19% in the near term, making it an excellent candidate for a positional trade. I have meticulously marked all relevant levels on the accompanying chart. This stock is characterized by its aggressive nature, indicating a high probability of achieving a 15% momentum in a very short timeframe.
Disclaimer:- It is essential to conduct your own analysis or seek advice from a financial advisor prior to engaging in any trading activities.
Dear traders, if you appreciate my contributions, kindly show your support by liking and following my work. I welcome your thoughts on this idea in the comments section and would be pleased to respond to each of you. Thank you.
The Week Ahead for Nifty: Trends and InsightsLast week, the Nifty index faced strong selling pressure, driven by various global economic factors.
◉ Current Scenario
● At present, the Nifty is trading near its 200 EMA, just above 23,500, a level with high put writer concentration, indicating potential support.
● Conversely, the 24,000 level will act as an immediate resistance due to the high number of Call contracts open at that position.
◉ Expected Market Movement
● This week is likely to be muted for the Nifty.
● If the index slips below 23,400, the next support level will be 23,000.
● A major upward move is expected only if the Nifty surpasses 24,800.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold Trading Signals 🗺️🗾 Update Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point still holding Short Trade 2481 list week already done good profits 💰🤑 ready for new week a new idea 💡 analysis analysis update list week Gold Bull Trend 📈 Dxy Short 😀 I 💬. Gold Test diamond zone 2637 2640. Again see a Short trend 📉 Focus on close above below 👇⬇️. Closed above 4 2666 Next target we'll see 2720 if close below 👇 2600 see Big Long Tim short trend 📉 2481?
Small target we'll see 2600
Bull Trend target 2720
Short long time trade 2481
Analysis target 🎯
Resistance level 2634 2640 2720
Support level 2600 2541 2481
Mr SMS trading point
Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎯
Option trading Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
When options are better. Options can be a better choice when you want to limit risk to a certain amount. Options can allow you to earn a stock-like return while investing less money, so they can be a way to limit your risk within certain bounds. Options can be a useful strategy when you're an advanced investor.
XAUUSD WEEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 22.12.24Central bank purchases of gold have been one of the strongest factors driving its price. This trend is likely to continue as central banks seek alternatives to US-dollar-dominated assets. Goldman analysts also believe that any escalation in trade tensions or geopolitical risks could further enhance gold's appeal.
Technical Trading Technical analysis is a trading strategy used by investors to identify new investment possibilities. To anticipate future price movements of stocks or other assets, for example, past price and volume data is studied and shown on graphic charts, where trends, patterns, and technical indicators can be identified.
There is virtually no limit to the profit potential of technical analysis. Profitability within the discipline largely depends on the trader's expertise, adherence to tried and tested strategies, and the amount of risk undertaken and capital employed by the trader.
Gold Trading Strategies for 23rd December 2024Gold Trading Strategies
Strategy 1: Breakout Strategy
Buy Above: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 2636.
Upside Targets: 2650, 2665, 2680
Sell Below: Enter a sell position below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 2611.
Downside Targets: 2600, 2587, 2570
Strategy 2: Support Zone Buy Strategy
If the price trends lower from 2625:
Buy Between: 2610-2616
Stop Loss: 2604
Targets: 2625, 2635, 2650
Strategy 3: Resistance Zone Sell Strategy
If the price trends higher from 2623:
Sell Between: 2635-2645
Stop Loss: 2655
Targets: 2625, 2615, 2600
Summary:
Breakout Strategy: Utilizes the breakout levels of 2636 for buying and 2611 for selling based on the 15-minute candle close, with defined upside and downside targets.
Support Zone Buy Strategy: Focuses on buying in the support zone of 2610-2616 with a stop loss at 2604, targeting 2625, 2635, and 2650.
Resistance Zone Sell Strategy: Targets selling in the resistance zone of 2635-2645 with a stop loss at 2655, aiming for targets of 2625, 2615, and 2600.
These strategies provide a comprehensive approach to trading gold, incorporating different market conditions and defined targets.
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
RSI divergence indicatorAn RSI divergence occurs when the indicator and price begin to reach different levels, indicating a change in momentum that precedes a change in price direction. For example, a bullish divergence occurs when the security makes a lower low but the indicator forms a higher low.
What is the best RSI setting for divergence?
What is the best RSI setting for divergence? The default RSI setting is a 14-period, which works well for most traders. However, shorter settings (like 7) increase signal sensitivity, while longer settings (like 21) reduce noise and offer more reliable signals, especially for long-term trading.
Trading databaseTrading data is a sub-category of financial market data. It provides real-time information about stock and market prices as well as historical trends for assets such as equities, fixed-income products, currencies and derivatives.
SQL remains a fundamental tool for querying and managing data. SQL's simplicity and power make it accessible to both beginners and experts. In trading systems, SQL enables efficient data retrieval and manipulation. Users can write SQL queries to analyze market trends and execute trading strategies.
Parquet - Original first choice and most often the best choice for projects for all of the reasons discussed here. Best compression (roughly 3x smaller than HDF5 and 10x smaller than CSV), Best read time (when using multi cores) and best compatibility with different systems
Option chain in trading What is Implied Volatility (IV)? Implied Volatility (IV) uses an option price to determine and calculate what the current market is talking about, the future volatility of the option's underlying stock. Implied volatility is one of the six essential factors used in options pricing models.
The Nifty Option Chain provides a listing of all the available options contracts for the Nifty 50 Index; including the strike prices, expiry dates, and the corresponding premiums. The list shows all call and put options that are available against a specific underlying.
ADX: The Trend Strength IndicatorThe average directional index (ADX) is a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a financial security's price trend. It helps them reduce risk and increase profit potential by trading in the direction of a strong trend.
The average directional index (ADX) is a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a financial security's price trend. It helps them reduce risk and increase profit potential by trading in the direction of a strong trend.
Technical AnalysisWhether you're scalping forex or investing in stocks, you can make use of technical analysis to find and plan trades. It can also provide an excellent method of determining your entry and exit points for a position. As we've seen in earlier courses, a market rarely moves in a straight line.
average true range (ATR)
Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD)
Fibonacci retracements.
Relative strength index (RSI)
Pivot point.
Stochastic.
Parabolic SAR.
AUD/NZD 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations:
1. Trendline Break:
- The price broke below the ascending trendline, signaling a potential bearish shift in momentum.
2. Resistance Zone:
- The price is trading below the highlighted resistance zone (1.10560–1.10600) and retested it, confirming it as a potential supply area.
3. Bearish Setup:
- A short trade setup is active, with the stop-loss placed above 1.10755 and take-profit targets at key support levels near 1.10446,1.10314 and 1.10025.
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Trading Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation:
- If the price breaks below the first target level (1.10446), it could head toward the next support zone at 1.10314.
- A sustained bearish momentum could even target 1.10025.
2. Invalidation of Bearish Setup:
- If the price closes strongly above 1.10755, the bearish setup will likely be invalidated, and the trend could turn bullish.
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Trading Plan:
- Entry (Sell): Below 1.10560
- Targets: 1.10445, 1.10315 and 1.10025.
- Stop-Loss: Above 1.10755
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Patience and disciplined risk management are essential for this trade. Ensure to monitor momentum closely.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Lupin Stock Analysis: Strong Fundamentals & Bullish setup.FUNDAMENTALS & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
⬇️⬇️
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Earnings per Share (EPS):
• Q3 2024 EPS estimate is 17.29 INR, and the reported values for the prior quarters (Q4 ’23, Q1 ’24, Q2 ’24) have consistently beaten estimates with surprises ranging from 11.08% to 41.55%.
• This indicates strong financial performance and the company’s ability to exceed market expectations.
2. Revenue:
• Reported revenue for Q1 ’24 and Q2 ’24 surpassed estimates with 5.37% and 2.38% surprises, respectively.
• The company is expected to generate 56.45B INR in revenue for Q3 ’24. This suggests consistent growth, which is a positive indicator for long-term investors.
3. Conclusion from Fundamentals:
• Strong EPS growth and consistent revenue beats show that the company is performing well financially.
• With upcoming reports due in February 2025, further positive earnings surprises could lead to upward momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Current Price Action:
• The stock is trading near 2,140 INR, approaching key fair value gaps (FVG) at 2,150 INR (1D FVG) and 2,273.45 INR (higher target zone).
2. Support & Resistance:
• Major support zone is near 1,985.90 INR (Daily Low).
• Resistance zones lie at 2,218.30 INR, 2,273.45 INR, and the Daily High of 2,313.20 INR.
3. Market Structure:
• There is a change of character (Choch) on the chart, suggesting potential bullishness if it sustains above 2,150 INR.
• The stock may consolidate slightly before moving towards the higher resistance zones.
4. Short-term Prediction:
• Likely to test 2,273.45 INR in the near term if the bullish structure holds.
• A break below 1,985.90 INR would invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion:
• Investment Decision:
• Buy: Based on strong fundamentals (earnings and revenue growth) and a bullish technical structure, the stock looks promising for swing trading or medium-term investing.
• Entry Point: Around 2,140-2,150 INR, aligning with the technical FVG and support zones.
• Target: 2,273.45 INR (short-term) and 2,313.20 INR (medium-term).
• Stop Loss: Below 1,985.90 INR to manage risk in case the bullish structure fails.
DISCLAIMER ▶️ THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING
2 Amazing swing trading ideas for 24 December MarketsI daily make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
The first stock which is Raymond, is making a symmetrical triangle pattern, It is a volume-based price action and pattern trade idea, its also making a parallel channel which is important to watch before the big breakout candle comes ( if at all )
The second stock, Star Cement, is making a random pattern but more of a solid volumes and price movement type trade. It needs the breakout of my hidden line resistance to be on a weekly time frame.
Follow the Risk management rules and good luck trading.