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Trend Analysis

AUDNZD - OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONS HINTING AT A POSSIBLE REVERSALSymbol - AUDNZD CMP - 1.1485 AUDNZD continues to maintain its upward trajectory, supported by fundamental divergence between the two economies. The Australian dollar remains resilient and continues to outperform the New Zealand dollar after the RBNZ implemented an aggressive 50 basis point rate cut, lowering the official cash rate to 2.5%, while the RBA remains on hold due to rising inflation concerns. Today's move is primarily driven by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s hawkish stance, which has further fueled AUD strength. The pair has been rallying consistently without any meaningful pullbacks or retracements, and several technical indicators are now signaling potential exhaustion within the current uptrend. A reversal setup may emerge if price action begins to show rejection patterns near key resistance zones, offering short opportunities with favorable risk-to-reward potential. Resistance levels: 1.1485, 1.1500 Support levels: 1.1427, 1.1378 However at the same time, Keep in mind that If any further hawkish commentary or policy action emerges from the RBA, it could reinforce AUD’s strength, leading to additional upside in AUDNZD before any significant correction unfolds.
Short
by akshit_official
RBL Bank -Multi-Year #Breakout After 4 Years of ConsolidationRBLBANK has broken out of a multi-year resistance zone after a long accumulation phase since 2020. This type of structure often leads to sustained upside momentum if the #breakout holds. 📌 Breakout Zone: ₹280 – ₹300 📌 Current Price: ~₹327 📌 Structure: Higher Highs & Higher Lows 📌 Volume: Strong accumulation visible 📌 Trend: Strong uptrend above long-term trendline & EMAs Key Levels Immediate Resistances ₹360 ₹425 (Major long-term level) Supports ₹300 – breakout retest zone ₹260 (major swing support) As long as price stays above ₹300, bulls remain in control 🐂🔥 Technical Highlights ✅ 4-year consolidation breakout ✅ Major downtrend line broken ✅ Strong volume confirmation ✅ Clean price action + trend continuation View Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout zone. Breakout + retest setups may offer opportunities in trending markets. Not investment advice — for educational chart analysis only. Always do your own research.
NSE:RBLBANKLong
by ankush1703
Mahindra & Mahindra's Inverse Head & Shoulders BreakoutMahindra & Mahindra's Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Signals Bullish Momentum with RSI Above 70 Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M), currently trading around ₹3,648, is exhibiting a classic inverse head and shoulders pattern on its hourly chart—a bullish reversal setup that often precedes upward price movement. Coupled with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading above 70, the stock is showing signs of strong momentum, though traders must tread with technical precision. With the inverse head and shoulders pattern completing and RSI above 70, Mahindra & Mahindra is technically poised for a bullish move. Traders should monitor price action closely, use disciplined stop-losses, and avoid over-leveraging. This setup favors momentum traders and short-term swing positions, especially if volume confirms the breakout.
NSE:M&MLong
by NANARKAR
Bajaj Consumer Care - Multi Year #BreakoutBAJAJCONSUMER has finally given a strong multi-year breakout after consolidating for almost 4+ years ✅ 📌 Breakout Zone: ₹285 – ₹295 📌 Current Price: ~₹307 📌 Volume: Increasing – confirms accumulation 📌 Trend: Higher Highs & Higher Lows structure intact 📌 EMA Support: Riding above EMA – strong momentum This kind of long-term range breakout often leads to multi-month / multi-year uptrends if sustained 🏆 Next Major Zones / Targets ₹330 ₹360 ₹400+ (Long-term) Support Levels ₹288 – breakout retest zone ₹260 (strong major support) As long as price stays above ₹288, bulls in full control 🐂💪 📈 Positioning: Long bias (This is for educational analysis only, not investment advice. Please do your own research. Chart Setup ✅ Multi-Year Trendline Break ✅ Price above 200 EMA & 50 EMA ✅ Strong volume breakout ✅ Bullish price action + momentum Risk Management Always trail stop-loss & manage position size. Market me survive karna hi jeet hai✨
NSE:BAJAJCONLong
by ankush1703
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bank Nifty – Support & Breakout Levels📈 Bank Nifty – Daily Timeframe Analysis The price structure on the daily chart shows a healthy continuation of the upward momentum , maintaining strength above the key support zone. Buyers are still in control, but the market has now entered a phase of sideways consolidation — signaling preparation for the next directional move. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Observations 1️⃣ Upward Momentum Continues — Price remains above the support line, showing sustained bullish control and healthy trend structure. 2️⃣ Consolidation Range — Price is currently consolidating between 58577.50 and 57482.05 , reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. 3️⃣ Old Resistance → New Support — The previous resistance zone is now acting as a strong support base, adding confirmation to the bullish sentiment. 4️⃣ Breakout Scenarios —   A break above the consolidation high at 58,577.50 could ignite the next upward leg and continue the prevailing uptrend. • A break below the support zone at 57,482.05 may shift momentum to the downside, opening the possibility of a move toward the previous support area. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary • Trend bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support line. • Consolidation signals short-term indecision before the next major move. • A confirmed breakout candle above 58,577.50 may open the path for further upside. • Conversely, a breakdown below 57,482.05may invite short-term selling pressure toward the old support region. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by MarketAlgoBot
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones. The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region. However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers. Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions. If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD . Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone. • Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone. • Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout: If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,995 • SL: 3,965 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,052 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance: If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,990 • SL: 4,000 • TP1: 3,965 • TP2: 3,950 • TP3: 3,944 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone. If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD. If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD. “Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 06/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Swing Buy Plan Above 749 (Resistance Breakout) HDFCLIFEChart Structures: Double Bottom in Demand Zone (near 729–736) provides a strong support base and bullish reversal signal. Neck Line (Supply/Resistance at 749): Watch for high volume and price action to trigger the trade. Trade Entry: Buy only above 749—confirm a breakout with a strong bullish candle. Targets: First Target: 764.15 (Initial Resistance for breakout, T1) Second Target: 780.85 (Primary Swing Target, T2) Stoploss: 729 (Below demand zone and recent swing low) Support Zone: 736.15 (Can be used for partial profit booking for conservative trades) Action Points for Traders Wait for Breakout: Don't enter until price closes above 749 with confirmation (volume, bullish candle). Monitor Retest: If price moves above 749, watch for a retest and hold above this level before increasing position. Risk Management: Use 729 as stoploss to guard against false breakouts. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:HDFCLIFE
by Alice Blue
Buy/Hold/Sell research report for HDFC Bank LimitedHDFC Bank is a fundamentally strong, fairly valued large-cap private sector bank. Technical breakout and upside to intrinsic value support a “Buy” for medium-term investors; passive holders can remain invested, while short-term traders should consider booking profits above ₹1,080. Target price: ₹1,080–₹1,120 in 3–6 months, long-term fair value ₹1,200.. HDFC Bank remains a leading performer with strong metrics, though ICICI Bank shows slightly better ROE and lower P/E. Technical Analysis Trend & Momentum: HDFC Bank has gained 3.7% over one month and 18.1% over one year, outperforming most private sector peers. The last quarter saw a price momentum shift upward, supported by strong volume (20-day average: ~21.6 million shares).​ Support & Resistance: The stock currently trades at ₹1,002.55, with a 52-week high of ₹1,018.85 and a low of ₹812.15. Recent breakout above ₹995 level has triggered fresh buying, and seasonally, October is positive for HDFC Bank (11 out of 17 years ended higher; average October gain: 1.67%).​ Volume & Liquidity: Large cap stock with healthy liquidity; delivery averages at 63.2%, indicating strong investor participation. Fundamental Analysis Valuation: P/E ratio at 21.82 and P/B at 2.97 are close to sector averages, indicating HDFC Bank is currently fairly valued (discount of 16% to intrinsic value).​ Intrinsic Value: Median modeled intrinsic value is ₹1,199.82; current price offers a potential 20%+ upside to fair value.​ Profitability: Robust Return on Equity (ROE) at 13.56%, year-on-year profit after tax growth of 9.32%, and NIM (Net Interest Margin) at 3.47%.​ Balance Sheet Strength: Market Cap above ₹1.54 lakh crore; capital adequacy at 19.5% (well above regulatory requirements).​ Dividend Yield: Attractive at 2.19%, contributing to total shareholder returns.​ Governance: No pledged promoter shares; top-tier corporate governance. Buy, Hold, Sell Assessment Buy: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to stable, large private banks with high earnings quality. The breakout above ₹995 and momentum setup positions HDFC Bank well for a medium-term move toward intrinsic value. Hold: Current holders can stay invested, benefiting from regular dividends, resilient earnings, and the expectation of sectoral re-rating. Sell: For trading-only investors, if the price nears ₹1,050–₹1,080 in the coming months or if support at ₹985 fails, consider profit-booking or applying stop-loss management. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:HDFCBANK
by Alice Blue
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAUUSD)🟡 Timeframe: 1H Current Price: $3,989 Market Overview: Gold prices are consolidating near the $3,985–$3,990 zone after recovering from recent lows. The metal maintains bullish momentum supported by strong price action above short-term moving averages, with buyers regaining control amid stable US Dollar movement. Indicator Analysis: 1. EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The price is currently trading above the 21-EMA and 50-EMA, indicating a short-term bullish bias. As long as Gold holds above the 21-EMA ($3,982), momentum remains favorable for buyers. 2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Price is above VWAP, suggesting active buying pressure and potential continuation toward the next resistance zones. The VWAP band support sits around $3,977, acting as a key intraday cushion. 3. Bollinger/VWAP Bands: Price is testing the upper VWAP band, showing possible short-term resistance but overall strength in the trend. Any pullback toward mid-band levels ($3,975–$3,980) could attract new buying interest. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: $4,000 / $4,015 Major Resistance: $4,035 / $4,050 Immediate Support: $3,980 / $3,972 Major Support: $3,965 / $3,950 Technical Bias: Bullish above: $3,980 Neutral zone: $3,970–$3,980 Bearish below: $3,965 Outlook: Gold remains in a short-term uptrend, with momentum favoring further upside as long as it holds above $3,980. A clean breakout above $4,000 could open room toward $4,015–$4,035. Conversely, a drop below $3,970 would signal weakening momentum, potentially retesting the $3,950 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by carlos_fx2
DELHIVERY Suggested StrategyDelhivery is a promising logistics stock showing recent operational turnaround, but currently trades at a stretched valuation with moderate growth prospects. Analysts recommend cautious accumulation or holding, rather than aggressive buying at current levels. Target Projection Target zones: ₹500–₹625 Current Price: ₹465 Upside potential: 6–29% if targets are met, but valuation leaves limited margin for aggressive entry. Growth & Profitability Q2 FY25 revenue: ₹2,190 crore (13% YoY growth) PAT: ₹10 crore (second consecutive profitable quarter; signals gradual turnaround) EBITDA margin: Improved (₹57 crore), net profit margin remains low (2.2%). Valuation Analysis PE (TTM): ~175.79 (high vs industry, reflects premium pricing) Price/Book: ~3.7 (also on higher side) Intrinsic value models suggest stock is overvalued by ₹215–₹158 above fair value estimates Key Risks Overvaluation risk: Stock prices significantly above many fair value models Competitive risk: Sector heating up, may impact growth/margins Volatility risk: Possible for sharp corrections in the short term. Suggested Strategy Accumulate only on dips toward ₹350–₹420 zone (closer to fair value) Hold if already invested; consider profit booking if price sharply rallies beyond target zones Aggressive buying is not advised at current valuation.​ Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:DELHIVERY
by Alice Blue
INDUS TOWER : LongChart Type: Weekly (each candle = 1 week) Indicators: 20 EMA + RSI (Relative Strength Index) Pattern Highlighted: Bullish Engulfing near support Volume: Rising on the bullish candle Price Action Zone: From ₹320–₹460 range Support Zone: Around ₹320–₹330 This zone acted as a base multiple times — buyers consistently defended it. A strong bullish engulfing pattern formed at the support, followed by a high-volume breakout above the 20 EMA. This pattern often signals reversal from downtrend to uptrend. Price has reclaimed the 20 EMA after several weeks below it — a short-term bullish sign. RSI rebounded from near 40 levels and is now rising toward 60 — confirms improving momentum. Resistance Levels: First resistance: ₹430–₹435 Second resistance / target zone: ₹460 🟩 Trading Plan Entry: Aggressive entry: Near ₹395–₹400 (current level after bullish confirmation). Conservative entry: On a retest of ₹370–₹380 (if price pulls back to 20 EMA). Confirm entry on a weekly close above ₹400 with sustained volume. Stop Loss (SL): Place SL below ₹340 (below bullish engulfing low and support zone). Risk per trade ≈ ₹60 (400–340). Take Profit (Targets): Target 1: ₹430 → Partial profit booking zone (~8% gain). Target 2: ₹460 → Previous swing high / full target (~15% gain). Extended target (if momentum strong): ₹500+ (psychological level). Risk–Reward Ratio: Entry ₹395–₹400 Stop Loss ₹340 Target 1 ₹430 → 1:0.6 Target 2 ₹460 → 1:1.3 Good setup for swing trade with clear technical confluence.
NSE:INDUSTOWERLong
by PowerOfTA
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 6, 2025🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: The D1 momentum is now closing in, signaling a possible transition phase with two potential outcomes: • If today’s D1 candle closes bullish (green): momentum is likely to reverse upward, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. • If today’s candle closes bearish (red): the downtrend may continue. The current momentum behavior is unusual, reflecting market indecision between buyers and sellers after a strong decline. As a result, even a small impulse from either side could cause a quick momentum shift. H4 timeframe: Momentum on H4 is still in a downward phase but already showing early signs of closing and potential bullish reversal. • If the current H4 candle closes bearish, the downtrend may extend. • If it closes bullish and momentum turns upward, price could retest the 4028 zone. H1 timeframe: Momentum on H1 is now entering the oversold area, indicating that a reversal could occur within 1–2 more H1 candles. If momentum turns down again from resistance, this could offer an opportunity for a short-term sell (scalp) around the nearest liquidity zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: As discussed in previous plans, the current structure still forms a W–X–Y correction in yellow, representing wave (4) of the larger cycle. • The W wave has already reached the 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow — which often marks the typical end zone of wave 4. • Therefore, the following X and Y waves may take longer to complete to maintain time balance within wave (4). Meanwhile, the X wave (purple) remains relatively shallow, having retraced only about 0.236 of wave W (purple). Combined with the still-uncertain momentum discussed above, a potential rise toward the 4149 zone remains a realistic scenario. However, if today’s D1 candle closes bearish, price could continue lower to complete wave Y (purple). Given the current structure favors time balance rather than depth, this Y wave may unfold sideways rather than deeply downward. At this stage, price is compressed within a narrow range, reflecting market hesitation. It’s best to wait for major catalysts such as the Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could trigger the next decisive move. ________________________________________ H4 timeframe: The current X wave is developing within a narrow range under the form of a contracting triangle (a–b–c–d–e). A triangle can only be confirmed once all five internal legs are completed. Once that happens, a breakout above or below the triangle boundaries will define the next direction. 👉 For now, observation should be prioritized over action. ________________________________________ H1 timeframe: Wave labeling on H1 is somewhat noisy due to overlapping three-wave structures within a tightening range. Tentatively, the labeling shows a W–X–Y correction in green, where wave X appears to be a triangle formation. A final small drop forming wave e could complete this triangle (wave X in green). Once it’s done, a new Y wave in green may start unfolding upward. ________________________________________ 🔹 Summary At present, the market remains noisy and compressed, making it unsuitable for swing entries. • Avoid swing positions until the structure and momentum become clearer. • Focus only on short-term scalp setups around key liquidity zones identified earlier. • Wait for confirmation of direction and structure before committing to larger trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – INTRADAY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – INTRADAY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Although the larger timeframe for gold still leans towards a bearish trend, today in the short term, I prioritise a bullish scenario. On the M30 timeframe, the price structure is gradually increasing, indicating that short-term capital is shifting to the buying side. Zone 3990 is a very important area – where a Break of Structure (BOS) has just appeared and is also a strong resistance that has reacted multiple times before. Price needs to confirm breaking this zone to continue expanding the bullish trend. 💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) 📈 An ascending structure (BOS) has formed on M30. 🟣 Buy Zone 3977–3979 coincides with the support trendline – a beautiful confluence point for buyers. 🔹 Resistance zone 3990–4000 is the area to confirm the main direction. 💫 Higher target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 around 4049–4050, coinciding with the psychological resistance 4050. 🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference 💖 MAIN BUY (priority) Entry: 3977–3979 ｜ SL: 3970 TP: 3988 – 4000 – 4022 – 4040 – 4050 💢 SHORT SELL (when price reacts strongly at resistance) Entry: 4012–4014 ｜ SL: 4020 TP: 4002 – 3988 – 3965 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Price needs to confirm through zone 3990 to reinforce the bullish trend. If it breaks below 3970, the ascending structure is temporarily invalidated. Today, prioritise buying according to the capital flow, sell only when there is a clear signal at the resistance zone. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is showing positive signals 💛 Patiently wait for reactions at the Buy Zone 3977–3979, this could be the starting point for a new upward move towards 4050. This is not investment advice, just a personal perspective according to the ICT method. If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update gold analysis with me every day ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2