Trend Analysis
Gold Makes History, Climbs to $4050 Despite Dollar Resilience.Strong Bullish Rally Takes Gold to Historic High $4050
.Dollar Index shows resilience, rises to 98.98
.Gold shows mild retracement consolidating above $4032
.Markets await FOMC meeting minutes.
Fundamental Drivers:
With no news of agreement in Congress for solution in US Government shutdown, political and fiscal uncertainties take centre stage.
Political turbulence in France adds to global concerns already affecting investor sentiments.
Continuous Gold buying by global central banks as well as ETF inflows creating strong structural demand and triggering FOMO driven rally.
Markets abuzz with talks of massive bubble building up in leading stocks and Indices.
Growing expectations of another rate cut by Federal Reserve in this month and also in December.
Safe haven demand causing Gold rush in run to safety boosting prices to record rally.
Technical Drivers:
$4050 acts as minor hurdle which bulls need to clear turning in to support for advance towards next leg higher $4068 followed by $4083 while major upside target sits at 2.618% Fibonacci extension aligned with $4114
Break below immediate support $4032 exposes next support $4015 followed by retracement to $4005-$3995 where buyers are very likely to re engage for renewed bullish rally.
If $3995 fails as support, decline is likely to extend to $3983 below which next downside retracement may reach $3935
What's Most Likely Scenario?
Prevailing momentum is precisely bullish and immediate price action indicates strong bullish bias while oscillators are highly stretched and any positive news of agreement on US Government shutdown will witness quick price correction as these heights are prone to profit booking at the drop of a hat.
High probability that Gold retracement approaches or mitigates $4015-$4005 or even $3995-$3983 support and breakout zone and attracts buyers again to resume main bullish rally retesting $4050 and extending advance towards $4068-$4083 followed by critical resistance $4114
On the flip side, sharp and strong break below $3983 may also indicate sellers intervention pushing prices to lower boundary $3935
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25250 – 25300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25450 – 25500 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24950 – 24900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24750 – 24700 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56650 – 56750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57150– 57250 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55850 - 55750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55350 - 55250 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26950 - 27000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27200 - 27250 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26575 – 26525 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26325 – 26275 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13175 – 13200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13325 – 13350 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12900 – 12875 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12775 – 12750 range.
Wheels india looooks goodWheels India has some solid foundational strengths (diversification, promoter stability, growth history) that give it upside potential if demand in its sectors (automobile, infrastructure, wind energy) remains strong and raw material costs stay under control. But it’s not a “safe bet” — the margins are thin, debt and cyclicality are real risks.
The stock has been forming a cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart also it has lately given a breakout from a diagonal trendline or more clearly can be called a symmetrical triangle breakout
The volume spike are pretty good lately and a breakout from 2 patterns is a great sign of reliability. The stock can potentially reach 1338 first on long term view and then 2196 subsequently
RBL BANK READY FOR A SMOOTH RUNThe stock has been forming an cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart and this pattern is in process since 2021 that's a 4 year consolidation, now the stock has entered into it's ending phases.
The stock can give a good rally and give more than 70% returns from a long term point of view.
The FIIs and DIIs have been piling up this stock lately 3% and 14% respectively showing further reliability.
McLeod Russel (D) - A Decade-Long Downtrend Reversal?After being in a severe downtrend for over ten years since its all-time high in February 2013, McLeod Russel is now showing compelling signs of a major trend reversal. A multi-year consolidation phase appears to have ended with a powerful, momentum-driven breakout.
The Breakout: A Shift in Momentum
The stock was locked in a sideways consolidation range since August 2020. However, recent price action signals a decisive shift in control from sellers to buyers:
- Building Strength: Over the past few weeks, the stock began forming a pattern of Higher Lows , an early indication that selling pressure was diminishing and buyers were stepping in at higher prices.
- Resistance Breach: On Friday, October 6th, the stock decisively broke out of a major, multi-year resistance level.
- Explosive Follow-Through: The breakout was followed by extremely bullish action this week, with the stock gapping up at the open and immediately hitting the upper circuit limit each day. This indicates intense buying interest with a complete absence of sellers.
This powerful move is confirmed by key technical indicators. The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is firmly in bullish territory across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes.
Outlook and Key Levels
The current momentum suggests a significant new uptrend is underway.
- Bullish Target: If this strong momentum continues, the next logical resistance and potential target for the stock is the ₹85 level.
- Support Level: Should the momentum pause or a pullback occur, the breakout level around ₹35 is expected to act as a strong support zone.
Given the rapid, vertical ascent, traders should watch the price action closely in the coming days for signs of either continuation or short-term exhaustion.
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago.
1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$
2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$
3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$
4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$
5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$
Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Sensex is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 82,300 - 82,500. The large red candle on the 4H chart indicates profit-booking and a likely retreat back into the consolidation range. The price broke below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This remains the critical overhead hurdle and a short-term Order Block (OB).
Major Demand (Support): 81,400 - 81,600. This area, which includes the rising trendline and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 81,400 - 81,600 support zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend. The market is now trading within a small descending channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 82,000 (The psychological level and the middle of the recent bullish candle).
Immediate Support: 81,600 (The major support zone).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clean descending channel since the 82,300 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed right at the 81,774 level, indicating bears are in control for the start of the session.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 81,900 - 82,000. This area is the immediate swing high.
Intraday Demand: 81,600.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 81,900 - 82,000.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Sensex has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the correction.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 82,300 favor continuation toward the next major support.
Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 81,900 - 82,000 zone (upper channel resistance/prior support). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,600.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,200 (above the immediate swing high).
Targets:
T1: 81,400 (Major FVG support).
T2: 81,000 (Psychological support).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal that negates the current selling pressure.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 82,300.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 82,300.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 82,000.
Targets:
T1: 82,600 (Upper resistance).
T2: 83,000 (Psychological target).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 81,600 - 82,000 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,600.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 82,200.
Major Event: TCS Q2 Results. Volatility is expected to be high.
Line in the Sand: 81,400. A break below this would accelerate the correction.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a bullish uptrend, having rebounded sharply from the 54,250 base. However, the price has failed to break the key supply zone of 56,400 - 56,600. The large red candle on Wednesday signals a clear rejection from this zone. The price has dropped below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 56,400 - 56,600. This remains the critical overhead hurdle.
Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area, which includes a short-term FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the next major support.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish for the short term. The market is expected to consolidate or correct towards 55,600.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the corrective trend. The market is now moving within a newly formed descending channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The upper trendline of the descending channel, near 56,200.
Immediate Support: 55,750 (The recent consolidation base).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clear descending channel since the 56,400 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the blue EMA, indicating strong bearish momentum.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 56,050 - 56,150. This area is the recent swing high and aligns with the descending channel's upper boundary.
Intraday Demand: 55,750.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 56,050 - 56,150.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the short-term downtrend.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 56,400 favor continuation toward the next major support.
Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 56,050 - 56,150 zone (upper channel resistance). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 55,700.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 56,300.
Targets:
T1: 55,400 (Major FVG support).
T2: 55,100 (Psychological support).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if strong buying emerges to reclaim the entire breakdown structure.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 56,400.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 56,400.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 56,200.
Targets:
T1: 56,600 (Major supply zone).
T2: 56,800 (Extension target).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 55,700 - 56,150 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 55,700.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 56,200.
Major Event: TCS Q2 Results (will heavily influence the market open).
Line in the Sand: 55,600. Below this level, the sellers gain control of the intermediate trend.
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Nifty is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 25,150 - 25,250. The strong red candle on the 4H chart (a potential Shooting Star/Bearish Engulfing pattern) indicates that the bounce phase is likely over, and the market is now retreating back into the consolidation range.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 25,150 - 25,250. This area remains the critical overhead hurdle.
Major Demand (Support): 24,800 - 24,900. This area includes a FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the lower boundary of the recent ascending channel. This is the must-hold zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 24,800 - 24,900 support zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low after being rejected from the 25,200 level. The index has now broken the lower trendline of the recent ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 25,100 (Prior consolidation support, now resistance).
Immediate Support: 24,980 - 25,000 (The psychological level and Friday's close area).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart shows a clean descending pattern since the 25,200 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the 25,050 mark, indicating bears are in control.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 25,080 (Immediate swing high).
Intraday Demand: 24,900 - 24,950.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 25,080 - 25,100.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Nifty has shifted to a bearish bias after hitting major resistance. TCS Q2 results are due today, which will heavily influence Nifty IT and potentially the entire index. The plan should be reactive to the continuation of the correction.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the ascending channel and the rejection from the major 25,200 supply zone favors a continuation of the correction, especially if TCS results disappoint.
Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 24,980 (breaking the psychological and swing support). Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 25,080 level.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 25,150 (above the immediate swing high).
Targets:
T1: 24,880 (Major FVG support).
T2: 24,800 (Lower boundary of macro support).
T3: 24,700 (Extension target).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 25,250.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 25,250.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,150.
Targets:
T1: 25,350 (Upper resistance).
T2: 25,450 (Previous high).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 25,080 - 25,100 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 24,980.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 25,150.
Line in the Sand: 24,800. A break below this would accelerate the correction.
Nifty Showing Bearish Divergence — Potential Reversal Ahead!Nifty 50 (INDEX:NIFTY) is flashing a bearish divergence signal on the daily chart — a classic early warning of potential trend exhaustion.
📉 What’s Happening:
Price has made a higher high , reflecting continued bullish momentum on the surface.
However, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has formed a lower high , showing weakening internal strength and momentum loss.
This bearish divergence between price and RSI often precedes a short-term reversal or correction phase .
🧩 Interpretation:
This setup suggests that even though price continues climbing, buying momentum is fading . Bulls may be losing strength, and bears could soon take control — especially if price fails to sustain above key resistance zones or shows a bearish confirmation candle in the coming sessions.
🎯 Target: 24,800
⛔ Stop Loss: 25,220
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035.
As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation.
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone)
Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035
Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
gold silver momentum updategold silver momentum update---- silver sustain abv 148300 than looks sharp spike 150k near expect or if blw 147300 looks sharp dwn side 146500-145300+++--- gold abv 122700 sustain looks 124800--- already 123 told ---
spot gold sustain abv 4040 looks up side 4060--85-4100 expect in sudden spike 4010 strong support now for dwn correction
BSE Looing good for Long callsBSE broke the Trend channel of almost 4months, looking good to take long call at around 2268 with stoploss at 1950 for the target at around 2800.
-- This is only for educational purpose, please do your own analysis before taking a call so you have confidence to hold the trade.
NIFTY 50 – Bullish Flag Formation | Continuation Pattern in PlayNIFTY 50 is currently forming a bullish flag pattern on the lower timeframe after a strong impulsive move to the upside.
This consolidation phase represents a healthy correction within an uptrend , indicating that bulls are likely preparing for the next breakout leg .
The structure is showing a clear flag channel , where price is respecting parallel trendlines after the strong upward impulse.
Volume is also contracting during the pullback — a typical characteristic of a flag pattern.
Key Highlights:
🚀 Strong impulsive move followed by tight consolidation (flag).
📉 Flag resistance zone: 25,130 – 25,170
📈 Breakout above this zone could trigger bullish continuation toward 25,300 – 25,400.
⚠️ Invalid if price breaks below 25,050 with strong momentum.
Trading Idea:
Wait for a clean breakout candle above the flag resistance with volume confirmation for potential long entries.
#RBLBANK - VCP BreakOut in Daily Time FrameScript: RBLBANK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 Large Base BreakOut – Zoom Out
📈 Private Bank Sector showing strength
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 288 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 286.90
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 12%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 6%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Bad, Position size 25% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
Bullish Continuation StrategyBullish Continuation Strategy (Breakout Play)
Entry: Buy on a decisive breakout above 230 (channel resistance and recent high) with a closing basis and high volume confirmation.
Stop-loss: Place a stop-loss just below the breakout candle low or near 220 (previous support).
Target: First target at 240–245 (next round number/extension), with a trailing stop for further upside if momentum persists.
BRITANNIA Price Action 2 probable entriesBritannia Industries Ltd is currently trading around ₹5,849 after opening at ₹5,882, slightly down from the previous close with a minor loss on the day. The stock’s recent 52-week high stands at ₹6,337, while the low is ₹4,506, reflecting a broad trading band throughout the year. With an annualized volatility of about 25%, the scrip has seen moderate market fluctuations. Market capitalization is robust, totaling approximately ₹1.41 trillion.
From a technical perspective, Britannia’s chart structure indicates mild downward momentum in the short term, with prices trending below the 20-day moving average but holding above the larger 50- and 200-day averages. The daily ranges have narrowed, and the price closed near the day’s low at ₹5,839, suggesting mild intraday bearish sentiment. Key support appears at ₹5,800, while resistance lies at ₹5,900 and then at the recent swing high. RSI and momentum indicators remain neutral, and trend-following tools show sideways movement, reflecting cautious accumulation.
Fundamentally, Britannia continues to deliver stable earnings even with moderate price declines. The trailing P/E is elevated at about 64, indicating a premium valuation, and the stock is currently trading at roughly 33% above its estimated fair value. The quarterly results for June 2025 showed an 8.8% year-on-year revenue increase with operating profit and net profit also marginally growing. Debt levels are moderate and promoter pledging is low, with no major concerns visible in the shareholding pattern.
Overall, Britannia holds long-term structural strength, but its short-term trend is weak. Investors are advised to wait for clear momentum signals before considering fresh positions, and any breakout above ₹5,900 may trigger a retest of annual highs, while downside risks are limited by strong support near ₹5,800.
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy. Hello, traders!
Gold has officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Kya baat hai! Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this big psychological level, the rally is still getting solid support from:
Fundamentals & Market Conflict
Main Drivers: The market is pakka (sure) about two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are a big deal), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) due to global gadbadi (instability) and inflation.
Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA), a big institution boss, is warning that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a correction in Q4. Dhyan rakhna!
Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction
The price got rejected straight at $4000, causing a small pullback. However, the overall trend is super strong. The safest strategy is to wait patiently for a BUY at specific support zones.
Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to ride the main trend's momentum. Avoid unnecessary SELL attempts; if you must, use tight SL.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064
Support: $4018, $3999, $3986
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips)
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992
SL: $3984
TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067
SL: $4075
TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017
Do you trust BoA's warning, or do you think the FOMC Minutes will push us past $4050? Tell me your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS #GoldFever
