Trend Analysis
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 01/01/2026A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty, indicating a positive start to the session after the recent pullback and recovery from lower support zones. The index is currently trading near 26,140, where it is facing a crucial intraday resistance area. Price action suggests a short-term bullish bias, but follow-through buying will be important to sustain the upside move.
On the bullish side, 26,050–26,100 remains a strong support zone. As long as Nifty holds above this range, long positions can be considered with immediate targets at 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. A decisive breakout and sustain above 26,250 will strengthen bullish momentum further and can push the index toward 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+, confirming trend continuation.
On the bearish side, 26,250–26,200 will act as a strong resistance and potential reversal zone. If the index fails to sustain above this area and shows rejection, a short-term reversal trade can be considered with downside targets placed at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000. Overall, the market structure remains range-to-positive, and traders should focus on level-based trading with strict stop-loss discipline and confirmation from price action.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(01/01/2026)A slight gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating continuation of the recent bullish momentum after a strong recovery from lower levels. The index is currently trading near 59,600, where mild profit booking can be seen, but the overall structure remains positive as long as price holds above the immediate support zone. This suggests that buyers are still in control, though some intraday volatility can be expected near resistance.
On the upside, 59,550–59,600 will act as the key trigger area. A sustained move and hold above this zone can provide fresh long opportunities, with upside targets placed at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A decisive breakout above 59,950 may further strengthen bullish sentiment and open the door for an extended rally toward the 60,000 zone.
On the downside, 59,450 is the immediate support to watch, followed by the stronger support near 59,050. If the index fails to hold 59,450, short-term selling pressure may emerge, and short positions can be considered with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050-. Overall, the trend remains buy-on-dips as long as key supports are protected, and traders should focus on level-based entries with strict risk management.
Strong RECOVERY exactly as analysed! But will it sustain!?As we can see NIFTY recovered sharply exactly as analysed as it took support at our demand zones! But it is too quick now to judge the upcoming trend by single day move as it could be a sentiment based volume which doesn’t last long. Hence as long as NIFTY doesn’t crosses and closes itself above previous swing, shorting at signs of rejection around supply zones can be done so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
USDINR — Controlled Structural TrendUSDINR continues to trade within a long-term rising channel on the yearly timeframe.
The move reflects gradual structural INR depreciation , driven by macro differentials rather than stress or disorderly conditions.
No currency regime shift is visible at cycle degree.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the long-term rising channel would alter the structural view.
📌 FX moves slowly — structure reveals intent.
#USDINR #Forex #IndianRupee #CurrencyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroTrends
S&P 500 — Mature but Structurally HealthyThe S&P 500 remains in a long-term impulsive uptrend at cycle degree.
Despite maturity, the structure shows no confirmed cycle-degree violation. Corrections continue to be corrective, not distributive.
This suggests the global equity cycle is aging — but not ending.
Invalidation: Only a confirmed breakdown below the primary rising structure would alter the yearly view.
📌 Cycles age before they end.
#SP500 #USMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView
NIFTY 50 — Primary Trend IntactNIFTY continues to respect its long-term rising cycle base on the yearly timeframe.
Higher highs and higher lows remain intact, with corrections staying contained within the primary structure.
No cycle-degree trend violation or exhaustion pattern is visible at this stage.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary rising base would alter the yearly bias.
📌 Trend persists until structure breaks.
#NIFTY50 #IndianMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #LongTermInvesting #ElliottWave
US 10Y — Elevated but Structurally StabilizingLong-term yields remain elevated but contained within a broader corrective structure on the yearly timeframe.
No impulsive expansion is visible that would signal systemic tightening or macro stress.
This keeps the cost-of-capital environment restrictive but stabilizing , not disruptive.
Invalidation: Only a sustained impulsive breakout above the long-term trendline would alter the macro regime.
📌 Structure defines risk.
#US10Y #BondYields #InterestRates #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #LongTermView
Dollar (DXY) — Range-Bound at Cycle DegreeThe Dollar Index continues to trade within a broad rising range structure on higher timeframes.
There is no cycle-degree impulsive breakout indicating a sustained risk-off regime. Dollar strength remains episodic, not dominant.
This supports a macro environment where risk assets can coexist with a stable dollar.
Invalidation: Only a confirmed impulsive breakout beyond the long-term range would change the macro bias.
📌 Macro regimes change after structure confirms — not sentiment.
#DXY #USDollar #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #RiskOn #RiskOff #LongTermCycles
Crude Oil — Still Corrective, Not LeadingCrude remains contained within a broad, long-term consolidation on the yearly timeframe.
Despite volatility, there is no confirmed impulsive resolution at cycle degree. The structure continues to reflect a corrective / range-bound macro phase.
This suggests inflation pressure remains contained , not accelerating structurally.
Invalidation: Only a sustained, impulsive breakout from the long-term range would alter the yearly view.
📌 Structure over headlines.
#CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #EnergyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroContext #LongTermView
Silver — Structural Confirmation at Cycle DegreeSilver has delivered a decisive breakout above prior long-term cycle resistance and continues to hold that structure on higher timeframes.
The advance is impulsive in character, confirming broader participation within the precious metals cycle — not limited to Gold alone.
No higher-degree overlap or distribution signal is visible at this stage.
Invalidation: Sustained acceptance back below the prior breakout zone would weaken the yearly structure.
📌 Only cycle-degree structure alters the yearly view.
#Silver #XAGUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleConfirmation #ElliottWave #LongTermView
Gold — Yearly Structure Remains IntactGold continues to respect its higher-degree structural base on the yearly timeframe.
The broader cycle remains impulsive, with no confirmed cycle-degree corrective overlap. Corrections so far remain contained and proportional within the long-term structure.
This suggests the precious metals cycle remains active, not exhausted.
🔍 Key point: Structure defines risk. Price confirms.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary structural base would alter the yearly view.
📌 For learning & structural reference only.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView #ElliottWave
Historic bull runGold – Historic Bull Run | Weekly Elliott Wave Perspective
Gold is in a long-term secular bull market that began in 2015.
The structure on the weekly chart is very clear.
Red Wave (I) ended in August 2020.
Red Wave (II) completed in October 2022 and was a shallow correction, not even retracing 50% of Wave (I).
Red Wave (III) extended strongly and terminated near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (I) — a typical behavior of an extended third wave.
Currently, Red Wave (IV) is unfolding.
According to Elliott Wave alternation, when Wave (II) is shallow, Wave (IV) tends to be deeper and more complex.
The present structure of Wave (IV) appears to be shaping as an expanded flat correction, which keeps the larger bull trend intact but allows for further downside volatility.
Important short-term observations:
This week’s high is higher than last week’s high
But the low has breached last week’s low
This outside-range behavior suggests more correction is still possible before Wave (IV) completes.
📌 Conclusion:
The long-term bullish structure of Gold remains intact, but in line with Elliott Wave alternation, a deeper pullback during Wave (IV) should not be ruled out before the final Red Wave (V) resumes the uptrend.
This is a structural analysis, not a trading call.
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Aadhar Housing Finance - New Year Pick Date 01.01.2025
Aadhar Housing Finance
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
It is one of the largest low-income housing finance companies in India servicing the home financing needs of the low income sections of the society.
AUM
As of 9MFY25, their AUM stood at ₹23,976 Crs achieving a 21% YoY growth
AUM by Product Type
(1) Home Loans: 74%
(20 Other Mortgage Loans: 26%
Borrowings Mix
(1) Banks: 51%
(2) National Housing Bank: 25%
(3) Non-Convertible Debentures: 24%
(4) Cost of Borrowings: 8.1%
Asset Quality
(1) GNPA: 1.36%
(2) NNPA: 0.9%
(3) Capital Adequacy Ratio : 46.1%
Geographical AUM Diversification
Uttar Pradesh – 13%
Gujarat – 12%
Maharashtra – 12%
Tamil Nadu – 10%
Rajasthan – 9%
Madhya Pradesh – 8%
Telangana – 8%
Andhra Pradesh – 7%
Karnataka – 5%
Other States – 17%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 21000 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 21
(3) Roce 11.4 %
(4) Roe 17 %
(5) Book Value 3X
(6) Opm 21%
(7) Promoter 75%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 18.50%
(9) EV/Ebita 14.26
(10) PEG 0.79
Regards,
Ankur Singh
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jan 2026NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jan 2026
Bullish-Above 26210
Invalid-Below 26160
T- 26420
Bearish-Below 26040
Invalid-Above 26090
T- 25850
NIFTY has closed on a positive note with 0.74% gain today. Index will have a bullish momentum till it is above 50 EMA in daily TF. However index is still in the range of 26350 and 25700. However possibility of upside momentum looks more. Next stop ATH will be near 26650 zone.
Intraday levels are 26210 and 26040, plan trades on 15 Min candle close.
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
SBIN.. Trying for a Breakout..SBI Bank is trying for a breakout..
As seen, Moved out of Triangle pattern.
Moving up with good volume.
Tried to move upward but faced resistance at around 986 because of candle wig.
Not a major resistance but was respected.
If move above 986 and sustain then first target will be around 990.. and afterwards towards testing the lifetime high..
If trade works in favor then keep trailing your profit or book as per your appetite..
Its better to book profit and re enter if breaks the resistance..
KPI Green (D): Aggressive Bullish, Promoter-Backed MomentumTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock is staging a violent recovery from the bottom of a Symmetrical Triangle. While it has surged +26% in two days, it is currently testing the critical angular resistance . The move is backed by "Insider Buying," which gives it high structural conviction.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The volume explosion is driven by two major factors:
> Promoter Buying: Reports confirm that Quyosh Energia (Promoter Group) purchased shares (approx. 11.2 Lakh shares) via bulk deals. When promoters buy at market prices, it signals they believe the stock is undervalued.
> SJVN Order: The recent execution of the 200MW Solar Project agreement with SJVN (worth ~₹696 Cr) has improved revenue visibility for 2026.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Triangle)
> The Setup: The stock has been consolidating in a Symmetrical Triangle since the ATH.
- Support: The bounce from ₹313 (and the recent higher low) was the launchpad.
- Resistance: The stock is now "Kissing" the downward-sloping trendline (around ₹510–₹515 levels).
> Current Status: Despite the +26% move, a daily close above this angular trendline is needed to confirm the end of the correction.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume Spike: The volume of 77M+ (combined sessions/exchanges) is an "Institutional Stamp." This is not retail accumulation; this is big money entering.
> RSI: Rising sharply. Note that daily RSI is entering "Overbought" territory (>70) due to the sudden surge. In strong momentum trends (like Power/Energy), RSI can stay overbought for weeks.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is at the "Make or Break" point at the trendline.
> 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Continuation):
- Trigger: A decisive Daily Close above ₹515 .
- Target: ₹581 .
- Blue Sky: If ₹581 clears, the path opens to retest the ATH ( ₹743 adjusted/unadjusted depending on chart).
> 🛡️ Support (The "Pullback"):
- Immediate Support: ₹479 . Since the stock rose +26% in 2 days, a cooling-off pullback to ₹479 is healthy and should be used to add.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹450 (mid-point of the surge candle) would signal that the momentum was a "flash in the pan."
Conclusion
This is a High-Octane Setup .
> Refinement: The Promoter Buying makes this a "Buy on Dips" candidate rather than a "Sell on Resistance" one.
> Strategy: Watch for the ₹515 breakout. If it clears, the momentum will likely carry it swiftly to ₹580 .






















