AUDCAD Price Forecast – Structural Shift in MomentumAUD/CAD has recently completed a strong trending phase, characterized by a well-defined upward channel with consistent expansions. The sequence of price action showed clear momentum as each retracement was absorbed and followed by renewed buying interest, maintaining structural order throughout the move.
However, the latest developments reflect a notable shift in behavior. After a prolonged climb, price is showing signs of losing momentum, with market structure shifts (MSS) indicating that control is gradually transitioning. This suggests that the market is entering a phase of rebalancing, where prior bullish momentum may give way to corrective activity.
The projection implies that the pair could be preparing for a deeper adjustment, where short-term liquidity cycles reset positioning before a more sustainable trend emerges. This type of rotation is natural after extended directional moves and often signals the beginning of a new phase rather than immediate continuation.
Overall, AUD/CAD is transitioning from strength into a corrective cycle. While the broader market has proven its ability to trend effectively, near-term behavior suggests that the focus will be on how efficiently the market absorbs this correction before defining the next directional phase.
Trend Analysis
GBPAUD Forecast – Liquidity Sweep Before Strong Upside RallyGBPAUD has been moving through an extended bearish cycle, confirmed by multiple downside breaks of structure that signaled strong sell-side control. Each leg cleared liquidity and left inefficiencies behind, reflecting a market environment dominated by distribution phases. Recently, however, the dynamics are shifting. Price action has begun to compress, with shorter bearish candles and emerging higher lows that point toward weakening seller momentum and the early signs of accumulation.
Order flow analysis suggests that institutional participants may be absorbing positions within the current range. The market appears poised to engineer a downward liquidity sweep to trigger weak longs and attract late sellers before reversing upward. This type of behavior is typical of smart money accumulation phases, where liquidity is harvested before expansion.
Volume and volatility add weight to this narrative. Downside moves are losing strength, showing seller exhaustion, while volatility has contracted, signaling the market is coiling energy for a breakout. Given the structural setup and liquidity positioning, the probability favors a bullish expansion following a brief dip.
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
Strategic Long-Term Perspective on GoldGold Market Analysis – Report View
Gold has delivered a strong bullish cycle after weeks of accumulation. The past phase showed a contracting range where liquidity was built up and multiple structural shifts occurred, signaling preparation for expansion. Once price broke out of that range in late August, momentum accelerated, leading to a clean and sustained rally into September.
The recent move highlights how market flow continues to favor the upside, with each correction acting as a re-accumulation zone rather than a trend reversal. Institutional order flow remains visible, supporting higher valuations as price respects bullish market structure.
Currently, gold is stabilizing after the sharp leg upward. This pause suggests a phase of healthy consolidation, likely absorbing liquidity before attempting the next impulsive wave higher. Overall sentiment remains constructive, with bullish continuation the dominant narrative unless a major structural shift occurs.
Heritage Foods (Daily) - Will the Bullish momentum continue ?Heritage Foods executed a powerful bullish move today, surging by +8.08% on the back of exceptionally high trading volume. The stock successfully breached two critical resistance levels, signaling a potential shift in trend.
The most significant of these was the breakout from a long-term horizontal resistance trendline , a barrier that has been in place for a considerable period. Additionally, it cleared a more recent short-term horizontal resistance .
Confirmation Signals 👍
The bullish outlook is supported by key technical indicators:
- Massive Volume: The breakout was accompanied by a huge surge in trading volume , indicating strong conviction from buyers and validating the move.
- Positive Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state , which further confirms the building upward momentum.
Future Outlook and Scenarios
- Upside Potential 📈: If the breakout is sustained and the bullish momentum continues, the stock could be headed towards the next price target of ₹593 .
- Downside Risk 📉: Conversely, if the breakout fails to hold and the momentum reverses, the stock may pull back to find support near the ₹457 level.
Keep an eye on the price-action !!
Graphite - is it the start of multibagger run againGraphite broke out of 200 MA , completed retest.
Formed a falling trendline
broke out of trendline with lucrative volumes
price getting accepted at higher levels.
Could be the start of multibagger run once again.
A strong buy setup with SL of recent swing low - 504
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
Poonawalla Fincorp (Daily) - Potential ATH ?Poonawalla Fincorp has shown a significant bullish development, decisively breaking out of a Triangle continuation pattern today. This breakout was marked by a substantial 12.30% surge in price , backed by exceptionally high trading volume.
This move signals a potential continuation of the bullish run that began in March 2025, which itself was a reversal of a downtrend initiated by a Double-Top bearish pattern in April 2024.
Bullish Confirmation Signals 👍
The positive outlook is supported by several key indicators:
- Breakout Volume: The price surge was accompanied by a massive spike in volume , indicating strong conviction and participation from buyers.
- Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have formed a positive crossover , confirming the renewed bullish momentum in the immediate term.
Immediate Hurdle Ahead 🚧
Despite the strong breakout, the stock is now trading at a crucial long-term resistance level . Overcoming this barrier is essential for the upward trend to continue.
Future Outlook and Scenarios
- Bullish Case 📈: If the upward momentum is sustained and the stock successfully breaks through the current long-term resistance, it could clear the path to test its all-time high . An initial price target in this scenario would be the ₹539 level.
- Bearish Case 📉: Conversely, if the stock fails to breach this resistance, the momentum could fade, potentially leading to a price correction towards the ₹427 support level.
Watchout for the price-action in the next few sessions !!
JSWSTEEL - Major Breakout After Long ConsolidationFrom May 2021 to April 2024, JSW Steel consistently faced resistance from the same trendline, rejecting multiple times.
In April 2024, price finally broke out above this resistance zone. After the breakout, the stock came down for a pullback and perfectly respected the same line, which has now flipped into support.
During this pullback, a minor downtrend was visible, but that too has been broken to the upside, showing a clear shift in momentum.
Now, the stock has given a strong breakout again (as shown in the chart). This indicates that the consolidation phase is over and it's going to give a very good rally in coming weeks/months.
Conclusion:
This looks like a good buying opportunity, both for swing trading and long-term investment, as the price action suggests strength and continuation on the upside.
Part 2 Trading Master Class With ExpertsHow Option Trading Works
Let’s walk through a simple example.
Suppose NIFTY is trading at 20,000. You expect it to rise.
You buy a NIFTY 20,100 Call Option by paying a premium of ₹100.
If NIFTY goes up to 20,500, your call is worth 400 (20,500 – 20,100). Profit = 400 – 100 = 300 points.
If NIFTY stays below 20,100, your option expires worthless. Loss = Premium (₹100).
Here’s the beauty: as a buyer, your loss is limited to the premium paid, but profit potential is theoretically unlimited. For sellers (writers), it’s the reverse—limited profit (premium received) but unlimited risk.
Why People Trade Options
Options are not just for speculation. They serve multiple purposes:
Hedging: Investors use options to protect their portfolio against losses. For example, buying puts on NIFTY acts as insurance during market crashes.
Speculation: Traders take directional bets on stocks or indices with limited capital.
Income Generation: Sellers of options earn premium income regularly.
Arbitrage: Exploiting price differences in related instruments.
This versatility is what makes options attractive to both professionals and retail traders.
Risks in Option Trading
While options are powerful, they are also risky:
Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiry approaches, especially if they are OTM.
Leverage Risk: Small market moves can lead to large percentage losses.
Complexity: Beginners may struggle with pricing models, strategies, and margin requirements.
Unlimited Loss for Sellers: Writing naked options can lead to huge losses if the market moves strongly against the position.
Thus, understanding risk management is critical before trading options seriously.
Option Pricing & The Greeks
Option prices are influenced by several factors. To understand them, traders use Option Greeks:
Delta: Measures how much the option price moves with a ₹1 move in the underlying asset.
Gamma: Measures how Delta changes with the underlying’s price.
Theta: Measures time decay. Shows how much value an option loses daily as expiry nears.
Vega: Measures sensitivity of option price to volatility changes.
Rho: Measures sensitivity to interest rate changes (less important in short-term trading).
The Greeks help traders design strategies, manage risks, and predict option price movements.
Part 1 Trading Master Class With Experts1. Introduction to Options
Financial markets give investors multiple tools to manage money, speculate on price movements, or hedge risks. Among these tools, options stand out as one of the most powerful instruments. Options are a type of derivative contract, which means their value is derived from an underlying asset—such as stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies.
Think of an option like a ticket. A movie ticket gives you the right to enter a cinema hall at a fixed time, but you don’t have to go if you don’t want to. Similarly, an option contract gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a pre-decided price before or on a fixed date.
This flexibility is what makes options both exciting and risky. For beginners, it can feel confusing, but once you grasp the basics, option trading becomes a fascinating world of opportunities.
2. Basic Concepts of Option Trading
At its core, option trading revolves around three elements:
The Buyer (Holder): Pays money (premium) to buy the option contract. They have rights but no obligations.
The Seller (Writer): Receives the premium for selling the option but must fulfill the obligation if the buyer exercises it.
The Contract: Specifies the underlying asset, strike price, expiry date, and type of option (Call or Put).
Unlike stocks, where you directly buy shares of a company, in options you are buying a right to trade shares at a fixed price. This difference is what gives options their unique power.
3. Types of Options
There are mainly two types of options:
3.1 Call Option
A Call Option gives the buyer the right (but not obligation) to buy an underlying asset at a fixed price before expiry.
👉 Example: You buy a call option on Reliance at ₹2,500 strike price. If Reliance rises to ₹2,700, you can buy it at ₹2,500 and immediately gain profit.
3.2 Put Option
A Put Option gives the buyer the right (but not obligation) to sell an asset at a fixed price before expiry.
👉 Example: You buy a put option on Infosys at ₹1,500. If Infosys falls to ₹1,300, you can sell it at ₹1,500, making profit.
These two simple instruments form the foundation of all option strategies.
4. Key Option Terminology
Before trading, you must understand the language of options.
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: The cost of buying an option. Paid upfront by the buyer.
Expiry Date: The last date until the option is valid. In India, stock options usually expire monthly, while index options may expire weekly.
In-the-Money (ITM): Option that already has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised).
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Option that currently has no intrinsic value (not profitable if exercised).
At-the-Money (ATM): Strike price is very close to the market price.
Option Chain: A list of all available call and put options for a given asset, strike, and expiry.
Knowing these terms is like learning alphabets before writing sentences.
USDT.D AnalysisThe USDT Dominance (USDT.D) remains in its broader downtrend and is currently testing the key 4.19% support. A confirmed breakdown of this level would validate further downside in dominance and provide a strong bullish catalyst for the crypto market, as capital flows out of stablecoins into risk assets.
The next major support sits at 3.79%, but it’s more strategic to position earlier, with confirmation around 4.19%, since a direct entry at 3.79% may be too aggressive and harder to execute given the likelihood of a sharp bullish breakout across the market once that level is lost.
From a momentum perspective, the RSI has an ascending trendline that aligns with the 4.19% level. A simultaneous breakdown of both RSI trendline support and the 4.19% dominance level would serve as strong confirmation of bearish continuation in USDT.D, favoring a broad crypto rally.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 4.19% (primary), 3.79% (major)
Bearish confirmation: RSI trendline break + close below 4.19%
Maintain focus on long setups in crypto assets if dominance breaks 4.19%, with expectations of stronger market-wide bullish momentum on a confirmed move towards 3.79%
Bajaj Consumer (Daily) - Potential BreakoutBajaj Consumer Care is at a critical juncture following a prolonged downtrend from its January 2018 all-time high and a subsequent sideways consolidation period since March 2020. The stock recently demonstrated significant buying interest with an 8.59% surge on a high-volume spike.
Bullish Indicators 👍
Several technical signals support a positive outlook:
- Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state, indicating strong upward momentum.
- Volume: Trading volume has been consistently above average for several months, suggesting sustained accumulation by buyers.
- Long-Term Trend: The weekly timeframe now shows a Simple Moving Average (SMA) Golden Crossover, reinforcing the potential for a long-term trend reversal.
Key Resistance Levels 🚧
Despite the bullish signals, the stock faces two significant hurdles:
1. A major horizontal resistance line that has been in place since January 2013.
2. A more recent descending resistance trendline formed since April 2021.
Future Outlook and Scenarios
- Bullish Case 📈: A decisive breakout above both the horizontal and angular resistance levels would be a strong confirmation of bullish momentum. This could propel the stock towards a potential price target of ₹324.
- Bearish Case 📉: If the stock fails to sustain its upward momentum and break these key resistance levels, it may retrace back towards the ₹221 support level.
Keep monitoring !!
BTCUSDT Analysis – Channel Breakout in FocusBitcoin is currently moving inside an upward channel, where the $107,820.57 level acted as strong support. This level also aligned with the lower trendline of the channel, and price reacted well to it, triggering the latest bullish move.
At present, BTC is facing a critical resistance at $117,583.51, which serves as a potential long trigger. A breakout above this level could accelerate the upside momentum.
Given the expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the crypto market could gain further bullish momentum.
Our main bullish confirmation remains a breakout of $123,435.36, which would validate the continuation of the macro bullish wave count. However, it is preferable to secure entry before price reaches that level in order to optimize risk-to-reward.
📌 Trading Plan: Watch $117,583.51 for a breakout entry. Manage risk properly as volatility is expected to rise with macroeconomic events
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Altcoins
Gold Rebounds Within Upward Channel – Eyes on $3,700+Gold (XAUUSD) is holding inside its upward channel on the 1H timeframe, bouncing strongly off the lower boundary near $3,640. The bullish structure remains intact as long as price respects channel support, keeping $3,700+ in play.
Technical Setup:
Price continues to trend within a rising channel since early September.
The recent dip tested the lower band near $3,640, where buyers stepped back in.
Current price action shows momentum building toward the channel midpoint (~$3,680).
A decisive breakout above $3,685–3,700 could trigger further upside toward $3,720–3,740.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,640, $3,610, $3,600
Resistance: $3,685, $3,700, $3,720–3,740
Takeaway:
Gold’s trend remains bullish while holding above $3,640. A push above $3,700 confirms bullish continuation toward $3,720–3,740. A close below $3,640 shifts bias bearish toward $3,600.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TradingStrategy
GBPCHF BEARISH MOMENT WILL TURN ON AFTER RETRACEMENT.ICMARKETS:GBPCHF
The Swiss Frank is capping due to bullish moment of a fundamental asset, Gold.
We believe that the Swiss frank will not frank against Loonie, after hitting resistance risistance area.
From their we will move look at a nice bearish signal on candlestick pattern to enter into sell mode.
A H4 close above that resistance area will pave way to the bullish momentum but I believe it will not be a frank. Let it make a new Higher high near that resistance Area.
A clear signal is subject to price action near resistance area.
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25):
Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81.
Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected).
Key Levels:
Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690
Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry.
Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710
Acts as the next upside target after breakout.
Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740
This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains.
Strategy:
Plan A (Main Setup):
Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest.
Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740).
Confirmation Zone:
If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area.
Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740.
👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 18.09.25The 1-hour chart of Gold shows a recent V pattern formation, signaling a strong bullish reversal after a sharp drop.
A downtrend breakout is confirmed, supported by a Three White Soldiers pattern, strengthening the bullish momentum.
Entry Zone: Around 3,668 (current price).
Support (S1): 3,655 – strong demand zone where buyers are likely to defend.
Resistance (R1): 3,685 – key target level for this bullish move.
Risk-to-Reward Setup: Stop-loss below support (S1) at 3,655, with take-profit at resistance (R1) near 3,685.
🔑 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signs with breakout confirmation. As long as price holds above support at 3,655, the projection favors upside movement towards 3,685.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in HERITGFOOD
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup and Handle Breakout in BAJAJCON
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MTARTECH
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%