JM Financial – Long-Term Breakout Setup on Monthly ChartJM Financial is approaching a major breakout zone around ₹200, which has acted as a strong resistance for several years. The stock has built a solid base and is showing renewed momentum with strong monthly candle structure and improving volume.
If it manages to break and sustain above ₹200, it could mark the beginning of a long-term trend expansion phase. MACD is turning positive on higher timeframe — adding to the bullish setup.
📊 Positional Trade Plan
Entry: Above ₹200 (monthly closing or breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss (SL): 10% below entry or as per your risk
Target: 🎯 ₹300 (Long-term positional target)
View: A monthly close above ₹200 can trigger a strong multi-month breakout — ideal for investors with medium-to-long-term outlook.
Trend Analysis
[Positional] SupremeIND Buy IdeaNote -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives
Astra Microwave – Breakout Setup Forming, Eyes on 1300–1500Astra Microwave is attempting a breakout above the 1,180–1,200 resistance zone on the weekly chart after consolidating for several weeks. The structure shows strong base formation and higher lows, signaling accumulation before a potential move higher.
Momentum indicators (MACD + volume pickup) support the bullish bias, suggesting a breakout could sustain if confirmed.
📊 Swing Trade Plan
Entry: Above 1,200 (on breakout confirmation or closing basis)
Stop Loss (SL): 1,095 or as per your risk
Targets: 🎯 1,300 / 1,400 / 1,500
View: Sustaining above 1,200 may open the next leg of the uptrend — watch for follow-through volume and momentum confirmation.
HCL TECH - RSI positive divergenceRSI positive divergence is a powerful technical analysis signal that indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Here's a simple step-by-step explanation for your community members:
Understand RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale of 0 to 100. Values below 40 typically indicate an oversold market, while values above 60 suggest an overbought market.
Spot the price trend: Look at the stock price chart. If the price is making lower lows (falling prices) over time, it indicates a downtrend.
Observe the RSI behavior: While the price is making lower lows, check the RSI indicator below the price chart. In RSI positive divergence, the RSI makes higher lows.
What is RSI positive divergence? It's when the price hits new lows, but RSI doesn't follow and instead forms higher lows. This shows weakening selling pressure and suggests buyers may soon take control.
Interpretation: RSI positive divergence signals the existing downtrend may be losing momentum, making it likely for the price to reverse upwards.
Confirmation: Traders often wait for additional bullish signals or a price breakout to confirm the reversal before entering long positions.
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying.
🔎 Technical Analysis
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure.
The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation.
RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening.
EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🟢 BUY 1:
Entry: 4003 – 4005
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062
👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level.
🟢 BUY 2:
Entry: 3961 – 3963
Stop Loss: 3956
Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025
👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline.
💡 Market Insight
Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand.
Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows.
USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive.
With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity.
⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy
Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term).
Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk.
Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Strong bullish continuation
Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips
Technical target: 4100 USD/oz
Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
JSL TECHNICAL ANALYSISStructure: Price is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish rally.
Support Zone: The chart highlights an unmitigated Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the discount zone (~₹700–₹720), which aligns with a strong previous resistance turned support area.
Current Price Action: Price is trading around ₹747, slightly above the FVG zone, showing mild bearish momentum.
Expectation: If price dips into the FVG in discount zone and holds, it could act as a high-probability demand zone for a bullish reversal.
Invalidation: A daily close below ₹690 would invalidate bullish bias and open downside risk.
Upside Target: On confirmation of reversal, potential targets are around ₹800–₹820, near recent swing highs.
Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows.
However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960)
• SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool)
• Psychological Resistance: 4070
• Intraday Pivot: 4035
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971
SL: 3960
TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066
SL: 4075
TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry.
Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation.
Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
BTC against USD 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Weekly Technical Levels
Resistance Levels:
$124,652.59
$127,266.08
$129,248.44
Support Levels:
$120,056.73
$118,074.38
$115,460.88
These levels are based on Barchart's technical analysis and are derived from the most recent data available.
📈 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 61.95%, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator: Both the %K and %D lines are in the 80% range, suggesting that Bitcoin is in an overbought condition, which could precede a pullback.
Average True Range (ATR): The 9-day ATR is 3,316.77, indicating a daily price movement of approximately 2.73%.
Directional Movement Index (DMI): The +DI is at 35.72, and the -DI is at 10.17, suggesting a strong bullish trend.
🔮 Market Outlook
Analysts project that Bitcoin may reach up to $126,865 within the next week, with a potential target of $129,753 over the next four weeks.
⚠️ Risk Considerations
While the long-term outlook appears bullish, it's essential to monitor key support levels. A drop below $120,000 could signal a short-term correction. Additionally, the stochastic oscillator indicates an overbought condition, which may lead to a pullback.
BAJAJHIND 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Current Price Action
Current Price: ₹21.79
Day's Range: ₹21.23 – ₹22.34
Volume: ~9.15 million shares traded
VWAP: ₹21.91
52-Week Range: ₹16.56 – ₹40.75
The stock has shown a positive movement today, trading above key pivot levels and indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
🔧 Key Technical Levels
📌 Pivot Points
Central Pivot Point (CPR): ₹21.09
Support Levels:
S1: ₹20.59
S2: ₹19.69
S3: ₹19.19
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹21.99
R2: ₹22.49
R3: ₹23.39
Camarilla Pivot:
R2: ₹21.74
S2: ₹21.22
The stock is currently trading above the central pivot point, suggesting a bullish intraday bias.
HDFCBANK 1 Month Time Frame 📊 1-Month Technical Outlook
Technical Rating: Strong Buy
Pivot Points:
Classic: Pivot: ₹960.28 | Support: ₹937.03, ₹951.12 | Resistance: ₹974.37, ₹983.53, ₹997.62
Fibonacci: Pivot: ₹960.28 | Support: ₹945.91, ₹951.40 | Resistance: ₹974.65, ₹983.53
Camarilla: Pivot: ₹961.30 | Support: ₹961.09, ₹963.80 | Resistance: ₹967.85, ₹969.21
Moving Averages:
Short-Term (MA5, MA10, MA20): Buy
Medium-Term (MA50): Sell
Long-Term (MA100, MA200): Buy
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 50.54 (Neutral)
MACD: -4.82 (Sell)
Average True Range (ATR): 13.27 (Moderate Volatility)
ADX (Trend Strength): 19.12 (Weak Trend)
Williams %R: -36.70 (Buy)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -13.66 (Neutral)
Rate of Change (ROC): -0.22 (Sell)
🔍 Summary
HDFC Bank's stock shows a bullish trend over the past month, with positive technical indicators and a strong buy signal. However, the neutral RSI and sell signal from the MACD suggest caution. Investors should monitor these indicators closely for potential shifts in market sentiment.
Banknifty 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Technical Snapshot
Spot Level: Approximately 55,900
Trend: Neutral to slightly bullish
Support Levels: 55,531; 55,778; 56,009
Resistance Levels: 56,486; 56,733; 56,964
🔍 Key Observations
Consolidation Zone: The Bank Nifty is trading within a defined range, with immediate support near 55,850–55,750 and resistance around 56,650–56,750. A breakout above 56,800 could target 57,000.
Bullish Bias: Sustaining above the 56,000 level may lead to a rally towards the 56,500–56,800 zone, followed by 57,000.
Rising Wedge Pattern: The index is forming a rising wedge, indicating potential consolidation with a chance of reversal. Immediate resistance lies around the 56,400 level, with a strong supply zone leading to potential reversal or selling pressure. A decisive breakout above 56,600 would turn bullish.
📈 Weekly Outlook (October 8–10, 2025)
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 56,800 could target 57,000, with further upside potential.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 55,750 may lead to a decline towards 55,500 or lower.
JIOFIN Price Action 2 probable entry set upJio Financial Services Ltd (JIOFIN) is currently trading just above 308, showing a modest recovery after recent volatility. Over the past year, the stock experienced a sharp swing, with its annual high near 395 and a low at 199. Despite its inclusion in NIFTY 50, price growth remains subdued, characterized by a 10% decline year-on-year and a slightly negative monthly return. The market capitalization sits around ₹1.95 trillion, positioning JIOFIN among the largest financial sector players.
Technically, the short-term trend is consolidative. Recent sessions reveal a narrow trading range with support levels established around 300 and resistance near 325. Moving average indicators on various timeframes remain bullish, while oscillators such as the RSI (near 60) and CCI signal mild upward momentum. MACD shows a positive bias, but the ADX suggests that the prevailing trend is only moderately strong. Volatility remains in check at about 2.9% daily, with beta over 1.8 signaling that JIOFIN is highly responsive to market shocks.
Fundamentally, the company reported robust quarterly revenue growth with income accelerating to ₹17,448 lakh in March 2025, and a corresponding net profit of ₹9,714 lakh. However, compounded annual profit growth for the past year is only 1%, and sales growth is at 20%. The price-to-earnings ratio is elevated, above 119, and the dividend yield is low. Operating margins remain high, but rising competition and increased sectoral scrutiny could impact future profitability.
Currently, JIOFIN demonstrates cautious optimism. Investors are tracking the upcoming earnings report on October 20 for near-term cues. While fundamentals are sound and large institutional interest remains, sustained upward movement will require a decisive breakout above the 325 level or a robust earnings beat. The risk-reward within this broad 300–325 range continues to favor patient accumulation, with downside protected by strong institutional support.
DHAMPURSUG 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Intraday Support & Resistance Levels
Based on recent technical analyses, here are the key levels for intraday trading:
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹141.44
R2: ₹143.87
R3: ₹146.74
Support Levels:
S1: ₹136.14
S2: ₹133.27
S3: ₹130.84
These levels are derived from the Classic pivot point method and are calculated based on the price range of the previous trading day.
🔄 Pivot Points
The pivot point for today is ₹138.57, with variations in resistance and support levels across different methods:
Classic Pivot Point:
Pivot: ₹138.57
Resistance: ₹141.44, ₹143.87, ₹146.74
Support: ₹136.14, ₹133.27, ₹130.84
Fibonacci Pivot Point:
Pivot: ₹138.57
Resistance: ₹140.59, ₹141.84, ₹143.87
Support: ₹136.54, ₹135.29, ₹133.27
Camarilla Pivot Point:
Pivot: ₹138.57
Resistance: ₹139.51, ₹139.99, ₹140.48
Support: ₹138.53, ₹138.05, ₹137.56
RELIANCE 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Weekly Technical Outlook
Overall Trend: The prevailing trend is bearish, with a "Strong Sell" signal on the weekly timeframe.
Moving Averages: All key moving averages—5-day, 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—are indicating a "Sell" signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 44.99, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold but leans towards a bearish stance.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 1.73, indicating potential upward momentum.
🔧 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Weekly Pivot Point: ₹1,369.77
Support Levels: ₹1,318.43, ₹1,337.67
Resistance Levels: ₹1,401.87, ₹1,414.73
🔍 Additional Indicators
Technical Summary: The stock is rated as a "Strong Sell" based on moving averages and technical indicators.
Pivot Analysis: Current price is trading below the weekly pivot point, indicating a bearish short-term outlook.
📈 Conclusion
Reliance Industries Ltd is currently in a bearish phase on the weekly chart, with all major moving averages signaling a "Sell." While the MACD suggests some potential for upward movement, the overall technical indicators and pivot analysis point towards caution. Traders should monitor the support levels closely; a break below ₹1,318.43 could lead to further downside.
JAICORPLTD Price ActionJai Corp Ltd traded with a neutral to mildly bearish tone, hovering near 144 in the latest session after seeing notable weakness over the past year. The stock has underperformed most of its industry peers, witnessing a year-to-date drop of around 58%. Despite this steep decline, recent sessions have shown stabilization as prices consolidate within a broad range between 140 and 173.
From a technical perspective, major indicators point to a lack of clear momentum. Moving averages for short and medium terms highlight sideways price action. Oscillators signal a neutral trend with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control. The stock faced strong selling pressure after hitting its 52-week high near 401 and has since formed a prolonged downtrend, but the recent bounce from 81.5 signals possible value-based interest emerging at lower levels.
On the fundamental side, the price-to-earnings ratio remains moderate at 16 and the price-to-book ratio is approximately 2.4, with market capitalization near 2,590 crore. Earnings per share improved sharply in the latest quarter, reflecting some operational recovery. Net profit growth and revenue acceleration on a quarterly basis signal that fundamentals may be turning around, but the long-term trend still requires confirmation via fresh price breakouts or sector tailwinds.
Support is visible at 140, with short-term resistance near 173. Until a sustained close above resistance or a breakdown below support, expect continued consolidation. Current positioning suggests cautious accumulation but not aggressive buying unless technical momentum improves.
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
FEDERALBNK 1 Month Time Frame📊 Current Market Snapshot
Current Price: ₹199.99
Day Range: ₹199.68 – ₹202.46
52-Week Range: ₹172.66 – ₹220.00
Volume: 3,014,015 shares traded
📈 Analyst Price Forecast (1-Month Outlook)
Average Target: ₹224.37
High Estimate: ₹265.00
Low Estimate: ₹165.00
📉 Technical Indicators
Overall Sentiment: Mixed (Bearish: 9, Neutral: 3, Bullish: 3)
Moving Averages: Bearish
Oscillators: Bearish
Pivot Points: Neutral
📰 Recent Financial Performance
Q1 FY2025: Net profit declined by 15% to ₹862 crore, attributed to higher provisions, despite a 2% increase in Net Interest Income (NII)
✅ Summary
Current Price: ₹199.99
1-Month Target Range: ₹165 – ₹265
Technical Indicators: Mixed, with a bearish short-term outlook
Recent Performance: Profit decline due to increased provisions