RR Kabel cmp 1420 by Weekly Chart view since listedRR Kabel cmp 1420 by Weekly Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 1285 to 1350 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 1525 to 1600 Price Band
- Resistance Zone Breakout in the making process
Trend Analysis
ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:
Exactly as projected, CRYPTOCAP:ETH bounced perfectly from the 0.5 FIB retracement at $2,622.
That level has now transformed into a strong structural support, increasing the probability of an upside continuation and a potential run toward a new All-Time High.
But remember 👇
If Ethereum breaks below $2,622 (0.5 FIB), the market will likely hunt liquidity into the 0.618 Golden Zone or the Bullish Order Block before launching toward the $10K macro target.
Big dips = Big accumulation discounts. Stay strategic, not emotional.
1️⃣ $2,622 (0.5) – First Defense ✅
2️⃣ $2,256 (0.618) – Golden Zone
3️⃣ $1,821 (0.786) – Nuclear Support
NFA & DYOR
KSB 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Recent Price & Context
1. As of this week, KSB share price is trading around ₹ 740–748.
2. Over the past 1 month, the stock has seen a decline: some data suggest ~–10% to –12% monthly movement.
3. 52-week trading range: ~₹ 582 (low) to ~₹ 912 (high).
⭐ What this implies (1-Month Outlook)
Base case (neutral / consolidation): Price may hover between ₹ 702–750, possibly swinging around support-resistance zones if broader markets remain stable.
Bullish near-term bounce: If sentiment or fundamentals improve (orders, demand, sector enthusiasm), KSB could test ₹ 738–750 — a key resistance cluster.
Bearish downside: Weak macro or sector headwinds might push price toward ₹ 690, or — if broken — towards ₹ 678.
HDFCAMC 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price & Context
1. Recent quoted price on several platforms is ~ ₹ 2,667 / ₹ 2,670 (on an adjusted basis, after its 1:1 bonus share issue) for HDFCAMC.
2. Historically (pre-bonus) the “old” nominal price was ~ ₹ 5,336–₹ 5,340.
3. The share is currently trading with valuation metrics: high P/E, high P/B (as per screener data) indicating it remains a premium/ high-valuation stock.
🎯 What This Means for Intraday / Short-Term Moves
If the price stays above the pivot (≈ ₹ 2,689), that suggests a short-term bullish bias; watch for a move toward the first resistance near ₹ 2,710–₹ 2,728.
If price slips below support ~₹ 2,652, the next downside targets are ₹ 2,635 then ₹ 2,614 — a break below those could open risk of further slide.
Holding above the pivot + a bounce off support (with volume) may indicate renewed upside momentum; conversely, a breakdown below support zones might suggest weakness.
⚠️ Special Context — Corporate Action Impact
The stock recently went “ex-bonus,” with a 1:1 bonus issue, meaning number of shares doubled and price was adjusted downward — which explains the division between older ₹ 5,300-plus quotes and newer ~₹ 2,600-₹ 2,700 quotes.
Because of this adjustment, comparing current technical levels with older price history needs caution — especially if referencing older support/resistance zones.
NIFTY SHORT nifty is at all time high supply zone and gave ltf confirmations for downside move with further scope to go down.
study the reaction at marked zone on how it plays out.
Gold 1 Day Time Frame 🔎 Current Context
1. Gold currently trades around US $4,160–4,165/oz.
2. Many technical-analysis services show daily momentum as bullish: moving averages, RSI/MACD and other indicators point toward a positive bias.
3. But macro factors (strong USD, Fed policy, global risk sentiment) remain important and may cause sharp swings.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Volatility: Gold remains sensitive to macro events — USD strength, rate expectations, major economic data — so price can easily break support/resistance zones.
False Breakouts: Even if price crosses a level, it may revert quickly. Combine with other indicators (volume, price action, confirmations) before acting.
Trend Shifts: A major change in global risk sentiment or central-bank moves can rapidly change trend direction, invalidating technical levels.
UNIONBANK 1 Week Time Frame 🔎 Current snapshot
Share price recently around ₹152.85–₹156.94.
52-week trading range: ~₹100.81 (low) to ~₹158.65 (high).
Fundamentals wise: low P/E vs peers, reasonable book value / dividend yield.
📈 Short-term (1-week) “Levels to watch”
Based on technical-forecast projections from providers:
Level type Price
Support (down-side) ~ ₹149.7
Alternate lower support ~ ₹140.0 (on a deeper dip)
Base / near-term target (if stable / slightly bullish) ~ ₹157-₹159
Upside breakout target ~ ₹162–₹165 (if momentum picks up)
Interpretation:
If price dips, ₹149–150 may act as immediate support.
On bounce or flat consolidation, ₹157-₹159 is plausible.
A clean breakout could take price toward ₹162–₹165 within a week — though that likely requires favourable macro / market mood.
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Waiting for Perfect Buy Pullback📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure after a series of BoS from the bottom region. The most recent rally broke the 4,130 mark and continues to hold above the small OB area, indicating that the BUY side is still in control.
Currently, the price is slightly retracing to retest the structure — the target is to test the area:
• OB 4,130 – 4,126 USD
• Or deeper to FVG 4,104 – 4,089 USD
In both cases, these are discount areas to continue BUYING according to the main trend.
The larger trend still targets the upper liquidity levels including:
• 4,151
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB Retest Zone: 4,130 – 4,126 (quick bounce area)
• FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount area to BUY)
• Large Bearish OB: 4,045 – 4,060 (final area if price adjusts deeply)
• Target Zones: 4,151 – 4,181 – 4,207 – 4,243
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (priority)
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130
• Entry: 4,126 – 4,131
• SL: below 4,115
• TP1: 4,151
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ This is a quick setup – for a short retracement before continuing.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – FVG 4,104 – 4,089 (best)
• Entry: 4,089 – 4,104
• SL: 4,070
• TP1: 4,151
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ This FVG area is a strong confluence: fibo, small demand, and trendline.
3️⃣ BUY 3 – OB Bearish shift (deep entry)
• Entry: 4,045 – 4,060
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,104
• TP2: 4,151
• TP3: 4,207
→ Only activate when the market shakes strongly, but RR is extremely good.
🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – only short trades)
Only SELL when the price reaches strong resistance areas and rejection signals appear:
• 4,151
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
Entry SELL: only enter when there is H1 rejection
SL: 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,151 → 4,130
→ This is counter-trend, not a priority setup.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The overall trend is still bullish. The current retracements are just a “breathing phase” – the market is accumulating energy to continue pushing up to higher liquidity areas.
As long as the price stays above 4,089 – the bullish trend is not threatened.
“Smart Money buys the dip — Retail buys the breakout.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
#UNIVPHOTO: Reversal Alert at Falling Channel Midline!CMP: 286
UnivPhoto found support ✅ & bounced strongly off the mid-line of the falling channel (245–266 zone), forming a textbook Morning Star on the weekly chart — a classic bullish reversal! ⭐️🔥
Now testing key resistance 310–337 + downtrend line. A breakout could fuel a rally to 484 → 747/818 → 988 (ATH) 🚀🚀
Could this be the end of the multi-year downtrend? Watch closely! 👀✨
#UNIVPHOTO #MorningStar #CandleStickPattern #PriceAction #LongTerm #Investing
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market
- The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders.
- Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading.
2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation
Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement.
Support:
At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels.
Resistance:
At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement.
※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts
- When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend.
- However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation.
3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained
📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations
- Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction.
- Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology.
- Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.”
- Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves.
drive.google.com
📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints
An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales).
Gap Filling:
Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance.
Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly.
drive.google.com
📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction
MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance.
Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment.
Price below → worry about trend weakening.
Price above → renewed optimism.
Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment.
Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend.
Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness.
When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement.
drive.google.com
📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength
POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level.
Price below POC:
POC becomes strong resistance.
Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance.
Price above POC:
POC turns into solid support.
Buyers believe price should not fall below this level.
POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest.
drive.google.com
📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations
- Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance.
- These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions.
- Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities.
drive.google.com
📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior
CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form.
Gap Filling:
These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas.
Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones.
drive.google.com
4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance
Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline.
Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline
- Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure.
- When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively.
Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO
- Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out.
- In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom.
- Rely on your structured support/resistance rules.
Scaling Into Trades
- Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level.
- Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment.
5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips
Confluence Creates Strongest Levels
When multiple support/resistance signals overlap
(e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG),
these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement.
Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength
High volume validates a level's importance.
A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent.
Develop Your Own Trading Plan
Do not follow every model blindly.
Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules.
Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
The Case of Craftsman Automation Ltd : BreakoutUnderstanding Uptrends and Breakouts: The Case of Craftsman Automation Ltd
🔹 The Nature of an Uptrend
An uptrend in stock markets is characterized by a sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Higher Highs (HH): Each rally surpasses the previous peak.
Higher Lows (HL): Each correction bottoms above the prior low.
This pattern reflects sustained buying interest and investor confidence. Craftsman Automation Ltd has been in a continuous uptrend since its listing, consistently respecting this principle.
🔹 Breakout from Consolidation
Stocks often enter consolidation phases where prices move sideways, digesting prior gains.
Consolidation is healthy—it allows fundamentals and valuations to catch up.
A breakout above a previous high (like the September 2024 peak) signals renewed momentum.
When a stock breaks out after 1–2 years of consolidation, it often attracts fresh institutional and retail participation, as the breakout confirms strength and long-term demand.
🔹 Why Higher High Breakouts Matter
1. Psychological Barrier: Previous highs act as resistance. Breaching them signals buyers’ dominance.
2. Volume Confirmation: Breakouts with strong volume indicate conviction.
3. Trend Continuation: A higher high after a long pause suggests the uptrend is resuming with vigor.
For Craftsman Automation Ltd, crossing the September 2024 high at ₹7,079 is a technical milestone, reinforcing its bullish trajectory.
🔹 Current Opportunity
1. The breakout suggests potential for trend continuation.
2. Traders and investors often view such moves as opportunities to ride the next leg of the rally.
3. However, entry should be disciplined—not chasing blindly but aligning with risk management.
🔹 Risk Management & Stop Loss Awareness
Even strong uptrends can face pullbacks. Risk management is crucial:
Stop Loss Placement:
1. Below the breakout level (₹7,079) or
2. Below the most recent higher low.
Position Sizing: Never allocate more than a defined percentage of capital to one trade.
Avoid Emotional Trading: Breakouts can sometimes fail (false breakouts). Always respect stop losses.
A disciplined approach ensures that even if the trade doesn’t work, losses remain controlled.
🔹 Key Takeaways
Craftsman Automation Ltd is in a structural uptrend with consistent HH-HL patterns.
The breakout above September 2024 highs marks a renewed bullish phase.
Such long-term breakouts often present strong opportunities, but risk management is non-negotiable.
Traders should use stop losses and prudent position sizing to safeguard capital.
Our view is still bearish on NIFTYJust a retracement? We will be bias until confirmation of reversal.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 26, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
D1 (Daily)
Daily momentum is deeply inside the overbought zone, meaning the probability of a bearish reversal is very high—possibly today or tomorrow. This upcoming downward phase will align with the next downward cycle of D1 momentum.
H4
H4 momentum is currently rising. Therefore, price may:
• Continue with another upward push, or
• Move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone.
H1
H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting that a short-term bearish move on H1 may appear very soon.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1
The overall D1 structure remains unchanged from the previous plan.
The only difference is that D1 momentum has pushed deeper into the overbought region, increasing the likelihood of a reversal either today or tomorrow.
H4
Price is forming a green ABC corrective structure, and it appears price is approaching the final stage of wave C (green).
With H4 momentum turning upward, price may still produce:
• One more small push upward, or
• A mild sideways upward drift to complete wave C.
H1
On H1, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, black). This creates two possible interpretations:
Scenario 1 (Primary Expectation)
This 5-wave pattern represents wave C (green) inside the ABC correction of wave 2 (red).
→ Since wave C is always a 5-wave structure, this scenario is fully consistent with Elliott Wave rules and remains our main working count.
Scenario 2
The 5-wave structure is actually the beginning of a new trend, potentially forming wave 1 of a larger bullish cycle.
Although there isn’t enough evidence to support this scenario yet, the mere presence of a clean 5-wave structure means we must keep this possibility in mind.
________________________________________
3. Relationship Between D1 Momentum & Wave Structure
The previous downward and upward swings inside wave Y (purple) on D1 correspond almost perfectly with the downward and upward cycles of D1 momentum.
D1 is now overbought and preparing to turn down.
➡️ Therefore, the upcoming corrective decline is extremely important.
Case 1 – Price holds above 4021
If D1 momentum reaches oversold territory and turns upward without price breaking below 4021, then:
• The current 5-wave structure may represent wave 1,
• The upcoming decline will be wave 2,
• When D1 momentum turns upward → wave 2 finishes.
Case 2 – Price breaks below 4020
If D1 momentum reverses upward from oversold but price breaks below 4020:
• The current 5-wave structure is wave C (green),
• Price will extend downward to complete wave Y,
• Wave Y completes when D1 momentum turns upward again.
🎯 In both scenarios, the next key move is still a downward leg.
________________________________________
4. Wave C Target Levels
Yesterday, two targets were provided:
• 4158
• 4184 – 4193
Price already hit 4158, then reversed strongly, producing 300 pips profit.
We now expect the remaining target 4184 – 4193 to act as the primary sell zone.
________________________________________
5. Trading Plan
📍 Sell Zone: 4184 – 4185
• SL: 4205
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.11.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.11.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context
PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December.
Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today.
Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising.
✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP
📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry)
4130 – 4136
→ Open BUY.
→ Retest zone after breakout.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone)
4108 – 4113
→ Strong BUY zone.
→ If broken → deeper correction possible.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES)
Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...)
4100 – 4102
4092 – 4094
4088
4060 – 4066
→ For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips).
❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP)
📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips.
🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area)
4192 – 4195
→ Short SELL for quick reaction.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE 2
4200 – 4202
→ Psychological resistance → SELL scalp.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension)
4180 – 4187
→ Short-term SELL for a small pullback.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES
If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts:
Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092.
Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220.
⚠️ Risk Management
Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly.
This plan is for reference only, not financial advice.
Trade responsibly.
Have a good day, guys!
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 26th November 2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan
🟢 BUY Setup
Entry Trigger: Buy above the High of 15-min candle only if price closes above 25993.
Targets 🎯:
1st Target → 26035
2nd Target → 26075
3rd Target → 26099
Possible Confirmation Signals 🔍:
Strong bullish candle close
Increasing volume
Trend intact above VWAP/EMA
No sharp resistance immediately ahead
🔻 SELL Setup
Entry Trigger: Sell below the Low of 15-min candle only if price closes below 25815.
Targets 🎯:
1st Target → 25780
2nd Target → 25750
3rd Target → 25725
Possible Confirmation Signals 🔍:
Bearish breakdown candle
Higher sell volume
Sustained trading below intraday support
Weakness in market sentiment
🔐 Risk Management is Key
Always set SL (Stop-Loss) according to the candle structure
Book partial profits at target zones
Avoid over-trading — trade only when your levels trigger
Maintain position sizing as per your risk tolerance
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not SEBI registered.
All levels are for educational & study purposes only 📘.
Trading in stock markets involves financial risk — Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
You are responsible for your own profits & losses.
LUMAXIND - continue to rise with rising strength -Positional BuyLUMAXIND
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
good for positional buy
at its all time high
rising strength on strength meter
passes daily and weekly mark minervini trend template criteria
SCORING
Core Fundamentals (Sales + Profit + Margins + ROE/ROCE) – 20% weight
EPS Trend & Consistency – 20% weight
Multi-year EPS breakout & new highs: ~85/100
Institutional Trend (Promoter, FII, DII) – 20% weight
Stable 75% promoter, strong DII build-up, small but rising FII: ~80/100
Technicals / Momentum (Price vs MAs, 1Y performance, RSI) – 40% weight
Strong uptrend, above key MAs, 1Y 142% but some overextension risk: ~80/100
Weighted together, this gives around:
Overall ≈ 81 / 100
Quick Take
Positives
Strong, consistent topline growth (20–25%+).
EPS has broken out post-COVID and is hitting new highs.
ROE/ROCE in high-teens – healthy quality.
DIIs have aggressively accumulated over the last 2 years.
Stock is in a clear technical uptrend, outperforming the market sharply.
Watch-outs
Valuation is rich vs. historical and vs. typical auto-ancillary.
Debt has increased meaningfully to fund growth – fine if cycle stays strong, a risk if it doesn’t.
1-year move (142%) means any small disappointment in future quarters can trigger sharp corrections.
JKCEMENT at Demand Zone – Is Wave 5 About to Start?⚡ JK CEMENT – Wave 4 Correction Completing | Wave 5 Blast Loading?
🧠 Overall Market Structure
JK Cement is showing a textbook Elliott Wave progression, and price has now entered the crucial Wave 4 → Wave C completion zone (₹5276–₹5396).
This zone aligns with 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of Wave 3, making it a high-probability reversal area 📌.
The chart shows:
Strong Impulse Wave 3 with clean channel movement
Clear ChoCH (Change of Character) at the top → signaling the start of Wave 4
A complete A-B-C correction structure into the green demand zone
Price now sitting exactly where a bullish reversal is expected
This is where Wave 5 usually begins ⚡.
📚 Educational Insights
📘 Impulse Wave vs Corrective Wave:
Wave 3 was an impulsive move — long, strong, and directional.
Wave 4 is corrective in nature — choppy and overlapping. This is normal and healthy before Wave 5 begins.
🎯 38.2%–61.8% Retracement Rule:
Wave 4 typically retraces 38.2% to 61.8% of Wave 3.
JK Cement’s price has corrected exactly into this Fibonacci zone — strengthening reversal probability.
🔄 A-B-C Correction Pattern:
Wave 4 often forms an A-B-C pattern.
This chart shows a clean A (fall) → B (pullback) → C (final drop) into demand — classic Wave 4 behavior.
🌀 Wave 5 Potential:
Wave 5 tends to be a trend-continuation wave.
Targets are often based on Fibonacci extensions of Wave 4 — exactly what we’re projecting here.
🎯 Prediction & Price Outlook
If price holds above the ₹5276–₹5396 support range and forms a reversal candle, the next major move could be a Wave 5 rally.
🚀 First Target: ₹7113 (0.78 retracement of Wave 4)
🚀 Second Target: ₹8132 (113%–128% extended retracement → typical Wave 5 zone)
A breakout above ₹6285 strengthens the confirmation of Wave 5 activation.
🛑 Stop Loss (Closing Basis): ₹5226
💡 Trading Strategy (Educational Purpose Only)
🟢 Entry Zone: ₹5276–₹5396
Look for Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, or ChoCH on lower timeframes.
📈 Confirmation Trigger:
Break above ₹6285 → safer entry with trend confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
• Target 1 → ₹7113
• Target 2 → ₹8132
⚖️ Risk Management:
• SL below ₹5226 (daily close)
• Risk 1–2% total capital
• Avoid chasing — wait for structure confirmation
🧩 Summary
JK Cement is showing a perfect Wave 4 completion setup at a major Fibonacci demand zone.
If the structure holds and reversal emerges, a strong Wave 5 rally could unfold toward ₹7113 and ₹8132 🎯.
This is a high-probability zone for trend continuation traders and Elliott Wave followers.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(26/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today, indicating early positive sentiment and a possible attempt to recover from the recent sideways-to-weak price action. If the index sustains above the 59050–59100 zone, the buying setup becomes active with targets of 59250, 59350, and 59450+. A stronger bullish move can unfold only if Bank Nifty crosses above 59550, which will open the next upside targets of 59750, 59850, and 59950+.
On the downside, weakness will come only if the index slips below the 58950–58900 zone, where the PE trade activates with targets at 58750, 58650, and 58550-. With a gap-up opening, initial momentum may stay positive, but clear direction for the day will depend on how price behaves around the key breakout and breakdown levels.
Supply–Demand + Trendline Confluence Trade SetupPrice abhi ek strong supply–demand structure follow kar raha hai. Market ne pehle demand zone se clear bounce diya tha, jahan buyers active mile. Upar jaate waqt price supply zone ke paas reject hua, confirming that sellers are still defending that level.
Abhi price trendline ke sath confluence area me trade ho raha hai, jo next move ke liye most important zone hai.
🔍 Key Analysis
Price ne Demand Zone se bounce diya → buyers active
Supply Zone par clear rejection → sellers strong
Market ek clean trendline follow kar raha hai
Ab price trendline + demand zone confluence test kar raha hai
Yaha se reversal ya breakdown — dono chances high clarity ke saath milenge
📌 Trade Plan
If price respects trendline:
Entry: Demand + trendline bounce ke baad bullish candle close
SL: Demand zone ke neeche
Targets:
T1: First minor resistance
T2: Supply zone retest
If trendline breaks:
Entry: Trendline breakdown candle close
SL: Breakdown candle high
Targets:
T1: Previous demand zone
T2: Major support
🔥 Why This Trade Works
Supply + demand + trendline = triple confluence
Clear structure + easy SL placement
Strong RR (1:2 / 1:3 possible)
⏰ 3PM Exit Rule
Agar target ya SL hit na ho →
3 PM par market price pe exit.
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
