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Trend Analysis

Nifty chart showing fed rate cutPositive momentum on Nifty make or break level but as gift Nifty is trading above 25500 so any Positive news will trigger Nifty tomorrow for 25600 means 300+points and in coming 3 days market will suppose to show some big fluctuations as US has many things to release Focus focus on fed rate cut according to me market is showing some rate cut as market is in resistance and closed near that level means big players know something which we were waiting for Follow to more content
NSE:NIFTY
by learnandearn5
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold. Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated. At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear. Trading plan (short-term focus): Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656 Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740 I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Sensex expiry Analysis - Daily ChartSensex expiry analysis for tomorrow. On daily time frame we completed 1 W shape pattern and there are still 2 levels left at 83080, 83480, 83840. We need to wait for the resistance to break after a retest so we can see good premium spikes. It will not be so easy on expiry, SL hunting will happens few times with big candles then continuation can happen. Have patience and wait till the resistance is broken. Will be updating levels as the day progresses.
BSE:SENSEX
by GOPISRI
BAJAJ FINANCE NEXT TARGETTrend Now - Side ways in 1 Hour candle BLACK LINE - STOPLOSS HUNTING LINES-when you buy above the black line it will fall below the Black line. When you short below the black line again it will go up the black line. so your SL will be hit on both ways.So be cautious around the Black line GREEN LINE BOX - SUPPORTS PREDICTION - If resistance gives a big candle with high volume break out next target will be VIOLET ARROW - Next target Level RED LINE BOX - RESISTANCE
NSE:BAJFINANCE
by ganeshbabu6
IDEA for NIFTY50 17/09/2025A very good BOS has happened on Daily Time...and Resistance become a support... From here, I feel that the market will either stop here for a while or go down a little. If it stops then the target of 25700 is coming from here and if it goes down then buying opportunity will be available from 24950. If we want to go down, then there are some events here which will be negative or the news will be negative. The trend is still bullish, trade can be taken by taking stoploss at 25200 or buy trade can be taken by waiting for 24950.
NSE:NIFTY
by vj_Sharma
1
Green candle but sellers are there in Nifty As we discussed yesterday, the market is moving towards 25525. Buyers’ volume along with the tight pivot percentile worked well today and pushed NSE:NIFTY up to 25330. 1. Pivot has now climbed to 25317 2. Trend is positive 3. Momentum is up 4. Retail index is marginally up, which means if it’s lagging, resistance could soon be visible on the index 5. Volume – sellers’ volume is 2 million higher, which is negative 6. Market breadth – positive 7. Close above resistance But here’s the key point – even after such a big green candle, sellers’ volume is higher than buyers. This shows that sellers are entering the index. So if you’re trading the index, make sure to book some profits tomorrow. Support – 25300 Resistance – 25500 Sector focus – NSE:CNXFINANCE and NSE:CNXMETAL --- 📊 Levels at a glance: Pivot: 25317 Support: 25300 Resistance: 25500 Target: 25525 Bias: Bullish but profit booking advised Sector Focus: Finance, Metals That’s all for the day. Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTY
by Trendxinc
#PENINDAsset: Pennar Industries Ltd (PENIND) Entry Level: 233 Potential Target: 300 (1st target) Stop Loss: 221 (~4.5% risk) Timeframe: Short to Medium term Risk to Reward ratio : 1:2 Rationale: Fundamentals - Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes: * ROCE - 16.0% * ROE - 12.7% * Debt to Equity - 0.81 * Stock PE 26 / Industry PE - 37.4 || Stock PBV 3.11 / Industry PBV 4.21 - Company is underpriced * EPS / Revenue - Has been increasing for the last 6 months * ADR is 3.7% Technical - * Overall structure - Structure seems to be forming a cup after a breakout from an earlier cup structure, 10 DMA is crossing above the 20 DMA * Relative Strength is picking up. * Multiple timeframe analysis - Weekly structure is forming a penant structure Market analysis * Promoter holding has gone up. * Holding pattern - FIIs increased significantly / DIIs have added / Promoter holding steady / Retail reducing Cons * Momentum and ADR is low indicating slow movement potential This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
NSE:PENINDLong
by mdmahanti
Gap Fill - Kotak Mahindra Bank📊 Script: KOTAKBANK Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script will fill gap in near future, we may see some good rally. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2050 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2176 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 1991 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:KOTAKBANKLong
by radha_23
4
Bearish View On Jio Financial Services ## What is Jio Financial Services * Part of Reliance Industries. It was demerged in 2023 from RIL’s financial services arm. ( ) * It is registered as an **NBFC-ND-SI** (Non-Deposit Taking, Systemically Important). ( ) * Also got approvals/structure to operate as a **Core Investment Company (CIC)**. ( ) --- ## Key Business Verticals / Subsidiaries & Offerings JFSL operates through multiple verticals. Main ones are: | Vertical | What they do | | ------------------------------------------------------ | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | **Lending & Financing** (via Jio Finance / Jio Credit) | Personal loans, unsecured & secured loans (e.g. loans against mutual funds/securities, device/consumer durable financing, supply chain finance, leasing etc.). ( ) | | **Payments / Digital Banking** | Jio Payments Bank (has CASA accounts, wallet services etc.), also merchant acquiring, POS/UPI etc. ( ) | | **Payment Aggregation** | Subsidiary Jio Payment Solutions got license to operate as an online payment aggregator. ( ) | | **Insurance Broking / Embedded Insurance** | Distributing life, health, motor or general insurance policies, via broking. Embedded in other services/platforms. ( ) | | **Asset / Wealth Management** | Joint venture with BlackRock (JioBlackRock) for mutual funds / investment advisory etc. | --- ## Revenue Streams JFSL has multiple sources of revenue. Some of the big ones: 1. **Interest income** From its lending / financing arms — interest charged on loans etc. This is a major income stream. 2. **Fees, Commissions and Service Income** From insurance broking, payment aggregator fees, merchant fees, wealth management fees etc. 3. **Asset Under Management (AUM) growth** JV with BlackRock etc. As more funds come in, more revenue from fund management / advisory / wealth services. 4. **Deposits / CASA / Wallet / Payments Bank** The Payments Bank side gives access to customer deposits, transaction volumes, small scale float etc., which help both in revenue and in feeding other verticals. 5. **Other financial instruments / capital markets / bond issue** E.g. its subsidiary raising bonds etc. --- ## Key Strengths / Competitive Advantages * **Strong parent & ecosystem**: Backed by Reliance & Jio. Big reach, infrastructure, customer base. Allows cross-selling, embedding finance into telecom / retail etc. * **Digital first approach**: App platforms, digital origination, use of technology, alternate data. Lower friction, lower costs. * **Regulatory traction / licenses**: Getting necessary approvals (payment aggregator, payments bank, NBFC etc. * **Diversity & synergy across verticals**: Lending, payments, insurance, wealth — this gives multiple touch points with customers; can cross-sell. * **Brand trust and scale**: Jio / Reliance already very large, so new financial services get benefit. --- ## Costs, Risks, Challenges * **Capital cost & funding**: Lending requires capital; must manage cost of funds, credit risk, NPAs etc. * **Regulation & compliance**: Financial services is heavily regulated. Licensing, oversight, risk controls. * **Competition**: Existing banks, NBFCs, fintechs are well entrenched. JFSL needs to differentiate. * **Customer acquisition & trust in finance**: For financial services, trust, safety, privacy very important. Mistakes hurt more than in telecom. * **Technology risk / cyber risk**: Given it's digital-first, needs robust cyber security and data protection. * **Profitability in non-lending verticals**: Some verticals (insurance, wealth) may have lower margins / higher risk. --- ## Financial & Growth Metrics (Recent) * In Q1 FY26, revenue from operations rose \~47% YoY to **₹612 crore**. ( ) * Profit after tax (PAT) was \~ **₹325 crore** for same quarter. ( ) * **AUM** for lending / financing (Jio Credit) \~ ₹11,665 crore as of June 30, 2025. ( ) * AUM of JioBlackRock crossed \~ **₹17,800 crore**. ( ) --- ## How They Put It All Together – The Model Putting the pieces together, JFSL is trying to build a **financial super-app / platform** embedded in the larger Reliance / Jio / Retail ecosystem. Key features: * Use Reliance / Jio / Retail channels to distribute finance / payments / investment products. * Borrow or attract capital to fund lending, while earning interest, fees. * Leverage tech + data to reduce costs, assess risk better. * Cross-sell across verticals; e.g. a retail customer who uses Jio telecom, then payments, then device financing, then insurance etc. * Use digital platforms to scale quickly without proportionate cost rise.
NSE:JIOFINShort
by TheGoldenFarmsofEquity
2
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 18th September 2025Today I don't see the point in providing any details on the levels as market may open huge gap-up or gap-down .. just marking all possible levels on chart. Hope this helps Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar
1
Why Most Traders Stay Average: The Comfort Trap[ Most traders treat moving averages like magic buy/sell buttons. That’s not how professionals think . A moving average is a map of trend + structure, not a trading signal. ❌ The Retail Mistake Buying when price crosses above Selling when price crosses below. Blindly trusting “golden cross” or “death cross.” 👉 Result: Whipsaws, fake entries, frustration. ✅ The Pro Mindset Trend filter: Are we in uptrend (above MA), downtrend (below MA), or chop (whipsaw around MA)? Dynamic support/resistance: Does price respect the MA and bounce, or reject and break? Mean reversion tool: If price stretches too far from the MA, expect it to snap back. 📊 In this NIFTY 50 chart: April–June → Price rode the 50MA upward (dynamic support). July–Aug → Price broke below → MA flipped into resistance. Now → Price reclaiming above → shows buyers regaining control. 🎯 How You Can Use This Use a 20/50/200 MA to filter trend → trade in the direction of bias. Use MAs as areas of interest, not entry triggers. Wait for price reaction. Don’t predict → let context confirm. 👉 Moving averages don’t predict. They contextualize. Stop asking them for signals. Start using them as maps. 💡 Save this. Follow for daily trader mindset + real education — no fluff.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by iampatilkishor
Aegis Logistics (Daily Timeframe) - Potential Breakout ??Following a strong uptrend that peaked in July 2024, Aegis Logistics entered a multi-month consolidation phase. Despite marking a new all-time high in January 2025, the stock lacked sustained upward momentum and has since formed a clear Symmetrical Triangle pattern . This pattern typically acts as a continuation signal, suggesting the prior uptrend is likely to resume. Recent Bullish Momentum This week, the stock has shown a significant surge in buying interest, rallying +14.05% on the back of very high trading volume. This powerful move towards the triangle's upper boundary indicates strengthening bullish sentiment and a potential impending breakout. Indicator Analysis On the daily chart, short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have already registered a bullish crossover , confirming the immediate positive momentum. While the weekly EMAs are yet to confirm a similar crossover, they are aligning positively, suggesting a longer-term bullish signal may be forming. Future Outlook & Key Levels The direction of the next major move hinges on the resolution of this triangle pattern. Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout and close above the triangle's upper trendline would confirm the pattern's continuation. The primary upside target in this case is ₹944 . Bearish Scenario: If the stock fails to break out and instead breaches the lower trendline of the triangle, the bullish thesis would be invalidated. The key support level to watch on the downside would be ₹663 . Watchout for the Price-action !!
NSE:AEGISLOGLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
EURO/USDDealing Range & Discount Zone: Price is in the lower half of the recent range, where buyers may step in. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market may retrace to fill imbalance before moving higher. Bullish Order Block: Strong demand area below, likely to support price if tested. Trendline: Price is compressing under a descending trendline. Scenarios: Break above trendline → bullish continuation. Small dip to order block → reversal upward. 👉 Overall bias: Bullish, with retracement possible before upside move.
Long
by ChartistHub
1
GE Shipping (Daily Timeframe) - Potential Breakout ??GE Shipping has broken out from a critical, long-term resistance level originating from December 2023. The stock is showing strong bullish momentum, confirmed by multiple technical signals. Key Observations: Pattern: A double-bottom in April 2025 ended the prior downtrend, leading to a period of consolidation. Breakout: On Sep 16, 2025, the stock decisively broke above the resistance on high volume. Confirmation: The breakout was confirmed on Sep 17, as the old resistance successfully held as new support. Indicators: Bullish EMA crossovers and sustained above-average volume support the move. Price Outlook : Upside Target: ₹1283 if the price remains above the breakout level. Downside Risk: A failure to hold this new support could lead to a decline towards the ₹914 level.
NSE:GESHIPLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
BPCL Chart AnalysisBPCL is trading around 323, showing signs of strength after breaking out from a falling trendline. The stock has been consolidating and is now retesting the important resistance zone of 325. Sustaining above this level could open the way for further upside towards higher resistance zones. 🔑 Key Levels: ✅ Support: 318 / 310 ✅ Resistance: 325 / 334 / 342 ✅ Trend: Recovering from downtrend, moving into consolidation-to-bullish phase 📈 The breakout from the downtrend line indicates reduced selling pressure and renewed buying interest. A strong close above 325 with volume confirmation could trigger momentum towards the next resistances. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purpose only, not a buy recommendation.
NSE:BPCLLong
by bhandariarjun799
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC 📊 Market Context Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range. The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation. Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC. 🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS. Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited). Liquidity Pools: Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone). Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone). 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones 3,686.88 (Immediate resistance) 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone) Support / Buy Zones 3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest) 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone) ✅ Priority Scenario – BUY Entry 1 Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest) SL: 3,661 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 2 Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) SL: 3,648 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 3 Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity) SL: 3,618 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade) If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns. Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears. SL: 3,730 TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely. Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk. Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells). Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
TATA MOTOR LOOKS BULLISHTata Motors is trading near 719, holding strong above the crucial support zone of 705. The price has formed a clear higher-lows trendline, indicating sustained buying interest. Currently, it is testing the resistance around 720, and a breakout above this level could open the way towards 730–740 in the short term. 🔑 Key Levels: ✅ Support: 705 ✅ Resistance: 720 / 740 ✅ Trend: Bullish bias with ascending structure 📈 Volume activity shows steady participation, and technical structure suggests buyers are in control. If price sustains above 720 with strong volume, upside momentum can accelerate. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purpose only, not a buy recommendation.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by bhandariarjun799
1
Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025 Current Price: ~3666 Key Levels Identified: Resistance R1: ~3700 Trendline Resistance R2: ~3780 Support S1: ~3623 Support S2: ~3540 📰 News Impact Projection: If the Federal Reserve Cuts the Funds Rate Expect bullish momentum. Strategy: Buy after a retest above Resistance R1 (~3700). Target: Trendline Resistance R2 → ~3780. If the Federal Reserve Increases the Funds Rate Expect bearish momentum. Strategy: Sell after a retest below Support S1 (~3623). Target: Support S2 → ~3540. ⚠️ Stop Loss (SL): Around 3658, near current consolidation zone. 🎯 Summary Bullish case (Rate Cut): Buy above 3700 → Target 3780. Bearish case (Rate Hike): Sell below 3623 → Target 3540. Market direction will strongly depend on FOMC Funds Rate decision.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97