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Trend Analysis

Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 26/01/2025 Momentum – Weekly momentum (W1) has now turned bullish, therefore the uptrend is likely to continue for the next few weeks on the weekly timeframe. – Daily momentum (D1) is currently overlapping in the overbought zone, which warns that a potential reversal could occur during this week. – H4 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, so there is a high probability that price may continue to rise at the beginning of the Asian session. Wave Structure Weekly Wave Structure (W1) – On the weekly timeframe, a five-wave structure (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) in orange is forming, and price is most likely developing within an extended wave (5) in orange. – Inside the orange wave (5), we can observe a five-wave structure in blue, with price currently located in blue wave 5. – With weekly momentum having just turned bullish, wave (5) still has the potential to extend further. However, special attention is required: although momentum continues to support the bullish move, the price target of orange wave (5) has already reached the Fibonacci 1.0 projection of orange wave (1)–(3), therefore the risk of reversal in this zone is very high. Daily Wave Structure (D1) – Within the blue five-wave structure, price is currently located in blue wave 5. – Inside blue wave 5, an orange five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) is developing, and price is most likely in orange wave 3 at the moment. – With daily momentum preparing to reverse in the overbought zone, this suggests that price may reverse to the downside during this week, thereby forming orange wave 4. H4 Wave Structure – On the H4 timeframe, a five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in purple is forming, and price is currently in purple wave 5. – Inside purple wave 5, we continue to observe a five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black, with price most likely located in black wave 5. – There is currently a confluence zone of Fibonacci levels, measured from wave structures across different degrees, converging in the price range between 5010 and 5038. This indicates that this area is very likely to act as a strong resistance zone for the current bullish move. – If tomorrow’s D1 candle closes with confirmed bearish momentum reversal, and price fails to break above the 5010–5038 resistance zone, then this area is likely to mark the end of orange wave 3 on the D1 timeframe, with the market transitioning into orange wave 4 on D1. Trading Plan – A specific trading plan will be updated tomorrow, once more real price data and clearer confirmation signals are available.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
XAUUSD - ATH confirmed, buy pullbacks to 5,100+Gold continues to trade in a strong ATH expansion phase, not a blow-off move. The latest impulsive rally confirms that buyers remain in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed quickly and efficiently. On the macro side, USD weakness persists, safe-haven flows remain active, and the market still prices only modest Fed easing — a combination that continues to support gold at elevated levels. At this stage, ATHs are no longer resistance — they are areas of acceptance. Structure & Price Action Bullish structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs – Higher Lows. No bearish CHoCH has formed despite the sharp upside extension. Current consolidation near the highs suggests continuation, not exhaustion. Pullbacks are corrective and aligned with the ascending trendline and demand zones. Key insight: ATH is being defended by structure → trend continuation remains the primary bias. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Focus on patience, not chasing price. BUY Zone 1: 4,984 – 4,970 (Former resistance turned demand + short-term rebalancing) BUY Zone 2: 4,928 – 4,910 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity absorption) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at the highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,085 TP2: 5,120+ (extension if momentum sustains) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,085 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,910 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion, supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge is not predicting the top, but buying pullbacks into demand while the trend is intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
HTF Bullish Context: Buy the Pullback, Not the Market Context Gold remains in a strong higher-timeframe bullish structure. Momentum is driven by sustained risk-off flows and persistent demand for safe-haven assets. In this environment, pullbacks are opportunities, not signs of reversal. Technical Structure (HTF → LTF Alignment) Price previously confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. The latest impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG. Current price is consolidating below 4,953, signaling a corrective pullback, not distribution. Structure remains intact as long as price holds above the key demand zone. Key Levels (Decision Zones) Current high: 4,953 Discount pullback zone (FVG): 4,906 – 4,887 Deep support / structure low: 4,810 Upside projection (1.618): 5,061 Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation If price reacts and holds above 4,900 FVG is respected → continuation toward 4,953, extension to 5,061 Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback If price loses 4,900 Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,810 Structure remains bullish unless HTF closes below 4,810 Summary This is a trend continuation environment. Chasing highs carries poor risk-reward. Buy the pullback. Respect the FVG. Let structure do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
2
Gold Trend and Scalping Strategy for 26th january 2026🟡 GOLD TRADING PLAN (Intraday) 📈 TREND TRADING STRATEGY 🔔 BUY SETUP 💲 Buy Above: High of 30-minute candle 📌 Condition: Candle must close above 5019 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 5029 Target 2: 5039 Target 3: 5049 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the 30-minute candle low or as per your risk management 📊 Logic: Sustained price action above 5019 confirms bullish momentum Suitable for trend-following traders 🔔 SELL SETUP 💲 Sell Below: Low of 1-hour candle 📌 Condition: Candle must close below 4963 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 4953 Target 2: 4943 Target 3: 4933 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the 1-hour candle high 📊 Logic: Breakdown below 4963 confirms bearish continuation Ideal for positional intraday trend trades ⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY 🔻 SCALPING SELL 📌 Area: Around 5019 resistance zone 🔔 Entry Rule: Price moves near 5019, 15-minute candle gets rejected (wick / strong selling pressure), Sell below the low of the rejected 15-min candle 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the high of the rejected candle 🎯 Profit Booking: 5 to 10 points, OR Trail stop loss for extended move 📊 Logic: 5019 acts as a strong supply zone Best for quick momentum scalps 🔺 SCALPING BUY 📌 Area: Around 4963 support zone 🔔 Entry Rule: Price approaches 4963, 15-minute candle shows rejection / buying support, Buy above the high of the rejected candle 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the low of the rejected candle 🎯 Profit Booking: 5 to 10 points, OR Trail stop loss 📊 Logic: 4963 acts as a demand zone Suitable for support-based scalping ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 🚫 This content is only for educational purposes 🚫 Not a buy/sell recommendation 🚫 Trading involves high risk 🚫 Please consult your financial advisor before trading 🚫 Trade strictly with proper risk management
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Trend and Scalping Strategy for 26th January 2026🟡 GOLD TRADING PLAN (Intraday) 📈 TREND TRADING STRATEGY 🔔 BUY SETUP 💲 Buy Above: High of 30-minute candle 📌 Condition: Candle must close above 5019 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 5029 Target 2: 5039 Target 3: 5049 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the 30-minute candle low or as per your risk management 📊 Logic: Sustained price action above 5019 confirms bullish momentum Suitable for trend-following traders 🔔 SELL SETUP 💲 Sell Below: Low of 1-hour candle 📌 Condition: Candle must close below 4963 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 4953 Target 2: 4943 Target 3: 4933 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the 1-hour candle high 📊 Logic: Breakdown below 4963 confirms bearish continuation Ideal for positional intraday trend trades ⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY 🔻 SCALPING SELL 📌 Area: Around 5019 resistance zone 🔔 Entry Rule: Price moves near 5019, 15-minute candle gets rejected (wick / strong selling pressure), Sell below the low of the rejected 15-min candle 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the high of the rejected candle 🎯 Profit Booking: 5 to 10 points, OR Trail stop loss for extended move 📊 Logic: 5019 acts as a strong supply zone Best for quick momentum scalps 🔺 SCALPING BUY 📌 Area: Around 4963 support zone 🔔 Entry Rule: Price approaches 4963, 15-minute candle shows rejection / buying support, Buy above the high of the rejected candle 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the low of the rejected candle 🎯 Profit Booking: 5 to 10 points, OR Trail stop loss 📊 Logic: 4963 acts as a demand zone Suitable for support-based scalping ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 🚫 This content is only for educational purposes 🚫 Not a buy/sell recommendation 🚫 Trading involves high risk 🚫 Please consult your financial advisor before trading 🚫 Trade strictly with proper risk management
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Maruti Suzuki - A Solid OpportunityMaruti Suzuki has entered into short term bearish mode. It is down nearly 7% from the top in last 2 weeks, confirming a strong downside momentum. Structure: Playing Wave C, of 4 in short term. Trend: Bearish Also a clear divergence in RSI indicator at the top Trade Setup: Short Target: 15270/- StopLoss: 16500/- Notes This is a classic Elliot wave pattern. Wave C generally moves fast. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Manage risk properly.
NSE:MARUTIShort
by seeramvenkatesh
Paytm - Is a Bearish Barrier Triangle Signaling a Deeper CorrectLooking at the 4H chart for One 97 Communications Ltd. (Paytm), Am seeing a classic consolidation pattern following a strong impulsive move. After completing what appears to be a 5-wave sequence (blue labels), the price action is now squeezing into a Barrier Triangle structure—a specific Elliott Wave pattern that often precedes a sharp "thrust" in the direction of the larger trend. Wave B did an exactly 0.786 retracement. Below 1260, its gonna be a straight fall to 1100 odd. RSI already indicating a clear breakdown.
NSE:PAYTMShort
by seeramvenkatesh