Get started

Trend Analysis

Part 2 Support and Resistance 1. Direction Bullish – Expecting price to rise Bearish – Expecting price to fall Neutral/Sideways – Expecting price to stay within a range 2. Volatility Implied Volatility (IV) – Market’s expectation of future volatility Historical Volatility (HV) – Actual past volatility Understanding IV is critical because it defines option pricing: High IV: Options expensive → better for selling Low IV: Options cheap → better for buying 3. Time Decay (Theta) Time decay benefits option sellers Time decay hurts option buyers Your strategies should align with whether you want theta as a friend (selling) or foe (buying). 4. Probability and Payoff Modern options trading is probability-driven. Traders consider: Break-even points Maximum risk & reward Greeks impact (mainly Delta, Theta, Vega)
NSE:INFYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
XAUUSD (H1) – Early-week Selling biasSharp drop from ATH, look to sell the pullback into resistance & liquidity Strategy summary Gold opened the week with a fast sell-off (roughly a $20 drop intraday), signalling strong profit-taking after the All-Time High sweep. With the current structure, my focus is SELL on pullbacks, using the trendline / resistance zones and nearby liquidity clusters as execution areas. 1) Technical read (H1 – based on your chart) All-Time High remains a major psychological ceiling. After an ATH sweep, a corrective leg is common. Price is trading below the Buyside Liquidity band, which often gets retested before the next directional move. Key levels on your chart: Sell zone: 4494 – 4497 (main pullback sell area) Strong Liquidity: around 4474 (reaction / decision point) Lower liquidity supports: 4441 – 4444 and 4403 – 4406 (areas to watch for reactions) 2) Trade plan (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A (priority): SELL the pullback ✅ Sell zone: 4494 – 4497 SL (guide): above the zone (refine on lower TF / spread) TP1: 4474 TP2: 4441 – 4444 TP3: 4403 – 4406 Logic: This is a clean resistance / pullback area. Selling the reaction is safer than chasing shorts at the lows. Scenario B: BUY reaction at lower liquidity (scalp only) If the sell leg extends into support, you can consider a short-term bounce trade: Buy: 4441 – 4444 (quick reaction zone) Deeper buy: 4403 – 4406 (better value zone) Only take buys with clear holding signals on lower timeframes — no catching falling knives. 3) Macro context (news) – why gold is swinging The sharp move lower suggests markets are re-pricing risk after an extended rally. US–Israel tensions are elevated, with Trump and Netanyahu reportedly clashing over Gaza, Iran and post-war order — geopolitical risk can trigger fast liquidity-driven swings. In headline-driven sessions, gold often runs a two-step pattern: liquidity sweep → correction → direction. That’s why I’m sticking to level-based execution and avoiding FOMO. 4) Risk notes Don’t chase shorts during heavy red candles. Focus on 4494–4497 for shorts and scale out at the TP levels. Max risk per trade: 1–2%. What’s your bias for this week: selling the 4494–4497 pullback, or waiting for 444x/440x to buy a reaction bounce?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Week 1, January 2026 1. Momentum Weekly timeframe (W1): Observing the weekly momentum, we can see that momentum is rolling over within the overbought zone. This suggests a high probability that weekly momentum may reverse next week, or at least that a meaningful corrective move could take place. Daily timeframe (D1): Daily momentum is also showing signs of exhaustion and compression, indicating that short- to medium-term reversal risk is increasing. The probability of a corrective move during the coming week is relatively high. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently declining, although signs of compression are emerging. We need to wait for the Monday session to confirm whether this is merely a short-term pullback or the beginning of a clearer bearish move. 2. Elliott Wave Structure – Weekly (W1) On the weekly chart, price has just printed a new high following a strong bullish candle last week. Prior to that, the market had formed a series of small-bodied candles, followed by a significantly larger candle, while volume did not expand accordingly. This behavior serves as a bull-trap warning signal, suggesting that buying pressure is gradually weakening. In addition, the flat corrective structure has not been invalidated. When combined with the fact that weekly momentum is preparing to reverse, the probability that price is forming a top and completing Wave X during the coming week is very high. Since Wave X has exceeded the low of Wave W, the first target for Wave Y is expected to be around 4072, equivalent to the length of Wave W. 3. Elliott Wave Structure – Daily (D1) Within the purple Wave X, price is forming a red ABC corrective structure. Notably, Wave C (red) contains an internal 5-wave impulsive structure (blue). If this 5-wave structure is fully confirmed, the next scenario is likely to be a sharp and steep decline, occurring immediately after the extended Wave 5 is completed. 4. Elliott Wave Structure – H4 On the H4 timeframe, within the blue Wave 5, we can observe a 5-wave structure labeled in red. Looking deeper, within red Wave 5, a black 5-wave structure is currently developing, and price is now in black Wave 5. Key characteristics of this black Wave 5 include: - Price has already reached its projected target - Waves are beginning to overlap Therefore, the preferred scenario at this stage is that black Wave 5 is likely forming an Ending Diagonal. Confirmation / Invalidation conditions: - Price must not break above the 4594 level. → A breakout above this zone would invalidate the Ending Diagonal scenario. - Price needs to decline strongly and close below 4471, which is a major liquidity support zone. → If this level is broken, the next major liquidity zone lies around 4348. 5. Market Condition Notice With only a few days left before the year-end, market liquidity remains very low. Under these conditions: - Price action often becomes choppy and directionless - False breakouts and stop hunts on both sides are more likely to occur For this reason, I recommend staying on the sidelines and limiting trading activity, especially for medium-term positions. Capital preservation should remain the top priority in this low-liquidity, high-risk environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts What Are Options? Options are financial derivatives whose value is based on an underlying asset. They come in two primary types: Call Option A call option gives the buyer the right to buy an asset at a pre-decided price (strike price) before the expiry date. Traders buy calls when they expect the market to go up. Put Option A put option gives the buyer the right to sell an asset at a strike price before expiry. Traders buy puts when they expect the market to go down.
NSE:COFORGEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold Holds Rising Channel – Upside Targets Still OpenGold is trading inside a clean rising channel, forming clear higher highs and higher lows, which confirms that the overall trend remains bullish. Instead of chasing breakouts, price is now doing what strong trends usually do, pause and consolidate before the next move. The marked buying zone sits perfectly inside the rising channel and has already acted as a strong demand area. As long as Gold holds above this zone, buyers remain in control and upside continuation remains the higher probability scenario. Upside targets are aligned with the channel resistance, which adds further confidence to this setup. These types of structures often reward traders who wait for pullbacks rather than reacting emotionally to fast candles. A breakdown below the marked invalidation level would weaken this bullish view, but until then, the structure favors patience and trend-following. Key Levels to Watch Best Buying Range: 4519–4515 1st Target: 4535 2nd Target: 4553 Final Target: 4570 Structure Invalidation: Below 4497 Trend Bias: Bullish above support Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
GLENMARK 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current Price (Approx) ~₹2,010 – ₹2,011 on NSE. 🔁 1‑Month Technical Levels 🛑 Resistance (Upside) Key resistance levels you might monitor over the next month: ~₹2,020 – ₹2,035 — near recent swing highs and pivot resistance. ~₹2,045 – ₹2,070 — broader resistance zone seen in weekly/short‑term studies. ~₹2,125 – ₹2,225+ — longer trend resistance from historical levels if momentum carries higher. Important: A break above ~₹2,035–2,045 would be a bullish signal and could open room toward upper targets near ₹2,100–₹2,225+. 🧱 Support (Downside) Important short–medium supports if the price corrects: ~₹1,990 – ₹2,000 — immediate near‑term support range. ~₹1,870 – ₹1,890 — stronger lower support bands from volume accumulation. ~₹1,790 — critical support; a breakdown here could signal deeper corrective moves. Note: A break below ~₹1,990–₹2,000 may increase short‑term downside risk toward the next support cluster near ₹1,870–₹1,840. 📈 Short‑Term Range Expectation (1 Month) As a rough mid‑range estimate — assuming no major market shocks: ₹1,880 – ₹2,080 This range reflects typical swing boundaries based on recent price action and support/resistance clusters. ⚠️ Important Notes These levels are derived from publicly available technical data and pivot calculations — not financial advice Markets can be volatile; always combine technical with broader market context and volume. For entry/exit or trading strategies consult a financial advisor or licensed broker.
NSE:GLENMARKLong
by Knowledgehub
TCS 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context TCS is trading around ₹3,260–₹3,280 on NSE. The stock continues to consolidate in a sideways range, showing mixed momentum. 🎯 Key Levels — 1‑Week View (Support & Resistance) 🟦 Support Zones Immediate Support: ~₹3,258–₹3,260 (near current intraday lows) — break below here signals weakness. Secondary Support: ~₹3,236–₹3,242 — if price closes below this, broader selling could accelerate. 🟥 Resistance Zones Immediate Resistance: ~₹3,310–₹3,315 — this is the first supply area the market needs to clear. Upside Breakout Target: ~₹3,350 — clearing and holding above this could shift the short‑term bias bullish. 📌 Summary of Levels Level Type Price Zone Interpretation Immediate Support ₹3,258–3,260 Short‑term bulls must hold Secondary Support ₹3,236–3,242 Key breakdown trigger Immediate Resistance ₹3,310–3,315 First upside hurdle Breakout Resistance ₹3,350+ Bullish continuation zone 📌 Short‑Term Trader Notes Use closing prices (not just intraday levels) to confirm breaks of support/resistance. Watch for volume spikes near support or resistance to validate breakouts or breakdowns. RSI and MACD remain useful to spot divergence signals (oversold/overbought).
NSE:TCSLong
by Knowledgehub
INFY 1 Day Tim Frame 📌 Current Live Price Snapshot Current trading price: ~₹1,644 – ₹1,658 range (approx real‑time) Today’s High/Low: ~₹1,673 / ₹1,645 (intraday) 52‑Week Range: ₹1,307 – ₹1,982 approx 📊 Daily Pivot Points & Levels (Standard Pivot) (Source: Pivot analysis data) Pivot (Daily): ₹1,658.87 Resistance Levels: R1: ₹1,666.0 R2: ₹1,675.97 R3: ₹1,683.13 Support Levels: S1: ₹1,648.93 S2: ₹1,641.77 S3: ₹1,631.83 Central Pivot Range (CPR): ~₹1,657–₹1,660 📌 Price above pivot/CPR → bullish bias; below CPR → bearish / consolidation zone. 🔹 Intraday Bias Bullish above: ₹1,658 – ₹1,666 (break above this zone can attract upside) Bearish/Weak if below: ₹1,648 – ₹1,642 (break below may open deeper support) 📊 Strategy Notes ✅ Bullish if closes above pivot & R1 (~₹1,666) with volume. ⚠️ Neutral day if it stays between S1 & R1. ❌ Bearish if breaks and sustains below S2/S3 (~₹1,642/₹1,632).
NSE:INFYLong
by Knowledgehub