Trend Analysis
Bank Nifty – H&S Breakdown Setup| 1H | Expiry 25/11/25Timeframe: 1H
Pattern in Play: Head & Shoulders
Market Structure: Breakdown & Retest Watch
🔍 Technical Snapshot
Bank Nifty has printed a clean Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, with the neckline around 58850.
Price has slipped below the neckline, but only marginally, and with a spinning-top candle — signalling indecision rather than conviction.
For a high-probability continuation move, I want to see a strong bearish rejection from the neckline zone:
🔻 Bearish Marubozu, or
🔻 Shooting Star
on the flip-resistance retest of the neckline.
This confirmation could trigger a short continuation into the next liquidity zones.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias)
As long as Bank Nifty stays below 59130, bias remains bearish.
Entry Trigger
- A clean bearish signal candle on the neckline retest (preferably 1H; aggressive traders may use 15m but that’s riskier as this is a contra-trend reversal setup).
Stop-loss
-Conservative: Above the 1H signal candle
-Aggressive: Above the 15m signal candle
Downside Targets
58690 – nearest support
58600 – if 58690 breaks
58330 – deeper breakdown
58160 – extended target
A sustained close below 58600 increases probability of a move to 58330/58160.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation + Reversal)
Bullish only above 59130 on a full-body 1H breakout candle.
Entry Trigger
-Strong 1H close above 59130
Stop-loss
-Low of the breakout candle
Upside Target: 59400
This will invalidate the H&S setup and shift structure back to upward continuation.
🧭 Summary
Pattern in focus: Head & Shoulders breakdown
Bias: Bearish below 59130
Bearish continuation needs flip-resistance rejection
Bullish only on clean breakout above 59130
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.
This setup is for educational and chart-study purposes only.
Please do your own research and manage your risk responsibly.
🙏 If you found this helpful…
Boost this idea, drop a comment, and tell me which stock or index you want me to analyse next.
I publish detailed, pattern-rich setups regularly — follow for more!
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in ASAHIINDIA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in APEX
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BTC Wave 4 Bounce Looks Like a Trap! Is it?BTC is still moving inside a clear corrective channel, with the current bounce likely forming wave 4 before one final drop toward the 1.618 extension near 79,650 . The highlighted red zone shows a potential trap area where price may lure traders into thinking a reversal has started. Until BTC breaks above the channel convincingly, the broader structure still favors a wave 5 decline. The wave count from 1–2–3 supports this final leg down before any major recovery.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
GMRAIR Infra Ltd – Bullish Episodic Pivot Breakout After Base This chart of GMRAIR Infra Ltd demonstrates a robust technical setup. After a prolonged consolidation (“Non Linear Base”), the stock established its “1st Sound Base” and then staged an upward breakout at the “EP” (Episodic Pivot), a key point where high volume and momentum confirmed institutional interest. Price acceleration above the Episodic Pivot and moving averages indicates a strong trend continuation. This structure showcases a classic “base-breakout” approach, supported by increased turnover and a positive volume profile, making it attractive for momentum or swing traders seeking strength after an accumulation zone. The base and pivot now act as crucial support for risk management or stop-loss placement.
Decoding the Descending Triangle: Key Structure & FVG🔻Understanding the Pattern
- The chart above highlights a classic descending triangle pattern, easily visible by its series of lower highs (marked in red) and a relatively consistent demand zone acting as support.
- This resistance trendline (CT—Contraction Trendline) has been tested multiple times, confirming its significance as sellers consistently respond to price rallies by pushing back from lower levels.
🔻Equilibrium and Price Exploration
- Notice how price action moves from the equilibrium zone (EQ.)—the midpoint of the major move (from lows to all-time highs). This is a key area where supply and demand often rebalance
- The triangle structure forms as buyers continue to find value at support, while sellers become increasingly aggressive at lower highs, compressing price action over time.
🔻Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Focus
- A prominent Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG-WTF) is identified, which price has tapped multiple times. This repeated interaction demonstrates its importance as a liquidity pocket where imbalances are re-tested and absorbed.
- Each revisit to this FVG offers a valuable lesson on how strong institutional levels serve as magnets, attracting price to resolve open liquidity.
This post is for educational purposes, highlighting how price structures can be interpreted without suggesting any forecast or trade.
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
NVO USThe decline in Novo Nordisk shares is not the result of a single factor, but rather the result of a complex set of fundamental issues: weakening financial performance, loss of competitive advantage in key products, and increased strategic risks.
While negative data on Eli Lilly's weight loss pill in August 2025 triggered a temporary optimistic rebound in NVO shares, it failed to reverse the overall downward trend caused by the company's deeper structural problems.
Now, in order:
Operating and Financial Results
Sales and operating profit growth forecasts for 2025 have been lowered twice; Q3 2025 results below expectations
Operating margin fell to 41.7% from 44.7% (YoY), gross margin decreased to 81.0% from 84.6%
Free cash flow declined 11% due to a sharp increase in capital expenditures
Competitive pressure:
Superiority of Eli Lilly products.
Zepbound (Eli Lilly) demonstrates greater effectiveness in weight loss (20.2% vs. 13.7% for Wegovy); Mounjaro overtook Ozempic in diabetes sales.
NVO's CagriSema failed to meet expectations in clinical trials.
Companies such as Viking Therapeutics, Altimmune, Roche, and Amgen are developing promising anti-obesity drugs, threatening the Novo Nordisk-Eli Lilly duopoly.
The company recently agreed to set a "maximum fair price" for Medicare under the Inflation Reduction Act.
As a result of the deal, the price of Wegovy for certain patient categories is also expected to drop to $149 per month, compared to the current starting price of $1,349. Such a sharp price reduction will directly impact revenue and profits.
Novo Nordisk's share of the US GLP-1 market fell to 43%, while Eli Lilly's grew to 57%.
To protect profitability, Maziar's new CEO, Mike Dusdar, initiated stringent cost-cutting measures, including a hiring freeze, layoffs, and a 23.8% reduction in R&D spending. While this may support cash flow in the short term, this strategy raises concerns about long-term innovation. Eight R&D projects were terminated, potentially slowing the market launch of promising next-generation drugs such as CagriSema and oral semaglutide.
NVO shares attempted a reversal around $60, but then this figure became a mirror level, and investors sold en masse from this price, which is certainly concerning. The chart shows volumes around $60. Be that as it may, the price is now below $50, and we can see the market trying to catch a low, trying to cling to any level. We're expecting a lower price.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 21/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is contracting, signaling a potential reversal. If today’s candle confirms this, it will further support the continuation of wave Y.
H4:
H4 momentum has turned downward, so the expectation for today remains bearish movement.
H1:
H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting a small corrective bounce. However, in the current context, price is likely to remain sideways within the 4046 – 4081 range.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1 – Higher timeframe
With D1 momentum preparing to turn down, the continuation of wave Y is reinforced.
But since momentum is near the oversold zone, two potential scenarios may unfold:
1️⃣ Strong decline:
A sharp drop may break 3888, opening the way toward deeper targets such as 3746.
2️⃣ Weak decline – Compression:
Price may continue down but fail to break 3888.
Once momentum turns upward again, a new trend could form.
________________________________________
H4 – Pattern outlook
The H4 structure remains unclear—price may still be in wave (3) or wave (2).
• If it is wave (3), strong bearish candles or a test of 4001 should appear.
• If price keeps moving sideways without breaking 4001 until H4 momentum reaches oversold, the current move is likely wave B of an ABC correction inside wave 2.
Based on the current depth of wave B, wave C is estimated to target 4175.
________________________________________
H1 – Lower timeframe
Wave 2 (green) is taking longer than ideal, but not enough to invalidate the current labeling.
The 4081 resistance is very strong and serves as our sell zone.
Below, the 4020 support is equally important:
• A sharp decline with H1 closing below 4020 may trigger a larger bearish continuation.
• Typically, price reacts with a bounce when it first touches this area.
________________________________________
3. Trade Plan
Sell Zone: 4073 – 4075
SL: 4093
TP1: 4020
TP2: 3958
TP3: 3885
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday zones)
BankNifty closed around 58,731, sitting right inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) where volatility, fake breakouts, and whipsaws are highly likely.
As per the chart structure:
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up case): 59,043
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 59,266
🟥 Major Resistance: 59,607
🟩 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 58,482
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 58,294
🟩 Major Support: 57,647
Below is the complete actionable plan for all opening scenarios 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,950–59,150, it directly tests the Opening Resistance (59,043) and approaches the Last Intraday Resistance (59,266).
If price sustains above 59,266 for 10–20 mins with strong bullish candles →
🎯 Upside targets → 59,350 → 59,470 → 59,607
If price rejects 59,043–59,266, expect a pullback toward:
➡️ 58,900 → 58,838
A bullish retest at 58,838 (top of No-Trade Zone) can give a safe long entry.
Avoid chasing a gap-up candle — gap-ups at resistance zones often trigger early reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups near previous-day resistance usually generate liquidity hunts. Wait for structure to form — breakout + retest is far safer than impulse entries.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 58,660–58,820)
A flat open places price inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) — a region made for fake moves.
If price gives a clean breakout above 58,838, then retests →
Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266
If price breaks 58,661 convincingly →
Bearish targets → 58,482 → 58,294
Best trades will be only outside the No-Trade Zone:
— Buy above 58,838
— Sell below 58,661
Avoid trading inside 58,661–58,838. Momentum is usually weak and full of noise.
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are where patience pays. Let the first 15-min candle define trend bias before committing capital.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,250–58,450, price enters Opening Support (58,482) and may slide towards the Last Intraday Support (58,294).
If 58,482 holds with long wicks + volume →
Reversal targets → 58,661 → 58,838 → 58,950
If price breaks 58,294 decisively →
Next supports → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
A strong bounce at 57,647 is a very high-quality long setup.
Avoid bottom-fishing immediately after gap-down — wait for confirmation candles.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support generate the cleanest reversals — but only after rejection + higher low formation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes after the open — let volatility settle.
Use ITM or ATM options for directional trades; avoid far OTM traps.
Place SL based on structure, not on rupee value.
Never average a losing position — protect capital first.
When VIX is high → prefer hedged selling strategies (Spreads / Iron Condor).
When VIX is low → momentum buying works better.
Trail profits if market trends strongly — large moves often come on trending days.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Trade levels, not emotions. Your job is to execute with discipline, not predict every tick.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish above → 58,838**
Upside Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266 → 59,470 → 59,607
Bearish below → 58,661**
Downside Targets → 58,482 → 58,294 → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
No-Trade Zone:** 58,661–58,838
(wait for breakout + retest)
🧾 CONCLUSION
BankNifty is positioned at a sensitive zone where directional clarity will emerge only after a breakout from the No-Trade Zone.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout & retest above 58,838
✔️ Rejection-based selling below 58,661
✔️ A reversal bounce from 57,647 in case of sharp gap-down
Trade with patience, wait for confirmation, and protect your capital.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult a registered financial advisor before trading or investing.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday reaction zones)
Nifty closed near 25,943, slipping into the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) after a sharp late-day decline. The structure has shifted into a short-term bearish bias, but the first 15–20 minutes of the session will decide whether a reversal or continuation unfolds.
🔑 Key Levels to Track
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up Case): 26,050 – 26,079
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,175
🟥 Major Upside Level: 26,307
🟧 Opening Support: 25,931 – 25,950
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,750 – 25,807
🟩 Major Downside Support: 25,516
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around 26,050+, price immediately enters the Opening Resistance Zone (26,050 – 26,079), a zone known for trapping early buyers.
If price sustains above 26,079 for 15–20 minutes →
📈 Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
If price rejects 26,079, expect pullback toward:
➡️ 26,020 → 25,970 → 25,950
The safest long trade is a retest–reclaim of 26,050 after rejection wicks.
Avoid aggressive buying directly at the open — resistance gaps often fade.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-ups into resistance require confirmation via higher lows. A flat or weak breakout candle usually signals exhaustion, not strength.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Around 25,930–25,960)
A flat open keeps Nifty inside the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) — a decision-making region.
Breakout above 25,970 →
Targets: 26,020 → 26,050 → 26,079
Failure to hold 25,931 →
Decline toward 25,807 → 25,750
Avoid trading inside the 25,930–25,970 region until direction is clear.
Best trades:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 25,970
✔️ Support bounce at 25,807–25,750
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings reveal trend direction quickly — wait for the first candle to close before acting.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 25,880 pushes price rapidly toward the Last Intraday Support Zone (25,750 – 25,807).
If 25,807–25,750 holds with bullish wicks →
📈 Reversal targets: 25,900 → 25,950 → 26,020
If 25,750 breaks →
Next downside targets: 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
A sharp bounce from 25,516 provides a low-risk reversal trade setup.
Avoid picking bottoms blindly — wait for structure (HH/HL) to form.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support often offer the best risk-to-reward if reversal signs appear — but only after confirmation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading during first 5–10 minutes after open.
Prefer ATM or ITM options for directional momentum.
Never widen your stop-loss under emotional pressure.
Avoid averaging losers — compound losses destroy accounts.
When VIX is low → option buying works better.
When VIX is high → use spreads or hedged selling.
Book partial profits to secure gains during volatility.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Focus on capital preservation first — opportunities come daily, capital does not.
📌 SUMMARY
🔼 Bullish Above → 26,020 / 26,079
Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
🔽 Bearish Below → 25,931 / 25,807
Targets: 25,750 → 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
🚫 No-Trade Zone
25,930 – 25,970 (Flat opening zone — high noise, low clarity)
🧾 CONCLUSION
Nifty is approaching a high-volatility reversal area with both upside and downside swings possible. The reaction to the 25,931 support and 26,050 resistance will decide the trend for the day.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 26,020/26,079
✔️ Reversal confirmation at 25,807–25,750
✔️ Continuation trades after breakdown below 25,750
Patience and discipline are essential — avoid chasing.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Please consult a certified financial advisor before trading or investing.
Stop pick is more important before using time cycle(EICHERMOT)I am not saying that you should leave everything to the time cycle. You don't have to look at anything. Just look at the candles of the time cycle and trade.
No, no, it is not like that at all. You should keep doing your research because if you do research, look at the fundamentals, read the results, then you will also understand that this cycle will be good.
Take the time cycle and do it in any chart. Before taking the cycle, definitely check the fundamentals of the stock. Time cycle alone cannot help you completely if your stock is not good.
Working on the time cycle of any stock can be very dangerous, if you don't find good stocks it is dangerous for you. Keep this in mind.
Here are the financial results for Eicher Motors Ltd (Royal Enfield + VECV) for the most recent three quarters as of November 24, 2025:
Strong growth momentum: Q2 FY26 was the best quarter in recent times with revenue jumping ~22% quarter-on-quarter and PAT growing 25% year-on-year.
Margin improvement: EBITDA margin expanded to 24.5% in Q2 FY26 (highest in the last few quarters) due to better operating leverage, cost control, and higher contribution from premium Royal Enfield models.
Driven by Royal Enfield: Continued strong demand for 350cc+ motorcycles and new launches (e.g., Himalayan 450, updated Classic 350, etc.) boosted volumes and realizations.
Overall, Eicher Motors has delivered consistently strong performance over the last three quarters, with accelerating growth in the most recent quarter (Sep 2025).
Nifty 50 Structure Analysis [25/11/2025: Tuesday]Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 25th November 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(i) Monthly Timeframe:
Green spinning top. The view is bullish to indecisive. Level 25700 is still a strong support. Level 26100 is a strong resistance.
(ii) Weekly Timeframe:
It is the last week of the month. Price got rejected from 26100. Price also breaks down level 26000. First day of the week. It is a red candle and an inside week. No bullish trade till price decisively sustains above 26050. Level 25900 is a major support. If level 25900 is broken down, then bearishness will increase. The view is indecisive to bearish. Strong resistance level formed at 26100 - 26050.
(iii) Daily Timeframe:
First day of the week. It's kind of red morubozu due to its large body. But there are wicks at the top and bottom. Strong support at 25900. Strong resistance at the level 26100 - 26050. No bullish trade till price decisively sustains above level 26100. Bearishness might increase if level 25900 is breached. The view is bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute Timeframe:
Strong selling is visible. Any upmove should be doubted. No bullish trade till price decisively trades above 26050 - 26100. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to make a higher highs and higher lows structure above the 26050 - 26100 zone.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price remains below 26050.
Expectation : For the monthly expiry, the price might expire below 26100.
Event : No major event. However, the Nifty 50 Monthly expiry is there. Volatility is expected.
Note:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading.
If you ignore this than it's your choice INDEX:BTCUSD
I am also shocked
every November closed in green in Year on year based than november near to end then it means v shape bounce is ready to in 6 days
please do your own research before taking any trade.
i am not financial advisor
risk is real stay practical
please feel free to ask any questions
This is a daily chart of Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limit
This is a daily chart of Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) on NSE, as of November 24, 2025.
The stock has shown a clear multi-phase uptrend over the past ~2 years, and the chart is annotated with five key stages that appear to follow a classic Elliott Wave / structural trend progression:
Wave 1 / Initial Impulse (left side)
Strong rally from ~₹1,800–2,000 zone to ~₹4,800 (+140–150%), accompanied by high volume.
Wave 2 / Deep Correction
Sharp pullback of ~37.58% over 66 bars, retracing most of Wave 1 but holding above the prior low. Typical deep Wave 2 behavior (often 50–61.8% retracement).
Wave 3 / Strongest Impulse (current completed phase)
Powerful extended rally from the Wave 2 low at ~₹3,000 to ~₹9,745–9,900 zone.
Gain: +220% in just 66 bars
Classic Wave 3 characteristics: strongest volume, steepest slope, often 1.618× or more of Wave 1
This move has already exceeded the 1.618 extension target of Wave 1.
Wave 4 / Ongoing Consolidation
Currently in a sideways-to-slightly lower correction after the explosive Wave 3.
So far it looks like a running flat or triangle, holding above the Wave 3 top (~₹8,200–8,500 zone).
Volume has dried up significantly — typical for Wave 4.
Expected Wave 5 (future)
The chart projects the final impulse leg higher, with common targets around:
₹11,000–11,500 (conservative, Wave 5 = Wave 1)
₹12,000–13,000+ (if extended, Wave 5 = 0.618 × Wave 1–3 distance)
The 59.36% and 82.27% projections shown on the chart align with typical Fibonacci targets for the end of a five-wave sequence.
Supporting indicators:
100 EMA (green line) acting as dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend.
MACD still above zero and not showing major bearish divergence yet.
Volume profile confirms highest volume nodes around current price (~₹8,500–9,500), suggesting strong institutional interest.
Current technical outlook (as of Nov 24, 2025):
MCX is in Wave 4 consolidation. As long as it holds above ~₹8,000–8,200 (previous Wave 3 top and 100 EMA zone), the bullish five-wave structure remains intact and the next leg higher (Wave 5) toward ₹11,000–13,000+ is the high-probability scenario in the coming months.
A decisive break and close below ₹8,000 would invalidate the bullish wave count and open the door to a deeper correction.
Bitcoin Monthly Support Test — Next Target $58,419 ?Key support sits at $81,933. A clean break and close below this zone could expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement toward the next major support around $58,419.
However, $81,933 is also a strong monthly support level, so the market’s reaction here is critical.
Keep an eye on whether this level holds or fails — it will likely dictate the next major move.
Share your view in the comments: Do you think BTC will defend this monthly support, or are we heading lower?
Something is cooking big than patternNSE:NIFTY
Nifty make continuously cup pattern smaller than previous cup . this is good sign for uptrend. but here also some negative points like all time resistance, negative pattern at all time resistance also another trend line resistance. global uncertainty here is big role. these are negative point.
you think i make confusion right but only half.
every analysis has two side
1. if analysis will right than we are ready for plan of action.
2. if analysis will wrong than we also ready for plan of action.
So, be prepared for both side.
Here is another 3 side if nifty make another cup 😅
hahahhaha






















