Nifty Analysis - 6/10/25Market is in bullish mode so look for CE trades only, but wait for the zone above to break (24930) then we have upper targets but there is trendline at 24980 which can act as resistance. If we go below 24840 in 15 minutes TF then only look for PE trades. 25000 is going to be a strong resistance too, market has to adjust 2 days premium so there can be huge spikes on either side at start. Wait for 15 minutes then look at chart and start trading.
Trend Analysis
Nifty Trading Strategy for 06th October 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS (06 OCT 2025)
🟢 Buy Setup:
📈 Buy Above: High of the 15-Min Candle (close above 24,940)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 24,980
2️⃣ 25,015
3️⃣ 25,050
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 15-min candle low
🔴 Sell Setup:
📉 Sell Below: Low of the 15-Min Candle (close below 24,825)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 24,790
2️⃣ 24,745
3️⃣ 24,705
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 15-min candle high
⚙️ Strategy Note:
Wait for a 15-min candle to close before taking any position.
Use proper risk management and position sizing.
Ideal for intraday traders focusing on breakout setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📢 I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading and investing in markets involve risk.
#Gold Long term view#Gold Long term view(5years):
Gold price is creating new all time highs.
We may see another 10-15% upside move in the coming months.
Existing positions can hold and book some profits near the top and carry the rest.
No fresh long positions are recommended at the current levels as price is nearing the top.
We may see a declining phase in gold in the upcoming 5yrs as we have seen in the past from 2010-2015.
Note: Kindly note that the above view is purely based on past data.
Since many global factors effect the gold price, plan your investments wisely.
Strong SIGN of REVERSAL in weekly tf!As we can see NIFTY formed a strong green candle from the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern exactly as analysed and discussed. Now that it has taken support from important demand zone, we can expect NIFTY to break above 25000 psychological level and move towards 25500++ in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Gold Trading Strategy for 06th October 2025🌟 GOLD Intraday Trading Plan 🌟
💰 Buy Setup
📈 Buy Above: the high of 15-min candle — only if price closes above $3906
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3915
🎯 2nd Target: $3925
🎯 3rd Target: $3935
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $3900 (or as per your risk level)
💰 Sell Setup
📉 Sell Below: the low of 1-hour candle — only if price closes below $3870
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3860
🎯 2nd Target: $3848
🎯 3rd Target: $3836
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $3878 (or as per your risk level)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. 📜
Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 📊
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. 💡
Use proper risk management and trade at your own discretion. 💼
AXISCADES Price ActionAXISCADES (AXISCADES Technologies Ltd) currently shows a steady upward price trajectory, supported by consistent buy-side activity and improving sector sentiment. The stock has moved past recent consolidation phases, reflecting strong investor confidence tied to its expansion in engineering and technology services.
Recent sessions have seen AXISCADES hold above significant moving averages, suggesting momentum remains positive. Technical indicators highlight sustained volume on rallies, with the price forming higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of bullish strength. The company’s promising contract wins and efforts to diversify into emerging industries have added to attractive valuations.
While immediate resistance is visible around its recent peak, a clear breakout could result in further acceleration. Traders may observe short-term pullbacks if profit-taking sets in, but stable support levels are expected to underpin the medium-term outlook. Overall, AXISCADES appears set for continued advances, contingent on broader market stability and ongoing operational execution.
MANORAMA Price ActionMANORAMA (Manorama Industries Ltd) recently demonstrated a resilient price movement, reflecting overall market trends and sector-specific news. The stock has managed to sustain an uptrend, with regular buying interest observed on dips, indicating continued confidence from both retail and institutional investors.
The price has been trading close to its recent highs, encountering mild resistance at key psychological levels. Momentum indicators signal positive sentiment, reinforced by robust volumes during upward moves. The company’s fundamentals, such as healthy earnings growth and strong demand for its specialty fats and oils, are contributing to market optimism.
On the technical front, the stock is showing strength above important moving averages, and higher lows have formed consistently over the past weeks. A breakout above the immediate resistance zone could open the path to further gains. However, any sudden reversal below established support areas may prompt short-term corrections. The overall outlook remains constructive, with a focus on disciplined risk management as the stock continues its upward trajectory.
MRPL Price ActionMRPL (Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited) has recently exhibited significant price movement influenced by fluctuations in global crude oil prices and domestic refining margins. The stock experienced increased volatility alongside broader market trends, with notable spikes following quarterly earnings announcements and sectoral news.
The price demonstrated a strong recovery trend from its recent lows, driven by improved capacity utilization, higher product realizations, and a stable demand outlook. MRPL faced resistance near key technical levels but witnessed buying interest on declines, indicating positive sentiment among traders.
Short-term momentum indicators suggest bullish bias as the stock maintains higher lows, while volumes remain relatively healthy. However, profit booking at higher levels and external macroeconomic factors could trigger consolidation phases. Overall, MRPL is being closely tracked due to its sensitivity to refinery margins and input costs, and any breakout above resistance could lead to further upside. Conversely, a sustained move below critical support zones might weaken the near-term outlook.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 06-Oct-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Oct-2025
Bank Nifty closed at 55,596, showing strong recovery momentum from recent lows. The index now sits near a crucial decision zone with both support and resistance levels clearly defined. Tomorrow’s opening behavior will decide whether bullish momentum continues or if a pullback emerges.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Opening Support Zone: 55,407 – 55,559
Opening Resistance: 55,835
Last Intraday Resistance: 56,050
Last Intraday Support: 55,178 & 55,031
🚀 Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens around 55,800 – 55,900, it will directly test the Opening Resistance (55,835) .
A sustained breakout above 55,835 could trigger strong upside momentum towards 56,050 and potentially 56,200.
However, rejection from resistance could invite profit booking back towards the 55,559 zone .
Traders should avoid chasing the gap-up blindly and instead wait for either a breakout confirmation above 55,835 or a rejection signal.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near major resistance zones often create traps. Always wait for a retest before confirming direction.
⚖️ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (within ±200 points)
A flat start near 55,500 – 55,600 will keep the index inside the Opening Support Zone (55,407 – 55,559) .
If prices hold this zone and break above 55,835, bullish continuation is expected towards 56,050.
On the downside, a breakdown below 55,407 can push prices back to test 55,178 – 55,031 levels.
Traders should be patient in the first 15–30 minutes to see if support holds or breaks.
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings usually lead to consolidation before a clear breakout. Look for range expansion setups to catch trending moves.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens near or below 55,200 – 55,150, it will immediately test the Last Intraday Support at 55,178 .
A breakdown below 55,178 can extend weakness towards 55,031 – 54,900.
However, if support holds strongly around 55,178 – 55,031, a short-covering rally towards 55,500+ is highly possible.
Patience is crucial – avoid aggressive shorts unless 55,178 breaks with strong volume confirmation.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often bring panic selling at open but also provide reversal opportunities if major supports are respected.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🕒 Avoid impulsive trades in the first 15–30 minutes; let volatility settle.
🛑 Place stop losses based on 15-min/hourly closes rather than quick spikes.
📉 Prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to reduce impact of premium decay.
🎯 Target a 1:2 Risk-Reward ratio minimum for all trades.
💰 Book partial profits at key resistance/support levels to lock gains.
🚫 Don’t risk more than 2–3% of your total capital on a single trade.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Bias: Above 55,835, targets 56,050 → 56,200.
Neutral Zone: Between 55,407 – 55,835, expect consolidation and choppy action.
Bearish Bias: Below 55,178, weakness likely towards 55,031 – 54,900.
📊 Bank Nifty is positioned at a critical junction. A breakout above resistance could extend the ongoing bullish momentum, while a breakdown below support could trigger fresh selling. The best approach is to follow confirmation signals and manage trades with strict discipline.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 06-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Oct-2025
Nifty closed at 24,895, showing strong recovery momentum but still trading near crucial resistance and support levels. Tomorrow’s opening and follow-up price action will be key in determining short-term direction.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Opening Support Zone: 24,814 – 24,895
Opening Resistance / Support: 24,923
Last Intraday Resistance: 25,015 – 25,049
Last Intraday Support: 24,720 & 24,646
🚀 Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 25,000, it will be very close to Last Intraday Resistance (25,015 – 25,049) .
Sustained price action above 25,049 could trigger further momentum towards 25,100 – 25,150 levels.
However, if rejection occurs around resistance, expect profit booking back towards 24,950 – 24,923.
Traders should avoid chasing the gap-up and instead look for either a breakout confirmation or rejection signals to enter.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones often trap late buyers. Always wait for a retest before committing to a trade.
⚖️ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (within ±100 points)
A flat start near 24,850 – 24,900 will keep Nifty inside the Opening Support Zone (24,814 – 24,895) and just below 24,923 Resistance .
A breakout above 24,923 can fuel a rally towards 25,015 – 25,049, with further extension possible if momentum is strong.
On the downside, failure to hold above 24,814 may pull prices back to 24,720 or even 24,646.
Traders should adopt a wait-and-watch approach until the range between 24,814 – 24,923 is broken.
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings usually create range-bound trades early in the session. Focus on range breakouts to avoid getting chopped in sideways action.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near or below 24,750 – 24,720, the Last Intraday Support (24,720) will be tested immediately.
A breakdown below 24,720 could extend weakness towards 24,646 – 24,600.
However, if support holds at 24,720 – 24,646, a sharp short-covering rally back towards 24,850 – 24,900 is possible.
Patience will be key – wait for confirmation whether support sustains or breaks before taking positions.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic selling, but they can also present excellent reversal opportunities if support holds firmly.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
⏳ Avoid taking aggressive positions in the first 15–30 minutes; let volatility settle.
🛑 Place stop losses based on 15-min or hourly candle closes , not just wicks.
🎯 Use option spreads (Bull Call, Bear Put) to manage premium decay.
📉 Always maintain at least a 1:2 Risk-Reward ratio .
💰 Book partial profits at key levels to protect capital.
🧘 Never risk more than 2–3% of capital on a single trade.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Bias: Above 24,923, targets 25,015 → 25,049 → 25,100+.
Neutral Zone: Between 24,814 – 24,923, expect consolidation.
Bearish Bias: Below 24,720, weakness towards 24,646 – 24,600.
📊 Nifty is currently at a decision-making level. Breakout above resistance can extend bullish momentum, while breakdown below support may invite selling pressure. The best approach is to stay patient, follow confirmation signals, and manage risk with discipline.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NIFTY 50 – Intraday level 15min TFNIFTY 50 – Gap Resistance Test After Falling Wedge Breakout
Timeframe: 15 min
📌 Key Observations:
Falling wedge pattern formed over the last few sessions, followed by a clean breakout with rising volume.
Price has now rallied toward the gap resistance zone near 24,880–24,900, where supply previously stepped in.
24,750 is acting as immediate support — the level from where the breakout initiated.
Next resistance to watch is 25,138, which aligns with a previous structure zone.
📈 Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish if:
Price sustains above the 24,880–24,900 gap resistance
Then potential upside towards 25,050 / 25,138
⚠️ Caution if:
Price gets rejected at the gap resistance
Watch for pullback retest around 24,750
🔍 Sentiment:
Short-term recovery is in play after a prolonged downtrend, but the current zone is a make-or-break resistance.
BTC "Saturday Bull Fizzle Complete (due to low volume)"On weekends (especially Saturday), Bitcoin markets typically see lower trading volume because institutional and large traders are less active. There was a bullish attempt (a move upward in price) visible near the “Saturday” area.
However, since the volume was weak, the move failed to sustain, and prices pulled back shortly after.
Term “Fizzle” means:
The bullish momentum started strong but quickly lost strength, resulting in a failed breakout or continuation.
Technical takeaway:
A rally on low volume is often a false move — without sufficient participation, it cannot push through resistance or create follow-through.
📊 Market Implication
This suggests:
The Friday bullish candle tried to extend into Saturday.
But due to thin liquidity, the move couldn’t attract further buying.
Result: short-term reversal or consolidation, confirming that weekend rallies aren’t reliable without volume confirmation.
Buy BTCUSD🧠 BTC/USDT 4H – Smart Money Perspective
Bitcoin has shown a sharp rejection from the recent demand zone around 122,300–122,500, forming a clean bullish displacement candle on the 4H timeframe.
Current price is retesting the fair value gap (FVG) and the previous structure block, hinting at a possible continuation move upward.
⸻
🔍 Market Structure
• Trend: Short-term bullish within a larger accumulation phase
• Structure: Higher low formed around 122,300
• Liquidity: Resting above 125,800 (previous swing high – potential liquidity grab target)
• Imbalance: Small FVG left unfilled between 123,000–123,400
⸻
💡 Trade Idea
• Entry: 122,950 – 123,000
• Stop Loss: Below 122,300 (structure invalidation)
• Target: 125,900+ (liquidity sweep zone)
• Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:4
⸻
⚙️ Confluence
• Bullish order block respected on 4H
• Strong rejection wick signaling demand
• Clear displacement + fair value gap alignment
• Volume confirmation increasing during bullish move
⸻
⚠️ Note
If BTC fails to hold above 122,300, the setup invalidates — next demand lies near 120,800–121,000.
Wait for confirmation candle closure above 123,500 for safer continuation plays.
⸻
Bias: Bullish (Short-term)
Timeframe: 4H
Strategy Used: SMC + FVG + Liquidity sweep
From Euphoria to Equilibrium The Market’s True PatternHello Mates, Hope everyone’s doing great and enjoying the charts so today let’s explore one of the most important market concepts that how an All-Time High gradually evolves into a fresh Support and Resistance cycle.
Understanding the Market’s Natural Rhythm--::
Every chart tells a story a story of enthusiasm, correction, recovery, and retest.
Price action moves in cycles, and one of the most powerful yet simple cycles is when a market makes an All-Time High, corrects into a Support Zone, and then forms a New Resistance before deciding its next direction.
This NIFTY 50 weekly chart beautifully captures that structure a sequence every trader should recognize to understand market behavior with more clarity.
1️⃣ Major Swing High (The All-Time High)
At this stage, optimism dominates and new buyers rush in, assuming the trend will never end.
However, this is also where smart money begins distributing positions quietly.
You’ll often notice slowing momentum, smaller candle bodies, or divergence on oscillators.
This “All-Time High” is not just a price it’s the point where supply pressure starts building and emotional euphoria reaches its peak.
2️⃣ Primary Demand Zone (Support After the All-Time High)
As the correction begins, emotional traders exit while strong hands start building positions again.
The price eventually finds primary demand a zone that often aligns with previous breakout areas or major volume clusters.
This becomes a high-value area, where institutional accumulation quietly begins.
It represents balance after a phase of imbalance a healthy step in any structural cycle.
3️⃣ Secondary Supply Zone (Resistance After Support)
Once the support holds, the price rallies back and retests the previous breakdown region.
This forms a secondary supply zone, where earlier buyers might book profits and short-term traders look for reaction.
It’s a retest phase, where the market decides whether it wants to continue upward or stay range-bound. A breakout from here indicates renewed strength, while rejection can invite another leg of consolidation or retracement.
4️⃣ New Structural Base (Fresh Support)
Recently, we can observe a new higher base forming just below the resistance zone.
This area acts as a structural pivot — often referred to by professionals as:
Intermediate Demand Zone
Base Formation Area
Mid-Structure Support
Higher Low Support Zone
Why This Cycle Matters--::
Recognizing this evolution from All-Time High → Correction → Support → Retest → New Structural Base helps traders identify where they are in the price cycle instead of reacting emotionally and It builds a roadmap of liquidity flow and institutional intent.
No matter the timeframe or assets like stocks, forex, or crypto this structure repeats endlessly, forming the core rhythm of the market.
Key Takeaway--::
Price doesn’t move randomly. It evolves through phases of enthusiasm, fear, and reaccumulation and every level leaves footprints of intent.
Traders who learn to read these transitions stop chasing moves and start understanding the underlying structure of opportunity.
Regards- Amit Rajan
NSE: LODHA, Realty Sector : Bargain buying Macrotech Developers A.K.A Lodha is available at a great level on the bottom of the consolidation pattern going on since December 2023! It has respected this trendline all throughout so we are prudently assuming it would be respected once again. The targets can be as follows :
Safest Entry 1036
Stop Loss : Closing below 1100
T1 1167
T2 1230
T3 1327
T4 1462
I expect T4 to hit latest by January 2024
Macro backing : Real estate boom incoming in India in the next 2 quarters, expect GST relief to fuel spending
BHARTI AIRTEL LIMITED ( 1D ) 🎯 TRADING PLAN 🎯
✔ Price Action shows strong support at
the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement
with a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick
pattern.
✔ RSI being Oversold adds weight to
the setup.
💡 Great Traders Have Extreme Discipline &
Patience.
Disclaimer : All information is for
Educational & Informational
Purpose Only. Not a buy / sell
Recommendation. You are
Solely responsible for your
Trading & Investment
Decisions.
SILVER AT THE $50 "WIDOW MAKER ZONE": IS A CRASH IMMINENT?Silver has hit the wall. It's not just resistance—it's the exact price range $48.00–$50.00 that triggered the 70%+ market massacres of 1980 and 2011.
3 Reasons Why a Correction Is Locked In
The risk of a violent reversal is extreme. This zone is a perfect storm of selling pressure:
* The $50 Trap: It's a massive Technical Trap. Long-term sellers trapped from the 2011 peak are all waiting here to dump their bags and take profit.
* Psychological Trauma: Historical Precedent is terrifying. The memory of two prior crashes at this level creates panic-selling pressure that will compound any dip.
* Market Exhaustion: Retail Over-Exuberance is flashing red. Heavy positioning means the easy money is gone, and there's no fuel left to break the ceiling.
The Twist: Not a Total Bust (Yet)
While a crash is likely, a full 1980s-style wipeout is less certain. Why? Industrial Demand. Silver is fundamentally stronger now, backed by massive, non-negotiable demand from the Green Energy Transition (solar, EVs). This structural deficit offers a floor that past bubbles lacked.
The Bottom Line
The $48–$50 area is the "Widowmaker Zone." Expect carnage.
* The Line: If Silver fails to decisively close above $50.00, brace for a brutal correction—likely a fast drop back to the $35.00 range.
* Your Move: MAXIMUM CAUTION. Short-term profits must be protected. History doesn't just rhyme; at this price, it often repeats itself.
Short term trend opens up in Nifty So on Thursday we studied that NSE:NIFTY would remain sideways with a bullish tone.
And that’s exactly what happened on Friday.
Nifty traded within a range in the first half and then moved up sharply in the second half, closing +57 points higher.
Closing above the previous day’s high is definitely a good price action sign.
But ideally, buyers’ volume should have matched that momentum too.
On Friday, buyers’ volume was up — but not strong enough to suggest a sharp move ahead. In fact, on the last 15-minute candle, sellers’ volume was higher by 10 million.
However, on short-term charts, net volume has turned green, which means any dip till 24800 will likely be bought quickly.
Now, Nifty’s Pivot stands at 24848. A drop below this could lead to another range-bound session tomorrow, with support at 24800.
Resistance for the day would be 24925, and any meaningful move will only come if this level is broken and sustained for at least one hour.
Since PP is tight, if a breakout happens with strong buyers’ volume, we could see a sharp rally upward.
For FnO stocks, we’ll continue tracking NSE:BSE and NSE:BHARATFORG .
Sector-wise, #Shipbuilding, #NBFC, and #AutoParts are looking good.
That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow.
---
📊 Levels at a glance:
Pivot: 24848
Support: 24800
Resistance: 24925 (sustain > 1H = breakout)
Pivot Percentile: Tight (sharp rally possible on volume breakout)
Bias: Sideways to bullish, buy dips above pivot
Sectors to watch: Shipbuilding, NBFC, Auto Parts
FnO Focus: #BSE, #BHARATFORG
Sagility cmp 43.47 by Daily Chart view since listedSagility cmp 43.47 by Daily Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 40.75 to 42.75 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 45.50 to 47.50 Price Band
- Price traversing inside Symmetrical Triangle pattern
- Support Zone repeatedly tested rested since month of July 2025
- Price trending in Darvas Box range 41.50 to 47.50 and awaiting Breakout
- Price rejection seen by frequent selling pressure at Resistance Zone upper band
- Fresh Breakout possible basis supportive Volumes based closure above 47.50 price level for few days