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Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [31/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 31st of December 2025. The day is Wednesday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: Inside candle plus a red paper umbrella. Major resistance 26100. No bullish confidence till the price starts to trade above the level 26100. Weak support 25900. Major support 25800. The view is indecision. (2) Weekly Time Frame: The weekly candle is kind of a red spinning top. Bulls are trapped at 26100, and bears are trapped at 25900. Take no confident bullish trade unless the price sustains above the level 26100. Take no confident bearish trade unless the price sustains below the level 25900. The view is indecision to bearish. (3) Daily Time Frame: Consecutive five days red. Today's candle is a perfect long-legged doji. It means the day was indecisive. Maybe it is a pause in the downfall. If the price sustains above the level of 26000, then maybe there will be an upmove. Strong resistance zone is (26100 - 26050). Thus, any up move till 26100 will be led by underconfident bulls. Weak support is at the level 25900. If level 25900 is decisively broken. Then a fall till 25800 is highly probable. The view is indecision to bearish. (4) 30-Minute Time Frame: The lower lows and lower highs structure is still intact. The bearish phase is still intact. However, there is a strong buy zone at level 25900. Thus, plan no short trade till price sustains below level 25900. Also, there is an unfilled gap below the level 25900. On the contrary, the up move should be doubted. There are strong resistances at levels 26100 and 26050. Underconfident and sharp bullish trades can be executed above levels 26000 and 26050. Confident bullish trades can be executed only above the level 26100. The view is indecision to bearish. Bullish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains above the opening price. (ii) Price sustains above the level 26000 along with (iii) Underconfident and sharp bullish trades can be executed above levels 26000 and 26050. (iv) Confident bullish trades can be executed only above the level 26100. (v) Bullish trades will be tough. Bearish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains below the opening price. (ii) Price decisively starts to trade below the level 25900. (iii) Price shows a high probability of filling up the unfilled gap below level 25900. (iv) If level 25900 is broken decisively, then there is a higher probability of price reaching level 25800. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25900) Events: No expiry. But FOMC minutes, a high-impact event, are there. So, trade with caution. Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight): (i) Monthly TF bias is indecision. (ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision to bearish. (iii) Daily TF bias is indecision to bearish. (iv) 30-Minute TF bias is indecision to bearish. (v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. (vi) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 26900) (vii) An unfilled gap is below the level 25900. (viii) Take a confident bearish trade once the price starts to sustain below the level 25900 with a target of level 25800. (ix) Take underconfident and sharp bullish trades above the levels 26000 and 26050. These trades should be short-lived. Capture points fast and exit trades. (x) Take a confident bullish trade only when the price starts to trade above the level 26100. (xi) Be cautious as there is a high-impact event - FOMC Minutes. (xii) Take trades only if either a bullish/bearish scenario appears. Otherwise, do not trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. NOTE: "Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe." Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
12 MONTHS HIGH_NATIONALALUM_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders, Posting the interesting Topic on NATIONALALUM with Technical Analysis long-term view. Currently HINDALCO INDUSTRIES is trading at INR 316.60 with longer term bullish basis along with strong Commodity demand at global level. Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure. Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk.
NSE:NATIONALUMLong
by Babujoseph77
12 MONTHS HIGH_HINDALCO INDUSTRIES_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders, Posting the interesting Topic on HINDALCO INDUSTRIES with Technical Analysis long-term view. Currently HINDALCO INDUSTRIES is trading at INR 884.15 with longer term bullish basis along with strong Commodity demand at global level. Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure. Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk.
NSE:HINDALCOLong
by Babujoseph77
Silver: Why Historical Highs Alone Don’t Define Market TopsMany are calling a “blow-off top” in Silver by comparing the current rally with 1980 and 2011. This approach misses a critical point: Markets don’t top because price looks high — they top when structure completes. On the monthly timeframe, Silver continues to trade within a rising multi-decade channel. The breakout above the long-term resistance zone (~48–50) is structural, not emotional. While momentum is elevated, there is no confirmed: 5-wave completion at this degree Structural breakdown Impulsive reversal sequence Historical spikes (1980, 2011) were cycle extremes within a broader structure, not the end of the secular trend. Until the structure fails, comparisons alone are not enough. Focus on structure. Not headlines. Educational view | Structure-based analysis | No predictions Silver #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #XAGUSD
OANDA:XAGUSD
by kacraj
XAUUSD Structure Shift After Resistance RejectionXAUUSD earlier showed a clear bullish structure, supported by a rising trendline and consistent higher highs. The price moved steadily until reaching the 4550 resistance level, a zone historically attracting strong selling. Multiple rejections here showed buying exhaustion and growing seller activity. Market sentiment changed when price could not stay above the trendline. A clear break below dynamic support confirmed a short-term structure change, followed by a strong bearish move. The speed and strength suggest active distribution, not just a minor pullback, showing sellers temporarily in control. After the sharp decline, price reached key support, where bearish momentum slowed and candles compressed. This shows temporary balance as the market absorbs previous volatility. Such pauses are common after strong moves and act as decision points for the next phase. From a broader view, this area now indicates market intent. Staying above support may allow stabilisation and corrective recovery, while dropping below maintains downside pressure. Overall, XAUUSD moved from trend continuation to a rebalancing phase, making patience and confirmation vital before the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
Jindal Stainless (D): Strongly Bullish - Sector-Backed BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock has confirmed a major "Blue Sky" breakout, clearing a confluence of resistance levels (Angular + Horizontal) to hit a new All-Time High. This move is powered by a sector-wide rally and strong institutional volume. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by a convergence of positive factors: > Sector Rally: The Nifty Metal index is surging, lifting all ferrous metal stocks. When a stock breaks out with its sector, the probability of success increases significantly. > Strong Earnings Support: The company’s Q2 FY26 results provided the fundamental floor, and the market is now pricing in future growth from its capacity expansion plans (targeting 4.2 MTPA). 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Coil" bursts) > The Squeeze: The tight sideways trend below the angular resistance. This "Coiling" action (low volatility + drying volume) indicated that sellers were exhausted. > The Breakout: Today's surge of 5.14% smashed through the ₹825–₹830 supply zone. - Significance: By closing at a new ATH ( ₹848.05 ), the stock has no overhead supply (resistance) left. It is now in "Price Discovery" mode. > Volume: The 2.77 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that "Smart Money" has initiated a new markup phase. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) on Short-term EMAs confirms the immediate trend is vertical. > RSI: Rising RSI across all timeframes (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) signals synchronized momentum. An RSI above 60 in a breakout is a sign of strength, not an overbought signal. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed for a "Blue Sky" run. > 🐂 Bullish Target (Blue Sky): - Target 1: ₹960 . - Strategy: Since the stock is at an ATH, use a Trailing Stop Loss (e.g., 20-day EMA) to ride the trend as far as it goes. > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹790 – ₹800 . The previous resistance zone should now act as a rock-solid floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A close below ₹776 would act as a structural failure, invalidating the breakout. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Refinement: The "Low Volume" during the sideways phase followed by "High Volume" on the breakout is the perfect recipe for a sustainable move. > Action: The breakout is confirmed. The dip to ₹820-830 (if it happens) is a buying opportunity.
NSE:JSLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves 1. Breakouts Option buyers profit most during: Higher highs Higher lows Volume expansion Trend confirmation 2. Reversals Put buyers benefit when: Market forms double tops Distribution zone breaks Supply zone rejection occurs 3. Volume Profile Important levels: POC (Point of Control) – maximum volume Value Area High / Low Low Volume Nodes (LVN) – breakout zones Option traders align entries with these areas. 4. Implied Volatility and Market Zones Low IV at support → calls become cheaper High IV at resistance → selling calls becomes attractive
NSE:ASHOKLEYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
MACRO FX COMPARISON: DXY vs AUDUSDMACRO FX COMPARISON: DXY vs AUDUSD – WHAT STRUCTURAL CHANGE REALLY MATTERS This is a structure-first, educational view comparing DXY and AUDUSD to understand the broader macro environment — and why most “USD reversal” narratives are premature. No forecasts. No trade calls. Only structure. 🔹 DXY – TIME CORRECTION, NOT TREND REVERSAL DXY remains locked inside a large corrective / overlapping structure. Price action shows range expansion in time, not impulsive price discovery. Momentum (RSI) confirms compression, not trend acceleration. Key point: A sideways or corrective DXY does not automatically mean USD weakness — it means indecision in trend. 🔹 AUDUSD – MACRO CONFIRMATION FROM FX On higher timeframes (Quarterly / Monthly), AUDUSD remains within a long-term corrective structure. Multiple upside attempts have failed to transition into an impulsive trend. Momentum remains muted — consistent with macro consolidation, not a new bull cycle. Important insight: If USD were entering a true bearish phase, AUDUSD would already be trending impulsively. It is not. 🔹 WHY THIS COMPARISON MATTERS Looking at DXY alone can be misleading. FX pairs like AUDUSD act as structural confirmation tools. Right now: DXY = correcting in time AUDUSD = trapped in macro correction No FX pair shows a clean impulsive USD breakdown This combination defines a non-trending USD environment, not a trend reversal. 🔹 WHAT WOULD ACTUALLY COUNT AS A STRUCTURAL CHANGE? Only the following would matter structurally: ✅ DXY Clean impulsive breakdown Loss of key higher-timeframe support with follow-through Momentum expansion, not divergence ✅ AUDUSD Clear 5-wave impulsive advance Sustained breakout from long-term corrective boundaries RSI regime shift above prior ranges Until then: The macro remains in transition, not resolution. 🔹 BOTTOM LINE Current FX behaviour reflects time-based correction, not trend exhaustion. Structural patience is required. Noise increases near transitions — structure filters it out. This is a study of market structure, not a trading signal. #AUDUSD #DXY #ForexAnalysis #MarketStructure #ElliottWave #StructureOverPrediction #PriceAction #EducationalAnalysis
by kacraj