BITCOIN FORECAST BITCOIN still bearish wait for perfect entry ,still institutions accumulating .
but fundamental show still bearish so wait.
discount areas 49000$ - 65000
TP 1 - 98000$
TP 2 - 104000$
TP 3 - 116344$
TP 4 - 126108$
once all take profits are completed . next bull run more surprise for world
long term expected bitcoin price is = 162755 $ - 222734 $
Trend Analysis
XAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical Outlook – Selling Bias After Exhaustion Rally
Gold has completed a strong upside expansion and is now showing clear signs of trend exhaustion on the H4 timeframe. After printing a sharp impulse leg higher, price failed to sustain acceptance above the recent highs and quickly transitioned into a deep corrective move, signalling a shift in short-term market control.
From a structural perspective, the market has moved from impulse → distribution → correction, favouring a selling bias while price remains capped below key resistance.
Market Structure & Fibonacci Context
The recent rally stalled near the upper resistance zone, followed by an aggressive rejection.
Price has retraced deeply into the Fibonacci 0.618–0.75 area, confirming that the move lower is not a minor pullback but a meaningful correction.
Current price action suggests lower highs are forming, keeping selling pressure active on rebounds.
As long as price fails to reclaim and accept above the prior breakdown levels, the bearish structure remains valid.
Key Zones to Watch
Primary SELL Zone
5,716 – 5,866
This is the major supply and sell-liquidity zone on H4. Any corrective rally into this area is likely to attract sellers, especially if price shows hesitation or rejection.
Intermediate Reaction Zone
Around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, where short-term rebounds may stall before continuation lower.
Downside Targets / Demand
The lower support zone near 4,800–4,850 remains the first key downside area to monitor.
Deeper continuation would expose the 4,600–4,500 region, where broader demand may attempt to absorb selling pressure.
Macro Context (Brief)
Fundamentally, gold is facing headwinds from persistent uncertainty around interest rate expectations. Recent central bank commentary continues to signal caution toward near-term rate cuts, keeping real yields supported and limiting gold’s upside in the short term. This backdrop aligns with the current technical correction and distribution phase.
Trading Outlook
Bias: Selling / sell-on-rallies
Focus: Selling corrective rebounds into resistance zones
Risk note: Avoid chasing price at lows; let structure and levels guide entries
In this phase, patience is key. Selling strength at predefined zones offers higher probability than predicting bottoms.
Refer to the chart for Fibonacci levels, structure shift, and highlighted sell zones.
✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early updates on market structure, liquidity shifts, and high-probability zones.
Bandhan Bank Ka Biggest Breakout We may see the biggest breakout in NSE:BANDHANBNK as both technical and financial both showing positive outcome.
As you can see in the chart price is at the supply zone but if it crosses the supply zone, We are about to see the big breakout so lets wait for few conformations before planning trade.
Note : This is not any financial advice NSE:BANDHANBNK #bandhanbank #nse #trend #breakout
The Ugly Truth Behind Cathie Wood's $1.5M Bitcoin Prediction⚠️ The Ugly Truth Behind Cathie Wood's $1.5M Bitcoin Prediction Nobody Talks About (The $1M Bitcoin Trap Exposed)
Cathie Wood Just Predicted $1.5M Bitcoin By 2030. Before You Get Excited, Let Me Show You Something Important.
Her Prediction Track Record:
1️⃣ November 2020: Target: $400K-$500K
2️⃣ May 2021: Target: $500K By 2026
3️⃣ September 2021: Target: $500K by 2026
4️⃣ January 2022: Target: $1M+ by 2030
5️⃣ February 2023: Target: $1M-$1.48M by 2030
6️⃣ January 2024: Target: $1.5M by 2030 (Raised 50%)
6️⃣ November 2024: Target: Base $650K, Bull $1.5M by 2030
7️⃣ February 2025: Target: Bull $1.5M, Base $710K, Bear $300K
8️⃣ April 2025: Target: Up to $2.4M by 2030
9️⃣ November 2025: Target: $1.2M by 2030 (Reduced from $1.5M)
Notice The Pattern? The Target Year Keeps Shifting But The Big Numbers Stay In Headlines.
🔰 Ask Yourself This:
If Institutions Truly Believed Bitcoin Will 15x From Here, Why Would They Tell You?
Why Reveal Their “Secret” To Millions Of Retail Investors?
Think About It. When They Announce Massive Targets, Retail Holds Expecting $1M While Institutions Quietly Take Profits. Then They Buy Back Cheaper When You Panic Sell The Dip.
This Is How Exit Liquidity Works.
🔰 The Reality Check:
I Am Not Against Bitcoin Reaching $1M. It Absolutely Can Happen.
But Here Is What Nobody Tells You: Bitcoin Is Not Magic. It Does Not 10x Overnight Because Someone On TV Said So.
$1M Bitcoin Is Possible But Realistic Timeframe Is 5–10 Years Of Holding Through Multiple Cycles, Crashes And Recoveries.
🔰 My Honest Take:
➡️ Institutions Are Not Your Friends. They Are Not Sharing Alpha, They Are Creating Liquidity.
➡️ When ARK Says Buy, Ask Yourself: Who Are They Selling To?
➡️ Big Targets Make Great Headlines But Terrible Trading Strategies.
🔰 What You Should Do Instead:
👉 Never Make Financial Decisions Based On Influencer Predictions.
👉 Do Your Own Research With Proper Calculations.
👉 Have Your Own Entry And Exit Strategy.
👉 Understand That Wealth Building Takes Time Not Tweets.
CryptoPatel Summary:
🔹 Yes Bitcoin Can Reach $1M. I Support That Long Term Vision.
🔹 But It Will Take Years Of Patience, Not Months Of Hopium.
🔹 The Difference Between Retail And Institutions? They Have A Plan. Do You?
🔹 Stop Being Exit Liquidity. Start Being Strategic.
Save This Post. Your Future Self Will Thank You.
Follow @CryptoPatel For Real Talk, Not Hype.
NFA & DYOR
Part 3 Institutional Vs. Technical AnalysisMax Pain Theory
Price gravitates toward the strike where option writers lose the least.
Works well near expiry.
Building an Option Trading System
Identify trend with market structure.
Use volume profile for levels.
Use OI for confirmation.
Use Greeks for probability.
Execute with discipline.
IOC – Classic IHNS Pattern Showing Accumulation Before BreakoutThis chart is a textbook example of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming after a decline.
First, price made a low (left shoulder).
Then it dropped deeper and formed the head.
After that, it made a higher low (right shoulder), showing selling pressure is weakening.
Now price is consolidating near the neckline, which means buyers are absorbing supply.
This structure usually appears when smart money is accumulating and preparing for a trend reversal.
No indicators.
No noise.
Just pure market structure and human behavior.
Rounding price action + higher low + tight consolidation = strength building.
If price holds above this zone and breaks the neckline, it often leads to a strong upward move.
Markets repeat these patterns again and again — because psychology never changes.
Feel free to comment if you want a deeper explanation.
Part 2 Institutional Vs. Technical AnalysisGamma Scalping
Involves hedging delta during fast markets.
Mostly used by institutions.
Put-Call Ratio (PCR)
Extreme PCR < 0.7 → oversold.
PCR > 1.3 → overbought.
Helps identify reversal zones.
Impact of News
Options react instantly to news.
High IV before news, low IV after.
Nifty IT down by 6%A company called Anthropic released a new set of AI tools that surprised global markets.
One of these tools helps with work like reading documents and automating routine office tasks.
Investors worried that this AI could replace old software and services many companies sell.
Because of this fear, people started selling shares in big software companies.
Big Indian IT companies like Infosys, TCS and Wipro were affected.
The market reaction showed that investors fear AI might cut into profits of traditional tech businesses.
Anthropic’s new tools are meant to save time, but for stock markets it sparked uncertainty.
This event highlighted how powerful and fast AI changes are happening in technology today.
(Gold) 45-Minute Chart — Support Hold & Upside Retest Scenario
Chart Analysis:
Market Structure:
Gold is in a short-term corrective phase after a strong bearish impulse. Price made a lower low, then started forming higher lows, suggesting a potential short-term recovery within a broader downtrend.
Key Support Zone (Red):
The marked support around 4,850–4,900 has been respected multiple times. Buyers stepped in aggressively here, confirming it as a demand zone. The current price is consolidating just above this area, which is constructive.
Resistance Zone (Green):
The resistance around 5,150–5,200 aligns with a prior breakdown area and supply imbalance. This zone is the logical upside target if bullish momentum continues.
Price Behavior:
After bouncing from support, price is grinding higher with smaller candles, indicating controlled buying rather than impulsive selling. This favors a pullback-and-push scenario rather than immediate rejection.
Bullish Scenario (as drawn):
A successful hold above support, followed by a clean push, opens the door for a move toward the resistance zone (target). A brief dip into support with rejection wicks would strengthen this bias.
Invalidation:
A strong close below the support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and expose price to further downside continuation.
Bias:
🔹 Short-term bullish toward resistance
🔹 Medium-term still cautious / corrective
Chart Analysis — Rounded Bottom Reversal Toward Key ResistanceMarket Structure
Price formed a rounded bottom (cup-like reversal) after a sharp selloff, signaling exhaustion from sellers and a gradual shift to buyers.
The lowest point (circled) shows strong demand absorption, followed by higher lows → early trend reversal behavior.
Key Levels
Support zone: ~4,890–4,950
This area held firmly and acted as the base for the bounce. Buyers consistently defended it.
Entry zone: Just above support
The pullback into prior support + bullish reaction suggests a safe long entry on confirmation.
Mid resistance: ~5,100
Price already reclaimed this zone, flipping it from resistance into short-term support.
Major resistance / target: ~5,210–5,250
This is the next liquidity zone and logical profit target, aligned with previous supply.
Momentum & Price Action
The white projected path shows a bullish continuation scenario:
Break and hold above 5,100
Brief consolidation / retest
Push toward the upper resistance band
No immediate signs of distribution yet; momentum favors continuation unless price loses the support zone.
Bias
Bullish while above ~4,950
Invalidation if price accepts back below support with strong bearish candles.
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: 📈 Bullish continuation
Entry: Support retest / bullish confirmation
Target: 5,210–5,250
Risk: Breakdown below support
Axis Bank | Gann Square of 9 Intraday Observation | 15 March 202Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is not financial advice.
Symbol: AXISBANK (NSE)
Date Observed: 15 March 2024
Time Frame: 15-Minute Chart
Method: Gann Square of 9 (Price Capacity & Time Study)
This post documents a historical intraday market observation using the Gann Square of 9, focusing on how price capacity, trend context, and time alignment can highlight potential intraday reaction zones.
📉 Market Context & Reference Point Selection
Axis Bank showed downside pressure from the opening 15-minute candle.
In such conditions, the high of the first 15-minute candle (~1050) was treated as the 0-degree reference level, following Gann methodology.
This level acts as the starting point for measuring the intraday downward price cycle.
Correct trend identification and reference selection are essential before applying Square of 9 calculations.
🔢 Square of 9 Price Mapping
Based on the selected reference:
0 Degree: ~1050
45 Degree (Observed Normal Capacity): ~1034
The 45-degree level often represents the normal intraday price expansion range under regular market conditions.
⏱️ Price–Time Interaction (Observed Behavior)
Price interacted with the 45-degree level early in the session (around the third 15-minute candle).
Completion of normal price capacity well before the later part of the trading day has historically shown signs of temporary downside exhaustion.
After reaching this zone, the market displayed short-term stabilization followed by upward expansion.
This aligns with a commonly observed Gann concept:
When expected price capacity is completed early in time, the probability of a directional reaction may increase.
📘 Educational Takeaways
Gann Square of 9 helps define intraday price limits in advance
Trend context determines how reference points are selected
Time alignment adds confirmation to price-degree levels
Normal (45-degree) reactions are more frequent than rare cases
The approach encourages rule-based observation over emotional reaction
📌 Shared strictly for educational and historical chart-study purposes.
#AxisBank #GannSquareOf9 #WDGann #IntradayAnalysis #MarketEducation #PriceTime #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp sell-off Price is now retracing and approaching the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns with previous structure resistance and a descending trendline.
📌 I’m expecting price to:
Test the 61.8 retracement zone
Face short-term rejection
Rotate towards the next support/demand zone
This is a reaction-based setup, not a prediction.
How price behaves at 5125–5140 will decide the next move.
🎯 Key Levels
Resistance / Retracement: 5125 – 5140 (61.8)
Next Support / Demand: Below 5050 – 5000
Invalidation: Strong acceptance above 5140
Follow @arunmano_fx for clean XAUUSD structure-based analysis.
Also Please Go Through My Previous Analysis Also
👉👉👉 Full structure and levels shared on TradingView👉👉👉
#IndianTrader
#ForexIndia
#ArunManoFX
Axis Bank | Gann Square of 9 Intraday Observation | 18 March 202Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is not financial advice.
Symbol: AXISBANK (NSE)
Date Observed: 18 March 2024
Time Frame: 15-Minute Chart
Method Used: Gann Square of 9 (Price–Time Study)
This post documents a historical intraday market observation using the Gann Square of 9, focusing on how price movement capacity and time alignment can highlight potential intraday reaction zones.
📊 Initial Market Structure
Axis Bank displayed upward momentum from the opening 15-minute candle.
The low of the first 15-minute candle (~1043) was treated as the 0-degree reference level.
This reference point marks the start of the intraday price cycle and is used for further Square of 9 calculations.
Correct identification of the 0-degree level is a key requirement for consistent Square of 9 analysis.
🔢 Square of 9 Level Mapping
Using Square of 9 price-degree relationships, the following levels were observed:
0 Degree: ~1043
45 Degree (Observed Normal Capacity): ~1057
The 45-degree level often reflects the normal intraday price expansion range under regular market conditions.
⏱️ Price & Time Interaction (Observed Behavior)
Price interacted with the 45-degree level early in the session (around the second 15-minute candle).
Completion of the normal price capacity well before the later part of the trading day has historically shown temporary price pressure.
After reaching this zone, the market displayed rejection behavior followed by short-term downside expansion.
This observation aligns with a commonly studied Gann principle:
Early completion of expected price capacity may increase the probability of a market reaction.
📘 Educational Takeaways
Gann Square of 9 helps define logical intraday price limits
Normal (45-degree) reactions occur more frequently than exceptional cases
Time context adds important confirmation to price levels
Minor price deviations around calculated levels are part of normal market behavior
The method supports rule-based observation, not prediction
📌 Shared strictly for educational and historical chart-study purposes.
#AxisBank #GannSquareOf9 #WDGann #IntradayAnalysis #MarketEducation #PriceTime #TechnicalAnalysis
$XLM hints at a rebound after a sharp flushCRYPTOCAP:XLM hints at a rebound after a sharp flush.
Price has pushed into a major demand zone after a steep selloff, where downside momentum appears to be slowing.
Technical View:
• Pattern: Descending channel with a potential base forming at support
• Bias: Bullish-leaning, a relief bounce could develop if demand holds
• Key Level: Watch support around 0.16-0.17 and resistance near 0.20-0.21
Long Idea: Balkrishna Industries LTD Balkrishna Industries Ltd (BALKRISIND) successfully executed a significant breakout from a long-term descending parallel channel on February 3, 2026. The breakout was characterized by a massive 11.63% gap-up at the market open and was confirmed by a multi-fold surge in trading volume to 2.32 million shares, well above its typical average. This volume-backed move signalised strong institutional participation, effectively reclaiming all major moving averages, including the 200-day DMA.
Bullish Reversal: The stock recently broke a five-day losing streak with a significant gap-up.
India-US Trade Tailwinds: A landmark India-US trade deal is expected to directly benefit BALKRISIND, with its 14% US revenue exposure poised for growth following tariff reductions.
Domestic Infrastructure Push: The Union Budget 2026 increased public capital expenditure to ₹12.2 lakh crore, directly fueling demand for the company's core off-highway tires (OTR) in construction and mining.
Strategic Expansion: The company is expanding its Carbon Black capacity to 360,000 MTPA and is on track to launch Commercial Vehicle (CV) Radial tires in Q4 FY26.
The combination of a high volume channel breakout and structural tailwinds from the Union Budget 2026 makes BALKRISIND a high-conviction "Buy on Dips" candidate.
Entry Range: ₹2,570 – ₹2,590
Note: After the massive 11.63% gap-up on February 3, the stock is currently consolidating.
Entering near the current market price (CMP) or on minor intraday pullbacks is ideal to capture the next leg of the rally.
Stop Loss (SL): ₹2,380 (On a Daily Closing Basis)
Rationale: This level sits just below the 200-day DMA and the upper boundary of the broken descending channel. A slide below this would invalidate the breakout and suggest a "bull trap."
Target 1 (Short-term): ₹2,750
Rationale: This aligns with the recent intraday high and psychological resistance.
Target 2 (Medium-term): ₹2,920
Rationale: Based on the measured move projection of the parallel channel height, targeting the 2025 swing highs.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:1.7 at current levels, improving to 1:2.5 if entry is secured closer to ₹2,530.
USDJPY Pullback Explained: Trend Support in Focus!For me, USDJPY is still behaving like a healthy uptrend, not a market that is rolling over. Price has been respecting a clear rising channel structure, with buyers consistently defending higher lows.
The recent move lower looks more like a pullback into major trend support rather than a sign of weakness. This is exactly how strong trends usually behave, they pause, retrace, and then decide the next leg based on support reaction.
From a broader perspective:
On the fundamental side, currencies are currently adjusting to shifting rate expectations and global risk sentiment. In such phases, trends rarely reverse immediately. Instead, price often retraces into key levels before continuing or changing structure.
What I’m watching now:
As long as the rising channel and demand zone hold, the overall structure remains intact. The next move will largely depend on how price reacts at this support, not on short-term volatility.
This is not a trade call, it’s an observation of market behavior and structure.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk.
NASDAQ SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD NASDAQ SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you






















