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Trend Analysis

Rategain (W) - Challenges Major Resistance After Parabolic RallyFollowing a powerful trend reversal that began in August 2025, RateGain has surged over 70% and is now confronting a major confluence of resistance. The stock is simultaneously testing a long-term angular resistance trendline and a key horizontal resistance level . This critical test comes after a prolonged downtrend that was in place since February 2024, positioning the stock at a crucial make-or-break point. Strong Bullish Undertone 👍 The rally is supported by a host of positive technical indicators, suggesting strong underlying momentum leading into this resistance zone: - Rising Volume: There has been a consistent increase in trading volume , indicating growing and sustained buyer interest. - Positive Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish crossover state. - Confirmed Strength: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also rising, confirming the bullish momentum. Outlook: A Breakout Awaits Confirmation The stock's ability to overcome this dual resistance will be the key determinant of its future trend. - Bullish Case 📈: A decisive and high-volume breakout above both resistance levels in the coming week could trigger the next leg of the rally, with a potential price target of ₹845 . - Bearish Case 📉: If the resistance holds and momentum fails to carry the stock through, a pullback towards the support level of ₹623 is possible.
NSE:RATEGAINLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Suryoday (W) - Shows Reversal Signs but Halts at Key ResistanceSuryoday Small Finance Bank is showing signs of a potential trend reversal, marked by the recent formation of Higher Lows . Last week, the stock made a significant move, surging +14.38% on massive volume. During this session, it broke through two minor resistances but ultimately closed below a critical long-term resistance level . This price action indicates a powerful attempt by buyers that was met with significant selling pressure at a key technical barrier. Conflicting Technical Signals The current technical landscape presents a mixed picture, highlighting the uncertainty at this juncture: Bullish Signs 👍: - Weekly Momentum: On the weekly timeframe, both the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are in a bullish crossover state. Bearish Signs 📉: - Declining Volume: The overall trading volume has been drying up , which typically signals a lack of conviction from buyers, despite last week's volume spike. Outlook: A Decisive Week Ahead The stock is at a critical inflection point. The powerful surge last week shows bullish intent, but the failure to close above resistance and the low overall volume are causes for caution. The price action in the upcoming week will be crucial in determining whether the stock has the strength to finally break through resistance or if it will be rejected again.
NSE:SURYODAY
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Avantel - Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings🚀 Avantel Ltd – Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings **Type:** Short-Term Trading Idea **Bias:** Bullish **Time Horizon:** 1–2 weeks **Risk Management:** Use tight stop-loss below recent swing low 📊 Technical Snapshot Avantel Ltd is flashing multiple bullish signals, making it a high-conviction candidate for short-term trading. In a rangebound broader market, Avantel stands out with strong relative strength and momentum indicators aligning ahead of its earnings release. ✅ Key Technical Triggers: - **52-Week High:** Trading near its yearly high while broader indices remain muted—clear sign of relative strength. - **Super Trend:** Positive crossover confirms trend continuation. - **RSI:** Slightly overbought, but still constructive—indicates sustained buying interest. - **ADX:** Rising ADX confirms a trending move, not just a spike. - **MACD:** Bullish crossover with expanding histogram—momentum building. - **Volume Surge:** Heavy volumes last week suggest institutional accumulation ahead of results. 🧠 Trader’s Take This is a classic pre-earnings momentum setup. With trend, volume, and sentiment aligning, Avantel offers a tactical long opportunity. Monitor price action around results for potential breakout continuation or reversal signals. > “Strong hands are buying. The tape is speaking—listen.” 📌 Suggested Strategy - **Entry:** On minor dips or breakout above recent high - **Stop Loss:** Just below recent swing low or 5–7% from entry
NSE:AVANTEL
by amitkparmar_ca
LTCUSDT (Crypto) Long🌎Litecoin (LTC) is a decentralized peer-to-peer cryptocurrency created in 2011 as an alternative to Bitcoin. It was designed to provide faster and cheaper transactions, positioning itself as "digital silver" to Bitcoin's "digital gold." The primary goal of Litecoin's creation was to become a more efficient means of instant payments and transfers than Bitcoin. Litecoin operates on the Proof-of-Work principle, like Bitcoin, but uses the Scrypt algorithm. The Scrypt algorithm was initially chosen to counter specialized mining hardware (ASICs), keeping mining more decentralized. Although ASICs for Scrypt have been developed over time, this algorithm still requires more memory than SHA-256, which is used in Bitcoin. The Litecoin network has successfully implemented important upgrades such as Segregated Witness (SegWit) and the Lightning Network, which increase throughput and enable instant microtransactions. Litecoin has a stated maximum supply of 84 million LTC, four times greater than Bitcoin. Litecoin block times and transactions are confirmed significantly faster than Bitcoin. This, along with a less congested network, results in very low fees. A growing number of merchants accepting LTC and integration with payment systems (such as the partnership with Spend) Litecoin's partnership with the Spend platform (also known as SPEDN by Flexa) was part of a broader integration aimed at making spending Litecoin and other cryptocurrencies in everyday life simple and instant. This partnership was a joint effort between several parties: the Litecoin Foundation, Nexus Wallet, and the Flexa payment network, which operates the SPEDN app. At the peak of the partnership, the Flexa network included over 41,000 merchants, primarily in North America, where SPEDN payments were accepted. Here are some well-known companies that accepted payments through this system: Lowe's, Petco, GameStop, Bed Bath & Beyond, Nordstrom Why this partnership was important: It directly linked digital currency to real goods and services. It also clearly demonstrated Litecoin's advantages—speed (2.5 minutes per block) and low fees. Today, the SPEDN app is no longer available, but the Flexa payment network itself continues to operate and develop other solutions. Litecoin remains available for spending—through other services, such as BitPay (crypto debit cards and gift cards) or directly at a growing number of online and offline merchants. In investing and trading, we treat cryptocurrencies as an asset class tied to a risk-on/risk-off regime, only with added variance, like on steroids, so to speak. Currently, the markets are in risk-on mode, and number of factors point to the beginning of altcoin season.
Long
by A3MInvestments
SAMMAAN Capital: Trendline Breakout, Chart of the weekFrom Housing Finance Giant to NBFC Phoenix: Why NSE:SAMMAANCAP Breakout Could Signal a Multi-Bagger Opportunity. Let's Analyse in the Chart of the Week. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Overall Trend Structure: - The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its recent high of ₹260 in early 2022 - A major capitulation event occurred in July 2024, creating a panic low at ₹79.38 - Since the July 2024 low, the stock has formed a clear accumulation phase with higher lows - Recent price action shows a strong breakout from a descending trendline that acted as resistance since early 2024 - Current price at ₹165.03 represents a 107% rally from the lows, indicating strong momentum recovery Candlestick Patterns & Momentum: - The most recent weekly candle shows a massive bullish engulfing pattern with a substantial body, suggesting strong buying conviction - Price has cleared multiple resistance zones with authority, indicating institutional accumulation - The breakout candle shows no upper wick, demonstrating aggressive buying and a lack of selling pressure at higher levels - Consecutive green candles in recent weeks suggest sustained buying interest - The price action exhibits characteristics of a potential trend reversal from bear to bull phase Moving Averages & Dynamic Support: - Price has reclaimed all major short-term moving averages - The stock is now trading above its 50-week moving average - A golden cross formation appears imminent as shorter-term MAs cross above longer-term MAs - Previous resistance zones are now expected to act as support on pullbacks Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: - Massive volume spike on the latest breakout candle (462.74M vs average 86.92M) - approximately 5.3x the average volume - This represents the highest volume since early 2022, indicating significant institutional participation - Volume during the accumulation phase (July 2024 - September 2025) was relatively subdued, typical of smart money accumulation - Previous high-volume events coincided with panic selling in 2022 and mid-2024 - Current volume expansion during upward movement is a classic sign of breakout validity Volume-Price Correlation: - The price-to-volume ratio shows a healthy correlation during the recent rally - Higher volume on up days compared to down days indicates bullish sentiment - The massive volume breakout suggests this move has strong institutional backing - No signs of distribution (high volume on down days) at current levels Volume Analysis Inference: - The 5x volume expansion confirms a genuine breakout rather than a false move - Smart money appears to be entering positions aggressively - Retail participation is likely to increase given the media coverage and the F&O ban lifting - Volume profile supports continuation of the uptrend in the near-term Key Support & Resistance Levels: Major Resistance Zones: - R1 (Immediate): ₹175-180 - Minor psychological resistance - R2 (Near-term): ₹200-220 - Previous consolidation zone and descending trendline confluence - R3 (Major): ₹240-260 - Recent high zone with significant supply potential - R4 (Psychological): ₹300 - Round number psychological barrier Major Support Zones: - S1 (Immediate): ₹150-155 - Recent breakout level, now acting as support - S2 (Strong): ₹135-140 - Multiple touch points and previous resistance turned support - S3 (Critical): ₹113-120 - Horizontal support zone with high volume node - S4 (Ultimate): ₹100-105 - Major accumulation zone and swing low area Key Price Levels to Watch: - Breakdown level to watch: ₹145 (invalidation of bullish setup) - Pivotal zone: ₹135-140 (must hold for bullish continuation) - Stop-loss zone for longs: Below ₹130 Base Formation & Pattern Recognition: Primary Base Structure: - The base shows characteristics of a "Stage 1" accumulation base as per the Weinstein methodology Secondary Patterns Identified: - Descending Channel: From January 2024 to September 2025, the stock traded within a falling channel - Breakout Pattern: Recent weekly candle broke above the descending trendline resistance with authority - Double Bottom: A smaller double bottom formation exists at the ₹100-105 level (June-July 2025) - Higher Low Sequence: Since the July 2024 bottom, the stock has made consistent higher lows - ₹79, ₹100, ₹130, ₹135 Pattern Implications: - The quality of base formation (15 months) indicates strong institutional accumulation Technical Indicators Assessment: Trend Indicators: - Price trading above descending trendline for the first time in 18 months - Structure shifted from lower highs/lower lows to higher highs/higher lows - Breakout above multi-month resistance confirms trend reversal - Weekly timeframe showing a clear momentum shift Volatility Indicators: - Recent expansion in price range indicates increasing volatility - Volatility expansion during upward movement is a bullish characteristic - ATR (Average True Range) is likely expanding, providing better trading opportunities Diversification Rules: - Maximum NBFC/Financial sector exposure: 15-20% of portfolio - Since Sammaan Capital is an NBFC, ensure other NBFC holdings don't exceed the sector limit - Correlation check: Avoid overweight in stocks moving in tandem - Rebalance if a single position grows beyond 10% due to appreciation Risk Management Framework: Technical Risk Factors: - Breakout failure risk: 30% probability of pullback to ₹140-150 - False breakout risk: Volume sustenance needed for confirmation - Resistance rejection risk: ₹220 zone has strong supply potential - Trend reversal risk: Any weekly close below ₹130 invalidates the bullish thesis - Volatility risk: NBFC stocks prone to sudden regulatory/news-driven moves Risk Mitigation Strategies: - Never invest more than planned position size, even if the setup looks perfect - Use limit orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage - Don't average down if SL is hit - accept loss and re-evaluate - Keep a 30% cash reserve for better entry opportunities - Use trailing stops religiously once in profit - Maintain a trading journal to track decisions and learn from mistakes Portfolio Risk Constraints: - Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% on this position - Overall portfolio heat: Not more than 4-5% at risk across all open positions - Correlation check: If market corrects 5%, financial stocks may correct 7-8% - Sector concentration: Limit NBFC exposure even if multiple opportunities arise - Black swan provision: Always keep an emergency exit plan Risk Monitoring Checklist: - Daily: Check if price respects support zones - Weekly: Review volume patterns and trend integrity - Monthly: Reassess fundamental drivers and news flow - Quarterly: Deep-dive into earnings, asset quality, regulatory changes - Event-driven: Monitor RBI policies, interest rate decisions, sector news Exit Risk Management: - Never hold through a major support breakdown, hoping for recovery - If SL hit, stay away for 2-3 weeks before re-entry consideration - Avoid revenge trading after the stop-loss trigger - Book partial profits at predetermined levels - don't get greedy - If the target is achieved faster than expected, evaluate for signs of exhaustion Sectoral Analysis - NBFC & Housing Finance: NBFC Sector Overview: - NSE:SAMMAANCAP is a mortgage-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and rated 'AA' by CRISIL and ICRA - The NBFC sector has witnessed consolidation over the past 3 years post-COVID disruptions - The regulatory framework has tightened with the RBI implementing scale-based regulations - A favourable policy environment exists with a stable macroeconomic backdrop - Housing finance remains a priority sector with government's push for affordable housing Current Sector Dynamics: - Interest rate cycle appears to be stabilising after aggressive hikes in 2022-2023 - Credit growth in retail segments (housing, LAP) remains robust at 15-18% YoY - Asset quality concerns have moderated across the NBFC sector - Competition is intensifying with banks offering competitive home loan rates - Digital transformation and fintech partnerships reshaping distribution Sector Growth Drivers: - India's housing demand remains strong, driven by urbanization and nuclear families - Under-penetrated mortgage market compared to developed economies (10% vs 50-70% mortgage-to-GDP) - Government schemes like PMAY (Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana) support affordable housing - The Loan Against Property (LAP) segment is growing as businesses seek growth capital - Co-lending arrangements between NBFCs and banks gaining traction Sector Headwinds: - Asset-liability management challenges for smaller NBFCs - Rising cost of funds impacting margins - Regulatory compliance costs are increasing - Competition from banks with lower cost of funds - Economic slowdown risks impacting borrower repayment capacity Regulatory Environment: - RBI's scale-based regulation framework implemented in October 2022 - Enhanced monitoring of large NBFCs (asset size >₹10,000 crore) - Stricter provisioning and capital adequacy norms - Focus on corporate governance and risk management frameworks - Recent F&O ban lifting indicates regulatory confidence restoration Fundamental Analysis: Business Model & Operations: - Incorporated in 2005, registered and regulated by the National Housing Bank (NHB), engaged in providing home loans, loans against property, corporate mortgage loans, lease rental discounting, and residential construction finance - The company has adopted an asset-light business model with a differentiated origination strategy and proven co-lending execution across affordable housing and MSME segments - Operates with co-lending partnerships - had 10 bank partnerships as of September 2024, with plans to increase to 12 by March 2025 - Product portfolio: Home Loans, Loan Against Property (LAP), Construction Finance, Lease Rental Discounting Financial Performance Analysis - Market capitalization: ₹13,670 crore; Revenue: ₹8,947 crore; Current year profit: -₹1,800 crore - The company has delivered poor sales growth of -8% over the past five years - Q1 FY26: Reported profit of ₹334 crore on total income of ₹2,400 crore; For FY25, posted loss of -₹1,807 crore on total income of ₹8,676 crore - Recent profitability turnaround visible in quarterly results suggests business stabilization - The company has a low interest coverage ratio, indicating higher financial leverage Recent Corporate Developments: - Abu Dhabi's IHC (International Holding Company) approved preferential allotment to buy 43.5% stake for ₹8,850 crore through Avenir Investment RSC Ltd, paving the way for IHC to assume promoter status - This massive foreign investment indicates strong confidence in turnaround story - Company rebranded from Indiabulls Housing Finance to Sammaan Capital to shed legacy issues - Credit ratings upgraded by S&P and Moody's changed outlook to 'positive' from 'stable'; retained AA/Stable rating from CRISIL and ICRA - F&O ban recently lifted, signalling renewed market confidence Asset Quality & Risk Metrics: - Assets Under Management of ₹12,777 crore as of September 2024 - Shift towards an asset-light model, reducing balance sheet risk - Co-lending partnerships diversify risk and improve capital efficiency - Need to monitor gross NPA and net NPA trends in upcoming quarters - Provisioning coverage ratio and capital adequacy ratio are key metrics to watch Valuation Metrics: - PE ratio currently at 0, indicating the company was loss-making in the recent period - Market cap growth of 3.48% the last 1 year - recent rally not fully reflected in this data - Price-to-Book ratio likely attractive given low valuation during the distress period - Current valuation at ₹165 offers asymmetric risk-reward if turnaround sustains - Comparable NBFCs trading at 1.5-3x book value; Sammaan could rerate as profitability improves Management & Corporate Governance: - Company underwent significant management changes post-rebranding - Abu Dhabi's IHC taking promoter status brings international credibility - Focus on transparent reporting and governance improvements post legacy issues - Strategic shift to asset-light model shows adaptive management Competitive Position & Market Share: - Competes with players like HDFC Ltd, LIC Housing Finance, PNB Housing, and Bajaj Housing Finance - Differentiated strategy focusing on emerging geographies and affordable housing segment - Co-lending model provides a competitive advantage in a capital-constrained environment - Brand recall is still building after rebranding from Indiabulls Key Strengths: - Strong rating from CRISIL and ICRA (AA/Stable) indicates a robust credit profile - ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC validates business potential - Asset-light model reduces capital requirements and improves ROE potential - Regulatory compliance and risk management frameworks strengthened - Experienced in affordable housing and MSME lending segments Key Concerns & Risks: - Historical loss of ₹1,800 crore in FY25 raises sustainability questions - Poor revenue growth of -8.08% over 5 years indicates business challenges - A low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to interest rate volatility - Ongoing investigations related to past operations remain overhang - Execution risk in scaling up co-lending partnerships - Asset quality deterioration risk if economic conditions weaken Integrated Technical-Fundamental Outlook: Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish Thesis: - Technical breakout coinciding with fundamental catalysts (IHC investment, F&O ban lifting) - Volume expansion confirming institutional interest aligning with ₹8,850 crore IHC investment - 15-month base formation suggesting strong accumulation by informed investors - Credit rating upgrades provide fundamental validation to the technical setup - Quarterly profitability turnaround supporting higher valuation rerating Scenario Analysis: Bull Case Scenario - IHC investment successfully closes and brings operational improvements - Asset quality remains stable, and profitability is sustained in the upcoming quarters - Co-lending partnerships expand as planned, driving AUM growth Base Case Scenario - Business stabilises with moderate growth in AUM and profitability - Volatility remains elevated due to sector and stock-specific news Bear Case Scenario - Asset quality deterioration or operational challenges emerge - IHC deal gets delayed or faces regulatory hurdles - Technical breakdown below ₹145 leads to retest of ₹120-130 zone - Macro headwinds (RBI policy tightening, economic slowdown) impact the sector - Exit recommended if the weekly close is below ₹130 Critical Events to Monitor: Next 3 Months: - Completion of IHC preferential allotment and fund infusion - Q2 FY26 earnings (October/November 2025) - profitability sustainability check - Any regulatory updates or clarifications on past investigations - Technical retest of ₹150-155 support zone and price reaction Next 6 Months: - Q3 FY26 earnings showing consistent profitability - Expansion of co-lending partnerships (target 12 banks) - AUM growth trajectory and disbursement trends - NPA trends and provisioning coverage - Technical breakout above ₹220 resistance Next 12 Months: - Full-year FY26 results demonstrating turnaround completion - Market share gains in affordable housing and LAP segments - ROE and ROA improvement trends - PE multiple rerating towards industry average Recommended Action Plan: - Allocate 4-6% of portfolio with strict stop-loss discipline - Book partial profits - Trail remaining position - Monitor quarterly results and credit metrics religiously - Re-evaluate thesis if any fundamental red flag emerges My 2 Cents: The chart presents a textbook example of a turnaround setup with a well-defined 15-month base formation, decisive breakout on exceptional volume (5.3x average), and a clear risk-reward structure. The combination of descending channel breakout and momentum shift from lower lows to higher highs creates a compelling technical narrative. NSE:SAMMAANCAP represents a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play backed by credible fundamental catalysts. The ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC provides a strong validation of intrinsic value. The transition to an asset-light model, credit rating upgrades, and return to quarterly profitability suggest the worst may be behind. However, the legacy of past losses, low interest coverage, and ongoing investigations warrants cautious optimism and strict risk management. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SAMMAANCAPLong
by Karanshah137
3
Muthoot group stock! microfin good buy!!!???looks like a base has formed, im planning to slowly accumulate small qty 160-180+ is good price range, plan a decently wide sl as this is a microfin small cap company Given the recent loss, negative EPS, and risk factors, a fair (conservative) valuation might be ₹160‑₹180 if things improve moderately. If the company shows consistent profit and better asset quality, then ₹200+ is possible. But getting to the optimistic scenario will require strong execution and favourable external conditions.
NSE:MUTHOOTMFLong
by mightymunna
Astral Ltd— Monthly & Weekly technical readOn both the monthly and weekly charts as of early October 2025, Astral Limited is in a consolidation to bearish phase: • Moving Averages: All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 days) are signalling sell, indicating the stock is trading below key confidence levels. • Elliott Wave Reading: Astral is engaged in a corrective phase following a multi-year uptrend and the sharp peak → sell-off The run to the July-2024 high looks like a completed 5-wave impulse up from the multi-year base. The subsequent move since the peak is best read as an A–B–C correction We are likely inside or completing wave C on weekly/monthly — that explains continued weakness until key support (≈₹1,230) is decisively tested. (If wave C completes and price holds monthly support, a new impulse up may follow.) • Short forecast / probabilities (my view): • Short Term (2–8 weeks): Oscillators in oversold territory suggest the stock could consolidate or attempt a short-lived bounce. • Q4 2025 and Beyond: Forecasts for the end of 2025 position Astral between 1,600 and 1,665, assuming successful defense of support and a return to broader market strength. • Trading Strategy: Accumulation Zone: ₹ 1310-1370 Stop Loss: ₹1,220 Targets: T1: ₹1,450 T2: ₹1,577 T3: ₹1600-1665 (long term) Conclusion : Astral Ltd. is technically oversold but sentiment remains cautious; watch the 1,360 supports for signs of reversal. Downside is limited if this support holds, with upside potential back to 1,650–1,665 by year-end should a new impulse wave begin 📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you. 🙏 Follow for more insights 👍 Boost if you found it helpful ✍️ Drop a comment with your thoughts below!
NSE:ASTRALLong
by DrPrashantVerma
Max Healthcare – Impressive Earnings, Fragile TechnicalsMax Healthcare Institute shares have slid sharply, closing near ₹1,069 with heavy selling volume. On the Elliott Wave front, price appears to have completed Wave W at 1,060 after a clean five-wave decline. With RSI deeply oversold, a relief rally in Wave X could unfold, but the larger structure still favors another leg down into Wave Y , with the major demand zone around 980–940 in focus. The overhead resistance supply zone near 1,120–1,140 remains the key cap for any bounce. Unless price reclaims this zone with strength, the downward bias prevails. What makes this interesting is the fundamental backdrop : Revenue grew from ₹1,542 crore in June 2024 to ₹2,027 crore in June 2025. Net profit held steady above ₹300 crore in the latest quarter. Annual revenue surged from ₹2,504 crore in 2021 to ₹7,028 crore in 2025, with net profit crossing ₹1,075 crore. Despite these strong numbers, technicals are hinting at caution — proving that even fundamentally solid stocks can correct when sentiment turns. Bias: Short, unless Wave X reclaims supply convincingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:MAXHEALTHShort
by WaveXplorer
HEROMOTOCO- Flagging Near All-Time HighsThe Setup: Consolidation After a Powerful Rally HEROMOTOCO has had a strong multi-month rally, emerging from a large, rounded base (the "Cup"). It is now forming a very tight bullish flag or continuation pattern right below its major "Weak High" at ₹6,000. This is a classic, high-probability formation: A strong move up indicates demand. The tight consolidation (flag) indicates that profits are being absorbed with minimal supply hitting the market. It is setting up for the final thrust to challenge the all-time high zone. Key Technical Confirmation ⭐ Relative Strength (RS): The Relative Strength line (bottom indicator) shows a recent sharp upward turn, confirming that NSE:HEROMOTOCO is currently outperforming the broader market and is acting as a leader in its sector. 📈 Moving Averages (MAs): The price is resting comfortably above all major moving averages (MAs are stacked in a bullish order), which are providing dynamic support. The uptrend remains robust. 📣 Volume Signature: Volume was high on the rally out of the cup base and has been decreasing during this tight consolidation phase (flag). This quiet volume suggests a lack of aggressive selling and is ideal before a breakout. The Trade Plan 🎯 Entry Signal: Look for a decisive weekly close above the flag's upper boundary (approx. ₹5,750). The high-conviction entry is a successful, high-volume breakout above the major weak high near ₹6,000. 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear stop loss below the low of the current tight consolidation, for example, around ₹5,200. This level is also supported by the immediate cluster of moving averages. 💰 Target Expectation: Given the size of the prior cup base, the potential price projection is significant. The expectation is for a sustained breakout into new All-Time Highs with potential for a multi-quarter trend run. ⚠️ Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes 🚨 Failure to Clear ₹6,000: The most critical risk is that the stock fails to push definitively past the ₹6,000 resistance zone. If it attempts the high and reverses sharply, it could be rejected and trigger a move back to the support levels. ⚙️ Auto Sector Headwinds: Unexpected sector-specific news, regulatory changes, or a general slowdown in demand for two-wheelers could negate the technical setup. ⚖️ Whipsaw/Shakeout: Due to the tight consolidation, any breakout attempt that quickly reverses (a "whipsaw") can trap buyers. Ensure your entry is based on a confirmed daily or weekly close above the resistance.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Sudhi4488
#SHYAMMETL - 2nd BreakOut in DTFScript: SHYAMMETL Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 VCP BreakOut in DTF which Failed 📈 2nd BreakOut in DTF after a short consolidation below Resistance 📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout. 📈 MACD Bounce 📈 Can go for a swing trade ⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
NSE:SHYAMMETLLong
by MMT_MakeMoneyTrading
Kalyan Jewellers: Wave Y Still at Play?Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Bigger Picture Kalyan Jewellers topped near 795.40 and has been in a prolonged corrective phase. The structure since then is not impulsive but rather corrective — pointing toward a Double Combo (W–X–Y) correction. Wave Structure Breakdown Wave W: A clean zigzag down into 399.40 , completing the first corrective leg. Wave X: Extended choppy consolidation into 616.00 , best interpreted as a connector. Wave Y: Currently unfolding as an A–B–C decline . If the pattern holds, another leg lower could complete the structure. Technical Confluence Support Zone: 399.40 remains a major demand area , historically respected by price. If retested, it could become the potential accumulation zone . Projected Trendline Resistance: The descending line from 795.40 to 616.00 may evolve into a key resistance barrier on the next test. RSI: Recent bounce came from oversold territory — a technical relief rally, not yet a trend change . Alternate Possibility If the 442.25 low already marked the end of Wave Y, the current rally could evolve into the start of a new impulsive sequence . Confirmation requires RSI strength above midline (50) and sustained closes beyond the projected descending trendline. Takeaway Kalyan Jewellers is most likely unfolding a Double Combo correction (W–X–Y) with Wave Y still in progress. Traders should watch the 399.40 demand zone as a decisive level. Holding it could set up the next bullish cycle, while a breakdown risks a deeper correction toward 336.05.
NSE:KALYANKJILShort
by WaveXplorer
LEMONTREE-Strong Cup-and-Handle BreakoutThe Setup: Classic Continuation Pattern LEMONTREE is signaling a powerful move with a textbook Cup-and-Handle continuation pattern on the weekly chart. This pattern indicates that the existing strong uptrend is ready to resume after a period of healthy, necessary consolidation. ☕ The "Cup": A wide, rounded bottom formation (mid-2024 to early 2025) showing the gradual return of buying conviction. 🤝 The "Handle": A tight, small flag/base formed near the previous high (the ₹160-₹170 zone), suggesting final supply absorption. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price is breaking out of this handle to new highs on strong volume, confirming the pattern's validity. Key Confirmation Signals 📈 Moving Averages: The stock is trading confidently above all major moving averages, stacked in a bullish order. The long-term trend is very healthy. ⭐ Relative Strength (RS): The Relative Strength indicator confirms that NSE:LEMONTREE is a genuine market leader and is significantly outperforming the broader market. 📣 Volume Profile: Volume is quiet during the handle and increasing on the breakout, which is the perfect signature for a reliable move. The Trade Plan 🎯 Entry Signal: Entry is confirmed on a decisive close above the handle (above ~₹170). 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear, objective stop loss just below the low of the handle formation, for example, around ₹155-₹160. 💰 Target Expectation: Given the strength of the setup and the hospitality sector tailwinds, the expectation is a sustained trend extension to new All-Time Highs.
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by Sudhi4488
SHYAMMETL -High-Conviction VCP Breakout Setup1. The Setup: Textbook Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) SHYAMMETL is setting up for a major breakout after consolidating near its all-time highs. The chart shows a classic Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), a powerful sign of institutional accumulation and supply exhaustion. We can clearly observe three stages of contracting volatility: Contraction 1: Deepest pullback (~34%) Contraction 2: Shallower pullback (~15%) Contraction 3: Tightest pullback (~11%) This progressively tighter base confirms that selling pressure has dried up and the stock is ready for its next major leg up. 2. Key Technical Confirmation Superior Relative Strength (RS): The Relative Strength line (bottom indicator) is trending strongly higher and is well above the zero line, confirming that this stock is significantly outperforming the broader market (Nifty). Leaders lead out of bases. Uptrend Intact: The price is trading well above all key moving averages, which are stacked in a bullish configuration (shorter MAs above longer MAs). The long-term trend remains extremely robust. Volume: Volume has been quiet during the base formation, which is ideal. We expect a large surge of breakout volume to confirm the move. 3. The Trade Plan Entry Signal: Look for a decisive daily or weekly close above the ₹1,000 psychological and technical resistance level, backed by a significant surge in trading volume. Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a tight, objective stop loss just below the low of the final tight contraction range (e.g., around ₹830-840). This defines your maximum risk per share. Target Expectation: Based on the strength of the VCP and superior relative strength, the expectation is for a sustained move into new All-Time Highs and a large multi-quarter trend extension. #Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NSE:SHYAMMETLLong
by Sudhi4488
1
Kfin Tech - Low Risk Long SetupCMP 1067 on 04.10.25 All important levels are marked on the chart. The price has been traveling in a parallel channel and presently resting at the lower edge of the channel. Also, a double bottom pattern was formed, with a bottom of around 1000. First target is 1160, considering the stop loss of 1000. If it crosses 1180 and sustains above, it will gain more strength. If it sustains below 1000 levels, the setup will go weak. One should keep the position size in accordance with the risk capacity. All these illustrations are only for learning and observation purposes; they should not be considered as trading recommendations. All the best.
NSE:KFINTECHLong
by anandlive
3
GBPCHF – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart)📊 GBPCHF – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart) Pair: GBPCHF Timeframe: 2H Bias: Short Position 🔎 Market Context: GBPCHF is retesting a resistance zone (1.07389 – 1.07902). The pair has been struggling to push higher, indicating selling pressure in this zone. If rejection continues, a bearish move is expected toward lower support levels. 📌 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 1.07389 – 1.07902 Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.07902 Take Profit (TP): 1.06342 (recent demand / support zone) ⚖️ Risk-Reward (RR): Approx 1:3, maintaining a favorable setup for next week. 📅 Setup valid for Oct 6 – Oct 10, 2025 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Please trade with strict risk management.
Short
by E_R_S
EURUSD – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart)📊 EURUSD – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart) Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: 2H Bias: Short Position 🔎 Market Context: EURUSD is currently testing a resistance zone (1.17485 – 1.17888). Momentum shows signs of slowing down near this level, with potential seller interest. If rejection confirms, price could continue lower towards previous support. 📌 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 1.17485 – 1.17888 Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.17888 Take Profit (TP): 1.16309 (recent low / support zone) ⚖️ Risk-Reward (RR): Approx 1:3, aligning with next week’s trading plan. 📅 Setup valid for Oct 6 – Oct 10, 2025 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart is shared for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management when trading.
Short
by E_R_S
2
EURNZD – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart)📊 EURNZD – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart) Pair: EURNZD Timeframe: 2H Bias: Short Position 🔎 Market Context: Price recently rejected from the 2.02521 – 2.03250 resistance zone. Sellers appear to be stepping in as bullish momentum weakens. Structure points to a possible continuation lower if rejection holds. 📌 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 2.02521 – 2.03250 Stop Loss (SL): Above 2.03250 Take Profit (TP): 2.00366 (previous support / liquidity area) ⚖️ Risk-Reward (RR): Approx 1:3, aligning with weekly trade management. 📅 Setup valid for Oct 6 – Oct 10, 2025 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
Short
by E_R_S