NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 29th December 2025If NIFTY sustain above 26047 then 26067/71 above this bullish then around 26103/112/125 above this more bullish above this wait more levels marked on chart
If NIFTY sustain below 26021 then 26011 to 25994 below this bearish then 25975 below this more bearish then 25953/47 then 25899/72 or 25851/14 below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip)
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Trend Analysis
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th December 2025🟡 GOLD TREND TRADING PLAN
📈 BUY SETUP (Trend Continuation)
🟢 Buy Above: 4566
🎯 Targets:
4577
4588
4599
📌 Logic:
If price sustains above 4566, it indicates bullish strength and continuation of the upward trend. Look for confirmation on higher time frames before entering.
📉 SELL SETUP (Trend Breakdown)
🔴 Sell Below: 4469
🎯 Targets:
4459
4449
4439
📌 Logic:
A breakdown below 4469 signals bearish momentum. Expect follow-through selling if price holds below this level.
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (Quick Trades)
🔻 Sell Rejection Zone
📍 Resistance Area: 4592
If price gets rejected near 4592
Enter SELL for 5–10 points
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the rejected candle high
📌 Best used when price shows rejection wicks or bearish candle confirmation.
🔺 Buy Rejection Zone
📍 Support Area: 4475
If price gets rejected near 4475
Enter BUY for 5–10 points
🛑 Stop Loss: Below the rejected candle low
📌 Works best when price shows strong buying rejection and bullish candle structure.
⏱️ TIME FRAME CONFIRMATION
🕰️ Use Higher Time Frames for Accuracy:
30-Minute Chart
1-Hour Chart
📌 Always align scalping entries with the higher time frame trend to increase probability.
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is only for educational purposes. Gold trading involves high risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Please trade with proper risk management, use stop loss, and consult your financial advisor before taking any trade. The author is not responsible for any profits or losses.
NIFTY Set to Sign Off 2025 Quietly—Could 2026 Bring a Rally?As we enter the last week of 2025 and approach the first week of 2026, Nifty is doing something familiar—consolidating in a tight range.
Everything looks calm at first glance: volatility is very low (India VIX at 9.15), trading volumes are light, and price changes are small. But history shows that such calm often comes before a big move.
◉ What it means actually?
● Nifty near lifetime highs, but breadth remains weak
● Low volatility → calm market, but risk of sudden moves
● Traders aren’t chasing the market, they’re waiting for a trigger rather than pushing prices higher.
◉ Technical View
● From a technical standpoint, Nifty continues to trade within a rising wedge pattern, which carries bearish implications in the short term.
● Looking at the broader structure, a cup-and-handle pattern is forming, typically pointing to a potential upside move once the neckline is decisively breached.
◉ Important Levels to Watch
● Immediate Resistance: 26,100 - 26,200
● Immediate Support: 25,900 - 26,000
Strong breakout or breakdown from here will decide the next big leg.
◉ Looking Ahead
As 2026 begins, markets will closely track:
● FOMC minutes, which could influence global rate expectations.
● Rupee movement and FII flows, key drivers of short-term sentiment.
◉ Strategy Insight
Until fresh catalysts emerge, markets may stay range-bound as they digest year-end positioning. With volatility compressed, stock-specific strategies and relative-strength setups may offer better opportunities than broad index trades.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on (29 Dec 2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4500
Buy Limited - 4480-4470(Strong buy zone)
If price stay above 4440 then next target ,4520,4540 and 4570 and below that 4380
Plan;If price break 4480-4470 area,and stay above 4490,we will place buy order in gold with target of 4520,4540 and 4570 & stop loss should be placed at 4380
Chapter-6 Why Many ICT Traders Fail in ExecutionChapter 6 — Why Many ICT Traders Fail in Execution (Even With “Correct” Concepts)
Chart reference: BTCUSD 4H — the perfect example of concepts being correct, but execution being inconsistent.
Most ICT traders don’t fail because they don’t know OB / FVG / Liquidity / MSS.
They fail because they treat those labels as entries, instead of treating them as execution conditions.
This BTCUSD 4H environment is exactly where that mistake gets exposed: multiple swings, repeated wick traps, range behavior, and mid-range noise. If you don’t have acceptance + invalidation rules, you get chopped even when your bias is “right.”
1) Order Block Misuse: “I Found an OB, So I Entered”
The common mistake
Traders mark an OB and treat it as a guaranteed reversal zone.
Why it fails (especially on this chart)
In a choppy 4H environment, price will:
tap an OB,
wick through it,
re-enter it,and continue to the next liquidity pool.
So the OB becomes a reaction area, not a permission slip.
The correct execution rule
An OB is valid only after at least one of these happens:
Displacement away from the zone (real intent, not a weak drift)
Acceptance confirmation (close back above/below the level that matters)
Liquidity condition is satisfied (a sweep / raid occurs first)
Execution takeaway:
OB is where you pay attention, not where you blindly buy/sell.
2) Liquidity Misinterpretation: Confusing “Magnet” With “Reversal”
The common mistake
“Equal highs = sell zone” or “equal lows = buy zone.”
What liquidity really is
Liquidity is a target (a magnet), not automatically a reversal point.
On this BTCUSD 4H, you can see repeated behavior:
price runs a prior swing (or equal highs/lows),
grabs stops,
then either continues or mean-reverts depending on acceptance.
The correct execution rule
After a liquidity sweep, your job is not to “predict reversal.”
Your job is to ask:
Did price ACCEPT beyond the sweep, or REJECT and return?
Acceptance = closes holding outside the old range
Rejection = wick sweep + close back inside range
Execution takeaway:
Liquidity tells you where price wants to go. Acceptance tells you whether it stays there.
3) Timeframe Conflict: HTF Bias Dies on LTF Noise
The common mistake
Traders mix timeframes emotionally:
HTF says “bullish”
LTF prints a bearish candle
they flip, then re-flip, then revenge trade.
This BTCUSD 4H sequence is full of “both sides look valid” moments. That’s where timeframe discipline matters.
The correct execution rule (simple and brutal)
HTF = Map
MTF = Permission
LTF = Execution timing
If HTF is ranging, then LTF trend entries become low-quality unless you are at range extremes with acceptance/rejection proof.
Execution takeaway:
If HTF is range, your default state is WAIT — not “find more setups.”
4) No Acceptance Rule: Trading Wicks Instead of Closes
The common mistake
Entering because of:
a wick into FVG,
a touch of OB,
a “looks like rejection” candle mid-formation.
Why it fails on this BTCUSD 4H
This chart shows classic “wick drama”:
sharp wicks above resistance,
sharp wicks below support,
then price returns to the mean.
If you trade wicks without acceptance, you’re trading stop-hunts, not structure.
The correct execution rule
Define acceptance in writing. Examples:
“4H candle close above range high” (bullish acceptance)
“4H candle close back inside range after sweep” (rejection confirmation)
“Break + retest hold” (continuation permission)
Execution takeaway:
Wicks reveal intent. Closes grant permission.
5) No Invalidation Rule: “Where Exactly Am I Wrong?”
The common mistake
Stop-loss is placed:
“somewhere below the OB,”
or “below the wick,”
without structural logic.
The correct approach
Invalidation must be:
beyond the level that breaks your trade idea, not beyond your comfort.
In this BTCUSD 4H chop, structural invalidation is the only thing that prevents death by a thousand cuts.
A professional invalidation question:
If price reaches X, is my model still valid or not?
If you can’t answer that in one sentence, you’re not ready to execute.
Execution takeaway:
No invalidation = no trade. Because you can’t manage what you can’t define.
6) FVG / Imbalance Over-Fetish: “It Must Fill, So I Enter”
The common mistake
Assuming every imbalance must be filled in your direction, right now.
Why it fails
In ranges, imbalances fill both ways as price mean-reverts.
So “FVG fill” becomes a trap if you don’t anchor it to:
HTF context,
liquidity objective,
acceptance rule.
Execution takeaway:
FVG is not a signal. It’s a context tool. Use it only with permission.
7) The Real Killer: Trading Mid-Range (Where R:R Looks Good But Probability Is Poor)
On this chart, the market repeatedly oscillates around the mean area (roughly the mid-zone of the recent 4H range).
That is where:
entries feel “cheap,”
stops feel “tight,”
and probability is worst.
High-quality execution zones are usually:
range low after sweep + rejection confirmation
range high after sweep + rejection confirmation
breakout + acceptance + retest hold
Everything else is often noise.
Execution takeaway:
Good traders wait for location. Great traders wait for location + acceptance.
The Chapter 6 Execution Model (Practical Rules)
Use this as the “no-excuses” execution gate:
Context — Trend or Range on 4H?
Location — Are we at an extreme or mid-range?
Liquidity — Was a stop pool raided or not?
Acceptance — Did we close with permission?
Invalidation — Where is the idea proven wrong?
Execution — Enter only after 1–5 are aligned
Management — Reduce risk after confirmation, not before
If steps 3–5 are missing: WAIT.
How MARAL Helps in This Exact Situation (BTCUSD 4H “Chop + Wick Traps + Range”)
This chart is the kind of environment where ICT concepts still “exist,” but execution fails because permission is unclear. MARAL’s value here is simple:
It does not try to predict direction.
It standardizes when to trade, when to wait, and how to manage after entry.
1) MARAL prevents mid-range entries
Problem on this chart: price spends long time around the mean (mid of the 4H range).
ICT traders keep taking OB/FVG touches inside the middle → chopped.
How MARAL helps
MARAL treats mid-range as low-quality location unless acceptance confirms a break.
Default state becomes WAIT until price reaches range edges or prints a clear acceptance break.
Result: fewer trades, higher signal-to-noise.
2) MARAL separates liquidity sweep from reversal permission
Problem: traders see a sweep and immediately fade it.
But sweep can lead to continuation if acceptance holds beyond it.
How MARAL helps
MARAL forces a binary question: Did we get acceptance or rejection?
Rejection: sweep + close back inside → reversal permission improves
Acceptance: close holds outside → do not fade; wait for retest/continuation
Result: you stop fighting continuation moves.
3) MARAL standardizes acceptance rules (close-based permission)
Problem: wicks look like “confirmation,” but closes decide. This chart has many wick traps.
How MARAL helps
MARAL requires close-based permission to activate execution:
“4H close reclaiming a key level” for longs
“4H close losing a key level” for shorts
If it’s only wicks, MARAL keeps you in WAIT.
Result: no more “entered early, got wicked.”
4) MARAL forces a clean invalidation point (where exactly am I wrong?)
Problem: ICT traders place stops emotionally (“below OB”) without defining model failure.
How MARAL helps
Every setup must have a single invalidation line:
If price breaches it and closes/holds → idea invalid
If invalidation isn’t clear → MARAL blocks the trade.
Result: stops become structural, not hopeful.
5) MARAL reduces timeframe conflict
Problem: HTF bias vs LTF noise → flip-flop entries.
How MARAL helps
MARAL uses the chain:
HTF = Map (range or trend?)
MTF = Permission (acceptance event?)
LTF = Execution timing (entry precision only after permission)
If HTF is range (like here), MARAL will naturally push you toward:
range extremes + sweep + rejection
or
breakout + acceptance + retest
Result: fewer impulsive LTF trades against the HTF environment.
6) MARAL adds post-entry management clarity (the missing part for most ICT traders)
Problem: Even after a good entry, traders don’t know:
when to reduce risk,
when to hold,
when to exit early.
How MARAL helps (in this market type)
After permission + entry, MARAL structure typically becomes:
Protect phase: once acceptance confirms, reduce exposure / move risk to safer state
Hold phase: if structure holds and price respects the reclaimed level
Exit phase: if acceptance fails, momentum weakens, or price re-enters the range
Result: you stop turning winners into losers in chop.
MARAL “Decision Ladder” for This Chart (Simple)
Use this exact ladder on BTCUSD 4H:
Is 4H trending or ranging? (here: range / mixed)
Are we at range extreme or mid? (mid = WAIT)
Was liquidity swept at an extreme?
Did we get rejection OR acceptance? (close-based)
Define invalidation (one level)
Only then execute
Manage by acceptance health (hold / protect / exit)
One marketing-ready line (for your chapter)
“ICT gives concepts. MARAL gives the execution law.”
In this BTCUSD 4H environment, MARAL’s biggest edge is not entries — it’s trade permission + invalidation + post-entry control, which is exactly where most traders fail.
Find below “MARAL vs Typical ICT Execution” comparison section
MARAL vs Typical ICT Execution (Practical, Not Theoretical)
1) Role of Order Blocks
Typical ICT Execution
Order Block treated as a direct entry trigger
Entry often taken on first touch
Little differentiation between reaction and permission
MARAL Execution
Order Block treated as a location filter
Entry allowed only after displacement + acceptance
OB defines where to observe, not where to execute
2) Liquidity Interpretation
Typical ICT Execution
Liquidity sweep assumed to mean reversal
Equal highs/lows faded without confirmation
MARAL Execution
Liquidity defined as a target, not a bias
Reversal only after rejection (sweep + close back inside)
Acceptance beyond liquidity cancels fade bias
3) Acceptance Logic
Typical ICT Execution
Wick reactions often considered confirmation
Entries taken during candle formation
MARAL Execution
Acceptance defined strictly by candle close behavior
Wicks signal intent; closes grant permission
No close = no execution
4) Timeframe Alignment
Typical ICT Execution
HTF bias mixed emotionally with LTF signals
Frequent bias flipping during consolidation
MARAL Execution
Fixed hierarchy:
HTF = Context / Map
MTF = Permission
LTF = Execution timing only
Range HTF automatically restricts mid-range trading
5) Invalidation Discipline
Typical ICT Execution
Stop-loss placed “below OB” or “below wick”
Invalidation often unclear or emotional
MARAL Execution
One predefined invalidation level per idea
Invalidation represents model failure, not discomfort
If invalidation is undefined → trade is blocked
6) FVG / Imbalance Usage
Typical ICT Execution
FVG treated as a signal (“it must fill”)
Direction assumed without context
MARAL Execution
FVG used as contextual pathway, not permission
Requires liquidity + acceptance alignment
Ignored in mid-range or low-quality volatility
7) Trade Location Filtering
Typical ICT Execution
Trades taken throughout the range
R:R optimized, probability often ignored
MARAL Execution
Mid-range classified as low-quality location
Priority given to range extremes or acceptance breaks
WAIT is a valid and enforced state
8) Post-Entry Management
Typical ICT Execution
Focus ends after entry
Exit decisions become emotional
MARAL Execution
Trade state tracked after entry:
Protect → Hold → Exit
Management based on acceptance health and structure
Early exit allowed when acceptance degrades
9) Trader Behavior Outcome
Typical ICT Execution
High activity, inconsistent results
Overtrading in chop environments
MARAL Execution
Lower trade frequency, higher clarity
Consistency driven by execution gating, not prediction
Closing message for the chapter -6
ICT concepts are powerful — but concepts alone don’t produce consistency.
Consistency comes from standardized execution:
OB is not an entry. It’s a zone that requires proof.
Liquidity is not a reversal. It’s a target that needs acceptance logic.
Timeframes don’t mix emotionally. They align structurally.
Wicks don’t give permission. Closes do.
No invalidation = no professionalism.
Chapter 7 — How MARAL Supports Traders in Live Markets
Execution Discipline, Risk Control, and Greed Management (Educational Framework) coming soon.
Note : This chapter is written purely for education — to explain why execution fails in live markets even when traders correctly understand ICT concepts such as Order Blocks, Liquidity, Fair Value Gaps, and Market Structure. The goal is not to criticize ICT, but to highlight execution gaps that commonly appear under real-time market pressure.
#ICT #SmartMoney #TradingEducation #TradingPsychology #MarketStructure #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #FairValueGap #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #BTCUSD
Nifty: Sideways Trend — Bounce Likely, Sustainability DoubtfulYou can clearly see from the NSE:NIFTY chart that the trend has turned sideways.
Momentum is positive, but the candles are overlapping. That is the main reason why many stocks, despite having good price action, are either not moving or failing to sustain their moves.
Another important point to note is that the index has again moved back inside the Pivot range, yet the volume is green even on red candles.
This combination indicates that a bounce may come, but it is unlikely to sustain.
More importantly, if you look at GIFT NIFTY, both trend and momentum are negative there. That adds caution to the overall view.
Because of this, my strategy for tomorrow remains Sell-on-Rise.
Resistance is near 26098 and support is at 25950.
If 26100 breaks decisively on the intraday chart, the Sell-on-Rise plan will be considered invalid.
For short-term accumulation, a strong support lies at 25777.
Looking ahead to next week, the market is likely to behave in a way where:
– Intraday traders can continue with Sell-on-Rise
– Short-term traders can accumulate trending theme stocks on dips
Next week will be more about building positions in high relative strength stocks, not chasing breakouts.
Plan your short-term portfolio carefully with stocks from strong sectors.
Defence is looking good. Stocks like NSE:BEL and NSE:HAL can be studied on dips or on clean breakouts.
📊 Levels at a glance:
Resistance: 26098
Support: 25950
Key intraday invalidation: 26100
Short-term accumulation support: 25777
Bias: Sell-on-Rise
Focus: High relative strength stocks, Defence sector
That’s all for now.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 29
✅ Gold refreshed a new all-time high at 4549 during the US session on Friday, then pulled back to 4509, but never broke below the 4500 psychological level — confirming that bulls remain firmly in control.
✅ From the daily structure:
The moving averages maintain a perfect bullish alignment, and price continues to ride along the upper Bollinger Band — this is a typical absolute strong-trend environment.
This means it is not a market top, but rather a strong rally that requires consolidation.
Price has entered a high-level sideways, strong-holding consolidation phase.
✅ From the 4-hour trend:
Gold is consolidating at high levels within an ascending channel.
Candles are holding between MA20 and the upper Bollinger Band, with no breakdown signals — indicating a healthy bullish consolidation phase.
MA5 / MA10 remain in bullish alignment, while MA20 continues rising, with the key trend defense line around 4440 — meaning pullbacks remain buying opportunities.
✅ From the 1-hour chart:
Gold is forming a converging triangle consolidation at high levels.
Highs are repeatedly capped around 4545, while lows are gradually rising — showing bullish accumulation before breakout.
🔴 Resistance: 4545–4550 / 4560–4580
🟢 Support: 4490–4500 / 4480–4450
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Main Strategy|Buy on Pullbacks
📍 Entry Zone: 4480–4500
🎯 Targets: 4550 / 4580 / 4600+
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4460
⚠️ Logic: Daily strong trend + H4 ascending channel + structural support confluence
🔰 Secondary|High-Level Short Scalps (Short-Term Only)
📍 Sell Zone: 4545–4560
🎯 Targets: 4520 / 4500
⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4580
⚠️ For short-term hedging only. Do NOT counter the major trend.
🔥 Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Bitcoin : H n S Pattern $75000/- (Bearish)Sell Bitcoin below 91350 stoploss 98950 tgt 88615, 84750, 80500, 73600
Put Stoploss on closing basis.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
Gold : Preparing for Breakout for 84500-85000Gold is consolidating in Triangular Pattern to Breakout above 78800. Target will be 84500-8500.
Close below 76500 will make a breakdown.
Put Stoploss on closing basis.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
NBCC : Ready to Moove UpsideNBCC has started upside above 120 and will breakout above 132. after that a very sharp upside will start, CUP Handle pattern will give a enormous energy to to rise very high, 140, 151, 162, 183,w ill be seen in future. This whole analysis will be negated if it closes below 105.
Put Stoploss on closing basis.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
MMTC : Bull run wil startMMTC will breakout above 73. after that a very sharp upside will start, failure of H&7 will give a enormous energy to to rise very high, 100, 132, 155, 187, 218 will be seen in future. This whole analysis will be negated if it closes below 51.
Put Stoploss on closing basis.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
Trade plan on $Nifty 50 INDEX : 29th Dec 2025
Hourly Chart :-
Nifty spot has performed as anticipated, consistent with the prior analysis. In the next session, a brief upward move is possible, but failure to close above the 26230 zone precludes entry into a bullish regime. Proposed trade strategies:
* If advances to 16150, initiate short positions upon confirmation.
* If declines below 26000 to support near 25910 without pullback, consider long positions around 3:00 PM.
* In case of sideways consolidation, await a decisive breakout in either direction.
Daily Chart :-
Post-today's movement, Nifty exhibits a short-term downtrend while holding support at the 26000 zone (20 SMA). A close below 26000 may target the 25700 zone.
* Short entries below 26000, with stop-loss at 26144.
* For optimal short-term shorts, reference the hourly timeframe.
* No buy signals have materialized; further observation is warranted.
Weekly Chart :-
The prior bullish bias has transitioned to a sideways range. The upcoming week is pivotal:
* A close below 26000 signals potential for a significant downtrend.
* A break above 26230 indicates readiness for the next uptrend.
Monthly Chart :-
The Hanging Man formation represents a bearish reversal pattern in an uptrend, featuring a small real body at the upper range, extended lower shadow, and minimal upper shadow. This suggests sellers are gaining traction, with downside risk ahead.
If you like this analysis, please let me know in the comments.
Thank you to all readers
Breakout in Silver (Ag)...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where silver may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
How to trade fake Breakout using volume
The Breakout - Price breaks above a resistance line, tricking buyers into thinking the price will keep going up.
The Trap - Professional sellers step in, creating an "imbalance" where selling pressure outweighs buying.
The Result - Price crashes back down, "trapping" the buyers who bought at the top. This sharp drop often provides a strong Short Entry for traders.
Also top now working as strong resistance
For identifying volume imbalance i made indicator to find aggresive buyer sellers active maybe it will help you to identify buyer sellers aggressive activity.
Here pine script -
Nifty 50 PredictionKey Levels to Watch (Critical)
🔴 Resistance Zone
26,100 – 26,300
Multiple rejections
Upper wedge line + horizontal resistance
🟢 Support Zones
25,600 – 25,500 → first breakdown support
25,000 – 24,800 → strong demand zone
24,300 – 24,000 → major structure support (worst case)
🚀 Possible Scenarios (Next Move)
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Less probability but strong if happens)
Daily close above 26,300
Volume expansion required
🎯 Targets:
26,700
27,200
27,800 (extended)
📌 Strategy:
Buy only after confirmation, not inside wedge
❌ Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Higher probability ⚠️)
Breakdown below wedge support (~25,600)
Daily close below support
🎯 Targets:
25,000
24,800
24,300
📌 This will be a healthy correction, not trend reversal
NESTLE -long for 10 %Bullish Technical Points
1️⃣ Weekly Pivot Breakout
Price has broken above a major weekly pivot level
Indicates shift from consolidation to bullish continuation
Prior resistance now acting as support (~₹1,255–1,260 zone)
2️⃣ Breakout Above Previous Week’s High
Strong weekly close above last week’s high
Confirms demand dominance
Validates breakout strength (not a false breakout)
3️⃣ EMA Stack Alignment (Bullish Structure)
Price trading above all key EMAs
EMA order: 3 > 6 > 18 > 50 > 100 > 200
Classic sign of strong trend resumption
Indicates institutional participation
4️⃣ Successful Retest of Breakout Zone
Pullback respected pivot/support zone
Formation of higher low
Confirms support acceptance
5️⃣ MACD Turning Positive
MACD line above signal line
Histogram positive / rising
Suggests fresh bullish momentum
Momentum supporting price expansion
6️⃣ Volume Expansion on Breakout
Increased volume during breakout candle
Confirms conviction buying
Reduces probability of bull trap
7️⃣ Higher High – Higher Low Structure
Clear trend reversal confirmed
Market transitioning from range → trend
8️⃣ FMCG Defensive Strength
Relative strength in FMCG space
Suitable for swing + positional trades
Lower downside volatility vs broader market
MCX getting Ready for Big 50% upmove in coming 10-12 Months.MCX getting Ready for Big 50% upmove in coming 10-12 Months.
On Daily charts we can see the Previous high of 6900 can be broken in 1-2 Months.
Post Consolidation around 6900 we can see MCX may complete H&S Pattern & Breakout above 7000 can push the stock towards 10000+ Zone.
LTP - 6190
Short Term targets - 6900
Long Term Target - 10000+
SL - 5650
Timeframe - 1-1.5 Years for 50% ROI
Happy Investing.






















