Bharat Forge Ltd – Flat in Formation, Bulls Still in Command
The impulse from ₹919 - ₹1,362 looks complete, and price is now likely carving a 5-3-5 flat correction as Wave 2.
Wave B has already stretched to the prior Wave 1 peak, keeping regular , expanded , and running flat options open.
Wave C could retrace toward ₹1,192 – ₹1,140 — the 0.382-0.5 fib zone — before the broader uptrend resumes.
Sustained volume and RSI momentum continue to support the larger bullish structure.
A breakout above ₹1,395 invalidates the bearish setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Trend Analysis
ABFRL Price ActionABFRL is currently trading near ₹85, reflecting a 4.5% gain in the latest session, but the stock remains deep in a correction from its 52-week high of ₹325. The year low is ₹70.55, so the recent rebound has been minor relative to the overall downtrend. Trading volumes are robust (7.8 million shares), but average volumes over the past three months exceed 9.5 million, indicating continued speculative interest and some exit activity by major holders.
Financials remain pressured: the company reports negative earnings per share (EPS 4.69) and a negative P/E ratio of .82, due to sustained losses in recent quarters. The stock trades below its 200-day moving average (4.7), underlining the long-term downtrend. Revenue contraction, negative compounded sales growth over 3 and 5 years, and declining promoter holdings further emphasize weak sentiment and a lack of fundamental support for an immediate turnaround. Return on equity (ROE) stays negative (0.9%).
Technically, ABFRL exhibits resistance at 00 and support in the 0–75 zone. The stock remains vulnerable to further corrections given its low profitability, high debt, and weak recovery signs, even as short-term volatility drives occasional rebounds. Caution is warranted for fresh positions, and any medium-term accumulation should be considered only with strict risk management and awareness of sector headwinds.
Union Bank of India – Cup and Handle Breakout Formation on Week.Union Bank (NSE: UNIONBANK) is displaying a classic Cup and Handle formation on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend.
Technical Overview:
• Pattern: Cup & Handle
• Breakout Zone: ₹150–155
• Target Zone: ₹175–180 (≈16–17% potential)
• Support Levels: ₹138 and ₹132
• Moving Averages: Price trading above 20W and 50W EMA – positive structure
• Volume: Increasing near the breakout area, confirming accumulation
• RSI: Sustaining above 60, reflecting improving bullish momentum
Observation:
A decisive weekly close above ₹155 with healthy volume could validate the pattern and trigger the next leg of the rally. The setup remains valid as long as price sustains above the handle’s low around ₹138.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Nifty Update | Bullish Continuation from 25680–25700 Zone📊 Analysis:
Market is moving as I shared in the previous idea — consolidating within the 25680–25700 range as planned. Now, I’m watching for a break above 25830 to confirm bullish continuation.
As long as Monday’s low holds, bias remains on the bullish side.
However, a break below Monday’s low could open the path toward 25500.
Let’s see how the market develops the price action from here 👀
💡 Bias: Bullish above 25830
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below Monday’s low (next support near 25500)
Sharing my personal market view — not financial advice.
Aurobindo Pharma's struggle seems to be over.As seen in the chart below Aurobindo Pharma struggled to trade above 100 day EMA (High) for Past one year with close above swing high.
In Past 12 months this is the 1st time this stock has managed to cross swing high on closing basis and daily 100 day EMA (High)
Cmp 1156 with stop at 1080 we can expect tgt of 1270 and 1360 in coming 8 to 10 weeks.
NIFTY still looks very weak!As we can see despite forming M pattern and breaking below, it still looks very weak looking at weekly candlestick which is aligning with our analysis since 26000 level! We will stick with our analysis until and unless NIFTY breaks above and sustains itself above 26000 and closes weekly keeping our first target intact at 25500. So plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Godrej Consumer Products: Wave (4) Double Combo Testing SupportWave (4) seems to have evolved as a double combination (W–X–Y), with prices now testing the W–Y trendline support near the 0.618 retracement (~₹1,096).
The structure has been slow and overlapping — typical of a Wave (4) correction.
RSI too rests at channel support , hinting at momentum exhaustion.
A steady hold above this zone could pave the way for Wave (5) , but confirmation is still pending.
Invalidation remains below ₹979.50 .
Strategy:
Watch price behavior near the current support zone. Patience here pays more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Nov-2025🔹 NIFTY Trading Plan for 04-Nov-2025
(Based on psychological correction behavior and intraday structure)
Chart Reference Levels:
🟧 Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 25,732 – 25,774
🟥 Opening Resistance: 25,871 – 25,886
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,677
🩵 Extended Support Zone: 25,602
❤️ Upside Psychological Target: 26,000
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If Nifty opens above 25,860, it enters near the Opening Resistance zone (25,871 – 25,886). Monitor how price behaves here — early candles showing rejection or long upper wicks could signal exhaustion and a potential pullback.
Only if Nifty sustains above 25,886 with strong momentum and closes a 15-minute candle above it, bulls could take control for a move towards the psychological mark of 26,000.
In case of a false breakout, prices could retrace back to the 25,774 zone, which may act as re-entry support for dip buyers.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-up days tend to trap retail traders who buy impulsively at the open. Always let the market prove its strength with a confirmed candle close before entering directional trades.
🟠 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close around 25,730)
Flat openings near 25,732 – 25,774 indicate equilibrium between bulls and bears. The first half-hour will decide whether this zone acts as support or resistance.
If Nifty sustains above 25,774, it can climb towards 25,871, where sellers might emerge again. Watch for a decisive breakout or rejection at that level.
A breakdown below 25,732 would expose the index to 25,677 (Last Intraday Support). Sustained weakness below that level could extend toward 25,602.
📘 Educational Note: Flat openings allow clear structure formation — ideal for observing whether large players are accumulating or distributing. Avoid rushing; let trend direction confirm itself.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
A gap-down below 25,650 brings price action directly near Last Intraday Support (25,677) or the Extended Support Zone (25,602). Watch closely for reversal candles or volume divergence in this region.
If Nifty fails to reclaim 25,677, it could extend weakness further, making 25,602 the next critical level where buyers may attempt to defend.
A recovery back above 25,732 after testing these supports may indicate a short-covering opportunity for intraday traders.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-downs are emotional openings. Avoid panic selling; instead, analyze whether the drop is driven by emotion or genuine momentum. Patience during the first 15–30 minutes often saves capital and improves entries.
💡 Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading
Never risk more than 1–2% of total trading capital per position.
Use hourly candle close-based stop-losses to minimize whipsaws in volatile moves.
Avoid chasing far OTM options post 11:00 AM — theta decay accelerates quickly.
If implied volatility (IV) is high, prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) over naked options.
Always pre-define your exit plan — entry is optional, exit is mandatory.
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 25,886 → Bulls likely to extend toward 26,000.
Between 25,732 – 25,774 → Neutral consolidation zone; trade cautiously.
Below 25,677 → Bearish bias may continue toward 25,602.
In essence, 04-Nov-2025 could be a decision-making day for Nifty — either to confirm strength above the resistance band or to retest lower supports. Let the first 30 minutes establish the tone, then trade with discipline and risk control.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders should conduct their own technical and psychological assessment or consult with a certified financial advisor before executing any trade.
AUD/USD Long Setup – Buying the Pullback with Clear RiskPair: AUD/USD
Entry: 0.65335
Stop Loss: 0.65275
Take Profit: 0.65535
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:3.3
This isn’t a signal — it’s a guide for structure-based entries with tight risk control.
Always wait for price action confirmation before jumping in 🚀
Trade Analysis: EUR/USDPair: EUR/USD
Entry: 1.15310
Stop Loss: 1.15547
Take Profit: 1.14801
EUR/USD is showing a short-term bearish structure with lower highs forming under resistance near 1.1550.
I’m watching for a continuation of the downtrend after a corrective pullback.
The entry is planned at 1.15310 with a stop loss above resistance at 1.15547 and a target toward 1.14801 support.
This trade offers a solid 2:1 risk–reward setup, aligning with the prevailing momentum
#PANAMAPET | Low-Volume Pullback at Key SupportCMP: 271.50
Price has returned to a major demand zone , and the decline came on low volume , hinting at weak selling pressure.
Could this be the calm before another rally toward 450+? 🚀
📊 Breakout–Retest–Continuation setup forming!
🛡 Supports: 268-249 / 229
🚧 Resistances: 279 / 347
❌ Invalidation: Below 212.50 (WCB)
🎯 Targets: 380 / 415 / 452+ (ATH)
📊 Volume Trend: Price falling on declining volume → typical sign of healthy corrections within an uptrend .
This setup resembles the early accumulation phase of 2020 , where the trend began to reverse from the base zone.
If buyers defend this area, we could see a continuation of the larger bullish trend that started in 2020. 📈
Watch for strength & volume pickup near the support zones for confirmation. 👀
#PANAMAPET #PriceAction #VolumeAnalysis #MarketStructure #LongTerm
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Crude Oil Futures Technical Analysis with TargetsCrude Oil Futures (MCX) Technical Analysis – Key Levels and Price Outlook
(November 2025 Update)
- Crude oil prices have shown some recovery this week after a continuous downtrend seen in October.
- The market is now trying to build a base above ₹5,100 and looks ready for a possible short-term bounce if bulls manage to sustain above support levels. Let’s break down the current chart structure, support, resistance, and targets in detail.
1. Current Market Overview
Crude Oil Futures on MCX are trading around **₹5,460–₹5,500**. After a sharp correction from ₹6,500 levels, prices finally took support near **₹5,100**, which acted as a major base. Since then, the price has started forming higher lows, showing that buyers are slowly returning to the market.
However, the price is still below the key resistance zone, which means bulls need a confirmed breakout before a strong rally begins.
2. Important Support Levels
🟢 Major Support – ₹5,100 to ₹5,144
This zone has become the strongest base for crude oil. The market took multiple rejections from this level before bouncing back. As long as crude stays above ₹5,100, the overall structure remains positive for a possible up-move.
🟢Latest Support – ₹5,485 to ₹5,515
This is the immediate support zone just below the current price. If crude oil manages to hold above this range, it could confirm short-term bullish strength. A close below this support might again push prices toward ₹5,100.
3. Key Resistance Levels
🔴 Resistance Zone – ₹5,980 to ₹6,021
This is the first major resistance zone to watch. If prices move above ₹5,700 (first breakout level) and sustain, crude could attempt to test ₹6,000. Historically, sellers have been active near this area, so it will be a tough barrier for bulls.
🔴 Major Resistance – ₹6,520 to ₹6,580
This is the long-term resistance zone. If crude oil manages to break above ₹6,600 decisively, it will mark the beginning of a strong bullish phase. Such a move could open the way toward ₹7,000 or higher in the coming months.
4. Short-Term Price Targets
🎯 First Target After Breakout: ₹5,700
Once crude oil breaks above ₹5,515 with good volume, the first upside target will be around ₹5,700.
🎯 Second Target: ₹6,000
Sustained momentum above ₹5,700 could push prices toward ₹6,000.
🎯 Major Target (Long-Term): ₹6,520–₹6,580
If the market breaks ₹6,000 convincingly, bulls may aim for this long-term resistance zone.
5. Market View and Strategy
Short-Term View:
Neutral to slightly bullish as long as the price stays above ₹5,485.
Medium-Term View:
A clear breakout above ₹5,700 can trigger a move toward ₹6,000 and ₹6,500 levels.
Risk Zone:
A close below ₹5,100 will turn the sentiment negative, possibly retesting the ₹4,430 level (previous low).
6. Conclusion
Crude oil is showing early signs of recovery, but it still needs confirmation through a breakout above ₹5,700. Holding above ₹5,485 support will be crucial in the short term.
For swing traders, the best strategy could be to buy on dips near ₹5,200–₹5,300 with a stop loss below ₹5,100 and targets at ₹5,700 and ₹6,000.
Overall, the trend remains cautiously bullish, but traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before making aggressive entries.
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context
Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave.
Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning.
As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline.
• Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,905 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 4,072
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak
• Entry: 4,096 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,108 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 4,072
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 3,985
✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak.
💬 Summary
The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows.
The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone.
The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD .
“Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H
📅 Update: 03/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Nifty 4/11/2025Market View:
The price action remains confined within a tight range. Global cues are slightly positive, suggesting that Indian markets may open with a mild upward bias. The current Put-Call Ratio (PCR) stands at 0.78, reflecting a bullish undertone. However, overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic rather than decisively bullish. Traders are advised to await a confirmed breakout before initiating directional positions, as the market is likely to continue its sideways consolidation in the absence of a strong trigger.
Bullish Pennant Breakout Strategy in GoldBullish Pennant Breakout in Gold MCX
📊 Pattern Overview:
A Bullish Pennant pattern has formed after a strong upward move, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. The pattern is characterized by converging trendlines during consolidation, followed by a breakout to the upside.
📈 Strategy Setup:
Pattern: Bullish Pennant
Breakout Confirmation: Price closing above pennant resistance line
Entry Zone: Near breakout candle close
Target (T1): ₹125,635
Stop Loss (SL): ₹118,682
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2
📊 Indicator Confluence:
T-K Cross: Bullish Cross
Price vs Kijun: Bullish
Cloud Trend: Up
VWMA: Up
RSI: Up
VWAP: Up
SuperTrend: Down (short-term resistance, to be monitored)
🧠 Trading Logic:
The Bullish Pennant indicates a temporary consolidation within an existing uptrend. A confirmed breakout with indicator support (Ichimoku, RSI, VWMA, and VWAP in alignment) strengthens the bullish momentum. Traders may look for sustained candles above the upper trendline with volume confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Market conditions can change rapidly — always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
INDIAGLYCO - Cup & Handle PatternIndia Glycols (INDIAGLYCO) is currently trading around ₹1,014, showing significant strength with a recent 4.6% gain in the latest session. The stock has a 52-week high near ₹1,070 and a low near ₹503, indicating it is trading close to its annual high. The market capitalization is around ₹6,277 crore with solid average daily volume (~17,847 shares).
Valuation metrics indicate a P/E ratio of approximately 25.8, supported by strong earnings per share (EPS) of ₹39.35. The stock price is well above its 50-day (₹888) and 200-day (₹796) moving averages, showing strong short and long-term momentum. Volume trends reflect steady buying interest, confirming bullish sentiment.
Fundamentally, India Glycols has demonstrated robust financial performance with growth in revenue and profitability, making the current price attractive for medium to long-term investors. Technical indicators point to a continuation of the uptrend barring any major market corrections, with immediate support near ₹960 and resistance at ₹1,050–₹1,070.
Overall, India Glycols exhibits solid price momentum, healthy fundamentals, and strong trading volume, supporting its position as a structurally sound stock in the chemical and specialty chemicals sector.
BTC/USDT (4h timeframe)...BTC/USDT (4h timeframe), I can summarize what’s visible and help interpret my targets:
Current price: Around $107,469
Chart setup: my using Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) with marked zones:
Resistance level (green zone) around $107,000 – $108,000
Two target points drawn on the chart:
First target point: around $111,350 – $111,500
Second (higher) target point: around $116,500 – $117,000
✅ Summary of target levels visible on my chart:
1. Target 1: ~$111,350
2. Target 2: ~$116,700
These targets are likely based on a breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud and prior resistance zones.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Imp Levels to WatchBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch (Nov 2025 Update)
Bitcoin is currently showing a sideways-to-weak trend as the price struggles to stay above the $107,000 zone. After reaching its recent high near $125,000, BTC faced selling pressure and started moving lower. Let’s look at the important support and resistance levels that can guide traders in the coming days.
Current Price Action
Bitcoin is trading near **$107,700**, and this area is becoming a key decision zone. The chart shows that buyers are trying to defend the support around **$106,976**, but so far, they are not able to push prices strongly upward. On the other hand, sellers are active near the resistance zone of **$111,000–$112,000**.
This indicates that Bitcoin is stuck in a short-term range between **$107,000 and $111,500**, and a breakout from this range will decide the next move.
Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)
1. Resistance 1 – $110,974 to $111,545:
This is the first barrier BTC needs to cross for any upward momentum. If Bitcoin breaks this level with strong volume, it can move higher toward the next targets.
2. Resistance 2 – $116,500 (First Target):
Once the first resistance is cleared, BTC could aim for this level. This area has seen heavy selling earlier, so bulls will need strong buying power to move above it.
3. Resistance 3 – $125,000 (Third Target):
This is the upper resistance and the recent swing high. If Bitcoin manages to break and close above $125,000, it will confirm a strong bullish trend, and we could see new highs later.
Support Levels (Downside Targets)
1. Immediate Support – $106,976:
This level is acting as the first support for now. If it holds, BTC might bounce back toward $110,000.
2. Downside First Target – $103,500:
If Bitcoin breaks below $106,000, the next target on the downside could be around $103,500. This will show short-term weakness in the market.
3. Latest Support – $98,600 to $99,700:
This zone is very important because it acted as a strong base in the past. Many buyers may re-enter the market here.
4. Demand Zone / Support 2 – $89,000 to $90,700:
This area is called the “Demand Zone.” If prices fall this low, we can expect a strong buying reaction as long-term investors might find this level attractive.
5. Final Support – $78,600 to $79,700:
This is the last strong support on the chart. A fall below this level would signal a major trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
"Summary"
Right now, Bitcoin’s short-term trend is sideways to slightly bearish** until it breaks above $111,500. If BTC holds above $107,000 and breaks the first resistance, we can expect recovery toward $116,000 and then $125,000.
However, if it slips below $106,000, the price may test $103,500 or even $99,700 in the coming sessions.
Traders should watch these levels carefully and avoid over-leveraging during sideways market conditions.
LANCORHOL Price ActionAs of **October 25, 2025**, **Lancor Holdings Limited (NSE: LANCORHOL)** closed at approximately **₹22.64**, marking a **4.6% gain** for the session after opening at ₹22.20. The stock traded between **₹21.68 and ₹23.44**, showing stable volume activity with around **1.07 lakh shares** traded. The company’s **market capitalization** stands near **₹166.5 crore**.
Fundamentally, the firm has a **P/E ratio of about 87.1**, which is relatively high compared to its sector, reflecting market expectations of future growth despite modest earnings. Its **EPS** is **₹0.26**, and the share trades below both the **50-day** (₹23.09) and **200-day moving averages** (₹23.75), suggesting mild short-term consolidation.
Technically, the stock is in a **sideways pattern** post its mid-year decline from a **52-week high of ₹45.90**. **Support** lies around **₹21.5–₹22**, while **resistance** is seen near **₹23.8–₹24.2**. A breakout above ₹24.5 may trigger a short-term uptick toward ₹26–₹27 zones, whereas sustained trade below ₹21.5 might invite a drift toward ₹20.
Lancor’s medium-term trend remains **neutral to slightly positive**, supported by stable project execution in real estate and manageable leverage. However, caution is warranted due to its thin profit margins and elevated valuation multiples, which suggest that the stock might consolidate before any substantial directional move.






















