Tata Power - AI themeWith more and more AI coming up and data centers as a theme picking up..one of the most under thought of parts of that theme is the power these GPU's will be consuming..
The demand for power esp in the US has shot up after being stagnant for ages..
The same will happen here and Tata Power is one of the leaders on this front..
The stock is flirting wt the 200EMA.
Long above 392 and double up above 403 wth a Stoploss below 389.
Trend Analysis
LiamTrading – INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIO
When we look at the global financial landscape, an interesting picture emerges:
Equities – All Time High (ATH)
Housing Prices – ATH
Bitcoin – ATH
Gold – ATH
Money Supply – ATH
National Debt – ATH
CPI Inflation – averaging 4% per year since 2020, double the Fed’s “target”
Federal Reserve – continuing rate cuts this month
Clearly, easy money combined with inflationary pressure is a powerful driver pushing gold to new historical levels. This makes buying with the trend more reasonable than ever.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel.
Volume Profile highlights the POC around 3840–3850, a key zone to watch for scalping buys.
The VAL coincides with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, offering strong confluence for medium-term buys.
If price breaks above 3895 to confirm a new ATH, trend-following buys remain the priority.
Key resistance: 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870
Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890
Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860
Buy breakout: If price breaks ATH 3895 and confirms, continue buying with the trend → Open targets towards 3915+
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, both fundamentally and technically. Short-term pullbacks are simply opportunities to add to buy positions. However, traders should watch the immediate resistance zones to optimise entries.
👉 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD, not financial advice.
Follow me to stay updated with the latest daily gold scenarios 🔥
Gold Market Outlook – Bullish Trend Building MomentumGold continues to follow a structured bullish cycle, where each consolidation phase has been followed by a breakout and expansion. Market behavior shows liquidity being collected in sideway ranges, then released to fuel upward momentum.
At the current stage, price is trading around $3,870, showing signs of a potential short-term pullback to gather liquidity from the mid-zone. Once this corrective move stabilizes, the chart suggests a renewed bullish impulse with a projected upside target toward the $3,965 level.
This pattern highlights that the market remains in a controlled bullish phase, where temporary retracements are acting as setups for continuation rather than reversal. The underlying flow still favors higher levels as long as buyers maintain activity after corrections.
Silver at a major resistanceSilver has reached a major resistance level. A breakout above this will see more rally. It will be very interesting to see what happens from here. Big Macro development if a breakout happens. The metal will continue to shine if it breaks out, otherwise it is a top and correction will follow.
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
USOIL is in a critical zoneHello,
USOIL is currently at a major support level that has held for the past 2 months. There are two possible scenarios: either the support holds and USOIL bounces back toward the resistance at $66, or the support breaks and the price moves down to the next level at $60,
Ibrouri Abdessamad
XAUUSD – WOLFE WAVE CONTINUES, PRIORITISE BUYING
Hello trader 👋
On 02/10, we begin with the continuation scenario of the Wolfe Wave pattern. In yesterday's session, gold prices followed the upward rhythm of the pattern, but the decline at the upper line was not truly effective. Today, the market is forming a new price channel with a wider range, opening opportunities for both buy and sell orders during the session.
Regarding fundamentals, geopolitical tensions between Russia and France are escalating, while safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold. Long-term analyses suggest the $4,000 mark is entirely feasible, although there are still technical fluctuations in the near term.
⚖️ Today's trading scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario (prioritise following the main trend):
Entry: 3,863 – 3,865
SL: 3,857
TP: 3,880 → 3,895 → 3,910 → 3,920
👉 You can enter at the current zone, or wait for a breakout confirmation above 3,871 to increase winning probability.
🔴 Sell Scalping Scenario (short-term):
Entry: 3,885
SL: 3,891
TP: Short around 3,870 (depending on price reaction)
👉 Suitable for quick scalping traders at the upper edge of the channel.
🔴 Wolfe Wave Sell Scenario (wide range):
Entry: 3,925 – 3,927
SL: 3,935
TP: Long-term expectation according to the Wolfe pattern, can be managed by closing 50% at 3R profit level, letting the rest ride the trend.
📊 General Outlook
The main trend remains bullish, buying continues to be the priority strategy.
Sell orders should only be considered as short-term opportunities at the upper range, or when the price tests strong resistance.
Volatility may increase during the day due to political news, so risk management needs to be tight.
📌 Conclusion: Gold is following the Wolfe Wave pattern with an expanding price channel. Buying at support – short selling at resistance is the suitable strategy for the day. Long-term investors can continue to expect the $3,950 – $4,000 mark in the upcoming cycle.
JSW Steel powers through bullish channel with momentumTopic Statement:
JSW Steel is on a relentless bullish run, steadily climbing within a strong up-trending channel that continues to attract accumulation.
Key Points:
1. The stock is moving consistently in a strong bullish channel, making directional trading highly structured and reliable
2. It rarely dips below the 50-day EMA, and when it does, it presents a strong investment or accumulation opportunity
3. The clearly defined channel makes it ideal for disciplined channel-based trading strategies
The Gold/Silver Ratio: Why It Matters So Much?The Gold/Silver ratio (GSR) measures how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. It’s one of the oldest indicators in commodity markets, with data going back centuries.
Long-term average: ~65
Extreme high: 105 in 2020 (COVID panic, gold as pure safe-haven while silver crashed)
Current level: ~80
1. Why the Ratio Is So Powerful
When the GSR is high (above 90–100), it means silver is undervalued relative to gold.
When the GSR falls, it signals that silver is outperforming gold – usually during the most explosive parts of precious metals cycles.
In simple terms:
👉 High ratio = silver cheap
👉 Falling ratio = silver catching up/outperforming
2. The Recent Move
At the 105 peak (2020), silver was ignored and gold was everyone’s safe-haven. That extreme stretched the ratio to historic highs.
Since then, the ratio has broken down to ~80. This collapse in the ratio coincided with silver’s recent 48–50% rally since April 2025.
So there’s already a tight correlation between GSR falling and silver surging.
3. Forward Projection
If we assume the ratio continues mean-reverting towards its historical average (~65):
From 80 → 65 = a ~20% decline in the ratio.
Given how silver has tracked ratio moves so far, that could translate to another ~50% upside.
🖊️ That math gives me:
Current silver ~$50 → my target range $70–73
Which also aligns with the inflation-adjusted 2011 top of Quarterly Silver chart
This alignment across technical (Cup & Handle), ratio math, and inflation-adjusted targets strengthens the conviction.
4. Where This Gets Interesting
The GSR chart you provided shows a trendline break risk:
If the ratio decisively breaks down from ~80, it confirms silver is in outperformance mode.
A breakdown projects to ~65 (mean), and potentially overshoot lower if momentum builds.
Historically, when the GSR enters a sustained downtrend, silver rallies parabolically.
🎈 Key Takeaway:
The Gold/Silver ratio is not just a technical indicator here – it’s the bridge linking your macro thesis (ETF demand, industrial pull, Fed distrust) with your chart targets.
The ratio tells us that:
Silver’s catch-up has already started.
There’s room for another 50% upside.
This lands silver in the $70–73 zone – exactly where the inflation-adjusted 2011 high sits.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 3rd October 2025If NIFTY sustain above 24832 above this bullish then 24917/40 not much of an important level unless it opens below this it can serve as a mild resistance then 24984 to 25004 then 25022/42 then 25056/80 strong level above this wait
If NIFTY sustain below 24792 below this bearish then it may come down to 24718 to 24692 below this wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook
On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward.
At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact.
2. Important Levels
Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case.
OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks.
OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily.
Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected.
Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs.
3. Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865.
SL: Below 3,850.
TP1: 3,912.
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935.
Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810.
If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770.
4. Conclusion
Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
US Government Shutdown Sends Gold Flying HigherWhat's Happening With Gold?
Gold continues recording new high despite monthly RSI reading of 89-90 signalling extremely overbought conditions and casual pullbacks are attracting buyers on any dip towards value areas resuming higher high and higher low structure which is precisely bullish.
Disappointing ADP numbers keep dollar under pressure and Gold gets substantial support as bond yields remain neutral or dull.
Recent record high of $3895 witnessed a minor pullback to $3852 which was quickly absorbed by buyers retesting $3893 today and prices stand at striking distance of record high.
What's Driving the Bullish Rally?
Fundamental Drivers:
The US government shutdown and fiscal stress has caused global concerns triggering increased bets for risk off sentiments driving investors for higher Gold prices on safe haven buying.
Continued Dollar Weakness below critical resistance 98 is supportive for dollar denominated Gold reducing opportunity cost of holding the non yielding asset.
Sticky Inflation makes Gold a preferred hedge against inflation as store of value.
Geo political concerns across Europe, mid east keep safe haven demand strong and boost Gold prices further.
Robust buying by major Central Banks create further structural demand for Gold as several central banks continue increasing Gold in reserve than dollar and no central bank selling Gold despite record high prices.
Any surprise hawkish message from the Fed members or strong economic data can cause a pullback in Gold prices while any dovish tone by Fed will further boost Gold prices.
Technical Drivers:
Technical structure is still bullish favouring further continuation supported by price stability above immediate support $3852 and moving within a strong ascending bullish parallel channel as seen on the 4 hourly chart while further bullish extension requires strong break and stability above immediate resistance $3898 which targets next leg higher $3914 followed by $3934
Overbought conditions on Monthly RSI reading 89-90 urges caution on heights as break below crucial support may trigger profit booking pressure, especially if some news about potential agreement on US shutdown strengthens dollar and treasury yields.
If Gold breaks below $3872, expect a retest of $3860-$3858 while break below $3852 will expose $3845 followed by $3830-$3820
NASDAQ: Webbull Corporation - Long Setup, Reversal SignWebbull Corporation shows signs of a potential long opportunity after forming a Bullish reversal pattern (falling wedge) on the daily chart. Price respecting a trendline, and Volume spurt on last trading session. signaling Bullish momentum. hinting at a possible uptrend initiation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate support at $12.56 (immediate low)
Trade Plan:
Enter long above $13.50 on confirmation of bullish candle close.
Stop loss above $12.60 to limit risk.
Target $18.00 as per falling wedge rule, or trail stop as price moves above.
Disclaimer : Risk management is crucial. so keep position sizing appropriate. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and not financial advice.
Wave Pattern Identified This is an ideal pattern found after a Breif Bull Run in the Market
These type of patterns repeat themself on all time factors
This cycle is Weekly Price & Time cycle
I have left side explained how the pattern of 3 Stroke will look like in Text Book
and on real time You can witness one movement of 3 stroke pattern is complete
Expect an Pull back move before heading for final Retest of Primary Trend on weekly time frame
This is education content
Good luck
Nifty 50 – Wave 2 Correction and the Confluence ZoneDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
After bottoming at 21,743.65 in March 2025, Nifty launched a strong impulsive rally that topped at 25,669.35, marking Wave 1 of a new higher-degree advance.
Since then, price has been moving inside a downward-sloping channel , forming what appears to be a Wave 2 correction.
The subdivisions so far suggest a W–X–Y structure :
Wave W ended at 24,337.50.
Wave X topped at 25,448.95.
Wave Y is now unfolding, with (a) in place, (b) potentially in progress, and (c) likely still pending.
To assess possible completion zones, Fibonacci retracements of Wave 1 offer key checkpoints:
0.382 retracement at ~24,160, aligning with the channel base.
0.5 retracement at ~23,699, a deeper but still acceptable Wave 2 target.
This channel + fib confluence provides a meaningful area where Wave 2 could terminate, setting the stage for the next bullish leg — Wave 3.
Key Levels:
Resistance : 25,450 – 25,670 (breakout here invalidates the immediate Wave 2 scenario).
Support : 24,160 (0.382 fib and channel base).
Deeper support : 23,700 (0.5 fib).
Alternate scenario: If price continues sideways without decisive weakness, the correction may evolve into a triangle for Wave 2 instead of a W–X–Y.
Takeaway: As long as price respects the channel and fib zones, Wave 2 remains corrective in nature. A sustained break higher would open the path for Wave 3 — the next impulsive advance.
Prakash Ind (D) - Coils in Major Triangle Pattern, Nearing ApexPrakash Industries is currently in a prolonged consolidation phase, trading within a large Triangle pattern that has been forming since September 2023. This pattern typically acts as a continuation of the prior trend, which in this case was a strong uptrend that began in April 2023.
The stock is now approaching the apex of this triangle, suggesting a significant price move could be imminent. The key boundaries to watch are:
- A formidable long-term resistance trendline dating back to January 2008 . This level has triggered several "fake breakouts" in the past.
- A strong support trendline established since September 2023.
Outlook: A Breakout Awaits Confirmation
The stock is likely to remain range-bound in the immediate short term. A decisive move will only occur upon a breakout or breakdown from the existing pattern, which must be confirmed by a significant increase in trading volume.
- Trading Range: Within the current pattern, the stock could oscillate between the upper resistance near ₹187 and the lower support level around ₹160 .
- Breakout Scenario 📈: A sustained breakout above the multi-year resistance on high volume would signal a continuation of the primary uptrend.
- Breakdown Scenario 📉: Conversely, a breakdown below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish continuation thesis and could lead to a significant correction.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/10/2025🔎
________________________________________
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse → this signals that the bullish trend is becoming very weak.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → today we may see a recovery move, with price either rising further or moving sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the overbought zone → the recovery continues for now, but once H1 reverses inside the overbought zone, the next downward move may begin.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe
o Price reached the second target yesterday.
o Momentum on D1 is showing signs of reversal → if today closes with a bearish candle, it may confirm that the yellow wave 5 top has been completed.
o In that case, a 3-wave correction on D1 will unfold.
o The duration of this correction will likely be longer than the previous yellow wave 2 and wave 4 corrections.
• H4 timeframe
o A downward move has completed, and momentum is turning upward.
o If H4 enters the overbought zone without creating a new high, it provides strong evidence that the purple wave 5 has been completed.
o The current structure shows the confluence of multiple wave 5s, fulfilling the condition of an ending diagonal triangle:
Features: new highs and new lows are created, but they become progressively smaller, forming a rising triangle.
Once completed → a sharp decline is expected.
• H1 timeframe
The structure is noisy, so we consider 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Black wave 5 has already completed
o Price is currently in a corrective structure.
o Combined with H4 momentum reaching the overbought zone and reversing:
If price fails to break above 3897, then:
1. Price drops from the current level 3866 → toward 3830. Then retraces back to 3865 → this offers a very good shorting opportunity.
2. Price rallies to 3885 → but only if H4 momentum is in the overbought zone and starts to weaken → this also provides a great short setup.
Scenario 2 – Price breaks the high
o In this case, we consider the possibility of an ending diagonal triangle, combining channel structure and H4 momentum to find the short entry.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
• Although we already have potential targets, placing limit orders at this stage is not effective.
• The key condition to wait for: H4 momentum must reach the overbought zone and reverse → that will provide a clearer and safer entry.
• I will update the entry point once H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, to avoid the same situation as yesterday: correct wave direction, but wide volatility caused stop-loss hits.
Gold Record: Shutdown 'Blinds' the Fed Hello, traders!
Gold shows absolutely no sign of slowing down, closing the October 1st session at $3,866.66/oz, while futures contracts hit a record high of $3,897.50/oz. The precious metal has climbed nearly 50% year-to-date and just set its 39th record high this year!
Fundamental Analysis: Shutdown Risk Hits at the Worst Time
While government shutdowns usually have a minor impact, the timing of this one is critical:
Delayed Jobs Data: The crucial jobs report (scheduled for Oct 3rd) will be postponed. This uncertainty will leave the market and the Fed 'blind' regarding the economy's health just weeks before the next policy meeting, triggering strong demand for safe-haven assets (Gold).
Threat of Staff Cuts: President Trump threatened to use the shutdown to cut "a lot of" federal employees, escalating tensions beyond typical closures and increasing political instability.
Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy
Gold accelerated past the $387x region during the US session, confirming the upward momentum is still very strong. However, the market is prone to more "Stop Loss hunting" (liquidity sweeps). Continue to Prioritize Buy, but manage SL carefully due to wider price swings.
Resistance: $3887, $3895, $3904
Support: $3870, $3854, $3843
Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3860
TP: $3878 - $3888 - $3898 - $3908
SELL ZONE (High Risk)
Zone: $3903 - $3905 / SL: $3913
TP: $3895 - $3885 - $3875
Gold is running on a foundation of fear. Do you think the $3900 mark will be breached this session? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #RecordHigh