Trend Analysis
Noise Less Charting Method Friends I have made an visual representation of where the Nifty would be heading based on the
Method i follow as wave theory
Interesting to note the price is in the channel or representation of channel fits the price movement
Also You can note i have selected 0.50 % Box size in Ranko Bars , which represents the movement in harmonic or linear movements based on fixed price bars
Now i have applied wave theory which represents the methods i follow as Analyst
Wave 2 Represents sharp correction
Wave 4 Represents Complex Running Flat Pattern leaving second leg correction fell short to represent the urgency in the Movement
Now I have forecasted it with mathematical calculations which may represents an measured move method to take Profits
All this is an education content
I hope you understand it and then hit the like button
Good luck
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context
After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery.
The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent.
Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026.
Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed.
📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4)
Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance.
The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence)
• 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618)
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$.
🎯 MMFLOW Outlook
Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion.
If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+.
This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
BSE Ltd –Strong Breakout Above Resistance | Volume & RSI ConfirmBSE Ltd has given a decisive breakout above the ₹2550–₹2570 resistance zone after weeks of consolidation. The breakout is supported by a strong volume surge and bullish RSI momentum crossing above 65, indicating strength in the move.
• Chart Pattern: Horizontal breakout from multi-week range
• Entry Zone: ₹2580–₹2620
• Target: ₹2815+ (based on range projection and resistance levels)
• Stop Loss: ₹2470 (below breakout zone)
• Volume: Significant spike confirming institutional participation
• RSI: Staying strong near 69, showing sustained bullish pressure
If price sustains above ₹2550 on daily closing, the momentum can carry toward ₹2800–₹2850 in the near term.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: Daily
IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern📈 Technical Analysis Spotlight: IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern
In the world of technical analysis, chart patterns often serve as powerful indicators of potential price movements. One such pattern, the Cup and Handle, has recently emerged on the daily chart of IDBI Bank Limited, offering traders and investors a compelling bullish setup.
🏦 Current Market Snapshot
As of the latest data, IDBI Bank is trading at ₹100.42. This price action is notable not just for its level, but for the structure it has formed—a classic Cup and Handle pattern, which is widely regarded as a bullish continuation signal.
☕ Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern
The Cup and Handle pattern resembles the shape of a tea cup:
The "cup" forms after a rounded bottom, indicating a period of consolidation and accumulation.
The "handle" follows as a short-term pullback, typically on lighter volume, before a potential breakout.
This pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment—from bearish to bullish—as buyers gradually regain control.
📊 Technical Confirmation
Several factors strengthen the bullish outlook for IDBI Bank:
The stock is trading above its 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), suggesting medium-term strength and trend alignment.
The neckline resistance—the key breakout level—is identified at ₹106. A decisive move above this level would confirm the completion of the Cup and Handle pattern.
🚀 What Happens After the Breakout?
If IDBI Bank breaks above ₹106 with strong volume, it could trigger a bullish rally, as the pattern implies renewed buying interest and momentum. Traders often look for price targets by measuring the depth of the cup and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
🧠 Final Thoughts
The Cup and Handle pattern on IDBI Bank’s chart, combined with its position above key moving averages, presents a textbook bullish setup. While no pattern guarantees future performance, this formation is a favorite among technical analysts for its reliability and clarity.
As always, traders should consider risk management and broader market conditions before acting on any signal.
Silver Mcx After the sharp decline from the October highs, silver has been holding its October low and is now consolidating within a tight range. A breakout and close above this consolidation box would indicate that the next leg of the uptrend may resume. The October closing low is acting as key support. If the breakout holds, price can attempt to move toward the rising trendline resistance zone, which is currently around 135,000 in the coming weeks.
The Psychology Behind Winning TradesThe Psychology Behind Winning Trades 🧠💹✨
Introduction – Hook:
📊 “Why do some traders consistently win 💰 while others struggle 💔?”
It’s rarely the strategy—it’s the mindset behind the trade! 🧠🌟
Your emotions, thoughts, and biases control your decisions, even with perfect technical skills. 🎯
1️⃣ What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology is the study of how emotions and mental habits affect trading decisions. 🌈🧘♂️
It’s about understanding:
How fear 😨, greed 😍, or impatience ⏳ impacts your trades
Why you sometimes ignore your rules 📝
How discipline 💪 can make the difference between profit 🏆 and loss 💸
💡 Tip: Even the best strategies fail if your mind isn’t in control. 🧠✨
2️⃣ Common Psychological Traps & How They Appear in Trades
Trap Emoji Effect Example in Trading
Fear 😨 Exiting too early Closing a winning trade because you’re scared of losing profits 💔
Greed 😍 Holding losing trades Waiting for a loss to “come back” and losing more money 💸
FOMO 🏃♂️💨 Jumping impulsively Entering trades last minute because everyone else is trading 🚀
Revenge Trading 😤🔥 Emotional loss-chasing Trying to recover losses by taking bigger, risky trades 💣
💡 Insight: Recognizing these emotions is the first step to controlling them. 🌟
3️⃣ How to Master Your Trading Mind
1️⃣ Pre-Trade Preparation 🧘♀️✅
Check your emotional state before trading 🕊️
Confirm your trade plan is clear 📋✨
2️⃣ During the Trade ✋🎯
Stick to your rules, don’t let emotions take over 💪🔥
Avoid impulsive exits or entries ⏱️❌
3️⃣ Post-Trade Reflection 📖🖊️
Keep a Trading Journal: note emotions, mistakes & wins ✨📓
Review trades to improve your mindset over time 📈🌟
4️⃣ Pro Tips for Winning Psychology
🔥 Mindset Checklist:
Am I trading calmly? 😌💭
Am I following my plan? 📋✅
Am I chasing losses or profits emotionally? ⚖️💡
💡 Daily Mindset Practice: Meditation 🧘♂️, journaling ✍️, or reviewing trades 📊 can help you stay disciplined under pressure 💎🌟
5️⃣ Why It Matters
Trading without psychology = strategy leaks money 💸💨
Emotional control = consistency, higher win rates, confidence 🏆💪
Professionals don’t just trade charts—they trade themselves 🧠✨
6️⃣ Engagement Section
👇 Question for your audience:
“What’s the biggest psychological trap YOU’ve faced in trading? Share your story below! 💬💭💖”
The Moon's phases are the changing mode (NIFTY)The Moon's phases are the changing shapes of the Moon's illuminated portion as seen from Earth, caused by its orbit around our planet. The Sun always lights half of the Moon, but our view of that lit half varies over a cycle lasting about 29.5 days (a synodic month). There are eight primary phases, divided into four major ones (new moon, first quarter, full moon, last quarter) and four intermediate ones (waxing/waning crescent and gibbous).
On October 24, 2025, the Moon is in the waxing crescent phase, about 9% illuminated and roughly 3 days old since the previous new moon (which occurred around October 21). Look for it low in the western sky just after sunset. The next full moon is November 5 (Beaver Moon).
The idea that moon phases influence the stock market—often called the "lunar effect"—stems from behavioral finance, where subtle environmental cues like celestial cycles might subtly sway investor mood, optimism, and risk-taking. While mainstream economics dismisses it as pseudoscience or coincidence, several academic studies have uncovered statistically significant correlations between lunar cycles and market performance. These patterns suggest higher returns around new moons (waxing phase, symbolizing renewal and low energy) and lower returns or increased volatility around full moons (waning phase, linked to heightened emotions).
In short, moon phases aren't a crystal ball but offer a quirky lens on human irrationality in markets. If you're intrigued, overlay them on charts (e.g., via tools like TradingView) alongside fundamentals—but treat it as a tiebreaker, not gospel. For October 24, 2025 (waxing crescent, ~9% illuminated), studies suggest mild optimism; watch for full moon volatility on November 5
GBPJPYAs you can see price is clearly in an downtrend. Nice push to the downside, and nice recovery back up. And with 4 points being made ( H,L,HL,LL) downtrend is confirmed. I marked 4H supply that aligns with 202.000 handle.
While on the 4H is a downtrend, on daily timeframe, price is in a bullish leg and now coming up from filling the imbalance. Now if I was paying attention I could get into buys at the bottom and trap the market. However that was not the case.
That can cause price to go higher and break through our supply. But that is why we wait for confirmation on smaller timeframes before entering the trade.
Remember, no confiration - no entry.
Sobha (W): Bullish, Breakout ConfirmationThe stock has decisively broken a 17-month angular downtrend line, signaling a major change in character. The underlying momentum on higher timeframes (Weekly & Monthly) is strong, suggesting this is the start of a new bullish leg.
📈 1. The Long-Term Context
- The 2024 Peak: After hitting its All-Time High (ATH) in June 2024 , the stock entered a prolonged 10-month correction.
- The 2025 Bottom: This downtrend found its bottom in April 2025 , and the stock has been in a reversal/recovery phase since.
- The Resistance: This recovery was consistently blocked by a strong, angular resistance trendline formed from the June 2024 ATH.
🚀 2. The Decisive Breakout (This Week's Action)
This week, the 17-month pattern was broken:
- The Move: The stock decisively broke out and closed above this long-term angular resistance trendline for the first time.
- The Surge: This breakout was confirmed with a +5.10% surge for the week, backed by 1.2 Million in total weekly volume.
- Volume Context: This breakout comes after a period of low, consolidating volume, which often precedes a significant move.
📊 3. Key Technical Indicators
The underlying momentum on higher timeframes strongly supports this breakout:
- EMAs: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state on both the Monthly and Weekly charts, confirming a bullish trend.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on both the Monthly and Weekly timeframes, showing that buying strength is building and sustaining.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch
This breakout provides a clear road map based on identified levels:
🐂 The Bullish Case (Momentum Continues)
- Trigger: If the current momentum is maintained, the breakout is confirmed.
- Target: The first major target is the ₹2,060 level, which represents the next significant resistance zone near the 2024 highs.
🐻 The Bearish Case (Re-test Scenario)
- Trigger: The initial momentum is lost, and the stock pulls back to verify the breakout.
- Confirmation: A "re-test" where the stock drops to touch the old resistance trendline, which should now act as new support.
- Support: This re-test level is at approximately ₹1,620 . A bounce from this level would be a secondary, high-conviction buy signal.
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) Triangle Breakout 1DCholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) – Triangle Breakout & 1-Year Resistance Breakout 🚀
📊 Technical View:
CFHL has given a triangle breakout along with a 1-year resistance breakout, indicating strong bullish momentum. If Trend continues, The price action also shows a successful retest of the breakout zone, shows trend continuation.
Resistance Turned Support: ₹1650 – previously a resistance, now acting as strong support.
Current Action: Price broke above the ₹1650 range, retested the level today , and is now moving upward again.
Next Resistance Targets Levels: ₹1824 / ₹2004
Support Levels: ₹1536 / ₹1410
🏦 Company Overview:
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CFHL), incorporated in 1949, is a part of the Murugappa Group, one of India’s most diversified business conglomerates.
CFHL is a Non-Deposit Taking Systemically Important Core Investment Company (CIC) registered with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
The company holds substantial investments in group companies and provides a diverse range of financial products and risk management services to individual and corporate clients through its subsidiaries and group companies.
📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
$NEAR Ready for a Massive Breakout: Next Stop $20+ Incoming CRYPTOCAP:NEAR Ready for a Massive Breakout: Next Stop $20+ Incoming
The chart structure looks absolutely explosive right now! $NEAR/USDT has bounced hard from the triangle support, confirming strength and signaling that a massive rally is brewing.
I’ve been accumulating heavy in the $2.50 - $1.90 zone, expecting a big breakout rally ahead!
Targets: $7.70 / $16.70 / $30 / $50
If CRYPTOCAP:NEAR can smash through the $5 resistance, get ready for a vertical flight toward $20+, with long-term eyes on $50
Why I’m ultra-bullish:
✅ Strong recovery from key support zone
✅ Bullish triangle breakout structure
✅ Volume uptick showing accumulation
✅ Momentum shifting rapidly toward bulls
Chart invalidation below $1.50, but above that, it’s looking unstoppable. NFA & DYOR
U.S AI stocks view & U.S Market View #CautiousU.S.A AI stocks view
-Uptrend completed/Uptrend matured
-Short//sell on rise
-Book your long term portfolio profits.
Nasdaq & Dow Jones View
-Uptrend completed
-Sell on Rise
Overall U.S Market scenario seems BEARISH & RISKY for long term.
-VALUATION Issues specifically in AI Stocks.
Nasdaq has completed 161.8% & Dow Jones 127% of retracement.
Now both trading below above retracement levels & 9 Day SMA
Nasdaq has broken 144.4% downside.
CMP NASDAQ Futures 24830
DOW JONES Future 46715
Conclusion-
A clear downtrend has started if Indexes breaks 50 Day SMA be cautious for more downtrend.
Book your Long term Portfolios & sit on Cash
Sell/Short on Rise.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) | November 7, 2025 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is turning upward, but just one more bullish candle will push it into the overbought zone. This suggests that the current upward move may not be sustainable, and a short-term correction could occur soon.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is about to turn bullish from the oversold area. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a short-term upward move. However, as the market is currently in a balanced state, even a small push from either buyers or sellers could shift momentum direction. Therefore, it’s better to observe carefully rather than act too early.
90M timeframe:
Momentum on the 90-minute chart is turning downward, indicating a possible short-term pullback before any further advance.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
The ongoing rise in momentum indicates that wave X is still unfolding, meaning the corrective phase is not yet complete.
H4 timeframe:
Wave X is currently forming. The liquidity zone at 4028 remains a key level to watch.
If the price breaks above this zone, the next target will likely be the upper liquidity zone at 4070.
On the H4 chart, the green level around 4007 represents the highest-volume area, currently acting as a strong resistance.
Combined with the H4 bullish momentum reversal, it shows buying pressure exists, but the resistance remains heavy, making the 4007–4028 region a key battleground.
We should wait for a clear breakout before confirming the next direction.
90M timeframe:
• A triangle-like structure seems to be forming, but it’s not yet complete, so confirmation is needed.
• Waves a and b appear finished; the market may now be forming wave c (black) or wave d (black).
• Since H4 momentum is turning bullish, if the price breaks above 4012, it will likely confirm wave c continuation.
• Conversely, if the price drops toward 3950, completing a three-wave WXY (blue) structure, we can consider it wave d instead.
Currently, wave c (black) is temporarily labeled since the structure already shows three subwaves completed.
Therefore, I expect a decline toward 3950, where we can look for a short-term buy setup.
________________________________________
Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3952 – 3950
• Stoploss: 3935
• TP1: 3980
• TP2: 4000
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Lvl🟢 Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Level 🚀
Latest Update : Our analysis shared around ₹499 has played out well — TMB made an intraday high of ₹517, gaining nearly 3.5% from the mentioned level.
🏦 Company Overview:
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Limited is one of the oldest and leading old private sector banks in India. The bank offers a wide range of banking products and services to retail, MSME, agricultural, and corporate customers.
Retail Products: Home loans, personal loans, auto loans, educational loans, business loans, and security-backed loans.
MSME Portfolio: Loans for manufacturing, traders, and service sector enterprises.
Agricultural Loans: Offered to individual farmers, farmer groups, agri-businesses, and agri-corporates.
📊 Technical View:
High Reached: ₹517 (▲3.5%)
Resistance: ₹510 – price tested and faced mild rejection here.
Supports: ₹466 / ₹440
💡 View: The stock showed strong momentum from the support zone and approached its major 1-year resistance area near ₹510–₹515. A sustained close above ₹515 can confirm a breakout and open the next upside targets of ₹535 / ₹600.
📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
This is a GBP/JPY (4H) setup This is a GBP/JPY (4H) setup — a bearish structure with two target points clearly marked below the current price.
🧭 Chart Breakdown:
The price has broken below the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, showing bearish momentum.
The first target point is at a nearby support level, and the second is a deeper extension move.
🎯 Targets:
First target: around 174.60 – 174.70 zone
Second target: around 172.90 – 173.00 zone
🔍 Summary:
Trend: Bearish below 176.50
Targets:
TP1 → 174.60
TP2 → 172.90
Invalidation: Break back above 176.80 (re-entry into the cloud/trendline)






















