Trend Analysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/12/2025A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with the index trading near 26,150–26,200, indicating consolidation after the recent upside move. Price is currently holding above the short-term support zone, but lack of strong follow-through suggests the market is in a pause-and-consolidate phase, waiting for a decisive trigger to define the next direction.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be crucial to resume bullish momentum. If Nifty holds above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A breakout above this resistance zone may attract fresh buying interest and extend the upward move.
On the downside, failure to sustain above 26,200–26,180 may lead to a reversal-based selling opportunity. In such a scenario, short positions can be considered with downside targets at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,050-, where strong intraday support is placed. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders are advised to continue focusing on level-based trades, maintain strict risk management, and avoid aggressive directional positions.
Gold 15-Min Chart: Previous Support should act as Resistance nowHello everyone, Guy's Gold has made a sharp recovery after the recent drop, but i am expecting gold should take resistance in this area. This level has already shown rejection in the past, making it a critical decision area for the market.
The rejection near this zone suggests that sellers are still active. If Gold fails to sustain above this resistance, a pullback toward the lower support areas is likely. Such pullbacks are normal after strong impulsive moves and often provide better clarity for the next direction.
As long as price stays below this resistance, upside looks limited in the short term. A clean breakout and hold above this level is required to shift the bias back to bullish.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(24/12/2025)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with price continuing to trade within the same range seen in the previous session. The index is hovering near 59,250–59,300, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. There are no major changes in yesterday’s key levels, and the market remains in a consolidation phase, suggesting a wait-and-watch approach at the opening.
On the upside, a sustained move above 59,550 will be the key trigger for bullish momentum. If Bank Nifty manages to hold above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. Strength above this resistance may attract fresh buying and push the index toward the psychological 60,000 zone.
On the intraday upside, a move above 59,050–59,100 can also act as a positional buying opportunity. Holding above this support may lead to an upside move toward 59,250, 59,350, and 59,450+, keeping the short-term bias mildly positive.
On the downside, if the index fails to sustain above 59,450–59,400 or breaks below 59,050, selling pressure may increase. In such a scenario, Selling positions can be considered with downside targets at 58,950, 58,750, and 58,650–58,550, where strong demand zones are placed. Until a clear breakout occurs on either side, traders are advised to focus on range-bound trades, maintain strict risk management, and avoid aggressive directional positions.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 24th December 2025📊 NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup (15-Minute Candle Basis)
This trade setup is based on price action and 15-minute candle confirmation. Please wait for candle close, not just a spike.
🔼 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) 🟢
📌 Condition:
NIFTY should break and close above the high of the 15-minute candle
Buy only if 15-min candle closes above 26235
🟢 Buy Above: 26235 (on 15-min candle close)
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 26275
Target 2: 26310
Target 3: 26340
📈 Trade Logic:
A sustained close above 26235 indicates bullish strength
Buyers are in control, and upside momentum can continue
Trail stop-loss once targets are achieved to protect profits
🔽 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) 🔴
📌 Condition:
NIFTY should break and close below the low of the 15-minute candle
Sell only if 15-min candle closes below 26118
🔴 Sell Below: 26118 (on 15-min candle close)
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 26093
Target 2: 26048
Target 3: 26018
📉 Trade Logic:
A confirmed close below 26118 shows selling pressure
Indicates weakness and possible continuation of downside move
Book partial profits at each target for safer trading
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
✔️ Trade only after 15-minute candle CLOSE
✔️ Avoid trades in high volatility news time
✔️ Use strict stop-loss and proper risk management
✔️ Do not overtrade or chase price
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is only for educational and informational purposes.
🚨 I am NOT a SEBI registered analyst or advisor.
🚨 Stock market trading involves high risk, and losses can exceed expectations.
🚨 Please consult your SEBI registered financial advisor before taking any trade.
🚨 I am not responsible for any profit or loss arising from the use of this information.
Gold 1H – Traps form near 4500–4420.Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420
🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation.
CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation.
Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact
• Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium
• Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price
• Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk
• Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
Rules:
✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4470
2. 4450
3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates
🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4450
2. 4475
3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines
📍 Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion:
• A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or
• A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+
Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Xagusd SilverXagusd chart Analysis .........24/12/2025
The XAGUSD XABCD harmonic target is at the 73.4 level. You can book your profits here, and if a reversal candle forms, you can also consider taking a short position with a stop-loss above the high of that candle.
ENJOY !
Note: This is my analysis for educational purposes only. If you incur any profit or loss, you are solely responsible for it.
Gold Trading Strategy for 24th December 2025🟡 GOLD (XAU) – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ⏱️
📊 Market Setup
Instrument: GOLD (XAU)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Trading Type: Intraday / Short-term
Strategy: Breakout & Breakdown Levels
🟢 BUY SETUP 💰📈
🔔 Buy Above: 4505
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4516
🥈 Target 2: 4527
🥉 Target 3: 4538
📌 Logic:
If price sustains above 4505, bullish momentum may continue due to buying pressure. A strong hourly close above this level can push GOLD towards higher resistance zones.
🔴 SELL SETUP 💸📉
🔔 Sell Below: 4466
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4455
🥈 Target 2: 4444
🥉 Target 3: 4434
📌 Logic:
A breakdown below 4466 may indicate weakness and profit booking. Sellers can dominate, pushing price towards lower demand zones.
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🛡️
Always use Stop Loss
Trade with proper position sizing
Avoid overtrading during high volatility news 🔔
📢 DISCLAIMER ❗
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only.
💼 Not a financial or investment advice.
📉 Trading in GOLD ( TVC:XAU ) involves risk and may result in losses.
🧠 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
📊 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
AWHCL: Signs of Trend ReversalThe stock of AWHCL has shown signs of recovery after a prolonged downtrend that began in September. Recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum, supported by multiple technical factors across daily and weekly timeframes.
The stock has bounced from a long-term support level marked on the chart. The recent retracement from the swing high and higher low aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, a zone often considered significant for trend continuation, indicating strong bullish momentum.
A bullish MACD crossover occurred on the daily chart last week, and notably, a weekly MACD crossover has been confirmed today. This dual timeframe alignment strengthens the bullish outlook.
The RSI readings support the bullish scenario, reflecting improving momentum without entering extreme overbought territory.
On the daily chart, the stock has managed to close above the 200DEMA, a key indicator of long-term trend strength which also seen by volume growth.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Support Zone: Around ₹417 (critical level for trend validation)
Resistance Zone: Near ₹632, which coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, often viewed as a potential target in bullish setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants should conduct independent research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Most Traders Don’t Lose on Entries They Lose on Execution-Part-2Why Retail Traders Fail (It’s an Execution Problem, Not an Entry Problem)
Retail traders usually fail for one core reason:
They try to “predict direction,”
while the market forces them to make bad execution decisions.
Most traders can identify “up” or “down.”
They lose because they execute at the wrong time, with the wrong risk, and manage with the wrong rules.
How This Chart Moves (Up → Pullback → Up → Pullback)
It’s Liquidity Progression + Execution Traps
This chart is a rotation-driven environment. Each leg has an execution meaning:
1) Impulse (Expansion)
Price expands because a liquidity objective is being reached (stops / orders above highs or below lows).
Execution reality:
Expansion often looks “safe,” but risk is usually highest here.
Retail enters here because it feels confirmed.
2) Pullback (Rebalance / Risk Reset)
After expansion, price pulls back to rebuild liquidity and rebalance order flow.
Execution reality:
Pullbacks are where risk can compress again.
Retail exits here because it feels scary — or re-enters late.
3) Re-Impulse (Continuation)
Once liquidity rebuilds, price rotates again to the next pool.
Execution reality:
The market is not moving randomly.
It’s moving from one liquidity pool to the next.
Liquidity (Simple Definition for Retail Traders)
Liquidity = a zone where many orders are sitting, especially:
stop-loss clusters
breakout orders
obvious highs/lows
Why price goes there:
Because that’s where there are enough orders to fill size.
Where Retail Execution Breaks (4 Common Fail Points)
1) Late Entries After Expansion
They wait for confirmation, then enter when:
reward-to-risk is compressed
volatility is expanded
Execution mistake: entering when risk is already expensive.
2) Stops Placed Inside Liquidity
Stops behind obvious highs/lows become targets.
Execution mistake: placing protective risk where the market naturally hunts orders.
3) Confusing Pullback with Failure
They treat pullback as reversal and either:
panic exit winners
or re-enter late after confirmation returns
Execution mistake: reacting emotionally instead of managing structurally.
4) Holding Without Validity Checks
They stay committed because they “believe,” not because conditions remain valid.
Execution mistake: no ongoing trade-health evaluation.
Execution Rule (Simple + Premium)
Markets don’t punish traders for being wrong.
They punish traders for executing late and managing emotionally.
The Practical Execution Lens for This Chart
This structure demands:
patience when volatility is expanded
discipline when the move looks “obvious”
risk reduction when probability decays
willingness to wait for risk to compress again
In rotation markets, the edge is rarely “more trades.”
It’s better execution timing and better decision control.
Most retail traders don’t lose because they lack indicators.
They lose because they outsource decisions to buy/sell labels.
A label can’t measure risk, volatility expansion, or trade health.
Build skill in entry location, then protect it with execution discipline.
Buy/sell indicators often trigger after the move begins—when liquidity is already engaged and risk is expanded. Instead of chasing labels, focus on: Entry location (where risk is smallest)
Execution control (when to wait, reduce, or exit as conditions change)
🔹 Educational and discretionary analysis
🔹 No signals, no predictions, no trade advice
Part3 (Coming Soon): Funded Traders Lose on Rules, Not Reads
Daily loss limits and drawdown pressure expose poor execution. The next chapter covers the core mistakes that break evaluations.
Gold retests highs as upside momentum shows signs of fatigueGold saw a strong rally, reaching the 4497 zone before facing resistance and correcting toward 4431. The price later bounced and revisited the upper area near 4493, confirming it as a significant reaction zone. Multiple attempts at the highs indicate that buying strength may be losing pace, with price action showing hesitation near supply. After such an extended move, some rebalancing is natural. From the current area, selling pressure may slowly build, allowing room for a corrective move. A drift toward the 4400 zone is possible as volatility cools and short-term traders adjust positions. If sellers remain engaged, price action may stay subdued into the close and carry a softer tone into the next session. Staying disciplined with risk is important near these levels.
60 million Liquidity Built-up again on top BTC could not break 85k. Instead, it created a bullish divergence on 1 hour, and there is no liquidity on the down; most of the liquidity still exists on top, around 60 million
If this push-up happens again, that will set 4-hour Divergence into bullish, so 95k, I'm still in the picture
1. 90200 - 60% Probability
2. Drop in the US Market 25%
3. Raise the rally before Christmas to 100k 25%
BTC idea around 24 hours LiqudityThere is a short-term bullish setup for BTC to go back to 94k. Also, the liquidity has shifted to little upward around 88k, suggesting the market is in short-term relief and Macro BullTrap
1. Retest around 88.7K - Probability 70%
2. Retest the local high around 95k - Probability 67%
3. The retest closes below 87k and holds back
SIGNS OF REJECTION!?As we can see NIFTY did take a halt and has formed more like a doji kinda candle in daily time frame which shows its rejection from 26200 supply zone! Hence we will stay negative until and unless this doji candle is broken above and sustained so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
USDCAD Trade Description – Liquidity Sweep + Discount Rejection USDCAD created a clean sell-side liquidity sweep below the previous low near 1.3700, taking out resting liquidity and tapping into a higher-timeframe discount zone.
After the sweep, price showed a sharp rejection wick, signaling absorption of sell orders and a potential reversal. The market then broke structure to the upside on lower timeframes, confirming a shift in momentum.
Price retraced back into the refinement zone / mitigation block, aligning perfectly with:
✔ Discount pricing
✔ Liquidity grab below the equal lows
✔ Rejection from a demand zone
✔ Bullish displacement following the sweep
This offered a high-probability long setup with entry near the mitigation block, stop below the sweep low, and targets toward the premium zone around 1.3780–1.3800.
The trade idea is based on price reverting back to its equilibrium after removing inefficient lows and collecting sell-side liquidity.
NMDC (D): Bullish, Knocking on the DoorTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock is on the verge of a major structural breakout from a 12-month accumulation zone (post-bonus). The move is backed by "Climax Volume" and a strong sectoral tailwind, signaling that smart money is aggressively entering.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The surge is not random; it is driven by a sector-wide re-rating:
> Sector Rally: The Nifty Metal index and global mining peers are surging, fueled by rising iron ore prices and expectations of demand recovery in China.
> Volume Significance: The 77.6 Million volume is an "Institutional Stamp." It indicates that big players are positioning for a breakout before it happens.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Lid")
> The Box: The stock has been trapped in a wide consolidation since the 2:1 Bonus Issue in late 2024.
> Resistance: ₹82 – ₹83 . This level (the 52-week high) has capped every rally for the past year.
> Current Action: The stock hit an intraday high of ₹82.3 today, testing the ceiling. Closures near the high suggest buyers are eating up all supply.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
> RSI: Rising in all timeframes (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) confirms momentum is synchronized.
> Moving Averages: The stock is trading above all key EMAs, with a Golden Crossover (Short-term EMAs crossing Long-term EMAs) confirming the trend shift.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is at the "Make or Break" point.
> 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger):
- Condition: A decisive Daily Close above ₹83 .
- Target: ₹91 .
> 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net):
- Immediate Support: ₹78 . The previous breakout level.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹75 would invalidate the bullish view and send the stock back into the "boring" sideways range.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Setup because of the volume.
> Strategy: The high volume suggests the breakout is likely real. Watch for the ₹83 level to be taken out decisively.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2025SENSEX Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2025
(Chart reference: 15-min | Gap criteria considered: 300+ points)
Key Levels to Track (from chart)
Major Upside Resistance: 86,241.83
Last Intraday Resistance: 85,996.00
Upper Range Resistance: 85,690.62
Opening Support / Resistance (Pivot): 85,453.00 – 85,499.60
Last Intraday Support: 85,131.00
Lower Support: 84,918.00
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (300+ Points)
If SENSEX opens well above 85,690, price enters a strong supply zone immediately.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
A 300+ point gap-up generally reflects strong global or overnight cues. However, when price opens near higher-timeframe resistance, smart money often books profits. Sustainable upside usually comes only after acceptance above resistance or a healthy retest, not from straight vertical moves.
Plan of Action:
If price sustains above 85,690 for 15–20 minutes, look for pullback-based long entries.
First upside hurdle is 85,996; watch for volume expansion and candle acceptance.
Acceptance above 85,996 opens the path toward 86,241.83.
Rejection or exhaustion candles near 85,996–86,241 can trigger a pullback toward 85,690.
Option buyers should avoid chasing CE at the open; confirmation is crucial for better R:R.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open near 85,450–85,550 places SENSEX inside the opening pivot range.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat openings signal equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Direction usually emerges after a clear break of the opening range. Trading inside this zone without confirmation often leads to whipsaws and premium decay for option buyers.
Plan of Action:
Sustaining above 85,499.60 keeps bullish bias intact, targeting 85,690 → 85,996.
Failure to hold 85,453 increases downside risk toward 85,131.
Bullish rejection near 85,131 can offer low-risk bounce trades back to 85,453–85,499.
Breakdown and acceptance below 85,131 shifts momentum toward 84,918.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (300+ Points)
If SENSEX opens below 85,131, early sentiment turns clearly weak.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Large gap-downs are often driven by panic or negative overnight news. Strong demand zones, however, tend to attract short-covering and positional buying. Selling blindly at support increases the risk of sharp reversals.
Plan of Action:
First support to watch is 85,131 — observe price behaviour and candle structure.
Breakdown below 85,131 opens downside toward 84,918.
Strong bullish reversal signals near 84,918 may lead to a sharp intraday bounce.
Any pullback toward 85,453 after breakdown can be used as a selling-on-rise opportunity.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🛡️
Avoid trading the first 10–15 minutes on 300+ point gap days.
Never buy options at resistance or sell at support without confirmation.
Use time-based stop-loss (15–20 minutes) if premium does not move.
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.
Prefer ATM options or defined-risk spreads to manage theta decay.
Book partial profits near marked resistance/support levels.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 85,690: Bulls stay active; targets 85,996 → 86,241.
Between 85,131–85,690: Market remains balanced; patience is key.
Below 85,131: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 84,918.
Trade price behaviour at levels, not emotions or predictions.
Consistency comes from discipline, confirmation, and risk control.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any market positions.






















