Small Cap vs. Large Cap – Visualizing Risk Cycles & Rotation PoiWhat the Lines Tell Us:
1. Small Caps (Blue): Steeper rallies in bullish phases, sharper falls in corrections. Higher beta, higher reward, higher pain.
2. Large Caps (Red): More stable, smoother trends. Acts as a defensive harbor during market stress.
Now: The gap is wide again. Historically, this signals rising risk in small caps.
Correlation with the Ratio-Based Strategy:
- The Small-Cap / Large-Cap Ratio from my earlier post is essentially the vertical distance between these two lines.
- When the blue line runs far above the red (wide gap) → Ratio is high (>1.6) → Time to rotate to large caps.
- When the lines converge (gap narrows) → Ratio is low (<1.6) → Time to enter small caps.
Current Implication:
The gap is historically wide (similar to 2008, 2018 highs). This aligns with the ratio signal, reinforcing the move toward large-cap ETFs/index funds for capital preservation. Small caps will again shine—after the gap closes.
Takeaway:
You don’t need complex indicators. Sometimes, just watching these two lines and their separation tells you when to rotate—capture small-cap upside, hide in large-cap safety.
Trend Analysis
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th January 2026🟡 GOLD ($) TRADING PLAN
📊 TREND TRADING (Intraday)
📈 BUY SETUP
🟢 Condition:
➡️ Buy above the high of 30-min candle
➡️ Candle must close above $5244
🎯 Targets:
💰 $5255
💰 $5266
💰 $5277
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 Below the low of the breakout candle
📉 SELL SETUP
🔴 Condition:
➡️ Sell below the low of 1-hour candle
➡️ Candle must close below $5125
🎯 Targets:
💰 $5115
💰 $5105
💰 $5095
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔺 Above the high of the breakdown candle
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY
🔻 SELL SCALPING (Resistance – $5244)
❌ Price tests $5244 zone
❌ 15-min candle rejection observed
📍 Entry:
➡️ Sell below the low of rejected 15-min candle
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔺 Above the high of rejected candle
⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL
📌 Trade Management:
🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor
🔺 BUY SCALPING (Support – $5125)
✅ Price tests $5125 zone
✅ 15-min candle rejection observed
📍 Entry:
➡️ Buy above the high of rejected 15-min candle
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 Below the low of rejected candle
⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL
📌 Trade Management:
🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is not investment advice.
📉 Trading in commodities involves high risk.
💸 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
🧠 Trade only with proper risk management.
📌 Always consult your financial advisor before trading.
❗ Author is not responsible for any profit or loss.
Beating Nifty with One Ratio: The Small-Cap / Large-Cap SwitchWe all know small-cap outperforms in bull runs, but we forget to remember that it also crash harder in downturns.
On the other hand, large-caps give just moderate returns
But what if you could systematically increase your returns—using the same index funds?
The Core Idea
Track the "Small-Cap to Large-Cap Ratio" (BSE Small-Cap Index ÷ Nifty 50). This ratio shows when small-caps are overextended vs. large-caps.
The Simple Rule (Backtested 2006-2024)
1. Go Small-Cap when ratio < 1.6
2. Switch to Large-Cap when ratio > 1.6
Why It Works
It’s not market timing—it’s risk timing. The ratio peaks (1.8–2.2) near market tops and bottoms near 1.0. Switching at 1.6 avoids the worst drawdowns while staying invested.
Backtested Results
1. Nifty Buy & Hold: ~12.1% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹70L)
2. Small-Cap Buy & Hold: ~12.3% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹75L)
3. Switch Strategy (Pre-tax): ~18.6% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹2.3Cr)
How to Implement
1. Use ETFs: Nifty Bees for large-cap, a Small-Cap ETF for small-cap.
2. Check ratio monthly; switches occur ~every 2 years.
3. For SIPs, direct new money per the current signal.
CANDLE PATTERNS Candlestick patterns are one of the most important tools in technical analysis because they visually represent market psychology: who is in control—the buyers (bulls) or the sellers (bears). Each candlestick captures the battle between demand and supply within a specific timeframe, such as 1 minute, 5 minutes, 30 minutes, daily, or weekly. By studying the shape, size, and position of candles, traders can understand momentum, reversals, trend continuation, and market indecision.
Candlestick charts were first developed by Japanese rice merchants over 300 years ago. Today, they are used by traders across stock markets, index futures, options trading, forex, and crypto. A single candle contains four key pieces of information:
Open
High
Low
Close
A candle is generally green (bullish) if the close is above the open, and red (bearish) if the close is below the open. The body shows the range between open and close, while the wicks (shadows) show the highest and lowest price levels touched.
Patterns form when two or more candles appear together in a particular sequence indicating reversal, continuation, or indecision.
Gold at ATH before FOMC shakeout first or straight breakout?🧭 Macro Snapshot
Donald Trump maintains a hardline stance, increasing military presence in the Middle East → geopolitical risk remains elevated.
Tonight’s key focus: Federal Reserve
Political pressure and questions around Fed independence.
DXY continues to weaken, retesting major historical support (2020–2022) → supportive for gold.
👉 Conclusion: Geopolitics + a weaker USD set the bullish bias, while the Fed determines short-term volatility.
📊 Intraday Range to Watch
Upper range: 5,280 – 5,305
Lower range: 5,190 – 5,160
→ High probability of range trading and liquidity absorption ahead of the Fed decision.
🟢 Support
5,220–5,225 | 5,150–5,165 | 5,080–5,085 | 5,050–5,060
🔴 Resistance
5,280–5,294 | 5,300 | 5,315 | 5,380–5,385
⚠️ Strategy Notes
Expect possible fake moves / stop hunts within the range.
Avoid chasing highs or catching tops without confirmation.
Focus on price reaction at key levels and stay disciplined.
Summary: Gold is fundamentally supported, but today the key is how price reacts within 5,160–5,305.
Be patient — wait for confirmation — trade the reaction.
TVSMOTOR 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Approx Price Range (recent trading): ~₹3,525 – ₹3,560 area according to community chart insights.
🔑 1‑Day Timeframe — Key Levels
📈 Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)
₹3,550 – ₹3,560: near‑term resistance zone — a breakout above this may indicate bullish continuation.
₹3,600: psychological resistance.
₹3,640 – ₹3,650: stronger resistance above.
📉 Support Levels (Downside)
₹3,510 – ₹3,520: immediate support zone — watches trade reaction here intraday.
₹3,480 – ₹3,490: short‑term support below.
₹3,400 – ₹3,450: deeper support zone if weakness extends.
📌 Intraday & Pivot‑style Levels
Some classic pivot/levels from historical pivot calculations (may be slightly outdated but useful as reference):
R1 ~ ₹3,594, R2 ~ ₹3,622, R3 ~ ₹3,647 (classic pivot levels).
S1 ~ ₹3,541, S2 ~ ₹3,516, S3 ~ ₹3,488 (support pivots).
📊 How to Interpret These Levels
Bullish scenario: Maintaining above ₹3,520‑₹3,530 and breaking above ₹3,560‑₹3,600 could signal continuation higher.
Bearish scenario: Failure to hold ₹3,510 and drop below ₹3,480 may increase downside risk toward ₹3,400‑₹3,450.
Gold retraces after surge – trend remains intact.Quick Context
Recent geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven flows. Gold has already delivered a strong bullish impulse, and the current move looks like a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Technical Snapshot (H1–H4)
Strong bullish impulse already completed
Current price action = controlled retracement
No bearish CHoCH, no structural breakdown
Market is resetting momentum after expansion
This is typical impulse → retrace → continuation behavior.
Key Levels to Watch
Buy Zone: 5,180 – 5,160
Invalidation: H1 close below 5,120
Upside continuation targets:
5,300
5,360
Extension toward 5,440+
If – Then Logic
If price holds above 5,160 → expect continuation higher
If price sweeps into 5,180–5,160 and reacts → buy-the-dip opportunity
Only if H1 closes below 5,120 → bullish bias weakens
Bottom Line
Gold is not reversing — it is reloading.
Pullbacks are part of trend strength.
Wait for reaction, not confirmation at the highs.
Copper Copper
ज़रूर 👍
नीचे Copper (तांबा) पर आधारित Stock Market Article हिंदी में लिख रहा हूँ — जो ट्रेडिंग, इन्वेस्टमेंट और इंडस्ट्री तीनों एंगल से काम आए।
⸻
📌 Copper (तांबा) और Stock Market: एक पूरा विश्लेषण
Copper यानी तांबा को stock market में “Dr. Copper” भी कहा जाता है, क्योंकि यह दुनिया की आर्थिक सेहत का अच्छा संकेतक माना जाता है। जब अर्थव्यवस्था बढ़ती है, तो Copper की मांग बढ़ती है, और जब मंदी आती है, तो इसकी मांग घटती है।
⸻
🔹 Copper की Demand क्यों बढ़ती है?
Copper का इस्तेमाल कई अहम सेक्टर्स में होता है:
• 🏗️ Construction & Real Estate
• ⚡ Power & Electrical Industry
• 🚗 Electric Vehicles (EV)
• 🔋 Renewable Energy (Solar, Wind)
• 📱 Electronics & Technology
EV और Green Energy Revolution के कारण आने वाले समय में Copper की demand और तेज़ होने की उम्मीद है।
⸻
🔹 Copper Price किन फैक्टर्स पर निर्भर करती है?
1. Global Economic Growth – चीन, अमेरिका और यूरोप की डिमांड
2. US Dollar Index – डॉलर कमजोर = Copper तेज
3. Supply Disruptions – Mining strikes, geopolitical issues
4. Inflation & Interest Rates
5. EV और Infrastructure Spending
⸻
🔹 India में Copper से जुड़े प्रमुख Stocks
भारतीय stock market में Copper से जुड़े कुछ अहम शेयर:
• Hindustan Copper Ltd
👉 Government-backed company, mining + refining
• Vedanta Ltd
👉 Copper + Zinc + Aluminium exposure
• Hindalco Industries
👉 Indirect benefit through metals demand
• Sterlite Technologies
👉 Copper cables & telecom infra
📌 Note: Hindustan Copper pure-play copper stock माना जाता है।
⸻
🔹 Copper: Trading vs Investment
Short-Term Traders के लिए:
• MCX Copper Futures
• Global cues + USD movement पर focus
Long-Term Investors के लिए:
• EV, Infra और Renewable Energy theme
• Copper stocks accumulation on dips
⸻
🔹 Risk Factors ⚠️
• Global recession
• China demand slowdown
• Commodity price volatility
• Government policies & environmental norms
⸻
🔹 निष्कर्ष (Conclusion)
Copper आने वाले समय में Future Metal माना जा रहा है।
जो निवेशक EV, Green Energy और Infrastructure growth पर भरोसा रखते हैं, उनके portfolio में Copper stocks एक अच्छा diversification दे सकते हैं।
📈 “जब दुनिया बनती है, तब Copper चमकता है।”
⸻
अगर चाहो तो मैं:
• इसी पर YouTube वीडियो का script
• Thumbnail text
• या Hindustan Copper का detailed stock analysis
भी बना दूँ 😊
CUMMINSIND 1 Hour Frame 📌 Current Price Snapshot (Indicative, ~28 Jan 2026 mid‑session)
Approx Price: ₹4,004 – ₹4,016 on NSE (delayed/real‑time range)
📍 1‑Hour Time Frame / Intraday Pivot Levels
Pivot levels help identify key zones where price may react during the current session.
Central Pivot (CP)
CP (Pivot): ~₹3,928 – ₹3,929 (hourly reference)
🔼 Resistance Levels (Upside)
R1: ~₹4,020 – ₹4,021 — first major upside cap above pivot
R2: ~₹4,066 – ₹4,067 — next resistance zone from pivot calculations
R3: ~₹4,100 – ₹4,110 — broader extension resistance (calculated range)
🔽 Support Levels (Downside)
S1: ~₹3,902 – ₹3,903 — immediate support below pivot
S2: ~₹3,882 – ₹3,883 — secondary support zone
S3: ~₹3,790 – ₹3,791 — deeper support if price drops sharply
📈 Notes
🔹 These pivot levels are derived from intraday pivot calculations (Standard / Fibonacci / Camarilla methods) updated recently for the current session.
🔹 The current price is indicative and may be slightly delayed vs live feed – for ultra‑precise trading, use your broker chart with 1‑hour timeframe.
🔹 Support/resistance bands change as price moves; always verify on live charts.
NIFTY – Detailed Intraday Trading Plan | 28 JAN 2026📊
Timeframe: 15-Min
Instrument: NIFTY (Index)
Gap Considered: 100+ Points
🔍 MARKET CONTEXT & STRUCTURE
NIFTY has shown volatile price action with sharp intraday swings, indicating active participation from both buyers and sellers.
The current structure suggests the market is transitioning from panic selling to selective buying, making key levels extremely important for the next session.
This plan is reaction-based, not prediction-based — we trade how price behaves at levels, not assumptions.
📌 IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR THE DAY
Opening Support Zone: 25,177 – 25,234
Opening Resistance: 25,327
Major Resistance / Profit Booking Zone: 25,469 – 25,508
Last Intraday Support: 25,030
🔼 SCENARIO 1: GAP UP OPENING (100+ POINTS) 🚀
A gap-up open signals short-covering or global support, but sustainability is key.
🟢 Bullish Continuation Plan
Price opens above 25,327
15-min candle closes above resistance
Retest of 25,327 holds as support
Upside targets: 25,469 → 25,508
🔴 Gap-Fill / Rejection Plan
Failure to sustain above 25,327
Long upper wicks / weak follow-through
Expect pullback towards 25,234
🧠 Trading Psychology:
Gap-up moves often trap late buyers near resistance. Acceptance above resistance confirms institutional participation.
➡️ SCENARIO 2: FLAT / NEUTRAL OPENING ⚖️
A flat open usually indicates indecision, leading to range-bound price action initially.
🟢 Upside Breakout Plan
Sustained price above 25,327
Volume expansion on breakout
Targets: 25,400 → 25,469
🔴 Downside Breakdown Plan
Breakdown below 25,177
Strong bearish 15-min candle
Targets: 25,100 → 25,030
🧠 Trading Psychology:
Flat opens create fake moves. Waiting for a 15-min confirmation avoids emotional entries and whipsaws.
🔽 SCENARIO 3: GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ POINTS) 📉
A gap-down open tests buyer strength immediately.
🟢 Support Hold / Pullback Buy
Price reacts positively from 25,177 – 25,234
Long lower wicks / higher-low structure
Bounce targets: 25,300 → 25,327
🔴 Breakdown Continuation
Acceptance below 25,177
Selling pressure increases
Targets: 25,030 → 24,950
🧠 Trading Psychology:
If key demand zones fail, sellers gain confidence and momentum accelerates.
🧠 OPTIONS TRADING STRATEGY (EDUCATIONAL)
Near resistance → Prefer Bull Call Spread, avoid naked CE buying
Inside range → Iron Condor / Short Strangle (low momentum)
Breakdown confirmed → Bear Put Spread
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT RULES 🔐
Trade only after confirmation
Risk maximum 1–2% capital per trade
Avoid overtrading inside no-trade zones
Book partial profits near key levels
One setup = one trade
🧾 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION ✍️
25,177 – 25,234 is the most critical decision zone
Above 25,327 → buyers regain control
Below 25,177 → sellers dominate
Let price confirm direction — patience is the edge
Trade what you see, not what you feel 📊
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets involve risk — trade responsibly.
ATH Breakout Pullback: Smart Money Reloading at Demand Zone?Price has corrected from an all-time high and is now revisiting a high-quality demand zone that played a key role in breaking previous highs. This is not a random pullback — this is a structurally important retest. Let’s decode what the chart is really saying using pure Supply & Demand and Price Action.
📊 Higher Timeframe & Intermediate Trend Context
The weekly structure remains firmly bullish. Price has already achieved something critical: it broke and closed above the previous all-time high. This single fact changes the entire narrative.
When a market makes a fresh all-time high, it confirms:
• Strong institutional participation
• Absence of historical supply overhead
• A higher probability of continuation over deep reversal
The current move is best understood as a corrective pullback within a dominant higher-timeframe uptrend, not trend reversal.
📦 Demand Zone Logic: Why This Area Matters 🧠
The demand zone currently in play is not just any zone — it is the origin of the rally that led to the all-time high breakout. That gives this zone exceptional importance.
Key observations:
• This zone generated a powerful follow-through move
• It successfully absorbed supply and pushed price into price discovery
• Previous all-time high was broken after leaving this zone
Such zones often act as institutional reload zones, where large players look to re-enter positions during corrections.
🧩 Zone Structure & Strength
• The base is clean and well-defined
• The leg-out was explosive, signaling urgency from buyers
• Very limited basing candles, which increases imbalance
• First meaningful return after the breakout, enhancing freshness
This combination significantly improves the credibility of the zone.
🧠 Market Psychology Behind the Pullback
After an all-time high, weaker hands tend to book profits aggressively, mistaking correction for reversal. Meanwhile, stronger hands wait patiently for price to return to value.
📐 Trade Logic & Risk–Reward Perspective 🎯
The trade idea on the chart is structured around a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, which aligns well with:
• Higher timeframe Uptrend
• Strong demand location
• Favourable asymmetry between risk and potential reward
⚠️ Risk Awareness & Execution Discipline ⚖️
Even the best demand zones can fail. No setup is 100% reliable. Always define risk first, respect invalidation, and avoid emotional decision-making. Capital protection is more important than being right.
📌 Final Takeaway 🧭
higher-timeframe uptrend, all-time high breakout, and a controlled pullback into a good demand zone. Now, price action inside this area will decide the next move — reaction matters more than anticipation.
“Big trends are built on deep patience and precise execution.” 🔥📊
Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
SBICARDS : Everyone Gave Up… That’s When Bases Are Born📊 SBI Cards & Payment Services Limited – Weekly Technical Analysis
Timeframe: Weekly
CMP: ~₹771
Trend Context: Larger base formation after extended correction
Structure: ABC corrective wave + potential Cup & Handle completion
🔍 Big Picture Structure (What’s Really Happening)
SBI Cards earlier witnessed strong selling from an extended retracement / supply zone (113%–127%), which is a classic area where:
Long-term holders book profits
Institutions reduce exposure
Late breakout buyers get trapped
This led to a controlled ABC correction, not a breakdown of the long-term structure.
📘 Markets correct to reset positioning, not to punish everyone.
📐 Why the Marked Levels Matter (Trading Psychology Explained)
🟦 ABC Completion / Demand Zone: ₹720 – ₹770
This is the most important zone on the chart.
🧠 Why price can react here:
Sellers from higher levels have largely exited
Value buyers step in near prior accumulation areas
Shorts start covering as downside momentum fades
👉 This zone represents fear exhaustion, where selling pressure typically dries up.
📌 It also aligns with a potential “handle” completion of a larger Cup & Handle pattern.
🔴 Invalidation / Risk Level: ₹690 (Day Close Below)
Breakdown below this level damages base structure
Psychology shifts from “buying dips” to “capital protection”
Confidence erosion can invite fresh selling
📉 Below ₹690, downside risk increases sharply.
🔑 Upside Levels & Targets (Why They Matter)
🟠 First Target Zone: ₹990 – ₹1,020
Prior supply memory
Trapped traders look to exit here
Profit booking likely on first approach
📘 Markets often hesitate where pain was previously created.
🟢 Second Target: ₹1,127
Larger pattern projection
Psychological round-number magnet
Momentum & FOMO participation zone
📈 Acceptance above ₹1,020 can accelerate price toward this zone.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary Probability)
If price:
Holds above ₹720–770
Forms a base or higher low on weekly chart
Then:
Gradual recovery toward ₹990–1,020
Break & sustain → ₹1,127
Confirms base-to-expansion transition
📘 Strong bases often look boring before they explode.
🔴 Bearish Risk Scenario
If price:
Closes below ₹690
Then:
Base structure weakens
Buyers step aside
Market searches for deeper liquidity zones
📉 This reflects loss of confidence, not just technical damage.
🎓 Educational Takeaways
Corrections end where fear peaks, not where hope feels strong
Fibonacci & pattern zones work because crowds react together
Bases form quietly; breakouts are loud
The best opportunities feel uncomfortable at entry
🧠 Emotion Map of This Chart
Zone Dominant Emotion
Highs Greed & Euphoria
Decline Denial
Base zone Fear vs Opportunity
Breakout Relief & Momentum
Targets FOMO
📘 Charts are stories of crowd psychology, not just price.
🔮 Price Outlook (Educational Projection)
Above ₹770: Base confirmation improves
Above ₹1,020: Momentum revival
Upside targets: ₹1,127
Below ₹690: Caution, structure weakens
🧾 Conclusion
SBI Cards appears to be transitioning from correction to base formation.
The ₹720–770 zone is a decision area that can decide whether the stock moves into a new accumulation phase or slips into deeper weakness.
📌 Big moves are born from boring bases.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Markets involve risk, and I can be wrong.
Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Vedl ltd 2nd Entry price 529 tgt 750 positionalVedanta Ltd (VEDL) – Technical View
VEDL has given a strong breakout above the ₹500 resistance zone, confirming bullish momentum on the charts. The breakout is supported by improved price structure and volume expansion, indicating further upside potential.
The medium-term target is ₹750, based on the breakout range and higher-timeframe resistance projections.
For positional investors, ₹529–₹535 is a favorable buy-on-dips zone, provided the stock sustains above the ₹500 breakout level.
Fresh entries should be considered only on retracements or consolidation above support, while maintaining strict risk management.
ABB can be Buy on dips for 12000+ Targets in next 5 YearsABB can be Buy on dips for 12000+ Targets in next 5 Years
Fundamentals:
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 40% CAGR over last 5 years
Promoter holding has increased by 75.0%
Technical:
Stock has corrected to 50% Levels from last upmove & ideally should consolidate at current levels to start new Uptrend Rally.
LTP - 4694
Breakout levels - 6100 - Aggressive accumulation above this levels can be started.
Targets = 12000+
Timeframe - 4-5 Years.
Happy investing.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
SOLARINDS — Clean Trendline Breakout After Multiple RejectionsPrice respected the descending resistance trendline multiple times, showing strong selling pressure at higher levels.
Over time, buyers kept stepping in with higher lows, compressing price into a tight range — a classic sign of accumulation.
The recent strong breakout above the trendline confirms a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
This kind of simple structure-based breakout often leads to fresh momentum when followed by good volume and follow-through.
No indicators.
Just price doing what it always does.
Graphite India Ltd | Monthly Timeframe | Structure-Based ViewHi all,
Graphite India is currently trading inside a long-term contracting structure after a multi-year correction. Price has respected both descending resistance and ascending support, indicating compression.
• Strong Base / Demand Zone:
Price has formed a solid base around the ₹430–₹480 zone, which has acted as reliable support multiple times.
• Descending Trendline (Major Supply):
The long-term descending trendline continues to cap price.
Recent candles show price retesting this supply area, but without a confirmed breakout yet.
• Current Phase – Retest, Not Breakout:
The highlighted candle represents a retest of resistance, not confirmation.
➡️ Monthly close is critical to validate strength.
What's next:
✔️ A strong monthly close above the descending trendline
✔️ Acceptance above previous swing highs
✔️ Follow-through volume (optional confirmation)
Until then, this remains a wait-and-watch structure, not a prediction setup.
#GraphiteIndia
#MonthlyChart
#MarketStructure
#PriceAction
#SupportResistance
#TrendlineAnalysis
#IndianStocks
#SwingTrading
#BullManAcademy
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis JENUARY 27Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly, there's a Nasdaq indicator release at 12:00 PM.
On the left, with the purple finger,
I've linked the strategy to yesterday's long position entry point, 87.5K.
*Red finger movement path:
One-way long position strategy
1. $87,276 long position entry point / Stop loss if the green support line is broken
2. $88,691.1 long position first target -> Target prices in order from Gap 8 onwards
88.1K in the middle is a useful long position re-entry point.
For those holding long positions yesterday,
I recommend setting a stop loss if the green support line is broken.
Bottom: Light blue support line -> If the first section is broken,
the bottom: $85,238.3 is the final support line.
Up to this point, I ask that you use my analysis for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
Bitcoin at Demand: Where Most Traders Panic and Smart Money WaitWhen I look at this chart, I don’t see weakness.
I see price reacting exactly where it should .
Bitcoin is sitting above a clearly defined demand zone, and instead of collapsing, price is slowing down and compressing.
That usually tells me the market is absorbing liquidity, not distributing .
Key things I’m focusing on:
Price is holding above ascending demand , which shows buyers are still defending structure.
Reactions from the demand zone are clean , not impulsive, a sign of controlled participation.
Overhead supply is present , which explains the compression instead of an instant breakout.
RSI bullish divergence adds confidence that downside momentum is weakening near demand.
My mindset here:
I’m not chasing moves.
I’m not panicking into demand.
I’m simply watching how price behaves here , because this zone decides whether the next move expands or fails.
As long as structure holds, patience matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
REVERSED but will it sustain!? As we can see NIFTY did reversed exactly as analysed in our previous analysis as it was trading at important demand zone and a psychological level but the reversal wasn’t strong enough hence we may see weakness continuing in the index if fails to sustain itself above the psychological level so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.






















