Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 01st October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 12725 – 12750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 12875 – 12900 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12475 – 12450 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12325 – 12300 range.
Market will react to the RBI MPC outcome, specially on FY 2025-26 economic outlook, inflation etc data.
Trend Analysis
Persistent hovers near support after volatile swingsTopic Statement:
Persistent has seen a roller coaster price action this year and is now stabilizing near key technical and psychological support zones.
Key Points:
1. The stock is taking support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 4951, a level it continues to hold
2. This support zone aligns with the barrier of 5000, reducing the likelihood of a breakdown
3. The price is also very close to a long-term trendline, adding structural strength to the current support
4. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock offers a strong investment opportunity at these levels based on past behavior
Nifty 50 Price ActionNifty 50 is trading near 24,715 as of September 4, 2025, showing mild recovery after several sessions of volatility and weakness. The index has bounced back above the 24,600 support zone with improved breadth and higher volumes, but technical indicators reflect a cautious undertone. All short- and medium-term moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50) still point bearish, and bearish crossovers on 5-20 and 20-50 day averages reinforce negative momentum. Oscillators like MACD, stochastics, ROC, and CCI remain in bearish territory, while RSI sits neutral around 45, and William %R signals oversold conditions, suggesting the possibility of a short-term bounce.
Immediate resistance for Nifty is seen at 24,650–24,700, with a major hurdle near the 50-day moving average in the 24,850 area. A decisive move above these levels would strengthen bullish sentiment, potentially opening up the range to 25,250–25,500. On the downside, key support remains at 24,500, with stronger base near 24,250. A break below these supports could lead to extension of the recent pullback toward the 24,000 level.
The broader trend appears range-bound with slight positive bias, but foreign institutional investors have been net sellers, which has tempered upside momentum. Sectors like auto, capital goods, and select mid-cap stocks are attracting buyers, while defensive sectors remain subdued. For now, a cautious approach is advised, using “sell on rise” until Nifty can reclaim more short-term moving averages. Long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting dips should be viewed as buying opportunities for quality stocks, especially if domestic and global cues improve.
MEDANTA Price ActionMedanta (Global Health Ltd) is currently trading in the ₹1,300–₹1,335 range, having shown a notable run-up over the past six months, but with increased volatility in recent weeks. The stock reached a recent high near ₹1,393 and a low around ₹935 during the past year.
Fundamentally, Medanta continues to deliver robust revenue growth: annual revenues for FY25 rose to ₹3,692 crore, up approximately 13% from the previous year. Operating profitability remains strong, with margins in the 23% range and net profits exceeding ₹480 crore for the latest fiscal year. However, the most recent quarter saw a profitability dip due to a non-recurring expense, reflecting some variability in the bottom line.
On valuation, Medanta trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 73 and a price-to-book (P/B) above 11, both of which are elevated compared to sector averages. This premium reflects market optimism about its growth prospects but also limits the scope for immediate, significant upside. The company has a modest dividend yield and consistently generates healthy cash flows, contributing to financial strength.
The outlook from analysts remains moderately positive: one-year price targets are clustered around ₹1,300–₹1,500, with the company expected to benefit from long-term sector growth and its strong operating metrics. Near-term, the share price may consolidate after recent gains, with moves likely guided by the next round of earnings and overall market sentiment. Medanta’s key strengths are scale, profitability, and discipline, but its premium valuation requires steady execution and increasing returns to justify further appreciation.
LORDSCHLO Price ActionLords Chloro Alkali Limited (LORDSCHLO) traded positively today, closing at 176.5 after an upward move of 2.77% for the session. The stock opened at 173.45, reached a high of 178.0, and dropped to a low of 169.05 during the day. Trading volume was below average, with about 13,620 shares traded, indicating moderate investor activity.
Price action was characterized by a firm bullish undertone, as the stock built on its gains and held well above both its 50-day and 200-day averages, reflecting underlying strength amidst broader market uncertainty. Support was established just below 170, while resistance near 178 capped further advances. With an EPS of 5.52 and PE around 32, momentum appears strong, and the stock is consolidating above key moving averages, suggesting potential for further upside if buying continues.
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview
Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout.
Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum.
📍 Crucial Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here.
🟢 BUY Reaction Zones
3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers.
3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction.
3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers.
🎯 Trading Setups
1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play)
Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed.
Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong.
Stop: Below 3,808.
2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend)
Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,830.
Stop: Above 3,922.
3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity
Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence).
Targets: 3,830 → 3,900.
Stop: Below 3,735.
⚡ Pro Tips
Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups.
Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight.
Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs.
💬 Discussion
Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
Supreme Holdings & Hospitality – Value Pick Analysis🏨 Supreme Holdings & Hospitality – Value Pick Analysis NSE:SUPREME
📌 CMP: ₹89–88
🔎 Technical View
📈 Heading towards ₹120 – ₹130 targets
⏳ Consolidating for last 2 months
🔄 Forming Round Bottom on bigger horizon
📊 Inside Bar Pattern on weekly chart
💰 Valuation Check
📘 Book Value: ₹147
⚖️ CMP ~40% below BV → Value Buy opportunity ✨
👥 Shareholding
👑 Promoter Holding: 58%
📊 Financials
💵 Revenue: ₹60–70 Cr annually
💹 PAT Margins: 10–12%
🏦 Debt-Free Company ✔️
🔥 Verdict: Strong value buy candidate 📉➡️📈 with technical breakout potential + solid fundamentals.
WEAK AXIS BANK CHART ON 75MINUTE AND DAILYAXIS BANK CURRENTLY TRADING AT 1160 in cash segment and 1168 in Oct futures.
Axis Bank Oct future can be sold at 1168 with SL of 1190 for a target of 1100-1090 in Oct expiry. Also as per Gann pressure dates on 04-Oct (Market Closed) the effect will be seen on 03-Oct or 06-Oct-2025.
Lets hit the target.
📉 THIS CHANNEL IS ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Disclaimer: I am Not a SEBI registered analyst. I just share my positions to do paper trading and no where its a recommendation! Please do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Hero MotoCorp – Inverted Head & Shoulders📈 Pattern Analysis: Between mid-December 2024 and July 2025, Hero MotoCorp developed a textbook Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern , a strong bullish reversal setup after a steep 50% decline from the top . The bottom of the head was formed by a Hammer candlestick pattern , indicating a potential trend reversal with strong buying interest at lower levels.
📊 Breakout Confirmation:
In August 2025, the stock broke above the neckline with rising volumes, confirming the activation of the bullish pattern. Following the breakout, Hero MotoCorp delivered a sharp rally of more than 20% in just 20 trading days, validating the strength of the setup.
🔎 Key Observations:
* The multi-month consolidation built a strong base for the reversal.
* Volume expansion during breakout confirmed institutional participation.
* The price action aligns with classical bullish reversal theory.
🎯 Outlook:
While this event has already played out, the pattern serves as a clear example of how bullish head and shoulders formations can reverse strong downtrends and lead to swift gains once neckline breakout occurs.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational and training purposes only. It is not an investment recommendation or trading advice.
World Coin :: breakout from triangle. Hello Everyone,
I would like to present an Idea of exponential gains. Worldcoin recently broke out of two triangles; a small trinagle the price target of which has already been hit and a breakout of a very big triangle. The price is currently retesting the breakout line of the triangle. Please have a look at the chart. I would also highlight that 80% of the supply of world coin is held by the insiders therefore it is in their interest to take the price up. But also the insiders are the major sellers of the leverage longs and than dump the token to grab liquidity. Therefore insider benefit from both price going up and down. I suggest all of you not to give the opportunity to insiders to grab liquidity by going long with leverage because in that scenario their best interest is to liquidate you because if you are leveraged long the other side of your trade is leverage short (which is insiders). Instead buy spot in that case insiders have no choice but to pump the price because dumping will not be in their interest as their is no free liquidity to grab.
I hope you understood the game plan.
Buy as much world coin on spot and wait for price to hit 25-30 dollars.
Thank you
JSW Steel - Upward Parallel Chanel 📈 JSW Steel is moving in a well-defined Upward Parallel Channel on the weekly timeframe, reflecting a strong and sustained uptrend. The price action has consistently respected the channel boundaries, confirming steady buying interest.
📊 Overbought Condition:
However, the stock is currently trading near the upper band of the channel, with momentum indicators suggesting an overbought zone. This raises the possibility of a cool-off phase or a retracement toward the mean reversion (mid-channel support).
🔎 Momentum Indicators:
RSI readings indicate stretched levels, warranting caution for fresh long entries at current prices.
Volume trends remain supportive of the overall uptrend, but short-term corrections cannot be ruled out.
🎯 Projection & Outlook:
While the medium- to long-term trend stays firmly bullish, traders should watch for a possible retracement toward mid-channel support before fresh accumulation. Sustaining within the channel ensures the continuation of the uptrend, while any breakout above the channel could accelerate momentum further.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical projection for educational purposes only and not an investment recommendation. Traders should adopt proper risk management while framing any strategy.
GOLD H1 – THE WOLF WAVE SCENARIO IS FORMINGHello trader 👋
Gold has surged back strongly after a nearly 70-point drop yesterday. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the newly established ATH, with the potential to extend short-term targets towards 3,960 – 4,000 if the upward trend continues to hold.
On the H1 chart, the price structure indicates the possibility of forming a Wolfe Wave pattern. This will be the main reference frame for trading throughout the day, capitalising on the oscillation range within the pattern.
⚖️ Short-term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority in line with the main trend):
Entry: 3,852 – 3,854
SL: 3,847
TP: 3,865 → 3,878 → 3,890
👉 Trend-following trade, suitable for holding positions and maximising profits.
🔴 Sell Scenario (scalping at the upper boundary):
Entry: 3,877 – 3,879
SL: 3,884
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,838
👉 Short-term sell order, only for wave-trading within the pattern boundary.
📊 General Outlook
Gold continues to be supported by the major upward trend, but the H1 range suggests there might be some tug-of-war within the Wolfe Wave.
Buying positions remain a priority for the day, as they align with the trend and allow for more effective order management.
Traders need to closely monitor price action at the upper and lower boundaries to make flexible decisions.
💡 News Factors to Note
In the next hour, the market will focus on political news from the US, especially the potential US Government shutdown. This could be a catalyst causing more significant gold volatility during the session.
📌 Conclusion: Day trading prioritises Buying at support zones – Selling scalps at the upper boundary within the H1 Wolfe Wave pattern. Tight capital management and clear SL to mitigate risks. I will continue to update new scenarios for you – stay tuned to not miss out 🚀.
SBC Bullish price actionSBC Exports traded at 21.54 today, showing limited volatility and maintaining a generally sideways movement. The price opened near 21.40 and moved within a narrow range between 21.16 and 21.61, with no aggressive buying or selling pressure evident for most of the session. Trading volumes remained moderate, and the close slightly favored the bulls as the stock ended near the day’s high.
Price action throughout the day was driven mainly by consolidation, following a steady pattern observed in recent days. Technical momentum indicators remained neutral, while support zones around 21.16 held well against minor intraday pullbacks. The prevailing market tone remains cautious, with traders looking for breakout signals above current resistance or below key support levels for directional clarity in the days ahead.
Hindustan Zinc – Diya aur Batti Pattern📈 Pattern Analysis: Hindustan Zinc is currently shaping a "Rounding Bottom formation" on the charts, a classic reversal pattern that suggests the possibility of a long-term trend change. The stock is consolidating in a narrow range since Nov 2024 after a steep 50% decline from its top , indicating a phase of "Accumulation" .
Interestingly, alongside the rounding bottom, we also identify a newly observed structure – the “Diya and Batti Pattern” – which combines stability with a gradual build-up in price strength.
📊 Trend & Support:
The stock is trading above its 50 EMA, which is sloping upward, confirming the underlying uptrend.
Price stability over months strengthens the base formation and increases the probability of a powerful breakout.
🔎 Momentum Indicators:
Volumes remain muted during consolidation, a common sign of accumulation.
A decisive breakout must be accompanied by **rising volumes and a bullish candle** for confirmation.
🎯 Projection & Outlook: A confirmed breakout above the rounding bottom and accumulation zone will likely mark the beginning of a multi-year uptrend. Once breakout levels are crossed, Hindustan Zinc could witness significant upside momentum with potential medium- to long-term targets well beyond current levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical projection intended for educational purposes, not an investment recommendation. Any trading strategy should be executed with proper risk management.
Good bearish setup on the higher time frame.Asian paints is one of the leading paint manufacturer in country and for the last few months the stock is trading in a parallel channel there are chance of it trying to retest the previous support zone of around 2700 levels before entering into another bearish leg.
Fundamentally stock shows some negativity as ~45% YoY decline in consolidated net profit in Q4 FY25.
Revenue slipped 4.3% YoY in this quater. Net profit fell 23.3% YoY in Q3 FY 2025.
Technically too the stock look to form bearish Flag and Pole pattern with a possible retracement to around 1700-1800 levels in upcoming months.
RSI is around in between on the monthly charts which is not in confluence.
BBand shows that the stock is trading below the median line of the band and chance of it travelling to the lower band it possible as stock it below the median line for around 11 months.
Exponential moving averages : 100 EMA on the monthly charts is providing good support to the stock while 20 & 50 EMA are acting as the resistance on the same time frame.
Target are different as per the trading setup.
Support and Resistance
Entry only once the channel is breached and retested.
Targe : 1815-1925 zone.
Bollinger Band
Entry has been triggered as per the BB strategy.
Target : 1935
EMA
As per the EMA strategy, there will be multiple entries in the stock.
Entry will be made once the stock closed below the 100 EMA.
Target : 200 EMA.
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Oct 1For the past two days, the price has been moving within the range of 80200 to 80800. And today's movement has formed a triangle pattern. Unless the range is broken, the movement can be choppy. Nearby support is seen at 80000. If 80k is broken, the next support is at the 79750 to 79820 zone.
Buy above 80320 with a stop-loss of 80200 for targets of 80400, 80520, 80640, 80760, and 80880.
Sell below 79960 with a stop-loss of 80100 for the targets 79840, 79760, 79640, 79520, 79400, and 79240.
If the price does not gain strength, we can expect a range move between 80k and 80700.
ECLERX another entry set upECLERX traded in a narrow range today, with the price displaying a consolidative pattern through most of the session. The stock opened flat and witnessed brief upward movements, but overall momentum remained muted as it hovered near key support levels. Intraday volatility was low, with buyers and sellers appearing evenly matched and no clear directional bias emerging.
Price action suggests market participants are awaiting fresh cues before taking definitive positions, with the stock holding above a short-term moving average. Technical indicators point to a neutral stance, as neither bullish nor bearish signals have dominated trade today. The immediate outlook remains sideways unless there is a decisive break above the session high or below the established support zone.
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge.
Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts.
Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure.
Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly.
Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders.
Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear.
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831
SL: 3827
TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815
SL: 3810
TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ???
✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.