Trend Analysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/01/2026A flat opening is expected in Nifty, indicating continued consolidation after the recent corrective move. The index is currently trading below the previous resistance zone, suggesting that the overall bias remains cautious in the near term. Early price action is likely to remain range-bound, with volatility expected around the marked support and resistance levels. Traders should be patient during the opening minutes and wait for price confirmation near key levels before initiating positions.
On the upside, the immediate resistance zone is placed around 25,750–25,800. A sustained move and acceptance above 25,750 can trigger a reversal long setup, indicating that buyers are regaining control. If this breakout holds, Nifty may gradually move towards 25,850, followed by 25,900 and 25,950+, where fresh supply and profit booking can be expected. Long trades should only be considered if the index shows strong price acceptance above this zone with supportive volume.
On the downside, the 25,700–25,650 region remains a crucial intraday support. Any rejection from the resistance zone or failure to hold above 25,700 can lead to a reversal short setup. In such a scenario, downside targets are seen at 25,650, 25,550, and 25,500, which are important demand areas. A decisive breakdown below 25,450 will further weaken the structure and can open the gates for deeper downside towards 25,350, 25,300, and 25,250, where buyers may attempt a defensive bounce.
Overall, the market structure suggests a sell-on-rise or range-trading environment unless a strong breakout above resistance occurs. Traders should focus on level-based trading with strict stop-loss discipline and avoid overtrading during sideways moves. Scalping and short-term trades near support and resistance will be more effective than positional trades until Nifty shows a clear directional breakout.
TCS at Support: Breakdown Fear or Bounce Setup?📊 Tata Consultancy Services Limited – 1H Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Trend Structure: Rising channel (higher highs & higher lows)
Current Phase: ABC corrective pullback within an uptrend
CMP Zone: ~₹3,160
🔍 Big Picture Structure (Context First)
TCS is trading inside a well-defined rising channel, which tells us:
Institutions are accumulating on dips
Pullbacks are corrective, not impulsive
Trend strength remains intact as long as the channel holds
The recent decline is forming an ABC correction within this channel:
Wave (a): First profit-booking leg
Wave (b): Pullback rally (short covering)
Wave (c): Final emotional dip → testing demand
📘 In strong trends, Wave-C often marks the “last shakeout” before continuation.
🟩 Buying Zone: ₹3,155 – ₹3,181 (High-Probability Area)
🧠 Why this zone can attract buyers (Trading Psychology):
This area aligns with:
Channel support
Prior breakout memory
Wave-C completion expectations
Swing traders who missed the rally are waiting here
Existing longs defend this zone to protect trend structure
Shorts start booking profits after extended downside
👉 Result: Demand + short covering = bounce probability
📌 This is why it’s marked as a buying / accumulation zone, not a blind entry.
🔑 Key Levels & Why Price Reacts There
🟢 Wave-C Completion Zone: ~₹3,150–3,165
• Emotional selling exhausts
• Weak hands exit
• Smart money steps in
🧠 Markets usually turn when fear peaks, not when news feels good.
🔴 Invalidation / Stop-Loss: ₹3,105 (Hourly Close Below)
• Break of channel structure
• Buyers lose confidence
• Trend pauses or deepens into range
📉 Below this, psychology shifts from “buy dips” to “wait & watch”.
🔵 F&O Resistance Zone: ₹3,318 – ₹3,340
• Option writers active
• Profit booking by swing traders
• First supply reaction expected
📘 Derivative zones often cap the first rally.
🟢 Swing Target: ₹3,466
• Upper channel projection
• Momentum traders enter
• Short stop-losses fuel upside
📈 New highs revive optimism & momentum buying.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary Probability)
If price:
Holds ₹3,155–3,181
Forms a base / higher low on 2H
Then:
Bounce toward ₹3,318–3,340
Acceptance above this zone → ₹3,466 swing target
Trend continuation within channel
📘 This is continuation, not reversal trading.
🔴 Bearish Risk Scenario (Secondary)
If price:
Closes below ₹3,105 (hourly)
Then:
Channel support breaks
Buyers step aside
Price may drift into deeper consolidation
📉 This reflects loss of momentum, not immediate trend reversal.
🎓 Educational Takeaways (Very Important)
Strong trends correct in ABC form, not straight lines
Best trades appear when fear meets structure
Channels work because institutions defend averages
Levels matter because traders remember pain & opportunity
🧠 Trading Psychology Behind This Chart
Zone Dominant Emotion
Upper channel Confidence / Greed
Pullback start Profit booking
Buying zone Fear vs Opportunity
Breakdown Doubt & Patience
New highs Momentum & FOMO
📘 Charts are visual representations of crowd emotion.
🔮 Price Outlook (Educational Projection)
Above ₹3,180: Bullish bias intact
Above ₹3,340: Momentum expansion
Target zone: ₹3,466
Below ₹3,105: Trend pause / deeper correction
🧾 Conclusion
TCS remains structurally bullish inside a rising channel.
The ₹3,155–3,181 zone is a decision area where Wave-C correction may end and trend continuation can begin.
📌 Strong stocks test patience before rewarding discipline.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Markets involve risk, and I may be wrong.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade or investment decision.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
Is BearFlag CompletedCurrent Outlook on BTC Chart Pattern.
BearFlag Rising Wage
In this case btc is supposed to create a Rising wage on Macro, only Valid if BTC, 94k, and then pumped to 99k, breaking down below 94k Invalidates in Technical term, but you never know what can happen here
50/50
BearFlag Rising Triangle Pattern
In this macro case, BTC has already completed 70% of the Pattern, and the Move to 75k can start to happen any moment. Breakdown of the channel, and then retest, right now looks like BTC is just holding at the ascending channel, which is crucial to hold if another test of 99k is supposed to happen.
50/50
FareValue Gap
FareValue Gap from 97k to 100k is Stil Empty on Macro, which needs to be retested before the next big move.
Looks like there is only 10% probablity of this happening.
Comment on what you think might happen,
1. Will the breakdown happen from here?
2. Will the Farevalue Gap between 97k - 100k will be filled before any major move.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/01/2026)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating indecision after the recent volatile moves. The index is opening near the 59,800–59,900 zone, which continues to act as a short-term balance area where buyers and sellers are actively competing. This suggests that the market is still in a consolidation phase and is waiting for a clear trigger to decide the next directional move. Early price action is likely to remain choppy, with whipsaws possible near key intraday levels.
On the upside, the crucial level to watch remains 60,050–60,100. A sustained move and acceptance above this zone will indicate renewed buying strength. If Bank Nifty manages to hold above 60,050, bullish momentum can gradually build, opening the path for CE buying opportunities. In such a scenario, upside targets are placed at 60,250, followed by 60,350, and 60,450+, where strong supply zones are expected. A breakout above these levels may also invite short covering, accelerating the move higher.
On the downside, the 59,950–59,900 area is acting as immediate intraday support. Any rejection or failure to sustain above this zone may increase selling pressure. A breakdown below 59,900 can trigger PE buying, with downside targets at 59,750, 59,650, and 59,550. If weakness extends further and the index slips below 59,450, it would confirm bearish dominance, opening deeper downside levels toward 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050.
Overall, the structure suggests a range-bound and level-based trading session unless a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs. Traders should avoid aggressive early entries and focus on confirmation-based trades near the mentioned levels. Scalping and short-term positional trades with strict stop-loss and disciplined risk management will be more effective than directional bets until the market clearly breaks out of this consolidation range.
BHEL : Price action update
📊 Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited – UPDATE
Timeframe: 1D
Trend Structure: Impulsive uptrend with Wave-4 corrective phase
Current Price Zone: ~₹263
Market Phase: Corrective pause after strong momentum rally
🔍 Big Picture Structure (What the Chart Is Telling Us)
BHEL has already completed a strong impulsive move (Wave 1–3), followed by a healthy correction (Wave 4).
This correction is time-consuming, not price-damaging, which is a bullish characteristic.
📘 Strong stocks correct sideways or shallow — weak stocks collapse.
🟦 Wave-4 Completion Zone: ₹243–267 (High-Probability Demand)
This zone is crucial and not random.
🧠 Why price reacts here (Trading Psychology):
Traders who missed the rally are waiting for a pullback to value
Early buyers defend this zone to protect unrealised profits
Short sellers start booking profits near prior breakout areas
👉 This creates a demand cluster, often leading to trend resumption
📌 That’s why this zone is marked as Correction Wave-4 completion area.
🔑 Key Levels & Their Psychological Importance
🟢 Support / Buy Zone: ₹243–267
• Prior consolidation + retracement value
• Risk-reward becomes favorable for positional buyers
🔴 Invalidation / Stop-Loss: ₹194
• Deep retracement beyond acceptable Wave-4 limits
• Below this, structure weakens and confidence breaks
📉 Below this level, buyers turn into sellers.
🔵 First Resistance / Target: ₹300–308
• Previous supply & liquidity zone
• Swing traders book profits here
• Causes temporary pullbacks
🟢 Breakout / Expansion Zone: ₹330–368
• Fresh highs attract momentum traders
• Stop-losses of shorts fuel upside
• Psychological FOMO zone
📈 New highs = emotional acceleration.
🔥 Extended Target: ₹345+
• Trend continuation zone
• Only achievable if volume supports price
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary Probability)
If price:
Holds above ₹243–267
Shows stabilization or higher-low formation
Then:
First move toward ₹300–308
Break & sustain → ₹330–368
Momentum extension possible toward ₹345+
📘 This is classic Wave-5 behavior after a healthy Wave-4 correction.
🔴 Bearish Risk Scenario (Low Probability but Important)
If price:
Breaks below ₹243 decisively
Fails to reclaim support quickly
Then:
Selling pressure may increase
Next major demand near ₹194
Structure becomes range-bound or corrective for longer
📉 This reflects loss of conviction, not trend reversal immediately.
🎓 Educational Takeaways (Very Important)
Corrections are where wealth is built, not breakouts
Strong stocks give second chances, weak ones don’t
Levels work because traders remember pain & opportunity
Price moves when crowd psychology aligns, not indicators
🧠 Why This Setup Is Educationally Powerful
Zone Crowd Emotion
Highs Greed & FOMO
Pullback Hope & Fear
Support zone Opportunity
Breakdown Panic
New highs Momentum chase
📘 Charts are a map of emotions, not lines.
🔮 Price Outlook (Educational Projection)
Above ₹267: Bullish bias intact
Above ₹308: Momentum resumes
Above ₹330: Expansion phase begins
Below ₹243: Patience required
Below ₹194: Structure weakens
🧾 Conclusion
BHEL is undergoing a textbook Wave-4 correction within a larger uptrend.
The ₹243–267 zone is a make-or-break region that can define the next multi-week move.
📌 Strong trends pause to shake weak hands — not to reverse.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Markets involve risk, and I may be wrong.
Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
ETHUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD
UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD TRADING STRATEGY FOR 20TH JANUARY 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) TRADING PLAN 🟡
💰 Intraday / Positional Setup
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Momentum) 🟢
🕰️ Timeframe: 30-Minute Candle
✅ Buy Condition:
Enter BUY 🟢 only if price breaks and CLOSES ABOVE the HIGH of the 30-minute candle
Confirmation level: Above 4710 🔔
💵 BUY ABOVE: $4710
🎯 TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: $4725
🎯 Target 2: $4735
🎯 Target 3: $4745
📊 Logic:
Strong bullish candle close above resistance
Indicates fresh buying interest and continuation momentum
Suitable for trend-following traders
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) 🔴
🕰️ Timeframe: 1-Hour Candle
❌ Sell Condition:
Enter SELL 🔴 only if price breaks and CLOSES BELOW the LOW of the 1-hour candle
Confirmation level: Below 4643 ⚠️
💵 SELL BELOW: $4643
🎯 TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: $4630
🎯 Target 2: $4618
🎯 Target 3: $4603
📊 Logic:
Hourly candle close below support
Shows weakness and bearish continuation
Best for breakdown & momentum sellers
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
🛑 Always wait for candle CLOSE confirmation
📉 Use strict stop-loss based on your risk appetite
💼 Trade with proper position sizing
📌 DISCLAIMER ⚠️
🚫 This is NOT financial advice
📚 Shared for educational purposes only
📊 Trading involves high risk, and losses may exceed profits
💰 Please consult your financial advisor before trading
🙌 Trade at your own risk and responsibility
✨ Discipline beats emotion in trading 💵📈
Heikin Ashi Trend Continuation & Weakness Framework📈 Heikin Ashi Trend Continuation & Weakness Framework
This chart demonstrates how Heikin Ashi candles simplify trend analysis by filtering out market noise and emphasizing directional strength, momentum, and trend exhaustion.
Unlike standard candlesticks, Heikin Ashi focuses on average price behavior, making it ideal for:
Trend identification
Staying in strong moves
Avoiding premature reversals
This framework is designed to ride trends, not predict tops or bottoms.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Heikin Ashi Downtrend Rules (Bearish Control)
A strong downtrend is defined by:
Red candles only
Large candle bodies
No upper wicks → strong selling pressure
This structure indicates aggressive sellers with minimal pullback.
As long as these conditions persist, short bias remains dominant.
2️⃣ Trend Weakness Signals (Transition Phase)
Trend weakness appears when:
Candle bodies shrink
Upper and lower wicks start appearing
Heikin Ashi Doji candles form
⚠️ Important:
Heikin Ashi dojis do not signal an instant reversal.
They indicate loss of momentum and balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase often leads to:
Consolidation
Range formation
Or a slow trend transition
3️⃣ Structure Shift & Early Bullish Signs
After bearish momentum fades:
Red candles stop expanding
First green Heikin Ashi candles appear
Bodies are small → confirmation still pending
At this stage:
A potential uptrend is forming, but confirmation is required.
This prevents early long entries during false reversals.
4️⃣ Heikin Ashi Uptrend Rules (Bullish Control)
A confirmed bullish trend requires:
Green candles only
Large candle bodies
No lower wicks → strong buying pressure
This structure signals:
Aggressive buyers
Shallow pullbacks
High probability continuation
As long as these conditions hold, trend-following longs are favored.
5️⃣ Trend Continuation Logic
The strongest Heikin Ashi trends follow this sequence:
One-directional candles
Increasing body size
Minimal or no opposite wicks
This allows traders to:
Stay in winning trades longer
Avoid overtrading
Let trends mature fully
6️⃣ What Breaks the Trend?
A Heikin Ashi trend weakens when:
Opposite-colored candles appear
Wicks form against the trend
Candle bodies consistently shrink
Only multiple confirmations should be used to assume a trend change — not a single candle.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → NASDAQ:NVDA
Timeframe → 1D
This chart highlights:
Clean bearish phase using red HA candles
Momentum loss via doji candles
Transition into bullish structure
Confirmed uptrend with green candles & no lower wicks
Expected Sequence:
trend → momentum loss → transition → confirmation → continuation
Heikin Ashi excels at trend clarity, not precision entries.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📘 How to Use Heikin Ashi Effectively
🔹 Trend-Following Use
Trade only in the direction of candle color
Stay in trades until opposite structure appears
Ignore small pullbacks during strong trends
🔹 Risk Management Tip
Use normal candles for exact entries if needed
Use Heikin Ashi for trend bias and holding trades
🔹 Common Mistake
❌ Treating doji candles as reversal signals
✅ Treating them as trend weakness alerts
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only
🙅 Not SEBI registered
❌ Not financial or investment advice
AUDUSD LONG SETUP — Bullish Reversal from DemandAUDUSD has tapped into a strong demand zone aligned perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, showing signs of potential bullish reversal. Price swept the previous intraday liquidity and reacted strongly, indicating buyers are stepping in.
This confluence makes this area a high-probability long setup.
Description
Price dropped into a well-defined demand zone around 0.66720–0.66650, which overlaps with the ascending trendline support drawn from previous higher lows. The sweep of liquidity below the zone suggests a fakeout and accumulation, increasing the probability of a bullish move.
If price maintains above the zone and starts forming bullish structure, we can expect a continuation towards the previous swing highs.
📝 Trade Plan (Suggestive)
Entry: 0.66798 (within demand zone)
Stop Loss: Below zone at 0.662
Take Profit 1: 0.67100 (previous structure high)
Take Profit 2: 0.67320 (premium zone)
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
🔍 Reasons to Take This Trade
✔ Demand Zone Reaction
✔ Trendline Confluence
✔ Liquidity Sweep Below Zone
✔ Strong Wick Rejection Showing Buyers
✔ Price in Discount (Buy-side value area)
Disclaimer: for educational purpose
A buying OpportunityElliott- the c wave of the correction is likely over. The current zone also has the iv wave of 3. This is the natural support zone for corrections.
Fibs- the fib confluence at 10600 becomes a high prob reversal zone.
MA- the faster MA crossing the fib confluence at 10600 makes the zones a strong support zone.
Conclusion - we will have to wait for some more time for confirmation of the reversal. To me this is a high prob reversal zone. The 5th wave will have a minimum tgt of 20K which is the end of the 3rd wave.
Chapter 17 — Stop-Loss RespectWhy SL mistakes are discipline failures, not technical errors.
( ETHUSD 1H chart attached)
Most traders think stop-loss problems are “technical”:
“My SL was too tight.”
“Wick hunted me.”
“Spread took me out.”
“The market is manipulated.”
That story feels logical. But it’s rarely the real cause.
The real cause is almost always the same:
Stop-loss mistakes are permission failures — not chart failures.
Because a stop is not a number.
A stop is a commitment to invalidation.
If your stop is not respected, it means you didn’t respect one of these:
Structure (your idea got invalidated)
Risk budget (you sized wrong)
Regime (liquidity/volatility wasn’t tradable)
Discipline (you edited the rules mid-trade)
1) What a stop-loss is supposed to represent
A proper SL is placed at the point where your trade idea becomes false.
Not where it “hurts less.”
Not where you “hope it won’t go.”
Not where you can “avoid getting stopped.”
SL = Invalidation.
If you don’t define invalidation clearly before entry, you are not trading—
you are negotiating with the market.
2) The 4 stop-loss sins (that blow accounts)
(A) Moving the stop because of emotion
This is the most expensive habit in trading.
It converts a controlled loss into an uncontrolled loss.
(B) “Let me give it some room” without reducing size
If you widen SL but keep the same position size, you are increasing risk without permission.
(C) Entering without a stop plan
No invalidation = no trade.
That’s not harsh. That’s professional.
(D) Re-entering immediately after SL without regime reset
This is the revenge loop.
A second entry without context change is usually an emotional trade wearing a technical mask.
3) What the attached MARAL chart is teaching (ETHUSD 1H)
This chart is a clean example of why SL respect is an execution skill.
On the boards, the market was not “quietly supportive”:
ECI score shows “No-Trade” (low execution confidence)
Liquidity Context shows LOW (thin conditions amplify slippage and wicks)
MTF status shows MIXED (conflict risk increases)
Management Desk shows:
Exit Pressure: HIGH
Risk State: OVEREXTENDED
Trade Status: WEAK
Action State: EXIT
Then the market printed a sharp downside displacement.
This is the point:
When the framework is already broadcasting exit / weak / low-liquidity / no-trade, any trader who “widens SL” or “hopes” is not making a technical decision.
They are breaking discipline.
4) MARAL stop-loss protocol (permission-based)
Pre-Entry (before you click)
You must answer all three:
Where is my invalidation? (structure level)
What is my risk if invalidated? (fixed % / fixed R)
Is the regime tradable? (liquidity + volatility + MTF alignment)
If any one is unclear → No permission.
Post-Entry (after you’re in)
You don’t “manage feelings.”
You manage state.
When MARAL flips to:
Exit Pressure: High
Risk State: High / Overextended
Action State: EXIT
ECI: No-Trade / confidence collapse
Your job is not to debate.
Your job is to execute the plan.
A stop is not a suggestion.
It’s a contract.
5) The professional mindset shift
A stopped trade is not a failure.
A stop violation is the failure.
Because:
A stop preserves capital.
Capital preserves opportunity.
Opportunity is what pays you.
If you can’t respect SL, you don’t have a strategy problem.
You have a permission problem.
Closing
The market doesn’t punish traders for being wrong.
It punishes traders for refusing to be wrong.
Respecting the stop is respecting reality.
That is the first layer of execution intelligence.
(Educational only. Not signals. Not financial advice.)
#Trading #RiskManagement #StopLoss #TradingPsychology #Execution #MarketStructure #Discipline #MARAL #CryptoTrading #ETHUSD
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 20-Jan📘 NIFTY Trading Plan – 20 Jan 2026
Timeframe: 15-minute
Gap Criteria Considered: 100+ points
Market Structure: Short-term corrective phase after rejection from upper range, base formation near intraday support
🔼 SCENARIO 1: GAP UP OPENING (100+ points) 🚀
If NIFTY opens above 25,667, it signals bullish intent with short-covering momentum.
Immediate resistance zone lies at 25,667 – 25,682 (Opening / Last Resistance).
Sustained price acceptance above 25,682 on a 15-min close can trigger upside continuation.
Upside targets to watch:
• 25,740
• 25,791
Expect minor pullbacks near resistance; fresh longs only on pullback + hold above broken levels.
Avoid chasing gap-up candles without retest confirmation.
📌 Options Strategy (Gap Up):
• Bull Call Spread (ATM Buy + OTM Sell)
• Avoid naked CE buying near resistance
• Trail profits aggressively as volatility expands 📈
➡️ SCENARIO 2: FLAT / RANGE OPENING ⚖️
If NIFTY opens within 25,529 – 25,568, market enters a balance / no-trade zone.
This zone acts as Opening Support Zone for flat markets.
Expect whipsaws and fake breakouts initially.
Upside trade activates only above 25,682.
Downside pressure increases below 25,529.
Best environment for patience and structure-based entries.
📌 Options Strategy (Flat Market):
• Short Strangle / Iron Condor (only for experienced traders)
• Focus on theta decay ⏳
• Keep strict SL on breakout from range
🔽 SCENARIO 3: GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ points) 📉
If NIFTY opens below 25,529, bears gain control early.
First support zone is 25,422 – 25,364 (Intraday Demand Zone).
Expect a technical bounce, but trend remains weak below resistance.
Breakdown below 25,364 can open deeper downside.
Avoid bottom fishing until strong bullish reversal candle appears.
📌 Options Strategy (Gap Down):
• Bear Put Spread preferred
• Avoid aggressive PE selling in trending markets
• Quick scalps only, book fast 📉
🧠 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Expiry week = faster premium decay & sharp moves.
Prefer spreads over naked option buying.
No revenge trading after SL hits.
Always wait for 15-min structure confirmation before entry.
📌 Summary & Conclusion ✨
NIFTY is currently trading near a short-term balance zone.
📍 25,529 – 25,568 is the key decision-making area.
📍 Sustained move above 25,682 may revive bullish momentum.
📍 Below 25,529, downside risk increases sharply toward 25,422.
Trade light, respect levels, and let price confirm direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets are uncertain, and I can be wrong.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Hidden Channels & Fib Golden Zone : Beauty of Price ActionObservational Post only Showcasing how price action works using historical price points only
Observe how price elegantly respects this counter trendline on the weekly chart (red line), forging consistent lower highs through precise rejections. A subtle parallel channel lurks beneath, acting as a hidden guardian. Channels like these shield against fakeouts, confirming pure breakouts only when breached alongside key lines.
Shifting to the monthly view, the Fib retracement from swing low to high highlights the golden zone (50 to 61%, white shaded), a magnet for retracements where price often pauses or reverses with stunning symmetry.
This interplay reveals price action's beauty: layers of structure working in harmony, rewarding patient observers.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, showcasing historical price action observations. Not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
Bccl ipo day high 45 is next level of rally Today bccl made a debut and gave nearabout 90-100% of returns to there lucky investors.
Stock price made a high of 45 and then shown profit booking towards 40 rs level.
Now 45 is a good resistance, once that is taken out we may see more upside.
But looking at today's move after listing more profit booking and consolidation is anticipated.
Also looking at fundamentals stock is now trading near to 8-9 pe multiple which is close to it's parent coal India so doubling and all is not expected.
#BCCL
RELIANCE may head for 1111 #RELIANCE is forming a NEAT 3-3-5 FLAT and should head for 1111. Anybody in EW kindly study and share views. In simple terms if you see the two DTF and WTF charts , the stock is forming a 3-3-5 FLAT correction STARTING 12 July 2024 where sub wave -a has three sub waves culminating at 1114 on 07 Apr 2025 and sub sub -c of this wave is ending as a 5 wave Ending Diagonal. Then we have sub wave-b going up in three sub waves again culminating at 1611 high on 03 Jan 2026. Now I am looking for sub wave -c going deep down to 1111 in five sub waves 1-2-3-4-5 as I have shown in the DTF Chart. ANALYSIS INVALIDATION 1611 ( or even 1575 may be good enough for invalidation). THIS DTF CHART ( Daily Time Frame).Lets C






















