Trend Analysis
GOLD TRADING STRATEGY FOR 20TH JANUARY 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) TRADING PLAN 🟡
💰 Intraday / Positional Setup
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Momentum) 🟢
🕰️ Timeframe: 30-Minute Candle
✅ Buy Condition:
Enter BUY 🟢 only if price breaks and CLOSES ABOVE the HIGH of the 30-minute candle
Confirmation level: Above 4710 🔔
💵 BUY ABOVE: $4710
🎯 TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: $4725
🎯 Target 2: $4735
🎯 Target 3: $4745
📊 Logic:
Strong bullish candle close above resistance
Indicates fresh buying interest and continuation momentum
Suitable for trend-following traders
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) 🔴
🕰️ Timeframe: 1-Hour Candle
❌ Sell Condition:
Enter SELL 🔴 only if price breaks and CLOSES BELOW the LOW of the 1-hour candle
Confirmation level: Below 4643 ⚠️
💵 SELL BELOW: $4643
🎯 TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: $4630
🎯 Target 2: $4618
🎯 Target 3: $4603
📊 Logic:
Hourly candle close below support
Shows weakness and bearish continuation
Best for breakdown & momentum sellers
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
🛑 Always wait for candle CLOSE confirmation
📉 Use strict stop-loss based on your risk appetite
💼 Trade with proper position sizing
📌 DISCLAIMER ⚠️
🚫 This is NOT financial advice
📚 Shared for educational purposes only
📊 Trading involves high risk, and losses may exceed profits
💰 Please consult your financial advisor before trading
🙌 Trade at your own risk and responsibility
✨ Discipline beats emotion in trading 💵📈
Heikin Ashi Trend Continuation & Weakness Framework📈 Heikin Ashi Trend Continuation & Weakness Framework
This chart demonstrates how Heikin Ashi candles simplify trend analysis by filtering out market noise and emphasizing directional strength, momentum, and trend exhaustion.
Unlike standard candlesticks, Heikin Ashi focuses on average price behavior, making it ideal for:
Trend identification
Staying in strong moves
Avoiding premature reversals
This framework is designed to ride trends, not predict tops or bottoms.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Heikin Ashi Downtrend Rules (Bearish Control)
A strong downtrend is defined by:
Red candles only
Large candle bodies
No upper wicks → strong selling pressure
This structure indicates aggressive sellers with minimal pullback.
As long as these conditions persist, short bias remains dominant.
2️⃣ Trend Weakness Signals (Transition Phase)
Trend weakness appears when:
Candle bodies shrink
Upper and lower wicks start appearing
Heikin Ashi Doji candles form
⚠️ Important:
Heikin Ashi dojis do not signal an instant reversal.
They indicate loss of momentum and balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase often leads to:
Consolidation
Range formation
Or a slow trend transition
3️⃣ Structure Shift & Early Bullish Signs
After bearish momentum fades:
Red candles stop expanding
First green Heikin Ashi candles appear
Bodies are small → confirmation still pending
At this stage:
A potential uptrend is forming, but confirmation is required.
This prevents early long entries during false reversals.
4️⃣ Heikin Ashi Uptrend Rules (Bullish Control)
A confirmed bullish trend requires:
Green candles only
Large candle bodies
No lower wicks → strong buying pressure
This structure signals:
Aggressive buyers
Shallow pullbacks
High probability continuation
As long as these conditions hold, trend-following longs are favored.
5️⃣ Trend Continuation Logic
The strongest Heikin Ashi trends follow this sequence:
One-directional candles
Increasing body size
Minimal or no opposite wicks
This allows traders to:
Stay in winning trades longer
Avoid overtrading
Let trends mature fully
6️⃣ What Breaks the Trend?
A Heikin Ashi trend weakens when:
Opposite-colored candles appear
Wicks form against the trend
Candle bodies consistently shrink
Only multiple confirmations should be used to assume a trend change — not a single candle.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → NASDAQ:NVDA
Timeframe → 1D
This chart highlights:
Clean bearish phase using red HA candles
Momentum loss via doji candles
Transition into bullish structure
Confirmed uptrend with green candles & no lower wicks
Expected Sequence:
trend → momentum loss → transition → confirmation → continuation
Heikin Ashi excels at trend clarity, not precision entries.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📘 How to Use Heikin Ashi Effectively
🔹 Trend-Following Use
Trade only in the direction of candle color
Stay in trades until opposite structure appears
Ignore small pullbacks during strong trends
🔹 Risk Management Tip
Use normal candles for exact entries if needed
Use Heikin Ashi for trend bias and holding trades
🔹 Common Mistake
❌ Treating doji candles as reversal signals
✅ Treating them as trend weakness alerts
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only
🙅 Not SEBI registered
❌ Not financial or investment advice
AUDUSD LONG SETUP — Bullish Reversal from DemandAUDUSD has tapped into a strong demand zone aligned perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, showing signs of potential bullish reversal. Price swept the previous intraday liquidity and reacted strongly, indicating buyers are stepping in.
This confluence makes this area a high-probability long setup.
Description
Price dropped into a well-defined demand zone around 0.66720–0.66650, which overlaps with the ascending trendline support drawn from previous higher lows. The sweep of liquidity below the zone suggests a fakeout and accumulation, increasing the probability of a bullish move.
If price maintains above the zone and starts forming bullish structure, we can expect a continuation towards the previous swing highs.
📝 Trade Plan (Suggestive)
Entry: 0.66798 (within demand zone)
Stop Loss: Below zone at 0.662
Take Profit 1: 0.67100 (previous structure high)
Take Profit 2: 0.67320 (premium zone)
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
🔍 Reasons to Take This Trade
✔ Demand Zone Reaction
✔ Trendline Confluence
✔ Liquidity Sweep Below Zone
✔ Strong Wick Rejection Showing Buyers
✔ Price in Discount (Buy-side value area)
Disclaimer: for educational purpose
A buying OpportunityElliott- the c wave of the correction is likely over. The current zone also has the iv wave of 3. This is the natural support zone for corrections.
Fibs- the fib confluence at 10600 becomes a high prob reversal zone.
MA- the faster MA crossing the fib confluence at 10600 makes the zones a strong support zone.
Conclusion - we will have to wait for some more time for confirmation of the reversal. To me this is a high prob reversal zone. The 5th wave will have a minimum tgt of 20K which is the end of the 3rd wave.
Chapter 17 — Stop-Loss RespectWhy SL mistakes are discipline failures, not technical errors.
( ETHUSD 1H chart attached)
Most traders think stop-loss problems are “technical”:
“My SL was too tight.”
“Wick hunted me.”
“Spread took me out.”
“The market is manipulated.”
That story feels logical. But it’s rarely the real cause.
The real cause is almost always the same:
Stop-loss mistakes are permission failures — not chart failures.
Because a stop is not a number.
A stop is a commitment to invalidation.
If your stop is not respected, it means you didn’t respect one of these:
Structure (your idea got invalidated)
Risk budget (you sized wrong)
Regime (liquidity/volatility wasn’t tradable)
Discipline (you edited the rules mid-trade)
1) What a stop-loss is supposed to represent
A proper SL is placed at the point where your trade idea becomes false.
Not where it “hurts less.”
Not where you “hope it won’t go.”
Not where you can “avoid getting stopped.”
SL = Invalidation.
If you don’t define invalidation clearly before entry, you are not trading—
you are negotiating with the market.
2) The 4 stop-loss sins (that blow accounts)
(A) Moving the stop because of emotion
This is the most expensive habit in trading.
It converts a controlled loss into an uncontrolled loss.
(B) “Let me give it some room” without reducing size
If you widen SL but keep the same position size, you are increasing risk without permission.
(C) Entering without a stop plan
No invalidation = no trade.
That’s not harsh. That’s professional.
(D) Re-entering immediately after SL without regime reset
This is the revenge loop.
A second entry without context change is usually an emotional trade wearing a technical mask.
3) What the attached MARAL chart is teaching (ETHUSD 1H)
This chart is a clean example of why SL respect is an execution skill.
On the boards, the market was not “quietly supportive”:
ECI score shows “No-Trade” (low execution confidence)
Liquidity Context shows LOW (thin conditions amplify slippage and wicks)
MTF status shows MIXED (conflict risk increases)
Management Desk shows:
Exit Pressure: HIGH
Risk State: OVEREXTENDED
Trade Status: WEAK
Action State: EXIT
Then the market printed a sharp downside displacement.
This is the point:
When the framework is already broadcasting exit / weak / low-liquidity / no-trade, any trader who “widens SL” or “hopes” is not making a technical decision.
They are breaking discipline.
4) MARAL stop-loss protocol (permission-based)
Pre-Entry (before you click)
You must answer all three:
Where is my invalidation? (structure level)
What is my risk if invalidated? (fixed % / fixed R)
Is the regime tradable? (liquidity + volatility + MTF alignment)
If any one is unclear → No permission.
Post-Entry (after you’re in)
You don’t “manage feelings.”
You manage state.
When MARAL flips to:
Exit Pressure: High
Risk State: High / Overextended
Action State: EXIT
ECI: No-Trade / confidence collapse
Your job is not to debate.
Your job is to execute the plan.
A stop is not a suggestion.
It’s a contract.
5) The professional mindset shift
A stopped trade is not a failure.
A stop violation is the failure.
Because:
A stop preserves capital.
Capital preserves opportunity.
Opportunity is what pays you.
If you can’t respect SL, you don’t have a strategy problem.
You have a permission problem.
Closing
The market doesn’t punish traders for being wrong.
It punishes traders for refusing to be wrong.
Respecting the stop is respecting reality.
That is the first layer of execution intelligence.
(Educational only. Not signals. Not financial advice.)
#Trading #RiskManagement #StopLoss #TradingPsychology #Execution #MarketStructure #Discipline #MARAL #CryptoTrading #ETHUSD
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 20-Jan📘 NIFTY Trading Plan – 20 Jan 2026
Timeframe: 15-minute
Gap Criteria Considered: 100+ points
Market Structure: Short-term corrective phase after rejection from upper range, base formation near intraday support
🔼 SCENARIO 1: GAP UP OPENING (100+ points) 🚀
If NIFTY opens above 25,667, it signals bullish intent with short-covering momentum.
Immediate resistance zone lies at 25,667 – 25,682 (Opening / Last Resistance).
Sustained price acceptance above 25,682 on a 15-min close can trigger upside continuation.
Upside targets to watch:
• 25,740
• 25,791
Expect minor pullbacks near resistance; fresh longs only on pullback + hold above broken levels.
Avoid chasing gap-up candles without retest confirmation.
📌 Options Strategy (Gap Up):
• Bull Call Spread (ATM Buy + OTM Sell)
• Avoid naked CE buying near resistance
• Trail profits aggressively as volatility expands 📈
➡️ SCENARIO 2: FLAT / RANGE OPENING ⚖️
If NIFTY opens within 25,529 – 25,568, market enters a balance / no-trade zone.
This zone acts as Opening Support Zone for flat markets.
Expect whipsaws and fake breakouts initially.
Upside trade activates only above 25,682.
Downside pressure increases below 25,529.
Best environment for patience and structure-based entries.
📌 Options Strategy (Flat Market):
• Short Strangle / Iron Condor (only for experienced traders)
• Focus on theta decay ⏳
• Keep strict SL on breakout from range
🔽 SCENARIO 3: GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ points) 📉
If NIFTY opens below 25,529, bears gain control early.
First support zone is 25,422 – 25,364 (Intraday Demand Zone).
Expect a technical bounce, but trend remains weak below resistance.
Breakdown below 25,364 can open deeper downside.
Avoid bottom fishing until strong bullish reversal candle appears.
📌 Options Strategy (Gap Down):
• Bear Put Spread preferred
• Avoid aggressive PE selling in trending markets
• Quick scalps only, book fast 📉
🧠 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Expiry week = faster premium decay & sharp moves.
Prefer spreads over naked option buying.
No revenge trading after SL hits.
Always wait for 15-min structure confirmation before entry.
📌 Summary & Conclusion ✨
NIFTY is currently trading near a short-term balance zone.
📍 25,529 – 25,568 is the key decision-making area.
📍 Sustained move above 25,682 may revive bullish momentum.
📍 Below 25,529, downside risk increases sharply toward 25,422.
Trade light, respect levels, and let price confirm direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets are uncertain, and I can be wrong.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Hidden Channels & Fib Golden Zone : Beauty of Price ActionObservational Post only Showcasing how price action works using historical price points only
Observe how price elegantly respects this counter trendline on the weekly chart (red line), forging consistent lower highs through precise rejections. A subtle parallel channel lurks beneath, acting as a hidden guardian. Channels like these shield against fakeouts, confirming pure breakouts only when breached alongside key lines.
Shifting to the monthly view, the Fib retracement from swing low to high highlights the golden zone (50 to 61%, white shaded), a magnet for retracements where price often pauses or reverses with stunning symmetry.
This interplay reveals price action's beauty: layers of structure working in harmony, rewarding patient observers.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, showcasing historical price action observations. Not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
Bccl ipo day high 45 is next level of rally Today bccl made a debut and gave nearabout 90-100% of returns to there lucky investors.
Stock price made a high of 45 and then shown profit booking towards 40 rs level.
Now 45 is a good resistance, once that is taken out we may see more upside.
But looking at today's move after listing more profit booking and consolidation is anticipated.
Also looking at fundamentals stock is now trading near to 8-9 pe multiple which is close to it's parent coal India so doubling and all is not expected.
#BCCL
RELIANCE may head for 1111 #RELIANCE is forming a NEAT 3-3-5 FLAT and should head for 1111. Anybody in EW kindly study and share views. In simple terms if you see the two DTF and WTF charts , the stock is forming a 3-3-5 FLAT correction STARTING 12 July 2024 where sub wave -a has three sub waves culminating at 1114 on 07 Apr 2025 and sub sub -c of this wave is ending as a 5 wave Ending Diagonal. Then we have sub wave-b going up in three sub waves again culminating at 1611 high on 03 Jan 2026. Now I am looking for sub wave -c going deep down to 1111 in five sub waves 1-2-3-4-5 as I have shown in the DTF Chart. ANALYSIS INVALIDATION 1611 ( or even 1575 may be good enough for invalidation). THIS DTF CHART ( Daily Time Frame).Lets C
REVERSAL tomorrow!??As we can see despite the weakness NIFTY managed to hold itself above our demand zone and managed to recover substantially and going by our analysis we can expect NIFTY to remain bullish until and unless it breaks below 25500 and sustains which is both a psychological and important demand zone. Hence until and unless NIFTY breaks below 25500 every dip can be bought for 26000, 26200 respectively so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
“Liquidity Grab → Pivot Support Holds → Next Bullish Leg Loading🔍 Market Structure & Key Observations
Overall market structure remains bullish with clear higher highs & higher lows ✔️
Price is respecting the upward trendline, confirming ongoing bullish momentum 📈
The recent sharp drop was a liquidity sweep into the Pivot Point / Demand zone, followed by a strong bullish reaction → Smart Money accumulation 💼💰
Multiple POI (Point of Interest) reactions below show buyers are active on dips
Current consolidation above the Pivot Point zone suggests preparation for the next impulsive move up, not distribution
🎯 Suitable Target Zones (High Probability)
🎯 Primary Target (TP1)
➤ 4,615 – 4,625 🎯
Prior resistance / range high
Liquidity resting above recent consolidation highs
Most realistic short-term objective
🚀 Extended Target (TP2)
➤ 4,650 – 4,670 🚀💸
Measured move from the last bullish impulse
Upper expansion of the ascending structure
Valid if bullish momentum accelerates
📌 Optional BUY Trade Idea (Trend-Following)
🟢 Buy Zone (on pullback):
➤ 4,560 – 4,580
(confluence of Pivot Point + trendline support)
❌ Stop-Loss (invalidation):
➤ Below 4,540
🎯 Take Profit:
TP1: 4,620 🎯
TP2: 4,660 🚀
📊 Risk–Reward: approx. 1:2.5 – 1:3+
🧭 Market Outlook Summary
Factor Bias
Trend Bullish 📈
Momentum Buyers in control 💪
Structure Continuation pattern ✅
Liquidity Upside targets active 💧
$ONDO ALTSEASON SETUP | 5,000%+ EXPANSION IF MACRO DEMAND HOLDSONDO is currently trading at a major weekly demand zone after an ~85% drawdown from ATH. While price action remains weak, on-chain data suggests silent accumulation, indicating potential smart money positioning ahead of the next cycle.
Market Structure (Weekly)
Bearish divergence confirmed at $2.14, marking the macro top
Breakdown + retest of the $0.73–$0.80 support zone → now acting as resistance
Price has entered a high-timeframe demand zone between $0.30–$0.20
A final retracement into bullish order flow ($0.32–$0.20) remains possible
Bullish bias remains valid above $0.20 (weekly close)
On-Chain Context (Jan 18, 2026 – 1.94B ONDO Unlock):
Whale spot orders dominating market activity
$0.35–$0.40 acting as an accumulation range
90D CVD trending higher → buy pressure outweighs sell pressure
Taker-buy dominance → aggressive smart money absorption
This behavior suggests unlock supply is being absorbed, not distributed.
Upside Projections (HTF Expansion)
Targets: $0.70 → $1.00 → $2.00 → $5.00–$10.00
Structure supports a potential RWA-led expansion into 2026 if demand holds
Key Level to Watch
Invalidation: Weekly close below $0.20
This $0.32–$0.20 zone may be the final bullish base for ONDO ahead of the next alt-season cycle
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. DYOR.
Mirrored Repetition of Structure Possible?In the world of trading, "mirrored repetition of structure" is a core concept used by technical analysts to find order in the chaotic movement of prices. It is based on the idea that market psychology is cyclical—fear and greed repeat in predictable geometric shapes.Depending on how you view the market, this mirroring can be categorized into three main types:1. Mirror Levels (Support & Resistance Flip)This is the most common form of "mirrored structure." A price level that once acted as a ceiling (Resistance) is broken and then becomes the new floor (Support).The Logic: When price returns to a previous peak from above, traders who "missed out" on the original move now see it as a bargain, mirroring the previous rejection behavior but in the opposite direction.The Pattern: Often visualized as a "Break and Retest."2. Geometric Symmetry (Harmonic & Chart Patterns)Traders look for "Symmetrical Repetition" where the second half of a pattern mirrors the first.Double Tops/Bottoms: An "M" or "W" shape where the second peak/trough mirrors the first, indicating a structural rejection.ABCD Patterns: The market moves in a specific leg ($A$ to $B$), retraces ($B$ to $C$), and then repeats the first move almost exactly ($C$ to $D$). This is a literal repetition of structural distance and time.Symmetrical Triangles: Price is squeezed between two mirroring trend lines, indicating a "coil" where buyers and sellers are reaching a point of perfect, repeated equilibrium before a breakout.3. Fractal Structure (Self-Similarity)This is the most advanced form of mirrored repetition. In Fractal Theory (popularized by Benoit Mandelbrot), the structure of the market is mirrored across different timeframes.The Concept: A 5-minute chart might show a specific zigzag pattern that is a miniature version of a pattern currently forming on the Daily chart.Mirroring Scales: The "structure" repeats itself, meaning the way the market moves over 1 hour is often a mirrored or scaled-down version of how it moves over 1 year.
Reliance Industries Limited (RIL)Reliance is looking Good near 1380-1400 Rs support zone. RSI is also at oversold zone (26.70). Considering it for short term move with upside potential of 8 - 11 %.
1560 - 1575 Rs is a strong supply zone for it.
Target 1 : 1500-1510 RS
Target 2 : 1550 - 1560 Rs
Disclaimer : The Above shared Content is for information and education purposes only and should not be treated as investment or trading advice. Im not SEBI registered, Contact your financial advisor before any investment.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | January 18, 2026
Momentum
Weekly (W1)
– Weekly momentum is currently preparing to move into the oversold zone. It is highly likely that when the Asian session opens tomorrow, W1 momentum will officially enter the oversold area.
– However, we are observing a divergence: price continues to rise while momentum has already turned downward. This indicates that price may still maintain its upward movement, but the strength of the move is weakening.
Daily (D1)
– Daily momentum is currently declining.
– With this condition, on the daily timeframe price is likely to continue a corrective move or move sideways in the near term.
H4
– H4 momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal.
– Therefore, when the Asian session opens, there is a high probability of a bullish move during the next trading day.
Elliott Wave Structure
Weekly (W1)
– On the weekly timeframe, price is still developing within orange wave 5.
– Inside orange wave 5, we can clearly identify a 12345 impulsive structure in blue, and price is currently located in blue wave 5.
– From experience, when price is near the peak of a wave on the daily timeframe, market behavior often becomes volatile with strong and irregular price swings.
→ Therefore, extra caution is required at this stage.
Daily (D1)
– By drawing a price channel for the blue 12345 structure, we can see that price has already reached the upper boundary of the channel.
– This suggests that price may be approaching the target zone of blue wave 5.
– Within blue wave 5, a smaller 12345 structure in yellow is forming.
→ To analyze this structure in more detail, we move down to the H4 timeframe.
H4
– On the H4 timeframe, price is likely forming a yellow 12345 structure, with price currently positioned in yellow wave 4.
– After drawing a channel for the yellow 5-wave structure, price is now trading near the lower boundary of this channel.
– Combined with the fact that H4 momentum is preparing to reverse upward, and the appearance of a strong H4 pin-bar / long lower wick candle, the probability is high that price will produce a bullish leg to complete yellow wave 5.
Price Targets & Trading Perspective
– The projected targets for yellow wave 5 are located at 4661 and 4737.
– These levels are derived from Fibonacci projections. When price reaches these zones, we will combine Fibonacci targets with the upper price channel to confirm where wave 5 is truly completed.
– The current price zone around 4581 is considered a very good Buy area.
– However, at this stage, risk management must be extremely strict, as price behavior near wave tops is often highly volatile before the final target is completed.
Final Notes
– Other potential price zones require additional confirmation after the market opens.
– I will update these levels later once clearer price action develops for your reference.
KNRCON | Monthly | Bullish Harmonic Setup (SMC Confluence)This chart highlights a completed Bullish Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the Monthly timeframe, indicating a potential long-term trend reversal after an extended decline.
🔷 Pattern Structure:
XA → AB → BC → CD respected harmonic Fibonacci relationships
D point completed near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
Strong confluence with deep discount zone & historical demand
📐 Key Fibonacci Observations:
AB ≈ 0.546 retracement of XA
BC extension around 1.41–1.50
CD completion near 0.886–0.90 retracement of XA, aligning with strong support
📈 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish reversal / accumulation phase
Entry zone: Near PRZ (D zone)
Invalidation: Below harmonic completion low
Upside targets:
First: Structure resistance
Extended: Prior supply zone / 1.272–1.618 extensions
🧠 SMC Logic Applied: Price has delivered liquidity to the downside and reached a higher-timeframe discount zone, suggesting smart money accumulation rather than continuation selling.
⚠ Note: This is a higher-timeframe idea. Lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS / CHoCH) is recommended for precise entries.
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Nifty: Fear is there, but price is still fightingToday’s daily candle is clearly saying one thing. The market is not in surrender mode yet.
Yes, the index closed in red, but the structure is still intact.
The daily candle has a small body.
Selling came on the downside, but the close was not near the lows.
That tells us there is pressure, not panic.
Sentiment is weak, confidence is low, and retail participants are cautious.
Usually, in such conditions, prices fall fast.
But that is not happening here.
This is the most important clue.
Look at the price structure.
NSE:NIFTY has been pulling back from higher levels for the last few sessions,
but it has not given a clear breakdown yet.
Demand is repeatedly showing up near the 25500–25480 zone.
Intraday charts confirm this.
Down moves are not impulsive.
After every sell-off, price goes flat and gets absorbed.
So fear exists, but supply is not aggressive.
Sector behaviour supports the same story.
The broader market is weak, high beta stocks are under pressure.
But capital is not fully exiting the market.
FMCG and Pharma are showing relatively better strength.
This is a classic defensive rotation.
The market is not running away from risk, it is just shifting risk.
This does not mean a rally is about to start.
It simply means the market has not entered panic distribution.
For tomorrow, the structure-based scenarios are simple.
If the index holds above the 25500 zone
and selling remains shallow,
this is likely a time correction, not a crash.
If another dip comes due to fear
and that dip is again quickly absorbed,
it will point toward stronger base formation.
Real risk starts only if
price sustains below 25450 with heavy volume.
That behaviour is not visible yet.
Retailers are afraid.
Price is neutral to defensive.
Sector rotation is defensive.
All three signals are aligned.
The market is scared, but not broken.
In such phases, there is no need to be a hero.
Just stay disciplined and observe.
The market is speaking, not shouting.
Only those who listen survive.
That’s all for today.
Keep reading structure, stay away from emotions.
Tomorrow, the market will again show the next move on its own.
BANK NIFTY - Technical Analysis Bank Nifty is showing an interesting setup on the weekly chart.
After breaking out above its previous all-time high, the index has started contracting in a tight range, indicating healthy consolidation.
On the daily timeframe, it continues to take support near the 9 EMA, and during minor dips, it has also reversed from the 20 EMA, reflecting strong buying interest.
If Bank Nifty breaks out of this range with momentum, the upside potential remains open, sky’s the limit.
In case of a pullback, watch these key support zones:
🟩 57,500 – first immediate support
🟩 57,160 – secondary support
🟩 56,600 – third support
🟩 56,000 – major support zone if deeper retracement occurs
Overall market structure is Bullish, and a bit more consolidation or a short pullback will only strengthen the base for a sustained breakout.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.






















