Weekly and Monthly Timeframes in TradingFramework for Consistent Market Analysis
In trading, timeframes define how a trader views the market, plans entries and exits, and manages risk. Among the most important higher timeframes are weekly and monthly charts, which are widely used by professional traders, investors, and institutions. While intraday and daily charts focus on short-term price fluctuations, weekly and monthly timeframes provide a broader market perspective, helping traders align their strategies with dominant trends, major support and resistance levels, and long-term market structure. Understanding how to use weekly and monthly timeframes effectively can significantly improve decision-making, reduce noise, and enhance consistency in trading performance.
Understanding the Weekly Timeframe in Trading
The weekly timeframe represents price movement over one full trading week, where each candlestick or bar reflects the open, high, low, and close of that week. This timeframe is particularly useful for swing traders and positional traders who aim to capture medium-term price movements lasting several weeks to a few months.
One of the primary advantages of the weekly timeframe is its ability to filter out daily volatility. Markets often experience sharp intraday or daily fluctuations driven by news, emotions, or short-term speculation. Weekly charts smooth these movements and highlight the true direction of the trend. When a stock consistently forms higher highs and higher lows on a weekly chart, it indicates strong bullish momentum, even if daily charts show temporary pullbacks.
Weekly charts are also highly effective for identifying key support and resistance levels. Levels formed on a weekly basis are generally stronger and more reliable than those on lower timeframes. A breakout above a weekly resistance or a breakdown below weekly support often signals a significant shift in market sentiment. Many institutional participants make decisions based on weekly levels, which is why price reactions around these zones tend to be powerful.
Another critical use of the weekly timeframe is trend confirmation. Traders often combine weekly charts with daily charts to ensure alignment. For example, if the weekly trend is bullish, traders may look for buying opportunities on daily pullbacks rather than taking counter-trend trades. This alignment improves probability and reduces the risk of trading against the dominant market force.
From a risk management perspective, weekly timeframes allow for wider stop-loss placements based on meaningful market structure rather than short-term noise. Although this may require smaller position sizes, it often results in more stable and disciplined trades with higher reward-to-risk potential.
Understanding the Monthly Timeframe in Trading
The monthly timeframe is the highest commonly used timeframe in technical analysis, where each candle represents one full month of price action. Monthly charts are primarily used by long-term investors, positional traders, and institutions to understand the overall market cycle and structural trend.
The biggest strength of the monthly timeframe lies in its ability to reveal the long-term trend and market phases. Whether a stock or index is in accumulation, markup, distribution, or decline becomes much clearer when viewed on a monthly chart. This helps traders avoid emotionally driven decisions and stay focused on the bigger picture.
Monthly charts are crucial for identifying major historical support and resistance zones. Levels formed over several months or years carry immense importance. When price approaches a long-standing monthly resistance, it often faces strong selling pressure. Conversely, monthly support zones tend to attract long-term buyers and institutions, making them ideal areas for strategic accumulation.
Another important application of the monthly timeframe is trend validation across market cycles. A bullish monthly structure indicates that the asset is suitable for long-term holding or buy-on-dips strategies. If the monthly trend turns bearish, traders may reduce exposure, shift to defensive strategies, or look for short-selling opportunities in relevant markets.
Monthly charts also help in understanding macro influences, such as interest rate cycles, economic growth phases, and sectoral rotations. Since these factors evolve over long periods, their impact is best observed on monthly timeframes rather than short-term charts.
Weekly vs Monthly Timeframes: Key Differences
While both weekly and monthly timeframes belong to higher timeframe analysis, they serve different purposes. The weekly timeframe is more action-oriented, helping traders fine-tune entries, exits, and trade management within the broader trend. The monthly timeframe, on the other hand, is more strategic, guiding long-term bias and portfolio positioning.
Weekly charts react faster to changes in trend compared to monthly charts, making them suitable for swing and positional trades. Monthly charts move slowly but offer stronger signals with higher reliability. A change in monthly trend is rare, but when it happens, it often marks a major shift in market dynamics.
Combining Weekly and Monthly Timeframes Effectively
Professional traders often use a top-down approach, starting with the monthly timeframe, then moving to the weekly, and finally to the daily or intraday charts. The monthly chart defines the long-term bias—bullish, bearish, or sideways. The weekly chart refines this bias by identifying actionable levels and trend strength.
For example, if the monthly trend is bullish and price is above key monthly support, traders may look for weekly pullbacks or consolidations as buying opportunities. If both monthly and weekly trends align, the probability of success increases significantly.
This multi-timeframe alignment also helps traders avoid overtrading. Instead of reacting to every minor price movement, traders focus only on setups that align with higher timeframe structure, leading to more disciplined and selective trading behavior.
Risk Management and Psychology in Higher Timeframes
Trading based on weekly and monthly timeframes naturally improves trading psychology. Since these timeframes reduce market noise, traders experience fewer emotional swings caused by small price fluctuations. Decisions become more logical, patient, and rule-based.
Risk management also becomes more structured. Stops and targets are based on well-defined levels rather than arbitrary price points. Although trades may take longer to play out, they often offer better reward-to-risk ratios and lower stress.
Conclusion
Weekly and monthly timeframes are essential tools for traders seeking consistency, clarity, and long-term success. The weekly timeframe provides a balanced view between responsiveness and reliability, making it ideal for swing and positional trading. The monthly timeframe offers a macro-level perspective, helping traders understand market cycles, structural trends, and long-term opportunities.
When used together, weekly and monthly analysis forms a powerful framework that aligns trading decisions with dominant market forces. By focusing on higher timeframes, traders can reduce noise, improve discipline, and make more informed decisions—key ingredients for sustainable profitability in the trading markets.
Trend Analysis
NIFTY Option Strategies: Guidence for Indian Market Traders1. Understanding NIFTY Options
NIFTY options are derivative contracts based on the NIFTY 50 index. A Call option (CE) gives the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy NIFTY at a specific strike price before expiry, while a Put option (PE) gives the right to sell. Options expire weekly (every Thursday) and monthly (last Thursday of the month).
Key elements of NIFTY options include:
Strike Price – The price at which NIFTY can be bought or sold
Premium – The cost paid by the option buyer
Expiry – The date on which the contract expires
Lot Size – Fixed quantity (currently 50 units, subject to change)
Options strategies combine one or more option contracts (calls and/or puts) to achieve specific market objectives.
2. Classification of NIFTY Option Strategies
NIFTY option strategies are broadly classified based on market view:
Bullish strategies – Expecting market to rise
Bearish strategies – Expecting market to fall
Neutral (sideways) strategies – Expecting low volatility
Volatility-based strategies – Expecting sharp movement in either direction
Hedging strategies – Protecting existing positions
Each strategy suits different risk appetites and experience levels.
3. Bullish NIFTY Option Strategies
Bullish strategies are used when traders expect NIFTY to move upward.
a) Long Call Strategy
This is the simplest bullish strategy. A trader buys a NIFTY Call option. Profit potential is unlimited, while the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. This strategy works best when the market rises sharply before expiry.
b) Bull Call Spread
This involves buying a Call option at a lower strike and selling another Call at a higher strike. It reduces cost and risk but also caps profit. This strategy is suitable when moderate upside is expected.
Bullish strategies are preferred during strong market trends supported by positive economic data, earnings growth, or global cues.
4. Bearish NIFTY Option Strategies
Bearish strategies are used when traders expect NIFTY to decline.
a) Long Put Strategy
Here, a trader buys a Put option expecting the market to fall. Loss is limited to the premium, and profit potential increases as the market falls. It is commonly used during weak market sentiment or negative news.
b) Bear Put Spread
This strategy involves buying a higher strike Put and selling a lower strike Put. It reduces premium cost but limits maximum profit. It is effective when a controlled downside move is expected.
Bearish strategies are especially useful during interest rate hikes, weak global markets, or political and economic uncertainty.
5. Neutral (Sideways Market) NIFTY Strategies
When NIFTY is expected to trade in a range, neutral strategies are preferred.
a) Short Straddle
A trader sells both a Call and a Put at the same strike price (usually ATM). This strategy profits from time decay if the market remains within a narrow range. However, risk is unlimited, making it suitable only for experienced traders.
b) Short Strangle
In this strategy, a trader sells an OTM Call and an OTM Put. Risk is lower than a straddle, but profits are also limited. It works well in low-volatility environments.
Neutral strategies rely heavily on theta decay, where option premiums lose value as expiry approaches.
6. Volatility-Based NIFTY Option Strategies
These strategies are used when traders expect sharp movement but are unsure of direction.
a) Long Straddle
The trader buys both a Call and a Put at the same strike. Profit occurs if NIFTY moves sharply in either direction. Loss is limited to total premium paid. This strategy is common before major events like RBI policy announcements or Union Budget.
b) Long Strangle
Here, OTM Call and Put options are bought. The cost is lower than a straddle, but a larger move is needed to become profitable.
Volatility strategies are ideal when implied volatility is low and expected to increase.
7. Hedging Strategies Using NIFTY Options
Hedging is a critical use of NIFTY options, especially for investors holding large equity portfolios.
Protective Put Strategy
An investor buys a Put option against an existing long equity portfolio. If the market falls, losses in stocks are offset by gains in the Put option. This acts like insurance and is widely used by institutional investors.
Hedging strategies help reduce emotional trading and protect capital during uncertain markets.
8. Importance of Greeks in NIFTY Option Strategies
Option Greeks play a vital role in strategy selection:
Delta – Measures price sensitivity to NIFTY movement
Theta – Measures time decay (very important for sellers)
Vega – Measures sensitivity to volatility changes
Gamma – Measures delta change
Understanding Greeks helps traders manage risk more effectively and choose strategies aligned with market conditions.
9. Risk Management in NIFTY Options
Risk management is essential for long-term success in options trading:
Always define maximum loss before entering a trade
Use spread strategies to control risk
Avoid over-leveraging
Stick to stop-loss rules
Trade with a clear plan and discipline
Options can generate consistent income, but improper risk control can lead to rapid losses.
10. Who Should Trade NIFTY Option Strategies?
Beginners should start with simple strategies like Long Call, Long Put, or basic spreads
Intermediate traders can explore strangles, straddles, and directional spreads
Advanced traders can use complex multi-leg strategies and volatility trading
Paper trading and back-testing strategies before deploying real capital is highly recommended.
Conclusion
NIFTY option strategies offer powerful tools to trade, hedge, and generate income in the Indian stock market. The key to success lies in understanding market direction, volatility, option pricing, and risk management. There is no single “best” strategy; the right approach depends on market conditions, capital size, and trader psychology. With disciplined execution, proper strategy selection, and continuous learning, NIFTY options can become a valuable component of a trader’s overall market approach.
Option Trading vs. Stock TradingUnderstanding Stock Trading
Stock trading involves buying and selling shares of publicly listed companies. When an investor buys a stock, they gain partial ownership in the company along with associated rights such as voting and dividends (if declared). Stock trading can be done for short-term gains (intraday, swing trading) or long-term wealth creation (investing).
The primary driver of stock prices is the company’s fundamentals—earnings, growth prospects, management quality, and industry trends—along with broader market sentiment and macroeconomic factors. Profit in stock trading is typically generated by buying low and selling high, or through dividends in the case of long-term investments.
One of the major advantages of stock trading is its simplicity and transparency. The maximum loss is limited to the invested amount, and there is no expiry date on shares. This makes stock trading relatively easier to understand for beginners. However, returns may be slower compared to leveraged instruments, and capital requirements can be higher if one wants to build a diversified portfolio.
Understanding Option Trading
Option trading involves trading derivative contracts whose value is derived from an underlying asset such as a stock or index. An option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) the underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on a specified expiry date.
Options are time-bound instruments and include additional factors like time decay (theta), volatility (vega), and price sensitivity (delta, gamma). Traders can profit not only from price movement but also from changes in volatility and time decay, making options far more versatile than stocks.
Option trading allows strategies that can generate profits in rising, falling, or even sideways markets. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of higher complexity and risk. While option buyers have limited risk (premium paid), option sellers can face substantial or even unlimited losses if risk management is poor.
Risk and Reward Comparison
Stock trading generally carries lower risk compared to option trading. Since stocks do not expire, investors can hold positions through market cycles and wait for recovery. Losses are unrealized until the stock is sold, giving investors psychological and strategic flexibility.
Option trading, on the other hand, is a high-risk, high-reward activity. The leverage involved allows traders to control large positions with relatively small capital, amplifying both profits and losses. Time decay works against option buyers, meaning the value of options erodes as expiry approaches if the expected move does not happen quickly.
For disciplined and experienced traders, options can be used to hedge risk or generate consistent income. For inexperienced traders, however, options can lead to rapid capital erosion.
Capital Requirements
Stock trading typically requires higher capital to achieve meaningful returns, especially in high-priced stocks. However, margin trading in stocks is also available, though regulated and limited.
Option trading requires lower upfront capital due to leverage. A trader can participate in expensive stocks or indices with a small premium amount. This low entry barrier attracts many retail traders, but it also increases the likelihood of overtrading and excessive risk-taking.
Time Horizon and Flexibility
Stock trading suits both long-term investors and short-term traders. Investors can hold stocks for years, benefiting from compounding, dividends, and business growth. Swing and positional traders can also use stocks effectively without worrying about expiry.
Option trading is inherently short-term due to fixed expiries. Traders must be precise about timing, direction, and volatility. This makes options more suitable for active traders who can monitor markets closely and respond quickly to changing conditions.
Strategy and Skill Requirement
Stock trading strategies often revolve around fundamental analysis, technical analysis, or a combination of both. While skill is required, the learning curve is relatively gradual.
Option trading demands advanced knowledge of option Greeks, volatility analysis, probability, and risk management. Strategies such as spreads, straddles, strangles, and iron condors require careful planning and execution. Emotional discipline is also critical, as rapid profit and loss fluctuations are common.
Income Generation and Hedging
Stock trading primarily generates income through capital appreciation and dividends. It is less effective for regular income unless large capital is deployed.
Option trading excels in income generation, particularly through option selling strategies like covered calls and cash-secured puts. Options are also powerful hedging tools, allowing investors to protect stock portfolios against adverse market moves.
Psychological Impact
Stock trading is generally less stressful, especially for long-term investors. Market volatility affects portfolio value, but the absence of expiry reduces urgency.
Option trading is psychologically demanding. Rapid price changes, expiry pressure, and leveraged exposure can lead to emotional decision-making. Without discipline, traders may overtrade or chase losses.
Regulatory and Practical Considerations
In markets like India, option trading requires additional approvals and margin compliance. Regulatory frameworks are stricter due to higher risk. Transaction costs, taxes, and slippage can also significantly impact option trading profitability.
Stock trading regulations are comparatively straightforward, making it more accessible for retail participants.
Conclusion
Both stock trading and option trading have their own advantages and limitations. Stock trading is ideal for beginners, conservative traders, and long-term wealth creators who value stability and gradual growth. Option trading is better suited for experienced traders seeking leverage, income generation, and advanced risk management tools.
The choice between option trading and stock trading should depend on an individual’s risk appetite, capital availability, time commitment, and level of expertise. Importantly, these two approaches are not mutually exclusive. Many successful market participants use stocks for core investments and options for hedging or tactical opportunities. When used wisely and with discipline, both can play a valuable role in a well-rounded trading and investment strategy.
Policy Matters in Trading DevelopmentBuilding a Stable, Transparent, and Growth-Oriented Market Ecosystem
Trading development does not happen in isolation. It is deeply influenced by government policies, regulatory frameworks, monetary decisions, and institutional rules that shape how markets function. Policies act as the backbone of trading ecosystems by ensuring fairness, transparency, stability, and long-term growth. Without strong and adaptive policies, trading markets can become vulnerable to manipulation, excessive volatility, and systemic risks. The following discussion explains in detail why policy matters are crucial in trading development and how they impact different dimensions of financial markets.
1. Role of Policy in Market Stability
One of the primary objectives of trading-related policies is maintaining market stability. Financial markets are sensitive to economic shocks, speculative excesses, and global events. Regulatory policies such as circuit breakers, margin requirements, and position limits help prevent panic-driven crashes and extreme volatility. These mechanisms protect both retail and institutional investors from sudden market breakdowns and ensure orderly trading conditions.
Stable markets encourage long-term participation, attract foreign investors, and build confidence in the financial system. Without such policies, markets can experience frequent bubbles and crashes, undermining economic growth.
2. Ensuring Fairness and Transparency
Fair trading practices are the foundation of healthy market development. Policies related to disclosure norms, insider trading restrictions, and market surveillance ensure that all participants operate on a level playing field. Transparent rules require companies to disclose financial results, material events, and governance practices, enabling traders to make informed decisions.
Strong transparency policies reduce information asymmetry, where only a few participants have access to critical information. This builds trust, especially among retail traders, and increases overall market participation.
3. Investor Protection and Confidence
Investor protection policies are essential for sustainable trading development. Regulations governing broker conduct, client fund segregation, grievance redressal mechanisms, and compensation funds protect investors from fraud and misconduct.
When traders feel protected, they are more willing to participate actively in markets. Investor confidence leads to higher liquidity, better price discovery, and deeper markets. In contrast, weak protection policies often result in capital flight and reduced participation.
4. Impact of Monetary Policy on Trading
Monetary policy decisions—such as interest rate changes, liquidity measures, and inflation control—directly influence trading behavior. Lower interest rates generally push investors toward equities and risk assets, while higher rates may shift capital toward fixed-income instruments.
Central bank policies affect currency markets, bond yields, commodity prices, and equity valuations. Traders closely monitor policy statements and economic projections to anticipate market movements. Thus, monetary policy plays a crucial role in shaping trading strategies and asset allocation decisions.
5. Fiscal Policy and Market Development
Fiscal policies, including taxation, government spending, and subsidies, also significantly affect trading development. Changes in capital gains tax, securities transaction tax, or corporate tax rates can alter trading volumes and investment preferences.
Pro-growth fiscal policies often boost corporate earnings expectations, leading to bullish market sentiment. Conversely, restrictive fiscal measures may dampen market activity. Well-designed fiscal policies balance revenue generation with market competitiveness.
6. Regulatory Frameworks and Market Integrity
Strong regulatory institutions are vital for maintaining market integrity. Regulations covering market manipulation, algorithmic trading, derivatives, and high-frequency trading ensure that innovation does not compromise fairness.
As markets evolve with technology, policies must adapt to new trading instruments and platforms. Robust regulatory frameworks help manage risks associated with leverage, complex derivatives, and automated trading systems.
7. Encouraging Innovation and Technological Growth
Policy support is critical for encouraging innovation in trading infrastructure. Regulations that allow electronic trading platforms, fintech participation, and digital settlement systems enhance efficiency and reduce transaction costs.
At the same time, policies must address cybersecurity risks, data privacy, and operational resilience. A balanced policy approach fosters innovation while safeguarding market stability.
8. Role of Policies in Market Liquidity
Liquidity is the lifeblood of trading markets. Policies related to market-making, short-selling, and institutional participation influence liquidity levels. Allowing controlled short-selling, for example, improves price discovery and reduces bid-ask spreads.
Well-designed liquidity policies ensure smooth execution of trades, reduce volatility, and make markets more attractive to global investors.
9. Global Trade and Cross-Border Policies
In an interconnected world, trading development is influenced by international policies and agreements. Foreign investment regulations, capital flow controls, and trade agreements affect cross-border trading activity.
Harmonized global policies improve market access and integration, while protectionist measures can restrict capital flows and increase uncertainty. Traders must account for geopolitical and policy risks in their strategies.
10. Risk Management and Systemic Stability
Policies related to risk management play a crucial role in preventing systemic crises. Capital adequacy norms, stress testing, and exposure limits help financial institutions manage risks effectively.
These policies ensure that failures of individual participants do not escalate into broader market crises. Strong risk management frameworks protect the overall trading ecosystem and the real economy.
11. Development of Derivatives and Advanced Markets
The growth of derivatives markets depends heavily on regulatory clarity. Policies defining contract specifications, margin norms, and settlement mechanisms are essential for safe derivatives trading.
Well-regulated derivatives markets allow traders to hedge risks, improve price discovery, and manage volatility. Poorly regulated derivatives, however, can amplify risks and lead to financial instability.
12. Long-Term Economic Growth and Capital Formation
Trading markets play a vital role in capital formation and economic development. Policies that support efficient capital markets enable companies to raise funds for expansion, innovation, and job creation.
By aligning trading policies with broader economic goals, governments can ensure that financial markets contribute positively to national development rather than becoming purely speculative arenas.
13. Education, Awareness, and Policy Support
Policies promoting financial literacy and trader education are increasingly important. Educated traders make better decisions, reduce herd behavior, and contribute to market stability.
Regulatory bodies often support awareness programs, research initiatives, and training to improve market understanding. This strengthens the overall trading ecosystem.
Conclusion
Policy matters are central to trading development because they shape the environment in which markets operate. Effective policies ensure stability, fairness, transparency, and investor protection while encouraging innovation and growth. Monetary and fiscal policies influence market behavior, regulatory frameworks maintain integrity, and global policies affect cross-border participation.
In a rapidly evolving financial landscape, adaptive and well-balanced policies are essential for sustainable trading development. When policies align with economic objectives and market realities, they create resilient trading systems that support long-term growth, confidence, and prosperity.
NIFTY Weekly – Cup & Handle Structure, Month-end / Year-end ViewOn the weekly timeframe, NIFTY has clearly developed a Cup & Handle structure, formed over a long period — which adds weight and reliability to the pattern.
The cup was formed through a broad, rounded decline and recovery.
This kind of rounded structure shows time-based correction, not panic selling. The market allowed weak hands to exit while stronger hands accumulated quietly.
After returning to the earlier high zone, price did not break out immediately.
Instead, it formed a handle — a shallow, controlled pullback with overlapping candles. This is important because healthy markets cool off near resistance before expanding, rather than exploding blindly.
The handle stayed well above the cup low, showing that sellers were unable to push price meaningfully lower. This reflects acceptance near the highs, not rejection.
The recent weekly candles near the rim show tight ranges and stability, which is typical when the market is deciding acceptance at a major level — especially during month-end and year-end periods.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | December 26, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
D1 (Daily)
Daily momentum is currently preparing for a bearish reversal. There is a high probability that momentum will confirm a downside reversal today or tomorrow. If confirmed, the market is likely to enter a Daily corrective move lasting at least several candles.
H4
H4 momentum remains bullish. Therefore, in the short term, the upward move or sideways consolidation on H4 may persist for approximately one to two more candles before clear signs of weakening appear.
H1
H1 momentum is already turning down, indicating that short-term bearish pressure continues to dominate on the H1 timeframe.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 Structure
The Daily wave structure has not changed significantly. Price remains within wave X of a flat corrective structure inside wave 4 (yellow).
With Daily momentum approaching a bearish reversal, I expect wave X to complete once D1 momentum confirms the reversal.
H4 Structure
Within the blue wave 5, we can observe a complete 5-wave structure in red. Price is currently in the final phase of red wave 5.
Once red wave 5 is completed, this will confirm the completion of purple wave X.
Notably, red wave 5 appears to be extended, and according to Elliott Wave characteristics, the first corrective leg following an extended wave 5 is often sharp and aggressive. Therefore, confirmation from momentum reversal signals will be essential to validate wave completion.
H1 Structure
Inside red wave 5, the H1 timeframe also shows a 5-wave internal structure (black 1–2–3–4–5).
Price has already reached the 4514 target zone, yet at today’s session open, a new high was formed.
When combined with Daily momentum preparing for a bearish reversal, contracting candle ranges, and the fact that price has already met its primary target, I am leaning toward the scenario that black wave 5 is forming a terminal triangle.
At this stage, there is no confirmed terminal triangle yet, so continued observation is required before drawing final conclusions.
3. Volume Profile & Key Price Zones
From the Volume Profile, price is currently trading within a high-liquidity range between 4471 and 4514.
A strong breakout from this zone in either direction will provide important confirmation for the next directional move.
- A daily close below 4471 would strongly suggest that wave 5 has completed, opening the door for a clearer bearish trend.
- As long as price remains inside this range, the market is still in a late-stage consolidation phase.
4. Trading Plan
The market is currently in a holiday period, resulting in low liquidity and unpredictable stop-hunting behavior.
Additionally, the Elliott Wave structures on higher timeframes are still awaiting confirmation. Therefore:
- Focus on short-term trades only, or remain patient and observe
- Avoid large position sizing
- Wait for clear confirmation from momentum and structural breaks
I will update the analysis once clearer signals emerge.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Ascending Triangle Formation on 1HALPH/USDT is currently forming an ascending triangle on the 1H timeframe, a structure that is generally associated with bullish continuation.
Price continues to print higher lows, while repeatedly testing the 0.118–0.120 resistance zone, indicating steady buying pressure and ongoing compression.
A confirmed 1H close above resistance would support a bullish continuation scenario.
The setup remains valid as long as price holds above the rising trendline; a breakdown below it would invalidate the structure and shift focus to lower support levels.
Key levels and invalidation points are clearly marked on the chart.
Waiting for confirmation, but the structure currently favors the upside
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 26/12/2025A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with the index trading around 26,140, indicating continuation of the ongoing range-bound structure. Price action suggests the market is currently oscillating between well-defined support and resistance levels, showing no immediate directional bias. This reflects a cautious tone, where buyers and sellers are evenly placed, and the index is waiting for a decisive breakout to establish momentum.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be the key trigger for bullish continuation. If Nifty manages to hold above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A clean breakout above this resistance zone may attract fresh buying interest and strengthen bullish sentiment.
On the downside, the 26,200–26,180 zone is acting as a short-term rejection area. Failure to reclaim this zone could lead to reversal selling, with downside targets placed at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,050-. However, if the index finds support near 26,050–26,100 and shows strength, intraday long opportunities may emerge toward 26,150–26,250+. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should focus on level-based trades with strict risk management, avoiding aggressive directional bets in a consolidating market.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(26/12/2025)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with the index trading around 59,150, indicating continuation of the same consolidation structure seen over the last few sessions. Price action suggests balanced buying and selling pressure near this zone, reflecting a range-bound and non-directional market at the start. Until Bank Nifty moves out of this range, traders should remain patient and avoid aggressive positions.
On the upside, a sustained move above 59,550 will be the key trigger for bullish momentum. If the index holds above this level, buy-side opportunities can be considered with upside targets placed at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A breakout above this resistance may attract fresh buying and lead to a gradual upside expansion.
On the downside, failure to hold the 59,050–59,000 support zone may increase selling pressure. In such a case, put-buying or short positions can be considered with downside targets at 58,750, 58,650, and 58,550-, where strong support is expected. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should continue to trade levels with strict risk management, focusing on confirmation rather than anticipation.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 26th December 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADE SETUP 📊
⏰ Time Frame: 15-Minute Candle
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
📌 Condition:
👉 Buy only if price breaks and CLOSES above the high of the 15-minute candle
👉 Above Level: 26212
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 26250
🥈 Target 2: 26290
🥉 Target 3: 26340
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 Below the 15-minute candle low or as per your risk management
📈 View: Momentum continuation expected only after a confirmed close above resistance.
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
📌 Condition:
👉 Sell only if price breaks and CLOSES below the low of the 15-minute candle
👉 Below Level: 26096
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 26050
🥈 Target 2: 26010
🥉 Target 3: 25970
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔺 Above the 15-minute candle high or as per your risk management
📉 View: Weakness may continue only after a confirmed breakdown.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES:
✔️ Trade only after candle CLOSE, not on spike
✔️ Follow strict stop loss
✔️ Avoid over-trading
✔️ Market is risky — discipline is key
🚨 DISCLAIMER (Mandatory):
⚠️ I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor.
📌 This view is shared only for educational and learning purposes.
📌 Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
📌 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
Bajaj auto in 2025 consolidated in a narrow range of 9500-7000 after making all time high at almost 13000 in sep 2024 .if start closing weekly strong candle above 9500 range high consider as a big breakout and opportunity to accumulate at retest /correction .for targets all time high .bullish view fails if weekly start closing below 8000 levels .
Gold Trading Strategy for 26th December 2025🟡 Gold Trend Trading Plan 💰
📈 Buy Setup
Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle, only if it closes above 4507.
🎯 Targets: 4519 → 4530 → 4543
🛑 Use proper risk management and trail SL as price moves.
📉 Sell Setup
Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle, only if it closes below 4458.
🎯 Targets: 4448 → 4435 → 4420
🛑 Keep SL above the recent swing high.
⚡ Scalping Strategy (15-Min Chart) ⏱️
🔴 Sell Scalping
Sell when price gets rejected in the 4501–4506 zone.
Confirmation: 15-min rejection / breakout failure candle.
🛑 Stop-loss: Above the rejection / breakout candle high.
🎯 Target: 5–10 points 💵
🟢 Buy Scalping
Buy when price gets rejected in the 4458–4455 zone.
Confirmation: 15-min rejection / breakout failure candle.
🛑 Stop-loss: Below the rejection / breakout candle low.
🎯 Target: 5–10 points 💵
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Commodity trading involves high risk 📉📈.
Always use strict stop-loss, proper position sizing, and trade as per your risk appetite.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
XAUUSD Paused – Will Buyers Resume After Market Reopens?XAUUSD continues to hold a strong bullish structure on the 1H timeframe. Price respects the rising trendline and remains firmly above the key demand area. The recent pullback appears corrective rather than a trend reversal, as selling pressure failed to break the structural support near 4450, keeping buyers in control. Buyers remain active near support, indicating sustained demand and controlled downside. Price is consolidating and accumulating after the pullback, a typical setup for continuation in trending markets. As long as price stays above 4450 and the bullish structure remains intact, the uptrend remains valid. Momentum is expected to rebuild, allowing a potential move toward 4520 once bullish pressure resumes.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This is not financial advice; trade responsibly.
Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HINDCOPPER) Price Analysis **Date:*#### **Current Price and Intraday Movement**
- **Latest Price:** ₹237.98 (+5.09% / +₹11.52)
- **Day’s Range:** ₹225.50 – ₹240.10
- **Open:** ₹227.60
- **Previous Close:** ₹226.46
- **Volume:** 1.63 crore shares (well above average daily volume of 55.89 lakh)
#### **Technical Overview**
- **52-Week Range:** ₹183.82 – ₹381.90
- **50-Day Average:** ₹216.99
- **200-Day Average:** ₹260.58
- **Market Cap:** ₹23,013 crore
- **P/E Ratio:** 57.48
- **EPS:** ₹4.14
#### **Recent Performance and Trends**
- **Short-Term Trend:** The stock surged over 5% today, outperforming its sector and showing strong buying interest .
- **Volume Spike:** Today’s volume is nearly triple the average, indicating heightened trader participation .
- **Technical Position:** The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average but remains below the 200-day average, suggesting a recovery from recent lows but still under medium-term resistance .
- **Support/Resistance:** Immediate resistance is near ₹240–₹249 (upper circuit), with support at ₹225 and ₹216 (50-DMA) .
#### **Fundamental Snapshot**
- **Valuation:** High P/E ratio (57.48) signals expensive valuation relative to earnings .
- **Profitability:** EPS at ₹4.14; profit margins have been under pressure.
- **Industry Position:** Hindustan Copper is India’s primary copper producer, with exposure to global copper price trends and domestic infrastructure demand.
#### **Outlook**
- **Short-Term:** Strong momentum and volume could drive further upside if it breaks above ₹240, but overbought conditions may trigger profit booking near resistance.
- **Medium-Term:** Needs to sustain above the 200-DMA (~₹260) for a confirmed trend reversal.
- **Risks:** High valuation and recent volatility; global commodity price swings can impact earnings.
---
**Summary:**
Hindustan Copper is showing robust short-term momentum with strong volume and price gains, but faces resistance near ₹240–₹249. The stock remains fundamentally expensive, and investors should watch for sustained moves above the 200-DMA for a longer-term bullish signal .
Intuition vs Execution Permission - Chapter -4 BTCUSD (4H) — Intuition vs Execution Permission (Why “Gut Feeling” Fails Pros)
Chart reference: BTCUSD 4H (attached)
Most traders think intuition is the problem.
It’s not.
The real problem is intuition without permission.
Because the market doesn’t reward confidence — it rewards validated execution.
On this BTCUSD 4H chart, price repeatedly shifts between:
Expansion → compression
Clean swing zones → violent wicks
Trend impulses → sudden reversals
That is exactly where “gut feeling” gets loud… and where most losses are created.
1) Why intuition feels like it “always wins” (until it doesn’t)
Intuition can be real skill: it’s pattern recognition built from screen-time.
But it feels undefeated for four reasons:
Memory bias: big wins get remembered; small repeated losses get normalized.
“Almost right” bias: price moves briefly your way → you feel validated even if execution loses.
Regime masking: strong trends forgive bad process; chop exposes it.
Timing problem: you may be right on direction but wrong on permission (entry zone, liquidity risk, volatility, confirmation).
So intuition isn’t “bad.”
Unfiltered intuition is unstable.
2) What this 4H chart is quietly proving
Higher timeframes make traders feel safe:
“This looks obvious.” “This level will hold.” “This must go up/down.”
But 4H is also where liquidity engineering is most visible:
wicks form around swing highs/lows (stop pools)
price “breaks” and snaps back
momentum looks strong, then fails inside compression
So the chart isn’t only showing price movement.
It’s showing why intuition alone becomes statistically unreliable:
intuition often triggers inside the highest-risk execution zones.
3) The institutional difference: Permissioned intuition
Professional execution thinking allows intuition — after it passes:
Context + Risk Awareness + Confirmation
That’s the core MARAL principle:
Intuition = hypothesis
Execution permission = proof
If proof is missing, the correct action is not “enter.”
The correct action is WAIT.
That single shift separates:
retail impulse entries → from → operator-grade execution
4) Where MARAL supports this BTCUSD 4H scenario (practically)
MARAL is designed as a decision-support workflow, not a signal tool.
On a chart like this, MARAL helps by doing three things consistently:
A) Context Board (Market Alignment)
MARAL supports by forcing the first question:
What environment am I in right now?
trend vs range logic (don’t treat range as trend)
swing-location awareness (premium/discount behavior relative to recent legs)
volatility regime awareness (stable = permission, expansion spikes = caution)
“clean vs wick-heavy” conditions (wick-heavy = trap probability increases)
If context is unclear → permission stays LOW.
B) Qualification Board (Execution Permission)
This is where gut feeling usually fails, because it triggers on appearance:
“Nice candle.” “Nice breakout.” “Perfect level.”
MARAL supports by checking execution risk instead:
Liquidity risk: are we near obvious swing liquidity where stops sit?
Sweep risk: did price just run stops and reverse?
Momentum health: displacement vs fragile chop
MTF conflict: does LTF tempt you against HTF context?
Obstacle ahead: nearby structure/zone that can cap the move
If risk is high, MARAL doesn’t “deny intuition.”
It denies permission to execute it.
C) Management Board (Post-entry clarity)
Most tools stop after entry. Professionals start after entry.
MARAL supports by maintaining execution control:
clear invalidation (where the idea is wrong — not “hope stops”)
when to protect (risk compression / momentum decay)
when to reduce exposure (pressure rising)
when to exit (structure shift/momentum failure)
So the trader is not guessing “now what?” mid-trade.
5) The funded-trader problem shown in one picture
Funded traders rarely fail because they can’t find setups.
They fail because of execution errors under pressure:
entering during liquidity hunts
overtrading inside compression
refusing to exit after structure shifts
revenge trading after wick-outs
This 4H chart contains all those traps:
“perfect-looking” zones, “certain-feeling” moves, wick punishments, and range chop.
MARAL is built to reduce these failure modes by enforcing:
Permission → then execution. Not the other way around.
6) Practical takeaway: the permission checklist
If your intuition says “I want to trade here,” pause and run permission.
✅ Permission increases when:
price clears a swing with real displacement (not wick-only)
retest/mitigation happens with controlled volatility
momentum holds (continuation health)
obstacle ahead is cleared / far enough
HTF context is aligned (low MTF conflict)
❌ Permission drops when:
wicks spike around obvious highs/lows (liquidity harvesting)
market compresses into chop (low clarity)
momentum fades right after a “breakout”
multiple timeframes disagree (conflict = execution risk)
If it’s obvious and emotional, it’s often where liquidity sits.
MARAL exists to prevent execution at those points.
Core statement
Intuition isn’t the enemy.
Unfiltered intuition is.
When intuition passes execution permission, it becomes tradable.
When it doesn’t, the most professional trade is:
no trade.
Questions
1.On this BTCUSD 4H, where do you think most traders get trapped — breakout, retest, or range chop?
2.Has your intuition been “right”… but execution still lost because of timing?
3.What invalidates your bias first: structure shift, momentum failure, or liquidity sweep?
4.Do you trust intuition more in trends or ranges — and why?
Educational / Discretionary Notice: For study and execution education only. No financial advice. No automation. No trade execution. All decisions remain discretionary.
Chapter 5: Liquidity Traps vs Real Breakouts -coming soon..
Tags: #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #MarketStructure #Liquidity #RiskManagement #TradingPsychology #ExecutionDiscipline #FundedTrading
Nifty Price Action Analysis for Jan 2026Date: 25-Dec-2025
Nifty seems to show strong signs of making a new lifetime high in Jan 2026. The 25940 to 25740 levels will prove if bulls are entering long positions or not. Wait for it to correct and enter only when sellers show signs of weakness.
Uptrend line projected shows the likely path Nifty will travel in Jan 2026.
Trade will SL of 50 points from entry. If all goes as planned Nifty should give us a close above 26120 by Jan end.
Word of caution: analysis becomes invalid if Nifty starts making LH (Lower Highs) below the uptrend line projected
Wishing you Merry Christmas and a Prosperous & Healthy New Year 2026
Happy Trading!






















