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Trend Analysis

BTCUSD Bullish Structure: New Demand, Resistance & UpsideBTCUSD shows a continuation of the broader bullish trend after a strong impulsive move higher, followed by a healthy pullback and consolidation. Price previously respected the rising structure and confirmed bullish strength with a clear Break of Structure , indicating trend continuation rather than reversal. The recent highs formed a new resistance area around 97,800–98,300, where selling pressure appeared and slowed momentum. This zone remains a key upside barrier and may trigger short-term reactions if retested. On the downside, a fresh demand zone is established near 94,000–94,600, aligned with prior consolidation and strong buyer response. This area acts as a major support and potential buy zone, especially if price shows acceptance and bullish confirmation. As long as BTCUSD holds above this demand, the market structure remains bullish. Current price action suggests accumulation above support, with higher lows forming inside the range. A sustained hold above demand may open the path for a renewed push toward resistance and potentially higher levels. A clean break below demand would weaken bullish structure and shift focus toward deeper support. Overall bias stays bullish while price remains above the marked demand zone, with volatility expected near key levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 20-21✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis Gold has continued a strong rally since launching from the 4537 area, forming a classic bullish structure with both higher highs and higher lows. Price remains firmly above the MA5 / MA10 / MA20 moving average system, finding support on pullbacks to the MAs, which confirms that the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. That said, the recent upside momentum has been relatively fast, and price has entered a high-sensitivity zone driven by prior resistance and market sentiment. Although no reversal signals are present for now, short-term technical digestion and pullbacks are possible, making it inadvisable to chase prices at this stage. ✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis On the short-term timeframe, price maintains a rising consolidation structure, repeatedly stabilizing above the 4700 level. Bulls remain in control, but upside momentum is beginning to slow at the margin. The price action continues to follow a pullback-to-MA5 / MA10 and resume higher rhythm, indicating that the trend is still healthy but has shifted from a one-sided rally to a step-by-step upward advance. As long as pullbacks hold in the 4705–4715 zone, the overall structure remains bullish; however, a break below 4695 would increase the risk of a deeper correction and require tighter risk control. 🔴 Resistance Levels 4758–4765 / 4775 🟢 Support Levels 4715–4705 / 4695 / 4650 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Trend-Following Approach (Primary Strategy) 📍 Wait for price to pull back into the 4715–4705 zone 📍 Enter long positions in batches after stabilization Condition: H1 structure remains intact and pullbacks show clear signs of support 🔰 Defensive Approach (Risk Control) 📍 If price breaks below 4695 and fails to recover quickly 📍 Actively reduce exposure or exit positions and wait for a new structural confirmation ✅ Trend Summary 👉 Medium-term trend (H4): Strong bullish trend remains intact 👉 Short-term condition (H1): High-level consolidation + slowing momentum 👉 Core strategy: Buy pullbacks only, avoid chasing highs 👉 Key structural level: Above 4700 remains bullish; caution is required if 4695 is broken
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_StrategyMaster
1
NIFTY 50 | Bullish Structure vs Bearish Candles — What Next?Pure Price Action & Volume Study Index: NIFTY 50 Timeframe: Weekly Method: Price Action + Volume 🔍 Market Structure On the weekly timeframe, NIFTY 50 continues to form a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) — a structurally bullish setup that generally supports higher prices once resolved correctly. However, recent candle behaviour introduces a clear warning sign. 🕯️ Candlestick + Volume Analysis The last two weekly candles are Hanging Man formations. Both candles printed with identical weekly volumes (~1.23B). Hanging Man is a reversal pattern when it appears near resistance Important clarity: Hanging Man ≠ Hammer Hammer forms near support (bullish) Hanging Man forms near resistance (potential weakness) This suggests supply entering the market despite a bullish broader structure. ⚖️ How to Read the Conflict Chart pattern: Bullish (VCP intact) Candlestick signal: Bearish (Hanging Man + matching volume) When structure and candles diverge, markets often choose sideways or corrective price action before the next directional move. 📉 Probable Price Path There is a reasonable probability of: A move back toward 25,700 (low of the recent weekly candle) Or a deeper retracement into the nearest weekly support zone around 25,300 This pullback could help form a small rounding base, strengthening the existing VCP before another attempt toward 26,000 📊 Bias & Key Levels View: Bearish → Sideways Bullish only if: Price breaks and sustains above ATH 26,325 Preferably with a strong weekly body candle, not a wick-based breakout Until that happens, upside remains unconfirmed. 🧠 Final Thought This is a classic “structure vs signal” situation: Bullish patterns need bearish candles to get resolved first. Patience is part of price action. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not a trading or investment recommendation. Markets are risky—always manage risk and position size carefully. 👍 If this idea added value, boost it, follow for more pure price-action studies, and comment with the next stock or index you’d like analysed.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Alert_Trader
KFINTECH – Daily | Compression → Breakout SetupKFINTECH has been in a long consolidation phase after a strong move and is now trading near an important demand zone. Price is forming higher lows, indicating selling pressure is reducing. This setup looks like a build-up before a directional move. 🔹 Trend: Neutral → Turning bullish 🔹 Support Zone: Lower grey area (demand) 🔹 Resistance Zones: Upper grey areas 🔹 Entry Idea: Buy on confirmation / sustained hold above support 🔹 Stop Loss: Below demand zone 🔹 Targets: Target 1: First resistance Target 2: Upper resistance / range high 📌 Why this setup is strong: Price respecting demand zone multiple times Higher lows show accumulation Risk is limited, reward is larger Clean structure with clear invalidation 📈 A breakout and hold above the immediate resistance can lead to strong upside expansion. ⚠️ If price breaks below the demand zone, this view becomes invalid. 💡 Patience is key. Best trades come after consolidation.
NSE:KFINTECHLong
by Scalper_San
ETHUSD – Daily Timeframe AnalysisETH is currently trading in an upward trend, forming higher lows, which shows bullish strength in the market. Price is respecting the ascending trendline, indicating buyers are still in control. 🔹 Entry Zone: Price is reacting near the trendline support, making this a buy-on-dip opportunity. 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the recent support zone to protect against trend failure. 🔹 Targets: Target 1: Previous resistance / minor supply zone Target 2: Major resistance area above (strong selling zone) 🔹 Market Structure: Higher Highs & Higher Lows ✅ Trendline support holding ✅ Bullish continuation setup 🚀 ⚠️ Risk Management: Always wait for confirmation and manage position size properly. This setup works best if the trendline continues to hold. 📌 Bias: Bullish 📌 Timeframe: 1D 📌 Asset: ETHUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Scalper_San
Trend line Break + Retest Logic (Swing Trading)Trend line breakout followed by retest is a high-probability swing setup. Sustaining above broken resistance signals upside continuation, while rejection after breakdown confirms further downside. Patience for retest separates traders from gamblers. 🔵 Upside Scenario (Bullish) Condition Price breaks above the upper trendline (range / resistance) Break should be on good volume Price comes back to retest the same broken line Retest holds (no strong rejection candle) Confirmation Higher low on retest Bullish candle (hammer / bullish engulfing) RSI holds above 45–50 Outcome ➡️ High probability move on the upside ➡️ This is what your blue arrows are showing Rule Old resistance becomes new support 🔴 Downside Scenario (Bearish) Condition Price breaks below the lower rising trendline Breakdown with strong bearish candle Price retests the broken trendline from below Retest fails (rejection) Confirmation Lower high formation Bearish candle near retest RSI stays below 50 Outcome ➡️ High probability downside continuation ➡️ Your blue + red arrows reflect this correctly Rule Old support becomes new resistance
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by SmartInvestorByAwadhesh
1
S&P 500: Late-Stage Structure Worth WatchingThe S&P 500’s recent advance is showing overlapping price action and narrowing ranges , raising the possibility of a developing Ending Diagonal near the highs. Internally, the move lacks impulsive strength , with Wave (v) struggling for follow-through and RSI hovering around the mid-50s, suggesting momentum is not confirming price . This behavior is more typical of a terminal phase than a trend expansion. That said, this is not a confirmed top . A break below the lower diagonal would support the bearish case, while strong acceptance above recent highs would invalidate the diagonal view. For now, this remains a caution zone , not a conviction call. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
SP:SPX
by WaveXplorer
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 20, 2026 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe – The D1 momentum has started to show signs of a bullish reversal. However, we still need to wait for today’s D1 candle close to fully confirm this reversal signal. – If confirmed, the bullish trend is likely to continue. – That said, since the reversal point is forming relatively close to the oversold zone, the upside potential of this move may be limited and expectations should be managed carefully. H4 Timeframe – H4 momentum is approaching the oversold area. – If the current price action holds and we get a bullish H4 candle close, momentum will officially enter the oversold zone and may reverse upward. – In that case, the bullish trend on the H4 timeframe will be reinforced. H1 Timeframe – H1 momentum is currently rising, indicating that the short-term bullish bias remains intact. – Alternatively, price may continue to move sideways before a clearer direction emerges. 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure – There is no major change in the D1 wave count. – Price remains within the blue Wave 5. – Combined with the emerging bullish reversal signal on D1 momentum, this suggests that Wave 5 may continue to extend higher. H4 Wave Structure – Within the blue Wave 5, the H4 structure consists of five yellow sub-waves. – Price is currently moving inside yellow Wave 5. – With H4 momentum preparing to reverse upward, yellow Wave 5 may continue its advance. – However, special attention should be paid to the price channel: if price rises and then returns back inside the channel, it may signal that yellow Wave 5 has already completed. H1 Wave Structure – Inside yellow Wave 5, we can identify five purple sub-waves. – At the moment, price is in the final stage of purple Wave 4 and preparing to enter purple Wave 5. 3. Targets & Key Price Zones – Purple Wave 5 target: 4737 – From the Volume Profile, the 4641 – 4661 zone is a liquidity void (FVG). – Price is currently being rejected from this area, indicating that 4661 is acting as a strong support level. – By combining strong support from the FVG zone with H4 momentum approaching oversold and preparing for a bullish reversal, this area becomes a high-quality zone to look for Buy opportunities targeting the completion of Wave 5. 4. Trading Plan – Buy Setup: 4667 – 4665 – Stop Loss: 4647 – Take Profit 1: 4687 – Take Profit 2: 4737
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
Supreme Holdings Flashes a Hammer After the SelloffSupreme Holdings has formed a bullish hammer after a sharp downtrend , supported by bullish RSI divergence and a volume spike , indicating demand emerging at lower levels. This opens the door for a short-term bounce , while the broader trend remains weak. Price action from here will decide whether this develops into something more or fades as a corrective move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:SUPREMELong
by WaveXplorer
Avenue Supermarts(1-H): Structure Over NoiseToday’s price action was rough across Nifty and the broader market. But beneath the volatility, some charts are quietly holding their structure — and that’s worth paying attention to. In Avenue Supermarts Ltd , price has unfolded a clean 5-wave advance on the 1-hour timeframe from the 3605.10 low to 3918.60 , allowing the move to be labeled as Wave 1 / A . The subsequent decline shows a corrective ABC structure , with overlapping price action and weakening momentum — characteristics typical of a correction. The drop into 3645.50 fits well as wave b , potentially completing Wave 2 / B . At this point, confirmation of Wave 2 / B completion is still awaited . The bullish structure remains valid only if price continues to hold above 3605.10 on a closing basis . As long as this level is respected, the setup keeps the door open for a potential Wave 3 / C advance , with scope for a retest and possible extension beyond 3918 , offering a favorable reward-to-risk profile . A decisive close below 3605.10 would invalidate this count and warrant a reassessment. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:DMARTLong
by WaveXplorer