Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 23Today, the price opened gap up above 26050 resistance and sustained above it. Now it is facing resistance at the 26160 - 26180 zone. 26050 has become the support zone now. If tomorrow the price opens above the resistance and sustains 26200, we can expect a good move.
If the price opens flat or between 26050 to 26150, we have to watch, understand the strength and trade accordingly.
The price is bullish as per the daily chart.
Buy above 26100 with the stop loss of 26040 for the targets 26140, 26180, 26220, 26280 and 26340.
Sell below 25980 with the stop loss of 26030 for the targets 25940, 25900, 25840, 25800 and 25760.
The expected expiry day range is 25900 to 26300.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Trend Analysis
Tata ChemicalThe price took double bottom support at the 740 zone and is moving up. Now the price is nearing the trend line resistance. The price can break the trend line and move up or have a pullback towards the 740 zone, gain strength and move up.
Buy above 770 - 772 with the stop loss of 762 for the targets 780, 788, 796, 804 and 818.
As long as the price is above 740 and shows bullish strength, it is buy on dips.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
XAU/USD: Buy on pullback in strong upward trend!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold is in a clear upward trend, demonstrated by a series of consecutive BOS and gradually higher lows/highs. After a strong push, the price is currently consolidating sideways in the premium area, indicating the market is pausing before choosing the next direction.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains intact, with no bearish CHoCH appearing.
• The current adjustment area is the Buy Zone – where the price previously created a BOS.
• This sideways movement is rebalancing, often a precursor to the next upward move if support is not broken.
◆ Key Levels
• Buy Zone: 4,476 – 4,464
• Invalid upward: clear break below 4,464
• Upper targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for a pullback or hold within Buy Zone 4,476 – 4,464
• Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low
• Targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
• SL: below 4,464
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles
• Follow the trend, manage orders partially at target levels
➤ Scenario C – Defensive
• If 4,464 is clearly broken
• Short-term upward structure invalidated → stay out and wait for a new setup
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Strong bullish.
• Priority strategy: BUY with the trend, do not SELL against it.
• Decision area: 4,476 – 4,464.
• Next targets: 4,531 → 4,565.
BSE LTD Intraday| 23 Dec 2025| +45 Points Clean Short Setup23 Dec 2025 | Simple & Easy BTR Indicator Setup
Consistency comes from simplicity — and today BTR proved it again.
Another smooth intraday short trade executed perfectly in BSE LTD, with clear entry, logical stop-loss, and disciplined exit.
🔍 Trade Overview
• Stock: BSE LTD
• Date: 23/12/2025
• Timeframe: 15-Minute
• Indicator Used: BTR Indicator ONLY
🔴 Entry Logic (Short)
✔ BTR generated a clear BEARISH signal
✔ Breakdown after rejection from higher levels
✔ Momentum shifted completely in sellers’ favor
🔻 SHORT ENTRY: 2755
🛑 Stop-Loss (Risk First)
📌 SL placed above recent Swing High
📌 Clean structure-based stop
📌 No guesswork, no emotional SL movement
🎯 Exit Execution
✔ Follow the system, follow the exit
✔ Price continued lower smoothly
🟢 EXIT BOOKED: 2715
📉 TOTAL PROFIT: +45 POINTS
🧠 Why This Trade Was Easy
✔ Clear BTR signal
✔ Strong bearish follow-through
✔ Proper SL placement
✔ No over-trading, no indicator clutter
📌 Strategy Rule
❌ No prediction
❌ No noise
❌ No multiple indicators
✅ Only BTR Indicator
✅ Follow entry & exit rules
✅ Trade becomes effortless
🔥 Final Thought
Trading is not about being right every time —
it’s about executing the same edge repeatedly.
BTR continues to deliver high-probability intraday setups in both directions.
📊 Follow for daily BSE intraday trades
💬 Comment / DM if you want to trade using BTR Indicator
Simple Rules. Clean Charts. Consistent Profits. 📉📈 NSE:BSE
📌 You can find the BTR Indicator in my TradingView profile → Scripts section
👉 Open my profile
👉 Go to Scripts / Indicators
👉 Add BTR Indicator to your chart
👉 Trade with zero noise & clear signals
Follow BTR. Follow Discipline. Trade Simple. ✅
If you want, I can also give you:
• A pinned profile bio line
• A comment reply template for followers
• A step-by-step “How to use BTR” post
Just tell me 👍
UPL - Multi time frame analysisThe price is consolidating between the range of 710 to 720. Buying levels are 710, 720, depending on your trading style. As per the daily chart, the price is giving a trend line breakout.
Buy above 715 to 718 with the stop loss of 705 for the targets 724, 736, 748 and 756.
If the price shows bearish strength and falls down, check how it is reacting at the 700 zone and take the trade.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BTC Technical Outlook – Cycle High WatchBitcoin is potentially entering the final push of the current cycle, with price action forming a Head & Shoulders (H&S) structure near the newly formed ATH. While this pattern is not confirmed yet, it does raise caution for a possible local top.
📈 Upside Scenario:
Our immediate focus remains on the $111,000 zone, which aligns with a potential liquidity grab area. A push into this region followed by strong rejection would strengthen the bearish case.
📉 Risk Zone to Monitor:
If rejection occurs near $111K, attention will shift to the neckline area, which will be crucial in confirming the H&S breakdown.
⚠️ Key Takeaway:
Bullish continuation remains valid until rejection is confirmed
$111K = key upside target & decision zone
Neckline break would confirm trend exhaustion
_Wait for confirmation. Trade the reaction, not the prediction._
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis December 19
Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly, at 10:30 AM and 12:00 PM, the Nasdaq indicators will be released.
At the bottom left, the purple finger indicates the strategy, which follows yesterday's final long position entry point of $84,682.
*If the red finger follows the path, it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. Touch the first point of the purple finger at the top, or even if it doesn't, the red finger indicates the long position entry point at $86,935.2. Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken.
2. $90,815 is the first target for the long position -> Target price is up to Miracle over the weekend.
If the strategy is successful, the top point can be used as a long position re-entry point.
The first point at the top is today's maximum resistance level.
If it touches this point after 9:00 AM tomorrow,
it can ignore the resistance line and continue to rise.
Conversely, if it touches the bottom immediately, a sharp correction could occur, so focus on the 86.9K long position entry point.
Today, it's best to avoid breaking below the light blue support line (bottom) to safely move upward.
Below that, the weekend's lowest support line (2nd) -> double bottom (84082.2 dollars) remains.
If it reaches the double bottom,
unless a very strong rebound occurs,
an additional downtrend could occur next week, so be careful.
(The gray uptrend line is marked in section 2.)
**It's been a while since I've made this fully public.
My daily analysis, which I diligently write, is divided into key support and resistance levels,
and can be utilized in real-time from entry to liquidation.
So, I think it's no different.
Thank you for your support, and I'll make more full public releases in the future.**
Please use my analysis to this extent for reference only.
I hope you'll operate safely, with a strict trading strategy and stop-loss orders.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Silver at a Critical Inflection Point [25% DOWNSIDE EXPECTED]Silver has delivered a powerful rally this year , but key Technical Milestones will now complete. in the 72-75 zone
🔹 Multiple Cup & Handle targets achieved on the log chart
🔹 ~300% Fibonacci extension of the post-COVID move reached
🔹 Decades-long $50 resistance broken — a major structural event
🔹 Using price symmetry, $75 now stands out as a heavy resistance zone
🔹Possible Retracement zone: 46 to 54
📉 With pattern completion and long-term resistance converging, risk-reward strongly favors caution at current levels.
Markets move in cycles — and Silver may be entering the next phase.
NOT SEBI REGISTERED. ⏐ ALL VIEWS ARE PERSONAL⏐ NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE
Part 1 Candle Stick Patterns Types of Options:
Calls and Puts
Options are a type of derivative security. An option is a derivative because its price is intrinsically linked to the price of something else. If you buy an options contract, it grants you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset at a set price on or before a certain date.
A call option gives the holder the right to buy a stock, and a put option gives the holder the right to sell a stock. Think of a call option as a down payment on a future purchase.
Part 2 Support and Resistance How to Trade Options
Many brokers today allow access to options trading for qualified customers. If you want access to options trading, you will have to be approved for both margin and options with your broker.
There are four basic things you can do with options:
Buy (long) calls
Sell (short) calls
Buy (long) puts
Sell (short) puts
Part 1 Support and Resistance There are three key features of options:
Strike price: This is the price at which an option can be exercised.
Expiration date: This is the date at which an option expires and becomes worthless.
Option premium: This is the price at which an option is purchased.
Key Takeaways
An option is a contract giving the buyer the right—but not the obligation—to buy (in the case of a call) or sell (in the case of a put) the underlying asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
People use options for income, to speculate, and to hedge risk.
Options are derivatives: their value depends on the underlying asset’s price, time until expiration, and volatility.
XAUUSD (H4) – Tuesday ForecastBroke the old ATH, trend continuation | Buy the pullback at 4442, sell premium at 4559
Strategy summary
Gold has broken the previous all-time high (ATH) and the bullish structure remains intact. Today my priority is still buying with the trend, but only on a clean pullback — no chasing. The secondary plan is a reaction sell at a premium Fibonacci zone if price extends too aggressively.
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
The breakout above the old ATH is a strong bullish signal: we have a clear higher high and price is building a new base.
The chart highlights a Buy VL / value area just below current price — a logical pullback zone to reload longs.
Above, there’s a 1.618 Fibonacci premium sell zone, where profit-taking often shows up.
Key point: The trend is bullish, but the higher we go, the more likely we see sharp wicks and quick pullbacks. Stay disciplined and trade the levels.
2) Trade plan for today (clear entry, SL, target)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the Asia pullback
✅ Buy: 4442
SL: 4435
Target: 4747 (your projected target)
Logic: This is a clean pullback into the session value area. If price holds here, continuation becomes the higher-probability path.
Scenario B: SELL the premium Fibonacci reaction
✅ Sell: 4559
SL: 4568
TP: scale out on the reaction (short-term profit-taking), or manage based on momentum after rejection
Logic: 4559 is a premium Fibonacci zone. If price spikes into it, a rejection move is very common — but only sell with reaction, not by chasing.
3) Macro context (why gold stays supported)
XAU/USD is building on yesterday’s strong rally (+2%) and is printing fresh record highs for a second day.
Price is pushing toward the 4,500 psychological level during Asia, supported by multiple safe-haven drivers.
Comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent add uncertainty around the long-term reliability of Fed policy — and uncertainty typically supports gold.
4) Risk management (Liam rule)
Don’t chase after breakout. Only buy at 4442 as planned.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
If stopped out, wait for the next structure — no revenge trading.
What’s your bias today: buying the 4442 pullback, or waiting for a 4559 reaction sell?
India Indices (4H) — MARAL Execution Workflow (WAIT / SKIP) India Indices (4H)—MARAL Execution Workflow (Technical WAIT/SKIP Example)
(NIFTY • SENSEX • BANKNIFTY • CNXFINANCE—educational only, no trade call)
These snapshots show an important execution concept:
Bullish higher-timeframe context can exist, while execution permission remains OFF.
MARAL separates bias (Context Board) from permission (Qualification Gate) and regime/risk (Management Desk).
When the gate reads SKIP, the correct action is WAIT—even if the bias looks supportive.
1) What the panels are telling us (same core message across all 4)
A) Context Board (Bias & conditions)
Common structure:
Direction / H1 / H4 / Daily: largely Bullish
Structure: Bear Struct (bias vs structure is not aligned)
Trend strength (ADX): low-to-moderate (~12–17 zone) → expansion is not confirmed
Momentum: mostly Neutral (CNXFINANCE shows BULL, but alignment still mixed)
Alignment score: ~50–55 → “not clean enough” for execution by design
Scores: long/short often sit in no-trade/borderline zones (example: 50–55 region)
Technical read: the macro bias is supportive, but structural and regime conditions are not confirming an executable phase.
B) Qualification Gate (Permission layer)
Across these charts:
SETUP: WAIT
LIQUIDITY: Neutral / Low (varies by index)
ENTRY PERMISSION: SKIP
Technical meaning: even with a bullish context, the system does not permit engagement until structure/regime/alignment improves.
C) Management Desk (Regime & risk)
Common state:
Market Phase: RANGE
Obstacle Ahead: NO
Exit Pressure: LOW
Momentum Health: NEUTRAL
Active Window: OFF
Technical meaning: range regime + neutral momentum tends to produce rotation/whipsaw behavior, so execution is filtered.
2) Index-by-index (what’s unique in each snapshot)
✅ NIFTY (4H)
Context: Bullish, but Structure = Bear Structure, Momentum = Neutral
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = OVEREXTENDED, Active Window OFF
Read: bullish backdrop, but execution quality is degraded (overextended + range state), so permission stays SKIP.
✅ SENSEX (4H)
Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral, ADX moderate
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: bias is bullish, but structure/regime still does not justify execution permission.
✅ BANKNIFTY (4H)
Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral
ADX is weaker (more range/rotation tendency)
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: low trend strength + range regime = permission remains SKIP.
✅ CNXFINANCE (4H)
Context: Direction Bullish, but H1 = Neutral (mixed alignment) + Bear Structure
Liquidity Context = LOW (risk is lower than “high-liquidity” snapshots, but alignment still mixed.)
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity LOW
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = IMPROVING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: improving conditions does not automatically mean “permission.” Structure/alignment still needs to mature.
3) What would typically flip SKIP → Permission (general, not a call)
Execution permission is more likely when:
Structure realigns with the bullish context (conflict resolves)
The market phase shifts from RANGE → EXPANSION
Momentum health improves (more stable impulse behavior)
Alignment score strengthens and Entry Permission upgrades away from SKIP
(Intrabar values can change; bar-close confirmation may be preferred.)
Educational only. Not a trading signal. Not financial advice.
This is a discretionary decision-support workflow; it does not place orders and does not guarantee outcomes.
#NIFTY #SENSEX #BANKNIFTY #CNXFINANCE #MarketStructure #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #TradingView
ICICI Bank: Prime Opportunity for AccumulationCICI Bank remains a dominant market leader, currently trading at highly attractive valuations relative to its historical averages. The stock is technically positioned for a sharp bounce from current consolidation levels, supported by best-in-class asset quality and robust credit growth momentum. We view the recent price correction not as a concern, but as a strategic entry point for value-focused investors.
Strategy: Utilize current volatility to accumulate the stock aggressively down to 1300.
Outlook: Chances of swift recovery to a short-term target of 1400, with a conviction long-term target of 1600 as earnings compounding continues to drive shareholder value.
The chart confirms the price is hovering near a critical support zone (around 1340–1360), and the momentum indicators (bottom panel) suggest the selling pressure is tapering off, validating the "bounce" thesis.
APOLLO: Structural Reversal from Key Support Zone🚀 Long Setup: NSE:APOLLO Micro Systems (APOLLO)
Trade Parameters
Entry Zone: ₹245.00 – ₹255.00 (Current breakout level)
Stop Loss (SL): ₹214.00 (Weekly close basis / below structural support)
Target 1: ₹300.00 (Psychological & Analyst Consensus)
Target 2: ₹355.00 (All-Time High retest)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.8
Technical Analysis
Support Rebound: The stock has successfully defended the ₹210–₹220 horizontal support zone, which acted as a major resistance-turned-support from mid-2025.
Momentum Shift: Today's 5% Upper Circuit hit at ₹249.80, accompanied by a spike in volume, signals the end of a 3-month correction/accumulation phase.
Trend Confirmation: The price has reclaimed the 20-week EMA, shifting the medium-term bias back to bullish.
RSI Recovery: RSI is turning up from the 40-level floor, suggesting the "oversold" energy is being replaced by fresh buying interest.
Fundamental Driver
The technical move is backed by the company's Q2 FY26 performance (highest-ever quarterly income of ₹226 Cr) and a massive ₹1,500 Cr order book. The recent licensing for high-energy explosives provides the long-term thematic tailwind for the Aerospace & Defense sector.
Real Knowledge of Chart Patterns CHART PATTERNS (Market Structure Patterns)
Chart patterns are formed by price movements over a longer period and help traders understand the bigger picture. They indicate whether the trend is likely to continue, reverse, or break out after consolidation. These patterns can be grouped into three major categories:
1. Continuation Patterns
These suggest that the existing trend (uptrend or downtrend) will likely continue after a temporary pause.
2. Reversal Patterns
These indicate a possible change in trend direction.
3. Bilateral Patterns
These can break either up or down, signaling indecision.
Let’s study them in detail.
Just an explanation on 15min1. Market Context: A Year of Record Highs
This chart captures Gold during a historic period. By late December 2025, Gold had surged approximately 70% year-to-date, repeatedly hitting new all-time highs.
Fundamental Drivers: The rally was fueled by escalating geopolitical risks (specifically US-Venezuela tensions) and rising expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts in early 2026.
Market Sentiment: On this specific day, Gold breached the $4,450/oz mark, with some analysts eyeing targets near $4,500.
2. Technical Chart Breakdown
While the long-term trend is strongly bullish, this 15-minute chart focuses on a bearish scalp setup:
Resistance & Supply Zone: The purple box (roughly $4,478 – $4,484) marks a supply zone where sellers took control after a peak.
Trendline Break: Price has broken below a steep white ascending trendline, signaling a loss of immediate bullish momentum.
Indicator Shift: The trend ribbon has flipped from green (bullish) to red (bearish) at the current price level, supporting a short-term sell-off.
Target ("Final Stop"): The blue arrow points to a support level at $4,452.98. This is the objective for a "small scalp" trade, representing a pullback to a previous consolidation area.
3. Current Market Snapshot (from Watchlist)
DXY (US Dollar Index): Shown at 97.714 (-0.15%). The weakening dollar typically supports Gold, but the chart shows a temporary local correction despite the weak USD.
Gold Price: The live price in the watchlist is $4,475.21, up +0.71% on the day, showing that even with this pullback, Gold remains significantly higher than the previous day.
Aud Cad Short-Term Downtrend: The short-term trend has been identified as being "DOWN" since December 10, 2025, indicating that minor, temporary corrections might occur within the larger bullish trend.
Resistance Zones: The price is testing strong resistance or supply zones around the 0.9140–0.9150 area, where sellers have previously stepped in, which could lead to a short-term drop.






















