Gold 1H – Correction or Continuation After Supply Test?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,861 after consolidating below a premium supply zone at 3876–3874. Structure shows a recent BOS to the upside, but current rejection signals potential engineered liquidity sweeps into the nearby FVG and discount demand zones. The first support rests at 3796–3798, aligning with discount territory and previous accumulation, offering scope for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines point to persistent U.S. dollar strength as traders await fresh Federal Reserve guidance on inflation and rate path. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical concerns in energy markets are maintaining safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold’s intraday swings.
This dual backdrop sets up a tactical approach: fading rejections at supply while being prepared to enter on discounted dips at demand.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3876–3874 (SL 3883): Premium supply zone, downside targets at 3850 → 3835 → 3815.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3796–3798 (SL 3790): Discount demand zone aligned with BOS, upside targets at 3820 → 3845 → 3860+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3876–3874)
• Entry: 3876–3874
• Stop Loss: 3883
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3835
TP3: 3815
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3796–3798)
• Entry: 3796–3798
• Stop Loss: 3790
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3820
TP2: 3845
TP3: 3860+
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains in a corrective phase after testing supply. Expect liquidity sweeps into discount levels before continuation. With the dollar strengthening and Fed commentary in focus, intraday traders should:
• Fade supply rejections at 3876–3874.
• Scale into buys around 3796–3798 if liquidity is cleared.
Trend Analysis
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in PAUSHAKLTD
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Double Top at the Peak: Is a Bearish Reversal Coming in HDFC AMCHDFC AMC has given a good upside rally of 65% and is form a double top pattern.
The stock is following a bullish trendline but the RSI divergence is creating a bearish sentiment supported by the drop India VIX.
If the stock breaks below the trendline, a bearish trade can be entered with the first target of 5440 following it to 5208.
Bullishness will only be confirmed only once the stock starts trading above 6000 levels.
There is RSI divergence on the higher time frame too and gives more convincing trade in the stock.
Entry :- Below 5809
Target :- 5440 and 5208
Stop Loss :- Close above 5927 (daily charts)
Wait for the price action and trade accordingly.
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview
Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout.
📍 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection.
3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear.
🟢 BUY Zones
3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups.
3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+
Stop: Below 3,795
2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity
Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower.
Targets: 3,808 → 3,871
Stop: Below 3,735
3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,808
Stop: Above 3,928
⚡ Trading Notes
Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term.
Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility.
Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Discussion
Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
Allow Nifty to close Bullish today on D chartIf Nifty closes Bullish today with an O=L candle, it would signal that buying is back.
Nifty has been consolidating in this range since it formed a last high in Jul-25.
Today if we have a Bullish close, look for a W type pattern on the 1H chart which if broken will give a confirmation of resumption of Bullish trend.
Those looking for swing entries can then build long position for Target of 25,800 as a first target.
Nifty is poised to hit 26,300 level in the near term.
NTPC 1D Time frameOpening Price: ₹340.30
Closing Price: ₹340.25
Day Range: ₹339.45 – ₹343.05
📉 Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: Bearish — The stock is trading below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend.
Medium-Term Trend: Neutral — The stock is in a consolidation phase, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Long-Term Trend: Neutral — No significant trend identified; the stock is trading within a range.
🔮 Conclusion
NTPC Ltd. is in a bearish trend with weak momentum.
Break below ₹335.00 could lead to further decline toward ₹330.00.
Break above ₹347.00 would indicate a potential trend reversal.
HINDZINC 1D Time frameDay Range: ₹478.35 – ₹488.40
52-Week Range: ₹378.15 – ₹575.40
Volume: 284,459 shares traded
📉 Trend Analysis
The stock is in a downtrend, characterized by:
Lower highs and lower lows.
Failure to break above resistance levels.
The short-term trend remains bearish.
🔮 Conclusion
Hindustan Zinc is in a downtrend with weak momentum.
Break below ₹470.00 could lead to further decline toward ₹460.00.
Break above ₹495.00 would indicate a potential trend reversal.
HEROMOTOCO 1D Time frame📌 Current Status
Closing Price: ₹5,410
Day Change: –35 points (–0.64%)
Day’s High: ₹5,470
Day’s Low: ₹5,380
52-Week Range: ₹4,800 – ₹6,050
🔍 Chart & Price Action Insights
Price is moving sideways, bouncing between support and resistance.
Bulls are defending ₹5,380
Sellers resist above ₹5,470
Watch for a break above ₹5,470 for potential upward momentum
Break below ₹5,380 may trigger a short-term decline toward ₹5,330
Bullish on NEULANDLABNEULANDLAB is currently in an ascending channel and it giving a good Bullish reversal from it's long term Trend line since March 2025.
Constant HL and HH formations can be noticed since March-25.
This is a good indication of Bullishness in the stock.
I have taken long position on this stock for a positional Target of 19,500 price level.
GOLD ATH: US Shutdown Drama! Buy The Dip, Yaar? Gold just smashed a new record at $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29) on high safe-haven demand due to the impending US Govt shutdown (Oct 1) and solid FED rate cut hopes. USD pullback (0.2%) also playing its part.
The sudden dip to $3,794 looks like pure end-of-month profit-booking, not a proper reversal. If US tensions worsen, the Buy opportunity is still very much active!
📈 Technical View & Intraday Trade Setup
Gold has done a major flush, stopping out the weak hands. Selling pressure is there, but the drop without big news suggests caution. Look for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before a potential continuation lower.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870
Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763
Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session):
1. BUY Zone (Aggressive Dip Buy):
Entry: $3784 - $3782
SL: $3774
TP: $3792 / $3812 / $3832
2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short):
Entry: $3827 - $3829
SL: $3833
TP: $3824 / $3814 / $3804
3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry):
Entry: $3866 - $3868
SL: $3876
TP: $3858 / $3838 / $3818
⚠️ Alert! The US Government Shutdown news is the main event. If budget talks are positive, Gold might see a sharp fall. Manage risk (SL) like a boss!
Kya lagta hai? Will Gold fly to $4K or take support near $378x? 👇
#XAUUSD #Gold #MCX #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #MarketUpdate #Commodities
OLAELEC Price ActionOlectra Greentech Ltd (OLAELEC) posted a strong performance today, trading around ₹1,390 with a notable upward move. The stock has been on a bullish trajectory over the past week, rebounding from its recent support near ₹1,350. Short-term moving averages indicate continued positive momentum, with the price well above both the 20- and 50-day averages.
Technical indicators like RSI suggest mild overbought conditions, confirming robust buying interest but also signaling potential consolidation if the stock fails to hold above its current highs. The immediate resistance zone lies near ₹1,420, while strong support is seen at ₹1,350. A sustained breakout above resistance could propel the stock towards ₹1,500 in the coming sessions, whereas a slip below support may lead to a short-term pullback.
Overall, OLAELEC is showing solid relative strength, buoyed by expectations of new contracts and strong demand in the electric vehicle bus segment. Market sentiment remains positive, but traders should be wary of profit booking near resistance. The short-term outlook stays bullish as long as the price holds above its key support levels.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊
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🔹 Momentum
• D1:
Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing.
• H4:
Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways.
• H1:
Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Wave:
Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top.
Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed.
Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early.
• H4 Wave:
A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs.
With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher.
→ Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool.
• H1 Wave:
A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying.
As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness.
Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone.
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🔹 Trade Plan
• Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887
• Stop Loss: 3895
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3830
📌 Notes:
• This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable.
• If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline.
• Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 01.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 01.10.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Sets Record Close, Will Bulls Push Toward 3900 Next?Gold printed another all time high yesterday and closed with the strongest daily, monthly, and quarterly close on record. As expected with month-end and EOQ flows, we saw a phase of profit booking, but price quickly found support around the psychological 3800 level and Weekly R1 (3806), which is holding as a key demand zone for now. The overall structure remains bullish, and today gold is attempting to break above the previous day high / previous month high. A confirmed H4 close above this level would likely fuel continuation toward the next psychological milestone at 3900. On the downside, a breakdown below 3800 could open room for a corrective move into lower supports. For the near term, the market is trading within a range of 3810–3865/70, and a decisive breakout from this band will likely define the next directional leg.
NIFTY Analysis 1 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amMarket closed at a critical breakdown level
pattern Sideways for last 3 sessions
Momentum Oversold,so a pullback is expected if key supports hold
First half may see dip 24553 zone is crucial support
If holds and bounces above 24599 expect short covering rally towards 24709 and 24840
If breaks below 24553 weakness may extend to 24432
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.