NIFTY : HIT or MISS? Next Move Explained🧠 Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis | Accurate Highs & Bottoms Predicted | Next Move Explained
I had accurately predicted both the top (Wave III) and the bottom (Wave IV) of the Nifty move — as seen in the attached chart 📈
The corrective zone at Wave C / 3 and the final retracement completion around Wave 4 were both identified in advance, confirming the accuracy of our earlier projection.
🔍 Current Technical Outlook
Nifty has completed its Wave (IV) correction and is now attempting to form an impulsive Wave (V) move.
Price is currently trading around 25,880, taking resistance near the extended retracement zone of the previous swing high.
If this level is crossed and sustained, the next upside momentum can unfold in multiple stages as shown below.
📈 Upside Projections
Next Resistance Zone: 26,645 – 27,100
🔸 Price may slow down or move sideways to retest the breakout here.
Major Profit Booking Zone: 27,892 – 28,322
🔸 This is a key Fibonacci extension and Wave (V) target area where partial booking is advised.
⚙️ Support & Risk Levels
Immediate Support: 25,814 – 26,000
Major Support: 25,306
Critical Support / Reconfirmation Zone: 24,010 (Failed Wave B / Wave 2 zone)
📉 If prices fail to hold 25,800–25,300, we may see a retest toward 24,000–24,200, which would only delay but not invalidate the long-term bullish structure.
🧭 Expected Price Behaviour
As long as Nifty stays above 25,300, the Wave (V) uptrend remains intact.
Prices can show sideways consolidation or retest near the breakout before pushing higher.
Any strong breakout above 26,650–27,100 can open the gate for 28,000+ targets.
⚠️ Keep Watch & Stay Cautious
Watch for rejection candles or low-volume breakouts near 26,600–27,000 zone.
Stay alert for profit booking or reversal signals near 27,800+.
Ideal approach: Buy on dips, book partial profits near resistance, trail stop-loss.
📅 Posted on: 30 Oct 2025
Trend Analysis
XAU/USD — Rejection Expected from Resistance Zone for Bearish CoCurrent Price: $4,005
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,040
Gold is approaching a strong resistance area that previously triggered a pullback.
Trend Structure:
The market is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary.
Key Observation:
A false breakout or rejection at the resistance could initiate a downward correction.
Bearish Signal Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell): $4,015 – $4,035 (look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing near resistance)
Target 1: $3,960
Target 2 (Main Target): $3,913
Stop Loss: $4,045 above resistance zone EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:RC1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1!
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish confirmation candle on 15M or 30M timeframe.
Break below $3,980 will strengthen bearish momentum toward target.
Signal Summary (📉 Sell Setup):
Direction Entry TP1 TP2 SL ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:W1! EUREX:FGBM1! EUREX:FGBS1! EUREX:FGBS1! ICEEUR:GWM1! EUREX:FXXP1! EUREX:DOWF1! ICEEUR:XZ1!
🔻 SELL 4,015 – 4,035 3,960 3,913 4,045
Major Counter Trendline Structure, Strong Channel & Demand FlipThe weekly chart for Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd (CPCL) presents a robust technical development without classic breakout language.
-Price action has respected a prominent red counter trendline, with the latest move representing a shift in momentum against the prior trend.
-A clean parallel channel with dotted lines has formed, indicating sustained price progression and orderly accumulation over several months.
-There's a key supply-demand conversion zone, now acting as a pivotal support area after functioning as resistance. This is where previous selling interest is replaced by renewed buying activity.
-Notably, volumes are surging in alignment with this move, confirming broad participation and strong conviction among buyers.
Gold Futures MCX-2H — A Possible Double Zigzag at PlayThe decline from 132,294 unfolded into a clean 5-wave impulse, with Wave 3 extending 1.618 × Wave 1 and Wave 5 measuring nearly equal to Wave 1 — a classic Fibonacci rhythm confirming the completion of Wave W at 117,628.
The ongoing rebound appears corrective, unfolding as an A-B-C structure for Wave X. A move toward the 124–125 k zone could complete Wave C, setting the stage for another 5-3-5 leg lower as Wave Y — potentially mirroring Wave W.
Gold might just be correcting a bit more before it gleams brighter.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
PB Fintech attempts recovery after first major correctionTopic Statement:
PB Fintech Ltd (PolicyBazaar) is recovering from its first significant correction following a steady bull run, with price action now approaching key resistance levels.
Key Points:
1. The stock retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level at 1300, where it found strong support and began to stabilize
2. A wedge candlestick pattern is forming, and a breakout in either direction could determine the next trend
3. The price faces stiff resistance at the 2000 mark, which may act as a ceiling unless bullish momentum drives a breakout
RBLANK: Volume Squeeze Hints at Major BreakoutIdea Summary: Daily Time frame
RBLANK formed a massive 'Mother Candle' on Oct 20, 2025, then consolidated inside its range for 7 days. Volume has been declining during this compression, creating a classic volatility squeeze. The stage is set for a high-probability breakout.
Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Trigger: Daily close above 328.85
Confirmation: Surge in volume (must exceed 20-period average)
Target 1: 340
Target 2: 380
Target 3: 400
Stop Loss: 302 (trail stops after T1)
The Rationale:
The mother candle showed institutional interest. The 7-day consolidation with declining volume indicates exhaustion of sellers. Any breakout with significant volume expansion confirms fresh buying momentum, suggesting a sustained move.
Volume Logic: Declining volume during consolidation + volume expansion on breakout = high-probability trade. Without volume confirmation, the breakout lacks conviction.
Risk: Position size according to the 302-329 risk range. False breakouts possible without volume confirmation.
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Trade at your own risk.
Nifty outlookBased on nifty performance, Index looks like double top near 26000!. After a tremendous bull run in the month of October reached new 52 week high. Despite this run even on monthly expiry day nifty failed to reach all time high!!. After that fed action failed to fuel the bulls. I think till next trigger like Bihar election, US - India trade deal nifty will oscillate in a range between 26100 - 25500
Nifty Outlook Based on nifty performance, Index looks like double top near 26000!!. After a tremendous bull run in the month of October reached new 52 week high. Despite this run even on monthly expiry day nifty failed to reach all time high!!. After that fed action failed to fuel the bulls. I think till next trigger like Bihar election, US - India trade deal nifty will oscillate in a range between 26100 - 25500
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
H&S Breakout in INGERRAND
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
South Indian Bank Ltd — Going South Before It Heads North?After a stellar impulsive rise, South Indian Bank seems to be taking a short trip south — just to refuel for its next northern journey.
The weekly chart unfolds a beautiful Elliott Wave sequence, where Wave 5 of (3) topped precisely at ₹40.30 , aligning exactly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 (₹22.30–₹26.95) projected from Wave 4 (₹28.11).
Such precision often signals wave exhaustion — and that’s what we’re seeing now, as prices cool off from the climax of Wave (3). The retracement zone between ₹31.30 (0.5) and ₹29.18 (0.618) may act as a potential support area for the upcoming Wave (4) .
Interestingly, the broader price curvature hints that this Wave (4) correction might also sculpt a handle-like structure , completing a larger cup base before Wave (5) takes the lead. But that’s a story for later — for now, the textbook Fibonacci alignment deserves the spotlight.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Indian Hotels Co. Ltd:NSE | swing trading setup | Study🧠 1. Chart Pattern Formation
You’ve drawn and highlighted three rounded bottoms (circled in blue). This resembles a Triple Bottom pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation after a downtrend or a long consolidation.
Support zone: Around ₹710–₹715 (black horizontal line).
Resistance trendline: Descending (green line) connecting lower highs since the major top near ₹900.
If the price breaks above this descending trendline convincingly with volume, it could confirm a trend reversal or at least a strong swing rally.
-----------
📈 2. Key Levels
Support: ₹710–₹715
Immediate Resistance: ₹760 (trendline resistance)
Breakout Target 1: ₹820 (approx. +9–10%)
Breakout Target 2: ₹870–₹900 (approx. +15–16%)
These match the vertical projections (blue measured moves) drawn on the chart.
⚠️ 5. Risks / Invalidations
If the stock falls below ₹710 with volume, the bullish setup fails.
Consolidation can continue if breakout lacks volume.
Broader market weakness (Nifty, hotel sector) could delay the move.
Pattern: Triple bottom with descending trendline
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirmed
Setup Type: Swing trade (2–6 weeks)
Targets: ₹820 / ₹880–₹900
Stop-loss: ₹710
⚠️ Note:
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. The above analysis is for educational and technical study purposes only. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before taking any trade.
#Gold | From Double Top Breakdown to Potential W Reversal#XAUUSD | 4H Chart
Formed an M pattern (Double Top) , broke down, and completed its target ✅
Now taking support at the demand zone, showing early signs of a W-pattern formation (potential bullish reversal).
Support: 3944.43 / 3915.52 / 3892.95-3897.13
Immediate Resistance: 4030.34-4033.87
Key Resistance Levels:
4056.70-4065.52 / 4133.00-4154.79 / 4185.91-4205.12 (previous M-pattern breakdown zone)
Expectation:
If #XAUUSD surpasses 4034 on 4 HCB , price may retest the M-pattern breakdown zone (4185-4205) .
#Gold #XAUUSD #Wpattern #Mpattern #ChartPattern #PriceAction #Commodities
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Aditya Birla Capital | Bullish Momentum with Exceptional Volume 💹 Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (NSE: ABCAPITAL)
Sector: Financial Services | CMP: ₹326.80 | View: Bullish Continuation Setup
📊 Price Action:
Aditya Birla Capital witnessed a bullish breakout from a tight consolidation range, confirming renewed buying interest.
Price action shows strong momentum as the stock reclaimed short-term resistance with conviction.
Sustaining above 325 can open the path toward 340–347 in the short term, supported by high-volume expansion.
💼 HNI Trade Levels (STWP Setup):
Aggressive Entry: 326.80–328.81 | Stop Loss: 310.58
Low-Risk Entry: 323.14 | Stop Loss: 305.51
HNI and institutional traders have shown clear accumulation interest backed by strong volumes.
The bullish structure with expanding range candles indicates smart money positioning early into the trend.
Momentum continuation is likely as long as price sustains above 314–316 support.
📉 VCP Analysis:
Aditya Birla Capital displays a classic Volatility Contraction Pattern, tightening across the last few weeks before the breakout.
Today’s 20-day volume breakout confirms the end of contraction and the beginning of a volatility expansion phase.
The setup indicates strong institutional intent aligning with the final stage of the VCP breakout.
📈 STWP Trading Analysis:
Entry: 328.80 | Stop Loss: 310.58
Strong bullish candle supported by a 5x surge in volume highlights aggressive participation.
The trend structure remains positive with a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Holding above 320 will keep the bias firmly bullish and validate the ongoing uptrend.
📏 Fibonacci Analysis:
The Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low at 269.84 to swing high at 350.50 places the price near the 38.2% zone, maintaining a healthy correction within trend.
Holding above 314–316 (23.6%) keeps the pattern intact and supports trend continuation.
A breakout above 333.87 (resistance 1) could drive a move toward 347–353, aligning with the Fibonacci extension projections.
🧭 STWP Support & Resistance:
Resistances: 333.87 | 340.93 | 353.07
Supports: 314.67 | 302.53 | 295.47
While resistance zones near 333–353 may face mild supply, supports between 302–314 appear strong with institutional defense.
Major demand zones are visible near 283–295, confirming deep accumulation pockets.
The setup structure remains bullish with strong support and relatively weak resistance above 333.
📊 STWP Volume & Technical Setup:
Today’s session recorded exceptional volume at 27.94M vs 5.43M average, a 5.14x surge, confirming institutional activity.
The yellow label highlights multiple confirmations — bullish engulfing candle, RSI breakout, and Bollinger Band expansion, signaling volatility release from compression.
Indicators like MACD and Stochastic remain bullish across daily to weekly timeframes, strengthening the continuation outlook.
🧩 STWP Summary View:
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Moderate | Volume: High
Aditya Birla Capital is showing a strong technical structure with institutional footprints, rising volumes, and momentum confirmation.
Sustaining above 320 keeps risk controlled, while a decisive move above 333 could accelerate momentum toward higher resistance zones.
The bias remains bullish with trend continuation potential in the near term.
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading—whether in stocks or options—carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested.
Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. Always assess your risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any real trading decision.
Position Status: No active position in (ABCAPITAL) at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India (Past Chart Reference)
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