BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy's dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT BTC still rejected supply zone. Again. Back Short Trade. FVG level) 83k I'm want to Sell now short trend 📈
Key Resistance level 93k + 95k
Key Support level 85k - 83k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Trend Analysis
BSE Ltd Market Projection: Bearish Continuation or Weak ReversalGiven the 33% decline from 6,050 to 4,035 in just 7 days, BSE Ltd is in a strong bearish trend. The upcoming price action will depend on key levels, consolidation phases, and possible retracements.
1. Slow & Consolidation Zone (Short-Term Accumulation)
Range: 4,299 – 4,439 (Bullish Order Block)
After a sharp drop, BSE Ltd could experience a temporary consolidation in this zone.
Expect low volatility as traders assess the next move.
2. Bearish Trend Continuation if 61.8% Retracement Breaks
Key Breakdown Level: 4,035 (61.8% Fibonacci & Bearish Order Block)
If price fails to hold 4,035, the downtrend will likely extend further.
Bearish Targets:
3,690 (Psychological support)
3,333 (Major historical demand zone)
Momentum: A breakdown below 4,035 could trigger a sharp fall, accelerating selling pressure.
3. Quick but Weak Reversal from 61.8% Retracement
If BSE Ltd bounces from 4,035, it is likely to be a weak recovery.
Upside Targets:
4,194 – 4,289 (Short-term resistance)
4,439 (Major supply zone)
Rejection Risk: Sellers could step in around 4,289 – 4,439, limiting further recovery.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
The projections and price levels mentioned are based on technical analysis and market observations, which are subject to change due to market conditions, news events, and investor sentiment. Neither the author nor any affiliated parties are responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this analysis.
buy in chambal fertilizerStrengths: The company benefits from stable demand for fertilisers, government subsidies, and a strong distribution network. It is well-positioned in India's agriculture-driven economy.
Risks: The stock is sensitive to changes in government policies, fluctuations in raw material costs (like natural gas), and global urea prices. Environmental regulations could also impact operations.
Valuation: Check if the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its peers and historical averages. Analyze key metrics like P/E ratio, debt levels, and dividend yield.
Market Trends: Monitor government initiatives supporting agriculture and urea production, as well as global fertiliser market trends.
Diversification: Ensure your portfolio is diversified and aligns with your long-term strategy.
SOLARINDSSolar Industries is one of the largest domestic manufacturers of bulk and cartridge explosives, detonators, detonating cords and components which find applications in the mining, infrastructure and construction industries.
Company manufactures high-energy explosives, delivery systems, ammunition filling and pyros fuses for the defense sector.
The company manufactures bulk explosives, packaged explosives, and initiating systems, finding applications in the mining, infrastructure, construction, Defence, and Space Sector.
company manufactures High Energy Materials including HMX, RDX, TNT and their Compounds, Composite Propellants for Akash, Brahmos, PSOMXL & Space Rocket motors, Multi-Mode Hand Grenade, Mines, Warheads, etc.
Daily Timeframe Analysis – NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD on Renko Daily Timeframe Analysis – NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD (NSE: NATIONALUM)
This is a Renko Chart with 1% brick size, showing the daily price action.
Key Observation s:
1. Trend Analysis:
- The stock formed Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) until December 2024, confirming an uptrend.
- A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred, leading to a downtrend from the ₹250 zone to around ₹181.84.
- Currently, it has bounced from the ₹181.84 demand zone, which is a strong support.
2. Support & Resistance Levels:
- Strong Support:₹181.84 (Green Zone)
- Demand Zone: ₹165–₹175 (Blue Zone, marked as "Strong Low")
- Resistance Levels:
- ₹200-₹201 (Current Resistance)
- ₹210 (Major Resistance Zone)
3. Liquidity Areas & Structure:
- Weak High near ₹250 suggests it might get retested in the future.
-Equal Lows (EQL) were formed before the bounce, indicating liquidity was taken.
-Break of Structure (BOS) multiple times in the downtrend, confirming bearish momentum.
- Higher Low (HL) recently formed, indicating potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario (If Price Holds Above ₹200):
- A breakout above ₹201-₹210 could lead to a move toward ₹220-₹230.
- Stop-loss below ₹190 (previous support).
- Target 1: ₹210
- Target 2: ₹220
Bearish Scenario (If Rejected at ₹200) :
- If price faces rejection, it could retest ₹181.84, or even the ₹165–₹175 demand zone.
- A short opportunity can be considered below ₹190, targeting ₹181.84 and ₹175.
- Stop-loss above ₹202.
Conclusion:
- Price Action Near ₹200 is Key: If it breaks above, bullish momentum may continue.
- Rejection at ₹200: Could lead to a retest of ₹181.84 or even lower.
- Wait for confirmation before taking a position – A breakout candle in Renko will provide a strong directional clue.
Bitcoin trade Idea #BTC 📌 Trading Plan (Bearish Bias Near Resistance)
Based on current price action , I am bearish near resistance ($94,500-$97,000) and looking for a short setup if BTC shows signs of rejection. However, I will also consider a long on a dip if BTC pulls back into a bullish order block.
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1️⃣ Primary Setup: Short Near Resistance (Bearish Bias)
📉 Bias: Bearish at $94,500-$97,000 (Key Liquidity Zone & Bearish OB)
✅ Entry: $94,500-$97,000
🎯 Target 1: $92,500 (Liquidity Pool)
🎯 Target 2: $90,500 (Bullish OB & Prior Breakout Zone)
🛑 Stop-loss: Above $98,000 (-1R)
📊 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2R to 5R, depending on exit.
Reasoning:
Buy-side liquidity sits above $94,500-$97,000, making it a prime area for smart money to distribute and reverse.
Bearish Order Block (OB) could act as resistance.
If DXY finds support, BTC could struggle to break higher.
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2️⃣ Alternative Setup: Long on Dip (Only If Retest of Bullish OB)
📈 Bias: Bullish only on a retrace to demand zone.
✅ Entry: $90,500-$91,000 (Bullish OB)
🎯 Target 1: $94,500 (Liquidity Target)
🎯 Target 2: $97,000 (Major Resistance)
🛑 Stop-loss: Below $89,500 (-1R)
📊 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3R to 6R, depending on exit.
Reasoning:
Bullish OB at $90,500-$91,000 is a high-probability long zone.
If DXY stays weak, BTC could push higher before rejecting.
Liquidity grab below $91,000 could fuel a rally to $94,500+.
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🔥 Execution Plan
✅ Main Focus: Shorting near resistance ($94,500-$97,000) unless BTC shows strong continuation.
✅ Secondary Plan: If BTC pulls back first, I will consider a long at $90,500-$91,000 for a move up.
✅ Stop-Loss Discipline: Cutting trades quickly if invalidated to protect capital.
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📌 Final Thoughts
Primary Bias: Bearish near resistance.
Waiting for confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks, market structure shift) before shorting.
Long setup is only valid if BTC dips into demand first.
Persistent Systems LtdPersistent Systems provides software engineering and strategy services to help companies implement and modernize their businesses. It has its own software and frameworks with pre-built integration and acceleration . It also has partnership with providers such as Salesforce and AWS.
The company provides complete Digital Engineering solutions for : a) Product & Platform Engineering. b )CX & Design-Led Transformation
I will wait for a retest 50% Profit Zone. so when price reached a support zone after a massive fall I will Enter the Stock
Reasons for a Neutral to Cautiously Bullish StrategyBased on current trends, technical analysis, and market forecasts, the investment strategy for Nifty 50 can be categorized as Neutral to Cautiously Bullish.
Reasons for a Neutral to Cautiously Bullish Strategy:
1. Technical Indicators:
Support Zone: 23,900–24,000 (if held, could lead to a rebound).
Resistance Levels: 24,500–24,800 (needs a breakout for a stronger rally).
Higher Lows & Recovery Attempts: A recent bounce from a key support level suggests potential stabilization.
2. Market Sentiment & News Impact:
Trade Policy Uncertainties: The market remains volatile due to global economic concerns.
Sector Strength: IT and banking stocks show resilience, supporting a potential uptrend.
Corporate Earnings & GDP Growth: Forecasts indicate moderate growth, supporting a recovery.
3. Institutional Forecasts:
PL Capital’s Target: 27,867 in 12 months (bullish outlook).
Nomura’s Range: 21,800–25,700 (neutral to moderate growth).
Jefferies’ Growth Projection: 10% gain by year-end, targeting 26,000.
Investment Strategy:
Short-Term: Neutral – Monitor price action around 24,000–24,500 before taking aggressive positions.
Medium to Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish – If Nifty sustains above 24,500, it may enter a new uptrend, making it a buy-on-dips opportunity.
Risk Management: Maintain stop-losses near 23,700 to avoid downside risks.
CoforgeCoforge is an IT services company providing end-to-end software solutions and services. .
It is among the top-20 Indian software exporters. Prominent global customers include British Airways, the ING group, SEI Investments, Sabre, and SITA. Over the years, Coforge has set up subsidiaries in the US, Singapore, Australia, UK, Germany and Thailand, mainly to market and mobilise projects for the software division. The company has business partnerships with large IT companies across the world.
HOW IDENTIFY STOCK FOR INVESTMENT
CONCEPT :- WHEN INSTITUTION TAKE PROFIT NEAR AVERAGE 50% IN DOWN MARKET.
Nifty 50 Market Outlook: Key Levels, Trends, and Forecast.As of March 6, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is experiencing fluctuations influenced by various market factors. In recent sessions, the index has faced declines, primarily due to concerns over U.S. trade policies and their potential impact on global markets.
Current Market Trends:
Trade Policy Concerns: Persistent uncertainties surrounding U.S. trade policies have contributed to market volatility, affecting investor sentiment.
Sector Performance: Information technology stocks have shown resilience, with companies like Coforge and Infosys leading gains after securing significant deals and receiving positive forecasts.
Forecasted Levels:
PL Capital's Projection: In October 2024, PL Capital projected that the Nifty 50 could reach 27,867 within 12 months, driven by resilient sectors and cautious optimism amid geopolitical uncertainties.
Nomura's Range Estimate: As of February 2025, Nomura forecasts the Nifty 50 to fluctuate between 21,800 and 25,700 throughout the year, reflecting potential market volatility.
Jefferies' Growth Outlook: In December 2024, Jefferies anticipated a 10% increase in the Nifty 50 by December 2025, targeting a level of 26,000, supported by expectations of GDP growth and corporate earnings recovery.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Technical analysis indicates that the Nifty 50 has critical support in the 23,900–24,000 range. A sustained break below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,700. On the upside, resistance is identified between 24,500 and 24,800, which the index would need to surpass for a bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The Nifty 50's trajectory in 2025 is subject to various factors, including global trade policies, sector-specific performances, and domestic economic indicators. While forecasts suggest potential growth, investors should remain cautious of the prevailing uncertainties and monitor key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions.
**EUR/USD** daily chart ### **Market Analysis & Trading Plan (Long & Short Positions)**
#### **Technical Analysis Overview**
The **EUR/USD** daily chart, using **Heikin Ashi candles**, displays a significant price movement:
- **Trend Analysis:** The price was in a strong downtrend, staying below the **BB 104 0.1** (thick white band). Recently, the price has surged above **BB 104 0.1**, indicating a potential trend reversal.
- **Bollinger Bands (BB 20 1):** The price has broken above the **Upper Band 1 (UB1)**, signaling strong bullish momentum.
- **Momentum Shift:** The aggressive upward breakout suggests a potential overextension, increasing the likelihood of a short-term pullback.
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### **Trading Plan**
#### **Long Position (L) Strategy:**
1. **Entry Conditions:**
- A retracement towards **LB1 (Lower Band 1 of BB 20 1)** or BB 104 0.1, confirming support.
- If price remains above **BB 104 0.1**, a dip buy opportunity may present itself.
- Monitor **DMI (+DI & ADX)** to confirm trend strength.
2. **Position Sizing:**
- If **SMA 104 slopes upward**, open **2/3 of the full position**.
- If the slope is neutral, reduce to **1/2 of the full position**.
3. **Exit Strategy:**
- **Partial Take Profit (TP1):** Near **UB1** (Upper Band 1).
- **Full Exit (TP2):** If price extends towards a key resistance level.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **LB1** or BB 104 0.1 (depending on volatility).
---
#### **Short Position (S) Strategy:**
1. **Entry Conditions:**
- If the price extends far above **UB1**, indicating overextension.
- Look for **bearish confirmation signals** (e.g., rejection candles, divergence, or failure to hold above resistance).
- If **SMA 104 remains in a downtrend**, prioritize short opportunities.
2. **Position Sizing:**
- If the price remains in a **strong downtrend**, open **1/3 of the full position** or wait for further confirmation.
- If the price is near resistance but lacks clear bearish confirmation, avoid premature short entries.
3. **Exit Strategy:**
- **Partial Take Profit (TP1):** Near **MB (Middle Band of BB 20 0.2)**.
- **Full Exit (TP2):** If price retests **LB1** or support areas.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Above the recent high or **UB2 (Upper Band 2)** to manage risk.
---
### **Final Considerations**
- **Market Structure Shift:** The breakout suggests a possible **trend reversal**, but confirmation is needed.
- **Dynamic Risk Management:** Adjust **position sizes** based on **SMA 104 slope and DMI signals**.
- **Scalability:** Use **position scaling** instead of full entry/exits to optimize risk-reward.
Gold direction awaiting NFP data!!!Gold exhibited range-bound movement in the past sessions. On Wednesday, the price briefly breached the $2,900 support level but failed to sustain below it, bouncing back to test resistance at $2,930 and again fall back to $2915 level. Currently, gold remains within this consolidation phase, awaiting fresh catalysts from the NFP data release during the U.S. session.
Traders may look for buying opportunities above $2,900, with stop losses placed below $2,880. A breakout above $2,930 could open the door for further gains toward $2,955. Conversely, failure to hold above $2,900 may signal a potential pullback toward the lower support zone.
Adani Green : Bears are in control#adanigreen shares are stuck in a downtrend, showing no signs of reversal yet! 📉
🔻 Short-term downside: The stock could test ₹580-₹600 soon, and if market weakness persists, a retest of Jan 2024 lows is on the table!
🔺 Resistance ahead: Bulls need to break ₹980-₹1040 for any meaningful upside. Until then, expect selling pressure on rallies!
📊 Likely to stay sideways for months before making a decisive move.
Traders, stay cautious—breakout or breakdown, the next big move will be crucial! ⚡
#AdaniGreen #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #learn_at_stoxsense #Learntradingwithsudhir #StockMarketIndia #Optiontrading #learntrading #sebiregisteredra
Dixon Technologies (India) LimitedDixon Technologies (India) Limited, incorporated in 1993 , is a Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS) company with operations in the electronic products vertical such as consumer electronics, lighting, home appliance, closed-circuit television cameras (CCTVs), and mobile phones. It also undertakes reverse logistics operations. Besides, it manufactures security surveillance equipment, wearables & audibles, AC-PCBs. Recently, it has entered a JV with Imagine Marketing Private Limited for designing and manufacturing wireless audio solutions in India.
Market Leadership:- Dixon is the one of the largest LED TV manufacturers in India and it services more than 35% of India’s requirement. It is the largest ODM player in lighting & has the largest capacity
Divis Laboratories LtdDivis Laboratories Ltd manufactures and exports API's, Intermediates and Nutraceutical ingredients.Company manufactures Generic Active pharmaceuticals ingredients, Custom synthesis of APIs & Intermediates along with Nutraceuticals for Global Pharmaceutical & Nutraceutical industry.
GOLD MAINTAINS UPSIDE MOMENTUM AFTER ADP NONFARM DATA RELEASE🔺 Market Overview:
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum, having reclaimed key resistance levels after the ADP Nonfarm report was released yesterday. Despite recent U.S. economic data and the uncertainty surrounding tariff policies, the USD has weakened following a brief recovery over the weekend.
🔺 Current Outlook for Gold:
Given the economic news and the candle strength on the chart, I’m still looking for BUY opportunities in Gold. During the Asian and European sessions, we can anticipate BUY setups early, as Gold could reach the key resistance zones, offering good SELL scalping opportunities just like we saw yesterday at the 2928 - 2926 zone, which resulted in a 150-pip profit.
📊 Market Range Today:
The price range today may be sideways as we await important Nonfarm data tomorrow. Pay close attention to the support and resistance levels.
🔸 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 – 2942 – 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 – 2894 – 2886 – 2874
⌛ TRADING ZONE FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Final Thoughts & Trading Tips:
Key Levels: The key levels have been noted above. Pay attention to the critical support and resistance zones.
Stay Focused: Today, the market is likely to be in a sideways range, so be patient and wait for confirmation before executing trades.
Nonfarm Data: Keep an eye on important Nonfarm data tomorrow. This could trigger significant price movements.
💡 Reminder: Always follow your TP/SL levels to ensure safe trading and protect your capital. Trade with caution and stay disciplined!