AsianPaints | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained !!Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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Trend Line Break
Sun Pharmaceutical, Bearish - SidewaysThe stock has seen exponential rise since last many months without any intermittent major corrections. The fresh trend lines created have been breached now, and stock seems to have entered into sloping / sideways channel since Feb. Expect to see corrections upto 1300-1250 or upto the trend line which will be healthy for accumulation & gather momentum for future uptrend.
MAJOR TRENDLINE BREAKOUT IN WIPRO ABOVE 530Wipro is giving a major trendline breakout at the level of 530. It is a signal of long in wipro. We can buy this stock at the current level@535 with aSL of 495 on closing basis. Target will be 590 & 640 respectively in a very short term. More upside potential possible up to the level of 700.
ADF FOODS near Breakout Zone; Will it Breakout or consolidate ?ADF Foods Ltd. is an interesting chart with following
1. Price consolidating for last 11 month's and is near breakout levels.
2. RSI on all time frames above 60
3. Narrowing Bollinger Bands with price walking on upper Bollinger Band
4. Price Rise with huge Volume bars
5. Major Support near 215- 228 zone being cluster of moving average supports.
A stock to keep on Radar ; A Consolidation ;
Will it breakout or continue consolidating ?
CAUTION : RSI Negative Divergence visible on charts
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to buy on dips with my own Risk Reward matrix.
PRAKASH INDUSTRIES -A BREAKOUT : WILL IT SUSTAIN OR FIZZLE OUT ?Prakash Industries Ltd. is an interesting chart with following
1. Price Breakout from last 10 month's Consolidation
2. RSI on all time frames above 60
3. Narrowing Bollinger Bands with price walking on upper Bollinger Band
4. Price Rise with huge Volume bars
5. Major Support near 170- 192 zone
A stock to keep on Radar ; A breakout will it Sustain or fizzle out
CAUTION : RSI Negative Divergence visible on charts
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to buy on dips with my own Risk Reward matrix.
Trading setup for Tata Technology1. Lower Tops and Lower Bottoms: This pattern suggests that the stock was in a downtrend after its initial listing, with each high being lower than the previous high and each low being lower than the previous low.
2. Consolidation: Since July 2024, the stock has been consolidating at lower levels. This typically indicates a period of stabilization where the price is moving within a range, suggesting accumulation by investors. During this phase, the stock might not be making significant gains but is building a base.
3. Breakout: The stock has recently broken above the downtrend line with high volume. This breakout from a downtrend line, especially when accompanied by high volume, is often seen as a bullish signal. It suggests that buying interest is strong and the stock may be poised for an upward move.
4. Bullish Implications: The combination of consolidation at lower levels and a breakout with high volume can be interpreted as a positive signal. It indicates that the selling pressure has subsided and there could be potential for further gains if the bullish momentum continues.
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Consider buying the stock if it trades above ₹1040.
Stop-Loss (SL): Set your stop-loss at ₹980 to manage risk.
Target: The target is open-ended, meaning you expect the price to rise significantly, but you will need to monitor for potential exit points based on further analysis or changes in market conditions.
It’s always wise to stay updated with any fundamental changes or news that could impact the stock and adjust your strategy accordingly. Good luck with your trade!
***Disclaimer : This is my personal view, please trade after consultation with your financial advisor. I am neither a SEBI Register RA or RIA.
Regards
Arvind Kumar Yadav, Cfa
Arvind Share Academy
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Fibonacci 78% Retracement
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* Disclaimer
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Bought CAMPUS at 313 , Will add more at 297-303
- Completed Inverse Head & Shoulder formation
- Resistance zone breakout(done) and
retest(pending)
- RSI is not overbought
- Trading above 50,100,200 EMA (bullish sign)
- Short term target-348
- Long term target-393
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Short term target: 348
Long term target: 393
Finished Trades (2/2)
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CAPLIPOINT - Target hit in 4 sessions (check out it in ideas section)