Nazara TechnologyWe are closely following Nazara Technologies and believe it’s poised for a breakout based on its technical patterns. Consolidation near resistance often suggests a potential for a breakout if the price action confirms it. If Nazara Technologies breaks through the 1020 level, it could indeed pave the way for further upside, potentially reaching your targets of 1350, 1500, and 1650+.
It’s always good to keep an eye on broader market conditions and any company-specific news that could impact the stock’s performance. Additionally, setting stop-loss orders or having an exit strategy in place might help manage risk if the price movement doesn’t go as expected.
Trend Line Break
Technical Analysis on SBI CardSBICard is currently exhibiting several noteworthy technical indicators that suggest a potential bullish trend is emerging.
1. SBICard has experienced a consolidated phase over the past three years, during which its price movements have remained contained. Recently, the stock has broken through a significant weekly trendline, indicating a shift in market sentiment. This breakout is crucial, as it often signals the end of a consolidation period and the potential for a new upward trajectory.
2. The weekly Stoch RSI has surpassed the critical threshold of 70. This level is typically associated with overbought conditions; however, in the context of a breakout, it can also indicate strong momentum. Traders should consider that while a high RSI may raise caution, it does not necessarily imply an immediate reversal, especially if accompanied by strong volume and positive price movement.
3. Approximately two weeks ago, a MACD crossover occurred, which is often interpreted as a bullish signal. This technical indicator has acted as a reliable predictor of trend changes in the past, and its recent crossover reinforces the notion that upward momentum may be gaining strength.
4. Last week, SBICard experienced notably high trading volume, which adds confirmation to the breakout. An increase in volume typically suggests that there is strong interest from buyers, lending credibility to the price movement. When breakouts are coupled with high volume, they are generally considered more sustainable.
5. An analysis using Elliott Wave Theory indicates that the prior five-wave downtrend may have completed its cycle, paving the way for corrective waves and potentially an upward trend. This framework suggests that the stock could be in the early phases of a new upward wave cycle, which could enhance bullish prospects.
A pivotal level to watch is the 200-period weekly EMA, located around the price of 813. A sustained positive close above this EMA would be a bullish signal, reinforcing the upside potential. If this level holds and the stock continues to advance, the next significant resistance level is seen around 933. On the downside, traders should note a short-term support zone at 753. This level will be crucial for any potential pullbacks, as a breach below this support could negate some of the bullish outlook and indicate a need for further analysis.
From a risk management perspective, the current scenario presents a favourable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this stock analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Ascending Triangle in formation. Price Action:
1. **Ascending Channel**: The price is still moving within an upward sloping channel. Currently, the stock seems to be testing the lower trendline of the channel, which has served as support in the past. A break below this level could lead to a deeper correction, while a bounce off this support could trigger a rally toward the upper end of the channel.
2. **Downtrend Line**: There is a descending trendline acting as resistance for the recent price action. This line connects the peaks from July 2023 onward. If the price breaks this resistance, it may signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
3. **Volume**: The volume bars show a spike in recent sessions, indicating increased activity. This could be a sign that the stock is approaching a pivotal point. If the price breaks either above the descending trendline or below the channel, this volume could support the momentum in that direction.
### RSI:
1. **Current RSI**: The RSI is around 52.79, close to the neutral zone. This indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at the moment, but the RSI is still following a downtrend line, meaning the momentum is not strongly in favor of the bulls just yet.
### Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: If the price can break above the descending trendline, it might resume its uptrend within the channel. The target would be the upper boundary of the channel, around ₹220-₹240. The volume increase supports this possibility, but the RSI trendline needs to be broken for stronger confirmation.
2. **Bearish Scenario**: A break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish trend. This could lead to a more significant downside move, with potential support around ₹150-₹160. The RSI divergence could further support this breakdown scenario.
### Conclusion:
L&T Finance Ltd. is at a critical point, balancing between its support and resistance levels. The next few trading sessions will be key in determining the direction—whether the stock breaks out above the downtrend line and continues upward or breaks down below the channel and sees a correction.
Posted for my own analysis as I learn to trade based on the technicals.
ROSSARI Long Idea.............ROSSARI BIOTECH looks good from chart.
Stoploss and Targets are given in chart.
It is also a good swing trade which is taking support near 44ema.
Should Plan trade with proper risk management.
NOTE : It is just Technical chart analysis of ROSSARI. No idea about company fundamentals.
AsianPaints | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained !!Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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SBICARD Looks good...SBICARD looks good for reversal in weekly chart.
Can Accumulate between 700-750 zone. Might reach channel upper line in coming years. Targets are given.
Stoploss for longtermInvestors is given.
Note : No idea about fundamentals. View is completely based on technical view of chart.
Sun Pharmaceutical, Bearish - SidewaysThe stock has seen exponential rise since last many months without any intermittent major corrections. The fresh trend lines created have been breached now, and stock seems to have entered into sloping / sideways channel since Feb. Expect to see corrections upto 1300-1250 or upto the trend line which will be healthy for accumulation & gather momentum for future uptrend.
MAJOR TRENDLINE BREAKOUT IN WIPRO ABOVE 530Wipro is giving a major trendline breakout at the level of 530. It is a signal of long in wipro. We can buy this stock at the current level@535 with aSL of 495 on closing basis. Target will be 590 & 640 respectively in a very short term. More upside potential possible up to the level of 700.
ADF FOODS near Breakout Zone; Will it Breakout or consolidate ?ADF Foods Ltd. is an interesting chart with following
1. Price consolidating for last 11 month's and is near breakout levels.
2. RSI on all time frames above 60
3. Narrowing Bollinger Bands with price walking on upper Bollinger Band
4. Price Rise with huge Volume bars
5. Major Support near 215- 228 zone being cluster of moving average supports.
A stock to keep on Radar ; A Consolidation ;
Will it breakout or continue consolidating ?
CAUTION : RSI Negative Divergence visible on charts
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to buy on dips with my own Risk Reward matrix.
PRAKASH INDUSTRIES -A BREAKOUT : WILL IT SUSTAIN OR FIZZLE OUT ?Prakash Industries Ltd. is an interesting chart with following
1. Price Breakout from last 10 month's Consolidation
2. RSI on all time frames above 60
3. Narrowing Bollinger Bands with price walking on upper Bollinger Band
4. Price Rise with huge Volume bars
5. Major Support near 170- 192 zone
A stock to keep on Radar ; A breakout will it Sustain or fizzle out
CAUTION : RSI Negative Divergence visible on charts
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to buy on dips with my own Risk Reward matrix.
Trading setup for Tata Technology1. Lower Tops and Lower Bottoms: This pattern suggests that the stock was in a downtrend after its initial listing, with each high being lower than the previous high and each low being lower than the previous low.
2. Consolidation: Since July 2024, the stock has been consolidating at lower levels. This typically indicates a period of stabilization where the price is moving within a range, suggesting accumulation by investors. During this phase, the stock might not be making significant gains but is building a base.
3. Breakout: The stock has recently broken above the downtrend line with high volume. This breakout from a downtrend line, especially when accompanied by high volume, is often seen as a bullish signal. It suggests that buying interest is strong and the stock may be poised for an upward move.
4. Bullish Implications: The combination of consolidation at lower levels and a breakout with high volume can be interpreted as a positive signal. It indicates that the selling pressure has subsided and there could be potential for further gains if the bullish momentum continues.
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Consider buying the stock if it trades above ₹1040.
Stop-Loss (SL): Set your stop-loss at ₹980 to manage risk.
Target: The target is open-ended, meaning you expect the price to rise significantly, but you will need to monitor for potential exit points based on further analysis or changes in market conditions.
It’s always wise to stay updated with any fundamental changes or news that could impact the stock and adjust your strategy accordingly. Good luck with your trade!
***Disclaimer : This is my personal view, please trade after consultation with your financial advisor. I am neither a SEBI Register RA or RIA.
Regards
Arvind Kumar Yadav, Cfa
Arvind Share Academy
BSE Stock 78% Retracement | Elliot Wave ABC CorrectionBSE Stock 78% Retracement | Elliot Wave ABC Correction
Chart patterns Trendline Breakout than Retest.
Fibonacci 78% Retracement
Price Above 200 & 50 EMA
Bullish Reverse Divergences
Elliot Wave - BSE stock seems to be a Long in the short term because it has done ABC correction after completing the 5th wave. Right now the 1st and 2nd wave have been completed. The third wave is running.