Trend Line Break
MOTILALOFS Price actionMotilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOTILALOFS) has experienced **strong price momentum over the past year, rising more than 50%**. The stock recently traded between ₹854 and ₹929, with its all-time high of ₹1,064 reached in October 2024 and a 52-week low near ₹488.
**Short-term action:**
In the last week, the stock moved up by about 0.4%, and in the past month, it gained nearly 7%. Over three months, the gain was especially notable at nearly 40%. However, the stock is highly volatile—about 3.8 times as volatile as the Nifty index—and has a high beta of 1.79, indicating large price swings.
**Recent trend:**
After peaking above ₹1,000 in late 2024, MOTILALOFS saw a correction, dropping to the ₹700-800 range by mid-2025. Since then, it has rebounded, climbing back above ₹850. The last few sessions show a mix of minor gains and losses, reflecting ongoing volatility and active trading interest.
**Volume and liquidity:**
Trading volumes have been robust, with some sessions seeing over a million shares traded, especially during sharp moves. This indicates strong liquidity and sustained investor interest.
**Valuation and fundamentals:**
The stock is considered overvalued relative to market averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio above 20 and a price-to-book ratio above 4. Its dividend yield is modest at 0.58%. Despite high volatility, the company has delivered solid profitability and efficiency metrics, with return on equity above 25%.
**Outlook:**
Analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting potential upside toward ₹1,150, though downside risk remains to ₹763. The company’s business is diversified across broking, asset management, investment banking, and housing finance, and recent results show strong revenue growth, especially in wealth management and housing finance. However, there have been short-term challenges, such as a decline in cash market share and weaker performance in private wealth management.
**Summary:**
MOTILALOFS is in a recovery phase after a sharp correction, showing renewed upward momentum but with high volatility. The outlook is positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sector growth, but investors should remain cautious due to the stock’s elevated valuation and price swings.
HAVELLS | Pleasant set up - INHS & RSI divergenceHAVELLS | Pleasant set up - INHS & RSI divergence
Strong RSI divergence in daily time frame
Inverted Head & Shoulder setup also in visual
A small dip may be possible for 8-10% in this stock , as market (NIFTY) is over heated. But we can consider that as opportunity to scale up the position
CMP : 1550 (Dip : 1480)
MEDIASSIST | High probable setup - Looks good for 30%MEDIASSIST | High probable setup - Looks good for 30%
Technically, the stock is strong and recent news—like the Star Health deal—is positive. The coming lock-in expiry, however, could trigger volatility. With solid digital expansion but elevated valuation, it's likely attractively positioned yet not without risk.
CMP : 532 (Dip : 500)
SL : 470
Shorting BTCUSD After Trendline Failure & Bearish RetestPlanning to short BTCUSD as price has rejected from the descending trendline resistance after breaking the minor ascending trendline support. The confluence of trendline rejection and bearish retest suggests potential downside continuation.
Entry Zone: ~107,300–107,350
Stop-Loss: Above 107,550 (recent high)
Target: 106,550 support area
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 (Min) 1:4 (Final Target)
Quote:
"Trendline confluence and failed bullish continuation often lead to deeper pullbacks."
📊 Summary of the Idea
✅Reason for Entry: Multiple rejections at trendline + structure breakdown.
✅Confirmation: Retest rejection candle.
✅Invalidation: A clean breakout and hold above the descending trendline.
Supreme Power Equipment: Technically Strong, Chart of the MonthNSE:SUPREMEPWR Technically Strong Momentum is my pick in this month's "Chart of the Month"
Price Action Analsis:
- Stock currently trading at ₹227.50, up 21.35 (+10.36%), showing strong bullish momentum
- Recent breakout from a prolonged Correction phase that lasted from July 2024 to May 2025
- Price has successfully cleared multiple resistance levels and is now approaching previous highs
- Strong recovery from the March 2025 lows around ₹95-100 levels
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Current volume at 324.68K shares, significantly higher than the 20-day average
- Volume spike during the recent breakout confirms institutional participation
- Volume pattern shows accumulation during the consolidation phase
- Strong volume support during the current upward move validates the breakout
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Immediate support: ₹210-215 (recent breakout level)
- Secondary support: ₹190-195 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major support: ₹160-170 (consolidation zone)
- Critical support: ₹120-130 (long-term moving average zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance: ₹240-250 (previous high zone)
- Major resistance: ₹280-290 (historical resistance)
- Ultimate target: ₹350-370 (measured move from base)
Base Formation:
- Clear accumulation base formed between ₹120-250 from July 2024 to May 2025
- Base depth of approximately 130 points provides a strong foundation
- Base duration of 10+ months indicates strong institutional accumulation
- Recent breakout from this base suggests potential for significant upward move
Technical Patterns:
- The cup and Handle pattern formation is visible on the monthly timeframe
- The ascending triangle breakout pattern recently completed
- Moving average convergence suggesting trend reversal
- RSI is likely showing bullish divergence from the March lows
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary entry: ₹225-230 on any pullback to the breakout level
- Aggressive entry: Current market price ₹227.50 for momentum traders
- Conservative entry: Wait for retest of ₹210-215 support zone
- Scale-in approach: 50% at current levels, 50% on any dip to ₹215
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹280 (24% upside) - Previous resistance zone
- Target 2: ₹320 (41% upside) - Measured move target
- Target 3: ₹370 (63% upside) - Ultimate breakout target
- Trailing stop: Use a 10% trailing stop once Target 1 is achieved
Stop-Loss:
- Initial stop-loss: ₹195 (14% downside risk)
- Breakeven stop: Move to ₹230 once price reaches ₹260
- Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing high
Position Sizing:
- Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate risk tolerance: 3-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive traders: 5-7% of portfolio (with tight stops)
- Maximum exposure: Not more than 7% given single stock concentration risk
Risk Management:
- Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 minimum for all positions
- Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on this single trade
- Use position sizing calculators to determine the exact share quantity
- Consider partial profit booking at each target level
- Monitor sector rotation and overall market conditions
Sectoral Backdrop:
Power Equipment Sector Overview:
- India's power sector is undergoing a massive transformation with a renewable energy push
- The government's target of 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030 is driving equipment demand
- Infrastructure spending and rural electrification programs supporting sector growth
- PLI scheme for manufacturing provides additional tailwinds
Sector Challenges:
- Raw material cost inflation is impacting margins
- Supply chain disruptions affecting delivery timelines
- Intense competition from Chinese manufacturers
- Regulatory changes and policy uncertainties
Sector Opportunities:
- Make in India initiative favours domestic manufacturers
- Rising power demand from industrial and commercial sectors
- Smart grid implementation creating new revenue streams
- Export opportunities in emerging markets
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
- Established player in power transmission and distribution equipment
- Strong order book providing revenue visibility
- Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk
- Experienced management team with industry expertise
Financial Health:
- Need to verify recent quarterly results for revenue and profit trends
- Debt levels and interest coverage ratios require monitoring
- Cash flow generation capability is important for sustained growth
- Return on equity and asset turnover metrics need evaluation
Growth Catalysts:
- Government infrastructure spending on the power sector
- Rural electrification and grid modernization projects
- Renewable energy integration requires specialized equipment
- Potential for export market expansion
Risk Factors:
- Dependence on government orders and policy changes
- Working capital-intensive business model
- Competition from larger players and imports
- Raw material price volatility affecting margins
My Take:
NSE:SUPREMEPWR exhibits a strong technical setup, characterised by a clear breakout from a well-formed base. The combination of volume confirmation, sector tailwinds, and government policy support creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. However, traders should maintain disciplined risk management and avoid overexposure to this single position.
Honourable Mentions:
Other stocks that have a good Setup
NSE:KIRLOSBROS , NSE:CGCL , NSE:SUNDRMFAST
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Titan - Trendline BO Post Q4 - Chart of the Week NSE:TITAN has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe and qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea post decent Q4 Results.
About:
NSE:TITAN is among India’s most respected lifestyle companies. It has established leadership positions in the Watches, Jewellery and Eyewear categories, led by its trusted brands and differentiated customer experience. It was founded in 1984 as a joint venture between TATA Group and Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation (TIDCO).
Technical View:
The stock has decisively broken above a major descending trendline (marked with a white line) that had contained price action since July-August 2024. This trendline has been respected multiple times over approximately 8-9 months, making today's breakout particularly significant.
The breakout occurred with substantial price momentum, as indicated by the large green candle and 5 %+ gain, suggesting conviction behind the move.
A critical demand zone (marked in green) around ₹2,900-3,000 that has repeatedly provided strong support. This zone has been tested and respected at least four times (marked with green arrows), demonstrating its importance as a major technical floor.
Since January 2025, the stock has formed progressively higher lows, indicating increasing buying interest at higher price levels.
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Key Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹3,600 (horizontal level from previous swing highs)
Major Resistance: ₹3,886.95 (52-week high/all-time high)
Psychological Resistance: ₹3,750 (round number between current price and highs)
Key Support Levels
Immediate Support: ₹3,400-3,450 (previous resistance turned support)
Trendline Support: ₹3,350 (the broken trendline should now act as support)
Critical Support: ₹2,900-3,000 (major demand zone that has consistently held)
Structural Support: ₹2,750 (low of the most recent significant pullback)
Trade Setup:
The combination of a clean trendline breakout, strong momentum, and historically reliable support zone suggests Titan Company may be poised for continued upside. Based on technical projections:
Target(Take Profit):
Near-term Target: ₹3,700-3,750 (measured move from the breakout point)
Intermediate Target: ₹3,886.95 (retest of previous high)
Longer-term Potential: New all-time highs above ₹3,900 if momentum continues
Stop Loss:
The critical factor to watch will be whether the stock can maintain positions above the broken trendline on any pullbacks. This would confirm the validity of the breakout and strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, a failure to hold above ₹3,400 could signal a false breakout scenario.
Keep in the Watchlist and on your Radar.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Weekly CT & Hiddenline Cracked – Supply/Demand Zones In PlayThis weekly chart shows a well-defined price structure shaped around multi-timeframe supply and demand dynamics:
🟩 Green Zone – Broad demand zone, price has respected this area multiple times recently.
🟥 Red Zone – Long-standing WTF supply zone, tested multiple times in the past.
⚪️ White Solid Line – Active CT (corrective trendline), which has been broken cleanly on this week’s candle. Being a weekly close (Friday), the breakout carries more weight.
⚪️ Dotted White Line – A hidden resistance trendline, possibly acting as a confluence level for prior rejections. That too has been convincingly breached.
📊 Notice the strong volume spike on the breakout – always worth watching in a structure like this.
🔁 No predictions. Not a call. Just chart structure and context.
BIRLACABLE - Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 BIRLA CABLE LTD (BIRLACABLE) – Cup & Handle Breakout with Fibonacci Targets | RSI Overbought | Volume Spike | Daily Chart
📅 Chart Date: June 18, 2025
📈 CMP: ₹208.05 (+14.11%)
📍 Ticker: NSE:BIRLACABLE
🔍 Technical Chart Breakdown
☕ Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout
BIRLACABLE has confirmed a Cup & Handle breakout above the neckline at ₹197.88 (also 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level), suggesting bullish continuation after a long consolidation. The breakout is clean with a wide bullish candle.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (from swing high ₹315.10 to swing low ₹125.41)
38.2% (Breakout Zone): ₹197.88 ✅
50.0%: ₹220.26
61.8%: ₹242.64
78.6%: ₹274.50
Target: 100% Fibonacci: ₹315+
💹 RSI & Momentum
RSI at 73.75, entering overbought territory 🔼
Multiple RSI bullish crossovers visible during base formation
RSI suggests strong buying momentum, ideal for trend continuation
📉 Trendline Breakout
Downtrend resistance (dotted line) broken along with horizontal neckline
Aligns with volume-based breakout, confirming strength
🕯️ Volume Confirmation
Huge spike in volume (4.44M) on breakout day — highest in months
Suggests institutional or smart money activity
📍 Key Price Levels
✅ Breakout Level: ₹197.88
🚀 Fibonacci Targets:
₹220.26 → 50%
₹242.64 → 61.8%
₹274.50 → 78.6%
₹315+ → 100% (Full target)
🛡️ Support Levels:
₹197 (neckline support)
₹170.18 (23.6% Fib)
₹150 (handle base)
💡 Trading Idea
Entry: Close above ₹198 or on retest of neckline
Stop Loss: Below ₹185 or ₹170
Targets: ₹220 → ₹243 → ₹275 → ₹315
Risk-Reward: Favorable with strong confirmation
Swiggy Base and Trendline BONSE:SWIGGY gains as Morgan Stanley starts coverage with 'overweight' rating; sees 22% upside.
On Daily Chart, it Could Signal a 35% Breakout - Here's the Exact Level Every Trader is Watching
Price Action Analysis:
The chart reveals a classic consolidation phase following Swiggy's IPO debut in November 2024. After an initial surge to highs around 465 levels post-listing, the stock underwent a significant correction, falling to lows near 297 in March 2025. Currently trading at 362.75, the stock shows signs of building a base in the 310-370 range.
Volume Analysis:
Volume patterns indicate institutional interest with notable spikes during key price movements. The stock gained nearly 17% on its trading debut, signalling growing investor confidence in food and grocery delivery firms. The recent volume of 22.31M shares suggests active participation, though lower than peak trading days.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Primary Support: 305-310 (marked by green horizontal line)
- Secondary Support: 297 (March 2025 low)
- Critical Support: 280 (psychological level)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: 370-375 (red horizontal line marking recent highs)
- Major Resistance: 420-430 (post-IPO consolidation zone)
- Ultimate Target: 465 (all-time high)
Base Formation:
The stock has formed a rectangular consolidation base between 310-370 levels over the past 3-4 months. This 4-month base-building phase indicates potential accumulation by institutional investors, typical behaviour post-IPO as initial volatility settles.
Technical Patterns:
A descending trendline resistance (marked in white) from the March highs is being breached. The current price action suggests a potential breakout from this falling wedge pattern, which is typically bullish.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Conservative Entry: 375+ on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation
- Aggressive Entry: 365-368 on current levels for base play
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: 400 (intermediate resistance)
- Target 2: 430 (major resistance zone)
- Target 3: 465 (all-time high retest)
Stop Loss:
- For breakout trade: 355 (below recent consolidation)
- For base play: 305 (below primary support)
Position Sizing and Risk Management:
- Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio
- Position size calculation: (Portfolio value × 2%) ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss)
- For a 100,000 portfolio: (100,000 × 2%) ÷ (365 - 305) = 33 shares maximum
- Reward-to-risk ratio: 1:2.5 minimum
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
NSE:SWIGGY food delivery business achieved profitability in March, with a current market cap of 83,088 crores and revenue of 15,227 crores. However, the company still reports losses of 3,117 crores, indicating it's in a growth investment phase.
The IPO was priced at ₹390 per share, raising ₹11,327.43 crores, providing substantial capital for expansion. The company operates a hyperlocal on-demand delivery model, connecting nearby restaurants and service providers to customers, with diversification into grocery delivery (Instamart) and logistics services.
The food-tech sector in India remains attractive due to increasing digitization and changing consumer behaviour. Recent antitrust concerns regarding discount practices by fast-delivery companies, including Swiggy, indicate regulatory scrutiny, which could impact future growth strategies.
Risk Factors:
- High cash burn rate despite revenue growth
- Intense competition with Zomato, Zepto and other players
- Regulatory challenges in the quick commerce space
- Market volatility affecting new-age tech stocks
My Take:
The technical setup suggests accumulation phase completion with potential for a significant move higher, supported by improving fundamentals in the core food delivery business, achieving profitability. Follow the Strict Trade Plan as Explained Above.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Gold Futures is forming a rising wedge with weakening momentum.
Gold is currently testing a rising trendline on the daily/weekly chart.
A trendline breakdown could signal a shift from bullish to corrective phase.
If the trendline breaks, the structure suggests:
Stop-loss: ₹101,000
Target 1: ₹90,000
Target 2: ₹86,000
This aligns with a potential retracement before the next macro wave (e.g., Fed rate cut cycle or global risk-off).
Technical Development on Weekly Chart – Birla Cable📈 BIRLA CABLE – Chart Talking Loud Now!
✅ 200 DEMA crossed
200 Dema was providing solid resistance and now taken out marked with blue line.
❌ At Counter-Trendline
Solid CT thrown from the top of the pattern, dotted white line shows that.
✅ Demand Zone Holding Strong
Clearly shown a solid supply zone which got converted into a Demand only after the Breakout some months back.
After months of consolidation and rejection from the same supply zone… price is now attacking with volume 🔥
🧠 “When structure aligns with emotionless patience, conviction follows.”
Samvardhana Motherson BreakoutMOTHERSON Stock Analysis
MOTHERSON stock is breaking out again on the monthly chart after previously reaching a new all-time high and then declining. It recently broke the trend-line with good buying pressure. The target could be the all-time high or lower, but it may take a few months to reach if things go well. Stop-loss should be set based on individual risk appetite.
Index Inclusion : Part of NIFTY NEXT 50 and NIFTY 100 indices, indicating significant market presence.
Financial Highlights:
- Revenue Growth : Consistent increase over recent quarters, reaching Rs 113,662 crore in Mar 2025.
- Net Profit : Also rising, with Rs 3,618 crore in Mar 2025.
- EPS : Improved to Rs 5.50 in Mar 2025.
- Annual Revenue & Profit : Steady growth over the past five years, with revenue surpassing Rs 113,662 crore and net profit over Rs 3,618 crore in 2025.
Financial Performance:
- Profit Margins : Net profit margin around 3.18% in Mar 2025.
- Valuations : P/E ratio at approximately 23.81, indicating moderate valuation.
- Debt Levels : Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.42, reflecting manageable debt.
- Cash Flow & Balance Sheet : Operating cash flow remains strong; assets and liabilities Show growth aligned with revenue expansion.
These financial insights are sourced from Moneycontrol.
Conclusion :
Motherson International shows a consistent growth in revenue and profits, with stable financial ratios and manageable debt levels. Its inclusion in major indices and recent financial performance suggest it remains a significant player in its sector. However, the recent stock decline indicates market caution, so investors should monitor market sentiment closely.
This is for educational purposes only and not a buy or sell recommendation.
From Breakdown to Breakout: A V-Shaped Surprise!This chart of Sterlite Technologies (W1) tells a compelling price action story:
📉 The stock initially consolidated at a demand zone, only to break down sharply, flipping that zone into a fresh supply area.
💥 What followed was a strong V-shaped recovery, accompanied by significant volume expansion.
🚀 The reclaimed supply zone was decisively taken out, leading price right into the Active Counter Trendline (CT).
🔁 This Active CT now stands as a key structure; the stock needs to form a higher low near the reclaimed demand zone for structural strength.
⚠️ Ahead, we have two higher-timeframe resistances in sight:
📏 An Inactive Weekly CT (dotted)
📡 The WTF 200 DEMA, a major trend filter
While this is not a call or forecast, the shift in structure, volume, and reclaiming of supply tells a story of possible trend transition — something worth keeping on the radar.
DBLDBL showing strength after so long. Now fresh volume may push it towards all time breakout. Near 560 level it may face resistance but if in case it successfully sustains above that then it has a potential to do wonder in span of 6-12 months. It can go up to 775 to ATH even. Fundamentally too showing good strength in recent quarters. All the factors are currently supporting. My view will be changed if it breaks 480 and closes below it. Track it closely.