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Nifty 50 Index 24579.60 by Daily Chart viewNifty 50 Index 24579.60 by Daily Chart view - Nifty Gap Up Opening of 18-August-2025 has got filled in - Bearish Double Top instigated Nifty Index for the downfall trend - Resistance Zone 25050 to 25350 for Nifty 50 Index levels acting firmly, for well over a year - Support Zone at 24350 to 24600 for Nifty 50 Index levels has stood the ground strongly, well over a year - Bullish "W" pattern observed in the making process with a repeat Bullish Double Bottom hence can we hope to foresee a Resistance Zone Breakout ???
NSE:NIFTY
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
USDCAD – Bearish Trade Setup (1H Timeframe)Trade Details Entry: 1.38469 Stop Loss: 1.38845 Target: 1.37977 🔹 Technical Reasons for Bearish Bias Trendline Breakdown Price recently broke below the rising trendline, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened. The failed retest of the broken trendline confirms bearish pressure. Moving Averages Confirmation The short-term moving averages (yellow lines) have crossed to the downside, aligning with bearish sentiment. Price is trading below these moving averages, signaling sellers are in control. Lower High Formation After the sharp drop, the latest pullback failed to make a new higher high. This indicates a shift from bullish structure to a bearish lower-high pattern. Weak Recovery Attempt The rebound after the drop is shallow and lacks strong bullish candles. This suggests the market is unable to regain bullish momentum. 🔹 Risk Management The Stop Loss is placed above the recent swing high (1.38845), protecting against sudden spikes. The Target is set at 1.37977, aligning with recent support levels and offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔹 Trade Outlook This setup anticipates continuation of the bearish trend after the trendline break. Unless price reclaims and sustains above 1.3885, sellers remain favored in the short term. A successful breakdown could open the way for deeper downside in USDCAD. ✅ Summary: Bearish structure confirmed by trendline break, bearish moving average alignment, and weak recovery → Entered short at 1.38469, targeting 1.37977 with stop at 1.38845.
Short
by Crystal_0404
Bearish Trade Setup for ETH/USDOverview: The setup for this trade is based on a bearish outlook for Ethereum (ETH) against the US Dollar (USD) on the 1-hour chart. The entry, stop loss, and take profit levels are carefully defined to provide a balanced risk-to-reward ratio. Here's why this setup is a solid trade idea: 1. Trade Entry: Entry Price: 4574.87 The entry point is set based on a recent price retracement within the prevailing downtrend. The price has shown signs of rejection from key resistance levels, and the trade is positioned to capitalize on further downside momentum. 2. Target Price: Target Price: 4241.87 The target level is derived from technical analysis, where price is expected to move toward previous support levels, presenting a logical exit point for profits. 3. Stop Loss: Stop Loss Price: 4741.37 The stop loss is placed above recent swing highs, ensuring the trade has enough room to breathe while minimizing the risk of false breakouts. This level is a protective measure to ensure that a reversal or unexpected price movement does not lead to unnecessary losses. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: RRR: The trade has an acceptable risk-to-reward ratio, where the potential reward outweighs the risk by more than 1:1. This is crucial for maintaining profitability over the long term. 5. Trend Analysis: The market is currently in a bearish phase, as seen in the price action and the overall downtrend. The setup capitalizes on this momentum with a proper risk management strategy. The use of indicators like moving averages can further confirm the downtrend, though they are not displayed here, they should align with the bearish trend. 6. Volume Confirmation: The volume should ideally be decreasing during the retracement phase and increase during the move towards the target price, confirming the bearish continuation. 7. Conclusion: This trade is well-positioned to take advantage of a continuation of the bearish trend. The entry, stop loss, and target are all logically placed based on key price levels and risk management principles. As always, ensure to monitor the trade, and be ready to adjust if market conditions change unexpectedly.
DELTAIN:ETHUSD.PShort
by Crystal_0404
Hindustan copper Trend AnalysisHindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) - Monthly Chart : Trend Analysis- Long-term Trend: Strong uptrend since 2020, visible with higher highs and higher lows. Current Position: After a sharp rally to 414, the stock corrected and is now consolidating around 280. 200-Month MA (red curve): Acts as a strong long-term support trendline. Chart Pattern👉 Cup & Handle Formation: The stock formed a long cup (2010-2020) and has broken out. Now it is forming a handle/consolidation phase. Rising Channel: Price is moving inside an upward channel (blue lines). Support Levels 1. 240 - Strong immediate support (monthly close basis). 2. 205 - Next strong support (channel + trendline confluence). 3. 165- Major base (only if bigger correction comes). 📈 Resistance Levels 1. 318- First hurdle (recent swing high). 2. 414- Previous top, very important resistance. 3. 513- Long-term target zone shown on your chart. 🚀 Next Big Leap🎯 If stock sustains above 318, momentum buying can take it back toward 414. A monthly close above 414 will confirm a fresh breakout, next big target opens to 513-550 zone. In the longer run (2-3 years), if 513 is crossed and sustained, stock could head towards 750+. Risk Note: Below 240 on monthly close- weakness. Below 205- trend reversal risk (long-term investors must watch this level closely). Summary: Hindustan Copper is in a long-term bullish structure. It is currently consolidating in a handle phase between 240-318. A breakout above 318 can lead to a retest of 414, and then a big move towards 513+. Long-term investors should stay put as long as 205 support holds. Disclaimer- This analysis is only for educational and learning purposes. It is not an investment or trading advice. Stock market investing is risky- please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any decisions. #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by Global_Growth_Mentor
Part1 Ride The Big MovesUnderstanding Greeks (The DNA of Options Pricing) Delta – How much the option price changes per ₹1 move in stock. Gamma – How fast delta changes. Theta – Time decay rate. Vega – Sensitivity to volatility changes. Rho – Interest rate sensitivity. Mastering the Greeks means you understand why your option is moving, not just that it’s moving. Common Mistakes to Avoid Holding OTM options too close to expiry hoping for a miracle. Selling naked calls without understanding unlimited risk. Over-leveraging with too many contracts. Ignoring commissions and slippage. Not adjusting positions when market changes.
NSE:KOTAKBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
HARSHA Price ActionHarsha Engineers International Ltd is trading around ₹414 as of early August 2025. The stock has seen a modest increase of about 3% over the past six months but a significant decline of roughly 23% over the past year. The 52-week price range is wide, with a low near ₹330 and a high close to ₹584, indicating notable price volatility. Valuation-wise, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio around 35 and a price-to-book ratio near 0.33 to 3.1 depending on sources, reflecting mixed signals; the low book value multiple might suggest undervaluation relative to its assets, while the P/E suggests reasonable earnings expectations. The company has a market capitalization near ₹3,770 crore. Financially, Harsha Engineers has delivered poor sales growth of under 10% over the past five years, which may have contributed to the recent price softness. Dividend announcements have been made recently, providing some income to shareholders. The stock’s mid-term outlook appears cautious with moderate price movement and valuation reflecting both risks from muted growth and some stability in fundamentals. In summary, Harsha Engineers currently trades at a level indicating some undervaluation on a book value basis, but the stock price reflects concerns about slow growth and past volatility. Investors should weigh the company’s solid asset base against subdued sales growth and potential market fluctuations when considering the stock.
NSE:HARSHALong
by KamalKJoshi
Sumitomo Chemical | Positional Swing Setup with Dynamic SLA strong setup is forming in Sumitomo Chemical with bullish c price action and trend indicators. Entry can be been initiated at current levels with small quantity with a stop-loss placed at ₹570 on a weekly closing basis. No fixed targets. This is a trailing stop-loss-based position aimed at capturing a sustained trend move. Add-on Zone: If the price retests the support near the ₹630 level (previous structure/support), more quantity will be added as part of a pyramiding strategy, provided broader market structure remains bullish. Indicators Used for Trailing SL & Confirmation: ADX & DI , RSI Levels Exit Criteria: Weekly close below ₹570 (hard stop) Note: This is a disciplined, structure-based swing trade with optional pyramiding. Avoid impulsive exits; trail stop-losses logically based on trend indicators.
NSE:SUMICHEMLong
by internal_0rgan
2
Regression channel & Harmonic pattern - Short term bearish trendObservations: 1. It is short term bearish trend as long as price holds above 24400 2. Price is below 50 DEMA Possible Scenarios: 1. Price may attempt a mean reversion toward the median line of the channel 2. A break above could retest the 25,240–25,337 resistance zone, up move can only be considered when weekly candle will closed above that level because on weekly time frame there is 4 crows formation. 3. Harmonic patterns (1:1) suggests, the level of 24470 Support level in coming 10-15 trading days.
NSE:NIFTY
by OK_Rane
G G Automotive Gears Ltd One-Page Equity ResearchInvestment Thesis – BUY | Target Price ₹300 | Upside ~24% India’s only listed pure-play traction–gear specialist with 50-year pedigree and >500 OE customers Rail & Metro orders at record high; Indian Railways raising locomotive build plan by 27% for FY26, driving multi-year volume visibility Successful diversification into wind-energy, mining & industrial forgings lowers cyclicality and lifts blended margins Balance-sheet repair complete; net-debt / equity down to 0.53× vs 1.52× in FY23 Snapshot (Standalone) CommentRevenue (₹ Cr)95.377.336% EBITDA Margin12.7%10.0% PAT (₹ Cr)4.431.9497% EPS (₹)5.322.4544% ROCE14.9%8.2% P/E (TTM)26.5× Market Cap₹ 241 C Valuation & Target We apply 32× FY26E EPS (₹9.4) – a 30% discount to peer Elecon (45×) to reflect smaller scale but superior growth trajectory. Derived Target Price ₹300 (prior ₹241 close), implying 24% upside plus optionality from export traction gears. Key Catalysts Indian Railways 100% electrification → higher demand for reduction gearboxes Metro build-out (20+ cities) – first export order executed FY24 proves capability Unit-III & IV capacity added FY24 (+30k sq ft) unlocks 35% volume expansion without major capex Potential government PLI scheme for rail components may grant 6% incentive on sales (not in model). Risks to Thesis Lumpy order inflow from Railways could stretch working capital Alloy-steel price spikes may compress gross margin; 65% raw-material cost is steel Customer concentration: top-three PSU units >55% of revenue Small free float → liquidity risk in sharp market Initiate BUY with ₹300 target; accumulate on dips toward ₹220. Recommend watch on quarterly order-book disclosures for traction confirmation.
BSE:GGAUTOLong
by rmhetre15
OFSS Price ActionOracle Financial Services Software Ltd (OFSS) is currently trading around ₹9,030, reflecting a volatile but active price environment. Over the past week, the stock declined by nearly 3%, but it has gained over 6% in the last month and more than 15% in the past three months. Despite this recent recovery, OFSS remains down about 29% over six months and approximately 13% over the past year. Technically, the stock has faced strong resistance in the ₹9,060–₹9,288 range, with immediate supports at ₹8,837, ₹8,731, and ₹8,611. A close above ₹9,195 could trigger fresh buying momentum, while a sustained move below support levels may signal further downside. Options data indicates heightened volatility, with active trading in both calls and puts near the ₹8,000–₹9,500 strikes. Fundamentally, OFSS reported a 7.4% year-on-year revenue increase in FY2025, with net income up 7.2% and a robust profit margin of 35%. The company’s earnings per share beat analyst expectations, though revenue was slightly below estimates. The dividend yield stands at a healthy 2.96%, and the company maintains a strong market capitalization above ₹77,000 crore. Overall, OFSS is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp correction, with short-term price action suggesting a cautious but potentially positive outlook if key resistance levels are breached.
NSE:OFSSLong
by KamalKJoshi
MOTILALOFS Price actionMotilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOTILALOFS) has experienced **strong price momentum over the past year, rising more than 50%**. The stock recently traded between ₹854 and ₹929, with its all-time high of ₹1,064 reached in October 2024 and a 52-week low near ₹488. **Short-term action:** In the last week, the stock moved up by about 0.4%, and in the past month, it gained nearly 7%. Over three months, the gain was especially notable at nearly 40%. However, the stock is highly volatile—about 3.8 times as volatile as the Nifty index—and has a high beta of 1.79, indicating large price swings. **Recent trend:** After peaking above ₹1,000 in late 2024, MOTILALOFS saw a correction, dropping to the ₹700-800 range by mid-2025. Since then, it has rebounded, climbing back above ₹850. The last few sessions show a mix of minor gains and losses, reflecting ongoing volatility and active trading interest. **Volume and liquidity:** Trading volumes have been robust, with some sessions seeing over a million shares traded, especially during sharp moves. This indicates strong liquidity and sustained investor interest. **Valuation and fundamentals:** The stock is considered overvalued relative to market averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio above 20 and a price-to-book ratio above 4. Its dividend yield is modest at 0.58%. Despite high volatility, the company has delivered solid profitability and efficiency metrics, with return on equity above 25%. **Outlook:** Analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting potential upside toward ₹1,150, though downside risk remains to ₹763. The company’s business is diversified across broking, asset management, investment banking, and housing finance, and recent results show strong revenue growth, especially in wealth management and housing finance. However, there have been short-term challenges, such as a decline in cash market share and weaker performance in private wealth management. **Summary:** MOTILALOFS is in a recovery phase after a sharp correction, showing renewed upward momentum but with high volatility. The outlook is positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sector growth, but investors should remain cautious due to the stock’s elevated valuation and price swings.
NSE:MOTILALOFSLong
by KamalKJoshi
MCX - Bullish Breakout Opportunity (Daily Timeframe)Stock: MCX ( NSE:MCX ) Trend: Bullish Momentum Building 🚀 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable Setup) Trade Parameters 🎯 Entry Zone: ₹6,200 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹5,531 (Daily Closing Basis) (~10.8% Risk) 🎯 Target Levels: ₹6,515.65 ₹6,852.60 ₹7,160.00 ₹7,479.80 ₹7,854.20 ₹8,200 (Final Target) Technical Rationale ✅ Bullish Flag Breakout - Price has broken out from consolidation pattern ✅ Strong Momentum - Daily & Weekly RSI >60 (Bullish territory) ✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 868K vs previous day's 571K (~52% increase) ✅ Technical Structure - Higher highs and higher lows formation Key Observations • The breakout comes with significantly higher volume • Multiple targets allow for progressive profit booking • Attractive 1:3 risk-reward ratio • Strong technical structure supporting bullish case Trade Management Strategy • Consider partial profit booking at each target level • Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved • Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses • Watch for volume confirmation on upside moves Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading losses that may occur from using this information. What do you think? Are you watching this breakout on NSE:MCX ? Share your views in the comments!
NSE:MCXLong
by raigvivek
Bombay Dyeing : Market Cycle Recap✅ 1. Markup Phase (4 June 2024 – 25 July 2024) Price movement: ~80% rally. 1. RSI behavior: RSI stayed above neutral (never oversold), frequently nearing overbought. 2. Volume: Increasing — confirmation of strong upside momentum. 3. Participants: Smart money and institutions led the rally. 🚨 2. Distribution Phase (~6 Months) Price action: Sideways movement in a 20% range 1. Volume: Likely choppy or decreasing, with spikes on down days — a classic distribution sign. 2. RSI: Range-bound between 40–60 — no trend, loss of momentum. 3. Participants: Institutions unloading to retail/inexperienced participants. 🔻 3. Markdown Phase Breakdown: Support breached after distribution range. 1. Price movement: Dropped ~50% from support breakout. 2. RSI: Frequently oversold — sign of strong weakness. 3. Volume: Likely increased on down days — panic selling. 🧱 4. Accumulation Phase (Last 3 Months) Price action: Consolidated in ~15% narrow range. 1. RSI: Did not touch oversold zone — indicates seller exhaustion. 2. Participants: Value investors, smart money slowly building positions. 3. Volume: Gradually increasing — early signs of interest. 🔔 Current Technical Signal (20 May 2025) Breakout: Price has now closed above the resistance of the accumulation range. Volume: Above-average — confirms breakout strength. 1. RSI: Approaching overbought zone — sign of bullish momentum returning. 2. Price is above 20 EMA and 50 EMA. 3. Expected bullish crossover or confirmation already happened. 📊 Interpretation: Strong Bullish Reversal in Progress Smart money has likely finished accumulating. Breakout from the accumulation zone with volume, RSI trend, and moving average confirmations all suggest the early stage of a new markup phase is starting. This could be the start of a fresh uptrend or the first leg of a longer bullish swing, especially if: Broader market supports cyclical or value stocks. Company-specific fundamentals (earnings, business outlook) align with technical cues. ✅ Actionable Steps (Not Financial Advice) Entry: Traders: Consider entry near breakout retest (if occurs). Investors: Start building position gradually if long-term reversal is confirmed. Risk Management: Stop-loss: Just below the accumulation range (tight) or recent swing low (looser). Position sizing based on volatility and risk appetite. Targets: Near-term: 15–20% move based on accumulation range height. Medium-term: 50–80% potential if this is a true markup phase (mirroring last cycle). Confirmation Factors: Look for increasing volume in subsequent up candles. Weekly close above breakout zone. Fundamental support (news, earnings upgrade, insider buying, etc.). If you'd like, I can also: Draw a price cycle chart based on your description. Help you draft a trade plan or investment thesis. Pull recent news or updates on Bombay Dyeing (using live data). Let me know how you'd like to proceed!
NSE:BOMDYEINGLong
by Arvind_Share_Academy
GBPCAD - Is Bullish Breakout Ahead?TF: 4h GBPCAD is initiating along opportunity by completing 4th intermediate wave at 1.83464 . We can expect a retracement then reversal with near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. Once price comes down, we will have the opportunity to go long with minimum stop level at low of the wave 4 at 1.83640 . The bullish scenario is capable GBPCAD to provide 1.8654 - 1.8748 targets to the buyers. If the breakdown occurs, wave (4) will go deep. We update this chart time to time. Traders should only buy after a clear reversal.
by Money_Dictators
Bearish outlook remains intact near 1.0300The EUR/USD pair continues to extend its decline, reaching around 1.0305 in the early European session on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a significant increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and stated that he would unveil reciprocal tariffs against other countries in the coming days. From a technical perspective, the bearish outlook for EUR/USD remains intact, with two key resistance levels at 1.0396 and 1.0329. While the pair is encountering resistance at the 1.0329 level, breaking through this level does not necessarily indicate a strong upward movement, as the pair still faces the previous resistance at 1.0396. If the downtrend continues, the pair could potentially decline towards the 1.0210-1.0200 range. Recommendation: Given the current bearish outlook and strong resistance levels above, entering a **sell** position around the 1.0329 or 1.0396 levels could offer a profitable opportunity. However, be cautious of fundamental factors that could change rapidly, especially any announcements from the U.S. government regarding tariffs.
by Brigi_ta
JPY eased slightly ahead of Trump's inaugurationThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fluctuated between small losses and slight gains against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair trying to stabilize around the 156.15-156.20 range during the early European trading session on Monday. Core machinery orders in Japan increased for the second consecutive month, signaling further recovery in capital spending. This, along with bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates later this week, provided a modest boost for the JPY. Additionally, a fresh round of US dollar (USD) selling contributed to the day’s decline in USD/JPY. However, a generally positive risk tone and the uncertainty surrounding the trade policy of incoming US President Donald Trump limited any significant upward movement for the safe-haven JPY. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated BoJ two-day policy meeting starting on Thursday. From a technical perspective, Friday’s recovery from the support level marked by the lower boundary of the long-standing uptrend channel is slowing down near the 156.55-156.60 region. This area now serves as the immediate resistance, and a new short-sell position could allow the USD/JPY pair to reclaim the round number of 157.00.
TFEX:USDJPY1!
by Brigi_ta
Expleo SolutionsTechnical Analysis of Expleo Solutions: Expleo Solutions' price has been range-bound for over two years, specifically 847 days. The peak it reached between May 2023 and August 2023 is considered an outlier, as the stock has since reverted to its prior trading range. Despite this, the stock has experienced a notable 55% increase in trading volume, from 6.2 million shares to 9.6 million over the last 470 days. This increase is significant when compared to the previous 470-day period. The MACD also suggests a decline in seller interest, indicating potential shifts in momentum that could lead to a more positive outlook. Two key support and resistance levels have been identified, which will be pivotal in determining future price movements. Potential Risk: The primary risk to the stock's upward trajectory is the possibility of a broader market correction, particularly influenced by uncertainty in the Index and geopolitical tensions. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational purposes and is not a purchase recommendation. It is important to learn how to recognize and understand patterns in stock movements.
NSE:EXPLEOSOL
by sandeepbalachandran