Trendtrading
Comprehensive Research - McDonald’s Stock Set to SoarQuick read:
McDonald's stock is poised for a bullish move, with Wave 3 likely starting and strong support near 290.50–295.00. Traders should long on dips within this range, for next resistance levels, 326.00 and 348.00 with a invalidation below 276.00. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward in a long-term uptrend. Alternative safe entry is possible after the break of corrective channel breakout of wave (2).
Elliott Wave Forecast:
TF - Daily
The chart suggests that McDonald’s stock is in the middle of a larger upward move known as Wave C, which comes after completing a complex correction. Wave C is expected to unfold in five smaller waves, a pattern that usually points to a strong uptrend. It appears the correction is behind us, and a fresh bullish phase is underway.
Starting from the low at 276.53 , marked as Wave B, the price climbed to 326.32 , forming Wave one. After that, the stock pulled back to 290.50 , forming Wave two. This pullback followed a typical ABC pattern within a corrective channel, which often signals the end of a downturn and the beginning of an upward move.
Now, Wave three seems to be starting, and this is usually the strongest part of Wave C. The price is expected to move above 335 , take a small pause for Wave four, and then rise again to complete Wave five somewhere around 345 to 350 dollars. This positive outlook remains intact as long as the price stays above 290.50 . With the breakout from the corrective channel, the setup looks strong and clear for buyers.
Fibonacci levels:
Fibonacci Extension Targets:
1.000 extension: 326
1.618 extension: 348
Correction Retracement Levels:
Wave 2 retracement: 78.6%
A = C in A-B-C correction: 289.21
Price Action & shifting of value:
TF: Weekly
McDonald’s stock has been steadily climbing inside a rising channel since late 2020, showing a clear long term uptrend. The price has respected both the top and bottom edges of this channel very well, and interestingly, the middle line has acted like a pivot, providing support or resistance multiple times over the years.
Recently, the stock made a higher low at 276.53 and bounced back strongly, keeping the bullish structure intact. It then pulled back to 290.50 , right around the middle line of the channel, and held above an upward sloping trendline. This kind of price action shows strength and suggests buyers are stepping in.
The sharp move from 276.53 up to current levels looks like a strong bullish leg, possibly driven by accumulation. If the stock can break above its recent high of 326.32 , it could head toward the upper end of the channel. As long as the price stays above 290.50 and especially above 276.53 dollars, the bulls remain in control. Even if the price dips a bit, the long term trend stays positive unless the lower boundary of the channel breaks down.
I will update more Information here.
NSE IONQ - Are we ready for a breakout?The corrective phase is complete and an impulse move appears likely. A strong buy above the A-B-C channel could target levels around 30 - 37 - 45 or higher. Good entry is possible above 26 . However, if conditions worsen, further corrections may ensue.
I will update further information soon.
IFCI Intraday Trade (Short)IFCI is in down-trend and sellers have again trapped the buyers in discount zone. So there are high chances of price moving to Target 1 if Nifty is not very much bullish in coming sessions.
Simple trade based on buyer-seller psychology understanding. 1:6+ RR Trade.
If you have any questions. Do ask in comments.
Follow for more such simple and awesome setups. Thanks. Happy trading!
MOTHERSON Short Trade with 1:4 RRPrice is in down-trend in 1D time frame. Buyers got trapped in discount zone after forming a liquidity pool. (Inverse head & shoulder pattern retail traders got trapped )
If Nifty is bearish then there are high chances that MOTHERSON will also continue its down-trend.
Follow for more such simple setups based on Trend, Liquidity Grab and Current market direction. Happy Trading!
Gold view on 02 april (entry model explain in description)Hello
It's a jayesh balar.
in this entry model requirement in uptrend 2 lover high and down trend 2 highr low
in uptrend when market create 2 lover high then mark this two low and and find this gap range and then copy this range apd past 2nd low when market comes down next time touch this range high point and show some rejection you can enter and range low point is your SL same as a down trend.
(This model interesting point is this give unlimited time entry this model only failed when market try to shifting trend)
And my English was so bad so i know this description is not that much good so if you doubt anything you can comment your questions
If you have a any "Questions"
Ask me in comment
GOOGL - Elliott Wave Final ShowdownGOOGL has dropped over 27.28% , reaching a minor profit-booking zone. The $150 level serves as a key demand zone, where a potential price reversal could occur. The formation is either expanded flat or a running flat on the daily timeframe chart.
Confirmation is best observed near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. If bearish momentum persists, prices may decline further to the $142-$140 range before a strong rebound. Once the correction ends, the upside targets are $168, $180, and $195.
A new low will form if the previous low is breached. Further research will be uploaded soon.
Gold Next Move 3200?🔎 15-Minute Chart (Intraday Analysis)
50 EMA as Dynamic Support:
Price is respecting the 50 EMA (red line), indicating bullish strength.
📈 Support Levels:
$3,099 & $3,087 - Strong support zones for a possible bounce.
$3,071 - Deeper support if price pulls back further.
• Current Price Action:
• Price is pushing higher but approaching resistance.
📌 Conclusion: If the 50 EMA holds, price could continue its upward move. If it breaks, we may see a pullback toward $3,099 or lower.
🔎 1-Hour Chart (Short-Term Targets & Ranging Market)
⚠️ Breakout from Ranging Market:
• Price was consolidating in a range around $3,098 - $3,120 before breaking out.
Fibonacci Targets:
• 1st Target: $3,141 (already reached).
• 2nd Target: $3,162 (next potential level).
Support & Resistance Levels:
📉 Resistance: Near $3,141 - $3,162 (Fib targets).
📈 Support: Around $3,098 and $3,087 (marked with red and green lines).
📌 Conclusion: The breakout is bullish, and if price holds above $3,141, it may push toward $3,162. A break below $3,098 could signal a retracement.
🔎 4-Hour Chart (Trend & Key Levels)
Trend: Strong uptrend inside an ascending channel.
Buy Entry & Exit Points:
• A Buy was placed near the lower trendline.
• Buy Exit was taken at a key resistance level before a pullback.
• POI (Point of Interest) Level:
• A demand zone (light blue area) around $2,980 - $3,000, where price previously reacted.
Moving Averages:
• The 50 EMA (red line) is acting as a dynamic support.
• The 200 EMA (blue line) is providing long-term support.
Resistance & Support Levels:
📉 Resistance: Near $3,150 (upper trendline).
📈 Support: Around $3,059 and $2,980 (marked green lines).
📌 Conclusion: Price is moving towards the upper trendline. If it breaks, we could see more bullish momentum. If rejected, a pullback toward POI is likely.
🔹 Overall Market Summary & Trading Plan
✅ Bullish Bias: Price is in an uptrend on multiple timeframes.
✅ Next Resistance: $3,150 - $3,162 (watch for rejection or breakout).
✅ Pullback Zone: $3,098 - $3,087 (potential buy area).
🚨 Risk Management: If price breaks below $3,087, a deeper retracement may occur.
📌 Trade Idea:
🟢 Long Entry: On pullbacks to $3,098 - $3,087.
🎯 Target: $3,150 - $3,162.
❌ Stop Loss: Below $3,071 for risk control.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢 Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
Bajaj Holding Short Term Swing TradeBajaj holding has grabbed monthly and weekly liquidity while maintaining is uptrend.
If Nifty holds current levels ie. above 22400 then Bajaj Holding has high chances to move up and continue its trend.
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GUJARAT FLUOROCHEM Swing TradeOn weekly time frame, a liquidity pool was formed and sellers got trapped two times in GUJARAT FLUOROCHEM forming a double bottom, which can fuel a good potential up move.
Also it has recently grabbed liquidity from previous day low so if Nifty holds above 23400 then there are good chances of GUJARAT FLUOROCHEM to reach T1 which will be a 1:4 RR trade.
Abbott India Swing TradeOn weekly time frame, sellers are trapped badly in Abbott India which can fuel a good potential up move. Also it has recently grabbed liquidity from previous week low so if Nifty holds above 23000 then there are high chances of Abbott to reach T1 and T2 which will be a 1:5 RR trade.
63MOONS Price action63 Moons Technologies Ltd (63MOONS) is currently trading at ₹732.80, showing a bullish trend with some mixed signals.
## Price and Performance
- Current price: ₹732.80
- Day range: ₹702.00 - ₹732.80
- 52-week range: ₹550.65 - ₹1,078.80
## Technical Indicators
- RSI: Above 70, indicating overbought conditions
- MACD: Generating a strong BUY signal
- ADX: Showing strong momentum with a BUY signal
## Moving Averages
- Price is above the 20-day EMA, suggesting bullish momentum
- All major moving averages indicate a strong uptrend
## Support and Resistance
- Key support levels: ₹713.56, ₹699.58, ₹638.67
- Key resistance levels: ₹779.35, ₹783.23, ₹791.47
- Long-term support at ₹540 and resistance at ₹1,030
## Fibonacci Levels
Recent downtrend (Jan 9, 2025 - Jan 28, 2025):
- 23.6% retracement: ₹747.45
- 50% retracement: ₹813.95
- 61.8% retracement: ₹843.67
## Volume Analysis
Volume-based indicators show selling momentum, despite the price increase
## Market Sentiment
The overall technical analysis suggests a “Strong Buy” signal, with the stock trading near recent highs
## Outlook
63MOONS is in a strong uptrend, breaking above key resistance levels. However, overbought conditions and selling pressure in volume indicators suggest caution. The stock has shown significant volatility, with a recent downtrend followed by a sharp recovery.
Traders should watch for potential consolidation or pullback near the resistance levels of ₹779.35 and ₹783.23. Support at ₹713.56 and ₹699.58 could provide buying opportunities if the uptrend continues.
Given the mixed signals, investors should closely monitor price action and volume for confirmation of trend continuation or reversal before making trading decisions.
MAXHEALTH Price actionBased on the current technical analysis of Max Healthcare Institute Ltd (MAXHEALTH), the stock is showing mixed signals with a bullish bias:
## Price and Performance
As of March 19, 2025, MAXHEALTH is trading at ₹1,080.90, up 6.29% from its previous close . The stock has shown significant volatility in recent months:
- Day range: ₹980.35 - ₹1,001.45
- 52-week range: ₹719.45 - ₹1,227.95
- All-time range: ₹97.15 - ₹1,227.95
## Technical Indicators
- **RSI (14)**: 88.367, indicating overbought conditions
- **MACD**: 23.2, suggesting bullish momentum
- **ADX (14)**: 53.972, indicating a strong trend
- **Supertrend**: 1085.84, slightly above the current price
- **Parabolic SAR**: 942.81, well below the current price, suggesting an uptrend
## Moving Averages
All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day) are showing buy signals for both simple and exponential calculations . This indicates strong bullish sentiment across different time frames.
## Volume Analysis
The latest trading volume is 152K, which is lower than the 5-period average volume of 455K . This suggests a potential decrease in trading activity.
## Market Sentiment
The overall technical analysis suggests a "Strong Buy" signal:
- Moving Averages: Strong Buy (12 buy signals, 0 sell signals)
- Technical Indicators: Strong Buy (6 buy signals, 0 sell signals)
## Outlook
MAXHEALTH is currently in a strong uptrend, with all major indicators pointing towards bullish momentum. However, the RSI and other oscillators indicate overbought conditions, which may lead to a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Investors should be cautious of potential resistance around the ₹1,085-1,090 levels. The stock has shown significant growth potential, with price targets for 2025 ranging from ₹1,064.46 to ₹1,420.39 . However, as with any investment, it's crucial to consider both technical and fundamental factors before making trading decisions.
Nicholas Darvas: The Dancer Who Became a Trading Legend!Hello Traders! Imagine going from being a professional dancer to one of the most successful traders of all time! That’s the story of Nicholas Darvas , a self-taught trader who turned $25,000 into $2.25 million in just a few years using his famous Darvas Box Trading Strategy . His journey proves that you don’t need to be a Wall Street expert to make it big in trading! Let’s dive into his trading principles and strategy.
1. Who Was Nicholas Darvas?
Darvas was a professional dancer who stumbled into the stock market while touring the world.
He developed a technical approach to trading , known as the Darvas Box Theory , which helped him ride strong trends and avoid noise.
Without any insider knowledge, he used chart patterns, price momentum, and volume breakouts to make millions in the market.
2. Darvas’ Key Trading Principles
Follow the Trend: Darvas only bought stocks in strong uptrends. He believed in riding momentum rather than predicting reversals.
Ignore Market Noise: He didn’t listen to news, tips, or opinions —only price action and volume mattered to him.
Let Winners Run, Cut Losers Quickly: He never sold his winning stocks early and immediately exited losing trades without hesitation.
Use Stop-Losses & Protect Capital: Darvas always set stop-losses below key levels to avoid deep losses.
Only Trade High-Volume Stocks: He focused on stocks that showed strong volume spikes, as these indicated institutional interest.
3. The Darvas Box Trading Strategy
Identify a Stock in a Strong Uptrend: Darvas looked for stocks that were consistently making new highs with rising volume.
Draw a "Box": He identified support and resistance levels , creating a box around price action.
Buy on Breakout: He entered only when price broke above the box’s resistance level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
Set a Stop-Loss: His stop-loss was placed just below the support level of the box.
Sell When the Trend Weakens: If price broke below the lower boundary of the box, he exited immediately.
4. What Traders Can Learn from Darvas
Price Action is King: You don’t need complex indicators— price and volume are enough.
Stick to Strong Stocks: Focus on high-momentum stocks rather than chasing random trades.
Discipline Beats Emotion: Trade with a clear system , don’t rely on market opinions.
Have a Risk Management Plan: Always use stop-losses and protect your capital.
Trend Trading Works: The best profits come from riding big trends—not predicting tops and bottoms.
Conclusion
Nicholas Darvas’ journey from a dancer to a millionaire trader proves that anyone can succeed in the stock market with the right strategy, discipline, and risk management. His box trading strategy is still used by traders today, helping them ride trends and maximize profits while minimizing risk.
Have you tried the Darvas Box strategy? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Suven Pharma Swing Trade (Long)Suven Pharma is in Uptrend in Daily TF.
On 2h timeframe, it is in uptrend and has grabbed liquidity from Weekly low and daily low.
If Nifty holds current levels ie 22400, then there are high chances Suven Pharma will touch ATH soon.
The Risk Reward is more than 1:8
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Gold price rises as trade war tensions remain elevatedGold continued its upward trend on Friday as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalated and the U.S. jobs report presented mixed signals. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,862, up 0.24%.
U.S. President Donald Trump's statement regarding the plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on several countries next week provided a positive boost to the gold market. Specifically, this escalation in tensions pushed gold prices higher as the precious metal remains seen as a safe-haven asset. With solid support at 2,841, the bullish momentum for gold has been reinforced. If gold surpasses the resistance at 2,880 and conquers the 2,900-dollar mark, the next key resistance will be the psychological level of 2,950, followed by 3,000 dollars.
With this positive outlook, investors are expecting gold to maintain its upward trend in the short term. However, if gold fails to hold above the 2,841 support and reverses lower, the next support level will be at 2,800 dollars, where a slight pullback may occur before determining the next direction.
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Breakout: Path to Parity Bullish Scenario 🚀📈
1. Breakout Above the EMA (200) 🔺:
If the price closes above the 200-week EMA (0.9082), it could confirm a long-term bullish trend reversal.
A strong push may target key levels like 0.9500 and eventually 1.0000 (parity) 🎯, as shown by the projection arrow.
2. RSI Support 💪:
The RSI above 50 indicates that buyers are gaining momentum.
If RSI trends toward 70, it signals even stronger bullish momentum ✅📊.
3. Higher Highs and Higher Lows 📶:
The chart is forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic signal of an uptrend.
This pattern supports a move toward higher price levels 🚀.
🔥 Key Takeaway: A breakout above the EMA could spark a powerful rally, with parity (1.0000) as a major psychological target.
XAUUSDGiven the recent bullish candlestick patterns and the strong support at 2636, there is potential for XAU/USD to test the 2655 resistance level. A successful break above 2694 could lead to further gains toward the 2737 -2775 zone.
However, monitoring market conditions closely is essential, as geopolitical events and economic data releases can influence gold prices.
NZDUSD: The Calm Before a Bearish StormNZDUSD has broken below the 50/20 EMA on the 4-hour timeframe chart. The price experienced a sharp decline, followed by a corrective pause that appears to form an expanded flat correction. Wave (C) completed at 0.5692 . The ATR has decreased to 0.00189 , while the ADX has dropped to 22.87 .
The impulsive move is expected to occur downward. If the price breaks below wave B at 0.55870, it may reverse from the following targeted Fibonacci levels : 0.5555 (1.618) and 0.5470 (2.618).
We will update further information soon.