Chennai Petrolium breakout 1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a long downtrend since June 2021, NSE:CHENNPETRO has given a high volume breakout today. The company posted a quarterly sales growth of 68%, quarterly profit growth of 141%, TTM sales growth of 60% and TTM profit growth of 135% in December quarter. Buy with a stop just below Rs.133.
Ttmgrowth
AMD industries breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a consolidation since November 2017, NSE:AMDIND has given a high-volume breakout today. It is a buy with a stop just below Rs.51.50. In December quarter the company posted quarterly sales growth of 70%, quarterly profit growth of 84%, TTM sales growth of 46% and TTM in profit growth of 155%.
Other fundamentals:
1. Stock is trading at 0.78 times its book value.
2. The company has three product lines which include crown caps - metallic closures for glass bottles, PET Preforms and plastic closures. It provides packaging solutions to most of the successful and well established companies engaged in beverages, liquor and processed foods ranging from small ventures to industry majors.
3. The Company supplies finished products to MNC’s like Coca Cola, Pepsi, South African Breweries (SAB), United Breweries(UB) Dabur, HLL, Hamdard etc. as well as numerous large indigenous beverage Pharma and healthcare companies.
4. The company through its related company, AMD Estates & Developers Private Limited is developing a Commercial Complex at Sector-114, Gurgaon, Haryana in collaboration with VSR Infratech Private Limited, New Delhi. The said project is at its last leg to complete. During FY21, the company has received revenue of Rs. 86.44 Lakhs from this project.
5. Excerpts from the credit rating report: -
Brickwork Ratings believes that AMD Industries Ltd.’s (AMDIL) business risk profile will be maintained over the medium term. The ‘Stable’ outlook indicates a low likelihood of rating change over the medium term on account of sustained scale of operations in the past and above Rs 160 Crs and enhanced capacity which can increase scale of operations in the medium term due to stable demand. (+ve)
The company has a long track record since 1983 and promoters have extensive experience of more than three decades in running the company. (+ve)
The company has a moderate tangible net worth indicated by equity and reserves of Rs.131.86 crores in FY21 as against Rs 128.67 crores as in FY20. Company’s Gearing ratio viz TD/TNW is comfortable at 0.40 x in FY21 (PY: 0.37x). AMDIL’s debt stood at Rs 53.20Cr as on end-FY21 (came down to 46 Crs in September 2021), translating into a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.23x. (+ve)
The company’s cash conversion cycle (CCC) of the company has increased to 150 days in FY21 from 85 days in FY20. The increase is on account of increased receivable days of 356 days in FY21 from 292 days in FY20 impacted due to COVID 19 related disruption. (-ve)
However, CCC is projected to truncate to 123 days in the near term.
The company is exposed to raw material fluctuation risks which is likely to affect the profitability margins further as raw material prices are linked to crude oil prices. AMDIL’s EBITDA margin was 8.30% in H1FY21, as against 10.215 in FY21 and 11.37% in FY20. (-ve)
Company's scale of operations may witness a decline if there is a significant shift towards newer packaging products, such as tetra packs, sachets, strips, and other flexible packaging, by end-user industries in the medium term.
BLS international breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After a long consolidation since September 2017, NSE:BLS has given a high volume breakout yesterday. The breakout came after a rating update by CRISIL which has reaffirmed its ‘CRISIL A-/Stable/CRISIL A2+’ ratings on the bank facilities of BLS International Services Ltd (BLS; a part of the BLS International group). During the 3rd quarter 2021-22 quarterly sales went up by 51%, quarterly profit went up by 102%, TTM sales went up by 52% and TTM profit went up by 178%. NSE:BLS is a buy with a stop just below Rs.291.
Other fundamentals:
1. BLS International Services Limited (BLS), a part of the four-decades-old BLS Group with a global presence and diversified range of services, counts amongst the top three global players in visa application outsourcing, with its presence in visa/ passport/ consular/ citizen services with 62 countries and 36 government clients and provides services through 2,325 offices worldwide.
2. BLS international expects a pickup in VISA demand with India deciding to resume international flight services and decline in COVID-19 cases.
3. Business risk profile continues to be driven by the strong market position with a presence in over 60 countries and presence in diversified revenue segment. Accordingly, an operating income growth is estimated in fiscal 2022 to over Rs 800 crore supported by addition of new orders and customers after experiencing a sharp decline of around 40% during FY21 on account of pandemic induced challenges on business demand. Improving scale is expected to support growth in operating margins to around 13% in FY22 (against 11.1% a year ago).
4. Overall, liquidity profile continues to remain supported by absence of debt obligations and healthy unencumbered cash and bank balances of over Rs 300 Cr as on 31st Dec, 2021.
5. CRISIL Ratings had upgraded its long-term rating on the bank facilities of BLS to ‘CRISIL A-/Stable’ from ‘CRISIL BBB+/Stable’ and reaffirmed the short-term rating at ‘CRISIL A2+’ on November 03, 2021.
6. The group offers services in visa processing, e-governance and banking correspondence. Apart from diversification into new business segments, addition of new clients in these segments has further strengthened the market position of the group. The group now covers over 46 missions, compared to only seven a few years back. In e-governance services, the group has three clients presently, compared to only one client two years ago; in the banking correspondent segment, Bank of Baroda has been added alongside the existing client - State Bank of India.
7. The financial risk profile remains robust supported by strong net worth of over Rs 500 Cr expected as on 31st Mar, 2022 and absence of debt in the capital structure resulting in expected nil gearing ratio. Debt protection metrics remained robust owing to low reliance on external debt, leading to expected interest coverage at over 60 times in fiscal 2022. In the absence of any debt funded capex plan, the financial risk profile is expected to remain robust over the medium term.
8. In the absence of any repayment obligation over the medium term, the entire cash accrual – projected at Rs 75-80 crore per annum – will aid financial flexibility. The fund-based bank limit was unutilised and the small limit is kept only for backup. Current ratio is estimated at around 11 times as on March 31, 2022, with healthy unencumbered cash balance at over Rs 300 crore as on December 31, 2021.
9. FII stake increased since September 2021 from 0.72% to 1.47%.
Anand Rathi Breakout after good quarterly numbers1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after posting quarterly sales growth of 60%, quarterly profit growth of 257%, TTM sales growth of 53% and TTM profit growth of 181%, NSE:ANANDRATHI has given a high volume breakout today. Buy with a stop at rupees 610.
CANTABIL breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a consolidation in 7th february 2022, NSE:CANTABIL gave a breakout on 1st April 2022. This breakout came on the backdrop of quarterly sales growth of 35%, quarter profit growth of 134%, TTM sales growth of 32% and TTM profit growth of 436%. It is a buy with a stop just below Rs.925.
Other fundamentals:
1. CANTABIL caters to the middle class with over 300 stores across India. It markets its products under the following brands:
CROZO is an exclusive brand for women.
Lil’ Potatoes is an exclusive brand for kids from 3 - 14 years with high fabric quality and a soft hand feel.
KANESTON is present in the hosiery industries and deals in men’s accessories like innerwear, ties, deo, etc.
2. It has 378 Exclusive Brand Outlets.
3. It entered the e-commerce space through Flipkart, Amazon, etc. in FY20.
4. Its target is to reach over 650 stores with a target turnover of Rs.1000 crores by 2025 by providing the best brand mix.
5. Debtor days improved from 23 in March 2019 to 6 in March 2021.
6. Promoter holdings increased from 74.23 in September 2020 to 74.81 in December 2021.
Satia Industries breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a consolidation since July 2021, NSE:SATIA has given a breakout today with high volumes. December quarter sales increased by 52%, quarter profit growth increased by 686%, TTM sales increased by 29% and TTM profit growth was at 105%. It's a buy with a stop just below Rs.108.
Other fundamentals:
1. Text book corporations across the nation accounts for 40% of company's revenues. The remaining revenue comes from public sector & private sector companies. Its key clients include Bal Bharti, Assam Textbook corporation, Indian Railways, Himachal Pradesh board, West Benagal textbook corp etc.
2. The company has a pan-India presence and generates revenues from 15 states. Uttar Pradesh accounts for majority of revenues at 18%, followed by Maharashtra (14%), Delhi (13%), Rajasthan (9%), Punjab (8%) & others. Export contributes ~10% of the revenues. The company has a base of 70 distributors with 3 branch offices across the nation.
3. On 9th Feb 2022 Satia Industries said it has commissioned Paper Machine 4 having an installed capacity of one lakh tonne per annum, with an investment of Rs 500 crore.
4. Average ROE for last 3, 5 and 10 years greater than 15%.
5. Promoter stake increased from 51.68 in Sep'20 to 51.79 in Mar'21.
6. FII stake increased from 0.00 to 0.06 in Dec'21.
Raymond breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After a consolidation since November 2019 Raymond has given a breakout today with high volumes. Raymond has given a quarterly sales growth of 48%, a quarterly profit growth of 366%, TTM sales growth of 66% and TTM profit growth of 122%. Buy with a stop below Rs.750.
Gujarat Alkalies breakout, pullback and bounce1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a quarterly sales growth of 65%, quarterly profit growth of 501%, TTM sales growth of 38% and TTM profit growth of 161%, NSE:GUJALKALI gave a high volume breakout on 28th March 2022 after a consolidation since October 2021. It pulled back and after taking a support at previous resistance zone bounced back today. It is a buy with a stop just below Rs.810.
other fundamentals: -
The company is almost debt free.
Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.46%.
Debtor days improved from 60 in 2018 to 43 in 2021.
Debt to equity at 0.11 (less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 43.3 (greater than 3 is good).