GBPUSD bulls eye 200-SMA ahead of UK CPIGBPUSD’s sustained break of the one-month-old horizontal resistance, near 1.3265-70, keeps buyers hopeful ahead of the UK CPI data for February. That said, a run-up towards the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.3370 becomes imminent due to the breakout and firmer MACD signals even as RSI tests the bulls. Following that, the monthly peak of 1.3436 will challenge the cable’s advances afterward.
Alternatively, pullback moves can aim for the 100-SMA retest, around 1.3185 by the press time, a break of which will direct GBPUSD sellers toward an ascending support line from March 15, close to 1.3130 at the latest. Should the quote drop below 1.3130, the 50-SMA level surrounding 1.3100 will question the bears before directing them to the monthly low near the 1.3000 psychological magnet.
It’s worth noting that the RSI approaches overbought territory but the UK inflation data is more likely to reinforce the Bank of England’s (BOE) rate-hike concerns, which in turn keep buyers hopeful in absence of any negative surprises.
Ukinflation
GBPUSD bulls step back from 100-DMA on softer UK CPIWith downbeat UK inflation figures pouring cold water on the face of BOE hawks, GBPUSD eases from 100-DMA, consolidating the previous day’s gains below 1.3800. For now, the 1.3700 mark, comprising multiple levels marked since late September, question the pair’s further weakness. Also acting as a downside filter is the ascending support line from September 30, near 1.3660. In a case where the cable prices drop below 1.3660, July’s low close to 1.3570 will gain the market’s attention.
Meanwhile, recovery moves not only need to cross the 100-DMA immediate hurdle surrounding 1.3805. The reason is the 200-DMA and a descending resistance line from July 30, respectively near 1.3845 and 1.3860. During the quote’s rise past 1.3860, tops marked during July and late June, around 1.3985 and 1.4005 in that order, will be crucial before calling the GBPUSD bulls.