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US Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Update💥 US Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Update: Expert Analysis and Trading Strategies 💥 In just a few hours, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision and update its economic projections in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). This is a highly anticipated event that will shape trading decisions in the coming weeks. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently fluctuating within the 103.00 - 104.00 range, reflecting investor caution ahead of the critical updates. 1. Interest Rate Decision and Its Impact on DXY The policy rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50%. However, the market is more focused on signals about future rate cuts, particularly in 2025. Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting speech will be the key driver. The market will closely watch for hints on monetary policy, inflation, and the US economic outlook. If the Fed adopts a hawkish tone (indicating sustained high rates or even further hikes), the DXY could rally strongly. Conversely, a dovish signal could weaken the USD. 2. Technical Analysis of DXY 🔴 Key Support: 103.18 The DXY is currently under pressure at the 103.18 support level. A break below this level could push the index further down to 103.00 or even 102.50. This is a crucial zone, as failure to hold here would signal continued USD weakness in the short term. 🟢 Major Resistance: 105.00 and 105.57 If the DXY rebounds from current support levels, the next challenges will be the resistance zones at 105.00 and 105.57. The 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) on the daily chart are also key indicators to watch. A break above these MAs could reinforce the bullish trend. 📉 Short-Term Trend: On the 4H chart, the DXY is in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. However, upcoming macroeconomic factors (the rate decision and Powell’s speech) could trigger a reversal or increased volatility. Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD are in neutral territory, suggesting the market is awaiting clearer signals. 3. Trading Strategy Before and After the FOMC Decision 🔍 Before the Fed Announcement: Caution is key. The market may experience mild fluctuations during the wait. Traders should avoid large positions and wait for clearer signals. Closely monitor key support and resistance levels: 103.18 (support) and 105.00 (resistance). 🔥 After the Fed Announcement: Scenario 1: Fed Holds Rates and Signals Hawkish Tone The DXY could rally strongly, targeting resistance levels at 105.00 and 105.57. Strategy: Look for buy opportunities when the DXY bounces off support or breaks above resistance. Scenario 2: Fed Signals a Dovish Tone The DXY could drop sharply, breaking below 103.18 and heading toward 102.50. Strategy: Look for sell opportunities when the DXY breaks support or fails to surpass resistance. Scenario 3: Fed Holds Rates Without Clear Signals The DXY may continue to fluctuate within the 103.00 - 104.00 range. Strategy: Trade within the range, using identified support and resistance levels. 4. Advice for Investors and Traders 📊 Risk management: Always set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels to protect your capital. Post-FOMC volatility can be intense, so prepare mentally and have a solid trading plan. 📰 Stay updated: Keep a close eye on Fed updates and market reactions. Jerome Powell’s speech could create significant trading opportunities. 🛠️ Use technical tools: Combine indicators like RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci to identify precise entry points. 5. Conclusion Tonight’s FOMC meeting will be a decisive factor for the DXY’s short-term direction. With clear support and resistance levels identified, traders should prepare their strategies to capitalize on market movements. 🚨 Stay tuned for the latest updates on TradingView to ensure you don’t miss any trading opportunities! Wishing you successful trades and profitable outcomes! 💪💰
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Analysis – Correction or Breakout Ahead?Last week, gold (XAU/USD) hit a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, but a sharp correction followed, bringing prices down to the 2980 - 2985 zone. This volatility suggests that the market is seeking equilibrium before determining the next move. For the upcoming week, all eyes are on key economic data from the U.S., particularly the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation indicators. These factors will directly impact the USD and gold’s direction. 📉 Gold Market Outlook After a strong rally, gold is now in a corrective phase, absorbing liquidity before a potential continuation. Based on the technical chart: The FVG (Fair Value Gap) formation suggests that gold might revisit lower levels to fill liquidity before resuming its trend. The overall trend remains bullish, but key support levels need to hold for continued upside movement. The market awaits signals from the Fed and U.S. economic data to determine the next major move. 🔥 Key Factors to Watch This Week 1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy – Will Rates Remain High? The Fed has maintained a hawkish stance, but if upcoming economic data show signs of weakness, expectations of rate cuts or easing policies could support gold. 👉 Scenario 1: If the Fed remains committed to tight monetary policy, gold could face more selling pressure and test deeper support levels. 👉 Scenario 2: If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, the USD could weaken, boosting gold prices. 2️⃣ U.S. Inflation & Economic Data – The Game Changer Key reports like CPI and PPI will be the driving force behind market movements. If inflation slows down, expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, pushing gold higher. 👉 Higher-than-expected CPI: The Fed may keep rates high → Stronger USD → Gold under pressure. 👉 Lower-than-expected CPI: Expectations for easing policies increase → Weaker USD → Gold rebounds. 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels for GOLD 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 3014 - 3034: A crucial zone where previous selling pressure emerged. 3050: A breakout above this level could open the door for further upside movement. 🔹 Major Support Levels: 2942 - 2915: The FVG zone, where liquidity might be filled before a potential rebound. 2885: A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction. 🎯 Conclusion Primary Trend: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but a short-term correction is possible before resuming the bullish move. Market Catalyst: The direction of gold this week will be dictated by the Fed’s stance and U.S. inflation data. Key Levels to Watch: 2915 - 2942 as critical support zones, while 3014 - 3050 will act as major resistance. 🔥 This week, closely watch gold’s reaction at key support and resistance levels to assess its next move! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USD PLUNGES – IS THIS THE START OF A VOLATILE YEAR?📌 MARKET OVERVIEW The US Dollar (USD) is experiencing a sharp decline, with the DXY index dropping by 3.5% in the past week, marking its second-largest drop since the 2020 pandemic. More importantly, USD is now on a three-month losing streak, sending ripples across global financial markets. 👉 The Euro is the primary driver behind USD’s weakness, surging 4.7% against the USD, the biggest jump since 2009. 📌 DXY weakness amid escalating trade wars is a crucial signal – it indicates that major shifts are about to unfold in the financial markets! 📊 WHY IS THE USD DROPPING? 🔹 1. The Euro’s Strong Recovery The Euro is benefiting from the European Central Bank (ECB) maintaining stable monetary policies, while the US Federal Reserve (FED) leans towards rate cuts. This policy divergence has reduced the appeal of the USD, pushing the Euro to its highest level in over a decade. 🔹 2. Market Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts Recent US economic data shows weaker inflation, increasing the likelihood that the FED may ease monetary policy soon. Lower interest rates diminish the attractiveness of the USD, encouraging investors to shift capital into alternative assets like gold and the Euro. 🔹 3. Trade War & Economic Uncertainty Tensions between the US and China continue to escalate, with Trump’s aggressive tariff policies adding to global trade instability. However, instead of strengthening the USD, these policies are creating negative market sentiment, leading investors to pull away from USD-based assets. 📌 USD is now in a difficult position: ✔️ The FED may loosen monetary policy, weakening USD further. ✔️ The ongoing trade war is eroding confidence in the USD. 📉 HOW USD WEAKNESS AFFECTS GLOBAL MARKETS 🔸 Gold Surges as USD Declines Gold prices rally whenever USD weakens, as investors move funds into safe-haven assets. If USD continues to drop, gold could break its all-time high (ATH) and surge towards $2,970 - $3,000. 🔸 Stock Markets Could Benefit Lower interest rates and a weaker USD generally support the US stock market, especially export-driven companies. However, if recession fears intensify, investors may move towards safer investments like gold and government bonds. 🔸 Other Global Currencies May Strengthen A weaker USD boosts major currencies like the Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), and Japanese Yen (JPY). This could shift global trade dynamics, influencing economic trends in the coming months. ⚡️ CONCLUSION – IS USD IN FREE FALL? 📌 The USD’s three-month decline is a major warning sign, signaling potential shifts in global financial markets. 📌 If USD continues its downtrend, gold could hit new highs, while stocks may see increased volatility. 📌 Traders must closely monitor FED decisions on monetary policy and ongoing trade tensions between the US and China.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
U.S. Job Growth Slows: Impact on USD and Indian Investors​In the first two months of 2025, the U.S. economy experienced a notable slowdown in job creation, as reflected in consecutive Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) reports falling short of expectations. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February saw an addition of 151,000 jobs, below the anticipated 160,000, though an improvement from January's revised 125,000. ​ reuters.com +1 tradingeconomics.com +1 Impact on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 📉 The consecutive underperformance in job growth has exerted pressure on the U.S. Dollar, leading to a decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies. As of March 10, 2025, the DXY stood near a four-month low at 103.59, reflecting diminished investor confidence in the U.S. economy. ​ reuters.com Federal Reserve's Response 🏦 Weak labor market data often prompts the Federal Reserve to reassess its monetary policy stance. With two consecutive NFP reports missing expectations, the Fed may consider slowing the pace of interest rate hikes or even exploring economic stimulus measures to support growth and employment. However, any policy adjustments will also weigh factors such as inflation trends and overall GDP growth.​ Implications for Indian Investors 🇮🇳 The U.S. labor market's performance holds significant implications for global economies, including India:​ Currency Exchange Rates 💱: A weakening U.S. Dollar can lead to the appreciation of the Indian Rupee, affecting export competitiveness and import costs.​ Gold Prices 🪙: Traditionally, a softer USD boosts gold prices. Indian investors, who have a cultural affinity for gold, might see increased returns on their gold investments. ​ m.economictimes.com Stock Market 📈: Global equity markets, including India's, often react to U.S. economic indicators. A slowing U.S. economy might lead to cautious sentiment among Indian investors, influencing market dynamics.​ Expert Insights 🧠 Economists note that while recent U.S. job data indicates a slowdown, it's essential to consider the broader economic context. Factors such as consumer spending patterns, international trade policies, and geopolitical developments play pivotal roles in shaping both U.S. and global economic landscapes.​ Conclusion 📝 The recent underwhelming NFP reports serve as a cautionary signal regarding the U.S. economy's momentum. For Indian investors, staying informed about these developments is crucial, as they can influence currency valuations, commodity prices, and equity markets. A diversified investment approach, coupled with vigilance, can help navigate the potential ripple effects stemming from shifts in the U.S. economic environment.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook: 📍 Key Technical Insights ✅ Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential. Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment. ✅ Market Structure & Momentum A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics. The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100). ✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊 The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached. 📊 Potential Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀 🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️ 📌 Conclusion The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – WHAT’S NEXT?📌 Timeframe: 2H BTC/USD is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a phase of accumulation before a potential major breakout. 📈 TREND ANALYSIS & KEY PRICE LEVELS 1️⃣ Current Trend BTC is trading around $86,301, moving within a narrowing price channel. Price is caught between the ascending trendline support and the key resistance zone at $90,000 - $92,000. A breakout above this zone could trigger a strong bullish move towards $98,000+. Conversely, a failure to hold support may push BTC down to $82,764, with further downside potential towards $78,000 - $80,000. 2️⃣ Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Major Resistance Levels: $90,000 - $92,000: Strong resistance; a breakout here could lead to a rally. $98,000: The next target if BTC successfully breaks above resistance. 🔻 Major Support Levels: $82,764: Closest support; a breakdown could trigger further downside. $78,000 - $80,000: A strong demand zone that could provide a solid bounce if BTC dips further. 📉 POTENTIAL TRADING SCENARIOS 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 🟢 If BTC breaks above $90,000 - $92,000, it could confirm a bullish trend continuation toward $98,000+. Watch for strong volume confirmation and a clear close above resistance. 📌 Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 🔴 If BTC fails to break $90,000 - $92,000, it could retrace to $82,764. A further break below this level could send BTC down to $78,000 - $80,000 before finding strong support. ⏳ CONCLUSION – PREPARE FOR A BIG MOVE! 📊 BTC is in a critical accumulation phase, setting up for a major breakout soon. 📈 If BTC clears $90,000 resistance, the bullish trend will likely continue toward $98,000+. 📉 If BTC rejects and drops below $82,764, a deeper correction to $78,000 is possible. ⚠ Traders should wait for a clear breakout signal & manage risk carefully ahead of the big move! 📢 Do you think BTC will break out or correct further? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USDCAD ShortFOREXCOM:USDCAD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Short
by Phinics
Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week? Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week? For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941. The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold. On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks. Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks. Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
USDINR | Make Or BreakSummary: The USD/INR stock chart has exhibited a prolonged phase of long consolidation, indicating a period of relative price stability and indecision between the US dollar and the Indian rupee. This consolidation pattern often occurs after a significant price movement and suggests that market participants are assessing their positions before taking the next major directional move. During this consolidation, a flag and pole pattern has emerged on the weekly time frame. The flag and pole pattern is a technical chart pattern that consists of a strong price rally (pole) followed by a sideways or slightly downward price movement (flag). This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, implying that the market will likely resume its uptrend once the consolidation phase is over. Given the current setup of the flag and pole pattern, traders and investors should closely monitor the USD/INR price action to determine its potential future direction. A breakout to the upside of the flag could signal a continuation of the previous uptrend, indicating a potential rise in the USD/INR exchange rate. On the other hand, a breakdown to the downside of the flag might indicate a reversal, suggesting a decline in the USD/INR exchange rate. It is important to be vigilant and wait for a clear and decisive breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern before making trading decisions. Technical analysis tools such as trendlines, support, and resistance levels can help identify potential entry and exit points based on the price action. Additionally, keeping an eye on fundamental factors that can impact the USD/INR exchange rate, such as economic data, geopolitical events, and central bank policies, can provide valuable insights to supplement the technical analysis. Ultimately, the direction of the USD/INR exchange rate will depend on the prevailing market sentiment, economic conditions, and geopolitical developments at the breakout or breakdown from the consolidation and flag and pole pattern. Traders and investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
by iamrk7