USD
ETHUSD at Critical LevelETHUSD Which is showing a great opportunity ETHUSD is at make it or break it Level. what is your view please comment it down. We are NISM Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
USDCAD ShortFOREXCOM:USDCAD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week? Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week?
For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941.
The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold.
On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks.
Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks.
Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
USDINR | Make Or BreakSummary:
The USD/INR stock chart has exhibited a prolonged phase of long consolidation, indicating a period of relative price stability and indecision between the US dollar and the Indian rupee. This consolidation pattern often occurs after a significant price movement and suggests that market participants are assessing their positions before taking the next major directional move.
During this consolidation, a flag and pole pattern has emerged on the weekly time frame. The flag and pole pattern is a technical chart pattern that consists of a strong price rally (pole) followed by a sideways or slightly downward price movement (flag). This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, implying that the market will likely resume its uptrend once the consolidation phase is over.
Given the current setup of the flag and pole pattern, traders and investors should closely monitor the USD/INR price action to determine its potential future direction. A breakout to the upside of the flag could signal a continuation of the previous uptrend, indicating a potential rise in the USD/INR exchange rate. On the other hand, a breakdown to the downside of the flag might indicate a reversal, suggesting a decline in the USD/INR exchange rate.
It is important to be vigilant and wait for a clear and decisive breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern before making trading decisions. Technical analysis tools such as trendlines, support, and resistance levels can help identify potential entry and exit points based on the price action. Additionally, keeping an eye on fundamental factors that can impact the USD/INR exchange rate, such as economic data, geopolitical events, and central bank policies, can provide valuable insights to supplement the technical analysis.
Ultimately, the direction of the USD/INR exchange rate will depend on the prevailing market sentiment, economic conditions, and geopolitical developments at the breakout or breakdown from the consolidation and flag and pole pattern. Traders and investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Market Reactions to Fed’s “Hawkish Pause” Market Reactions to Fed’s “Hawkish Pause”
Today the Federal Reserve chose not to proceed with an 11th consecutive interest rate hike, opting instead to assess the effects of the previous 10 hikes. However, the Fed announced that it anticipates implementing two additional quarter percentage point increases before the year concludes. While the pause was largely expected, the fact that policy makers see rates at 5.6% at year-end was what caught the market off-guard.
The combination of the pause with the suggestion of two more 25 basis points hikes has been dubbed the “hawkish pause”.
Following the decision, stock market closing results were mixed. The Dow Jones closed more than 230 points lower, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq experienced gains of 0.1% and 0.4% respectively. The Nasdaq Composite was primarily bolstered by the gains made in AI-adjacent stocks of Nvidia and AMD.
The day began with Bitcoin surpassing $26,000. However, it has since retraced to a 24-hour low of $25,791. Some analysts are predicting an inevitable drop to $25,000 based on recent cryptocurrency news that is dominated by discussions on regulation.
Meanwhile, gold prices initially rose to touch $1959 per ounce in the session but later trimmed gains, trading around $1945.
The dollar has weakened across the board, with the DXY down 0.32%. The NZD is the biggest mover, rising by more than one percent to a 3-week high of $0.6211. Gains in EUR and GBP were more modest, at +0.39% each.
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week
The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week:
- US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress.
- The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets.
- The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June.
- Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility.
- The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
GBPJPY sell setup right now workingGBPJPY can make a reversal and going down to 169.500 and below which we may see the actual trend bearish or it's just a correction . So , to be on a safe side with the stop loss above this week's high and target at the above price .You can get a great risk- reward .
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Trade only with what you can lose
Happy week