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BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025 "Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!" 🔍 Market Overview: Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty. 🧭 Technical Landscape: 🔺 Resistance Zones: $104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times. $105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence. $108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms. 🔻 Support Zones: $102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest. $99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG. $97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone. 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance: 🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300 🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800 📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K: 🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000 🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500 🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400 ⚠️ Key Market Considerations: 🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside. 🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment. 🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs. 📝 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg. 🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred) 🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success 💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MMFlowTrading
GBP/USD Eyes NFP & BoE Amid Trade Tensions Relief🔔 GBP/USD Eyes NFP & BoE Amid Trade Tensions Relief Sterling (GBP) has rebounded against the US dollar (USD), riding a wave of improved market sentiment after signs of de-escalation in the US–China trade conflict. As investors reposition ahead of today’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and next week’s Bank of England (BoE) rate decision, GBP/USD finds itself at a pivotal moment. 🌐 Macro Picture: A Tale of Two Central Banks The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% during next week’s meeting. The BoE, meanwhile, is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points, pricing in weak UK inflation data and global trade uncertainties. Meanwhile, sentiment got a boost after China's Ministry of Commerce signalled openness to trade talks with the US, provided “sincerity” is shown — easing fears of a prolonged trade war. This shift in tone lifted risk appetite and helped push GBP/USD back near the 1.3320 zone, recovering from earlier losses this week. 🧭 Focus Turns to Today’s NFP Markets expect: +130K jobs added in April (vs. 228K prior) Unemployment rate holding at 4.2% Wage growth YoY to increase slightly to 3.9% Any significant surprise may reshape rate expectations for the Fed, especially after recent ISM data showed rising input costs — suggesting inflation remains sticky. 📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD After bouncing from the 1.3245–1.3265 zone, GBP/USD is approaching a heavy resistance range around 1.3335–1.3375. A break above this could invalidate the bearish setup, while failure may trigger a strong downside rotation toward 1.3185 – 1.3145. 🔺 Key Resistance: 1.33350 1.33750 🔻 Key Support: 1.32650 1.32450 1.31850 1.31450 🎯 Trade Plan 🔵 SELL ZONE: 1.33350 – 1.33750 SL: 1.34000 TP: 1.33300 → 1.32850 → 1.32550 → 1.32000 🔴 BUY ZONE: 1.32650 – 1.32450 SL: 1.33250 TP: 1.32250 → 1.31850 → 1.31450 → 1.31000 ⚠️ Trading Notes: NFP volatility could create false breakouts — wait for confirmation before committing size. Post-NFP, market focus will quickly shift to the BoE decision on May 9th. Expect traders to react swiftly to wage growth and job creation figures. 🧠 Final Thoughts: GBP/USD is trading at a sensitive macro-technical intersection. While optimism on trade and NFP relief could boost the pair, BoE’s likely rate cut still clouds the medium-term path. Stay patient. Let price react to the data before jumping in. 💬 What’s your positioning into NFP? Let's discuss below 👇👇
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point🔥 EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point – NFP Looms, Volatility Incoming? The euro is pushing back after three days of losses, bouncing from the 1.1265 area with strength — but make no mistake, this is more than just a technical move. With Eurozone CPI holding and US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) right ahead, EUR/USD is poised at the edge of serious volatility. 🧭 Macro Overview – Diverging Paths? Friday’s Eurozone inflation numbers surprised slightly to the upside: Headline CPI YoY: 2.2% vs. 2.1% expected Core CPI YoY: 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected These numbers suggest ECB might not be in a rush to slash rates, despite growing dovish commentary from policymakers. Yet, the market still prices in a likely 25bps cut in July. Meanwhile in the US, expectations are building for a soft NFP print – 130K vs. 228K prior. This, along with recent weak growth data, has fueled speculation of multiple rate cuts from the Fed in 2025. The USD has paused after a 3-day rally — and that makes today’s NFP extremely sensitive. 🔍 Technical Picture (H1 Outlook) Price action shows EUR/USD reclaiming ground above 1.1300 after defending the key 1.1265–1.1279 support zone. A potential short-term reversal pattern is forming, but the move remains fragile until we see confirmation above 1.1350 and 1.1372. Bearish structure remains valid unless bulls can take out 1.1419, the high from April 30. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 1.13520 1.13730 1.13900 1.14190 🔻 Key Support Levels: 1.13000 1.12790 1.12650 🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.12790 SL: 1.12250 TP: 1.13450 → 1.13850 → 1.14250 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.13750 SL: 1.14300 TP: 1.13250 → 1.12850 → 1.12450 → 1.12400 ⚠️ Strategy Notes: Euro has room to bounce, but momentum will likely depend on the US jobs report. A soft NFP could weaken the dollar further, triggering a break above 1.1372. On the flip side, strong jobs numbers + hawkish White House language could reinforce bearish continuation below 1.1300. 📣 Final Thoughts: EUR/USD is stuck in macro limbo. Both sides have valid narratives — sticky inflation in Europe, softening labour data in the US. 📊 Today’s close will likely define next week’s tone. 🧠 Be selective. Don’t chase. Let the data lead. 💬 What’s your take ahead of NFP? Breakout or fakeout? Drop your chart ideas below 👇👇👇
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD WeaknessGold Analysis: Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD Weakness 💰📈 On April 15, U.S. President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on critical mineral imports, marking a further escalation in the trade dispute with global partners, especially China. This new wave of tension between the world's two largest economies has caused market sentiment to weaken, pushing investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar (USD) has weakened, dropping to its lowest level in three years last week, making gold more attractive for holders of other currencies. Fed's Stance on Market Volatility: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve will not intervene to "rescue" markets amid heavy volatility, emphasizing that the market is reacting to several uncertainties, particularly the ever-changing trade policies under Trump. Powell believes it's too early to determine what is really causing the volatility, and in the short term, instability could persist, partly driven by hedge funds reducing leverage. Gold Outlook: Bullish Trend Continues: Given the current market conditions, it’s evident that gold is likely to continue its upward momentum and reach new all-time highs (ATH). With global financial markets offering little hope for immediate monetary stimulus, as announced by the Fed, gold remains an appealing choice. Trading Strategy: Current View: Focus on BUY positions as the market continues to push higher. While we’re trading at ATH levels, sharp pullbacks are normal and can be expected without major news triggers. Trade Plan: We won’t look for SELL entries at this point, but instead wait for strong market pullbacks to buy. If significant drops occur, we’ll enter BUY positions based on continuation patterns (CP) and key support levels on M15 and M30 charts. Expected Pullback: After a strong push early in the Asian session today, the price is expected to return to the 331x - 3300 range for potential buy entries. Key Support Levels: 3314, 3300, 3284, 3266 Key Resistance Levels: 3380, 3396, 3410 Trade Zones: BUY ZONE: 3300 - 3298 SL: 3264 TP: 3304 - 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3324 - 3330 - ??? SELL ZONE: 3396 - 3398 SL: 3402 TP: 3392 - 3388 - 3384 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370 Important Reminder: Focus on securing BUY entries today. Although there could be sudden drops for potential SELL opportunities, they aren’t part of the plan for now. Wait for key resistance levels or psychological barriers set by other traders for potential shorting. Always adhere to TP/SL levels to ensure your account remains safe. 🛡️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
NZDUSD Daily Timeframe, SellPrice has taken out the previous higher high, followed by a break/sweep below the swing low, indicating a potential shift in market structure. We're now seeing a strong bearish move to the downside, suggesting the formation of a new trading range. Currently, price has retraced approximately 90% of this range and entered a key daily supply (sell) zone. Points of concern: The pullback is relatively deep, which slightly weakens the setup. The last three daily candles have closed bullish, indicating short-term buying pressure. This setup may play out at the market open, which increases risk due to potential Sunday night spreads or gaps. Positive Aspects: The overall structure favors a short position, aligning with both higher and lower timeframes. Bullish volume appears to be decreasing, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. The setup offers a great risk-to-reward ratio with several TP's. Let's see how the setup will preform. Blessings, T
Short
by Tilen_FX
Strong Breakout and Continuation Within Sideways RangeGold Analysis: Strong Breakout and Continuation Within Sideways Range 💰📈 Gold (XAU/USD) made a strong move within its sideways range after breaking down below the 3215 level. At the start of the Asian session, gold bounced back and is now maintaining an upward movement within the range from 3245 to 3215, forming a small upward channel on the M15 timeframe. This is a clear continuation of the bullish trend. Key Support Levels: 3215, 3204, 3195, 3188, 3178, 3168 Key Resistance Levels: 3235, 3245, 3257, 3272 The buying pressure remains strong, especially at the recent support level of 3196, where we saw a quick response of 30 pips back up. There is still significant buying interest below these levels, just waiting for the right opportunity for another entry. Today's Strategy: With no major U.S. news expected today, the price range is likely to be similar to yesterday, with a move of about 30-40 pips. We are waiting for a pullback to buy again, and will avoid sell signals in the current market environment. Even if we anticipate a drop, the focus should be on buying at good support levels rather than selling too early. Trade Setup: BUY ZONE: 3196 - 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 - 3204 - 3208 - 3212 - 3216 - 3220 - 3225 - 3230 SELL ZONE: 3244 - 3246 SL: 3250 TP: 3240 - 3236 - 3232 - 3228 - 3224 - 3220 Important Reminder: If gold fails to break the 3135 level, consider selling back to the 311x zone. If the price reaches 3135 and continues to show strong buying pressure, wait for a potential push towards 3145 and consider selling if the previous resistance holds. Always stick to your TP/SL levels to ensure risk management. Final Thoughts: AD expects a pullback or correction during the end of the Asian session or at the beginning of the European session, providing an opportunity to buy at better levels. Avoid buying at uncertain levels and wait for the ideal pullback. Trade Safely and manage your positions with clear TP/SL targets. Always prioritize risk management to protect your account.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
5
Sideways Action Awaiting Liquidity Pullback Before Push to $3300Gold Price Strategy for the Week: Sideways Action Awaiting Liquidity Pullback Before Push to $3300 💰📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently moving sideways within a wide range of 30 price levels, from 3246 to 3216, and is showing hesitation at these levels. There is no clear indication yet if gold will continue to rise or if we’ll see a corrective phase to gather liquidity. Currently, indicators are showing that gold is overbought, and a strong pullback to gather liquidity could happen anytime. The buying pressure has decreased compared to last week, and FOMO seems to have faded, so we may watch for an entry point during the European session today. If gold fails to push higher, we could consider a potential sell entry. Key Resistance: 3246 (ATH), 3255, 3268, 3285, 3302 Key Support: 3216, 3195, 3172, 3152, 3120 Buy Zone 📈: 3172 - 3170, SL: 3166, TP: 3176 - 3180 - 3184 - 3188 - 3192 - 3196 - 3200 Sell Zone 🔽: 3268 - 3270, SL: 3274, TP: 3264 - 3260 - 3256 - 3252 - 3248 - 3244 - 3240 Market Outlook: This week, there are no major news events to focus on, so the strategy will primarily revolve around observing the market volume for clues on the next move. The key focus will be on the European and U.S. sessions to determine the market direction more clearly. With the current market volatility, it’s essential to stick to your TP/SL levels for risk management and to protect your account. Important Reminder: Despite the lack of news, the market remains extremely unpredictable, and large price movements are likely. Always adhere to your TP/SL and manage your trades carefully. 🛡
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. DollarTechnical and Fundamental Analysis: A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. Dollar 1. Technical Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD): Current Price: Gold is currently trading around the 3,219.39 level, marking a significant high compared to recent price levels. This is seen as a major resistance point that could limit the price in the short term. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 3,164.62, 3,190.48, 3,219.39 Support: 3,118.98, 3,069.60 Moving Averages (MA): MA 13 (Short-Term) and MA 34 (Medium-Term) both lie below the current price, indicating a bullish trend in the short to medium term. MA 200 (Long-Term) shows that the long-term trend for gold remains strong and stable, with the price currently trading above all these moving averages. Current Situation: Gold is on a strong upward trajectory, supported by economic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and overall monetary policies. The current price suggests that gold could continue to rise in the short term, particularly if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. Long-Term Outlook: If the resistance level of 3,219.39 is breached, gold could potentially move towards the 3,250 level and beyond. However, caution should be exercised as profit-taking may occur towards the end of the week. Avoid FOMO and buying at the peak. 2. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Dollar (DXY Index): The DXY Index is currently in a strong downward trend, trading below 100.554. It may continue to fall towards 99.783 in the upcoming months. Key Support Levels for USD: 99.783 and 97.500. If the DXY continues to drop and breaks these levels, it would put additional pressure on the USD and be supportive for gold. Impact of Monetary Policies: The Federal Reserve has indicated a potential interest rate cut in the future, which would continue to pressure the U.S. Dollar and support gold, especially amid global economic concerns. Economic Situation in the U.S.: With some economic indicators such as CPI and PPI showing weakness, the U.S. economy is facing challenges. This adds further pressure to the U.S. Dollar and provides an advantage to gold. 3. Long-Term Perspective: Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. In the short term, gold may continue to rise as long as the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be exercised toward the end of the week due to potential profit-taking. For Gold (XAU/USD): If gold breaks key resistance levels, it could continue to rise in the long term, especially if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be taken at the peaks. As for the U.S. Dollar: The DXY is expected to continue its decline in the short term, which would further support gold. However, if the DXY starts to recover, gold might face some pressure. Trading Strategy: Preferred Buy Zones for gold: 3,118.98 and 3,069.60. But be cautious as profit-taking could occur toward the end of the week. Avoid selling gold unless the major resistance levels are broken and clear signals emerge from the market. Conclusion: With gold continuing its upward trend, supported by favorable monetary policies and economic expectations, gold remains a strong opportunity for both short and long-term investors. However, investors should be cautious about profit-taking towards the weekend. Monitoring future performance of the U.S. Dollar and any changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy will be crucial.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold's Strong Recovery: Key Levels to Watch in XAU/USDXAU/USD Technical Analysis: Gold Shows Strong Recovery Amid Global Economic Optimism 💰📊 Introduction: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently experiencing a strong recovery, supported by several key factors in the global economic landscape. One notable factor is the 90-day tariff suspension for major countries worldwide, which has created a more positive sentiment among investors. Additionally, U.S. stock markets saw a strong boost as this news was announced. The recent FOMC meeting also highlighted the potential for interest rate cuts later this year, further boosting optimism across financial markets. 📈 Technical Analysis: On the XAU/USD chart, gold is showing a solid recovery from recent lows. The price has broken through key resistance levels and is now approaching new highs. Here are the important resistance and support levels that traders should keep an eye on: Key Resistance Levels: 3146 3162 3168 Key Support Levels: 3096 3078 3066 3052 Moving Averages (MA): MA 13 (Orange Line): This short-term moving average is supporting the upward trend and providing BUY entry signals when the price is above MA 13. MA 34 (Yellow Line): The medium-term MA is positioned above the price, further supporting the bullish trend. MA 200 (Red Line): The long-term MA is confirming a strong uptrend as the price remains above MA 200, reinforcing the positive outlook for gold. Trading Plan: BUY ZONE 📈: Buy Zone: 3096 - 3094 SL (Stop Loss): 3090 TP (Take Profit): 3100 - 3104 - 3108 - 3112 - 3116 - 3120 SELL ZONE 🔽: Sell Zone: 3164 - 3166 SL (Stop Loss): 3170 TP (Take Profit): 3160 - 3156 - 3152 - 3148 - 3144 - 3140 Fundamental Analysis: Yesterday was a positive day for gold, with various fundamental factors supporting the short-term and medium-term bullish outlook. The suspension of tariffs for 90 days among major countries has created a positive sentiment, and the possibility of interest rate cuts from the FOMC has strengthened the expectation of gold's recovery. 📈💡 Risk Management Advice: Given the current market momentum, the strategy is to focus on BUY entries near key support levels. However, traders should be cautious when selling, as the bullish trend may continue strongly if the price breaks through key resistance levels. Always apply proper risk management by using stop loss and only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Conclusion: Gold is currently in a strong recovery cycle, with both fundamental and technical factors supporting the uptrend. Traders should watch for key support and resistance levels to implement their trading strategies effectively. Be prepared for BUY opportunities near support zones and watch the resistance levels for potential sell signals as the market moves forward. 📊📉 What are your thoughts on Gold's movement? Share your analysis and trade ideas in the comments below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFFGOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET, INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFF Plan: Rejection + BIGSHORT scenario still in play 📉 U.S. Session Recap Gold tanked aggressively during yesterday’s New York session after markets reacted to a “Fake News” headline suggesting a delay in the U.S. tariff policy. While the rumor was quickly denied by the White House, the psychological damage had already been done — triggering a sharp sell-off that sent Gold plunging back into the 295x zone, exactly as forecasted in AD’s earlier plan. Meanwhile, U.S. equities stayed deep in the red, and the uncertainty continues to weigh on global markets. 🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash Is King” Reignites Investor sentiment is now fully fear-driven. Without a major calming headline or shift in macro tone, we’re likely to see more risk-off behavior and capital flight into cash and U.S. Treasuries. 📌 This shift may be strategic: if investors increasingly hoard USD and rotate into government bonds (currently more attractive than risk assets), it may signal a coordinated squeeze — possibly part of Trump’s broader economic maneuvering. 🔮 AD's Strategy Until sentiment changes, we remain in SELL mode. → Look to short rallies until at least Wednesday, then reassess. 🧭 Key Technical Zones 🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076 🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928 SL: 2924 TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036 SL: 3040 TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ???? 📌 DXY Watch Dollar Index looks to be forming a base and could rally strongly if U.S. equities continue to slide. BIGSHORT across assets remains a real possibility. ⚠️ Final Reminder We’re in a highly volatile and fragile market phase. Trade with discipline. Always secure your TP/SL. Let price come to you — don’t chase. 📌 If you find value in these market insights and real-time trade zones — make sure to follow for more daily updates and clean chart breakdowns. Let’s navigate this market together — structure, strategy & execution. 💬 Got a similar view or a different angle? Drop a comment — I’m always open to smart discussion! — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
DXY Building Momentum — "Cash is King" Narrative Returns?📌 DXY is showing clear signs of recovery on the H4 timeframe — and that tells us something deeper: risk sentiment is shifting. Investors are pulling capital from risk-on assets and moving to cash. Yes, "Cash is King" might be making a comeback. 🔍 What’s Driving the Move? As fear ripples through global markets: 📉 Equities are shaky. 🟡 Gold dropped sharply under profit-taking pressure. 🪙 Crypto lacks new capital. Now, capital is rotating back into USD — not necessarily because of strong fundamentals, but due to defensive positioning. 🔺 On the geopolitical side, Trump’s aggressive tariff threats are shaking confidence. As import/export tension rises, the global appetite for USD-denominated assets (especially U.S. bonds) is also climbing. 🧭 Key Technical Levels (4H Chart) Support Zones: 🟦 101.467 – historical structure low 🟦 102.113 – minor intraday demand 🟦 102.660 – neckline & retest zone (key area to hold) Resistance Zones: 🟧 103.803 – consolidation top 🟥 104.506 – key resistance and EMA crossover zone 🟥 105.632 / 106.157 / 106.622 – higher-timeframe targets if momentum continues 🔮 Outlook by AD | Money Market Flow The market is on the edge right now. If U.S. equities fail to bounce and global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, we could see: ✅ A strong USD breakout ✅ DXY bottoming and reclaiming the 104–106 zone ✅ Major asset correction across risk-on markets (Gold, Stocks, Crypto) “When markets panic, smart money rotates to USD. It’s not bullishness — it’s protection.” — AD | Money Market Flow 🔁 What to Watch: Fed’s next steps (Will they ignore Trump’s tariffs and focus on growth?) Global equity market reactions Bond yields (demand for U.S. debt could rise again) 📌 Stay sharp and follow the money. DXY is giving early signals — don’t ignore the shift. 🧠 Manage risk. Protect capital. Let the market come to you.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Update💥 US Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Update: Expert Analysis and Trading Strategies 💥 In just a few hours, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision and update its economic projections in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). This is a highly anticipated event that will shape trading decisions in the coming weeks. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently fluctuating within the 103.00 - 104.00 range, reflecting investor caution ahead of the critical updates. 1. Interest Rate Decision and Its Impact on DXY The policy rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50%. However, the market is more focused on signals about future rate cuts, particularly in 2025. Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting speech will be the key driver. The market will closely watch for hints on monetary policy, inflation, and the US economic outlook. If the Fed adopts a hawkish tone (indicating sustained high rates or even further hikes), the DXY could rally strongly. Conversely, a dovish signal could weaken the USD. 2. Technical Analysis of DXY 🔴 Key Support: 103.18 The DXY is currently under pressure at the 103.18 support level. A break below this level could push the index further down to 103.00 or even 102.50. This is a crucial zone, as failure to hold here would signal continued USD weakness in the short term. 🟢 Major Resistance: 105.00 and 105.57 If the DXY rebounds from current support levels, the next challenges will be the resistance zones at 105.00 and 105.57. The 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) on the daily chart are also key indicators to watch. A break above these MAs could reinforce the bullish trend. 📉 Short-Term Trend: On the 4H chart, the DXY is in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. However, upcoming macroeconomic factors (the rate decision and Powell’s speech) could trigger a reversal or increased volatility. Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD are in neutral territory, suggesting the market is awaiting clearer signals. 3. Trading Strategy Before and After the FOMC Decision 🔍 Before the Fed Announcement: Caution is key. The market may experience mild fluctuations during the wait. Traders should avoid large positions and wait for clearer signals. Closely monitor key support and resistance levels: 103.18 (support) and 105.00 (resistance). 🔥 After the Fed Announcement: Scenario 1: Fed Holds Rates and Signals Hawkish Tone The DXY could rally strongly, targeting resistance levels at 105.00 and 105.57. Strategy: Look for buy opportunities when the DXY bounces off support or breaks above resistance. Scenario 2: Fed Signals a Dovish Tone The DXY could drop sharply, breaking below 103.18 and heading toward 102.50. Strategy: Look for sell opportunities when the DXY breaks support or fails to surpass resistance. Scenario 3: Fed Holds Rates Without Clear Signals The DXY may continue to fluctuate within the 103.00 - 104.00 range. Strategy: Trade within the range, using identified support and resistance levels. 4. Advice for Investors and Traders 📊 Risk management: Always set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels to protect your capital. Post-FOMC volatility can be intense, so prepare mentally and have a solid trading plan. 📰 Stay updated: Keep a close eye on Fed updates and market reactions. Jerome Powell’s speech could create significant trading opportunities. 🛠️ Use technical tools: Combine indicators like RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci to identify precise entry points. 5. Conclusion Tonight’s FOMC meeting will be a decisive factor for the DXY’s short-term direction. With clear support and resistance levels identified, traders should prepare their strategies to capitalize on market movements. 🚨 Stay tuned for the latest updates on TradingView to ensure you don’t miss any trading opportunities! Wishing you successful trades and profitable outcomes! 💪💰
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Analysis – Correction or Breakout Ahead?Last week, gold (XAU/USD) hit a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, but a sharp correction followed, bringing prices down to the 2980 - 2985 zone. This volatility suggests that the market is seeking equilibrium before determining the next move. For the upcoming week, all eyes are on key economic data from the U.S., particularly the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation indicators. These factors will directly impact the USD and gold’s direction. 📉 Gold Market Outlook After a strong rally, gold is now in a corrective phase, absorbing liquidity before a potential continuation. Based on the technical chart: The FVG (Fair Value Gap) formation suggests that gold might revisit lower levels to fill liquidity before resuming its trend. The overall trend remains bullish, but key support levels need to hold for continued upside movement. The market awaits signals from the Fed and U.S. economic data to determine the next major move. 🔥 Key Factors to Watch This Week 1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy – Will Rates Remain High? The Fed has maintained a hawkish stance, but if upcoming economic data show signs of weakness, expectations of rate cuts or easing policies could support gold. 👉 Scenario 1: If the Fed remains committed to tight monetary policy, gold could face more selling pressure and test deeper support levels. 👉 Scenario 2: If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, the USD could weaken, boosting gold prices. 2️⃣ U.S. Inflation & Economic Data – The Game Changer Key reports like CPI and PPI will be the driving force behind market movements. If inflation slows down, expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, pushing gold higher. 👉 Higher-than-expected CPI: The Fed may keep rates high → Stronger USD → Gold under pressure. 👉 Lower-than-expected CPI: Expectations for easing policies increase → Weaker USD → Gold rebounds. 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels for GOLD 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 3014 - 3034: A crucial zone where previous selling pressure emerged. 3050: A breakout above this level could open the door for further upside movement. 🔹 Major Support Levels: 2942 - 2915: The FVG zone, where liquidity might be filled before a potential rebound. 2885: A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction. 🎯 Conclusion Primary Trend: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but a short-term correction is possible before resuming the bullish move. Market Catalyst: The direction of gold this week will be dictated by the Fed’s stance and U.S. inflation data. Key Levels to Watch: 2915 - 2942 as critical support zones, while 3014 - 3050 will act as major resistance. 🔥 This week, closely watch gold’s reaction at key support and resistance levels to assess its next move! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USD PLUNGES – IS THIS THE START OF A VOLATILE YEAR?📌 MARKET OVERVIEW The US Dollar (USD) is experiencing a sharp decline, with the DXY index dropping by 3.5% in the past week, marking its second-largest drop since the 2020 pandemic. More importantly, USD is now on a three-month losing streak, sending ripples across global financial markets. 👉 The Euro is the primary driver behind USD’s weakness, surging 4.7% against the USD, the biggest jump since 2009. 📌 DXY weakness amid escalating trade wars is a crucial signal – it indicates that major shifts are about to unfold in the financial markets! 📊 WHY IS THE USD DROPPING? 🔹 1. The Euro’s Strong Recovery The Euro is benefiting from the European Central Bank (ECB) maintaining stable monetary policies, while the US Federal Reserve (FED) leans towards rate cuts. This policy divergence has reduced the appeal of the USD, pushing the Euro to its highest level in over a decade. 🔹 2. Market Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts Recent US economic data shows weaker inflation, increasing the likelihood that the FED may ease monetary policy soon. Lower interest rates diminish the attractiveness of the USD, encouraging investors to shift capital into alternative assets like gold and the Euro. 🔹 3. Trade War & Economic Uncertainty Tensions between the US and China continue to escalate, with Trump’s aggressive tariff policies adding to global trade instability. However, instead of strengthening the USD, these policies are creating negative market sentiment, leading investors to pull away from USD-based assets. 📌 USD is now in a difficult position: ✔️ The FED may loosen monetary policy, weakening USD further. ✔️ The ongoing trade war is eroding confidence in the USD. 📉 HOW USD WEAKNESS AFFECTS GLOBAL MARKETS 🔸 Gold Surges as USD Declines Gold prices rally whenever USD weakens, as investors move funds into safe-haven assets. If USD continues to drop, gold could break its all-time high (ATH) and surge towards $2,970 - $3,000. 🔸 Stock Markets Could Benefit Lower interest rates and a weaker USD generally support the US stock market, especially export-driven companies. However, if recession fears intensify, investors may move towards safer investments like gold and government bonds. 🔸 Other Global Currencies May Strengthen A weaker USD boosts major currencies like the Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), and Japanese Yen (JPY). This could shift global trade dynamics, influencing economic trends in the coming months. ⚡️ CONCLUSION – IS USD IN FREE FALL? 📌 The USD’s three-month decline is a major warning sign, signaling potential shifts in global financial markets. 📌 If USD continues its downtrend, gold could hit new highs, while stocks may see increased volatility. 📌 Traders must closely monitor FED decisions on monetary policy and ongoing trade tensions between the US and China.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
U.S. Job Growth Slows: Impact on USD and Indian Investors​In the first two months of 2025, the U.S. economy experienced a notable slowdown in job creation, as reflected in consecutive Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) reports falling short of expectations. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February saw an addition of 151,000 jobs, below the anticipated 160,000, though an improvement from January's revised 125,000. ​ reuters.com +1 tradingeconomics.com +1 Impact on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 📉 The consecutive underperformance in job growth has exerted pressure on the U.S. Dollar, leading to a decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies. As of March 10, 2025, the DXY stood near a four-month low at 103.59, reflecting diminished investor confidence in the U.S. economy. ​ reuters.com Federal Reserve's Response 🏦 Weak labor market data often prompts the Federal Reserve to reassess its monetary policy stance. With two consecutive NFP reports missing expectations, the Fed may consider slowing the pace of interest rate hikes or even exploring economic stimulus measures to support growth and employment. However, any policy adjustments will also weigh factors such as inflation trends and overall GDP growth.​ Implications for Indian Investors 🇮🇳 The U.S. labor market's performance holds significant implications for global economies, including India:​ Currency Exchange Rates 💱: A weakening U.S. Dollar can lead to the appreciation of the Indian Rupee, affecting export competitiveness and import costs.​ Gold Prices 🪙: Traditionally, a softer USD boosts gold prices. Indian investors, who have a cultural affinity for gold, might see increased returns on their gold investments. ​ m.economictimes.com Stock Market 📈: Global equity markets, including India's, often react to U.S. economic indicators. A slowing U.S. economy might lead to cautious sentiment among Indian investors, influencing market dynamics.​ Expert Insights 🧠 Economists note that while recent U.S. job data indicates a slowdown, it's essential to consider the broader economic context. Factors such as consumer spending patterns, international trade policies, and geopolitical developments play pivotal roles in shaping both U.S. and global economic landscapes.​ Conclusion 📝 The recent underwhelming NFP reports serve as a cautionary signal regarding the U.S. economy's momentum. For Indian investors, staying informed about these developments is crucial, as they can influence currency valuations, commodity prices, and equity markets. A diversified investment approach, coupled with vigilance, can help navigate the potential ripple effects stemming from shifts in the U.S. economic environment.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook: 📍 Key Technical Insights ✅ Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential. Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment. ✅ Market Structure & Momentum A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics. The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100). ✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊 The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached. 📊 Potential Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀 🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️ 📌 Conclusion The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – WHAT’S NEXT?📌 Timeframe: 2H BTC/USD is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a phase of accumulation before a potential major breakout. 📈 TREND ANALYSIS & KEY PRICE LEVELS 1️⃣ Current Trend BTC is trading around $86,301, moving within a narrowing price channel. Price is caught between the ascending trendline support and the key resistance zone at $90,000 - $92,000. A breakout above this zone could trigger a strong bullish move towards $98,000+. Conversely, a failure to hold support may push BTC down to $82,764, with further downside potential towards $78,000 - $80,000. 2️⃣ Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Major Resistance Levels: $90,000 - $92,000: Strong resistance; a breakout here could lead to a rally. $98,000: The next target if BTC successfully breaks above resistance. 🔻 Major Support Levels: $82,764: Closest support; a breakdown could trigger further downside. $78,000 - $80,000: A strong demand zone that could provide a solid bounce if BTC dips further. 📉 POTENTIAL TRADING SCENARIOS 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 🟢 If BTC breaks above $90,000 - $92,000, it could confirm a bullish trend continuation toward $98,000+. Watch for strong volume confirmation and a clear close above resistance. 📌 Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 🔴 If BTC fails to break $90,000 - $92,000, it could retrace to $82,764. A further break below this level could send BTC down to $78,000 - $80,000 before finding strong support. ⏳ CONCLUSION – PREPARE FOR A BIG MOVE! 📊 BTC is in a critical accumulation phase, setting up for a major breakout soon. 📈 If BTC clears $90,000 resistance, the bullish trend will likely continue toward $98,000+. 📉 If BTC rejects and drops below $82,764, a deeper correction to $78,000 is possible. ⚠ Traders should wait for a clear breakout signal & manage risk carefully ahead of the big move! 📢 Do you think BTC will break out or correct further? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading