USDCAD - SUPPORT UNDER PRESSURE, WILL THE DOWNTREND CONTINUE?Symbol - USDCAD
CMP - 1.3803
USDCAD continues to test the support within its established trading range amidst a broader global downtrend. While the currency pair remains confined within this range, the pressure on the support persists. The market’s response to false breakouts appears to be weakening, and the price action continues to challenge the 1.3780 level, thereby increasing the likelihood of a further decline.
The US Dollar is showing signs of retreating from resistance and is beginning to decline, exerting a corresponding effect on USDCAD. Should the currency pair breach the 1.3780 level and establish a sustained close below it, this could signal the continuation of the prevailing trend following a consolidation phase.
Resistance Levels: 1.3810, 1.3830
Support Levels: 1.3780, 1.3740
The primary focus remains on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.3780, The role of this range is to provide consolidation amidst a broader downtrend. Therefore, a decisive breakout below support would likely trigger the initiation of the distribution phase.
Usdcadtrade
USD/CAD Bullish Breakout: Trade Hits Target Successfully200 EMA (Blue) at 1.43070: Represents long-term trend resistance.
30 EMA (Red) at 1.42660: Represents short-term trend direction.
Price has strongly surged above the 30 EMA, indicating bullish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone (Red area at the bottom): Marked near 1.42150, where the price reversed.
Target Resistance (Blue at the top) at 1.43672: Marking the expected profit zone.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Near the support zone at 1.42451-1.42660.
Stop Loss: Placed below 1.42150, to minimize risk.
Target Point: 1.43672, aligning with a previous resistance level.
Price Movement: A strong bullish breakout occurred, moving rapidly toward the target.
Trade Analysis:
✅ Successful Long Trade: Price moved sharply upward after consolidating at support.
📈 Momentum Confirmation: The strong bullish candles indicate aggressive buying.
🎯 Target Achieved: The trade reached the projected 1.43672 level, generating a solid risk-to-reward outcome.
Potential Future Outlook:
If the price sustains above 1.43672, further upside could be seen toward 1.44000.
If it faces resistance, a pullback toward 1.43070 (200 EMA) may occur before another move.
USDCAD - EXPECTING BREAKDOWN OF CONSOLIDATIONSymbol - USDCAD
The USDCAD pair is currently consolidating within the range of 1.4485 to 1.4280 The US dollar has been experiencing negative momentum recently. However, with the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report upcoming, the data could either reinforce the ongoing correction or provide support to the US dollar index. Market attention is focused on today's economic announcements. If the actual NFP results fall below the forecasted 169K, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are likely to strengthen.
Today, The Federal Reserve's monetary policy report will be released, potentially offering further insights into the regulator's future actions. Should the NFP data be weaker than anticipated, the US dollar may depreciate, leading to a potential decline in USDCAD. Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations, the US dollar is expected to strengthen, driving USDCAD higher. In the event that the Federal Reserve signals a potential rate cut, the US dollar could weaken, thereby supporting the Canadian dollar.
Resistance levels: 1.4345, 1.4370
Support level: 1.4280
Given the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming data, it is challenging to predict the precise market outcome. From a technical perspective, the currency pair appears weak due to the falling value of the US dollar. A break below the 1.4280 support level could signal further downside potential.
USDCAD- 1DThe Dollar has been weaker for this time and thus all the dollar pairs seems to be bearish. This setup looks good for selling opportunity and aiming for 1.3370.
Note- This is my own analysis and thus not to be considered as trading signal, before making any decisions kindly do your own research, as trading is highly risky.