USDINR could pause it's upward rally !!!!USDINR has reached it's upper range where it has faced
resistance several times as visible on charts.
Avoid fresh longs here and an aggressive could also take a short
position here with very small stop loss.
RSI is also facing resistance near 72 which is again negative sign.
Although, USDINR could make some fall but, that is always good
for the market and because of which we could see some upward rally in markets.
USDINR
#usdinr long setup.#USDINR spot pair formed a Rally-Base-Rally pattern on a daily chart. Fundamentals also support the current bull trend.
#Rising Interest rates
#Increase in India's trade deficit.
#Current economic conserns.
USDINR View 13 May ExpiryUSDINR 13 May Expiry view
Looking at Price action, it has shown a clear BO of Inverted Head and Shoulder with good volume.
Next Target can be next resistance or 77.160 if breaks this too then ATH-all time high level 77.416 (round to 77.5)
May Sell 76.5 PE and buy 76.25 PE for hedging ( execute this when you get a dip, view - buy the dips )
Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan !
Happy Trading !
USDINR on verge of a breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula: - Stop Loss Amount/ (Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. sell 50% of your position on ADX cross of 40, keep the other half and trail the stop with Supertrend indicator or any other indicator of your liking.
After a consolidation sale March 2020, OANDA:USDINR is ready for a breakout. On closing basis It has already given breakout. If it crosses 77.16 with high volumes then one can consider buying it with a stop at 75.80. It has already given a breakout with high volume on 30 minutes chart yesterday morning which is a sign of bullishness.
USDINR View Next week 22 April 2022 ExpiryUSDINR multi-timeframe analysis
* On Monthly - last month Price tried to show a downtrend but failed to make a new low and ended up printing Inverted Hammer (Bullish Sign)
* On Weekly - High of previous week hammer taken out (Bullish Sign)
* On Daily - High of neutral candle printed on 13 April 2022 taken out (Bullish Sign)
Reversal Chart pattern - Inverted Head and Shoulder Break Out
Target : 76.46 / 76.65
USDINR View next expiry viewUSDINR has broken down and then took support with bullish divergence
it has a good resistance of long term EMAs (200 EMA and 50 EMA) also now
Looking at Bollinger bands also it seems they are squeezing... confirming the view of price going sideways
range - between 76 and 75
Recommendation : I am going for monthly expiry short iron butterfly.
As monthly future is trading at 75.93 (round to 76)
My straddle will be of 76 (CE & PE) Sell
and will hedge both up and down with 76.25 CE Buy and 75.75 PE Buy
Risk / Reward for 100 lots : 2000 / 23000
Very good RR ratio
Margin required : 2,07,000 approx...
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
USDINR View for next 1 or 2 daysUSDINR
Formed kind of bearish flag pattern
if it breaks the inclined TL downwards, then T1 : 75.75
further if it breaks that level too, then 75.54
But if it breaks the high of evening star and inclined TL above, then
76.46 is the level to watch for, if it breaks that then USDINR may get bullish again.
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
Happy Trading !
#usdinr Bullish - target 80#usdinr is on a rounding bottom. in future, it will be bullish and move towards 79 to 81.
In long period We can take a bullish position .....
Buy April & may future. Sell 77 - 78 CE and Sell 76 PE for monthly position.
In short period, it has resistance at 76.6, if it crosses 76.6 upside can be 77.3
if it reverses from 76.6, it can touch 76.0
USDINR 25 Mar Expiry viewHi Folks !
USDINR is now seen in a crucial level near 76
* It has retraced only 38% from recent dip
* Retest done at previous breakdown level which was also a support level earlier
* Price also can be seen moving in a downtrend channel and now is at the upper level, having room to move downwards till the lower level
* Chart pattern : If we look at this retracement as flag, we can also say that it is a flag Breakdown and may also give flag target which is 75
* Indicators : RSI & Stochastic also supporting the Bearish View analyzed with points observed and mentioned above
Contra View : If this takes a support at immediate support level 75.5 and makes a double bottom ( reversal sign )
then wait for Break out of 76 to get a target of 76.657
No trading zone - 76 to 75.5
Strategy recommendation : Bear Call Spread
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
USDINR View Buying Option OpportunityUSDINR as expected moving in a neutral to short range as per our expiry view posted previously....
Now that we are watching a Sandwich pattern formed on 4Hourly timeframe,
if it breaks down
then there is a flag breakdown also with a breakdown of 50 EMA
this confluence may trigger an excellent Option buying opportunity.
For buying, use next week's option or monthly option of ATM or ITM strike.
Target : till 200 EMA or POLE target.
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
These ideas are shared for trader community to improve conviction and employing different execution strategies on their individual views if they match our view.
USDINR TOWARDS STRONG RESISTANCE ZONEUSDINR going to face so strong resistance in upcoming days. Test this level more than 5 times. But it was unsuccessful. All time high for 2020 to 2022 was 77.00. This also strong resistance becoz initative sellers entered due to price is above its fair value. As fer this 76 to 77 range was not fair price and not accepted by sellers past 2 years. This USDINR longs will effect our market as far news rbi had already dive into action to control this steady USDINR depreciation.
ALL THE INFO ARE BASED ON VIEW. 🚫NOT RECOMMENDED. JUST ANALYSE AND LEARN. HAPPY WEEKEND🎈🎇✨.
USDINR Next week view 18 March ExpiryUSDINR on Weekly Time frame has reached channel resistance marked in Blue parallel line
at this channel resistance, on daily timeframe it has shown us a hanging man (hammer) type candle ,
the low of this candle is also taken down by the big bearish candle.
Now this all has happened at the previous resistance level and this bearish engulf (hammer + big bearish candle) has taken down
low of the bullish breakout candle too confirming fake breakout.
Now, as per this price action any bounce is a Sell with Stop loss high of the hammer candle (77.150)
We can also see Bearish Divergence with RSI.
View : Neutral to Short with target 75.5
Counter view : if the high of the hammer is broken out, then bullish momentum continues, hence, continuing the view given in my previous post. Please check out.
Strategy that can be applied :
Bear Call Spread - Buy 77.25 CE Sell 77 CE (Buy OTM Sell ATM/ITM)
OR
Call Ratio Back Spread Buy twice of the lots of 76.5 PE and Sell 76.75 PE (Sell one lot of ITM, Buy two lots of OTM)
Few things to know about this spread are below :-
* Unlimited profit if the market goes down
* Limited profit if market goes up
* Predefined loss if the market stays within a range
Rupee Should Get stronger and come back to 75.5 Rs per Dollar Interesting Price Action and charts pattern are being observed in USD/INR currency pairs.
1. The Cup and Handle Formation.
Cup formation can continue or Handle pattern can be formed and price can shoot up. As global situations are pacifying. We believe, rupee
should get bit stronger.
2. All time high Resistance
We have seen previously, sell of from these high levels in past.
3. ABCD harmonic
According to these Rupee can test Neck of Harmonic, that can be around Rs75.5
4. Fibonacci Retracement
If it tests 0.382 or 0.50 of Fibonacci levels, It should come back to Rs75.25 or Rs74.5 per dollar exchange rate in upcoming days.
Trade on your own risk and analysis.
USDINR View March MonthlyUSDINR has given a good volume BO candle on Weekly
if it sustains above current level, this BO may give good targets as shown by the wave structure shown on chart.
Buy intraday Dips...
I am holding Bull Call Ratio Spread...
Might also do naked Call Buying with limited risk amount. (amount that I am ready to loose)
#USDINR -Will #RBI loose control with its loose monetary policyUSDINR - Indian Rupee is in real danger of collapse. RBI has been sleeping at wheel with their loose monetary policy.
Hourly ascending triangle breakout near key level of 76.
India Rupee- RBI's loose policy will be a disasterWith oil shooting above $100 a barrel, Indian rupee is on the edge of precipice . @RBI 's loose monetary policy and loose talk on never raising rates is going to push the Indian rupee from the clif.
#Nifty #nifytbank #USDINR