Date: 3rd July 2024
Time: 7:40 PM
Why USDINR?
1. Everyone know INR is getting weaker against USD day by day, and same thing happened here since Oct 2022 but inside Rising Wedge Pattern in Weekly TF.
2. In Bigger view This Rising Wedge Pattern has formed around resistance line off Bigger Flag in Monthly TF. (Red Doted Line)
3. This pattern can...
This video gives an overview of how Indian economy performed during the post covid era, vis-a-vis other countries and using that performance as a benchmark, it explains that as US starts to cut rates, how Indian economy, bonds, currency and equities will likely perform
Where doe the Government earn from and where does it spend - thats what the budget document tells us.
This video touches these aspects of the budget document - Revenue Receipts, Revenue Expenditure, Capital Receipts, Capital Expenditure, Revenue Deficit, Fiscal Deficit and expenses like interest and pensions
Maharashtra Government announced the interim Budget today for 2024 - 25. The effort is laudable as it has tried to rein the revenue deficit and also reduce borrowing.
Karnataka has increased its expenses and has not provided for any income increase of the same magnitude. Due to this the state is facing fiscal problems. It is simply resorting to borrowing more to fund its populist programmes. This is a sure receipe for disaster.
RBI has restricted retail people from trading in usdinr.
for long time RBI has restricted usdinr in the range of 82,75 to 83.30 for more than a year
Now this level is broken and usdinr is seen trading above 83.30 easily for long duration in spot.
This is positive for IT companies like Infy and TCS. May be because of this Infy seen taking good support for several...
Al though a wedge top has formed on USDINR.
Reserve Bank of India may be a villian and stop Indian rupee from appreciating. i.e. stop USDINR falling too far.
As we have talked in past post
#DXY is high and after CPI result it has break up side.
same for #USDINR #US10Y
Till it has chance to more fall and here i have added some supports in this post.
you can find your levels and analysis then take trades.
More to indian market has looks fall to come soon as it making pattern like that but all game of news and data...
All factors seem to be falling in place for Indian Economy. And that will likely translate into huge gains for Indian currency, bonds and equities. This update speaks about the signals visible at the beginning of 2024.
Strategy Details:
Short Strangle: Sell an OTM call and an OTM put.
Weekly Duration: Initiating the trade on Monday and closing it by the expiry date, which is typically the end of the week for weekly options.
Potential Advantages:
Profit from Time Decay: Options lose value over time, which benefits the seller.
Range-bound Market: If USD/INR stays within the...
Rupee stayed almost flat against the $ in 2023, depreciating 2% whereas other EM currencies depreciated more than 4%.
Equities soared in 2023 and if things go as they are appearing, then 2024 promises to be even better. There is lot of hop and optimism in the air already about Indian economy and that will most likely translate into higher returns for Indian...
India has managed to keep its public finance in control and focus on capex led growth. That has ensured that India managed to stay afloat during the storm and now that the storm has subsided, India is on its way to race at higher knots.
This video is an update on the latest global macro developments
India's FY24 Q2 GVA/ GDP Data has just been published and it is higher than estimates.
This video analyses the data and in an update to the earlier idea of impact of bond yields on equities.
As the US Inflation numbers came soft, all doubts about Fed hiking rates in December were gone. That led to all currencies strengthening against the $. US Yields colled off, Dollar Index came down and US Equities soared.
Indian markets also joined the party. The Rupee made strong gains making new multi week highs. G Sec Yields came off highs and Sensex and Nifty...
Rupee made a new low against the greenback on Fri 10 Nov 2023.
Falling Rupee means higher inflation, higher yields, lower liquidity and hence capping of equities.
This is what i discuss in this update
USDINR is currently forming a symmetrical pattern, which is a consolidation pattern that can precede a breakout in either direction. Swing traders should wait for a clear breakout before taking a position.
Trade with Symmetrical Patterns: A Simplified Guide
Symmetrical triangles signal potential trend pauses or consolidations. Breakouts from these patterns...
Over the past few days, there has been a steady fall in Indian yields, largely due to fall in US yields and falling crude oil prices. The rupee has been stable for over a year now; it is this kind of predictability in the economyu that makes India an attractive investment destination vis-a-vis its peers.
As we approach Mahurat Trading, we are crucial resistance...
