India's FY24 Q2 GVA/ GDP Data has just been published and it is higher than estimates.
This video analyses the data and in an update to the earlier idea of impact of bond yields on equities.
As the US Inflation numbers came soft, all doubts about Fed hiking rates in December were gone. That led to all currencies strengthening against the $. US Yields colled off, Dollar Index came down and US Equities soared.
Indian markets also joined the party. The Rupee made strong gains making new multi week highs. G Sec Yields came off highs and Sensex and Nifty...
Rupee made a new low against the greenback on Fri 10 Nov 2023.
Falling Rupee means higher inflation, higher yields, lower liquidity and hence capping of equities.
This is what i discuss in this update
USDINR is currently forming a symmetrical pattern, which is a consolidation pattern that can precede a breakout in either direction. Swing traders should wait for a clear breakout before taking a position.
Trade with Symmetrical Patterns: A Simplified Guide
Symmetrical triangles signal potential trend pauses or consolidations. Breakouts from these patterns...
Over the past few days, there has been a steady fall in Indian yields, largely due to fall in US yields and falling crude oil prices. The rupee has been stable for over a year now; it is this kind of predictability in the economyu that makes India an attractive investment destination vis-a-vis its peers.
As we approach Mahurat Trading, we are crucial resistance...
Looks Bulls are entering which kept market floating for past 2 days might get good movement by tomorrow or expiry, if open without gaps or open in previous days range.
- As per trend analysis bulls making lower highs as support may hit 43800
- Bullish move above 43800 , Resistance at 43970
- 43600 may act as support & resistance both.
- 43400 support on down...
As US Yields cool off a tad bit, it results into Dollar index cooling and Rupee strengthening. Our Forex Reserves increased, our yields fell and our benchmark equity indices soared. India's maiden 50 year bond issue was oversubscribed and that shows how much interest and confidence there is about India over the coming few decades.
India's largest Festival season...
As the FED did not tinker with rates, Indian equity markets saw a gap up opening. This was probably on the hope tha FII selling will subside and the continuous fall which we were witnessing may pause/ stop.
India's largest festival - Diwali - is on, followed by the Union Budget coming in early 2024 and soon after that the central elections would be...
USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium.
83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107.
Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that...
Rising US Yields are attracting liquidity from all assets. Also, in the domestic markets the yield curve has become flat.
From being normal sloping during height of Covid to flat today; the shape and level of the yield curve have repercussions on investors.
This video examines the liquidity situation globally as well as locally and tracks leading indicators to...
The Indian Rupee (INR) has depreciated by 1 RS against the US dollar in the past month and is approaching its historical peak, a potential reversal opportunity. Consider taking a short position, using a tight stop loss set at the all-time high of 83.6 . This decision is bolstered by the presence of a bearish divergence, lending further support to this strategy.
The weekly chart of the USD INR is the ascending trangle pattern formation: In the techanical view the probability of the brackout is high as compare to the brackdown.
Currently the crude price hike, this is negative effect the USDINR
Next year is the election, previous chart patter show election year Rupee is fall
Foreign investor sold the indian market
I have just tried to count waves here in USDINR pair for period of around last one year
(almost).
Well it doesnt look atall that dollar is weakning in near future.
In fact it may remain strong for next couple of year (approx).
Huge huge consolidation almost at same place for last 1 year and now
its almost completed.
Should start heading north very soon and...
Hello & welcome to this analysis
In the daily time frame it has now come to a falling trendline resistance which has also activated a Bearish Harmonic Reciprocal ABCD pattern. Coincidentally, the swing low was also formed with a Bullish Harmonic ABCD pattern.
A retracement from here could take it to 102.75 and below that 102.15. The pattern would be considered...
