USDINR - 100+ ???One side $ is rising despite of de dollarization efforts. India and RBI has been supporting and buying $ every month as per RBI data when chit chatting with russia for new currency one side and INR trades on another side. Its like put right indicator and show left hand and go straight without turning right or left !!! RBI who refused to reduce interest rate for the sake of Inflation do not talk about USDINR increase.... its commonsense if usdinr fall crude imports becomes costlier and resulting in price rise. while speaking harsh on one side RBI do not have any other option other than this to attract FIIs back to markets. Right now RBI is trying to support the N & BN Bulls.
Usdinrlong
USDINR - all time highs will be taken out in November?USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium.
83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107.
Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that interested.
TVC:US30Y quoting 4.945% looks exciting from a debt perspective !
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A rising USDINR means the INR is getting devalued. Calendar year 2022 saw an erosion of 11.07%, YTD is only 0.61% - will the rising US yield + war in middle east further erode the Indian Rupee??
USDINR Asceding Trangle Pattern The weekly chart of the USD INR is the ascending trangle pattern formation: In the techanical view the probability of the brackout is high as compare to the brackdown.
Currently the crude price hike, this is negative effect the USDINR
Next year is the election, previous chart patter show election year Rupee is fall
Foreign investor sold the indian market
USDINRIn the past times, USDINR is trying to hold its level and now we can see more rise above the levels
Characteristics of Triangle pattern
A pattern that has the following characteristics is more effective.
+ Before breaking out, prices need to touch both resistance and support levels at least twice each for the pattern to take effect.
+ This pattern gives a buy signal (breaking out of the resistance) which is more effective than a sell signal (breaking out of the support).
How to enter a trade is as follows.
When the price breaks out of the resistance, open a UP order. You can open the order as follows:
+ Entry Point: When the candlestick finishes breaking out of the resistance.
+ Stop-Loss: At the level where the price last hit the support before breaking out.
+ Take-Profit: From the entry point, the length is equal to the widest price amplitude generated within the Triangle.
#triangle
USDINR Break out of range
Finally a candle breaking out the angular flag Trend line on the upside which was awaited....
So, not we can get ready to see an aggressive move above this resistance.
T1 : Target 1 - Flag's length
T2 : Target 2 - Pole's length
Strategy to be used can be Bull Call Spread (aggressive way)
& Bull Put Spread (conservative way)
USDINR1st BUY 82.02 (30% of your capital)
2nd BUY 81.73 (30% of your capital)
3rd BUY 81.43 (30% of your capital)
A margin call of 10% must be maintained.
Note: Only buying (long FUT or Monthly CALL) is recommended here; no shorting or bearish trend is recommended; almost all events are happened so strong naturals (above > 82.39); do not buy weekly CALL options and OTM CALL options; only ITM or ATM monthly options are recommended.
USDINRPlease keep in mind that this is only for futures and positional traders.
You can buy USDINR in 3 different buy zones, as mentioned (Buy zone 1, Buy zone 2, Buy zone 3).
There is NO-STOPLOSS; simply purchase as much as you can. Don't panic if it reaches Zone 3; instead, buy as much as possible.
It is important to note that this view is for the next three months and is not recommended for short-term time frames.
Note 1: Do not trade CALL options based on this view because it is a long-term view and you may lose money buying OTM or ITM due to theta decay in the long run.
Note 2 : Because the USDINR is oversold, strong Bullishness is expected to continue, and only buying is recommended (avoid short selling or buying PUT options) at retracement levels.
USDINR 9 Sep Expiry View
USDINR moved downwards as expected in previous post...
Now, considering a strong 50 EMA support, we have got Bullish Engulf on it.
Past behavior of USDINR also gives us a reference that whenever we have a bullish pattern at 50 EMA support,
we get an uptrend. ( Right now, trend can be cautious bullish, however, if it crosses All Time High, then we may get a fast move too.)
And looking at Option Chain of Currency, there are significant writers at 79.5 PE
Overall, verdict is bullish and strategy can be Bull Put Spread.
SELL 79.5 PE and Buy 79.25 PE for downside protection...
Plan Your Trade and Trade your Plan !!!
Happy Trading !
#usdinr long setup.#USDINR spot pair formed a Rally-Base-Rally pattern on a daily chart. Fundamentals also support the current bull trend.
#Rising Interest rates
#Increase in India's trade deficit.
#Current economic conserns.
USDINR View 13 May ExpiryUSDINR 13 May Expiry view
Looking at Price action, it has shown a clear BO of Inverted Head and Shoulder with good volume.
Next Target can be next resistance or 77.160 if breaks this too then ATH-all time high level 77.416 (round to 77.5)
May Sell 76.5 PE and buy 76.25 PE for hedging ( execute this when you get a dip, view - buy the dips )
Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan !
Happy Trading !
USDINR View Next week 22 April 2022 ExpiryUSDINR multi-timeframe analysis
* On Monthly - last month Price tried to show a downtrend but failed to make a new low and ended up printing Inverted Hammer (Bullish Sign)
* On Weekly - High of previous week hammer taken out (Bullish Sign)
* On Daily - High of neutral candle printed on 13 April 2022 taken out (Bullish Sign)
Reversal Chart pattern - Inverted Head and Shoulder Break Out
Target : 76.46 / 76.65
USDINR View March MonthlyUSDINR has given a good volume BO candle on Weekly
if it sustains above current level, this BO may give good targets as shown by the wave structure shown on chart.
Buy intraday Dips...
I am holding Bull Call Ratio Spread...
Might also do naked Call Buying with limited risk amount. (amount that I am ready to loose)
USDINR rising in silence !!!!USDINR just formed a double bottom pattern which shows that it is not interested in moving beyond 74.15 as a weekly closing basis. USDINR has given a breakout in weekly charts above 75.11 hence it can move towards 76.17.
Below you can see that its RSI moves in band, hence it can move to test RSI upper band.