USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDUSDJPY SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Usdjpysignal
USDJPY 1H BUY PROJECTION 19.09.24Reason for Bullish
USDJPY Correlation
In fact, what drives the USD/JPY pair the most is monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the BoJ and risk sentiment. In normal times, when there's risk on sentiment you can see the USD/JPY appreciating all else being equal, while during risk off flows you can see the JPY gaining strength.
USDJPY Lastwave - Big Drop SoonUSDJPY 1D Timeframe Projection
DISCLAIMER: All labelling and wave counts are done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't be bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn, and make your strategy... Following is not that easy...
USD JPY Pullback expected !!!The price has cleared 151 lvl and halting near the resistance 151.950 or 152 as rd fig
this resistance is monthly high
expected the price to go sideways and make a build up before making the breakout
also as decided in the post of DXY, similarly here some fair value area are let behind after strong one side up move
149.700 to 149.550 there is good fvg to trade on
thereafter 148.300 148.900 which is little less probable to see upto next week
(only there is no breakout above 152 level)
USD JPY trade setup price is reversing from 149.578 without testing resistance which mean a lack of buying liquidity
the following previous green long candles left behind imbalance which have created fair value area
with applying fib to draw the PD area
149 to 148.781 is above discount zone which will hold less impact
whereas 148.500 to 148.300 is the zone where we can look for trade and for the target of 149.995 and stop loss based on risk taking capability
USD/JPY the two ways to trade (long and short) logic1. for pullback trader or people on short side will trade based on lower low and lower high formation
but price movement on down side is bit slow and steady
if price reacts on 2nd poi but,
does not break the recent (internal lower low) of 141.500
and makes higher low this make the short trade very choppy mind exhaustion
2. for long side trader price might defend the low of 141.500 well and breaks above the both POI wait for the retracement
or
let the price complete the chart pattern of CUP AND HANDLE
(well the chart pattern is just a assumption do not trade before the completion)
My Today's Learning
candle CLOSE & pattern COMPELETION is the key
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold?
In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar.
At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again.
However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase.
It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time.
Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
USDJPYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
As I said in the last weeks .. s I said UJ rejected from the Fibonacci 0.5 ... it went down in the area 108,600 from where it rejected again and goes again to the Fibonacci 0.5 area making a range between these values!
In the next period I expect this range to continue and I will play between the Fibonacci 0.5 and Fib 0.382 areas until the first closing on the chart for a week outside these values.
THIS WEEK...this week I will draw a parallel between the 1 week chart and the 1 month chart because the month has just ended and I would like to know what to expect ...
exactly as I said in recent months, UJ has a range between Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.382 ... as in September it rejected and closed below Fibonacci 0.5 I expect this line to continue and I expect a decline to the area 108,600 or 107.600
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GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
USDJPYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
As I said in the last weeks .. UJ touched and forced the Fibonacci 0.5 area from where he had a strong rejection!
even if he retested the area once more ... I think he will start a retreat first towards 109,700 and maybe 108,460!
however, a close even for a day over Fibonacci 0.5 opens the opportunity to BUY to the Fibonacci area618
THIS WEEK... as I said UJ rejected from the Fibonacci 0.5 ... it went down in the area 108,600 from where it rejected again and goes again to the Fibonacci 0.5 area making a range between these values!
In the next period I expect this range to continue and I will play between the Fibonacci 0.5 and Fib 0.382 areas until the first closing on the chart for a week outside these values.
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.