Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls struggle amid overbought RSI, $70,100 eyedOn Monday morning, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced slight losses after reaching a three-month high. This movement highlights overbought RSI conditions, indicating weak upside momentum beneath the horizontal resistance area established since early June.
Buyers remain hopeful
Despite overbought RSI conditions and facing key resistance, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers remain optimistic. The pair is holding above last week’s breakout from a descending resistance line, which is now acting as support around $67,700. Additionally, bullish MACD signals suggest strong buyer momentum.
Key technical levels to watch
The horizontal resistance around $70,100 is a key barrier for Bitcoin bulls. They should also monitor the $70,000 threshold and recent highs near $72,000 as additional hurdles. If BTCUSD breaks through, the yearly peak near $73,800 and the $75,000 mark will attract buyers' attention.
If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaks below the former support at around $67,700, it could trigger a short-term decline. Key levels to watch include the previous monthly high near $66,500 and the 200-SMA support around $63,300. If prices fall below $63,300, the next significant support is at $62,500. A move past that could lead to a drop towards the psychological level of $60,000 and potentially a monthly low of around $58,870.
Upside potential remains intact
Overall, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers are likely to remain in control despite the challenges at key resistance. However, a price pullback is possible if the US Dollar strengthens from this week’s PMIs and Durable Goods Orders data.
DJ FXCM Index
SHREE RENUKA SUGARAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
CNXIT BULLISH !
1. Resistance Breakout:
- The index has historically faced selling pressure at 38,653 - 38,405 Zone, causing it to reverse or pause its upward movement.
- When a stock breaks above a strong resistance level, it means that buying demand has overwhelmed the selling pressure at that price point. This breakout is a positive sign, indicating that the chart may move higher, especially if it is a clean break (i.e., it closes significantly above the resistance level).
- The **strength of the breakout** is often measured by the volume of trading activity. If the breakout occurs on **high volume*, it indicates that a large number of market participants are involved, adding credibility to the When a stock breaks through a strong resistance level and retests that level with good volume, it can signal a strong bullish move. Here's a detailed breakdown:
2. Retest of the Resistance Level:
- After the breakout, it’s common to see a retest of the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support level. This retest occurs as some traders may take profits, or there may be some temporary selling pressure as the market re-evaluates the new price.
- If the stock successfully holds above the previous resistance (now support) on the retest, it confirms that the breakout was valid. This gives bulls (buyers) more confidence that the level will hold and that the stock has further upside potential.
3. Volume Confirmation:
- A retest with good volume is essential. If the stock holds the new support on strong volume, it signals that buyers are stepping in to defend the level, further reinforcing the idea that the stock is in a bullish phase.
- Conversely, if the retest occurs on low volume, it may indicate a lack of conviction from buyers, and the breakout may be prone to failure.
4. Bullish Expectations:
- When a stock breaks out of resistance and successfully retests it with strong volume, the expectation is that the stock will enter a new bullish trend. The prior resistance has now been transformed into a solid base of support, and the stock may experience momentum buying, pushing prices higher.
- Traders often see this scenario as a low-risk, high-reward setup. Their stop-loss would typically be placed just below the new support level, while the upside target could be based on previous price patterns, such as Fibonacci extensions or previous highs.
5.Target :
- it is on its all-time high targets on fib zones,pivots 0r based on future price action basis.
# Summary:
- **Breakout of strong resistance Indicates potential for higher prices.
- **Retest of resistance as support Confirms strength of the move if support holds.
- **Good volume on retest: Adds confidence in the bullish move.
- **Bullish expectation Likely continuation of the upward trend.
This combination forms a high-probability bullish setup in technical analysis.
#cnxit #itsector #nifty
USDTHB - TRADE ON LONG SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDTHB
USDTHB is currently trading at 34.90
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDTHB pair at 34.90
I will be adding more if 34.50 & 34.20 comes & will hold with SL of 33.95
Targets I'm expecting are 35.80 - 36.35
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDSGD - LONG TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDSGD
USDSGD is currently trading at 1.3150
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDSGD pair at 1.3150
I will be adding more if 1.3080 comes & will hold with SL 1.3030
Targets I'm expecting are 1.3385 - 1.3560
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
XAUUSD - Prices decrease according to the trendGold fell to around $2,325 per ounce on Tuesday as investors await this week’s US economic reports for clarity on the Federal Reserve’s timeline for interest rate cuts. Key focal points include the core PCE index data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, alongside consumer spending and income, the third estimate for Q1 GDP growth, and the goods trade balance. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly stated on Monday that she does not think the US central bank should lower rates until policymakers are confident that inflation is moving towards 2%.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2341 - 2343, SL: 246
🟢BUY GOLD: 2302- 2300, SL: 2296
⛔️Breakout: top border 2334 - below 2323 - 2316 - 2312
🔼Support: 2316 - 2312- 2306 - 2300
🔽Resistance: 2337 - 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
NZDUSD - LONG ENTRYSymbol - NZDUSD
NZDUSD is currently trading at 0.58750
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying NZDUSD pair at CMP 0.58750
I will be adding more if 0.58000 comes & will hold with SL of 0.56600
Targets I'm expecting are 0.59650 - 0.60500 & beyond.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDTHB - TIME FOR PRICE REVERSAL & A CORRECTION ?Symbol - USDTHB
USDTHB is currently trading at 37.064
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting USDTHB pair at CMP 37.064
I will be adding more if 37.400 comes & will hold with SL of 37.620
Targets I'm expecting are 36.400 - 36.000
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDSEK - SHORT ENTRYSymbol - USDSEK
USDSEK is currently trading at 10.96650
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting USDSEK pair at CMP 10.96650
I will be adding more if 11.03000 comes & will hold with SL of 11.10000
Targets I'm expecting are 10.81000 - 10.73000 & beyond.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDMXN - Ready to Blast Again ? Last week, I took long position in UDMXN at 16.66000 & Closed at 16.92500
Closed that position in more that $5000 profit in just 2-3 days.
My long setup is formed again in USDMXN
Taking long positions here at CMP 16.67000
My SL would be 16.62000
Target I'm expecting is 17.00000
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Wondering where the Dollar is headed next? He're is a hint. Analysis
A five wave decline from 107.34, the high on Oct 03, 2023 to 100.62, the low on Dec 28, 2023.
In Elliott terms, this impulse structure tells us that the movement at the next larger degree of trend is also downwards. Within this impulsive structure, wave (i) is a Leading Diagonal, wave (ii) is a Flat which neatly predicts a Zigzag wave (iv) by guideline of Alternation. Both waves (iii) and (v) are extensions. The impulsive decline holds well within the parallel trend channel as is often expected.
A five wave move is always followed by a three wave corrective pullback or variation thereof, irregardless of degree; in this case, a rally wave ((ii)).
To where? The Elliott wave guideline on the depth of corrective waves suggests that price action should ideally end within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Second, the ensuing correction, wave (ii) is unfolding as a sharp Double Zigzag correction labelled (w)-(x)-(y) with waves (w) and (x) completed, wave (y) in progress.
In ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave (ii) of an Impulse or wave (b) in a larger Zigzag.
Also, the actionary waves in a Double Zigzag correction namely waves (w) and (y) are often related by equality or Fibonacci (0.618) in time or amplitude.
wave (y) = 0.618 X (w) at 104.87; this level falls neatly within the previous guidelines.
Thus, the cluster of evidence suggest the rally is nearing its end and a reversal is onset; a third wave.
Trade Plan
1) Conservative Approach
Entry: Short at 104.879; the 0.618 retracement.
Protective Stop: 107.34; in an Impulse wave (ii) CAN NEVER retrace more than 100% of wave (i).
Target: 10.87 decline; in an impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the loss of
the first, as in:
wave ((i)) = -6.72 (100.62-107.34),
wave ((iii))= 1.618 X (-6.72) equals (-10.87)
Risk-Reward: 1:3
2) Aggressive Approach
Requires price action to break below a recent swing low; wave b of a Zigzag, that will virtually suggest the rally has ended and a reversal was underway.
Entry: Break below 103.89
Protective Stop: Recent swing high
Targets: Below 100.62
Risk-Reward: Greater than 1:3
NOTE: Stay tuned to get follow-up adjustments to stops as we monitor the move through completion.
EURUSD 4H ANALYSISFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
DXY #Dollarindex Trade Setup DXY/Dollar Index is currently trading near an overhead supply
- It will be very crucial to watch how it exactly reacts to its overhead supply
- IMO even if we see a good reaction from the overhead supply it will be still important to watch the reaction.
- From a long perspective it's better to wait out and first let the breakout happen - let the base form - let it take some grabs and then scout for longs
#dollarindex #dxy
EURUSD AnalysisFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!






















