U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)The US Dollar Index (also known as DXY or USDX) measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies. Therefore, it provides us with an insight into whether the dollar is strengthening or weakening compared to other major currencies.
This index has a positive correlation with currency pairs where the dollar is the base currency. Conversely, there is an inverse correlation.
The DXY or USDX measures the exchange rate of the US dollar against 6 currencies. The currency with the most weight in its composition is the euro.
It is a key indicator in analyzing the value of the dollar to determine its trend. Additionally, it can be used to study the global macroeconomic situation, as well as to gauge the level of economic and financial uncertainty at a particular moment. (🇮🇳)
DJ FXCM Index
BEARISH IDEA📉 Alert! Bearish Pattern Spotted! 🐻
📊 Pattern: Wedge
📌 Symbol/Asset: USD/INR
🔍 Description: Strong resistance.
👉 Remember: Technical patterns are just one piece of the puzzle. Consider conducting further research, consulting with a financial advisor, and managing your risks appropriately.
GOLD BUY IDEAGOLD ANALYSIS:
GOLD has been one of the most considered safe haven against the fall of USD.
Most investors turned to consider GOLD as a safe haven due to following factors:
The CORE PCE fall as expected on Friday where this indicates that FED will not out more efforts for tightening since the stubborn inflation is coming close to target.
FED may pause rate hikes this year (2023) because inflation is on hand and coming closely to target which is 2%.
Technically and for longer term GOLD is bearish however the current bullish waves gave room for us to closely look at important zones where we have 1893.
The price has bounced from the area level now 1893 and 1911.722 because traders found the area as 61.8 Retracement of current high around 1922.689, hence there may be correction from this level back to 1904.293 which will definitely be our entry zone.
Technically GOLD turns bullish for the short term where an inverted H&S formed and its neckline was broken above, our entry for the broken neckline of inverted H&S will exactly be the same level of 61.8 Retracement level of the current high which is 1904.770.
BTC’s price hit $38624.14The price of BTC/USDT has been dumped by -1.05% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin is shown in the bearish mode & it will touch $24000 in 2023 and in bullish mode it will touch the $38600 in 2023. The previous All Time High was on 10th November 2021 where BTC was priced at $69,045.
It has moved by 17.54% in the past week and it currently at $30000 approximately. There is slight bearish sentiment shown in the crypto market But in the long term it will hit the $34900 approximately in 2024. The current market cap of Bitcoin is $582,490,336,788.
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week
The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week:
- US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress.
- The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets.
- The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June.
- Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility.
- The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
USD/JPY buy idea sharingBased on the information provided, you are planning to enter a trade in the USD/JPY currency pair. Here's an explanation of the trade for publishing:
Trade Details:
- Symbol: USD/JPY
- Entry Price: 139.690
- Target Prices: 139.842 and 140.001
- Stop Loss: 139.582
Rationale for Entering the Trade:
You have decided to enter this trade based on two factors: support at 139.5 and a potential trendline breakout.
1. Support at 139.5:
You believe that the exchange rate of USD/JPY has reached a level of support at 139.5. Support is a price level at which buying pressure is expected to outweigh selling pressure, potentially leading to a price reversal or a bounce. By entering the trade near this support level, you anticipate that the price will move in a favorable direction.
2. Trendline Breakout:
Additionally, you have observed a trendline on the price chart of USD/JPY, and you expect a potential breakout to occur. A trendline is a line that connects consecutive higher lows or lower highs, indicating the direction of the prevailing trend. A breakout refers to a situation where the price moves beyond the trendline, potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment and the continuation of a new trend. Based on your analysis, you believe that the price is likely to break out above the trendline, which has influenced your decision to enter the trade.
Trade Parameters:
- Entry Price: You plan to enter the trade at 139.690, which means you will buy USD/JPY at this exchange rate.
- Target Prices: You have set two target prices for this trade. The first target is 139.842, and the second target is 140.001. These levels represent your profit-taking points, where you aim to sell the USD/JPY and realize gains.
- Stop Loss: To manage potential losses, you have implemented a stop loss order at 139.582. If the price reaches this level, your trade will be automatically closed to limit your downside risk.
Please note that trading involves risks, and this trade should be evaluated in the context of your own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market conditions. It's essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider other factors such as market news, economic indicators, and overall market sentiment before making trading decisions. FX:USDJPY
Short on EURUSD pairIn daily chart EURUSD formed the bearish candle with strong selling Volume candle.
In 4hr Time frame it has formed Falling Wedge Pattern and make breakdown for downside.
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Risk and reward In this trade will be 6:91
Entry At : 1.09761
Sl will be : 1.10307
Target 1 : 1.08394
Target 2 : 1.07164
Final Target : 1.05990
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This is education purpose trade.
Please take advice from your financial adviser before taking any trade in live market.
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U.S.Dollar Index possible Elliott wave counts of DXYHello Friends,
Here we have shared possible Elliott wave counts plotted on chart of U.S. Dollar Index - DXY on daily time frame, which clearly indicates that after top of September 2022 we are in corrective phase as per Elliott wave structures, and as per wave counts we can see that we had completed wave ((3)) and now possibly we are in second half of wave ((4)) in which we had completed wave (A)-(B) and currently we are unfolding wave (C), in wave (C) we should have five subdivisions and we had completed wave 1 and now we are in wave 2 which is contra trend, we are assuming again a reversal signals to start again journey towards south direction as a wave 3-4-& 5, to complete wave (C) of bigger degree wave ((4)).
Overall it's looking very good candidate to go short on rise along with invalidation levels of 105.883, because as per wave principles wave 2 will never retraces more than 100% of wave 1.
My studies are for educational purpose only, Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing, I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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Price below mass psychological cloud level (Bearish Bias on daily)
Daily MACD positive, but below resistance and zero line
Weekly MACD negative
Monthly MACD negative
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.