High-Frequency Trading (HFT) in India1. What Is High-Frequency Trading?
High-Frequency Trading is a subset of algorithmic trading that focuses on:
Extremely fast trade execution
Large volumes of orders per second
Short holding periods (milliseconds to seconds)
Taking advantage of tiny price inefficiencies
In simple terms, HFT uses powerful computers, sophisticated mathematical models, and ultra-fast internet connectivity to make profits from small movements in prices that humans cannot catch.
HFT firms compete on speed, because the difference between executing a trade in 1 millisecond vs 2 milliseconds can decide whether a strategy is profitable or not.
2. Why Has HFT Grown in India?
HFT took off in India after the introduction of:
a) Co-Location Services
NSE and BSE allow brokers and trading firms to place their computers inside the exchange’s data center.
This reduces latency (delay) from milliseconds to microseconds.
b) Advanced Technology Stack
Indian markets adopted:
FIX protocol (Financial Information Exchange)
Ultra-low latency APIs
High-speed order matching engines
Direct Market Access (DMA)
c) Derivatives Market Growth
NSE’s index futures and options like Nifty, Bank Nifty, and FINNIFTY provide high liquidity, ideal for HFT strategies.
d) Market Modernization
India upgraded its exchanges with:
Microsecond time-stamping
High-speed leased lines
Real-time risk management
These changes created an environment where HFT could thrive.
3. How Does HFT Work?
HFT follows a technological and mathematical approach:
STEP 1: Detect Micro-Opportunities
Algorithms scan:
Bid-ask spreads
Order book imbalances
Arbitrage gaps between instruments
Momentum bursts
Latency-based inefficiencies
STEP 2: Execute Trades at Extreme Speed
HFT uses:
Multi-core processors
FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Arrays)
Ultra-low-latency servers
Microwave and fiber networks
These systems can place thousands of orders per second.
STEP 3: Manage Risk Automatically
Risk systems continuously check:
Position limits
Exposure
Margin
Price deviations
If anything exceeds limits, the systems shut down automatically.
STEP 4: Square Off Quickly
HFT positions rarely remain open for more than:
A few milliseconds
A few seconds
Maximum a few minutes
The goal is to earn very small margins multiple times a day.
4. Main HFT Strategies Used in India
1. Market Making
HFT firms provide liquidity by placing both buy and sell orders.
They profit from the bid-ask spread.
Example:
Buy at 201.10 and sell at 201.20 → earn 0.10 repeatedly.
2. Arbitrage
Taking advantage of price mismatches:
Nifty Futures vs Nifty Spot
NSE vs BSE arbitrage
Index vs constituent stock arbitrage
Options mispricing
Currency vs equity cross-market arbitrage
HFT closes the gap instantly.
3. Latency Arbitrage
Ultra-fast algorithms react faster to quote changes than slower traders.
4. Momentum Ignition
Algorithms detect early price momentum and jump in before human traders.
5. Order Book Dynamics Strategies
Using order book patterns such as:
Order flow imbalance
Large hidden orders
Sudden liquidity vacuum
To predict short-term price moves.
5. Who Uses HFT in India?
1. Proprietary Trading Firms (Prop Desks)
These include boutique firms, hedge-fund-style prop desks, and technology-driven trading companies.
2. Institutional Brokers
Large brokers offering low-latency systems to clients.
3. Foreign HFT Firms
Several global players operate in India via local subsidiaries.
4. Market Makers
Liquidity providers for index derivatives and currency markets.
Retail traders generally cannot compete with HFT due to:
Hardware limitations
Lack of co-location access
Slow internet
Higher latency
6. Benefits of HFT in the Indian Market
1. Increased Liquidity
HFT adds continuous buy and sell orders, making markets smoother.
2. Reduced Bid-Ask Spreads
As HFT competes on price, spreads narrow—benefiting all traders.
3. Faster Price Discovery
Arbitrage algorithms instantly align prices across markets.
4. Higher Market Efficiency
Information reflects quickly into prices.
5. Better Execution Quality
Even retail traders indirectly get better fills due to more liquidity.
7. Risks and Criticisms of HFT in India
Despite the benefits, HFT also draws criticism.
1. Market Manipulation Concerns
Some alleged techniques include:
Quote stuffing
Spoofing
Layering
These create artificial supply/demand illusions.
2. Flash Crashes
Ultra-fast algorithms can cause sudden short-term crashes when:
Liquidity disappears
Orders get canceled instantly
Algorithms turn off at the same time
3. Unfair Speed Advantage
Retail traders cannot match co-located HFT machines.
4. Systemic Risk
If multiple HFT firms fail simultaneously, volatility could spike.
5. Technology Costs
Only well-funded firms can afford:
Co-location servers
High-speed networks
FPGA hardware
This creates a natural inequality.
8. Regulation of HFT in India
SEBI has implemented strict controls to ensure fairness.
1. Minimum Resting Time (Proposal)
Idea to force orders to stay in the book for a few milliseconds—reducing ultra-fast flickering.
2. Penalty for Excessive Order-to-Trade Ratio
HFT firms often place thousands of orders but execute only a few.
High OTR attracts penalties.
3. Randomized Order Matching
Proposed mechanism where matching is randomized within small time windows—reducing pure speed advantage.
4. Strengthening Surveillance
SEBI uses machine-learning tools to detect:
Spoofing
Layering
Market manipulation
5. Co-Location Auctioning
Equal access to co-location racks avoids unfair preferential treatment.
9. The Future of HFT in India
1. More Technology Upgrades
Exchanges are adopting:
Microsecond time-stamps
AI-driven surveillance
Faster matching engines
2. Increased Participation in Derivatives
Nifty, Bank Nifty, FINNIFTY continue to attract HFT flows.
3. Entry of Global Quant Firms
More global players are entering due to India’s:
High liquidity
Strong regulation
Growing economy
4. Rising Competition
As more firms adopt low-latency infrastructure, profits will depend more on innovation than speed alone.
Final Summary
High-Frequency Trading in India is a powerful mix of:
Ultra-fast computers
Complex algorithms
Advanced exchange technology
High liquidity
Opportunity-driven trading
It brings both advantages (liquidity, efficiency, tighter spreads) and disadvantages (flash crashes, unfair speed advantage).
SEBI continues to regulate HFT tightly to ensure equal and transparent access.
Overall, HFT has become one of the most influential forces shaping the microstructure and day-to-day volatility of Indian equity and derivatives markets.
Wave Analysis
GIFT NIFTY: INDIA’S GLOBAL FUTURES BENCHMARK1. What is GIFT Nifty?
GIFT Nifty is a futures contract based on the Nifty 50 Index, traded on NSE IX (NSE International Exchange) located in GIFT City (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City).
It allows global and Indian institutional investors to trade Indian index futures for nearly 21 hours a day. Previously, these contracts were traded in Singapore under the name SGX Nifty, which was one of the largest offshore derivative products linked to India.
In July 2023, SGX and NSE integrated their liquidity and migrated the contract to GIFT City, giving birth to GIFT Nifty. This made GIFT City the official global gateway for trading Nifty futures.
2. Why Was GIFT Nifty Created? (Background Story)
For many years, Indian index derivative trading was happening outside India through SGX Nifty, which traded in Singapore Exchange. Foreign investors widely used SGX Nifty to hedge Indian market exposure and take directional bets before Indian markets opened.
This led to:
Loss of trading volumes outside India
Loss of tax revenues
Limited control over trading data
Strategic disadvantage since India’s index was traded overseas
To resolve this, NSE International Exchange (NSE IX) in GIFT City collaborated with the Singapore Exchange (SGX). After a long process, liquidity was shifted from Singapore to India.
The result:
GIFT Nifty became the global benchmark gateway for international participation in Indian markets.
3. Where is GIFT Nifty Traded?
GIFT Nifty trades exclusively on:
NSE International Exchange (NSE IX)
located in
GIFT City – Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India’s first global financial hub.
GIFT City provides:
Tax incentives
Global-standard regulatory environment
Ease of international clearing and settlement
USD-denominated trading
This transforms India into a preferred centre for offshore financial activities.
4. Trading Hours: Almost 21-Hour Trading Cycle
One of the biggest advantages of GIFT Nifty is its near-round-the-clock trading window, making it extremely attractive to global traders.
Trading Hours:
Session 1: 6:30 AM IST to 3:40 PM IST
Break: 3:40 PM–4:35 PM
Session 2: 4:35 PM IST to 2:45 AM IST (next day)
These extended hours allow:
European market overlap
US market overlap
Asian market overlap
Thus, GIFT Nifty reacts instantly to global events such as US inflation data, FOMC meetings, geopolitical events, Fed rate changes, or macroeconomic news.
5. Types of GIFT Nifty Contracts
Currently, GIFT Nifty offers four key futures contracts:
GIFT Nifty 50 Futures
— Based on India’s benchmark Nifty 50.
GIFT Nifty Bank Futures
— Based on Nifty Bank Index, preferred by high-volume traders.
GIFT Nifty Financial Services Futures
— Tracks financial, banking, and NBFC stocks.
GIFT Nifty Midcap Select Futures
— Targets mid-cap performance.
These contracts allow global investors to trade multiple Indian market segments.
6. Why is GIFT Nifty Important for Global Investors?
A. Hedging Indian Market Exposure
Foreign institutions and hedge funds use GIFT Nifty to:
Protect portfolios
Manage currency risk
Adjust positions during global events
React when the Indian market is closed
This makes it a powerful risk management tool.
B. Pre-Market Signal for India
Like SGX Nifty earlier, GIFT Nifty acts as:
India’s opening indicator
because it trades before NSE opens at 9:15 AM.
Traders watch GIFT Nifty to predict:
Gap up or gap down opening
Market sentiment
Global reactions to overnight events
C. USD-Denominated Trading
GIFT Nifty trades in US Dollars, eliminating INR volatility risk for foreign traders.
D. Lower Transaction Costs and Tax Benefits
GIFT City offers incentives such as:
Tax exemptions
Reduced transaction charges
Global settlement infrastructure
This improves liquidity and encourages foreign participation.
7. Advantages of GIFT Nifty for India
A. Boosts India’s Global Financial Position
By hosting the world’s primary trading hub for Indian index futures, India:
Captures revenue
Gains global visibility
Strengthens its financial ecosystem
B. Increases Trading Volumes
Liquidity that once belonged to Singapore has now moved to India.
GIFT Nifty is already seeing rising:
Participation
Volumes
Institutional activity
High-frequency trading (HFT)
C. Helps Build GIFT City as Global Hub
GIFT City aims to become:
India’s version of Dubai IFC
A global financial and tech ecosystem
A zone free from heavy domestic regulations
GIFT Nifty is its flagship achievement.
8. Impact on Indian Retail Traders
Even though GIFT Nifty is designed mainly for global players, Indian retail traders benefit indirectly:
A. Stronger Pre-Market Analysis
GIFT Nifty offers reliable cues for:
Market opening
Overnight sentiment
Global macro impact
This helps traders prepare strategies before NSE opens.
B. Better Volatility Understanding
Since GIFT Nifty reacts to global data instantly, it signals:
How big events may move Nifty
Expected risk levels
Next-day volatility zones
C. Improved Liquidity in Main Nifty Contracts
With global volumes migrating to GIFT Nifty, institutional hedging becomes more efficient, indirectly supporting NSE liquidity.
9. Comparison: GIFT Nifty vs SGX Nifty
Feature SGX Nifty GIFT Nifty
Location Singapore GIFT City, India
Currency USD USD
Trading Hours ~16 hours 21 hours
Settlement SGX NSE IX
Liquidity Earlier highest Now shifted to GIFT
Regulatory Foreign Indian global zone
Result: GIFT Nifty is now the official global benchmark for Nifty futures.
10. Role in Global Financial Markets
GIFT Nifty plays a significant role in the global market ecosystem:
Helps global funds include India in their derivatives portfolios
Enhances India’s market visibility
Acts as a hedge instrument for emerging markets exposure
Allows cross-border arbitrage strategies
As India rises economically, GIFT Nifty strengthens its position in global finance.
11. Future Growth Potential
GIFT Nifty is expected to grow due to:
Increasing foreign portfolio investment (FPI)
India’s rising GDP ranking
More indices being added (IT, Auto, FMCG, etc.)
Growing participation from global institutions
GIFT City plans to add:
Options contracts
More currency derivatives
More global settlement links
This will convert GIFT City into a global derivatives powerhouse.
Conclusion
GIFT Nifty is more than just a futures contract—it represents India’s emergence as a global financial centre. By shifting index derivative trading from Singapore to GIFT City, India has strengthened control over its markets, increased participation, expanded trading hours, and built a powerful financial ecosystem aligned with international standards.
For traders, GIFT Nifty remains a crucial indicator of market sentiment. For institutions, it is an efficient hedging and speculative tool. For India, it is a milestone showcasing financial modernization and global ambition.
Banking Sector Leadership in the Trading Market1. Why Banking Sector Holds Leadership in the Market
1.1 Highest Weightage in Index
The Nifty 50 allocates the largest share — around 33–38% — to financials, mainly banks.
Bank Nifty itself is a major index, made up of leading private and public banks.
When banks move, the entire index moves, causing large-scale shifts in sentiment.
Because of this high weightage, even a small percentage change in heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Kotak, or Axis Bank heavily influences Nifty’s direction.
1.2 Heart of the Economy
Banks are essential to every major economic activity:
Loans to corporates
Retail credit (housing, auto, personal loans)
Government bond investments
Infrastructure project financing
MSME support
If the banking sector is healthy, it signals that the economy is healthy — which boosts market confidence.
1.3 Institutional Ownership & Liquidity
Foreign investors (FIIs) and domestic institutions (DIIs) prefer banking stocks because:
They offer high liquidity
Business models are predictable
Regulated by the RBI
They move directly with interest rate cycles
This heavy ownership ensures that banking stocks are actively traded, making them natural leaders.
2. How Banking Sector Influences Market Sentiment
2.1 Reacts Fast to Macro Events
The banking sector responds immediately to:
RBI interest rate decisions
Inflation data
GDP trends
Liquidity conditions
Global interest rate changes
Whenever an economic event occurs, banking stocks show the first and strongest reaction. Traders watch them closely to judge market direction.
2.2 Credit Growth vs. Market Trend
High credit growth indicates:
Expansion in business activity
Higher consumption demand
Strong financial health
This fuels bullish sentiment across the market.
On the other hand, slowing credit growth reflects:
Weak business confidence
Stress in industries
Tightened liquidity
Markets often turn bearish when banks show declining loan growth.
2.3 NPA (Non-Performing Assets) Cycle
Bank NPA trends influence corporate health and market mood:
Falling NPAs = better profitability = bullish sector = bullish market
Rising NPAs = stress in corporates = bearish tone
Thus, traders consider NPA cycles as early indicators of broader market conditions.
3. Why Traders Focus on Bank Nifty as a Lead Indicator
3.1 Bank Nifty Moves Faster and Sharper
Bank Nifty is more volatile than Nifty due to:
Leverage-based business model
High sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts
Higher FII participation
Bigger intraday moves
Because of this, it often leads the market — if Bank Nifty is bullish, Nifty usually follows.
3.2 Option Trader’s Favourite Index
Bank Nifty has:
High liquidity in options
Narrow bid-ask spreads
Better price discovery
Faster momentum
Day traders, scalpers, and positional option traders use Bank Nifty as a sentiment gauge.
3.3 Banking Stocks Form Market Breadth
When major banks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI surge together, it signals:
Strong institutional buying
Rising market confidence
Start of a broader upward trend
When they fall together, it often marks:
Weak sentiment
FII selling pressure
Potential index correction
4. Key Drivers of Banking Sector Leadership
4.1 Interest Rate Cycle
The banking sector's performance is strongly tied to interest rates:
Rate hikes increase banks' net interest margin (NIM)
Rate cuts boost loan demand
Stable rates create predictable earnings
Traders use interest rate expectations to forecast banking stock direction.
4.2 Liquidity Environment
Banks thrive when liquidity is high:
Credit expansion happens easily
Market cap of banks rises
Valuations improve
Low liquidity can stress banking stocks, sending negative signals to the overall market.
4.3 Corporate & Retail Loan Mix
Private sector banks with strong retail portfolios (HDFC Bank, Kotak) often lead bullish rallies due to stable earnings.
PSU banks lead when:
Government spending rises
Infrastructure cycle strengthens
Bond yields fall
The leadership shifts based on the credit cycle.
5. How Banking Sector Leadership Affects Other Sectors
5.1 Triggers Rally in Interest-Sensitive Sectors
When banks are bullish, other sectors also pick up:
Real estate
Auto
Infra
Metals
FMCG (due to consumer spending boost)
This creates a broad-based market rally.
5.2 Influences Economic Cyclicals
Banks act as a barometer for:
Capital expenditure cycles
Corporate profit cycles
Manufacturing activity
Consumption levels
Strong banks = strong growth cycle = bullish markets.
5.3 Leads Early Reversals
Before a major rally or correction, banks usually turn first.
In early bull markets → banks break out first
In early bear phases → banks drop sharply before other sectors
This makes the banking sector a predictive indicator.
6. Traders’ Framework for Using Banking Leadership
6.1 Monitor Bank Nifty First
Before trading Nifty or other indices, traders check:
Bank Nifty trend
Price action
Volume profile
Leading stocks strength
Derivatives data
If Bank Nifty is strong, traders prefer bullish trades in the broader market.
6.2 Track Leading Banks
Key stocks to watch:
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Axis Bank
SBI
Kotak Mahindra Bank
IndusInd Bank
These stocks often show early signs of trend continuation or reversal.
6.3 Use Leadership for Confirmation
A market cannot sustain a bullish trend for long without support from banks.
So traders look for:
Breakouts in Bank Nifty
Strong candle formations
Low wicks (showing buying pressure)
Heavy volumes
Positive FII data
These signals confirm strength.
7. Conclusion: Why Banking Sector Remains Market Leader
The banking sector’s leadership is not temporary — it is structural. Banking acts as:
The largest weighted sector in indices
The economic engine of credit and liquidity
The favorite playground for institutions and traders
The macro-sensitive sector that reacts first
The trendsetter for bullish and bearish phases
In simple terms:
If banks rise → the market rises.
If banks fall → the market weakens.
For any trader trying to understand market structure, trend strength, or broader sentiment, analyzing the banking sector — especially Bank Nifty — is essential.
AI Trading Profits1. What Is AI Trading?
AI trading refers to the use of machine learning models, algorithms, and automation to analyze markets, predict price movements, and execute trades. Unlike traditional trading, where decisions depend on human judgment, AI uses data patterns to make logical, emotion-free decisions.
AI trading systems usually combine:
Machine Learning Models
Neural Networks
Natural Language Processing (NLP)
High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms
Automated execution engines
These systems can scan thousands of indicators, news events, and market variables in seconds — something that is impossible for a human trader.
2. How AI Trading Generates Profits
AI earns profits primarily through accuracy, speed, pattern recognition, and disciplined execution. Let’s break it down:
a) Predictive Accuracy
AI systems analyze past price action, volume, volatility, order flow, sentiment, and macro data to forecast short-term or long-term price movements.
Profits are generated when AI predicts:
Trend continuation
Trend reversal
Breakouts
Market structure shifts
High-probability entry and exit points
A well-trained AI model can identify winning setups with higher precision than manual analysis.
b) Speed and Efficiency
Markets move fast — especially in intraday or high-frequency trading.
AI reacts in microseconds, allowing it to:
Enter and exit trades before retail traders react
Capture small price inefficiencies
Take advantage of rapid sentiment changes
This speed gives AI a competitive edge that converts directly into profits.
c) Removing Human Emotions
Human traders often suffer from:
Fear
Greed
Overtrading
Emotional reactions
Confirmation bias
AI avoids all emotional biases.
Once trained, it follows logic-based rules, improving consistency and profitability.
d) 24/7 Market Monitoring
AI never sleeps.
It continuously scans market conditions, technical signals, global news, and sentiment changes.
This constant monitoring allows AI to:
Identify opportunities instantly
Avoid bad trades
React faster to volatility
The result? More accurate trades and higher profit probability.
e) Backtesting and Optimization
Before trading live, AI models test strategies on historical data.
This process includes:
Validating accuracy
Measuring risk-reward
Fine-tuning indicators
Eliminating unprofitable setups
Backtesting ensures that only statistically profitable strategies go live.
3. AI Trading Strategies Used for Profit
AI can be deployed in multiple trading styles. Each strategy targets different types of profits:
**1. Trend-Following Algorithms
AI identifies strong bullish or bearish trends early and rides them until the trend weakens.
It predicts:
Higher highs/lows
Momentum strength
Trend exhaustion
Profits come from capturing major directional moves.
**2. Mean Reversion AI Models
AI detects when prices deviate too far from their average (mean).
It forecasts when price is likely to:
Bounce
Revert back
Correct after overbuying/overselling
Profits come from short-term rebounds.
**3. Breakout and Breakdown Detection
AI is excellent at spotting breakout patterns before they occur.
It analyzes:
Volume spikes
Liquidity clusters
Pressure zones
Market structure
Profits come from sharp moves after a breakout or breakdown.
**4. High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
HFT uses ultra-fast algorithms to profit from small price changes.
AI helps:
Detect micro-patterns
Execute instantly
Create thousands of tiny profitable trades
This strategy generates small but consistent profits.
**5. Arbitrage Trading
AI identifies price differences between:
Exchanges
Brokers
Markets
Derivatives vs spot
It instantly buys low and sells high, locking in risk-free profits.
**6. Sentiment Analysis-Based Trading
AI uses NLP to scan:
News
Social media
Analyst reports
Earnings updates
Economic data
It converts sentiment into actionable trades.
Example: detecting early negative sentiment before a stock falls.
**7. Options AI Trading
AI is widely used in options due to complex pricing dynamics.
It predicts:
Implied volatility
Premium movement
Option Greeks shifts
Probability of strike price touching
Profits come from precision in volatility forecasting.
4. Why AI Trading Is So Profitable
1. Pattern Detection Beyond Human Capability
AI sees patterns in data that humans can’t detect.
2. Ability to Process Massive Data
Millions of data points are processed per second.
3. Discipline and Consistency
AI stays consistent in all market conditions.
4. Lightning-Fast Execution
AI acts instantly when price levels hit.
5. Adaptability
AI models adjust to changing market conditions by retraining or rebalancing strategies.
5. Real-World Examples of AI Trading Profitability
Hedge Funds
Many funds using AI (e.g., Renaissance Technologies, DE Shaw) have generated billions in returns, outperforming traditional traders.
Banks
J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citi use AI to improve:
Risk models
Trade execution
Market predictions
Retail Traders
With AI bots and automated systems, retail traders can:
Avoid emotional mistakes
Trade professionally
Increase win rate
6. Risks and Limitations of AI Trading
Even though AI can be highly profitable, it is not foolproof.
Risks include:
1. Overfitting
Model becomes too dependent on past data and fails in live markets.
2. Black Swan Events
AI struggles during unexpected market crashes.
3. Data Quality Issues
Wrong data = wrong predictions.
4. High Cost of Development
Reliable AI models require:
Huge data sets
Expensive training
High computational power
5. Excessive Confidence
Believing AI is 100% accurate can lead to unnecessary risk.
7. Final Summary
AI trading generates profits by:
Predicting market movements with high accuracy
Executing trades at lightning speed
Eliminating emotional decisions
Continuously learning and adapting
Identifying micro-patterns invisible to humans
While it can be extremely profitable, success depends on good strategy, quality data, and proper risk management.
Part 10 Trade Like Institutions 1. Buying a Call (Bullish Bias)
You profit when the price goes above the strike price + premium.
Example:
Nifty at 22,000
You buy 22,100 CE for a ₹50 premium
Breakeven = 22,150
Above 22,150 → profit begins
2. Buying a Put (Bearish Bias)
You profit when the price goes below the strike price – premium.
Example:
Nifty at 22,000
You buy 21,900 PE for ₹40 premium
Breakeven = 21,860
Below 21,860 → profit begins
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts Best Practices for Safe Option Trading
Start with buying options, not selling.
Use a defined stop-loss and target.
Avoid trading during low liquidity.
Choose ATM/ITM options for better probability.
Follow trend + volume + price action.
Don’t trade based on emotions or rumours.
For selling, always hedge positions.
Keep risk per trade under 1–2% of capital.
Time to TRIM your shorts in SILVER / XAGUSD?
TF: 15 Minutes
CMP: 49.941
The structure and counts suggests that we are in for a bounce on this counter anytime soon.
I have marked the internal counts of this fall from the recent swing high (54.385)
Whether it is an ABC decline or an impulse 5 wave decline, we are in for a bounce in the shorter TF
Trendline from the lows confluences at around 49.15 levels (the desired target range for this leg)
In my view, it must be 5 wave decline, to be followed by an ABC upmove and then possibly another 5 wave down to break below the previous swing low at 45.534
Chart in larger TF
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With Experts1. Unlimited Losses (for Option Sellers)
Selling naked options can be dangerous due to sudden market spikes.
2. Time Decay
Option buyers lose money daily if the market doesn’t move.
3. Volatility Crush
After an event (e.g., earnings), option premiums drop sharply.
4. Wrong Strike Selection
Choosing inappropriate strikes reduces the probability of profit.
5. Lack of Discipline
Options require risk management more than prediction.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts 1. Delta
Measures how much the option premium changes with a ₹1 move in the underlying.
Call delta: +0.0 to +1.0
Put delta: –0.0 to –1.0
2. Theta (Time Decay)
Measures how much value the option loses each day.
Buyers suffer from Theta
Sellers benefit from Theta
3. Vega
Measures impact of volatility.
High volatility → higher premium
Low volatility → lower premium
4. Gamma
Measures how fast delta changes.
High gamma = high speed of price movement.
Nifty Analysis for Nov 18, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks 26010, now pattern has been changed and it is a destructive impulsive move.
What I’m Watching for Nov 18, 2025 🔍
Short nifty only if it breaks 25754 SL above 25857 for a target of 25588-25530 and 25042-25167 (SL on 15 min. candle close).
Buy nifty only if takes support at 25857 only intraday with a sl below 25754.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Hedging
Investors use options to protect portfolios from sudden market falls.
Example:
You own Infosys shares
You buy a put as insurance
If the price falls, the put offsets the loss
Leverage
With a small premium, you can control a large position.
Example:
A stock worth ₹1,00,000 can be controlled by paying ₹5,000 premium.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Call Option
A call option gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy calls when they expect prices to go up.
Example: You buy a call option on Reliance at ₹2,500. If the stock jumps to ₹2,700, your call becomes profitable.
2. Put Option
A put option gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy puts when they expect prices to go down.
Example: You buy a put on TCS at ₹3,600. If the stock falls to ₹3,300, your put gains value.
Both call and put options derive their value from the underlying asset, which is why they are called derivatives.
Groww ideal Buying zone at 145-150 levelsGroww ideal Buying zone at 145-150 levels where complete ABC correction of 5 Elliot wave structure ends starting up move. Can accumulate at 145-150 levels as broader Nifty Index is also supporting at 25900+ levels for ATH and marching towards 28000 levels. Would support all broking stocks.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE 11/19 – STRUCTURE HAS SHIFTED1. Market Structure
Gold has broken above the H4 downtrend line and completed a successful retest around 4,060–4,070.
The strong push toward 4,100 confirms a transition from bearish → short-term bullish.
Structural Signals:
Buyers are gaining control as price continues forming higher lows
The POC zone 4,072–4,075 has turned into strong support
Intraday structure is leaning clearly toward a bullish recovery
2. Technical Breakdown – H1 & H4
H4 Trend
After the previous strong drop, price is forming a potential bottom around 4,030–4,050
H1 Trend
The short-term bullish trend is confirmed after breaking and retesting the descending trendline
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones
4,072–4,075 → POC – major support maintaining the bullish structure
4,060–4,065 → minor support – quick-reaction area
Resistance Zones
4,108–4,112 → first resistance (H1/H4 confluence)
4,147–4,150 → strong H4 resistance, potential higher target if bullish continuation remains
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
SRM 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Key Levels (Daily Pivot / Support / Resistance)
Based on classic pivot calculations from recent prices:
Pivot: ~ ₹626.4 approx.
Resistance Zones:
R1 ~ ₹636.8
R2 ~ ₹645.3
R3 ~ ~ ₹655.7
Support Zones:
S1 ~ ₹617.99
S2 ~ ~ ₹607.6
S3 ~ ~ ₹599.1
🎯 My Short-Term View
Bullish setup: If the stock holds above the pivot ~₹626 and the support zone near ~₹617-620, it has room to test ~₹636-645 and potentially ~₹655.
Risk / caution area: If price drops back below ₹617-620 convincingly, then support near ~₹607-600 becomes important.
Ideal buy: A pull-back to the ~₹620 region with confirmation (volume/support) could offer a good risk/reward. Alternatively, a breakout above ~₹645 with strong volume could trigger further upside.
Stop / risk control idea: For a long trade, one could consider a stop below ~₹600-607 depending on risk tolerance.
Gold Possible scenarioIn 4H TF price has been made 5 ways structure so please very carefully trade, my bias still bullish side, one of the reason is bitcoin, nasdaq and spx are in correction phase so gold and silver for the time being will remain still bullish.
Its my idea not trading advise so plan your trade as per your rules, all the best for all traders.
Thanks
ENDURANCE 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Key Price Data
Last traded price: ~ ₹2,720.50 (as of 19 Nov 2025, ~11:57 AM IST)
Day’s high ~ ₹2,729.90, day’s low ~ ₹2,616.10
Previous close: ~ ₹2,615.10
📉 Daily Support & Resistance Zones
Based on the intraday range and recent levels:
Immediate support zone: ~ ₹2,620 – ₹2,650 (just above the day’s low)
Second support: ~ ₹2,580 – ₹2,600 (below current trading, potential break level)
Immediate resistance zone: ~ ₹2,730 – ₹2,760 (near day’s high)
Higher resistance: ~ ₹2,900 – ₹3,000+ (a more medium-term zone)
MAHSEAMLES 1 Week Time Frame 🔍 Current Price & Context
Latest price ~ ₹570 (on NSE as of today)
52-week low ~ ₹540.50, 52-week high ~ ₹814.30
On the daily technicals: recent signals show moving averages (shorter term) are positive, but the 200-day MA is still signalling “sell”.
📏 Weekly Timeframe Key Levels & Structure
Based on pivot-levels, support/resistance calculations and previous ranges:
Weekly pivot (Standard) around ~ ₹571.30
Support zone:
~ ₹557-560 region (S1) from pivot table.
A major structural support near ~ ₹540-550, given the 52-week low and previous reaction zone.
Resistance zone:
Immediate resistance ~ ~₹579-580 region (R1-R2) from weekly pivot table.
Broader resistance / upside hurdle near ~ ₹600+, and medium term near ~ ₹650-700+ (based on higher pivots & prior highs)
Sensex 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Current value
The index is trading around ~ 85,040 points.
Today’s high has been ~ 85,080 and low ~ 84,525.
📍 Key pivot & support/resistance levels (Daily)
From recent technical data:
Pivot Point: ~ 84,757.93
Resistance 1 (R1): ~ 84,957.50
Resistance 2 (R2): ~ 85,241.98
Support 1 (S1): ~ 84,473.45
Support 2 (S2): ~ 84,273.88
Support 3 (S3): ~ 83,989.40
TCS 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Key numbers
Current price: ~ ₹3,147 (NSE)
Today’s range: Low ~ ₹3,083.50, High ~ ₹3,149.90
Previous close: ~ ₹3,087.10
📊 Key levels to watch on daily timeframe
Support zone: If price drops, watch around ~ ₹3,080-₹3,100 (today’s low region)
Immediate resistance: Today’s high ~ ₹3,149.90. If that breaks, next resistance may show up near ~ ₹3,200-₹3,250 (psychological + recent historic minor highs)
Trend pivot: The open of ~ ₹3,097 suggests a pivot point; staying above this gives short-term bullish lean, dropping back below may bring weakness
Risk zone: If price falls back and breaks below ~ ₹3,050, it may test lower support around ~ ₹2,990-₹3,000 (recent structural support area)
L&T Technology Services: Correction Complete Near Golden Ratio?After a textbook five-wave impulse from ₹2,924 (2022 low) to ₹6,000 (2024 high), L&T Technology Services appears to have completed a proportional A–B–C correction, finding support precisely near the 0.618 retracement (₹4,099) of the entire advance.
Wave Structure
The advance from the 2022 low unfolded as a clean 5-wave impulse, capped by Wave 5 near ₹6,000.
The subsequent decline subdivides neatly into A–B–C, with Wave C forming a perfect five-wave internal pattern.
Sub-wave (v) of C bottomed around ₹3,951 — just below (iii), confirming structural completion with ideal symmetry.
Fibonacci & Channel Confluence
The decline halted exactly at the 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse — a zone that often attracts buying in post-impulse corrections.
The downward-sloping corrective channel that’s guided Wave C is now flattening, with price repeatedly testing its upper boundary.
A sustained breakout above ~₹4,300–₹4,400 would signal that the market may be transitioning into a new impulsive phase.
Trade Perspective (Educational View)
Scenario 1 – Bullish:
A weekly close above ₹4,400 confirms breakout from the C-wave channel, opening the door toward ₹5,200 → ₹5,650 in subsequent impulsive waves.
Scenario 2 – Extended Correction:
Failure to clear the channel and a close below ₹3,950 would extend the correction toward deeper retracements near ₹3,600 or even ₹3,400.
Summary
L&T Technology Services has now checked every box of a mature corrective phase — Fibonacci alignment, structural symmetry, and wave alternation.
A breakout above the declining channel would be the first real hint that the larger uptrend is ready to resume. Until then, patience beats prediction.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
GOLD H1 – Trump’s Fed Comments Shake Market Sentiment🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading in a tight corrective structure as markets react to breaking headlines that Donald Trump is considering removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
This news injects uncertainty into Fed policy expectations, causing short-term volatility in USD and positioning gold at a critical decision zone.
• Trump’s comments increase speculation about a potential policy shift, which may temporarily weaken USD sentiment.
• However, gold remains capped below the premium supply zone as institutional flows continue to engineer liquidity sweeps.
• Price is hovering near $4,080 ahead of key Fed-related discussions, keeping both sides of liquidity active.
Institutional order flow suggests controlled accumulation at the discount range while premium regions remain defended by sellers.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price is forming a short-term distribution pattern after multiple BOS events from the 4150 breakdown.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4109–4111, aligning with unmitigated supply and internal liquidity pockets.
• Discount Buy Zone: 4009–4007, sitting inside a clean demand block + previous sell-side sweep.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity sits above 4111, where equal-high clusters form.
→ Sell-side liquidity rests between 4007–4000, where earlier long positions were cleared.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4109 – 4111
• Stop-Loss: 4119
• Take-Profit:
→ 4055 (minor inefficiency)
→ 4028 (BOS retest)
→ 4009–4007 (discount demand)
📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHOCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4009 – 4007
• Stop-Loss: 4000
• Take-Profit:
→ 4040 (short-term range high)
→ 4075 (inefficiency rebound)
→ 4105/4110 (premium retest)
📌 Valid if price sweeps 4007 and shows bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility as traders react to Trump’s comments on Fed leadership.
• Avoid trading in the 4030–4080 chop zone without a clear structural break.
• Reduce position size during impulsive spikes around USD sentiment shifts.
• Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket.
📝 Summary
Gold is being influenced heavily by uncertainty around Trump’s remarks about replacing Fed Chair Powell. Liquidity is building at both extremes, offering clean opportunities at the edges of the range.
• Sell Zone: 4109–4111 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4009–4007 (discount accumulation)
Expect a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern as institutions play both sides of the current structure.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
🎁 Gifts in BIO for traders who follow daily plans.
Bitcoin Turn Bearish In Monthly Time frameWhat’s going on
Bitcoin slipped significantly this week, dropping into the US$90,000–96,000 range, marking roughly a 10% decline for the week.
The decline has pushed BTC to trade around 20-25% below its all-time high of US$126,200.
On-chain data shows that long-term holders (those who typically hold and not sell) have sold ~815,000 BTC in the past 30 days—the highest such volume since Jan 2024. That suggests weakening conviction among “Holders”.
What’s working against Bitcoin
Recently, Bitcoin dropped below ~US$90k marking its lowest levels in months.
The monthly technical structure shows signs of weakness.
Macro risks are elevated: policy uncertainty (e.g., interest rates) could dampen demand for risk assets.
Key Levels & Scenario
Support Level 1: ~$85,250–$80,704 marked on the chart in weekly time frame, there could be a sharper drop. till Support -1 in monthly time frame ~$70,825–$57,750
Close below $85,000 in weekly and monthly time frames opens up more downside risk.
Given the mixed signals, I'm slightly cautious/bearish for next week, expecting consolidation in the weekly time frame and downside rather than a strong rally.
If the macro/risk environment improves, upside is possible, but as of now, the risk of further decline is stronger than upside.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.






















