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Wave Analysis

Part 6 Institutional Trading The Greeks: The Math Behind Options Advanced traders use Greeks to understand risks. Delta → Sensitivity of option price to stock price movement. Gamma → Rate of change of Delta. Theta → Time decay (how much option loses daily). Vega → Sensitivity to volatility. Rho → Sensitivity to interest rates. Example: A Call with Delta = 0.6 → If stock rises ₹10, option rises ₹6. Theta = –5 → Option loses ₹5 daily as time passes. Options vs Futures Both are derivatives, but with a key difference: Futures → Obligation to buy/sell at a price. Options → Right, not obligation. Example: Futures are like booking a hotel room—you must pay whether you stay or not. Options are like paying for a movie ticket—if you don’t watch, you lose only ticket price.
NSE:FINNIFTY1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
2
Part 1 Ride The Big MovesKey Terminologies in Options Before diving deeper, you need to know the “language of options.” Strike Price → The fixed price at which you can buy/sell (like 2500 in Reliance example). Premium → The cost you pay to buy an option. Expiry Date → Options have a life—weekly, monthly, quarterly. After expiry, they are worthless. Lot Size → Options are not traded in single shares. They come in fixed quantities called lots (e.g., Nifty lot size = 50). In the Money (ITM) → Option has intrinsic value. Out of the Money (OTM) → Option has no value (only time value). At the Money (ATM) → Strike price = Current market price. How Option Prices Are Decided Option premiums are not random. They are influenced by: Intrinsic Value (IV) → Difference between current price and strike price. Example: Reliance at ₹2600, Call 2500 → Intrinsic value = ₹100. Time Value → More time till expiry = higher premium. Volatility → If a stock is volatile, options are expensive because chances of big movement are high. Interest rates & Dividends → Minor but relevant in longer-term options.
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Silver Futures (4H) – Zigzag Correction in ProgressThe decline from 116,641 → 109,080 unfolded in 5 waves, confirming an impulse. This sets the stage for a 5-3-5 zigzag correction . With Wave A complete, the market is now advancing in Wave B, expected to resolve as a zigzag. A strict bearish invalidation level is marked at 116,641 . As long as prices remain below this level, the expectation is for Wave C down to follow and complete the zigzag sequence. 📌 Key Levels: Invalidation (SL): 116,641 Wave B unfolding as zigzag Wave C down expected next Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:SILVER1!Short
by WaveXplorer
Premier Energies Ltd 1 Day ViewIntraday Price Snapshot As of the latest update, the stock is trading at approximately ₹1,011.90, reflecting an up move of around 0.07% over the previous close Another source confirms a similar performance: a rise of ~0.73% in the past 24 hours, placing the price near ₹1,011.20 Daily Price Range & Volume The Day’s High reached ₹1,019.00, while the Day’s Low dipped to ₹981.30 Trading volume for the day stood around 1.43 million shares What This Means for You The stock experienced modest intraday movement, staying within a relatively narrow band. This suggests a period of consolidation combined with limited market-driven volatility. If you're monitoring technical indicators (like intraday support/resistance or moving averages), reviewing detailed intraday charts on platforms such as NSE, TradingView, or Moneycontrol can help—these platforms offer minute-by-minute price action, volume bars, and technical overlays. Let me know if you’d like to compare this intraday performance with other intervals—like 1 week or 1 month—or if you’d like to analyze technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or intraday moving averages!
NSE:PREMIERENELong
by TechnicalExpress
4
F&O Trading & SEBI Regulations1. Introduction The Indian stock market has seen remarkable growth over the last few decades, and one of the most fascinating areas of this growth has been in derivatives trading. Derivatives are financial instruments that derive their value from an underlying asset, and in India, the most widely traded derivatives are Futures and Options (F&O). F&O trading allows investors and traders to participate in the price movement of stocks, indices, and commodities without necessarily owning them. It provides opportunities to hedge risks, speculate, and arbitrage. However, with great power comes great responsibility. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)—the market regulator—plays a crucial role in ensuring that F&O trading does not turn into a high-risk gamble for unsuspecting investors. SEBI lays down strict rules and guidelines to maintain market integrity, protect investors, and reduce systemic risks. This article will give you a comprehensive understanding of F&O trading and SEBI’s regulations governing it. 2. Understanding Derivatives Before diving into F&O, let’s clarify what derivatives are. A derivative is a financial contract whose value depends on the performance of an underlying asset. In India, the underlying assets include: Equity shares (like Reliance, Infosys, HDFC Bank) Stock indices (like Nifty 50, Bank Nifty) Commodities (like gold, crude oil) Currencies (like USD/INR) Types of derivatives: Forwards – Customized contracts between two parties, traded over-the-counter (OTC). Futures – Standardized contracts traded on exchanges like NSE & BSE. Options – Contracts that give the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset. Swaps – Mostly used in currency and interest rate markets. In India, Futures and Options are the most liquid and popular derivative instruments, especially in the stock market. 3. What is F&O Trading? 3.1 Futures A Futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price on a specific date in the future. Example: If you buy Nifty Futures at 20,000 today, you are betting that Nifty will be above 20,000 on the expiry date. If Nifty rises to 20,500, you make a profit. If Nifty falls to 19,500, you incur a loss. 3.2 Options An Options contract gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price. Two types of options: Call Option (CE): Right to buy. Put Option (PE): Right to sell. Example: If you buy Reliance Call Option at ₹2,500 strike, you profit if Reliance moves above ₹2,500. If you buy Reliance Put Option at ₹2,500 strike, you profit if Reliance falls below ₹2,500. Options also have premium, strike price, and expiry terms. 3.3 Why do people trade F&O? Hedging: Protecting investments from adverse price movements. Speculation: Betting on price movements for profit. Arbitrage: Exploiting price differences between markets. Leverage: Controlling large positions with small capital. 4. Growth of F&O Trading in India The Indian F&O market has grown tremendously since it was introduced in 2000. NSE and BSE both offer equity derivatives, but NSE has emerged as the dominant player. Key reasons for popularity: High liquidity in index derivatives like Nifty 50 & Bank Nifty. Opportunity for intraday traders to capture price swings. Low margin requirements compared to cash market. Availability of weekly options. However, SEBI has also noticed risks—especially from retail investors treating F&O like gambling, leading to heavy losses. Reports show that nearly 9 out of 10 retail traders lose money in F&O trading. This has pushed SEBI to tighten regulations. 5. SEBI’s Role in Regulating F&O The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is the watchdog of Indian financial markets. Its mission is to: Protect investor interests. Promote fair and efficient markets. Regulate intermediaries and stock exchanges. Minimize systemic risks. For F&O trading, SEBI has set strict rules, margins, disclosures, and eligibility criteria. 6. SEBI Regulations on F&O Trading Let’s explore the major regulations SEBI has imposed: 6.1 Eligibility of Stocks for Derivatives Not all stocks can be traded in F&O. To qualify: The stock must have a minimum market capitalization of ₹5,000 crore. Average daily traded value should be high. Adequate liquidity must exist. Price band restrictions and surveillance mechanisms should be applicable. This ensures that only liquid and stable stocks are allowed in F&O. 6.2 Contract Specifications SEBI mandates standardization of contracts: Lot size: Minimum notional value (₹5-10 lakhs). Expiry: Monthly & weekly expiries. Strike intervals: Based on stock/index price range. Tick size: ₹0.05 for equity derivatives. This standardization prevents manipulation. 6.3 Margin Requirements Margins are crucial in derivatives as they are leveraged products. Types of margins: SPAN Margin – Based on risk of position. Exposure Margin – Additional buffer. Premium Margin – For option buyers. Mark-to-Market (MTM) Margin – Daily settlement of gains/losses. This ensures that traders have skin in the game and cannot default. 6.4 Risk Mitigation Measures Daily price bands for stocks in derivatives. Position limits for clients, members, and FIIs. Ban periods for stocks crossing OI (Open Interest) limits. Intraday monitoring of margins and positions. 6.5 Disclosure Requirements Brokers must give risk disclosure documents before enabling F&O trading. Investors must sign an agreement acknowledging risks. Margin details and exposure reports are sent via SMS/email daily. 6.6 Segregation of Clients’ Funds Brokers must segregate their own funds from clients’ funds. Misuse of client collateral is strictly prohibited. 6.7 Investor Protection & Education SEBI regularly issues advisories warning retail traders about F&O risks. Investor education campaigns (e.g., “Options are not lottery tickets”). Free online resources for risk management. 7. SEBI’s New Regulations (Recent Developments) In the last few years, SEBI has tightened norms further: Peak Margin Reporting (2021): Traders must maintain full margin upfront. No more leveraging via intraday tricks. Intraday Leverage Ban (2022): Brokers cannot offer more than 20% margin funding. This reduced excessive speculation. Increased Disclosure of F&O Risks (2023-24): Exchanges must display warnings showing percentage of retail traders losing money. Eligibility Tightening (2023): SEBI proposed reviewing stocks in derivatives regularly. Illiquid stocks may be excluded. Investor Suitability Check (2024 Proposal): Only financially literate and risk-capable investors may be allowed in F&O in future. 8. Benefits of SEBI Regulations Market Stability: Prevents manipulation and speculation bubbles. Investor Protection: Safeguards retail traders from blind gambling. Transparency: Standardized contracts and disclosure norms. Risk Management: Margins and limits reduce systemic collapse. Trust in Markets: Encourages more participation in regulated environment. 9. Challenges & Criticisms Despite SEBI’s efforts, challenges remain: Retail Traders’ Losses: Majority still lose money due to lack of knowledge. Over-regulation Concerns: Some argue SEBI rules reduce liquidity. Complexity: F&O remains difficult for beginners despite regulations. Broker Malpractices: Some brokers mis-sell options strategies to clients. Speculative Craze: Many traders treat weekly options like gambling. 10. Future of F&O Trading in India Looking ahead: F&O will remain the largest contributor to market volumes. SEBI may bring financial literacy tests before allowing retail traders. More focus on institutional participation and reducing retail over-exposure. Increased use of AI-driven surveillance to detect manipulation. Potential restrictions on weekly options if speculation rises. Conclusion Futures and Options trading is an exciting and powerful tool in the financial markets, offering opportunities for hedging, speculation, and arbitrage. But it is also risky, especially for retail investors without proper knowledge and discipline. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) plays a vital role in ensuring that F&O trading remains fair, transparent, and not a casino for retail investors. Its regulations on eligibility, margins, disclosures, and risk management are designed to create a balance between freedom and protection. As India’s capital markets continue to grow, SEBI’s regulations will evolve further. Traders must remember that regulations are not restrictions but safeguards—helping ensure that markets grow sustainably while protecting investors. The future of F&O in India is bright, but only if traders approach it with knowledge, discipline, and respect for risk management.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
NSE IOC – Approaching a Key Demand ZoneTimeframe: Daily After reaching a high of 196.8, the price has declined by over 39% in 13 weeks. It is currently trading below the 50/100 EMA band, with ATR at 3.68 and ADX at 26.02 . According to the Elliott Wave projection, the peak of 196.80 can be identified as a wave ((3)). The security is currently undergoing the formation of a corrective wave (4). Wave (B) formed at 185.97 , while wave 4 of wave (C) was completed at 145.10 . NSE IOC is now setting up for the final wave 5 of wave (C). Two key Fibonacci relationships help estimate the end of the correction: 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (A) at 106.54 (for wave C) 0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at 115.52 (for wave 5) The price is expected to settle between 115 and 105 , which serves as a key demand zone for buyers. If the price breaks out and sustains above 129.75, traders can target the following levels: 139 – 156 – 172+. we will update further information soon.
NSE:IOC
by forextidings
1
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08 Market Context (SMC View): Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity. Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool). Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325. A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move. 📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries ✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406 SL: 3410 TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360 ✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358 SL: 3345 TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 ✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380 SL: 3370 TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405 SMC Scenarios for 27/08 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance: If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals. Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above. Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone): If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long. If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities. SMC Notes: Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406. Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – August 28, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still in a bearish reversal zone (overbought). Price is stalling but has not yet given a clear reversal confirmation → showing that bullish strength is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also turning bearish → from now until the US session, price is likely to continue sideways or decline further. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish → suggesting a short-term corrective rally or sideways movement. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: At the moment, there are two possible wave counts (as mentioned in yesterday’s plan). Both scenarios point to the same outcome: after completing the correction, price will move higher. o Key note: The final corrective structure is a triangle. Once this triangle completes, it typically signals a strong upward breakout, confirming the end of the corrective phase. • H4 timeframe: Price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, leaving two possibilities: 1. Leading diagonal for wave 4 (abcde) → once completed, price could drop sharply towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. 2. Ending triangle for wave d → a strong wave e decline is expected before the next rally begins. In this case, the signal to watch is price testing the lower boundary of the triangle. • H1 timeframe: A leading diagonal is forming, while RSI shows bearish divergence at the top. This supports the sell scenario. However, since H1 momentum is currently bullish, we expect one more push higher into resistance at 3403, which will provide a potential short opportunity. o Note: Today’s US Jobless Claims data could trigger a stop-hunt move upward before a strong sell-off. Ahead of the news, price may continue ranging between 3385 – 3387. Trading Plan • Since price has not dropped significantly yet, it is likely still within wave 5 of the triangle. The upper resistance at 3403 is an ideal sell zone. • A safer option: wait for price to break below the triangle’s lower boundary and close beneath it → then look for a breakout sell setup. • Target: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3345. Trade Setup • Sell Zone: 3403 – 3405 • Stop Loss: 3413 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3374
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence . Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes. A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900. RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum. Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat : Wave A dipped from 3900. Wave B exceeded the high. Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup. Trade Plan: Entry levels: 3737–3637 Stop loss (SL): Below 3419 Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+ RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CUMMINSINDLong
by WaveXplorer
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 28-Aug-2025💼 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Aug-2025 📌 Key Levels to Watch : Opening Resistance: 54,748 Last Intraday Resistance: 54,952 Major Resistance Above: 55,360 No-Trade Zone: 54,428 – 54,562 Last Intraday Support: 54,186 Buyer’s Support Zone: 53,666 – 53,771 These levels act as decision-making zones for intraday setups. 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 54,748) If Bank Nifty opens above 54,748, early strength will be visible. 📌 Plan of Action : Sustaining above 54,952 (Last Intraday Resistance) can push the index towards 55,360, which will act as a major resistance and profit booking zone. Failure to hold above 54,952 may drag prices back to retest 54,748 support, giving rangebound moves. A breakout above 55,360 should be traded cautiously with partial booking at higher levels. 👉 Educational Note: On strong gap-ups, always avoid chasing; instead, wait for price retests near support to manage risk better. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 54,428 – 54,562 No-Trade Zone) A flat start near the No-Trade Zone means price is indecisive. 📌 Plan of Action : If Bank Nifty sustains above 54,748, buyers may take it towards 54,952 → 55,360. If it slips below 54,428, selling pressure may drag it down to 54,186 support. Avoid aggressive trading inside the no-trade band (54,428 – 54,562), as it can trigger false breakouts. 👉 Educational Note: Flat openings require patience. Allow 30 minutes for trend clarity before entering trades. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 54,186) If Bank Nifty opens below 54,186, bearish momentum will dominate. 📌 Plan of Action : Below 54,186, price can slide quickly towards 53,666 – 53,771 Buyer’s Zone. Watch carefully for reversals in the buyer’s zone; if sustained, a recovery bounce can emerge. If the buyer’s zone breaks with volume, deeper weakness may continue. 👉 Educational Note: On gap-down days, trend-following trades work better than reversal attempts. Wait for retests before shorting. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Use hourly close stop-loss for directional moves. Prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) on gap days to minimize premium decay. Do not trade aggressively in the No-Trade Zone (54,428 – 54,562). Monitor Bank Nifty PCR & India VIX to gauge sentiment and volatility. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 54,952 → Possible upside to 55,360 . 🟧 Flat near 54,428–54,562 → Avoid trades until breakout . 🔴 Below 54,186 → Downside towards 53,666–53,771 . 🎯 Key Decision Zone: 54,428 – 54,562 (No-Trade Zone) will guide the trend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 28-Aug-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Aug-2025 📌 Key Levels to Watch : Opening Resistance: 24,840 Last Intraday Resistance: 24,930 Major Resistance Above: 25,058 Important Support Zone for Reversal: 24,697 – 24,726 Last Intraday Support: 24,511 These levels will guide our decision-making depending on the type of opening. 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,840) If Nifty opens above 24,840, bullish momentum will be active. 📌 Plan of Action : Sustaining above 24,930 will likely attract buyers towards 25,058, which is the major resistance zone. If Nifty fails to hold above 24,930, profit booking may drag it back to 24,840 support zone. A breakout above 25,058 can extend the rally further, but this should be traded cautiously, as upside may face profit booking. 👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups often trigger early volatility due to overnight positions. Avoid chasing at the open; wait for confirmation candles before entering. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 24,710 – 24,769) A flat start around the immediate support/resistance range will decide short-term direction. 📌 Plan of Action : If Nifty sustains above 24,769, it may gradually climb towards 24,840 → 24,930. If it breaks below 24,697–24,726 (Reversal Zone), weakness may drag it down towards 24,511 (Last Intraday Support). In flat openings, allow the first 30 minutes to define direction before committing capital. 👉 Educational Note: Flat openings are best suited for range traders in the first half, later moving into breakout mode once levels are breached. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 24,697) If Nifty opens below 24,697, it will show clear bearish pressure. 📌 Plan of Action : Below 24,697, the index can slip quickly towards 24,511 (Last Intraday Support). Any bounce from this zone should be treated as an opportunity to re-test resistances, not fresh bullish entry, unless sustained. If 24,511 is broken with volume, a deeper fall may continue with more downside levels opening up. 👉 Educational Note: On gap-down days, follow the trend instead of trying to catch falling knives. Look for retests of broken supports before initiating shorts. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Use hourly closing basis stop-loss for directional trades. On gap-up/gap-down days, avoid naked options; prefer spreads to manage risk. Do not overtrade if levels remain choppy between 24,769 – 24,840 (no-trade zone). Track India VIX ; high VIX = wider stop-loss needed, low VIX = tight stop-loss. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 24,930 → Possible upside to 25,058 . 🟧 Flat near 24,769 → Wait for breakout/breakdown . 🔴 Below 24,697 → Downside towards 24,511 . 🎯 Key Zone: 24,697 – 24,726 (Reversal Zone) will act as a pivot for the day. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading/investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Angel One: Corrective pattern aligning for bounceAngel One topped at an all-time high of 3895 before entering a corrective phase. The decline into 2025 marked Wave W, followed by a rally into 3503 as Wave X, and then a fall to 1941 completing Wave Y. From there, the stock advanced to 3284, counted as Wave A/1 with a leading diagonal. The decline since 3284 has unfolded as a double zigzag (W–X–Y) within a parallel bearish channel. Wave Y is testing key supports at 2454 (0.618 Fib) and 2228 (0.786 Fib). RSI is near the oversold band around 30, setting up the possibility of bullish divergence if price makes a marginal new low. The bullish view remains valid above 1941; a close below this level invalidates the count. Trade Plan: Bias: Expecting Wave B/2 to complete around 2228 Trigger: Watch for bullish divergence or reversal candles near support Target: A break above 3284 would confirm Wave C/3 Risk: Stop loss at 1941 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:ANGELONELong
by WaveXplorer
Part 3 Trading Master ClassHow Options Work in Practice Let’s take a real-life relatable scenario: 👉 Suppose you think Nifty (20,000) will rise in the next week. You buy a Nifty Call Option 20,200 Strike at premium ₹100. Lot size = 50, so total cost = ₹5,000. Now: If Nifty goes to 20,400 → Your option is worth ₹200 (profit ₹5,000). If Nifty stays at 20,000 → Option expires worthless (loss = ₹5,000). So, with only ₹5,000, you controlled exposure worth ₹10 lakhs. That’s leverage. Participants in Options Market There are four main categories of traders: Call Buyer → Expects price to go UP. Call Seller (Writer) → Expects price to stay flat or go DOWN. Put Buyer → Expects price to go DOWN. Put Seller (Writer) → Expects price to stay flat or go UP.
NSE:TATAMOTORSEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Divergence SecretsOptions vs Futures Futures = Obligation to buy/sell at fixed price. Options = Right but not obligation. Options require smaller margin (if buying). Real-Life Example of Hedging Suppose you own TCS shares worth ₹10 lakhs. You fear the market may fall in the next month. 👉 Solution: Buy a Put Option. Strike: Slightly below current market price. Cost: Small premium. If market falls → Loss in shares covered by profit in Put. If market rises → You lose premium but enjoy profit in shares. This is like insurance. Psychology of Options Trading Options require quick decision-making. Traders often get trapped in: Over-leverage → Buying too many lots. Greed → Holding positions too long. Fear → Exiting too early. Successful option traders follow discipline, risk management, and proper strategy.
NSE:COALINDIAEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Nifty Bank at an important levelNifty Bank is at an important Fibonacci level 0.785, which is (54375). I haven't labelled the Elliott Wave wave numbers as per convention. But I see the end of a 5-wave structure. A potential upside move is possible. If it takes support at this level(54375), a trade for a long setup can give a few points. If it breaks this level, Nifty Bank can go down further. Plan your trades accordingly. Disclaimer: Trading is a game of probability. Being probable is more important than being right. Discipline and risk management are more crucial than setup. For Paper Trading purposes only.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by yudishtar786
Eicher Motors Ltd 2 HourReal-Time Data Summary (Latest Close) The most recent available data (close as of August 26, 2025) shows Eicher Motors trading at around ₹6,151, with a daily range between ₹5,970 and ₹6,210 Pivot Points (Daily) – Useful for Approximate 2-Hour Levels While true 2-hour pivots aren't available, daily pivot points can be used as guidance for shorter intraday intervals. From Investing.com (Daily Pivots): Classic Pivot: ₹6,185 Support Levels (S1/S2/S3): ₹6,170, ₹6,140, ₹6,125 Resistance Levels (R1/R2/R3): ₹6,214.5, ₹6,229.5, ₹6,259 TipRanks Pivot Points (Based on Prior Day's Prices) Classic Pivot: ₹5,951.98 Support (S1–S3): ₹5,913.97, ₹5,858.98, ₹5,820.97 Resistance (R1–R3): ₹6,006.97, ₹6,044.98, ₹6,099.97 Support & Resistance via StockInvest.us Fibonacci Levels: R1: ₹6,203.99 R2: ₹6,261.27 R3: ₹6,353.98 S1: ₹6,018.57 S2: ₹5,961.29 S3: ₹5,868.58 Additional Support (Accumulated Volume): ₹5,527, ₹5,495.55, ₹5,439.75 Final Thoughts Overall bullish momentum persists (daily strong buy signals), though some indicators signal overbought conditions—be cautious. Key swing zones: Support: ₹6,018–₹5,961 (short term), ₹5,527–₹5,495 (deeper) Resistance: ₹6,204–₹6,261 zone Intraday, keep an eye on how price behaves around ₹6,100–₹6,150—it’s critical for deciding direction.
NSE:EICHERMOT
by TechnicalExpress
4
Fundamental Analysis in Trading1. Introduction to Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis is based on the principle that a stock or asset has a true intrinsic value. The market price can often deviate from this intrinsic value due to short-term sentiment, speculation, or market inefficiencies. By analyzing the underlying factors that drive a company’s performance, traders can determine whether a stock is undervalued, overvalued, or fairly priced. 1.1 Difference Between Fundamental and Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis (FA): Focuses on why a stock should rise or fall over the long term. Considers financial statements, economic conditions, and industry trends. Technical Analysis (TA): Focuses on how a stock moves in the short term. Uses charts, patterns, and indicators to predict price movements. While TA is more suited for short-term traders, FA is preferred by long-term investors or swing traders who want to understand the real value of an asset. 2. Key Components of Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis can be divided into microeconomic and macroeconomic factors. 2.1 Microeconomic Factors These relate to the company or asset itself, including: Financial statements: Balance Sheet, Income Statement, and Cash Flow Statement. Management quality: Experience, track record, and corporate governance. Products and services: Market demand, competitive edge, and innovation. Competitive position: Market share, brand strength, and barriers to entry. Profitability and growth potential: Revenue growth, margins, and scalability. 2.2 Macroeconomic Factors These relate to the broader economy, affecting all companies in a sector or region: GDP growth: Indicates overall economic health. Interest rates: Affect borrowing costs and investment attractiveness. Inflation: Influences consumer spending and company costs. Exchange rates: Important for companies with international operations. Political stability and regulations: Impact business operations and investor confidence. 3. Financial Statements and Their Importance Financial statements are the core of fundamental analysis. They provide quantitative data about a company’s performance and financial health. 3.1 Income Statement The income statement (profit and loss statement) shows a company’s revenue, expenses, and profit over a period. Revenue (Sales): Total income from products/services. Cost of Goods Sold (COGS): Direct costs of production. Gross Profit: Revenue minus COGS. Operating Expenses: Marketing, salaries, R&D. Net Income: Profit after all expenses and taxes. Example: A company with growing revenue and net income over 5 years indicates strong operational performance. 3.2 Balance Sheet The balance sheet provides a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and equity at a point in time. Assets: Resources the company owns (cash, inventory, equipment). Liabilities: Debts or obligations (loans, accounts payable). Equity: Owners’ stake in the company (Assets − Liabilities). Example: High cash reserves and low debt often indicate a financially stable company. 3.3 Cash Flow Statement This statement tracks cash inflows and outflows in three categories: Operating Activities: Cash from core business operations. Investing Activities: Cash spent or earned on assets and investments. Financing Activities: Cash from loans, dividends, or share issuance. Example: A company may report profits but have negative cash flow, signaling potential liquidity issues. 4. Key Financial Metrics for Analysis Several ratios and metrics help traders interpret financial statements: 4.1 Profitability Ratios Gross Margin: Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100 Indicates how efficiently a company produces goods. Net Margin: Net Income ÷ Revenue × 100 Shows overall profitability. Return on Equity (ROE): Net Income ÷ Shareholders’ Equity Measures how effectively shareholders’ money generates profit. 4.2 Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio: Current Assets ÷ Current Liabilities Shows short-term debt-paying ability. Quick Ratio: (Current Assets − Inventory) ÷ Current Liabilities More stringent liquidity check. 4.3 Debt Ratios Debt-to-Equity (D/E): Total Debt ÷ Shareholders’ Equity Measures financial leverage. Interest Coverage Ratio: EBIT ÷ Interest Expense Assesses ability to pay interest. 4.4 Efficiency Ratios Inventory Turnover: COGS ÷ Average Inventory Indicates how quickly inventory sells. Receivables Turnover: Net Credit Sales ÷ Average Accounts Receivable Shows efficiency in collecting payments. 5. Valuation Methods After analyzing financial health, the next step is valuation, which estimates the stock’s intrinsic value. 5.1 Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) DCF estimates the present value of future cash flows: Project future cash flows. Discount them using a required rate of return. Sum the discounted cash flows to get intrinsic value. Insight: If DCF value > market price → undervalued; if DCF < market price → overvalued. 5.2 Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio P/E ratio = Market Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS) High P/E → Market expects growth, or stock is overvalued. Low P/E → Potential undervaluation, or growth concerns. 5.3 Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio P/B ratio = Market Price ÷ Book Value per Share Useful for asset-heavy industries. Low P/B can indicate undervaluation. 5.4 Dividend Discount Model (DDM) DDM values companies based on future dividends: Estimate future dividends. Discount them to present value. Suitable for stable dividend-paying companies. 5.5 Other Ratios EV/EBITDA: Enterprise Value ÷ Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization. PEG Ratio: P/E ÷ Earnings Growth Rate, adjusts for growth expectations. 6. Industry and Sector Analysis Analyzing a company in isolation is not enough. Industry and sector trends can significantly affect performance. Growth Industry: Fast-growing sectors like technology may justify high valuations. Mature Industry: Slower growth sectors may offer stability and dividends. Competitive Landscape: Number of competitors, entry barriers, and pricing power. Cyclical vs Non-Cyclical: Cyclical industries (automobiles, real estate) follow the economy, while non-cyclical (food, healthcare) remain stable. Example: During an economic boom, cyclicals may outperform, whereas during recessions, defensive stocks are preferred. 7. Economic and Market Factors Fundamental analysis also incorporates macroeconomic indicators: 7.1 GDP Growth Strong GDP growth generally supports corporate profits and stock market performance. 7.2 Inflation High inflation increases costs, potentially squeezing margins. 7.3 Interest Rates Rising rates increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Conversely, lower rates stimulate growth. 7.4 Currency Fluctuations Important for exporters/importers, affecting revenue and costs. 7.5 Political and Regulatory Environment Government policies, taxes, and regulations can significantly impact profitability and risk. 8. Qualitative Analysis Numbers alone are not enough. Qualitative factors help complete the picture: Management Quality: Leadership vision, integrity, and experience. Brand Strength: Customer loyalty and reputation. Innovation & R&D: Ability to stay ahead of competition. Corporate Governance: Ethical practices, transparency, and accountability. Example: Two companies with similar financials may differ in future prospects based on leadership quality and innovation. 9. Steps to Apply Fundamental Analysis in Trading Define your objective: Long-term investment vs short-term swing trading. Select the company: Choose based on industry preference or market trends. Collect financial data: Annual reports, quarterly statements, and filings. Analyze financials: Use ratios, margins, and cash flow statements. Perform valuation: Apply DCF, P/E, P/B, or other methods. Assess macro factors: Consider economic, political, and market conditions. Check qualitative factors: Leadership, brand, innovation, and governance. Compare with peers: Relative valuation within the industry. Make a decision: Buy, hold, or avoid based on intrinsic value vs market price. 10. Advantages of Fundamental Analysis Provides a deep understanding of a company’s true value. Helps in identifying long-term investment opportunities. Reduces reliance on market sentiment and short-term volatility. Useful for risk management by identifying financially weak companies. Can identify undervalued stocks with potential for growth. Conclusion Fundamental analysis is a cornerstone of intelligent investing. By combining financial metrics, qualitative evaluation, and macroeconomic understanding, traders can make informed decisions that go beyond market noise. While it requires patience and diligence, FA provides a roadmap for sustainable investment and risk management. When applied carefully, it helps traders identify undervalued stocks, avoid risky bets, and build a portfolio with long-term growth potential. Remember, in trading, knowledge is power, and fundamental analysis gives you the power to see beyond the price chart.
NSE:PAYTMEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Scenario Hello traders, Gold is moving into the final stage of its flag pattern. Medium-term traders are now waiting for a clear breakout confirmation, as that will set the direction for the next medium- to long-term opportunities. Once price confirms the break, the strategy is to enter immediately in the direction of the move. Meanwhile, short-term and day traders continue to trade within the flag, looking for scalping opportunities. From my perspective, the probability of gold breaking to the upside and continuing the main bullish trend is fairly high after such a long consolidation. To optimise entries, buying near the lower boundary of the trendline makes sense, with stop-losses placed immediately if the pattern breaks down. The key area to watch is Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354, which acts as both dynamic and static support, as well as a strong Fibonacci level. This zone offers a reliable long-term buy opportunity. Another potential early buy entry sits around 3372, where the previous candle showed strong bullish momentum. Positions here can be taken with tighter stops placed just below the nearest support. This bullish scenario would only fail if price breaks below the lower trendline and closes firmly underneath it, which would confirm a reversal. Wishing you success with this setup. If you share the same outlook, leave your thoughts in the comments so we can exchange ideas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 27/08/2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing reversal signals, as mentioned in yesterday’s plan. Currently, D1 is in the overbought zone, suggesting that bullish momentum has weakened and the market needs at least one corrective move to regain strength. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bearish. We need to wait for the current candle to close for confirmation, but there is a high probability that today’s main trend will be bearish. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn up. If price rises into the overbought zone, then reverses bearish without breaking above 3394, there is a strong chance of a long-term decline – creating a sell opportunity. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: With current reversal signals, there are two possible scenarios: 1. Triangle abcde – as shown in previous plans. 2. Combination correction (WXY) – where wave W is a zigzag, wave X is a double zigzag, and wave Y is a triangle (as on the chart). In this case, price may decline back toward 3311. 👉 Both scenarios are valid, with no clear dominance, so continued observation is required. • H4 timeframe: A diagonal ending triangle is forming, combined with H4 momentum turning bearish. Although we need confirmation from the current H4 close, it is clear that bullish momentum is weakening → we should look for sell opportunities in line with H4 momentum. • H1 timeframe: According to yesterday’s plan, we expected wave 3. However, several factors suggest otherwise: o Price corrected deeply toward 3350. o The rebound lacked strong momentum. o An ending diagonal triangle appeared (not typical in wave 3, as it reflects very weak buying pressure). o RSI shows bearish divergence, further confirming weakening bullish momentum. Altogether, these point to a likely strong and sharp decline once the pattern completes. 📌 Ideal target zone: 3387 – 3390. If the current drop is wave A or wave 1, then the rebound of wave B or wave 2 should unfold within this zone. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 3387 – 3390 • Stop Loss: 3397 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3371 o TP2: 3350 o TP3: 3330
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
Bitcoin – Long-Term View with Elliott Wave StructureBitcoin – Long-Term View with Elliott Wave Structure Hello traders, Let’s take a medium- to long-term look at BTC. The broader trend is clearly bullish, but for any uptrend to be sustainable, healthy corrections are necessary. At present, BTC is moving through a corrective phase, identified as wave 4 in the Elliott Wave structure. To gauge how far this correction may extend before wave 5 begins, we can apply Fibonacci Retracement. Two key levels stand out: 0.618 and 0.5. At 0.618, we see a strong support zone, but it may not yet be the decisive level for confirming the wave count. If BTC reacts positively here and rallies into wave 5, the Elliott structure remains clean and valid. At 0.5, the level aligns with an ideal Fibonacci retracement ratio and also shows up as an important structural support on the chart. A break below this could trigger deeper downside, as highlighted by the ascending trendline. Long-Term Trading Plan Entry 1: Around Fibonacci 0.618 at 105k Entry 2: Around Fibonacci 0.5 at 99k This outlook fits a medium-term plan, but if the second zone (99k) provides a strong reaction, it could also become the base for a longer-term bullish structure. Stay disciplined, monitor these levels closely, and trade with proper risk management. What’s your view on BTC’s long-term structure? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2