BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 29-Oct-2025
📊 Bank Nifty closed around 58,272, forming a narrow consolidation inside the No-Trade Zone (58,027 – 58,342). This range reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with both waiting for a breakout confirmation. The upcoming session’s direction will depend on how price reacts around the breakout and support levels.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (200+ Points Above 58,342)
If Bank Nifty opens above 58,342, it will immediately face the Last Resistance Zone (58,669 – 58,715).
A strong gap-up above 58,342 will attract momentum buyers, aiming for 58,669 – 58,715 as intraday resistance targets.
Sustaining above 58,715 could open the door for a move toward 58,850 – 58,950, supported by short covering.
However, if rejection appears near 58,669 – 58,715, expect profit booking that may drag prices back to 58,342.
Avoid chasing long entries if prices struggle to hold above 58,669 after the first 15–30 minutes.
🧠 Educational Insight:
A gap-up opening near resistance zones often traps impatient buyers. Wait for a confirmation candle (preferably on the 15-min chart) before entering long positions. Sustained volume above resistance gives the best signal of strength.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Go long only if Bank Nifty holds above 58,669 with strength and volume confirmation.
→ Keep a stop-loss below 58,342 on an hourly closing basis.
→ Book partial profits near 58,715, and trail the rest for potential continuation.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 58,027 – 58,342)
A flat opening inside the No-Trade Zone generally signals indecision and range-bound behavior during early hours.
Prices may oscillate between 58,027 and 58,342, offering limited risk-reward trades.
Breakout above 58,342 could invite intraday bullish momentum, while breakdown below 58,027 may tilt bias negative.
Both levels should be watched carefully for volume-backed confirmation before taking directional exposure.
🧠 Educational Insight:
“No-Trade Zones” exist to remind traders that capital preservation is more important than participation. Trading inside them often leads to false signals and emotional decisions.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Stay patient and avoid trading inside the range.
→ Wait for an hourly close above 58,342 to go long or below 58,027 to go short.
→ Respect the breakout confirmation and avoid pre-emptive entries.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ Points Below 58,027)
If Bank Nifty opens below 58,027, it will test the Last Intraday Support Zone (57,666 – 57,724).
Buyers may attempt a pullback from this support zone in the early session.
If support holds and a reversal pattern forms, a bounce back toward 58,027 is likely.
A sustained fall below 57,666 will confirm weakness, potentially extending the decline toward 57,450 – 57,300.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs trigger panic, but experienced traders look for reaction candles near support before acting. Sharp recoveries often begin when retail traders panic-sell near strong supports.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ For aggressive traders: Short below 57,666 with a stop-loss above 58,027, targeting 57,450 – 57,300.
→ For conservative traders: Wait for a rejection or reversal candle near 57,666 – 57,724 before considering long opportunities.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Always wait for the first 15–30 minutes before entering, allowing volatility to stabilize.
Prefer ITM options for directional trades to minimize time decay.
Maintain a strict stop-loss (not exceeding 1–2% of capital).
Book partial profits once you achieve a 1:1 R:R to secure gains.
Avoid overtrading in the No-Trade Zone—discipline ensures consistency.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Key Resistance Levels: 58,342 → 58,669 → 58,715
Key Support Levels: 58,027 → 57,724 → 57,666
No-Trade Zone: 58,027 – 58,342
🔹 Bank Nifty remains in a neutral phase, awaiting a decisive breakout from its No-Trade Zone.
🔹 A move above 58,342 will shift bias bullish, while a fall below 58,027 may confirm weakness.
🔹 Traders should focus on reaction candles and volume confirmation for higher accuracy.
🔹 Remember — missing a trade is better than entering without a setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading decision.
Wave Analysis
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 29-Oct-2025
📊 Nifty closed around 25,965, forming a tight consolidation within the No-Trade Zone (25,910 – 26,021). The index has been oscillating between intraday resistances and supports, showing signs of indecision. As we head into tomorrow’s session, traders should focus on reactions around the key breakout and breakdown levels.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points Above 26,021)
If Nifty opens above 26,021, it will immediately face the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (26,134 – 26,227).
A strong opening above 26,021 may trigger bullish momentum, driving prices toward 26,134.
Sustaining above 26,134 could attract follow-through buying, targeting 26,227 and possibly 26,300+.
However, this resistance zone is also a potential profit-booking area, where early buyers might book gains.
Failure to sustain above 26,134 could bring a pullback toward 26,021, which will act as an intraday pivot level.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups often represent overnight optimism, but smart traders wait for a confirmation candle before entering. False breakouts near resistance zones can trap long positions quickly.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ If the first 15–30 minutes hold above 26,134, look for intraday long entries toward 26,227 – 26,300 with a stop-loss below 26,021.
→ If prices reject 26,134, expect a corrective dip — short-term traders can scalp short positions back toward 26,021.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 25,910 – 26,021)
A flat start inside the No-Trade Zone usually signals a day of range-bound activity in the initial session.
The market may stay choppy between 25,910 and 26,021 before choosing direction.
A breakout above 26,021 can trigger bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 25,910 will invite sellers.
Avoid trading inside this zone as both buyers and sellers may get trapped due to low directional clarity.
🧠 Educational Insight:
The “No-Trade Zone” is where risk-reward ratios are unfavorable. Experienced traders often wait for a clean breakout candle or volume confirmation before committing capital.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Avoid premature entries. Wait for an hourly candle close above 26,021 or below 25,910 to initiate trades.
→ Maintain smaller position sizes until the trend direction becomes evident.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points Below 25,910)
If Nifty opens below 25,910, it will test the Last Intraday Support Zone (25,712 – 25,736).
Expect buyers to attempt a bounce from 25,712 – 25,736 initially.
If this zone fails, the next key support comes at 25,624, which could act as a potential reversal level.
A sustained break below 25,624 may trigger further downside pressure and shift short-term sentiment bearish.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often create emotional reactions, but disciplined traders wait to see if the first bounce holds. Many intraday reversals begin near strong support zones when retail traders panic sell.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ For aggressive traders: Short below 25,712 with targets near 25,624, keeping stop-loss above 25,910.
→ For conservative traders: Wait for a rejection candle near 25,910 to confirm a continuation or reversal pattern before entry.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Avoid trading the first 15–30 minutes; let volatility settle before entering.
Always set a fixed stop-loss (preferably not exceeding 1–2% of your trading capital).
Prefer ITM options for directional trades to minimize time decay.
Exit half your position once you achieve 1:1 R:R to protect profits.
Avoid overtrading inside the No-Trade Zone — capital protection should be your top priority.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Key Resistance Levels: 26,021 → 26,134 → 26,227
Key Support Levels: 25,910 → 25,736 → 25,624
No Trade Zone: 25,910 – 26,021
🔹 Nifty remains in a neutral-to-cautious zone, with short-term volatility expected near 26,134 resistance.
🔹 A breakout above 26,134 can extend upside momentum, while a breakdown below 25,910 may invite fresh selling.
🔹 The best approach is to stay patient for directional clarity, respect levels, and trade with defined stops.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Netflix: Wave Z or a Surprise Truncation Ahead?After a textbook W–X–Y–X structure, Netflix now appears to be sketching the final leg “Z” inside a well-defined descending channel. Each corrective wave has respected the parallel boundaries — a sign of structural discipline rather than chaos.
The latest drop to $1,087.30 tagged the channel’s lower rail and the Major Pivot near $1,064.50, precisely where the RSI has also reached its long-term support zone. This alignment hints that the market may be nearing exhaustion — but whether it’s the end of “Z” or just a pause before one more flush remains the key question.
A sustained break below the pivot confirms completion of the triple correction, while a sharp rebound from here could mark a truncated Z, setting the stage for a larger recovery.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Is GOLD headed to ~2500 as part of correction ?Gold had a good run up from ~1600 levels to ~3500 level.
It seems to have completed Wave3 and has ended week with Shooting start candle.
Invalidation :
This view of correction is invalidated if Gold closes above 3500 as part of weekly close.
The correction time period may be around 6~8 months.,
AERGO – Accumulating Near Multi-Month Support ZoneAERGO has been drifting lower for months, but price action seems to be stabilizing near a solid historical support zone around the $0.06–$0.07 range. After a sharp selloff earlier in October, the chart now shows early signs of accumulation — a small series of higher lows and tightening candles right above support. That’s usually where stronger hands start positioning before any larger move develops.
The weekly performance flipped slightly green (+3.5%), suggesting that selling pressure might finally be easing. On the daily chart, volume has picked up slightly, and the structure looks like it’s setting up for a potential relief rally if buyers can maintain momentum above this zone.
There’s plenty of room toward the upper range near $0.32 if a mid-term reversal plays out, but bulls still need confirmation through a clean breakout of the short-term consolidation.
Not financial advice, just watching how price reacts around this base. If it holds, it could turn into a solid recovery setup after months of decline.
Let’s see if buyers can defend this level and push AERGO into its next phase.
🚀🚀🚀 AND DONT FORGET TO CHECK OUT MY PROFILE!
CHILLGUYUSDT – Deep Bottom Setup with Reversal PotentialCHILLGUY looks like it’s finally waking up from a brutal downtrend. After months of heavy selling and an 85% drawdown over the past year, price has started forming a solid base around the $0.02 zone — a level that’s already been tested multiple times and held well. This kind of structure often hints at accumulation before a potential trend shift.
On the daily chart, the recent bounce from support shows early signs of strength, with price reclaiming the $0.03 level. Weekly performance is up +8.5%, suggesting some short-term momentum is coming back into the pair. The volume isn’t explosive yet but it’s picking up, which could be the fuel for the next move if buyers keep stepping in.
The setup looks interesting for a possible relief rally, with room toward previous resistance zones around $0.05 to $0.11 — levels that align with prior supply zones. A clean break above the midrange (around $0.066) could easily accelerate momentum if shorts start covering.
Let’s see if bulls can defend this base and build from here.
Dont forget to check out my profile and follow for more analysis!
GOLD RETESTING SUPPLY BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 28, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Market Structure + Supply Zone
1. MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues its bearish momentum after multiple CHoCH and BOS confirmations on lower timeframes.
Price is currently trading around 3935, after rejecting from several supply zones (4045–4047, 4011–4013, and 3975–3977).
Higher timeframe structure (H1–H4) remains bearish, with resistance forming between 4010–4050 and potential liquidity resting below 3928.
2. INTRADAY BIAS
Bias: Bearish
Expectation: Short retracement into supply → continuation down to support zone.
3. TRADING SETUP
Sell Zone #1: 3975 – 3977
Sell Confirmation: Price forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30 near supply zone.
Entry: 3976
Stop Loss: 3982 (6 USD range)
Take Profit 1: 3940
Take Profit 2: 3928
R:R ≈ 1:4 — targeting liquidity below the previous swing low.
Avoid buying until clear BOS above 4013 is confirmed.
4. NOTES
If price closes above 4013, invalidates short bias and shifts to neutral — wait for fresh structure before entering again.
Monitor volume + reaction near Support Zone (3928–3940) for potential profit-taking.
Part 1 Intraday Trading Masterclass What Are Options?
An option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, or commodity) at a predetermined price on or before a specific date.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset.
The buyer of an option pays a premium to the seller (also called the writer) for this right. The premium depends on various factors like time to expiry, volatility, and the price of the underlying asset.
CGPOWER 1 Month Time Frame 🔍 Current snapshot
Last close around ₹723.85.
52-week low ≈ ₹517.70, 52-week high ≈ ₹811.40.
Technical indicators show: 20 day SMA around ~₹746, 100 day SMA ~₹705.86.
🎯 My Outlook / Scenario Planning
Base case: The stock trades between ~₹716 and ~₹740 over the next month, oscillating around the current zone.
Bull case: If it clears resistance around ~₹740 with good volume, it may push toward ~₹755-₹770.
Bear case: If it breaks below ~₹716, watch for slide toward ~₹690-₹700 as next margin of support.
Is Wave 5 About to Lift Indian Bond Yields Higher?After a strong impulsive rise from 6.13% to 6.65%, the India 10-Year Government Bond Yield appears to be consolidating in a textbook Wave 4 contracting triangle . Each leg within the pattern—(a) through (e)—shows the typical compression seen before the final thrust in yields.
If this interpretation holds, a Wave 5 breakout may soon lift yields higher toward or beyond the 6.7% region, completing the larger five-wave structure.
Market Implication:
A rise in bond yields usually reflects tightening liquidity and can act as a short-term headwind for equity indices such as the Nifty. Traders may want to watch this triangle’s resolution closely—an upside break in yields could coincide with a cooling phase in the broader market, while a failed breakout would favor continued equity strength.
Chart Note:
Contracting Wave 4 Triangle – Prepping for the Final Yield Thrust (Wave 5)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Institutional Trading SecretsUnderstanding the Power Behind the Markets
Institutional trading refers to the buying and selling of securities by large financial organizations such as mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, insurance companies, and investment banks. These institutions handle large pools of capital and have the ability to influence market movements significantly. Unlike retail traders, institutions operate with complex algorithms, proprietary research, and vast resources. Understanding the secrets behind institutional trading provides insights into how professional money moves and how markets truly function beneath the surface.
1. The Foundation of Institutional Trading
Institutional trading is built on the principles of scale, strategy, and information. Institutions are responsible for managing billions of dollars in assets, meaning their trades can affect prices, liquidity, and volatility. Unlike individual traders, institutional players do not focus on small daily profits; they aim for consistent, risk-adjusted returns over the long term.
Their edge comes from three primary advantages:
Access to superior information and research
Advanced trading technology and algorithms
Ability to influence market microstructure
These institutions employ teams of analysts, quants, and traders who specialize in market data interpretation, economic forecasting, and risk management. Every trade is calculated with precision, often based on complex quantitative models rather than emotion or speculation.
2. The Role of Liquidity and Market Impact
One of the biggest secrets of institutional trading lies in liquidity management. Because institutions deal with massive order sizes, they cannot simply place all their trades at once. Doing so would cause the market to move against them — a phenomenon known as market impact.
To avoid this, institutions use execution algorithms that break large orders into smaller chunks. These algorithms might spread trades across different times of the day or execute them across multiple exchanges. Common strategies include:
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): Trades are executed based on the average trading volume to minimize deviation from the day’s average price.
TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price): Orders are distributed evenly over a specific time period to reduce visibility.
Iceberg Orders: Only a small portion of the total order is visible in the order book, hiding the true size of the position.
This ability to manage liquidity allows institutions to build or exit massive positions quietly, without alerting other market participants.
3. The Power of Information and Data Analysis
Institutional traders rely on information asymmetry — having better data and faster insights than others. While retail traders might use chart patterns or news, institutions have access to:
Real-time data feeds from multiple exchanges
Proprietary research reports
Satellite data and alternative data sources (such as shipping volumes, credit card transactions, and social media sentiment)
High-frequency data on order flow and market depth
Using these datasets, institutions employ quantitative analysts (quants) to create predictive models. These models identify statistical relationships between variables, helping predict short-term price movements or long-term trends.
For example, a hedge fund may use machine learning models to detect patterns in market volatility before major announcements, or to identify correlations between commodities and currency pairs.
The key advantage lies not just in the quantity of data, but in the speed and accuracy of interpretation. Milliseconds can make the difference between profit and loss — hence, institutions invest heavily in low-latency systems and high-speed trading infrastructure.
4. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
A large portion of institutional trading today is algorithmic. These trades are executed by automated systems that use predefined rules and mathematical models. High-Frequency Trading (HFT), a subset of algorithmic trading, takes this to an extreme — executing thousands of trades per second to capture small inefficiencies.
HFT firms exploit microstructure inefficiencies, such as latency arbitrage or temporary mispricing between markets. They use co-location, placing their servers physically close to exchange servers to gain microsecond advantages.
Some common institutional algorithmic strategies include:
Statistical Arbitrage: Profiting from temporary pricing discrepancies between correlated assets.
Market Making: Providing liquidity by continuously quoting buy and sell prices, earning the spread.
Momentum Ignition: Detecting and amplifying short-term momentum in a stock to profit from price continuation.
Event-Driven Trading: Reacting instantly to earnings announcements, mergers, or macroeconomic data.
While these methods are controversial for their speed and complexity, they enhance overall market liquidity and efficiency — though often at the cost of retail traders who cannot compete with their speed.
5. Institutional Order Flow and “Smart Money” Movement
Another secret weapon of institutional trading is order flow analysis — tracking where the “smart money” is moving. Institutions often coordinate trades across different asset classes to hedge risk or exploit correlations. For example, when an institution buys a large amount of NIFTY futures, it may simultaneously hedge by shorting correlated global indices or purchasing options to manage volatility exposure.
This coordinated movement of funds creates institutional footprints, often visible in sudden spikes in volume, price momentum, or open interest. Professional traders and market analysts try to detect these footprints to “follow the smart money.”
For instance, if heavy institutional buying is detected in the banking sector, it may signal a longer-term bullish trend that retail traders can align with.
6. Dark Pools and Hidden Liquidity
One of the lesser-known aspects of institutional trading is the use of dark pools — private exchanges where large trades are executed anonymously.
Unlike public exchanges (like NSE or BSE), dark pools allow institutions to buy or sell significant quantities without revealing their intentions to the market. This protects them from adverse price movement caused by front-running or speculation.
Dark pools help maintain stability in the market by preventing sudden volatility. However, they also reduce transparency, which can disadvantage smaller market participants who cannot see these hidden orders.
7. Risk Management and Portfolio Hedging
Institutions never trade without a comprehensive risk management framework. Every position is assessed based on its potential drawdown, volatility, and correlation with other holdings.
They use Value-at-Risk (VaR) models, stress testing, and scenario analysis to simulate potential losses under various conditions. For example, a portfolio manager may test how their portfolio would perform if oil prices drop 20% or interest rates rise by 1%.
Institutions also employ hedging instruments such as:
Derivatives (futures, options, and swaps) to offset market exposure.
Currency hedges to protect international investments.
Interest rate swaps to manage bond portfolio risks.
By combining multiple hedging layers, institutions ensure consistent performance even in volatile markets.
8. Behavioral and Sentiment Analysis
Beyond numbers, institutional traders also study market psychology. They monitor sentiment indicators like the VIX (Volatility Index), Put-Call Ratios, and Institutional Investor Confidence Index to gauge crowd behavior.
Some advanced firms apply natural language processing (NLP) to scan news headlines, earnings transcripts, and even social media posts in real time. The goal is to quantify sentiment and anticipate how collective emotions might affect price movements.
This behavioral edge allows institutions to stay one step ahead — buying when fear dominates and selling when euphoria peaks.
9. The Role of Prime Brokers and Custodians
Institutions do not operate alone. They rely on prime brokers and custodians to execute, clear, and settle trades efficiently. Prime brokers offer leverage, research, and risk management tools. They also provide access to short-selling opportunities and synthetic products.
Custodians, on the other hand, ensure safekeeping of assets and manage compliance, reporting, and settlements. This interconnected network ensures that large volumes of capital can move globally without friction or error.
10. Institutional Trading in India
In the Indian market, institutional participation is dominated by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) such as mutual funds, insurance companies, and pension funds.
Their trades have a massive influence on the direction of the NIFTY and SENSEX indices. For instance, sustained FII inflows usually push the market upward, while heavy outflows can trigger sharp corrections.
Indian institutions are also embracing algorithmic and quantitative strategies, aided by the rapid modernization of exchanges like the NSE, which support co-location and API-based trading. The growth of mutual funds and ETFs has further increased institutional control over market liquidity and price discovery.
11. How Retail Traders Can Learn from Institutions
While retail traders cannot match institutional power, they can learn from their principles:
Trade with a plan: Use a disciplined, data-driven strategy rather than emotion.
Focus on risk: Limit losses with proper stop-losses and portfolio diversification.
Follow liquidity: Trade in stocks or sectors where institutions are active — their presence adds predictability and stability.
Analyze institutional activity: Track FII/DII data, open interest changes, and large block trades to infer smart money direction.
Adopt technology: Use algorithmic tools, scanners, and analytics to level the playing field.
12. The Future of Institutional Trading
The future of institutional trading lies in AI-driven decision-making, blockchain integration, and decentralized finance (DeFi). Artificial intelligence is already helping institutions automate not just execution but also research and portfolio optimization.
With blockchain, trade settlements may become instantaneous, reducing counterparty risk. Meanwhile, DeFi could open institutional access to tokenized assets and decentralized liquidity pools.
As markets evolve, the line between institutional and retail trading will continue to blur — but institutions will remain the key players shaping market trends and innovations.
Conclusion
Institutional trading is the invisible hand guiding global markets. Behind every price movement lies a calculated series of actions from funds and institutions managing vast sums of money. Their “secrets” are not mystical — they stem from disciplined execution, superior data, advanced algorithms, and rigorous risk management.
For retail traders, understanding these mechanisms provides not only perspective but also opportunity. By studying how institutional money flows, aligning trades with their direction, and adopting their disciplined mindset, individuals can navigate markets more intelligently.
In essence, the greatest secret of institutional trading is consistency — a relentless pursuit of efficiency, precision, and control. Institutions may move billions, but their real strength lies in the strategy and science behind every move.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 28, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
The momentum lines on D1 remain intertwined. When this happens, the trend often continues with candle counts that follow Fibonacci numbers (3, 5, 8…).
Currently, there are around 3 candles, indicating a high probability of a reversal forming soon, possibly today.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential short-term upward or sideways move to push momentum into the overbought zone.
If the market consolidates at this level, once momentum reaches the overbought region, another bearish leg on H4 could still occur.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently decreasing. Price is closing lower around the liquidity zone at 3994, showing signs of a liquidity sweep.
We expect price to continue moving lower toward the next liquidity zone, in alignment with the short-term bearish structure on H1.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
The overall wave structure remains largely unchanged. Yesterday’s strong bearish candle fits within our prior analysis, confirming that the corrective wave is still in progress.
However, since the D1 momentum lines have already stuck together for about three candles, a potential bullish reversal candle today could mark the completion of this correction.
H4 Timeframe:
The structure has broken the previous low, suggesting that this could be the final leg of wave Y (blue).
Observing the completed 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 in blue), this corrective leg has now returned to the base of the previous wave 4, achieving both price and time symmetry.
→ A short-term bullish reversal is expected from the current area.
H1 Timeframe:
The prior correction formed a triangle pattern (abcde in red), which has now broken to the downside, developing into a 5-wave sequence (black).
Wave 4 (black) appears completed, and price is likely within the final wave 5 down.
🎯 Target zones for completion of wave 5 (black):
• Target 1️⃣: 3953
• Target 2️⃣: 3927
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3955 – 3952
• Stop Loss: 3932
• TP1: 4050
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3939 – 3927
• Stop Loss: 3907
• TP1: 3994
NIFTY Analysis 28 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty chart shows bounce after profit booking
Market showing signs of short covering at lower levels
Nifty tested 47.2 percent fake. level and bounced
Today Nifty may open near 26010 level
Market likely to move sideways in early session
Consolidation expected above 26000 mark
Watch price action near 26000 for intraday direction
If Nifty crosses above 26010 with volume then buy
First target 26075
Second target 26135
Third target 26203 if momentum continues
Keep stop loss below 25960 for all long positions
If Nifty falls below 25958 then sell on rise strategy active.samjhe ki nahi?
Below 25958 next support 25904
Next support 25840 for intraday traders
If price breaks below 25840 expect more downside pressure
today focus on 26000 zone for confirmation of trend
Indus Towers: Channel Breakout Meets Wave TheoryA simple but powerful concept from classical technical analysis — the channel breakout target — plays out beautifully here.
This idea, also discussed by Dr. Sudhir Dixit in his book on breakout signals, gives traders a disciplined way to estimate post-breakout targets.
After a steady five-wave advance from ₹312.55 to ₹369.55, Indus Towers entered a clean descending channel , forming the corrective Wave 2.
The breakout that followed came with a strong volume surge , confirming a clear shift in trend direction.
Concept Recap
In a channel breakout, the target can be derived by measuring the height of the channel (distance between support and resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
That gives the 1:1 projection , while stronger rallies often stretch toward 2:1 or 3:1 multiples of that range.
Wave Perspective
Elliott Wave traders can interpret this breakout as the early phase of Wave 3 , which typically extends 1.0 to 1.618× Wave 1 .
In this case, the 1.0× projection aligns near ₹395, while higher targets in the ₹412–₹430 zone fit naturally within Wave 3–5 progression.
Key Chart Highlights
Descending channel breakout — trend shift confirmed
Volume surge validates breakout strength
Wave 3 minimum extension ≈ ₹395
Stop-loss below ₹359 keeps the structure intact
Takeaway:
Even without labeling waves, the logic of a channel breakout offers a structured, rule-based method for identifying profit zones.
Combine it with wave theory, and you transform a simple pattern into a roadmap for impulsive rallies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Larsen & Toubro: Wave 3 Heating Up — Eye on the Final 5After a clean impulse from ₹2,965 to ₹3,708 (Wave 1) and a extended flat correction to ₹3,405 (Wave 2), Larsen & Toubro has resumed its upward journey in what appears to be an extending Wave 3 .
Structure in Focus
Wave 3 reached the 1.618 × Wave 1 projection near ₹3,969 — an ideal zone for minor profit-taking.
A short-term Wave 4 pullback could unfold toward ₹3,860 – ₹3,795 (Fib 0.236–0.382 retrace).
As long as price holds above ₹3,727 (invalidation) , the structure stays firmly impulsive.
Once Wave 4 confirms, a final Wave 5 rally could target ₹4,180–₹4,250, extending as high as ₹4,300 if momentum persists.
Bigger Picture
L&T remains a heavyweight within the Nifty 50, and its impulsive rhythm may just be the hidden engine powering Nifty’s climb.
If this count plays out, a fresh high in L&T could easily set the tone for the index to follow suit.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Supply-Demand Squeeze: Symmetrical Triangle at the Flip zoneWitness a textbook supply-demand play on the monthly chart of Bharat Wire Ropes Ltd. as price contracts above a major zone conversion! The chart highlights a high-probability symmetrical triangle pattern—marked with a red counter trendline (lower highs) and a green trendline (higher lows).
This powerful squeeze forms right at the intersection of key supply and demand zones.
- Both supply (resistance) and demand (support) have been mapped for clear zone analysis.
- The symmetrical triangle shows classic price contraction
- Red line: Counter trendline connecting lower highs.
- Green line: Trendline connecting higher lows.
Disclaimer:
This Observation / Post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2025 (Educational)NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Oct-2025
📊 Nifty closed around 25,974, hovering within the No Trade Zone (25,910 – 26,020) after a choppy session. The index is showing signs of indecision as buyers defend lower supports near 25,778, while sellers remain active near the upper resistance zone around 26,151 – 26,208. Tomorrow’s move will largely depend on the opening tone and how prices react to the key levels outlined below.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points Above 26,020)
If Nifty opens above 26,020, it will immediately enter the Last Intraday Resistance / Profit Booking Zone (26,151 – 26,208).
Watch for quick momentum toward 26,151 — this is a critical intraday level where profit booking can emerge.
Sustaining above 26,208 may trigger fresh long entries, extending the move toward 26,331.
Failure to hold above 26,151 could bring the index back to retest the 26,020 breakout level — a healthy pullback zone for intraday traders.
A sustained break below 26,020 will indicate a failed gap-up breakout, turning bias neutral to mildly bearish.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups often reflect overnight optimism, but smart traders wait for confirmation candles before chasing prices. The first 15–30 minutes are crucial to determine if the opening gap will sustain or fade.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Let the first candle close; if Nifty holds above 26,151, long entries can be considered with targets toward 26,331 and stop-loss below 26,020.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 25,910 – 26,020)
A flat start within the No Trade Zone may lead to range-bound and confusing price action early in the session.
Bulls need a clean breakout above 26,020 to shift momentum back toward 26,151 – 26,208.
Bears will regain short-term control if prices slip below 25,910, potentially driving the index toward 25,778.
Avoid trading within this zone as whipsaws are likely due to equal buying and selling pressure.
🧠 Educational Insight:
When markets open flat within a “No Trade Zone,” patience is key. Many traders lose money trying to predict breakouts that never confirm. Let the price show strength before taking a stance.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for a decisive hourly close beyond 26,020 (for long) or below 25,910 (for short). Trade only post-confirmation with strict stop-loss rules.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points Below 25,910)
If Nifty opens below 25,910, it will shift short-term sentiment bearish, especially if opening occurs near 25,778 or below.
The first support zone lies around 25,778 — expect a possible technical bounce here.
If this support fails, the next target for sellers will be 25,648, where a temporary base could form.
Only a recovery and sustained close above 25,910 would negate the bearish pressure.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-down openings often test traders’ emotions — avoid panic selling at open. Reversal candles around 25,778 can provide high R:R setups for quick intraday longs.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Consider short positions below 25,778 with stop-loss above 25,910. For a safer play, wait for rejection candles near 25,910 before entering any directional trade.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Avoid entering during the first 15–30 minutes after market opens — let volatility settle.
Always define your stop-loss — never risk more than 1–2% of total capital in a single trade.
Prefer deep ITM options for directional plays to reduce time decay.
Avoid trading when price remains in the “No Trade Zone”; capital preservation is priority.
Trail profits dynamically — once your trade achieves 1:1 R:R, secure partial gains.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Key Resistance Levels: 26,020 → 26,151 → 26,208 → 26,331
Key Support Levels: 25,910 → 25,778 → 25,648
No Trade Zone: 25,910 – 26,020
🔹 The bias remains neutral within the range, but momentum can quickly shift beyond 26,020 or below 25,910.
🔹 Buy on dips near 25,778 if support holds, and sell on rises near 26,208 if rejection patterns appear.
🔹 Stay flexible — the trend confirmation will only emerge after a decisive breakout beyond the defined zones.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading decision.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 28-Oct-2025 (Educational💼 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Oct-2025
📊 Based on current price behavior, Bank Nifty closed around 58,198, forming a neutral-to-mildly bullish tone while staying within the “No Trade Zone” between 58,030 – 58,343. The market is showing a tug of war between bulls defending the 57,800–57,600 range and bears maintaining pressure below 58,683. Tomorrow’s movement will depend on the opening behavior relative to these crucial levels.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (200+ Points Above 58,343)
If Bank Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 58,343, it will likely test the Late Intraday Resistance Zone (58,614 – 58,683) early in the session.
Watch for a quick move toward 58,683, where sellers are expected to emerge initially.
Only if the index sustains above 58,683 with an hourly close, fresh buying may continue toward 58,877.
If rejection occurs at the resistance zone, expect a pullback toward the 58,343 level — this will act as an intraday pivot.
A sustained break below 58,343 can drag prices toward 58,030, signaling exhaustion in the gap-up rally.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-up openings often invite profit booking as traders square off early gains. Always allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization before entering directional trades.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for either a breakout above 58,683 or a retest near 58,343 for better risk/reward setups. Avoid chasing prices during the first candle.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Near 58,100 – 58,200)
A flat start within the “No Trade Zone” (58,030 – 58,343) may lead to a sideways consolidation early on.
Bulls need a breakout above 58,343 to regain short-term momentum toward 58,614 – 58,683.
Bears, on the other hand, will try to push below 58,030 to extend weakness toward 57,838.
Until the index decisively breaks out of this range, stay patient and avoid impulsive entries.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Flat openings are ideal for range traders — let the market show its hand before committing. Remember, trading within a “no trade” range can lead to false breakouts.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for a directional confirmation candle beyond 58,343 or below 58,030 with volume support before taking any directional position. Use tight stop-losses and book partial profits quickly.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ Points Below 58,030)
A gap-down below 58,030 may shift control to the bears, especially if the opening is near 57,800 or lower.
Immediate support lies at 57,838, followed by 57,633 — expect temporary pullbacks from these zones.
If the index sustains below 57,633, downside extension toward 57,124 cannot be ruled out.
For a reversal, bulls need to reclaim 58,030 on an hourly closing basis.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often trigger panic selling, but sharp intraday reversals are also common when supports hold. Observe candle patterns near 57,633 for potential traps.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Aggressive shorts can be considered below 57,633 with a stop-loss above 57,838. For safer entries, wait for a closing confirmation under key support zones.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Avoid trading immediately after the opening bell — wait 15–30 minutes for clarity.
Always define your risk: Do not risk more than 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Use deep ITM options for directional plays to reduce theta decay impact.
If the index trades inside the No Trade Zone, stay out — sometimes no trade is the best trade.
Scale out profits — book half at 1:1 risk-reward, trail stop for remaining position.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Upside Resistance Zones: 58,343 → 58,614 → 58,683 → 58,877
Downside Supports: 58,030 → 57,838 → 57,633 → 57,124
No Trade Zone: 58,030 – 58,343
🔹 Expect volatility near resistance zones, while dips toward 57,838 – 57,633 may attract short-term buyers.
🔹 Trend confirmation will come only after a sustained breakout beyond the No Trade Zone range.
🔹 Focus on discipline and patience rather than chasing momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to perform their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any position.
Gold as said on Friday until 4160 not break sell on rise Gold sell on rise recommended until 4160 not break ,
Still no buy signals sell on rise will continue
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Federal Bank: Wave 4 Triangle Near Completion, Wave 5 AheadAfter a clean five-wave impulse from the 2020 low near ₹35.70 to the 2024 peak at ₹220, Federal Bank appears to be transitioning into a larger corrective phase.
Weekly Outlook
The broader structure suggests the start of a 5-3-5 zigzag correction , marked as A–B–C .
Wave A is still unfolding — only Wave 4 of A appears complete, with Wave 5 expected next to finish the first leg of the correction.
Once Wave 5 concludes, price could rebound toward the lower channel trendline to form Wave B, a counter-trend rally within the broader correction.
Thereafter, a deeper Wave C decline may follow, potentially stretching into the ₹149–₹128 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement range of the 2020–2024 advance.
This developing structure reflects a natural pause after a long impulse cycle, with the market now transitioning into a corrective rhythm.
Daily Chart Details
Zooming in, the internal structure of Wave A shows a clear five-wave drop, with Wave (4) evolving as a contracting triangle pattern.
The MA50 has started curling toward the MA200, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a classical confirmation of trend transition.
If price breaks below the triangle base, Wave (5) could extend toward ₹186–₹178, derived from Wave 1 projected from Wave 4’s end.
The targets will be adjusted once the final (e)-wave of the triangle is confirmed, as a minor uptick remains possible.
A sustained move above ₹206.39 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and delay the decline.
Conclusion:
Federal Bank’s structure aligns with a typical post-impulse correction, and the interplay between Elliott Wave and moving averages provides a clear framework to track this phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence .
Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes.
A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900.
RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum.
Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat :
Wave A dipped from 3900.
Wave B exceeded the high.
Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup.
Trade Plan:
Entry levels: 3737–3637
Stop loss (SL): Below 3419
Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+
RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
State Bank of India – Breakout, but With CheckpointsWeekly Chart View
State Bank of India has staged a strong breakout above the consolidation zone near ₹835, with weekly RSI showing healthy momentum and no bearish divergence yet. This breakout suggests that Wave 3/C is in progress , keeping the short-term outlook bullish.
Key Observations:
Wave 2/B: The recent sideways move looks like a triangle. While triangles are unusual for Wave 2, they are common in Wave B — raising the possibility that this could be part of a larger corrective flat.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance sits at the Wave B high (₹875.45) , followed by the all-time high (₹912). The ATH retest will be critical in determining whether the structure continues impulsively or morphs into a flat.
Support & Invalidation: The breakout remains valid as long as price stays above ₹786.55 (Wave 2/B low). A decisive break below this level would invalidate the current bullish structure and force reevaluation.
Momentum: RSI is supportive, showing strength and no sign of divergence yet.
Summary:
The bias remains bullish in the short term , but this rally will be tested at the higher resistance levels. If the stock pushes through the ATH, we may confirm an impulsive sequence. If not, a 3-3-5 flat could be in play. Either way, this is a key checkpoint zone for SBI.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NFP – Oversold Reversal Setup with Huge Upside PotentialNFP has been grinding lower for months, printing a clean downtrend on the daily chart. But after that sharp flush below 0.035, price snapped back quickly — a classic sign of capitulation followed by smart money accumulation. The structure now looks like it’s trying to carve out a short-term bottom.
The recent bounce off that liquidity zone, combined with a tight consolidation right above support, could be the early stage of a reversal. On setups like this, traders often look for confirmation through higher lows or expanding volume before calling it a true trend change.
The 0.05 region looks like the first meaningful resistance to test if buyers can maintain momentum. With moderate leverage (3–5x) and a clearly defined invalidation level, it’s a risk-managed idea rather than pure speculation.
Let’s see if bulls can build from this base and push toward that 0.05 zone.






















