HDFC - Wave 5- What it could be unfolding ? - 2390 to 3000+ DoneTarget done at 2900+ for Traditional Chart Patterns. The stock rallied 25% from the bottoms of 2400 since July 2021 in running Wave-5.
What could be unfolding here in wave 5? Are you ready for the next move?
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Last Idea - HDFC- WaveTalks- Pattern, Patience & Penultimate Correction
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Wavetalks
WaveTalks- Nifty: The Choppy Move Above 17613 The index bounced from 17613 lows multiple times but the move not looking convincing so far on the upside. It has to cross above 17835 highs & hold above that key level for us to consider a bullish scenario else holding below 17800-17825 zone. The index may re-attempt 17613. If falls below 17613 then 17452 & only below 17452 - look for 17325
17325 - A - Wave Bottom of the Proposed Triangle
17452 - C- Wave Bottom of the Proposed Triangle
17613 - E - Wave Bottom of the Proposed Triangle - 17613 was the low where the index bounced upside as discussed in the last idea.
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Last Idea - Nifty: Bullish Gartley - Broke 17799 & Bounce from 17613 lows
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WaveTalks- Nifty: Bullish Gartley The fall from 18605 looks choppy & messy suggesting that the index could have finished a part of the corrective structure at 17799 lows @ 28th Oct2021 if holds above that level.
Bulls & Bears will be locking their horns between 18605 high & 17799 low – a range of Approx of 800 points.
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Short Term Scenario
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• Index can bounce upside. Reasons for bounce
• Harmonic Bullish Gartley PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) 17799-17850
• Triangle B-D line extended in the right direction (red color dashed line)
• Parallel Channel drawn from 18605 &18342 holds the current bottom at 17799 (lows-28th Oct2021)
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Short Term Targets
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Strictly Holding Above 17799 lows –Target 1(T1): 17950 / Target 2(T2): 18050/ Target 3(T3): 18125 / Target 4(T4): 18325
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Last Idea - Gap Strategy
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Thanks
WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy
There are three (3) types of channels:
1. Ascending Channel (higher highs and higher lows)
2. Descending Channel (lower highs and lower lows)
3. Horizontal Channel (ranging)
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Ascending channel
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An Ascending channel is a pattern formed from two upward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels
The ascending channel is also known as a “rising channel” and “channel up“.
Ascending channel has a rectangle shape (Current Case – Nifty / 20th Oct2021)
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Trading Strategy
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As long as prices remain within the ascending channel, the upward trend in price can be expected to continue.
3 Supports shown as 17613 – 1st Support / 17864 – 2nd Support / 18209 - 3rd Support
When executing trades based on a trendline, it is important that the trendline is a valid one / How do you know it is valid – 2 points required to draw a trendline & 3rd point which is 18209 if falls & takes support then it confirms that the trendline is a valid one.
So, Any Buy or Long Trades should be executed with stops below the trendline so 18209 is an important level. Traders can keep 18200 level which is a psychological level.
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Descending channel
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A Descending channel is a pattern formed from two downward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels.
The descending channel pattern is also known as a “falling channel” or “channel down“.
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Horizontal Channel
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A horizontal channel is a chart pattern formed from two parallel trendlines drawn above and below price representing resistance and support levels
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The Last Idea - Bulls Yelling The Excitement - Gap Strategy
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Hope you enjoyed selling at the tops 18600 for 18200 approx. Nifty Index took support in the 2nd Gap. Are You Ready for the Next Move?
Nifty:WaveTalks-Bulls Yelling Excitement- The Gap Strategy!!! Bulls Yelling The Excitement- The Gap Strategy!!!
When they come together, they are trying to tell you something.
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17950 – Critical Level: The Important Clue
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From the last 2 ideas published at TradingView - Crossing above 17950 & not falling below 50 Period Moving Average provided dynamic support to the Index – an important pullback trading strategy that bulls use to participate in the bull run.
50 Period Moving Average shown as Flag Mark + Red Circle (Offered Dynamic Support)
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Gaps Strategy
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Gaps act as support & resistance which can be used as another trading strategy. Intraday today @ 19thOct2021. Gap 3 held as support & gave bounce from current day low @ 18400 to 18550+ which is currently in progress.
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What Next?
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Current Fall looks Impulsive in nature from the Highs of 18600’s in the opening session, If holds as resistance & falls below 18550(strictly) then Next dynamic support could be gap 3 once again & if it gets filled- 2nd support shall be close to 18275-18300 zone which is 50 periods moving average.
If falls below 50 periods moving average Gap 2 & Gap 1 should act next supports.
Thanks for reading!
WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle 6th / 7th Oct2021
The index topped at 17882 this morning was a perfect behavior for the last leg downside in an irregular triangle updated in TradingView Author status / Last idea (add on comment).
6th Oct2021 – WaveTalks: Nifty-Irregular Triangle: ( Stops Above 17890 )
Irregular structures are those which is surpassed in the next leg as it happened for Index Nifty starting 17th Sep2021.
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Let us take a flashback tour for Index Nifty starting 17th Sep2021.
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Wave A or 1st Leg / Wave Downside- Starting at highs of 17792 on 17th Sep2021 (17792 to 17326 = 466 Points drop)
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Considering 17792 High on 17th Sep2021, as the start of the structure, slipped to 17326 as 1st leg downside & pushed upside in 2nd leg to new all-time highs of 17948 (From 17326 to 17948).
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Wave B or 2nd Leg / Wave Upside (17326 to 17948 = 622 Points Upside Rally)
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2nd leg crossed 17792 highs & made a new high at 17948 giving us 1st clue that some irregular structure could be unfolding next as all the moves so far from 17th Sep2021 was corrective in nature which was running across my mind at that moment.
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Wave C or 3rd Leg / Wave downside (17948 to 17452 = 496 Points drop)
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The fall from 17948 highs to 17452 was again corrective in nature. This time I became 100% sure that it is a 75-80% chance that Triangle could be unfolding next & I started putting my sleeves up in excitement as I could be getting 2 legs back to back if identified correctly.
This is all I was thinking like a trader.
The market pushed upside right from the zone 17450-17475 buying zone suggested as PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) in the idea published to the TradingView community on 1st Oct2021 - Bullish Gartley
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Wave D or 4th Leg / Wave Upside (17452 to 17882 = 430 Points Upside Rally)
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This 4th Leg had to stop below 17948 Highs if the structure had to be correct as crossing above 17948 – this whole triangle scenario could have gone for a toss as structure invalidates.
Keeping that in the mind, I quickly updated all the followers in the last idea this morning before the market starts selling below zone 17800-17825 which was an important zone. I agree it was choppy as markets will never give you straight or easy moves & especially when the triangle is unfolding.
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Wave E or 5th Leg / Wave Downside (17882 to 17617 = 269 Points drop)
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This wave was choppy at the start but it was all controlled by the bears till the end of the day when Nifty made low @ 17613 & closed at 17646 @ 6th Oct2021
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Few things to note
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Our Final Target 17550-17575 is not completed so be careful as the Index may slip to these levels & take support of the Trendline rising upside connecting Wave- A(Bottom-17326) & Wave-C (Bottom- 17452) respectively.
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What Next?
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As a trader, we want to know what next. So here it is. When Triangle gets completed which is assumed to be sideways correction in the uptrend suggests that the next wave can be upside in an explosive manner which is seen or observed as a Thrust. In current scenario, thrust is expected upside for new highs or similar highs of 17948
So, Holding Levels 17452 which is Wave C – Bottom & 17326 which is Wave A – Bottom are key & critical level of support.
Till the time key & critical support holds we expect Bulls to come back & take the control or be in the driver’s seat next.
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Target Next
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Upside Nifty Index is open to travel minimum 17948 Highs & crossing above it will easily travel 18000+ A New All Time High.
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Note
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Always be careful at the tops as euphoria or crazy moves may put a trader in complacent zone & we forget all about risk management. Historically, It has been observed that crazy upside moves are followed immediately by opposite downside move which can be even bigger in size if happens.
Nifty- WaveTalks: E-Wave Pending ( Rising Wedge +Critical level)From the last idea- WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle
Few Adjustments done. Wave- D has been changed to 17941 Highs as discussed over the last idea.
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Since Morning @ 8th Oct2021 - How Index unfolded
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It could be part of the corrective structure. D-Wave could be complex correction & possibly may end as Ending diagonal (Rising Wedge) in the last part (strictly valid only below 17950)
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Why 17950- is Critical level???
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Irregular Triangle B-Wave High is 17948 crossing above that level structure invalidates & has to be reviewed again.
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As discussed in the last idea suggested above for reference.
150 + Points in the session so far achieved
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Selling below 17950 - dropped 100 points came to 17840-17850 zone
Suggested Minor Support Zone 17840-17850 - If zone holds then bounce can be expected - got the bounce to 17930+
Keep in mind the critical level - 17950 & E- Wave Pending if 17950 is protected. Thanks
WaveTalks: Nifty-Irregular Triangle: ( Stops Above 17890 )Stops Above 17890 - Target 17750 / 17675 / 17550-17575 - Irregular Triangle could be unfolding next. Thanks
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Snapshot Taken at 09:37 Hrs / 6th Oct2021 - Last Leg Pending downside which might complete the corrections
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Last Idea - Buying Gartley Pattern in 17450-17475 zone - Target 17740
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WaveTalks- Nifty: Piercing Candlestick PatternWhat Is a Piercing Pattern?
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A piercing pattern is a two candlestick price pattern that marks a potential short-term reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. This candlestick pattern is applicable in any time frame but produces better results on a higher timeframe. The pattern includes the first session opening near the high and closing near the low with an average or larger-sized trading range. It also includes a gap down after the first session where the second session begins trading, opening near the low and closing near the high.
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Important Pattern Criteria
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The 2nd session close should cover at least half or 50% of the 1st session candlestick.
Getting 50% & above closing into the 1st session indicates- bulls have taken control of the session.
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Stop Loss
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Stops should be maintained below low of the candlestick in 2nd session. In current situation – 17587
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Critical Zone
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17590-17600 was discussed in last video idea published as running comment. If critical zone holds then Index has fair chances for a new all-time high once again.
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Target
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Target 1- 17700 & Strictly Holding Above 17700- We can expect 17790+ for another new ATH (All-Time High) as Target 2.
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Last Video Idea Published on 16th Sep2021- WaveTalks: Nifty- On Cloud Seven
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WaveTalks - Nifty: Double Top at 17430 (7th Sep2021)Short Video connecting the path which unfolded for Index Nifty after Bullish Gartley at 17055 –last idea & upcoming moves to be expected with key & critical levels.
Thanks for watching the video
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Last Idea- 2nd Sep2021- Bullish Gartley at 17055
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WaveTalks-Nifty-The Evening Star / Wedge CollaborationThis short video explains how the evening star turns into a wedge pattern. If correct, downside 16590 was critical support, holding above Nifty could bounce back again to 16680-16700. On the upside, Holding below 16712 highs, It can attempt to fall back again to 16615-16625 & assuming that if Index falls below 16590-critical support, it can fall to 16500 / 16440 / 16400 levels
When you splash around the water, you get to hear a peculiar sound which you heard over the video at the start.
I have compared that sound of up & down in Nifty Index to water pool splash. This scenario in technical analysis is called a wedge pattern
What Is a Wedge?
A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series throughout chosen periods. The lines show that the highs and the lows are either rising or falling giving the appearance of a wedge as the lines approach a convergence. Wedge-shaped trend lines are considered useful indicators of a potential reversal in price action.
Elliott Wave Analysis
These wedges are further classified as Type 1 / Type 2 diagonal (wedge). Depending on the position of the structure unfolding. They are called
(Type 1)Leading Diagonal – Start the price move
(Type 2)Ending Diagonal - End the price move
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Last Video Idea - Nifty Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern
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WaveTalks-Nifty-Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern at 16665This video discussed a bearish harmonic pattern that might be quietly sitting & hiding in the price structure if unfolds exactly holding below 16701.85 then the downside support could be 16510-16530 / Below 16500 for 16370-16390.
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Last Nifty Video Idea
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Hope you enjoy the video. Good Night!!!
WaveTalks - Nifty - Double Click or Double Divergence at 16590Educational Idea talking about reversal candlestick pattern - Tower Top & Double Divergence at the tops could be halting the bullish moves. Once we get follow up going below 16475 immediately- It could have bearish bias for the days / weeks to come ahead.
Important Support Levels - 16160 / 15800-15900 / 15500
Thanks for watching the video.
WaveTalks - Nifty -The Piercing Pattern at 16180This short video will discuss my reasons for having bullish bias towards stock indices.
False breakdown below 16180
Piercing Candlestick pattern close to 16180's - Two times
Heavy weight -HDFC yet to finish final target @ 2900+
Let me know your comments. Thanks for watching the video.
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Last Idea on HDFC
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Last Video Idea on Nifty
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HDFC: WaveTalks- Pattern / Patience & Penultimate Correction
WaveCount
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• 1-2 -3 -4 (Running Currently) - 5th Wave Expected Upside.
• 4th Wave
o Unfolding as Triangle having last leg - "e" wave close to end.
o 4th Wave Triangles are "penultimate wave" means it is 2nd last wave & one more wave left in the structure which started from the lows of 1473 on 23rd / 25th March2020.
• 5th Wave - Expected Next
o 5th Wave can be explosive upside & can travel upside to 2900+ high in days & weeks ahead
Traditional Chart Patterns
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• Cup & Handle Pattern
o Valid Cup & Handle Pattern always has prior trend as uptrend. In current case it is tilted cup with handle which is valid pattern as prior wave ("b-wave) was uptrend from low@2365 to high@2896
o Bias - Positive
• Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
o This pattern has no such requirement like cup & handle pattern but prior trend if downtrend is always preferred as after consolidation it most likely has to reverse & move upside again once neckline is crossed.
o Bias - Positive
Moving Average
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o 200 DEMA ( Daily Exponential Moving Average) has been taken into consideration which seems to be quiet in sync with the stock move as supported multiple times post completing "wave-1" which got resistance exactly at 1921.90 ( approx.- 1922)
o 1st support after completing Wave-1 was at 1907 which was exactly 200 DEMA support .
o Taking support from 1907- stock travelled explosive upside in "Wave -3" which got completed at high@2777
o Wave- 4 unfolded as Triangle which is almost completed or about to complete with "e-wave" the final leg in the triangle.
o "c-wave" in the triangle took support at 2354 which is again 200 DEMA support
o "e-wave" in the triangle also close to 200 DEMA support.
o Bias - Positive
Stop Loss
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• Stop loss should be below "c-wave" 2354 plus few points lower which can be taken as 2345 (10 points lower) or as per trader's judgement
Target
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• First Target - 2650 which is "d-wave" of the triangle wave
• Second / Final Target - 2900+
Risk to Reward
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• Excellent risk reward of 3-4 times
Conclusion
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• Stock has bullish bias holding above 2345 key & critical level which is close to 200 DEMA support & can be expected to move in the explosive 5th Wave to the targets of 2650 & 2900+ in days & weeks ahead.
• We also conclude that stock market can see fireworks generally if Nifty holds above 15450 –key & critical level. Nifty Expected move can be for 1st Target -15900 / 2nd Target – 16350 / 3rd Target – 16750
Thanks & Have a nice week ahead.
Nifty - Sell Only Below 15800 - Potential Gartley / Bat HarmonicFrom The Last Idea Published..... Closing comment - "Struggling to go below 15800 ---------------Avoid Selling ---------------Do not Sell-------If Index holds above 15800-------Thanks & Best Luck.
Trading Strategy
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Plan 1 - Sell Only Below 15800 - Do not trade if Nifty holds above 15800
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Target - 15675
Target 2 - 15565
Target 3 - 15505
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Plan 2 - Buy Once Bullish Harmonic Pattern Completes
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Gartley Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15565 (Target 2) mentioned in Plan 1.
Bat Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15505 (Target 3) mentioned in Plan 1.
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Thanks for your precious time. Wishing all of you happy weekend.
Nifty -Its a Wedge-Careful at Tops (Target Done 14900 to 15137)Careful at the Tops!!! Target done from last idea 14900 to 15137 - Selling gets confirmed below 14884 - Target 1-14591 / Target 2- 14415 / Target 3-14151- Happy Weekend!!!
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Last idea - Can This Be A Wedge
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Nifty - Bounce & Collapse (Buy & Sell)Buy - Strictly Holding Above 14590 -14600 for 14765 (Target 1) & 14850 (Target 2)
Sell - If Index pushes upside into the zone 14850-14900 zone & halts or stops with strict stops above 15000+ for downside 14590-14600 (Target 1) / 14260 (Target 2) / 14050 (Target 3)
Happy Weekend
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Last Idea
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Nifty - Corrective Wave + Bearish Bat (Selling Below 15045)Reasons for sell
• Falling Trendline can act as resistance connecting 15336 & 15045 Highs
• Corrective wave close to end its structure which started from 14416 lows
• Bearish Bat Harmonic structure PRZ below 15045
More confirmation for selling to be confirmed
• Once Index takes out 14890-14900 zone
• Slips below gap up zone 14828-14892 zone
Target Downside
• 14765 (Target 1)
• 14725 (Target 2)
• 14605 (Target 3)
• 14415 (Target 4)
• 14350 (Final Target)
Stops or Invalidation Level*****************
• Rally upside above 15045
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Last Idea Published
Nifty - Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern 14875-14900(Buy & Sell)Last @ 14800 - 7th May2021
Buy with Stop loss below 14770 for Target 14850 / 14875
Sell Later Once Index Halts in 14875-14900 zone (PRZ-Potential Reversal Zone) for Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern ( Srtictly --------No sell if Index extends above 14900)
Nifty - Can Sell Be Repeated 14635-14650 As updated this morning in last idea - careful in the zone 14635-14650 - can act as supply zone / selling zone
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Comment: 08:54 Hrs / 5th May2021
Update for 5th May2021 -----------------Nifty Index-----------------------------------
SGX Nifty +70 / If Nifty Opens Gap Up & rushes to 14635-14650 - Traders have to be careful as 14635-14650 is the supply zone / selling zone - In case Nifty halts close to 14635-14650 (Strictly not crossing above 14650)
Expect drop to 14580 / 14550 -Intraday
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Last Idea