Wavetalks
WaveTalks - Nifty - Double Click or Double Divergence at 16590Educational Idea talking about reversal candlestick pattern - Tower Top & Double Divergence at the tops could be halting the bullish moves. Once we get follow up going below 16475 immediately- It could have bearish bias for the days / weeks to come ahead.
Important Support Levels - 16160 / 15800-15900 / 15500
Thanks for watching the video.
WaveTalks - Nifty -The Piercing Pattern at 16180This short video will discuss my reasons for having bullish bias towards stock indices.
False breakdown below 16180
Piercing Candlestick pattern close to 16180's - Two times
Heavy weight -HDFC yet to finish final target @ 2900+
Let me know your comments. Thanks for watching the video.
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Last Idea on HDFC
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Last Video Idea on Nifty
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HDFC: WaveTalks- Pattern / Patience & Penultimate Correction
WaveCount
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• 1-2 -3 -4 (Running Currently) - 5th Wave Expected Upside.
• 4th Wave
o Unfolding as Triangle having last leg - "e" wave close to end.
o 4th Wave Triangles are "penultimate wave" means it is 2nd last wave & one more wave left in the structure which started from the lows of 1473 on 23rd / 25th March2020.
• 5th Wave - Expected Next
o 5th Wave can be explosive upside & can travel upside to 2900+ high in days & weeks ahead
Traditional Chart Patterns
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• Cup & Handle Pattern
o Valid Cup & Handle Pattern always has prior trend as uptrend. In current case it is tilted cup with handle which is valid pattern as prior wave ("b-wave) was uptrend from low@2365 to high@2896
o Bias - Positive
• Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
o This pattern has no such requirement like cup & handle pattern but prior trend if downtrend is always preferred as after consolidation it most likely has to reverse & move upside again once neckline is crossed.
o Bias - Positive
Moving Average
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o 200 DEMA ( Daily Exponential Moving Average) has been taken into consideration which seems to be quiet in sync with the stock move as supported multiple times post completing "wave-1" which got resistance exactly at 1921.90 ( approx.- 1922)
o 1st support after completing Wave-1 was at 1907 which was exactly 200 DEMA support .
o Taking support from 1907- stock travelled explosive upside in "Wave -3" which got completed at high@2777
o Wave- 4 unfolded as Triangle which is almost completed or about to complete with "e-wave" the final leg in the triangle.
o "c-wave" in the triangle took support at 2354 which is again 200 DEMA support
o "e-wave" in the triangle also close to 200 DEMA support.
o Bias - Positive
Stop Loss
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• Stop loss should be below "c-wave" 2354 plus few points lower which can be taken as 2345 (10 points lower) or as per trader's judgement
Target
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• First Target - 2650 which is "d-wave" of the triangle wave
• Second / Final Target - 2900+
Risk to Reward
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• Excellent risk reward of 3-4 times
Conclusion
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• Stock has bullish bias holding above 2345 key & critical level which is close to 200 DEMA support & can be expected to move in the explosive 5th Wave to the targets of 2650 & 2900+ in days & weeks ahead.
• We also conclude that stock market can see fireworks generally if Nifty holds above 15450 –key & critical level. Nifty Expected move can be for 1st Target -15900 / 2nd Target – 16350 / 3rd Target – 16750
Thanks & Have a nice week ahead.
Nifty - Sell Only Below 15800 - Potential Gartley / Bat HarmonicFrom The Last Idea Published..... Closing comment - "Struggling to go below 15800 ---------------Avoid Selling ---------------Do not Sell-------If Index holds above 15800-------Thanks & Best Luck.
Trading Strategy
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Plan 1 - Sell Only Below 15800 - Do not trade if Nifty holds above 15800
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Target - 15675
Target 2 - 15565
Target 3 - 15505
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Plan 2 - Buy Once Bullish Harmonic Pattern Completes
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Gartley Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15565 (Target 2) mentioned in Plan 1.
Bat Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15505 (Target 3) mentioned in Plan 1.
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Thanks for your precious time. Wishing all of you happy weekend.
Nifty -Its a Wedge-Careful at Tops (Target Done 14900 to 15137)Careful at the Tops!!! Target done from last idea 14900 to 15137 - Selling gets confirmed below 14884 - Target 1-14591 / Target 2- 14415 / Target 3-14151- Happy Weekend!!!
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Last idea - Can This Be A Wedge
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Nifty - Bounce & Collapse (Buy & Sell)Buy - Strictly Holding Above 14590 -14600 for 14765 (Target 1) & 14850 (Target 2)
Sell - If Index pushes upside into the zone 14850-14900 zone & halts or stops with strict stops above 15000+ for downside 14590-14600 (Target 1) / 14260 (Target 2) / 14050 (Target 3)
Happy Weekend
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Last Idea
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Nifty - Corrective Wave + Bearish Bat (Selling Below 15045)Reasons for sell
• Falling Trendline can act as resistance connecting 15336 & 15045 Highs
• Corrective wave close to end its structure which started from 14416 lows
• Bearish Bat Harmonic structure PRZ below 15045
More confirmation for selling to be confirmed
• Once Index takes out 14890-14900 zone
• Slips below gap up zone 14828-14892 zone
Target Downside
• 14765 (Target 1)
• 14725 (Target 2)
• 14605 (Target 3)
• 14415 (Target 4)
• 14350 (Final Target)
Stops or Invalidation Level*****************
• Rally upside above 15045
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Last Idea Published
Nifty - Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern 14875-14900(Buy & Sell)Last @ 14800 - 7th May2021
Buy with Stop loss below 14770 for Target 14850 / 14875
Sell Later Once Index Halts in 14875-14900 zone (PRZ-Potential Reversal Zone) for Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern ( Srtictly --------No sell if Index extends above 14900)
Nifty - Can Sell Be Repeated 14635-14650 As updated this morning in last idea - careful in the zone 14635-14650 - can act as supply zone / selling zone
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Comment: 08:54 Hrs / 5th May2021
Update for 5th May2021 -----------------Nifty Index-----------------------------------
SGX Nifty +70 / If Nifty Opens Gap Up & rushes to 14635-14650 - Traders have to be careful as 14635-14650 is the supply zone / selling zone - In case Nifty halts close to 14635-14650 (Strictly not crossing above 14650)
Expect drop to 14580 / 14550 -Intraday
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Last Idea
Nifty - Connecting Paths 14500-14525 ( Buy & Sell) Buy Till Nifty Holds above 14400 for 14500-14525 ( Connecting Paths- Last idea Profit Booked 14500-14525)
Sell If Nifty Halts in 14500-14525 for below mentioned downside Targets
Target 1-14350-14360
Target 2 - 14250
Target 3 - 14000-14050
------------------------------------Strictly No Selling if Nifty crosses above 14550 ---------------------------------
Dollar Index -(Rise & Collapse-Part 1) Proposed Ending DiagonalDebut Idea for Dollar Index
Shown in oval shape was 1st leg of the triangle which topped out at 103.82 Published on 24th April 2016.
Proposed triangle for wave-4 ( currently we are in final leg- expect rise holding above 89.20) & later "collapse" in wave-5 ( proposed ending diagonal)
24th April 2016 (Click the Idea)
HDFC- Running Close to the Tops (2775 to 2900 Target Done)Traders have to be careful as stock touched close to 2900 which was suggested on last idea.
Expected Move done
Trading Strategy
Strictly Valid only below 2900-2950 - Once stock starts downside move -
1st Target 2735-2750
Sell below 2735 for 2nd Target - 2620
Later Sell Below 2600 for 2365 & lower targets
Last Idea- HDFC
USDINR- Back to Pavilion - 72.50-73.002nd Target missed by few pips as per last update. High was @ 74.91 & back to 72.50-73.00 zone
USDINR is resting in the most important zone 72.50-73.00 - which is above triangular correction of early 2020 when stocks was about to crack due to fears of covid19.
This zone of 72.50-73.00 is very important- if acts as support & dollar rupee starts moving above 73 mark then it can move to 74.90 / 76.35 +
Note- View not valid below 72.40
Let the markets make first move.
Reliance - Careful At The Tops- The Y-Wave 1980-2000Have suggested already -its all choppy & messy suggesting that fall in Reliance is pending -which can take stock back again to 1830 & once 1830 is taken out - fall can become more serious. Trade carefully. Thanks
The Y- Wave Next for 1980-2000 Levels