Rising Wedge - Bearish setup🔎 Overview
The Rising Wedge is a price structure that develops during an upward phase where price continues to make higher levels, but the rate of advance gradually slows. The narrowing structure reflects weakening participation as price moves higher, often signaling exhaustion rather than strength.
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📘 Concept
A Rising Wedge is formed when price creates Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) inside a tightening upward channel.
Although price is still moving upward, each push higher covers less distance, indicating fading momentum and increasing imbalance between effort and result.
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📊 Chart Explanation
1️⃣ Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Price initially forms HH and HL, confirming an established upward structure and buyer control in the early phase.
2️⃣ Narrowing Upward Channel
The distance between highs and lows contracts as price rises, showing slowing momentum and reduced follow-through at higher levels.
3️⃣ Consolidation Near the Upper Range
Price pauses and compresses near the upper boundary of the wedge, highlighting balance and short-term indecision.
4️⃣ Momentum Weakening
Repeated tests near the upper boundary fail to generate strong expansion, indicating declining buyer participation.
5️⃣ Structural Shift Confirmation
• Weakening buyer strength becomes visible as price struggles to hold higher levels.
• Successive candle closes below the lower wedge trendline confirm a structural shift and validate the bearish reversal.
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📝 Summary
Rising Wedge reflects slowing upside momentum within an upward structure.
Price compression signals exhaustion rather than continuation.
Consolidation near the top highlights market indecision.
A confirmed close below the lower wedge line marks the directional shift.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Wedge
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Dec 17The price faced resistance from the 84900 zone and fall towards the support at the 84500 zone. It broke 84500, and the bulls came to push the price up. This movement has formed a falling wedge pattern. The pattern is bullish, but the opening strength will decide the trend direction.
The daily chart clearly shows how the price is facing resistance from the channel and is still bearish.
If the price opens flat, buy above 84540 with the stop loss of 84400 for the targets 84660, 84780, 84960, 85080 and 85200.
84900, 85000 can act as resistance. If the price opens gap up at resistance levels and shows bearish strength, the falling wedge pattern won't work.
If the price opens below 84500 and shows bearish strength, sell below 84240 with the stop loss of 84400 for the targets 84100, 83960, 83800 and 83660.
Always analyse the market before taking any trade.
Ingersoll Rand: When the Bullish Wedge Fails (Bearish Breakdown)The Setup Traders often look at Falling Wedges and blindly assume a bullish reversal is coming. Ingersoll Rand (NSE: INGERRAND) has just provided a textbook example of why "Assumption" is dangerous in trading.
Instead of breaking out to the upside, the price has sliced through the Lower Support Trendline on the Daily timeframe.
Technical Breakdown (The "Trap"):
Pattern Failure: The stock was forming a Falling Wedge (usually bullish). The market expected a bounce from the lower support.
The Invalidating Move: The recent heavy-volume candle breaking below the wedge support changes the structure entirely.
Psychology of the Short: Bulls who accumulated at the support line are now trapped. As their Stop Losses get hit, it creates a cascade of selling pressure (Long Liquidation).
Trade Management (Bearish):
Signal: The daily close below the wedge support (Current levels: ~3,438).
Conservative Entry: Wait for a "Retest" of the broken trendline from below (proving old support has become new resistance).
Trend Invalidation: A daily close back inside the wedge (above ~3,550). If it re-enters, the breakdown was a "Bear Trap."
Potential Target: Since this is a continuation of the downtrend, we look at the next major structural support zones (Psychological levels like 3,200 or 3,000).
Risological Note: We trade what we see, not what the textbook says should happen. A failed bullish pattern is often a stronger bearish signal than a standard downtrend.
Heranba Industries: Why Falling Wedges Often Mark the BottomThe Setup Heranba Industries (NSE: HERANBA) has been in a corrective phase for months, but the structure has now matured into a classic Falling Wedge Pattern on the Daily timeframe.
For those new to this pattern: A Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern. It is characterized by "Lower Highs" and "Lower Lows" contracting into a narrower range. This contraction signals that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in at higher relative lows.
Technical Breakdown:
Price Action: The price has respected the upper trendline resistance multiple times. The recent breakout candle suggests a shift in momentum.
The Psychology: Notice how the selling waves are getting shorter? This "compression" usually precedes an expansion in volatility (the breakout).
Volume Profile: We are looking for a spike in volume to confirm the breakout validity. A low-volume breakout is often a trap, so watch the close.
Trade Management (Educational View):
Aggressive Entry: On the immediate break of the upper trendline (Current Levels: ~247-248).
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a "Retest" of the trendline around 240-242 to confirm support.
Stop Loss: Strictly below the recent swing low (invalidate the pattern if price falls back into the wedge).
Targets: The theoretical target of a wedge is often the top of the wedge structure (the origin of the pattern).
Risological Note: We track these compression patterns because they offer high Risk-to-Reward ratios. We are not predicting the future; we are reacting to probability.
#SILVER #Silver has given multi week consolidation breakout on MCX, there is high probability of it going toward that much awaited 6 digits mark very soon. The breakout also looks very health as it has consolidated well enough for quite some time near ATH resistance.
RSI has also broken out of a particular triangle pattern and indicating a RSI range shift, which potentially means the momentum can be very high..
Eicher Motors Near the Edge: Wedge TightensEicher Motors has seen a strong advance in recent months, but the current price structure suggests the move may be losing momentum . Price is forming a rising wedge with higher highs and higher lows, where the lower trendline is rising faster than the upper one — a classic sign of compression and weakening upside strength .
Despite price holding near recent highs, the advance has become increasingly overlapping, indicating buyer fatigue rather than fresh accumulation. Such behavior is typical of late-stage trends , where upside progress slows even as prices drift higher.
No reversal has occurred yet. The structure remains intact until price delivers confirmation. A decisive daily close below the rising wedge support would signal a bearish resolution, while sustained acceptance above the wedge resistance would invalidate the setup.
For now, this remains a watch-and-wait structure , with risk skewed toward a downside resolution if support gives way.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Hindalco: Terminal Wedge, Reversal Risk HighStructural Context
Initially, I considered the decline from 864 toward 770 as a standard ABC correction. But the drop from Wave 2 was far too sharp and drove RSI into deep oversold territory — behaviour that aligns better with impulsive price action.
Because of this, the move is treated as a developing 1-2-3 rather than a corrective ABC.
This adjustment also aligns perfectly with the broader structure: a completed Wave 3 at 770.15, followed by a three-wave recovery into Wave 4.
Wave 4 Completion – Ending Diagonal + Fibonacci Symmetry
Wave C of the larger Wave 4(ABC Flat) shows a clean ending-diagonal wedge, and Wave (v) within it reached the 1.618 extension of Wave (i) measured from Wave (iv).
This Fibonacci precision adds strong weight to the interpretation that Wave 4 has completed at 833.50.
With this level established, the minor bounce into Wave (ii) now acts as the corrective pullback before the expected third wave down.
Invalidation remains at the 1.618 level around 833.50 — any move above that would negate the immediate bearish view.
Path Ahead – Toward Wave 5
As long as 833.50 holds, the expectation is for a five-wave decline toward the previous structural support near 770.15, completing Wave 5.
Wave (iii) should ideally accelerate, and momentum confirmation will be key as price moves into the mid-780s.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Triple Base Wedge Setup📌 Overview
This idea highlights a contracting price structure forming inside a Falling Wedge while the support base remains protected three separate times. The repeated defense of the same support zone creates a Triple Base, indicating strong demand. As volatility compresses and candles tighten, price approaches a potential expansion point. A strong successive close above the wedge trendline can signal directional continuation driven by the triple-base foundation.
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📊 Chart Explanation
• Falling Wedge Compression
Price is compressing inside a falling wedge, forming lower highs while key lows remain protected — showing reduced volatility and tightening structure.
• Candle Tightening Phase
Candles begin to cluster more closely, indicating a buildup of pressure before the next expansion move.
• Triple Base Support
Price has tapped the same support level three times, demonstrating steady demand and buyers absorbing sell pressure each time.
• Decreasing Seller Strength
As the wedge narrows, each push downward becomes weaker, showing sellers losing momentum while price continues to hold above the same support region.
• Possible Breakout Trigger
A strong successive close above the upper wedge trendline can act as a confirmation signal for upward continuation supported by triple-base strength.
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🟩 Summary
Price is contracting inside a falling wedge structure.
Support has been tested three times, forming a strong Triple Base.
Candles show compression, indicating market indecision before expansion.
A successive close above the wedge trendline may confirm directional continuation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice
SAIL - Buy - Technical Analysis# Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) - Technical Analysis Report
Current Price: 136.92
Timeframe: Weekly Chart Analysis
Technical Setup Overview
SAIL is presenting a compelling technical picture with multiple bullish indicators aligning for a potential significant upward move. The stock is currently trading within a well-defined rising wedge pattern and has recently formed a **Hidden Divergence** on the weekly chart - a classic trend continuation signal.
Key Technical Observations
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The stock is trading within a rising wedge formation, which typically indicates consolidation before a breakout. The current price action suggests the stock is in the later stages of this pattern.
Hidden Divergence - Bullish Continuation Signal:
A **Hidden Divergence** has formed on the weekly timeframe.
- This pattern typically signals trend continuation and suggests the uptrend is likely to resume with strength
Sorted EMA Structure:
The Exponential Moving Averages are properly aligned, indicating a healthy bullish trend structure with multiple moving averages providing dynamic support.
Cup Formation in Progress:
The stock appears to be carving out a **classic Cup pattern**, which is a well-known bullish continuation formation. This pattern suggests accumulation and potential for a significant breakout move.
Price Targets & Projections
Based on the technical structure, here are the potential price targets:
Target 1: 155.61 (Higher High breakout level)
Target 2: 169.15
Target 3: 195.79
These targets are derived from the pattern structure and represent key resistance zones where profit-taking may occur.
Trading Strategy Considerations
For Swing Traders:
- Current levels offer a potential entry opportunity for medium to long-term positions
- A move above ₹140 could confirm the continuation pattern
- Stop loss can be placed below the recent higher low at 122 for risk management
Risk Factors to Monitor
- Failure to hold above ₹122 would invalidate the bullish hidden divergence
- Breakdown below the rising wedge support would change the outlook
- Sector performance and broader market conditions should be monitored
- Steel industry fundamentals and commodity price trends
🔔 Conclusion
SAIL is exhibiting strong technical characteristics with the Hidden Divergence pattern, sorted EMA structure, and cup formation all pointing toward potential upside. The current price action within the rising wedge presents an interesting risk-reward setup for traders and investors with appropriate risk management.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities. - I am not a SEBI registered analyst or investment advisor - This is purely a technical analysis based on chart patterns and indicators - Past performance and technical patterns do not guarantee future results - Trading and investing in stocks involves substantial risk of loss - Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions - Consult with a qualified financial advisor before taking any investment positions - The author holds no responsibility for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis - Risk management and position sizing are crucial - never invest more than you can afford to lose
**Trade/Invest at your own risk. Do your own analysis.**
#SAIL #SteelAuthorityOfIndia #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NSE #IndianStocks #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #StockTrading #HiddenDivergence #CupPattern #PriceAction #SwingTrading #Investing #MarketAnalysis #SteelSector #Commodities #TradingStrategy #ChartPatterns #TechnicalIndicators
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd – Weekly Chart AnalysisPricePrice has been moving inside a rising wedge structure, forming higher highs & higher lows over the past several months. Recently, the stock attempted a breakout above the wedge resistance but is now trading near the upper trendline, showing signs of pullback or retest behavior.
Volume has remained moderate, suggesting the market is waiting for a clear direction.
Now price action is at a decision zone — either a successful retest could resume bullish momentum, or failure may lead to profit-booking and a slide toward lower support trendlines.
This zone becomes crucial for directional clarity.
GOLD – 4H | Falling Wedge Structure Near BreakoutGold has been compressing inside a converging falling wedge , a pattern that typically signals waning bearish pressure and an upcoming bullish break. The structure has been developing for several weeks, with each swing clearly showing a loss of momentum from sellers and a stronger defense from buyers at progressively higher lows.
The wedge is now approaching its apex, and price is pressing against the upper boundary. While this setup carries a bullish tilt, confirmation is still critical before acting.
Why this structure matters
This is a Converging Falling Wedge (Bullish) pattern, defined by:
Sellers losing momentum on each downswing
Buyers defending higher lows , tightening the structure
Compression building toward the apex , creating stored energy
Breakouts typically hitting the upper rail first
Confirmation occurring only on a close above the last swing high
In this case, the last swing high sits at 125,521 , aligning perfectly with the wedge’s upper rail.
Only a sustained 4H close above 125,521 would confirm that the market has absorbed overhead supply and is ready to transition into a higher timeframe move.
RSI Check
RSI is trending higher but hasn’t yet signaled full breakout momentum. A push above the 60–65 zone would strengthen the bullish case and support continuation after the breakout.
Trade Plan
Trigger :
Entry only on a sustained 4H close above 125,521 .
This keeps you aligned with pattern confirmation and avoids premature entries inside compression.
Upside path:
A breakout could initially retest the wedge boundary before starting the projected upward leg toward higher resistance zones.
Summary
Gold is displaying a well-defined falling wedge with clear signs of seller exhaustion and buyer strength. The structure leans bullish, but the move needs to be validated through a confirmed break above 125,521 . Until then, the wedge remains a compression zone — not a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Trading at Breakout ZoneCMP: $4.400
+54% from suggested levels and +58% from lows. 🚀
Price trading in the key resistance zone $4.339–4.417.
WCB > $4.417 = Symmetrical Triangle breakout → Falling Wedge target: $5.246 🎯
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.803 / $3.625–$3.572
🚧 Major Resistances:
• ST: $5.125–$5.630
• LT: $9.35–$10.00
Tight structure… breakout looks close. 🔥
#NG VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #Commodities #PriceAction #SymmetricalTriangle #FallingWedge #ChartPatterns #Breakout
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
GK EnergyGK Energy have long scale Poll and Flag Pattern.
As per Fibo, it has 61.80% correction from the previous wale low and high made in that wave, which is All Time High.
So, as per technical analysis, If this stock sustain above 210,
Targets would be 219-239.
So, now here 239.60 is ATH, so what it can do? So, if sustain above 240, we will see 288 which is almost 60% upside from this wave.
Accumulate on every small dip and wait for the target.
Nestle India – Retest Before the Final Push HigherNestle India appears to be unfolding a clean five-wave impulsive structure. After a powerful Wave 3 rally backed by strong volume expansion, the stock has entered a typical mid-trend pause — a falling wedge consolidation representing Wave 4.
The correction has so far retraced near the 0.382 Fibonacci level around ₹1,247, perfectly aligning with the prior breakout zone from Wave 1 highs. This overlap suggests that the current dip is more of a healthy retest than a trend reversal.
As long as the price action holds above ₹1,238.20, the bullish structure remains valid. A breakout above ₹1,311 — the Wave 3 high — would likely trigger Wave 5, opening room for upside continuation toward the ₹1,340–₹1,360 zone.
Both the 100-day and 200-day SMAs are sloping upward, reinforcing the medium-term bullish bias. Meanwhile, RSI remains steady in the 60 range, showing no signs of exhaustion — exactly what you want to see before a possible Wave 5 extension.
In short: the setup is healthy, confluence is strong, and risk is clearly defined. A decisive move above ₹1,311 could mark the start of Nestle’s next leg higher.
Invalidation: Below ₹1,238.20
Bias: Bullish continuation (Wave 5)
Timeframe: Daily
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Jio Financial Breakout Watch –Wedge Setup Points to ₹356+ TargetJio Financial Services is currently presenting an exciting opportunity on the charts, with a wedge breakout setup forming after months of consolidation. A wedge is a bullish pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend, especially when supported by rising volumes and strong market sentiment.
The price has been compressed within a narrowing wedge since August, bouncing between a down-sloping resistance zone and a strong ascending support zone. Each dip has been met with higher lows, indicating strong accumulation near the base of the wedge. The recent price action around ₹300 shows a strong bullish candle attempting to break out of the wedge resistance — a sign of growing buyer interest.
What strengthens this setup is the support confluence with 200 EMA and the lower wedge support. The 200 EMA near ₹299 has particularly held firm, and the breakout is emerging just above it — a healthy technical signal.
If the breakout sustains, we can expect a multi-leg bullish move with:
Target 1: ₹315+
Target 2: ₹340+
Final Target Projection: ₹356+
These targets are calculated based on the height of the wedge, which is then projected upwards from the breakout point. The price structure suggests a potential for an impulsive rally once the wedge breakout is fully confirmed on daily closing.
On the downside, a strict stop loss below ₹292 has been defined — any close below this zone would invalidate the bullish pattern and suggest a deeper retracement. This stop aligns just beneath the key support zone, keeping the risk-reward ratio favorable for positional traders.
In conclusion, Jio Financial is at a critical technical juncture. A confirmed breakout above the wedge could unlock substantial upside toward ₹356+, while maintaining disciplined risk management below ₹292 remains essential. Watch the breakout candle and follow-up volume closely — it could be the start of a new trend leg.
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Testing Critical Resistance!CMP: $4.092
💥 Up +38% from mentioned support ( $3.013–$2.956 ) and +46% from lows in a month . 🚀
The falling wedge breakout played out strongly, and price is now testing the critical resistance of the falling yellow trendline near the previous swing high $4.067 .
A weekly close above this trendline will confirm a major breakout , potentially triggering the next leg higher.
📊 Key Levels:
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.013–$2.956 / $2.692–$2.643
🚧 Resistances / Targets: $5.125–$5.630 / $9.35–$10.00
Structure now forming a larger Symmetrical Triangle between rising and falling yellow trendlines — watch for breakout confirmation .
⚠️ Possible short-term pause/retest before continuation.
#NaturalGas #NG #Commodities #FallingWedge #RisingChannel #SymmetricalTriangle #ChartPattern #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
CDSL Breakout from Falling Wedge – Can It Rally to 1830+?CDSL has recently broken out from a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a trend reversal or continuation of the broader uptrend. After months of being compressed between a descending resistance and a well-established support line, the stock has now pierced through the upper resistance zone with notable bullish momentum.
The wedge had formed over several months, creating lower highs and relatively equal or slightly rising lows. The pattern was further supported by a confluence with the 200 EMA, which acted as a critical dynamic support near the breakout zone. This alignment of technical indicators added strength to the breakout confirmation seen recently.
With this breakout, CDSL has now opened doors for higher targets. The immediate Target 1 is set at ₹1650, which also aligns with a recent horizontal resistance zone. Once this is breached, the next move could extend toward Target 2 at ₹1750, a level where previous price action has shown hesitation. If momentum continues to build and the broader market supports the move, the final projected target of ₹1830+ becomes achievable in the short to medium term.
However, it’s crucial to note that the support zone below ₹1480 is acting as a critical invalidation point for this bullish setup. Any strong breakdown below this zone, especially with volume, would fail the bullish structure and may push the stock back into consolidation or a deeper correction. Traders must also watch the red dotted trendline, which represents a former resistance turned possible retest zone.
Overall, the technical landscape is now favoring the bulls, especially after the breakout confirmation and support from the 200 EMA. Traders and investors should monitor price action near the projected levels and manage risk accordingly, while riding the momentum above the wedge resistance.
SPX500 – 2H: A Leading Diagonal from the Top?The S&P 500’s 2-hour chart may have just carved a leading diagonal right off the all-time high — a structure often seen at the start of a major new trend.
Each leg fits the contracting wedge geometry:
Wave (1) and (4) overlap, Wave (5) throws slightly under the boundary, and momentum stays fierce through the end — almost too fierce for comfort.
What makes this one interesting is the absence of RSI divergence at the final leg.
That raises the question — is Wave (1) really done, or does it have one last flush before a sharp Wave (2) retracement begins?
For now, watch how price reacts around the 6,760–6,800 zone.
A strong recovery through 0.618–0.786 of the drop would confirm the diagonal and set up a critical test of the broader bearish sequence.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Chart Analysis: XRP / USDT (Daily Timeframe)Pattern: Demand Zone Rebound (Bullish Recovery Setup)
The chart shows XRP bouncing from a strong demand zone, signaling a potential short-term reversal after recent selling pressure. The price action suggests that buyers are gradually regaining control, with momentum shifting upward toward key resistance levels.
Key Observations
🔹 Demand Zone: Around $2.10 – $2.20, acting as strong accumulation support where buyers previously stepped in.
🔹 Immediate Resistance: Supply zone near $2.90 – $3.00, expected to be the next major barrier.
🔹 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $2.52 — first resistance test after bounce.
🎯 Target 2: $2.72 — extension move toward supply zone.
🔹 Bull Bear Power (BBP): Currently improving from the negative region (-0.11), suggesting weakening bearish strength and a potential bullish transition.
🔹 Structure: Price forming higher lows after a deep retracement, indicating renewed accumulation and possible trend reversal setup.
Potential Move
If XRP sustains above $2.20, bullish momentum could drive a move toward the $2.50 – $2.70 range.
Failure to hold this demand zone, however, may trigger a retest toward $2.00 support.
Summary:
XRP is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from a major demand zone. Momentum indicators hint at a possible shift toward the upside, with targets near $2.52 and $2.72 if buyers maintain control.
#coinpediamarkets #XRP #Ripple #XRPUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTraders #CryptoMarket






















