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Wyckoff

UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
2
LODHA Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have Stoping action and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH. Down wave Analysis We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase D, confirming the accumulation Bias. Volume Analysis We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed. Sign of Strength we have Major sign of strength in phase D with good demand volume indicating institutions are present in buying. The Backing Up Action (BAU) has less supply indicating sellers are absent. Final View Bullish on stock
NSE:LODHALong
by ksujit08
BPCL Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff method.Wyckoff Story Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have Stoping action and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH. Down wave Analysis We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase D, confirming the accumulation Bias. Volume Analysis In Phase B we see increase in supply but the price is not able to go below the trading range, lot of effort to push the price down but fails, indicating effort vs result is not synced. Confirming the accumulation bias. We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed. Sign of Strength we have Major sign of strength in phase D with good demand volume indicating institutions are present in buying. Final View Bullish on stock with entry marked on the chart
NSE:BPCLLong
by ksujit08
IEX is ready for a Bull ride.NSE:IEX About Company :- Indian Energy Exchange Ltd provides an automated platform and infrastructure for carrying out trading in electricity units for physical delivery of electricity. It's broker Just like Zerodha or Angel One but for electricity trading. with market share at present, IEX enjoys a dominant 90% market share in the total volume traded across all segments. However, recent regulations like "Market Coupling" could potentially impact IEX's prominence in this segment means market share will reduced if market coupling implemented by govt. in future. Entry :- 160/- or Current Price. Target :- At Supply Zone.
NSE:IEXLong
by swaaapnil
ELECTCAST LONGLets analyse a stock with wyckoffian 3rd law ..... ..........Volume is the EFFORT and Spread (Price) is the RESULT ............. someone just looking at only price and ignoring ........VOLUME ............ HALF the data thats available for analysis Wyckoffian 3rd Law also gives importance to HARMONY ( small spread and small volume) .................. ANAMOLY ( small spread with large volume or large spread with small volume ) ...... both are important when we analyse the chart and activity of the COMPOSITE MAN candle 1 and 5 is harmony and candle 2,3 ,4 are ANAMOLY candle 1 ... large volume high range candle with breakout , candle 2 was low range but high volume ....... price had a pause for few days ... , candle 3 high range and low volume candle ... manipulation by composite man to shake out weak hands candle 4 ..... high range candle with low volume ....candle 5 ..... again the smart money checking the easy of movement and could get a high range candle with less volume(Less EFFORT ) compared to the breakout volume ....... stock is ready to be marked up once we understand this Target 1 reached .. calculated by fibonacci extension tool target 2 can also be calculated
NSE:ELECTCAST
by NareshBiyani99
Decoding Westlife: Market Rally and Anticipating the Next MoveHello Traders! Today we're revisiting our analysis of Westlife from June 6, where we discussed the breakout of a Head & Shoulder pattern. Let's dive in! On June 9, our suggested entry triggered at a retest of the H&S breakout at 825 . From that entry point, the stock rose to a level of 1024 by September 8 — a gain of nearly 27% . This movement aligns perfectly with the Head & Shoulder target method. This method measures the vertical distance from the head to the neckline of the pattern. The same distance becomes our target from where the breakout happened. Now, let's understand Shortening of Thrust (SOT): What is SOT? SOT stands for Shortening of Thrust, which is a trading term that indicates potential trend weakness. It’s used to identify the end of moves. SOT is part of Wyckoff trading theory. Thrust refers to the distance between the current swing high to a previous swing high (in an uptrend) or swings low (in a downtrend). Increased thrust is a sign of potential trend strength. Shortening of Thrust is a sign of potential trend weakness. to learn more check below post: On the monthly timeframe, we can observe a Shortening of Thrust (SOT) , a sign that the current uptrend may be losing thrust. The price is currently stopping at its daily EMA50 and the uptrend line. There's a chance for a pullback from these levels, but the odds are low due to the SOT observed on the monthly candle. To summarize, if the price does not break above 1020 after a potential pullback, we may expect further weakening of the trend. If the price doesn't take a pullback from the current level, it could fall further as the monthly timeframe is showing weakness. 🔮 Possible Scenarios Ahead for Westlife 🎯 If the price pulls back from the current level and breaks above 1020, we may see further upside. If the price doesn't pull back from the current level, we could experience a downward move due to the weakness shown in the monthly timeframe. Please note that this article is purely educational and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. 🤝 Thank you for your continuous support, likes 🚀 follows, and comments. Your engagement keeps me motivated to consistently provide valuable content.
NSE:WESTLIFE
by AfnanTAjuddin
VARROC ENGINEERING WYCKOFF ACCUMULATIONVarroc Engineering is focused on designing, manufacturing and supplying exterior lighting systems, plastic and polymer components, and electrical and electronics components Market Cap : 5000cr Market Cap set your positions accordingly Sector : Auto Ancillary VARROC ENGINEERING is in a 4 month trading range, the analysis done above is through Wyckoff method and we get what looks like a accumulation TR (trading range). PHASE A : The TR got established from 15th September where it did the highest volume since it's IPO in 2018. Labelled the PSY , SC , AR as Upthrust Action followed by a low spread Secondary Test on good volume leaving a wick and closing in green shows hints at some absorption happening that marks the PHASE A and CHoCH ( Change of Character ) the bias for the TR at this point is bullish. PHASE B : Secondary Test on 21st October with huge volume but closed below the AR 319.80 level which shows rejection, at this point we can conclude the price is not ready for the markup phase and still needs to spend some time in TR followed by the price falling off with low volumes and low spread indicating no further new selling but also fall in demand till 16th Nov where the price went below the ST in PHASE A but on low volumes then buying demand came and closed above previous 4 Days close with fair volume and good spread. PHASE C : The hardest part is identifying PHASE C but it is the only thing matters followed by PHASE D in Wyckoff Method. 16th - 17th Nov the stock had good volumes and good spread indicating SOS rally but failed to closed above AR levels , also the following week/month Nifty ( Comparative Index/ Market Proxy ) had faced Volatility on the down side and 29th Nov being the biggest fall in Nifty since 2 quarters but the underlying stock didn't broke the ST(PHASE B) levels. This shows positive jump in Relative Strength and the start of it. On 7th Dec the candle showed some demand and followed buying crossing above the AR, ST(PHASE B) levels giving couple of closes above the TR so we mark the low on 6th Dec as LPS (Last point of Support) and Conclude Phase C. Though we missed our First of Four entry points but given the Volatile Market conditions it was hard to Initiate. PHASE D : PHASE D in the Wyckoff Method indicates a SOS ( Sign of Strength) TR above the previous TR , BU ( Backing Up Action) and LPS/ Multiple LPS. In this stock's case after the SOS rally the volumes cooled off with slide in price we mark the last swing ended as ST=UT because it wasn't a SOS because the price failed to sustain above the TR and came back in the TR , the market proxy faced huge volatility and made a new low from it's previous levels with big spreads but the underlying stock didn't made a new low thus forming a Higher High - Higher low formation showing relative strength even though it closed -9% and the price is now rising with lower spread and volumes, thus we mark the low as LPS. We make a uptrend channel by connecting two lows and the high. Conclusion : Scenario # 1 : The stock still seems to be in PHASE D also trying to cross above 200 Dema and 100 Dema if it shows SOS above 336 we can expect PHASE E (Markup PHASE), CHoCH and we can start a bull campaign and further add positions with trailing stoploss on LPS/Channel/DEMA. Scenario # 2 : If the price breaks Channel we can expect that the stock needs to spend more time in TR. Scenario # 3 : If the price also breaks LPS then the TR can be extended way further or can be concluded as a Distribution PHASE .
NSE:VARROCLong
by nukacola933