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Jio Financial Services: The Art of Trading Inside a ChannelA down-channel isn’t chaos — it’s structure. It exposes who understands rhythm… and who trades out of impulse. Jio Financial has been moving inside a clear descending channel for months. Nothing random about it — price is respecting every touch. 🔎 Technical Context Price continues to oscillate between the upper and lower channel boundaries. The latest bounce pushed it near ₹307–309, close to mid-channel resistance. 200 EMA is flat → long-term trend still neutral. Short-term MAs (20/50) are crossing upward → momentum is improving, but not confirmed. Volume steady → no aggressive buyers yet, no panic either. This is classic controlled movement — a market moving with intention, not noise. 🧠 Mindset Lesson Traders lose money in channels because they want certainty in a structure designed to punish it. They do three things wrong: Chase breakouts inside the channel. Fight the trend expecting “reversal soon.” Lose patience during sideways stretches. Professionals play it differently: They trade edges, not expectations. They wait for clean confirmation outside the channel. They don’t confuse movement with opportunity. A channel teaches the hardest market truth: You don’t need to act on every candle. You need to understand the structure. 👉 Patience inside a channel is not passive — it’s positioning. 💡 Save this. Follow for daily trader mindset + price-action education that sharpens discipline and execution.
NSE:JIOFINLong
by iampatilkishor
Bitcoin Most Critical 40 Days of the Entire Cycle🚨 Bitcoin Most Critical 40 Days of the Entire Cycle 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Yearly Fractal is clear: RED → 3 GREEN → BIG RED. 2025 = Candle 3, historically the strongest and always breaks ATH. Bitcoin can hit a new ATH ONLY this year. If BTC does not break ATH in the next 40 days, history shows it never breaks the 3rd candle high the following year: Meaning 2025 becomes the cycle top, and 2026 turns into a 50–70% retracement year ($30k–$40k). ✔ Break ATH → $150k–$180k ❌ No ATH → Biggest Correction of the Cycle in 2026 NFA & DYOR
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoPatel
Market Pulse — Nifty: structurally strong, tactically cautiousOn 20 November 2025, Indian markets once again displayed resilience despite mixed global cues. The intraday structure across the 5-minute and 1-hour charts remained decisively bullish. The market respected the short-term trade line that began on 19 November, repeatedly defended the 25,850–25,913 support band on lower timeframes, and closed near recent highs. Nvidia’s quarterly beat provided relief to global risk sentiment and temporarily eased concerns surrounding the AI sector. However, the larger structural risk remains the wave of unprofitable AI startups that depend on continuous funding. Domestically the market tone remains constructive; globally the environment remains fragile and highly sensitive to events. Market Context — What Moved Price Today • Global markets reacted positively to stronger-than-expected results from a major AI-chip manufacturer, easing fears of a broader technology-led shock. • Indian markets absorbed early weakness and showed buying at previously tested short-term supports around 25,850–25,913. Multiple sessions without a clean breakdown below this area have turned it into a reliable demand zone. • Volatility remained driven by events. Options positioning and volume spikes revealed aggressive institutional adjustments around major index levels, especially between 26,100–26,300 on the call side and 25,800–26,000 on the put side. Technical Read — Structure, Levels and What to Watch High-Level Bias: Daily and Weekly • The trend remains bullish. Daily and weekly charts show higher highs and higher lows, with the index trading above important moving averages after recently breaking out of a multi-month consolidation. • Weekly support sits around 25,400–25,600. A break below this region would indicate participation from broader sellers. Intraday Structure: 1-Hour and 15-Minute • The upward-sloping trade line from the 19 November low continues to guide short-term momentum. Sustaining above 26,100–26,120 keeps the bias positive. • Immediate resistance lies at 26,200–26,300. A strong hourly close above 26,300 increases the likelihood of a move to record highs. • Immediate support rests at 26,050–26,100, followed by 25,850–25,913, a zone that has been protected for several sessions. • A daily close below 25,700–25,650 would weaken the overall structure and open the possibility of a deeper retracement towards 25,350–25,400. 5-Minute Micro Structure • The market has been building a sequence of higher lows since 19 November. A clear 5-minute breakdown below the trade line or below 25,913 may trigger a quick intraday fade. • Upward impulses have been supported by strong volume. Watch for volume divergence near resistance, which would suggest waning momentum. Options and Positioning • Options interest remains concentrated between 26,200–26,300 on calls and 25,900–26,000 on puts. This creates a zone where market-makers hedge aggressively, increasing intraday volatility. • With expiry approaching, option decay accelerates. Significant moves can cause rapid repricing of options. • Conservative strategies or defined-risk spreads are preferable to naked options during such conditions. Macro and Fundamental Overlay • Domestic fundamentals remain supportive. Recent data shows easing inflation, firm consumption trends, and steady policy direction. This backdrop has encouraged domestic investors to buy dips even when global markets show weakness. • Foreign investor flows have been inconsistent, but domestic institutions and mutual funds have consistently provided depth and absorbed selling pressure. This dynamic keeps India relatively stable, though not immune to global risk-off phases. • A major sector rotation risk remains in global technology. The rapid flow of capital into AI-linked assets has left valuations stretched. As large global companies report results, any slowdown in momentum can trigger broader de-risking. Risk Map — What Could Destabilize the Rally 1. A slowdown in funding for unprofitable AI startups, leading to leveraged unwinding and reduced demand for hardware. 2. Weak US data or unexpected central bank shifts that affect global risk appetite. 3. Negative developments in India-US trade discussions or unfavourable geopolitical moves. 4. Domestic macro surprises or policy issues that disrupt the current liquidity environment. Practical Trading Framework Short-Term Intraday (5-Minute / 15-Minute) • Long trades are favourable if price sustains above 26,100 with stops below 26,050. Upside targets lie around 26,300 and 26,400. • Short trades become valid if price breaks below 25,913 on a 5-minute close, with targets near 25,850 and 25,700. Position sizing should remain controlled. Swing Outlook (1 Day to 2 Weeks) • Dips into 25,850–25,700 remain opportunities for staggered long entries, with stops below 25,600. • Exposure to highly valued AI and tech names should be moderated. Prefer sectors reinforced by domestic fundamentals such as financials, cyclicals and consumption-linked names. Options and Hedging • Portfolio hedges using put options near major supports can help if volatility suddenly rises. • Defined-risk bullish call spreads offer upside exposure without excessive premium outlay. Psychology and Positioning • The extended AI rally created concentration risks in global portfolios. When sentiment shifts, exits tend to be correlated across the same sector. • Diversification and disciplined sector exposure limit this risk. • Indian investors have taken a measured approach, using volatility as opportunity rather than reacting with fear. Levels and News to Monitor • Daily close above 26,300 indicates bullish continuation. • Daily close below 25,650 signals broad structural weakness. • Intraday: 26,100–26,150 as support; 26,200–26,300 as resistance. • Flows: monitor daily FII/DII activity and mutual fund allocations. • Domestic macro releases: inflation, consumption indicators, policy commentary. • Global cues: US technology earnings, commentary from major AI-related firms, US bond yields, and developments in India-US trade discussions. Conclusion Indian markets remain structurally strong. Buyers continue to defend support zones, short-term trade lines remain intact, and price action reflects confidence rather than complacency. The global landscape, however, remains sensitive due to stretched AI valuations and key technology earnings. The prudent stance is to maintain a positive bias while managing risk carefully. Buying into well-defined support zones, trimming exposure to overheated segments, and hedging when necessary remain sensible strategies. Any deep correction driven by global factors would likely offer strong long-term opportunities in fundamentally sound, domestically aligned sectors.
NSE:NIFTY
by DrAayushGoyal
SBIN looking bullish on the weekly charts. (18/08/2025)State Bank of India is trading around the resistance zone after convincingly breaking the trendline and taking support from the weekly moving averages. The stock has closed at 826.55 this week gaining 2.77% week on week. If the stock starts trading above 833, there are chance of it travelling till 860 levels in the coming month. SBIN has posted good result as well. Major resistance :- 833, 865 Entry :- Above 833 SL :- Below 818 The stock looks bullish on the daily and the weekly charts. Wait for the stock to close above the resistance levels on the daily chart frame.
NSE:SBIN
by TheMamboMomentum
OLA ELEC – Weekly Analysis | Possible Double Bottom + Fibonacci Price Zone of Interest: ₹39–₹41 Stop-Loss (Weekly Close Basis): ₹34 Timeframe: Weekly Bias: Potential Long Setup (High Risk, Technically Driven) Entry / SL / Targets 🟢 Entry Zone (Accumulation Zone): ✔ ₹39–₹41 🔴 Stop-Loss (Strict Weekly Close): ✔ ₹34 Below this, the double-bottom pattern fails. 🎯 Potential Upside Targets: T1: ₹54 T2: ₹63–64 T3: ₹70 T4: ₹78 Upside targets depend on weekly momentum and volume confirmation. ------------------------------ Key Technical Observations 1. Double Bottom Structure Forming Price has returned to the strong demand zone around ₹39–₹41, which previously acted as a key swing low. A double bottom is possible if the stock holds this level on a weekly closing basis. A confirmed weekly reversal candle here increases the probability of a bounce. ------------------------------ Fibonacci Behavior (Weekly) – Pattern Repeating When applying Fibonacci retracements on the previous weekly downswings: 1st Downtrend Retracement: Price reversed at the 0.382 level 2nd Downtrend Retracement: Price reversed at the 0.50 level This shows that the stock has been respecting mid-Fibonacci retracements during corrective moves. If a bounce starts from the same zone again, the next fib levels act as natural upside targets.
NSE:OLAELECLong
by InvestLikeInvestors
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in ASHAPURMIN BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:ASHAPURMIN
by Kapil-Mittal
2
$TVSMOTOR: Long on 50EMA Support & Consolidation BreakoutThis is a live swing trade I am taking in $TVSMOTOR. The stock has been in a steady uptrend and has recently pulled back to find support at the 50-day EMA. It formed a tight consolidation "box" and is now breaking out. This post details the full mechanical framework I am using to manage this trade. 1. Indicators Used on This Chart 9 EMA (thin black line): Short-term momentum. 21 EMA (orange line): Medium-term trend. 50 EMA (green line): The Key Support level for this specific setup. 200 EMA (red line): Long-term uptrend confirmation. 2. Decoding the Setup The Trend: The stock is in a clear long-term uptrend, trading well above the 200 EMA. The Pullback: After hitting highs near ~3720, the stock pulled back in an orderly fashion. The Support: The pullback halted exactly at the 50 EMA (green line), where buyers stepped in. The Base: Instead of V-shaping back up, it formed a healthy, tight consolidation box (my drawn rectangle) between ~3342 and ~3488. This "time correction" allowed the moving averages to catch up. The Breakout: Today (Nov 20), the price is breaking above the box resistance at ₹3,488, triggering the entry. 3. The Mechanical Trade Plan (The "Swing" Playbook) This is a cash "Swing" trade. Bias: Long Entry (Purple Line): ₹3,488.00 Stop-Loss (1R): ₹3,342.35 (Placed at the low of the consolidation box and below the 50 EMA) Risk: My risk is fixed at ₹145.65 per share (4.18%). My position is sized to my standard 1R risk. 4. Our Exit Strategy Target 1 (Base Hit): Sell 50% of the position at +2R. 2R Target = ~₹3,779.30 (This targets a new All-Time High). The "Free Trade" Maneuver: Once Target 1 is hit, the stop-loss on the remaining 50% moves to Breakeven (₹3,488.00). Target 2 (The Runner): I will trail the remaining "free" position using the 21 EMA (orange line) to catch the extended trend. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal trade journal and framework, shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Always do your own research.
NSE:TVSMOTORLong
by TJTradesIN
IDEA: Long on Catalyst-Driven Breakout (A "Pop & Go" Framework)Here is a live swing trade I am taking in NSE:IDEA , which is triggering a classic "Pop & Go" setup. This post is for educational purposes to detail the complete mechanical framework I am using to manage this trade, from entry to exit. 1. The Setup: A+ "Pop & Go" This is not a random technical breakout. It is driven by two powerful, fundamental catalysts, which gives me higher conviction: Catalyst 1 (Earnings): Strong Q2 results, with a significantly narrowed loss and an 8.7% YoY growth in ARPU (a critical metric). Catalyst 2 (News): Positive news flow that the government is officially working on a "relief package" for the company. The chart shows the stock "popped" on this news and is now "going" by breaking out of a 3-day consolidation, confirming the new demand. 2. The Mechanical Trade Plan This is a Cash Swing Trade, not a short-term gamble. The rules are defined in advance to remove emotion. Bias: Long Entry: ~₹10.20 Stop-Loss (1R): ~₹9.62 (Set just below the consolidation low) My position is sized so that a drop from my entry to my stop is exactly my predefined 1R (e.g., ₹10,000) risk. 3. The Exit Strategy This is the most important part. The plan is designed to pay for the trade first, then hunt for a "monster" win. Target 1 (Base Hit): I have a GTT (profit-take) order to sell 50% of my position at +2R. (1R = ₹0.58 risk) 2R Target = ~₹11.36 The "Free Trade" Maneuver: As soon as Target 1 is hit, my stop-loss on the remaining 50% is moved up to my entry price (~₹10.20). This makes the rest of the trade 100% risk-free. Target 2 (The Runner): This "free" 50% position will now be trailed using the 10-day moving average (10EMA) to capture a potential large-scale, multi-week trend. This is my complete framework for this trade. I will follow the plan. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal trade journal and framework, shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Always do your own research.
NSE:IDEALong
by TJTradesIN
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in KIRLOSENG BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:KIRLOSENG
by Kapil-Mittal
2
XAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply Zones With Potential Sh1. Overall Context The market recently had a strong bearish leg after rejecting the upper resistance zone (labelled HIGH PROB POI). Price is currently retracing upward into a series of supply zones, indicating a potential area for continuation shorts. 2. Key Zones High Probability POI (Supply) This is the upper beige zone. Previously caused a strong sell-off → confirms strong institutional presence. If price pushes this high again, it may offer the most reliable reversal area. Extreme POI The central horizontal zone marked “EXTREME POI”. Current price is tapping into it. Market may react here if sellers decide to re-enter early. 3. Internal Structure A series of labeled SSS (Sell-Side Sweeps) indicate liquidity grabs beneath short-term lows. After sweeping these lows, price retraced upwards, likely moving toward premium territory to fill sell orders. The 80% level marked on the chart seems to be your optimal entry zone within the inefficiency/imbalance. 4. Entry Idea Your marked entry level 4080 sits inside the grey supply block. This aligns with: Prior breakdown zones Fresh supply Retracement to premium pricing Liquidity sweep structure This creates a high-probability short setup, assuming the trend continues downward. 5. Expectation If price respects the first supply zone (grey box), downside continuation should follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
KPIL 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price Last traded around ₹1,226.90 (as of about 11:58 AM IST on 20 Nov 2025) on NSE. Day’s low ≈ ₹1,213.10, day’s high ≈ ₹1,239.30. 52-week range: Low ~ ₹786.30, High ~ ₹1,352.85. ✅ Interpretation & Notes The stock is hovering near the ~₹1,225 level — which is near the 100-day MA, so it’s at a kind of technical crossroads. With the price range for the day being relatively narrow (~₹1,213 to ~₹1,239), it suggests limited intraday volatility so far. The gap between recent price and 52-week high (~₹1,352) indicates potential upside but that will depend on catalyst and momentum. However, if the stock fails to hold above the ~₹1,200 support zone, it could drift toward weaker levels.
NSE:KPILLong
by Knowledgehub
OVERVIEW MARKET CHART M30 11/201. Current Context Gold is trading around 4,071, sitting right above the 4,068–4,071 intraday support zone. Price recently tapped the descending trendline and got rejected, showing short-term selling pressure. However, the broader structure still remains in a wide sideways range, not a strong downtrend yet. Stronger demand zones sit lower at 4,041 and 4,009. ⸻ 2. Price Action at 4,071 Currently gold is: • Retesting 4,068–4,071 support • Showing lower wicks → light buying pressure • Still trading below M30/H1 downtrend line This suggests the probability of sideways movement – accumulation – or a small bullish retest is high. 📌 If 4,068 breaks → price may head to 4,056 and then 4,041 📌 If 4,071 holds → price may bounce toward 4,077–4,080, possibly 4,085 ⸻ 3. Conclusion (Real-Time) 👉 No BUY yet – wait for confirmation at 4,071 👉 No SELL yet – only sell if price closes below 4,068 👉 Low volatility – prioritize safety
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
Candle Patterns Explained Candlestick patterns are one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis. They help traders understand price movements, market psychology, and potential trend reversals. Each candlestick represents four key data points for a specific time frame: Open, High, Low, and Close (OHLC). The body shows the open and close, while the wicks (shadows) show the high and low. By studying these candles in combinations, traders can forecast upcoming market moves. 1. Bullish Candlestick Patterns 2. Bearish Candlestick Patterns 3. Continuation Candlestick Patterns Why Candlestick Patterns Matter Candlestick patterns work because they capture market psychology — fear, greed, indecision, and momentum. When combined with volume, support-resistance, and trend analysis, they become a highly effective decision-making tool for traders.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
How do retail traders fail to decode the market movement?Consider the case of a trader who enters BSE around 2200 levels in the third week of October 2025. The signals that aided his decision included the 9 EMA (Orange Line) crossing the 20 EMA (Black Line) along with a good volume spurt. The trader decided to exit around 2500 levels with 15% profit. However, the real breakout often happens when the 9 EMA (Orange Line) and 20 EMA (Black Line) are above the 50 EMA (Blue Line). The trader failed to understand that after a decent move, the stock undergoes a temporary accumulation phase, and upon volume confirmation, it makes another big movement. The idea is once you exit the trade, keep watching the price movements along with volume buildup. There is always a good scope of big momentum as long as the 9 EMA is above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. If the trader had persisted in the trade, he could have easily captured a 35% movement. Or he could have re-entered around 2400 levels to reap the benefit of the entire bull run. Monitoring these indicators closely can provide valuable insights into future price action and help traders make more informed decisions. Staying disciplined and patient during such trends is crucial for maximising potential gains.
NSE:BSEEducation
by shanmurali
$PEPE BREAKDOWN: 70% Dump? SMC Says YESCRYPTOCAP:PEPE BREAKDOWN (READ THIS BEFORE YOU SCROLL): 70% Dump? SMC Says YES Price has broken the long-term support at $0.0000059 and that level is now strong resistance. Until PEPE reclaims this zone, trend stays bearish. SMC Structure HTF Demand swept + Weekly FVG filled Liquidity taken below multi-month lows Support → Resistance flip at $0.0000059 Below this = continuation sell-side liquidity hunt Downside Expectation If price rejects from the new resistance, PEPE still has room for 60–70% downside. That drop would hit the HTF Accumulation Zone → $0.00000178 (High-value area where Smart Money positions.) Fractal Outlook Last time PEPE entered this structure → 4650% bull run. Same HTF pattern forming again. If PEPE drops 40%–70%, that’s where long-term money accumulates for the next big move. Reclaim $0.0000059 = bullish reversal Stay below = deeper accumulation incoming HTF structure is not bearish forever, It’s preparing the next expansion. Watch the reclaim. NFA & DYOR
Short
by CryptoPatel