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XAG USD (Silver / US Dollar)
XAG/USD Rejection Looming at Key Resistance – Bearish Reversal A🔍 Chart Analysis – XAG/USD
1. Trend & EMAs:
The chart shows two key exponential moving averages:
📈 EMA 50 (Red): 33.1940
📉 EMA 200 (Blue): 32.8684
Price is currently above both EMAs, indicating a short-term bullish trend, but a possible bearish rejection is forming near resistance.
2. Key Zones:
🟥 Resistance Zone: 33.45 – 33.60
Price has repeatedly tested this zone and reversed, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Multiple wicks into this zone show buyer exhaustion.
🟩 Support Zone: 32.60 – 32.85
Strong demand observed here with consistent bounces.
The EMA 200 also aligns with this support, reinforcing its strength.
3. Price Behavior & Pattern:
🧱 Repetitive Bearish Drops: Marked by blue rectangles, suggesting a pattern of sharp sell-offs after touching resistance.
🔁 Potential Double Top Pattern forming near the resistance zone, a classic bearish reversal signal.
🧭 The projected path suggests:
A short-term retest of the resistance.
Followed by a pullback toward the support zone around 32.60.
Breakdown below support could open further downside potential.
📌 Summary:
⚠️ Short-Term Outlook: Bearish bias if resistance holds.
📍 Key Level to Watch: 33.60 (breakout) and 32.60 (breakdown).
🔄 Trade Plan:
Consider short entries near 33.45–33.60 resistance zone with stops above 33.65.
Target around 32.65–32.60 support zone.
📊 Indicators in Play:
EMA confluence supports trend analysis.
Price structure and rejection patterns suggest likely mean reversion to support.
Silver MCX - Elliot Wave Counts - Long TradeSilver lagged Gold in the entire run up through the year
However, in last week Silver held quite well, while Gold has been correcting.
It seems like weekly Wave 4 is done and 1,2 of Wave 5 are done.
Wave 3 - targets 1.1L, 1.15L. Wave 5 targets + 1.2L
All the best!
"Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support"🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).
Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.
📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.
This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.
🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.
The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.
Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.
🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.
Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.
📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.
The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).
The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.
✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.
🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).
Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
Silver (XAG/USD) Falling Wedge Breakout –Bullish Setup Targeting📉 Pattern: Falling Wedge
🔵 Price was consolidating inside a falling wedge (🔽), which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
🟡 Multiple touchpoints along the trendline confirm the structure.
Support Zone: 🔵
Area: 31.95 – 32.10
✅ Price tapped into this strong demand zone
🔥 Big bullish wick shows rejection – buyers stepping in!
EMA 70: 🔴
🧭 Acting as a potential dynamic resistance at 33.04
Watch for a clean breakout above it to confirm momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry: ✅ Current area (~32.44) looks like a good long entry after bounce.
Stop Loss: ❌ Below 31.95 (under the blue zone)
Target: 🎯 33.68510 (Previous high)
📈 Huge upside potential if wedge breakout confirms!
Summary:
📉 Pattern: Falling Wedge
🔵 Strong Support Zone
✅ Bullish Rejection
🎯 Target: 33.68
❌ Stop Loss: Below 31.95
⚠️ Watch EMA 70 for resistance
🟢 Bias: Bullish – looking for breakout!
"Silver Short Setup: Supply Zone Rejection &Targeting Major SptChart Analysis for Silver/USD (XAG/USD) 🪙
🔵 Entry Point: 32.64870
📍This is where the trade is planned to start (short/sell).
🧲 Price is approaching this level again — watch for rejection.
🟥 Supply Zone: 32.65 - 33.16
⚠️ “SuPly Zone!” — Area of potential selling pressure.
🧱 Price previously reversed here, so it's a key resistance.
👀 Wait for bearish confirmation before entering.
❌ Stop Loss: 33.16322
🚨 Risk control: If price hits this level, the setup is invalid.
📈 If price breaks above, it could go higher — time to exit.
🎯 Target Point: 30.58219
🪂 The take profit zone — aim here!
🧊 It’s a previous support level where price might bounce.
📉 Trade Direction: SHORT (SELL)
🧾 Entry: 32.64870
🛑 Stop Loss: 33.16322
✅ Target: 30.58219
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ~1:4
🔻 Potential Move: -6.16%
📊 Trend & Indicators
🟠 Price recently moved up, now facing resistance.
🟢 EMA (7) is being tested — may act as dynamic resistance.
🔄 Several swing highs/lows marked with yellow dots — helps visualize market structure.
What to Watch For:
🔎 Bearish candlestick patterns inside the supply zone.
🧨 Sharp rejection or wick candles = good entry signal.
⏱️ Patience is key — let the setup come to you.
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182 to 30.57528.
"Silver on the Rise: RBR Zone Holds the Key to $33.49!"Key Zones:
🔵 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally):
🔹 Acts as support
🔹 Price consolidating above it
🔹 If held, it could trigger a move up
📍 Support:
RBR Zone: ~$31.80–$32.10
Deeper support at $30.45 🛡️
🎯 Target Point: $33.49
Strong resistance zone
Previous high zone = profit-taking spot
📉 Downside Risk:
If price breaks below RBR zone and trendline
Could fall to $30.45 support zone
Trend Structure:
📈 Uptrend (Higher Highs + Higher Lows)
🧵 Trendline acting as dynamic support
🟡 Price bouncing from marked pivot zones
Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Case:
✅ Hold RBR zone
✅ Bounce from trendline
🚀 Target = $33.49
🔴 Bearish Case:
❌ Break below RBR zone
⚠️ Risk drop to $30.45
Summary:
📊 Bias: Bullish above $32.00
📥 Entry Idea: Buy from RBR zone on confirmation
🎯 Target: $33.49
❌ Stop Loss: Below $31.50
XAG: Silver projected for a fall till 24.50
Bearish invalidation if the price doesn't close, confirms the close below $28.75, and breaks the resistance level of 31.8875.
Right now it's a wait-and-watch scenario. Trade for sell will be active either on rejection of resistance or break-down of support
Silver (XAG/USD) Price Analysis – Key Levels & Market Outlook🔍 Key Observations:
📊 Current Price: 34.19250 USD
📈 DEMA (9, close): 34.25605 USD
🎯 Target Price: 35.38940 - 35.5000 USD
🔵 Zones Identified:
🟦 Supply Zone: 34.50 - 34.80 USD (🔼 Selling pressure area)
🟦 RBS Zone: 34.00 - 34.20 USD (🔽 Potential bounce zone)
🟦 Lower RBS Zone: 32.80 - 33.20 USD (⬇️ Strong support)
📉 Market Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case:
Price bounces off the RBS zone at 34.00 USD ➡️ Uptrend resumes 🚀
Target: 35.50 USD 🎯
❌ Bearish Case:
Breaks below 34.00 USD ❗
Next stop: 33.00 USD ⚠️
📢 Final Thoughts:
🟢 Buyers: Wait for a bounce at 34.00 USD before entering 📈
🔴 Sellers: Look for rejection at 34.50 - 34.80 USD or breakdown below 34.00 USD 📉
⚡ Key Level to Watch: 34.00 USD 👀 A hold = bullish 📊, a break = bearish ⚠️
Silver Price Alert: Is XAG/USD Headed for $34.108? Learn Why!"Join us for an educational session on XAG/USD as we analyze key market trends and technical signals pointing to a potential drop toward $34.108. Understand the factors driving gold prices and gain insights to improve your trading strategy!
#chartanalysis
#xagusd
#trendanalysis
XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Trading Analysis📍 Current Price: 33.0990 (Near Entry Zone)
🔹 Trading Setup:
🟢 Entry Zone: 32.97654
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 32.48368 ❌
🔵 Take-Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 33.30512 🎯
TP2: 33.62431 🎯🎯
Final Target: 34.19599 🚀
📊 Price Action Insights:
✅ Bounce from Demand Zone (Gray Box) 📈
✅ Potential Bullish Move if price holds above entry 🚀
⚠️ Risk if SL is hit (Red Box) ❌
XAG/USD 4H Weekly Analysis: Silver Aiming for $35.59?Key Observations:
📍 Current Price: $33.724 📉 (-0.07%)
🟢 Support Zones:
H4 Support: 📌 $33.000 🔵
Major Support: 📌 $31.000 🔵 (Highlighted with 🔥⚡ and news icons 📊📅)
🔴 Resistance Levels:
$34.000 Resistance 🛑
Target: 🎯 $35.591 📈
📈 Expected Price Movement:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
The price bounces off the support and pushes past $34.000 🚀
A move towards $35.59 target 📊💰
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break $34.000, it may drop back to $33.000 or even $31.000 ⬇️🛑
Economic events (📅📉) may cause high volatility
🎯 Final Thought:
Likely bullish movement toward $35.59 if support holds 💹📈
Watch for price action at $34.000 – key level for breakout 🔍⚡
XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup📉 XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup 🚨
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (POI - Point of Interest) 🟪: The price is approaching a strong resistance area around $33.23 - $33.50.
Liquidity Grab (LQ) & Rejection Expected ❌: The previous major liquidity zone (LQ) suggests a possible fake breakout or rejection.
Bearish Projection ⬇️: The chart outlines a potential reversal after reaching resistance, leading to a drop towards $31.00 - $30.50.
📌 Trading Plan:
Short Entry 🎯: Around $33.20 - $33.50 (if price rejects this area).
Target 🎯: Major demand zone at $31.00.
Stop Loss 🚨: Above $33.60 (to avoid fakeouts).
Confirmation Needed 📊: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, wicks, or double top formations).
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
Bearish Bias ⚠️ unless price breaks and holds above $33.50.
Monitor market conditions 🧐—news and fundamentals could shift momentum.
🔥 Trade smart! What do you think?
Silver Following Our Blueprint Perfectly - Latest PA Update Looks like my previous analysis on silver played out exactly as expected! That black arrow path we discussed when silver was trading in the 29-30 zone has materialized beautifully, bringing us to our current price of 32.74.
Current Technical Picture
Silver is giving us some strong bullish signals right now. After testing the immediate support zone at 31.80-32.20 (marked as "Immediate support" on the chart), price has bounced nicely. This area has proven to be reliable support during this recent leg up.
The red horizontal resistance zone around 34.80 is the next major hurdle to overcome. This level caused rejection back in October 2024, so we can expect some selling pressure there initially.
The key correlation right now is with gold. Silver tends to follow gold lead but with amplified moves. If gold manages to break out of its range (as we discussed in the gold analysis today), silver could really take off with an explosive move higher.
The current setup remains bullish as long as price stays above the immediate support zone (31.80-32.20). The risk/reward for longs is quite favorable here, with multiple support levels underneath current price.
The major support at 30 (green horizontal line) looks solid, providing a clear level to manage risk against for longer-term positions.
I'm watching for gold to provide the trigger for silver's next big move. Once gold confirms its direction, silver is likely to follow with even greater percentage moves.
This setup continues to develop exactly as predicted in our previous analysis .
Silver (XAG/USD) Gaining Momentum – Next Target $32-$33?Silver is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around $31.53, with a +1.25% gain. The price has broken above key resistance levels and is now trading above the 200 EMA (currently at $30.48), which signals a potential continuation of the uptrend.
There's a fair volume range above, along with an internal liquidity level (Int. LQ), which could act as the next target. The market has already filled a previous market block (MB), suggesting that the structure is clean for further upside.
If this bullish momentum holds, the price could push toward $32 - $33 in the short term. A retest of support near $30.50 (200 EMA) would still keep the uptrend intact.
Silver's Ready to Shine? The Silver showing good bullish sentiment as the price has shown resilience by bouncing off significant support and breaking through resistance levels.
Expecting a move towards 34.0000 is is possible if buyers defend 29-30 level on daily TF, especially if the price can maintain above the recent highs and continue to show higher volume on upward movements.
The price has recently moved through a liquidity zone around 30.51025, suggesting that smart money might have taken advantage of this area to initiate trades, pushing the price higher.
The volume at the recent low was significantly higher , indicating strong buying pressure at this level, which is positive for a bullish outlook.
So i think it is good idea to consider a swing buy at current price level i.e., around 30-30.35 area for the target of 34,40 and 50.
XAGUSD_15M XAGUSD_15M BULLISH
Everything is mentioned on Charts.
Please always look for double confirmation before entry.
Wish you Happy & safe Trading.
Trade as per your own RISK
Please Note:
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please consult your financial advisor before Trading or Investing.
I'm not responsible for any kinds of your Profits & Losses.
XAGUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARDXAGUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAGUSD_15MXAGUSD_15M BEARISH
Everything is mentioned on Charts.
Please always look for double confirmation before entry
Wish you Happy & safe Trading.
Trade as per your own RISK
Please Note:
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please consult your financial advisor before Trading or Investing.
I'm not responsible for any kinds of your Profits & Losses.
XAGUSD_15MXAGUSD_15M BEARISH
Everything is mentioned on Charts.
Wish you Happy & safe Trading.
Trade as per your own RISK
Please Note:
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please consult your financial advisor before Trading or Investing.
I'm not responsible for any kinds of your Profits & Losses.
XAGUSD - Accumulation , manipulation and Distribution Power of 3: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution (PO3) :
1. Accumulation:
Definition: Accumulation is the phase where institutional traders (also called "smart money") build up their positions (either buying or selling) without causing significant price movement. They do this quietly to avoid attracting attention from retail traders.
Purpose: During accumulation, price often consolidates, moving sideways within a range, creating a liquidity pool as both buyers and sellers participate. The purpose is to gather enough orders (buy/sell) before the next big move.
Example: In forex, accumulation can be seen when a currency pair’s price remains in a narrow range, forming a consolidation pattern such as a rectangle or triangle. Traders often wait for a breakout from this range as a signal of the next move.
2. Manipulation:
Definition: Manipulation is the phase where smart money manipulates the market to trigger retail traders' stop-losses and induce them into the wrong positions. This is often done through a false breakout or a sudden spike in price.
Purpose: The goal is to grab liquidity by triggering stop-losses placed by retail traders near obvious levels of support or resistance. This creates an opportunity for smart money to take the opposite position with minimal slippage.
Example: In forex, a manipulation phase might occur when price breaks out of a consolidation range, tricking retail traders into taking a position. After this false breakout, the price reverses, catching retail traders on the wrong side of the trade.
3. Distribution:
Definition: Distribution is the phase where smart money begins to exit their positions after successfully manipulating the market. This leads to a strong directional move as their large orders push the price significantly.
Purpose: The purpose of distribution is to unload the accumulated positions at a profit. As the market moves in the intended direction, retail traders who were manipulated into taking the wrong positions are forced to exit, adding momentum to the move.
Example: In forex, distribution is visible as a sharp, sustained price movement in one direction (either bullish or bearish). This often follows the manipulation phase and can result in significant price swings.
Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose.






















