Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia.
However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!
Xauusd(w)
Gold Faces Steady Decline Amid USD Strength and Fed ExpectationsGold closed the week with relatively stable movements, trading around $2,563 with a slight recovery, though the overall trend remains bearish. Despite minimal changes in price, gold stayed near its two-month low as the U.S. dollar continued its strong rally.
The robust performance of the dollar and reduced expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have pressured gold, leading to its worst weekly performance in over three years. The precious metal struggled to gain traction amidst these headwinds.
Looking ahead, the gold market could face further challenges. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs may drive inflation higher, potentially slowing down the Fed's rate-cutting cycle. Rising interest rates make gold less attractive as investors turn to higher-yielding assets, leaving the metal at a disadvantage.
Gold : due for a pullback : Unconfirmed Gold price seems to be bouncing on Bullish Imbalance on daily TF (Seems like a hammer on daily) but we need a green follow up day to confirm this as possible pullback (The length of pullback is not clear right now but we can expect it approx. 70-80$ from the recent low).
In higher side we have to watch 2595 (First Fib retracement level on daily) and then 2600-20 area for re sell opportunities on confirmation.
BTC | GOLD | MAJOR PAIRS | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 16 NOV |HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Update latest gold price today !Hello everyone!
Gold has been in a steady decline since the start of the week, currently sitting at 2561, with strong indications that this downtrend may persist. The key 2550 level is still fiercely contested, keeping traders on edge.
The market remains clouded with apprehension, especially with recent developments in the U.S. following Donald Trump's election as president. This lingering uncertainty may continue to weigh heavily on gold.
At the moment, all attention is focused on the upcoming October Producer Price Index (PPI) report in the U.S. Analysts are forecasting a year-over-year increase of 2.3% for October, a notable jump from September's 1.8%. If both the CPI and PPI show further inflationary pressure, the Federal Reserve could be pushed to raise interest rates, which could apply even more pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar would make gold trading and holding costs more expensive, potentially intensifying the sell-off.
Technically speaking, the battle at 2550 is far from over, and there’s a strong likelihood of a brief pullback before continuing the downward trend. This could mean a possible retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its decline. Chart patterns suggest that if the correction unfolds as anticipated—possibly in line with an Elliott wave impulse—the target could be around 2485, a drop of over 1000 pips from the resistance level.
Stay tuned for more developments as this situation unfolds!
XAUUSD Recovery: Testing Resistance at 2,620Currently, XAUUSD is attempting a recovery after hitting the key support level at 2,530 USD. This support zone has shown significant buying interest, pushing prices up from the recent low. However, the overall trend remains bearish, influenced by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines above, acting as dynamic resistance.
The price is now trading around 2,583 USD and is likely to test the nearest resistance zone at 2,620 USD. If this resistance is breached, the recovery trend could extend further, aiming for higher levels.
Gold remains under pressure from a strong USD, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates. However, investors should pay close attention to this week’s U.S. economic data releases, including employment and inflation figures, as they could significantly impact USD strength and gold’s next direction.
Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA.
In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status.
Personal view
Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum.
Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test.
If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.
Gold is under pullback : Read my last postAs expected gold is finally under a pullback wave and price opened with a gap , this gap is now going to act as good high volume support area(2560-70).
At the time of writing this post price is facing resistance on weekly pivot(2595) and bulls need to re-claim this level on H4 to see higher levels , First resistance (Target in case of buy) that we have to watch is area at 2630-40(bearish Imbalance) and the final resistance zone as per fib is 2663-93 from where we can re load the sell for target 2530 area again.
As of now I am expecting continuation in pullback (Bullish) and my first target will be 2630 and for sell I will wait confirmation on H4 or daily Time frame.
BTC | XAUUSD | ANALYSIS | FOREX | CRYPTO | 14 NOV | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
XAUUSD Declines Sharply: Support at 2,488 Under USD PressureCurrently, XAUUSD is in a strong downtrend, trading around 2,551 USD/ounce after failing to hold above the previous support level at 2,605 USD. This move has pushed the price closer to the next support level at 2,488 USD, with a high probability of further decline unless strong buying signals emerge.
The 34 and 89 EMA lines are positioned above the current price, acting as dynamic resistance, sustaining selling pressure and reinforcing the downtrend. The primary trend remains bearish, and if XAUUSD cannot reclaim the resistance zone at 2,605 USD, prices may correct further toward 2,488 USD or lower.
With a strong USD supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, gold continues to face pressure from financial markets. However, investors should closely watch U.S. economic data and any announcements from the Fed, as these are key factors that could impact the future direction of gold prices.
Gold Price Tests Key Support Amid Downward MomentumThe current gold price is testing support around $2,560, reflecting a downward trend that began after reaching recent highs. The resistance at $2,607 has proven resilient, contributing to the bearish sentiment as prices struggle to regain momentum.
If gold fails to establish a reversal pattern above this support level, we could see further declines toward the next key support zone around $2,480. This area is highlighted as a potential bounce-back region, where buyers might re-enter the market. However, any recovery will need to break above the previous resistance to shift the trend back to a bullish stance.
Gold under Non stop selling pressure Gold is under Non stop selling pressure and now reaching the support area as per daily TF , on H1 gold is forming a falling wedge pattern , and for any pullback price need to breakout the trendline from higher side , On Higher TF there is no good indication of any pullback as of now but I think every DIP is a buying opportunities as at present I am not expecting a bearish reversal for a longer period.
First support area is at 2530-55 area.
Second Support area is at 2500-25 area.
Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions.
On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce.
On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital.
In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term.
In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.
Gold : Still week but looking for a pullbackGold price tested 2600 in yesterday trading session and still looking weak. For Intra day price is forming tringle formation on H1 and breakout from this formation in either side can give us good move on that side , personally I think a pullback is due at this point and we can expect a test around 2635-40 area for Intra day.
If gold going to follow this view then at 35-40 we will wait for confirmation of sell or higher levels .
Gold trading and investment strategy XAUUSDGold Trading Strategy: Accumulate Buying Above 2,638 with Stop at 2,602
Current Price: 2,622.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,638 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider accumulating buying.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 2,602 to manage risk.
Long-Term View Negation: The long-term bullish view will be negated if the price closes below 2,600.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 2,622.00 USD, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 2,600 to 2,650 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Accumulate Buying: If the price sustains above 2,638 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 2,950 and 3,000 USD per ounce by February.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 2,602 to manage risk.
Long-Term View: Be aware that the long-term bullish view will be negated if the price closes below 2,600.
Intraday Trading:
Buy: For intraday trading, consider buying above 2,625.
Sell: For intraday trading, consider selling below 2,616.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Gold Faces Sharp Downward Pressure as USD, Stocks Sink CapitalLooking at the recent gold price chart, I noticed that the downward trend of gold is becoming clearer. Currently, gold is trading around 2,622 USD/ounce, marking a significant decline, especially when the USD Index rose to 105.5 points. With the strength of the USD reaching its highest level in more than 4 months, gold prices have been under great pressure from the greenback.
Another important factor is the impact from the energy and stock markets. Crude oil prices fell to 68 USD/barrel, combined with the recovery of US stocks, creating momentum for capital flows into assets with more attractive returns, reducing the attractiveness of gold.
In addition, demand from China also contributed to increasing pressure on gold prices. The Chinese central bank has suspended gold purchases for six consecutive months, reducing demand. As a result, investors quickly took profits and sold gold, contributing to this sharp decline.
In the short term, I believe the next support level for gold could be around $2,600/ounce. However, given current macroeconomic factors and pressure from other markets, gold is likely to continue to struggle to maintain its growth momentum.
GBPUSD: Continue to prioritize selling
The GBP/USD pair extended its decline, dropping below 1.2810 in Tuesday's trading session at the time of writing. The U.S. dollar remains robust as Trump-related trades continue to gain momentum, keeping the downward trend in the major currency pair intact after breaking through chart-marked support levels.
On the USD side, the potential for the Trump administration to propose policies like high tariffs, tax cuts, and interference with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy could strengthen the dollar and bond yields, creating additional resistance for GBP/USD.
Gold Faces Strong Selling Pressure, Heading Towards Key SupportGold is facing strong selling pressure below a descending trendline defined by lower highs. All three approaches to this trendline were rejected, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
With the current selling pressure, I think there is a high possibility that the price will continue its downtrend and head towards a strong support zone around $2,650/ounce. If this support zone is broken, the downtrend could push the price further down, towards $2,620 or even lower.
Gold :Due for a pullback: Wait and watch zoneGold sold of hard in yesterday trading session as expected and explained in previous post and now trading below weekly S1 (2635) and currently trading at support area (2605-20) , as we have seen a good decline already so at this support area we can expect a pullback (but still there is no major confirmation of buy on any TF yet) , so idea is to wait for pullback near to major resistance area( 2645-55 : On volume profile ) and confirmed rejection we can look for sell opportunities .
Those who want to take risk on buy they either have wait for day candle confirmation or can look for buy your stop will be H4 closing below 2600.
𝑺𝒖𝒎𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒚 : Expecting a pullback and then we have to wait for confirmation for a re sell. Current price is not favourable for holding or initiating new sell orders, and for buy we have to wait for confirmation on day close.