GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Analysis – Correction or Breakout Ahead?Last week, gold (XAU/USD) hit a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, but a sharp correction followed, bringing prices down to the 2980 - 2985 zone. This volatility suggests that the market is seeking equilibrium before determining the next move.
For the upcoming week, all eyes are on key economic data from the U.S., particularly the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation indicators. These factors will directly impact the USD and gold’s direction.
📉 Gold Market Outlook
After a strong rally, gold is now in a corrective phase, absorbing liquidity before a potential continuation. Based on the technical chart:
The FVG (Fair Value Gap) formation suggests that gold might revisit lower levels to fill liquidity before resuming its trend.
The overall trend remains bullish, but key support levels need to hold for continued upside movement.
The market awaits signals from the Fed and U.S. economic data to determine the next major move.
🔥 Key Factors to Watch This Week
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy – Will Rates Remain High?
The Fed has maintained a hawkish stance, but if upcoming economic data show signs of weakness, expectations of rate cuts or easing policies could support gold.
👉 Scenario 1: If the Fed remains committed to tight monetary policy, gold could face more selling pressure and test deeper support levels.
👉 Scenario 2: If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, the USD could weaken, boosting gold prices.
2️⃣ U.S. Inflation & Economic Data – The Game Changer
Key reports like CPI and PPI will be the driving force behind market movements. If inflation slows down, expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, pushing gold higher.
👉 Higher-than-expected CPI: The Fed may keep rates high → Stronger USD → Gold under pressure.
👉 Lower-than-expected CPI: Expectations for easing policies increase → Weaker USD → Gold rebounds.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
3014 - 3034: A crucial zone where previous selling pressure emerged.
3050: A breakout above this level could open the door for further upside movement.
🔹 Major Support Levels:
2942 - 2915: The FVG zone, where liquidity might be filled before a potential rebound.
2885: A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
🎯 Conclusion
Primary Trend: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but a short-term correction is possible before resuming the bullish move.
Market Catalyst: The direction of gold this week will be dictated by the Fed’s stance and U.S. inflation data.
Key Levels to Watch: 2915 - 2942 as critical support zones, while 3014 - 3050 will act as major resistance.
🔥 This week, closely watch gold’s reaction at key support and resistance levels to assess its next move! 🚀
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD HITS NEW ATH – IS $3,000 JUST THE BEGINNING?📌 Market Overview
Gold has soared to a new all-time high (ATH) following the latest inflation reports (CPI & PPI), confirming the market’s strong bullish sentiment. As expected, weak US economic data caused DXY to plunge to its lowest levels, further fueling gold’s upward momentum. Everything is aligning in favor of gold’s rally – up, up, up! 🚀
👉 Why is gold skyrocketing?
Investors are rushing to buy gold at record-high prices due to economic and political instability.
Former President Donald Trump’s policies are shaking market confidence, making gold the go-to safe-haven asset.
Until USD shows signs of a strong recovery, gold will remain the priority investment.
📊 Will Gold Break Beyond $3,000?
🔹 Short-term bullish outlook:
Asian & European sessions are expected to favor buying, as investors continue to pile into gold.
In the US session, profit-taking may trigger sharp pullbacks, especially as early buyers cash out at higher levels.
Being a Friday, the market could see large liquidations and volatility spikes.
📉 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Major Resistance: $3,000 - $3,019 - $3,039 - $3,052
🔻 Major Support: $2,978 - $2,967 - $2,942 - $2,918
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3,039 - $3,041
📍 SL: $3,045
🎯 TP: $3,035 - $3,030 - $3,025 - $3,020 - $3,015 - $3,010 - ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: $2,968 - $2,966
📍 SL: $2,962
🎯 TP: $2,972 - $2,976 - $2,980 - $2,985 - $2,990 - $3,000
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2,948 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,942
🎯 TP: $2,952 - $2,956 - $2,960 - $2,965 - $2,970 - $2,980 - $3,000 - ???
⚡️ Final Thoughts – Caution Ahead!
📌 Despite the strong uptrend, today is Friday, and profit-taking could trigger sudden drops.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to protect capital and avoid getting caught in sharp pullbacks.
📌 Watch for potential liquidations in the US session – big moves are possible!
💬 Do you think gold will push beyond $3,000, or are we in for a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Gold waiting to be bought or stopped tradingOn Thursday, gold in the US market rushed upward. The price broke through the high point of 2956 and accelerated to rise. The current highest point is 2990. This position is 100% of the previous round of rise and expansion. It belongs to the resistance area. Pay attention to whether it can suppress the bulls. The amplitude after breaking the high is larger than expected!
After gold broke through the previous high of 2956 yesterday, the gold bulls were strong, and it was no longer the same volatile market as before. The gold bulls began to exert their strength!
In the short term, the current increase has been more than 50 US dollars. It is obviously very risky to chase more. Shorting is also against the trend. The trend belongs to the bulls. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The gold bulls are in high spirits. Gold is likely to set a new record high again and go to the 3000 line. Then there is an obvious trend change. The only way is to follow the trend and go long. Going with the trend is light and fluttering, and going against the trend is messy.
Key points:
First support: 2972, second support: 2963, third support: 2956
First resistance: 2998, second resistance: 3008, third resistance: 3018
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2970-2973, SL: 2962, TP: 2990-3000;
IS GOLD HEADING FOR A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH? USD LOSING GROUND!📌 Market Overview
For the past three months, the US Dollar (USD) has been consistently weakening, signaling a significant shift in the financial markets. With the latest CPI report showing weaker-than-expected figures, USD remains under pressure in the short term. However, long-term indicators suggest a potential recovery, implying short-term weakness but long-term strength for the dollar.
Meanwhile, GOLD continues to benefit from this USD downturn, both fundamentally and technically. As previously highlighted, our bullish bias remains intact, and we will continue to look for early buy opportunities at key support zones while monitoring the next resistance levels at all-time highs (ATH).
📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next?
🔹 USD’s Short-Term Weakness vs. Long-Term Resilience
The weaker-than-expected CPI figures have put immediate downside pressure on the USD.
However, in the long run, this could signal a bottoming phase for the dollar, setting the stage for future strength.
For now, USD weakness supports GOLD's bullish momentum, allowing for further upside potential.
🔸 GOLD’s Continued Strength – Aiming for New Highs?
With weaker USD and a risk-off sentiment, GOLD remains a preferred asset for investors.
Our strategy stays focused on buying dips, particularly around key support zones.
The upcoming PPI report (Producer Price Index) will be another crucial factor influencing inflation expectations and USD movement.
📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920
📍 SL: 2,916
🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957
📍 SL: 2,961
🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930
⚡ PPI Data Tonight – Another Market Mover!
📌 Tonight, the PPI (Producer Price Index) report will be released, measuring inflation at the production level.
📌 A weak PPI print could add short-term bearish pressure on USD, further supporting GOLD’s bullish bias.
📌 However, in the long run, stable inflation could provide support for USD, reinforcing its recovery trend.
📢 Traders, be prepared for increased volatility! Stick to TP/SL levels to protect your capital. 🚀🔥
💬 What’s your view? Do you think GOLD will hit new ATH levels, or will USD start its recovery soon? Let’s discuss in the comments!
XAU#23: Gold Continues SW – Waiting for a Boost from CPI News?🔥 Immediately after the decline FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , there was a recovery with a large amplitude. Looking at the price reaction, we will plan the next step OANDA:XAUUSD : 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Gold rises on tariff concerns, but is under pressure from the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire agreement
🔹Gold prices rise on a weaker USD and increased demand for safe-haven, as concerns about a US economic recession become more evident.
🚀The US market faces risks from Trump's tax policy, Fed interest rates and slowing growth of large technology companies. Weak CPI & PPI data could prompt the Fed to ease policy, creating conditions for gold prices to continue to be supported.
📌 In recent days, trade wars and geopolitics have continuously coordinated the price of gold. Continuous declarations of tax imposition, response and withdrawal have caused the price to fluctuate strongly.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: The bullish price structure has not changed. Yesterday's price increase brought momentum to the prospect of gold's increase. However, to break out of the SW zone, we will need strong enough momentum from both news and price structure.
🔹 **Frame H4**: The downtrend has been confirmed when the price reacted strongly in the resistance zone. The price continues to be in the old SW zone. We will have to wait for confirmation from the price structure in this area to predict the trend and wait for the opportunity to establish a position.
🔹 **Frame H1**: The bearish price structure has been established and yesterday was a recovery to the resistance zone. It is too early to say that the price will break through the SW area.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ At the current price range, the price line is likely to SW waiting for today's CPI news. If we have not established a position, we should not FOMO at this time. Because the information given at this time can change at any time and the price line has not been clearly confirmed.
✅ An ideal scenario when the price has a correction to retest the H4 trendline. The upward momentum will be clearer when the price bounces from support. However, yesterday's price increase has not ended yet, so we should wait for the price structure to appear more clearly to place an order.
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**
GOLD - CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHER LEVELS - MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2913
Gold continues to strengthen amidst escalating economic uncertainties and the aggressive sell-off in the US dollar. The metal is currently encountering resistance at the 2921 level and appears poised for further upward movement.
The US dollar has broken its bullish structure following comments from the US Department of the Treasury regarding potential interest rate reductions. This verbal intervention, perceived by some as market manipulation, has had a pronounced impact on the markets. Given the risks associated with trade tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy, further declines in gold appear unlikely. Additionally, weaker-than-expected ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further upward momentum for gold.
Gold is currently testing two critical liquidity zones: 2913 and 2903. The nearest of these zones has already been tested, and attention is now on the 2921 level. If this level holds, gold may retrace back to the 2913-2903 support range. However, if this resistance is breached, it could set the stage for a stronger upward momentum.
Resistance levels: 2921, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903
Currently, gold is testing 2913, with a rebound forming as liquidity is absorbed. In the short term, the focus is on the 2921 level. A break above this level and a sustained price above it would likely trigger a continuation of the upward movement toward the 2942-2954 range.
Gold Breaks Out! Is This the Start of a Massive Rally?🚀 Gold Breaks Out! Is This the Start of a Massive Rally? 🔥
🌟 Gold Rises 1% as USD Weakens Amid Recession Fears
💰 Market Overview
Gold remains well-supported as market uncertainties continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. However, any positive developments in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine could reduce risk premiums.
🌍 Trade policies imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump on key trading partners had previously caused significant volatility in global markets, raising concerns about economic growth.
📊 Key Economic Events
All eyes are now on the upcoming U.S. inflation reports, with the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) scheduled for release on March 12 and 13, respectively. According to a Reuters poll, the U.S. CPI for February is expected to increase by 0.3%.
⚠️ With these economic data releases ahead, investors need to stay alert, as this week’s fundamental news could significantly impact gold’s movement. From a technical perspective, gold seems well-supported at key levels, indicating potential strength in the market.
📈 Technical Outlook & Trade Setup
✅ Gold has broken out of a parallel downward channel with a strong breakout around $2898 - $2900, forming a continuation pattern (CP) and surging 15 - 20 prices afterward.
📌 Yesterday’s break of the bearish structure and the subsequent rally suggest that gold still has strong buying momentum, backed by fundamentals favoring USD and gold.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Major Resistance Levels: $2927 - $2944 - $2954
📍 Major Support Levels: $2899 - $2884 - $2873
📌 Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2884 - $2882
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2878
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2888 - $2892 - $2896 - $2900 - $2906 - $2910
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2943 - $2945
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2949
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2940 - $2936 - $2932 - $2928 - $2922
📢 Final Thoughts
🕵️♂️ Tonight, we have a crucial CPI release that could shape gold’s trend for the week. Currently, gold is moving unpredictably in lower timeframes, sweeping both highs and lows as the market transitions from Spring-Winter to Summer-Fall phases.
📌 Traders should be cautious and wait for a clearer trend before making aggressive moves. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your capital.
GOOD LUCK & TRADE SAFE! 🚀
GOLD STUCK IN A RUT - A MAJOR CORRECTION LIKELY? POSITIONAL VIEWSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2907
Gold is currently consolidating and trading sideways within a defined support zone of 2892 and resistance at 2921. The metal is showing no signs of further growth as it remains stuck within this range. While there has been an aggressive sell-off in the US dollar, a typical scenario that would support gold, the precious metal has failed to show any upward momentum, suggesting a lack of bullish sentiment in the market.
From a technical perspective, the larger time frames indicate strong resistance levels at 2921, 2942 and 2954. These levels are acting as significant barriers to any substantial upward movement, and it appears that gold is attempting to make lower lows in its price action - A bearish indication in the current trend. This behavior supports the notion that the market may be gearing up for further downward pressure.
Furthermore, there is an expectation of a rebound in the US dollar from its current level around 104. Such a rebound would exert additional downward pressure on gold, reinforcing the ongoing bearish structure. Market participants are also anticipating the upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data release, which could have a significant impact on the trajectory of the dollar, gold and, by extension, Fed policy. Should the data point toward a stronger labor market, it could trigger a rally in the dollar, further dampening gold's potential upside.
Despite the weaker dollar and expectations of potential Fed policy easing, gold has struggled to capitalize on these factors, likely due to the pause in Trump's tariff measures. The absence of significant external catalysts for growth means gold remains largely range-bound. If the bearish structure continues, a larger correction toward the 2800 levels could be on the horizon positionally.
However, if gold manages to break through the resistance zone at 2921 and move upward due to any unexpected news, there is potential for a rise towards the 2960 and even 3000 levels. That said, this scenario seems less likely given the current market conditions, with the overall outlook remaining tilted towards further downside.
Key Support Levels: 2892, 2881
Key Resistance Levels: 2921, 2942, 2954,
Overall, the market remains in a corrective phase, with the risk of further downside outweighing the chances of a breakout to the upside unless significant catalysts arise.
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – AWAITING CPI & PPI IMPACT! GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – CPI & PPI TO DRIVE THE NEXT MOVE!
🔥 GOLD REMAINS IN A RANGE – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION AHEAD? 🔥
📌 Market Overview
Gold continues to trade sideways within a wide range, despite last week’s disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the U.S. economy. Even though the jobs data was weak, gold failed to break a new high, indicating that investors may have anticipated the report. Key market focus is now shifting towards Trump’s trade policies & inflation rather than employment data alone.
👉 After the news release, gold reacted briefly but lacked strong bullish momentum, continuing to trade around $2,910 before closing the week at this level.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY PRICE LEVELS
🔹 Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,929: Immediate resistance; breaking this level could confirm bullish momentum.
$2,943 - $2,954: Major resistance; a breakout here could push gold towards $2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
$2,884: Closest support; breaking this could open the door for further downside.
$2,872 - $2,859: Strong support zone where buyers may step in.
$2,840: A critical level, especially if the upcoming CPI & PPI reports strengthen the USD.
📊 KEY EVENTS IMPACTING GOLD THIS WEEK
📅 CPI & PPI – The Major Catalysts Ahead
💡 Expectations:
If CPI and PPI come in higher than expected ➜ USD strengthens, and gold may correct lower.
If CPI and PPI are weaker ➜ USD weakens, and gold could break resistance to continue its uptrend.
⚠️ Key Technical Clues to Watch:
Gold needs to break out of the $2,926 - $2,896 range to confirm a trend direction.
Resistance at $2,926 - $2,928 is still holding, which doesn’t favor BUY setups yet.
If gold drops below $2,896 - $2,884, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases.
🎯 TRADING PLAN
🔵 BUY ZONE: $2,874 - $2,872
📍 SL: $2,868
🎯 TP: $2,878 - $2,882 - $2,886 - $2,890 - $2,900
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2,944 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,950
🎯 TP: $2,940 - $2,935 - $2,930 - $2,926 - $2,922
⚡ CONCLUSION
📌 Wait for price reaction at key levels before making trading decisions.
📌 Focus on the $2,926 - $2,896 range to determine the main trend.
📌 Strictly follow TP/SL to protect your account and maximize profit!
💬 What’s your take? Will gold break higher or correct deeper? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GOLD MARKET UPDATE – IS THE NEXT LEG DOWN COMING?🔥 GOLD BREAKS DOWN – MORE DOWNSIDE BEFORE A BIG MOVE? 🔥
📌 Market Overview
As anticipated in yesterday’s analysis, Gold has broken down from its long-term sideways range. Based on the current price action, I still expect another leg down toward the 285X zone, before a potential strong rebound. For now, the priority remains on SELL setups as long as the breakdown holds.
👉 Market sentiment is cautious as investors look to take profits and avoid unnecessary risks ahead of key U.S. inflation data.
📊 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS IMPACTING GOLD
💡 Trump’s Tariff Policies & Market Uncertainty
U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a new 25% tariff on imports from Mexico & Canada on March 4th, along with additional tariffs on Chinese goods.
Just two days later, he partially reversed the decision, suspending tariffs on Mexican imports and certain Canadian products for one month.
This inconsistency in policy is increasing market volatility, making Gold a preferred safe-haven asset.
💡 Investors Holding Back Ahead of U.S. Inflation Reports
Traders are hesitant to take aggressive positions before key U.S. inflation figures are released.
If inflation comes in higher than expected, the USD may strengthen, pushing Gold lower.
If inflation data is weaker, Gold could regain momentum and head towards new ATH levels.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,905 - 2,912 - 2,919 - 2,927
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,866 - 2,858 - 2,845 - 2,825
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔵 BUY ZONE: 2,846 - 2,844
📍 SL: 2,840
🎯 TP: 2,850 - 2,854 - 2,858 - 2,862 - 2,866
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,825 - 2,827
📍 SL: 2,830
🎯 TP: 2,820 - 2,816 - 2,812 - 2,808 - 2,800
⚡️ CONCLUSION
📌 Gold remains in a downtrend after breaking out of its previous range – watch for further downside before a strong bounce.
📌 Investors are cautious ahead of inflation data, and Trump’s tariff policies continue to create market uncertainty.
📌 Stick to TP/SL to protect your capital & avoid unnecessary risks!
💬 What’s your take? Will Gold drop further before rebounding? Let me know in the comments! 🚀🔥
XAUUSD Big Breakout Incoming in NFP XAUUSD Big Breakout Incoming in NFP
Currently Xauusd Gold is consolidating within the big range.
Range is from 2895 to 2930 , this range is not for precious trading opportunity , Wise idea is wait for today's big event which is Non Farm Payroll. So we might easily identify the trend. Before NFP i will share the trade.
This trade idea for scalping purpose only not for swing , because the trend is still highly bullish.
XAUUSD H2 : Analysis GOLD!📈 #BUY GOLD: 2893/2890
Stoploss: 2885 / Target: 2940
📉 #SELL GOLD: 2944/2947
Stoploss: 2952 / Target: 2920
Analysis: If Gold price runs into offers, immediate support is seen at the 2850 psychological barrier as the 21-day SMA at 2911 gives way.
The demand area near 2835 could be a tough nut to crack for sellers.
Gold On Monday💡Gold could breach $3,000 level soon, analyst says
💡Trumpdeclinedto predict if U.S. could face a recession
💡U.S. CPI data on Wednesday, PPI data on Thursday
15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Zones:
Order Block (OB) at $2,895 - $2,900 – Strong demand zone
Order Block (OB) at $2,925 - $2,930 – Strong supply zone
Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $2,918 - $2,922 – Potential retracement area
📊Price Behavior:
Price is currently consolidating below the FVG area, which often acts as a magnet for price action.
📊 Conclusion: A potential bullish move may occur if price reclaims the FVG zone, targeting the OB at $2,925. Conversely, a break below $2,895 may trigger further downside pressure.
🔍1-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,924 – Immediate resistance zone
$2,942 – Strong resistance with previous rejection
Key Support Levels:
$2,879 – Key support zone
$2,863 – Critical support below
Price Behavior: The market is moving in a consolidation phase, with multiple rejections from the resistance at $2,924.
Conclusion: The market is currently indecisive, consolidating between $2,900 and $2,924. A breakout in either direction may signal the next move.
🔍 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,954 – Significant resistance zone
Key Support Levels:
$2,880 – Intermediate support
$2,846 – Major support zone
Market Condition: The market is clearly in a ranging phase between $2,880 and $2,925. This suggests indecision and a potential breakout on either side.
Conclusion: The range-bound structure favors breakout strategies. Monitoring volume and price action near these levels is crucial.
Trading Strategy Considerations
📌 Bullish Scenario
✅Wait for a breakout above $2,924 with strong volume confirmation.
📍Target: $2,942 or higher.
❌Stop Loss: Below $2,911 to manage risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario
✅Watch for a rejection at $2,924 or a breakdown below $2,900.
📍Target: $2,880 or lower.
❌Stop Loss: Above $2,924 for protection.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
GOLD & NONFARM SHOWDOWN – WILL THE MARKET EXPLODE OR CRASH?📌 Market Outlook Before Nonfarm
The global financial markets are eagerly awaiting the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released tonight. As one of the most anticipated economic indicators, it directly impacts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and Gold prices (XAU/USD).
Currently, Gold is consolidating within the 2,892 - 2,929 range, waiting for a breakout. This report could serve as the catalyst to define the next major trend.
📊 Expected Nonfarm Scenarios & Impact on Gold & USD
✔ If Nonfarm Data Comes in Weak (~Below 180K)
A lower-than-expected jobs report could signal economic slowdown, weakening the USD.
Gold could break above 2,929 and move towards 2,943 - 2,954, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
✔ If Nonfarm Data is Strong (>250K)
A robust jobs report would strengthen USD, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts.
Gold may drop towards 2,884 - 2,872, or even test deeper support at 2,859 - 2,840.
✔ If Nonfarm Matches Expectations (~200K)
Market volatility may increase temporarily, but a clear trend will only emerge if price reacts strongly at key levels.
📈 Technical Overview – Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels to Watch:
2,929: Immediate resistance, breaking this could confirm bullish momentum.
2,943 - 2,954: Major resistance; if surpassed, Gold could aim for 2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
2,884: Closest support, breaking this could open further downside risks.
2,872 - 2,859: Strong support zone where buyers might step in.
2,840: Critical level if the Nonfarm report significantly boosts USD.
📉 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for Gold?
📊 The Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to trigger high volatility, determining Gold's next major trend.
📉 If data is weaker than expected, USD may decline, pushing Gold above 2,929 toward 2,943 - 2,954.
📈 If data exceeds expectations, USD will strengthen, leading Gold to retest supports at 2,872 - 2,859 or lower at 2,840.
⚠ Traders should remain cautious, as price swings may occur before a clear trend is established. Risk management is crucial!
📢 What’s your prediction for Gold after Nonfarm? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GOLD AWAITS NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR RETRACEMENT?GOLD AWAITS NONFARM DATA ON 07/03 – WILL IT HIT A NEW ATH OR CONTINUE ITS RETRACEMENT?
📌 Market Overview
The global financial markets are on high alert as all eyes turn to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report – the most anticipated economic data of the month.
🔥 Geopolitical Tensions & Their Impact on Gold & USD (DXY):
US tariff policies against neighboring countries and China continue to fuel uncertainty.
DXY remains highly volatile, directly influencing Gold’s price movements.
Investors worldwide are waiting for NFP results to determine whether Gold will break to new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo another correction.
⚡ Expected Price Volatility:
Currently, Gold is trading sideways within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, holding this structure since the start of the week. Based on previous Nonfarm releases, Gold is expected to move 45 - 50 points today, possibly even 60 points! This presents high-profit potential for traders ready to react to a breakout.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Watch for the Breakout!
🔺 Key Resistance: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954
🔻 Key Support: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838
🚀 Today's Game Plan:
Gold is still consolidating sideways, with no clear breakout yet.
Wait for a breakout confirmation, then follow the momentum.
I will update fresh insights right before the Nonfarm release for a more precise strategy.
🎯 Trading Strategy for the Day
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2874 - 2872
❌ SL: 2868
🎯 TP: 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2952 - 2954
❌ SL: 2958
🎯 TP: 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930
📌 Important Reminders
💥 Nonfarm will trigger extreme volatility today – expect strong liquidity grabs!
✔ Stick to TP/SL to protect your capital against unexpected market swings.
✔ Wait for the breakout confirmation before entering trades – avoid FOMO!
✔ Control emotions & manage risk carefully – today’s market could be a game-changer!
📢 Are you ready for today’s market action? Stay updated and execute your trades with precision! 🚀🔥
GOLD MAINTAINS UPSIDE MOMENTUM AFTER ADP NONFARM DATA RELEASE🔺 Market Overview:
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum, having reclaimed key resistance levels after the ADP Nonfarm report was released yesterday. Despite recent U.S. economic data and the uncertainty surrounding tariff policies, the USD has weakened following a brief recovery over the weekend.
🔺 Current Outlook for Gold:
Given the economic news and the candle strength on the chart, I’m still looking for BUY opportunities in Gold. During the Asian and European sessions, we can anticipate BUY setups early, as Gold could reach the key resistance zones, offering good SELL scalping opportunities just like we saw yesterday at the 2928 - 2926 zone, which resulted in a 150-pip profit.
📊 Market Range Today:
The price range today may be sideways as we await important Nonfarm data tomorrow. Pay close attention to the support and resistance levels.
🔸 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 – 2942 – 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 – 2894 – 2886 – 2874
⌛ TRADING ZONE FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Final Thoughts & Trading Tips:
Key Levels: The key levels have been noted above. Pay attention to the critical support and resistance zones.
Stay Focused: Today, the market is likely to be in a sideways range, so be patient and wait for confirmation before executing trades.
Nonfarm Data: Keep an eye on important Nonfarm data tomorrow. This could trigger significant price movements.
💡 Reminder: Always follow your TP/SL levels to ensure safe trading and protect your capital. Trade with caution and stay disciplined!
GOLD - BROKEN OUT 2881 RESISTANCE, BULLS ARE IN CONTROLSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has surpassed the downtrend resistance and is consolidating above the critical resistance level of 2881. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near 2894, signaling the potential for upward movement amidst a dollar correction.
Trump has confirmed the imposition of new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which has led to retaliatory actions and heightened concerns regarding the risk of a U.S. recession. The decline in PMI and the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast contributed to a sell-off on Wall Street, which, in turn, increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical tensions remain high as Trump announced the suspension of military aid to Ukraine, leading to dissatisfaction within Europe. Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming U.S. employment data, which will likely influence Federal Reserve policy and the dollar exchange rate.
The price has breached the 2881 resistance level, which had previously acted as a dividing line in the market. A pre-breakdown consolidation is currently forming around the 2895 level. A break above this resistance, coupled with price consolidation above 2895, may further reinforce the upward trend.
Resistance levels: 2895, 2921, 2929
Support levels: 2885, 2876, 2859
The primary objective for bulls is to maintain support above the 2885 - 2895 range. Given the increasing economic risks and the weakening dollar, gold is well-positioned for continued growth following the shift in the local trend.
In this scenario, potential targets are 2915, 2921, and 2929
WILL THE BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUE TODAY?GOLD REVERSING FROM A STRONG DROP – WILL THE BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUE TODAY?
Gold experienced a highly volatile session, retracing to fill the GAP and provide liquidity for the lost price data area before rebounding in line with its primary trend. After a sharp drop, BUY momentum gradually returned, closing the daily candle with strong bullish pressure.
Although the ISM Manufacturing PMI data came out positive, it had little impact on the price as market sentiment is currently focused on the new US tariff policies, which could add further pressure on safe-haven assets.
So, will Gold continue its upward momentum today, or is this just a technical correction before further downside? 📉📈 Let's track the key price levels for a well-planned strategy! 🚀
⚡️ KEY PRICE LEVELS TODAY
📌 Resistance: 2892 - 2906 - 2916 - 2930
📌 Support: 2880 - 2872 - 2858 - 2845 - 2835
💎 TRADE SETUP
🔹 BUY ZONE: 2846 - 2844
🎯 TP: 2850 - 2854 - 2858 - 2864 - 2870
⛔️ SL: 2840
🔹 SELL ZONE: 2915 - 2917
🎯 TP: 2910 - 2905 - 2900 - 2896 - 2892
⛔️ SL: 2921
⏳ With no major news releases today, the expected price range is 30 - 35 prices. Stick to TP/SL to protect your account! 🚀💰
GOLD - DOWNTREND PERSISTS, PRICE UNDER BEARISH PRESSURESymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2870
Gold has been on an upward trajectory since Friday, a typical response following the false breakdown of support at 2834. The price remains within a selling zone and is expected to approach resistance levels before potentially experiencing a pullback to the downside.
The US dollar has gained significantly over the past week and appears to be positioned for further strength. However, its trajectory remains contingent upon the ongoing tariff dispute, economic risks, and regulatory policies within the United States.
Market reactions are also being influenced by efforts to address the conflict in Eastern Europe. Key developments to watch include upcoming statements from the Federal Reserve and the release of US economic data.
On the 4-hour chart, Gold is trading within a narrow range between 2881 and 2834. Should the price fall below 2881, gold will remain under bearish/selling pressure. However, the liquidity in the 2878 - 2881 region suggests that gold may test this area of interest before resuming its downward movement.
Key resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881
Key support levels: 2859, 2834
Currently, consolidation is taking place below the 2869 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) following a false breakdown. If bearish momentum prevails and price remains below this level, a decline may occur sooner. Another potential trigger is the 2859 support level - If this level is breached, a sell-off and liquidation could ensue, potentially driving prices down to 2834
On the other hand, buying can be considered if gold overcomes the 2878 - 2881 zone and is able to consolidate above this area. In this case, the price will confirm the break of the trend and strong resistance. At the moment, while gold is inside this range, we can consider an intra-range trading strategy.
1H Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on March 4, 20251H Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on March 4, 2025. It highlights a bullish setup based on a V-shaped reversal pattern.
Key Observations:
Bullish Signals:
V-Pattern Formation: Indicates strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal.
Uptrend Line: Price is following a bullish structure.
Buying Zone: Identified around 2,885 - 2,891.
Support & Resistance:
Support S1: Strong demand zone where price bounced.
Resistance R1: Around 2,900, first major hurdle.
Resistance R2: 2,919, higher resistance level and second target.
Trade Setup:
Entry (Buying Zone): Around 2,885 - 2,891.
Stop Loss: Placed at 2,879.35 (below key support).
Target Price 1: Around 2,905.
Target Price 2: Around 2,919.
Possible Trade Strategy:
Buy near the buying zone (2,885 - 2,891).
Stop Loss below 2,879 to manage risk.
Take Profits at 2,905 (first target) and 2,919 (second target).
Risk & Considerations:
If price fails to hold above the buying zone, a break below 2,879 may invalidate the bullish setup.
Price may face resistance near 2,900 before moving higher.