BUYER FOMO: BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD
Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS
Absolutely that up first down after:
1. Market Context (H1)
Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS).
The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone.
Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise.
Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps.
2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing
Zone: 3693 – 3695.
Stoploss: 3685.
TP1: 3715.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R ratio: ~1:3.
Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER
Zone: 3669 – 3670.
Stoploss: 3660.
TP1: 3710.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R: ~1:4.
Entry 3: Final FVG
Zone: 3650 – 3655.
Stoploss: 3640.
TP: 3710 – 3720.
This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed.
3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp)
Entry Sell
Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity).
Stoploss: 3757.
TP1: 3730 – 3735.
TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong).
Confirmation required on M5/M15:
MSS down.
Bearish engulfing.
Long wick rejection.
4. Capital Management
Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account.
Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%.
Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp.
If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run.
5. Notes
Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells.
Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750.
The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold 1H – Should We Hold or Fade Liquidity at 3800?On the 1-hour timeframe, gold is trading near 3,776 within a corrective channel. Premium liquidity remains clustered above 3,800–3,798, while discount demand is positioned at 3,725–3,727. Recent BOS (Break of Structure) signals confirm bullish intent, but engineered sweeps into premium zones are still likely before price retraces toward discount levels.
Today’s headlines on the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are reinforcing safe-haven demand. However, intraday volatility may continue to produce liquidity grabs before clear direction is established.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H)
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,800–3,798 (SL 3,807):
Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause rejections towards 3,770 → 3,760 → 3,755.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,727 (SL 3,720):
Discount demand in line with BOS, with upside targets at 3,740 → 3,760 → 3,775.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based)
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,800–3,798)
• Entry: 3,800–3,798
• Stop Loss: 3,807
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,770
o TP2: 3,760
o TP3: 3,755
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,725–3,727)
• Entry: 3,725–3,727
• Stop Loss: 3,720
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,740
o TP2: 3,760
o TP3: 3,775+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
With the Fed’s cautious stance and geopolitical risks supporting gold, the broader bias remains buy-the-dip. At the same time, fading engineered sweeps into premium liquidity zones can offer tactical short-term opportunities. Expect volatility around 3,800 liquidity runs before retracements into well-defined discount zones.
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone,
Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8.
Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 24, 2025📊
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🔹 Momentum
D1
• Daily momentum is currently rising.
• So far, we have counted 4 bullish candles, which is the minimum requirement to complete a momentum cycle.
• There may be 1–2 more daily candles before momentum enters the overbought zone and reverses.
H4
• H4 momentum is in the oversold zone and about to reverse.
• The upcoming H4 bullish swing is critical:
o If it breaks the previous high → the uptrend continues, and we can expect another 1–2 daily bullish candles before reversal.
o If it fails to break the high → we must prepare for a reversal scenario.
H1
• H1 momentum is also heading into the oversold zone.
• This creates a confluence between H4 and H1, signaling a possible bullish move ahead.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1
• The yellow wave ⑤ has reached its first target at 3789.
• This is a strong resistance zone because:
o It aligns with the 0.382 Fibo retracement of waves ①–③ yellow.
o Wave ⑤ equals the length of wave ① yellow.
• If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone and price fails to break 3789, this may mark the top of wave ⑤ yellow, potentially triggering a sharp and prolonged decline.
H4
• Price has already seen a 5-candle decline on H4, with momentum in the oversold zone → this correction is near completion.
• Two possibilities:
1. It is wave ④ of wave ⑤ yellow.
2. It is the start of wave ① of a new bearish structure.
• If the next bullish move fails to break the previous high, the bearish wave ① scenario is confirmed, leading to a wave ③ decline with strong and steep characteristics.
H1
• A deeper and longer correction than previous ones has appeared, which is unusual, especially since price already reached the first target of wave ⑤ yellow.
• However, we should not rush to catch the top, as this unusual behavior is only visible on H1, while H4 and D1 still look normal.
• If this is wave ④, or wave ① of a bearish structure, or even just wave A → the next move should still bring a bullish swing confluence, providing an opportunity to look for Buy entries.
________________________________________
🔹 Key Support Zones
• 3747 – 3737
• 3729
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3747 – 3744
• SL: 3735
• TP: 3774
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3730 – 3727
• SL: 3720
• TP: 3767
Gold Sets New Record: Rate Hopes Driving Price HigherHello, traders!
Gold surged to a record high of $3,726.19/oz on September 22, fuelled by growing investor expectations for a clearer Fed rate-cutting path. Traders are now betting on two more rate cuts this year with a very high probability.
The growth drivers have shifted from being primarily central bank and Asian demand to now include strong buying from Western investors, as shown by increased holdings in gold ETFs. Upcoming speeches from Fed officials and the core PCE inflation data this week will be key in determining the market's next direction.
Technical Analysis & Strategy
Gold is in a strong uptrend and is continuously setting new highs. While there was a minor correction, the bullish momentum remains intact. Shorting near resistance levels is highly risky.
Outlook: Continue to prioritize Buy positions if gold holds above $370x.
Resistance: $3785, $3794, $3804
Support: $3774, $3764, $3754
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buy Scalp: Zone $3765 - $3763, SL $3759
Buy Zone: Zone $3754 - $3752, SL $3744
Sell Zone: Zone $3800 - $3802, SL $3810
The market is highly volatile. Do you think gold can hit the $3,800 mark this week? Share your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #ATH
Gold’s Medium-Term Play: From Momentum Peaks to Reload Zones!!Gold’s rally has been relentless, breaking out of ranges and pressing higher into the 3750s. That strength reflects the macro backdrop where the Fed is walking a fine line: inflation is sticky, growth signals are uneven, and market expectations are already pricing a deeper rate-cut cycle. Yields have softened, the dollar has lost some shine, and capital continues to flow into safe-haven trades. All of this leaves gold well supported in the medium term, though the path forward will not be a straight line.
Target Zone (3827–3840):
The immediate stretch for bulls sits higher around 3827–3840. This is where the rally could stall as momentum traders lock in profits. A clean break and hold above this zone would open the door to new all-time highs, but the market could just as easily treat it as a ceiling before pulling back.
Hidden Bounce Zone (3720–3680):
Sitting just under the current price is a pocket that often acts as a liquidity trap. Markets can bounce sharply from here or slice through with equal speed. For active trades this zone will give the first clue whether momentum is running out of steam.
High-volume Zone (3630):
This level is the backbone of the current structure. Holding above it keeps the broader trend intact. A decisive break below, however, signals that the correction phase has started and the market is hunting for deeper liquidity.
Correction Band (3600–3560):
If gold slips into this range, expect chop and sideways action as weak longs get flushed out and new buyers gradually step in. This zone isn’t where the story ends, but where the market catches its breath.
Medium-Term Reload Zone (3440–3480):
This is the level that matters for swing trades. If a deeper washout comes, this area offers the opportunity to reload positions for the next major leg up. The medium-term backdrop still favors higher prices, with rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and central bank demand forming a strong tailwind.
Macro Picture
Fed Outlook: Committee members are split, but the overall tone is tilting toward easing as growth cracks widen. Powell may sound careful, yet markets are already betting on more cuts ahead.
Dollar and Yields: The dollar index remains pressured while U.S. yields edge lower, creating a supportive base for gold.
Global Flows: Central banks remain steady buyers, and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand.
In short, gold has room to push into the 3827–3840 zone, but trades should prepare for corrective phases along the way. The hidden bounce pocket and HVZ will decide the near-term path. Should the market wash down into the 3440–3480 reload zone, it should be seen not as weakness, but as a prime setup to load into the medium-term bullish story. Trade safe!
Daily Trading Plan: Liquidity Zones & Bullish Outlook📊 Market Context
Gold is holding strong after its breakout, trading near 3760 USD/oz as safe-haven demand stays elevated. The combination of geopolitical tensions, global fund flows into ETFs, and a weaker USD continues to support the bullish bias. For Indian traders, gold’s rally is closely watched as both an investment hedge and a short-term trading opportunity. While the broader structure remains bullish, price may first sweep liquidity in key zones before pushing towards higher levels.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4/2H)
Price recently tested 3760, confirming bullish momentum.
Immediate support: 3725, marked as a CP retest zone.
Stronger support: 3689–3690, overlapping with OBS + FVG demand zone.
Resistance targets: 3788 (short-term liquidity pool) and 3805–3830 (major liquidity area).
Overall structure: Still bullish, but likely to retest demand zones before the next leg higher.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zones: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805–3830
Support / Buy Zones: 3725 ➡️ 3689–3690
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1 (Shallow Pullback): 3725
SL: 3716
TP: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805 …
✅ BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Liquidity Retest): 3689–3690
SL: 3680
TP: 3725 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3830 …
✅ SELL SCALP (Liquidity Trap Setup): Around 3788–3805, if rejection patterns confirm
SL: 3810
TP: 3775 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3740 …
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch out for false breakouts above 3788 or below 3725 – liquidity sweeps are common.
Enter trades only after confirmation; avoid chasing price in the middle of the range.
Keep risk per trade controlled, as Fed speeches and geopolitical headlines could spark volatility.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with 3788–3805 as the next upside magnet. The plan is to buy dips at 3725 or 3689–3690, while keeping an eye on potential short-term sell setups near 3788–3805. The bias stays bullish, but risk management is key.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for intraday updates, liquidity-based setups, and strategies tailored for global gold traders.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 23, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is in an uptrend, currently on the 3rd bullish candle of the cycle. This suggests we may see at least 2 more bullish daily candles from now.
• H4: Momentum has turned bearish, indicating the possibility of a corrective decline within today’s H4 structure.
• H1: Momentum has already turned bearish and is approaching oversold territory. This shows the current decline is weakening, and a short-term rebound is likely. However, if momentum turns back up and enters the overbought zone but fails to break the previous high, another bearish leg may follow.
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Wave Structure
• D1: After completing wave 4 (yellow), price broke the previous high, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Wave 5 (yellow) targets are projected at 3789.019 and 3887.117.
• H4: Wave 3 (yellow) has completed, followed by a corrective structure in a flat WXY pattern. Currently, price is rising steeply, suggesting wave 5 (yellow) is underway. With H4 momentum turning bearish, this pullback could correspond to wave 4 within the ongoing wave 5 (yellow).
• H1: Wave 3 (black) has formed with a complete 5-wave sequence (blue). Price is now in wave 4 (black), which could develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle correction.
Wave 4 (black) target zones:
1. 3729.447
2. 3709.732
3. 3696.422
Once H4 momentum turns bullish from the oversold region, the nearest level among these zones is the most likely end of wave 4.
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Trading Plan
Buy limit strategy at support zones:
• Buy Zone 1: 3730 – 3727
o SL: 3719
o TP: 3760
• Buy Zone 2: 3710 – 3707
o SL: 3696
o TP: 3729
If price extends lower, additional buy opportunities can be considered around 3696 or deeper levels marked on the chart.
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👉 The primary trend remains bullish, with wave 5 (yellow) in progress. The plan is to wait for wave 4 (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in alignment with the larger uptrend.
Weekly Candle Closes High | Prioritise Buying on Pullback to Sup🟡 XAU/USD – 22/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview
Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advancement and a new ATH.
After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' remarks slowed the rise, but the larger trend remains bullish.
This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, now slightly adjusting around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range top).
OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690.
FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep pullback).
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react).
Price Structure:
Continuous BoS series, price breaks short-term up channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session)
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,698 – 3,701
SL: 3,688
TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+
Buy Zone 2 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,690
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x
Buy Zone 3 (FVG)
Entry: 3,672 – 3,676
SL: 3,664
TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714
⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought)
Sell Zone (ATH test)
Entry: 3,740 – 3,738
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,730 – 3,690 – 3,695
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The new week kicks off with a high-closing candle, the gold vessel continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is the wave crest where winds may rise, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps. Before the US session, the seas might get choppy – hold the helm tight and manage volume wisely.”
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689)
• Entry: 3,687–3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,695
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,715+.
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656)
• Entry: 3,654–3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,647
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,700+
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718)
• Entry: 3,718–3,716
• Stop Loss: 3,725
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,710
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,690.
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🔑 Strategy Note
The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders!
Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go?
Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring?
Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold.
Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues
Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact.
Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management):
BUY SCALP
Zone: $3413 - $3711
SL: $3407
TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3700 - $3798
SL: $3790
TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758
SELL ZONE
Zone: $3734 - $3736
SL: $3744
TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779
The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations:
The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level.
A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723.
A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum.
The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement.
The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context
Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned.
Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure.
Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart.
Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720
Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684
SL: 3680
TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ …
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668
SL: 3664
TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ …
✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722
SL: 3726
TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ …
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower.
Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range.
Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news.
✅ Summary
Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears.
📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today:
If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780.
If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook.
Trading Strategy for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
SL: 3645
TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
SL: 3708
TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
SL: 3746
TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Summary
The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend.
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Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 21, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → suggesting that early next week price may either experience a downward move or continue to range sideways.
• H4: Momentum is in the overbought zone → likely to see a corrective move on Monday.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term corrective decline is highly probable.
Wave Structure
• D1:
o Scenario 1: Wave v (black) has already completed (refer to H4). This means the market is now in a larger corrective phase, and price is unlikely to break above 3709, the high set last week.
o Scenario 2: Wave 4 (black) of wave v has completed, and Friday’s rally was wave 5 (black) of wave v. In this case, early next week we could see a breakout above 3709 with a daily close higher.
• H4: Since D1 and H4 momentum still support a corrective move on Monday, I will keep the current wave labeling unchanged. Only if price breaks strongly above 3709 will I update the labeling to Scenario 2.
• H1: On D1, the two scenarios are contradictory:
o One scenario suggests a decline.
o The other suggests a new high.
Therefore, the best approach for now is to wait for more confirmation. On H1, the labeling from last Friday (the bearish scenario) has not yet been invalidated and is still supported by both D1 and H4 momentum, so I will continue to monitor this count.
Trading Plan
During complex corrective phases, when wave structures are not yet clear, I do not recommend trading solely based on Elliott Wave. For now, the prudent approach is to continue observing until more data becomes available.
If trading is necessary, it’s better to focus on short-term scalps rather than larger swing positions.
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery.
The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader,
Gold continues to fluctuate within the accumulation zone after the recent recovery. Although the larger trend leans towards an increase, a clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels is needed for a stronger breakout.
Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, converging with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a crucial level if the price aims to create a new ATH in the mid-term.
Key level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure.
Important Support:
3564 – 3574: mid-term support.
3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity.
MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clearly define the trend.
Trading Scenario
Bullish Scenario
Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds.
Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668.
Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770.
Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+.
Bearish Scenario
Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses.
Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 zone upon rejection signal.
Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574.
Extension: If breaking 3574, the decline may target 3540, or even deeper.
Mid-term Scenario
Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound following the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone.
The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm the uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support levels will continue to serve as a foundation for mid-term Buy strategies.
Keep a close watch on 3695 and 3760 – 3770 to determine the next direction.
Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
ETHUSD 2.5R sell side trade scenarioETHUSD is forming sell side trades as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a daily time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 4H TF. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside OTE zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
7. BTC is also forming similar scenario.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 2.5R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.






















