XAUUSD: FVG Retest Before Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD has delivered a decisive bullish expansion after breaking above the previous swing high, confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) and shifting short-term order flow in favor of buyers. The impulsive rally also left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), highlighting areas where institutional buying activity may have originated.
Despite the recent bullish momentum, price is now approaching a significant premium zone where previous buy-side liquidity has already been swept. The current rejection from the highs suggests that buyers may be losing momentum as price reaches an area of potential institutional supply.
From a Smart Money perspective, the most probable scenario is a controlled retracement into the newly created Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath the current price. This imbalance, combined with the recent breakout structure, represents a high-probability decision zone where the market may seek additional liquidity before establishing its next directional move.
If buyers successfully defend the highlighted FVG and price prints a strong bullish reaction, the broader short-term uptrend could remain intact, opening the door for another expansion toward higher liquidity. However, a failure to hold this demand area would invalidate the immediate bullish momentum and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move toward the lower imbalance zones.
The coming sessions will be crucial, as the market tests whether the newly formed FVG acts as institutional support or becomes the starting point of a larger bearish correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: 4125–4150
Key FVG Support: 4075–4095
Major Bearish Target: 4020–4000
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), market structure, liquidity, and current price action. It is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always wait for confirmation and apply proper risk management before entering any trade. 
Short
Gold H4: Sell the RetracementGold (XAUUSD) remains in a clear bearish market structure on the H4 timeframe after creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently attempting a corrective pullback toward the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (4,051–4,073), which aligns with a fresh supply/resistance area.
This confluence creates a high-probability rejection zone where sellers may regain control.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 4,051 – 4,073 (0.5–0.618 Fibonacci + supply)
Major Resistance: 4,125 – 4,160
Current Price: Around 4,028
Demand Zone: 3,945 – 3,965
Bearish Target: 3,908
Trading Scenario
🔹 Primary Bias: Bearish
Expect price to retrace into the 4,051–4,073 resistance area.
Watch for bearish confirmation such as:
Bearish engulfing candle
Pin bar rejection
Lower high formation
Break of minor bullish structure
If sellers step in, price could decline toward the 3,945–3,965 demand zone.
A confirmed break below demand may accelerate the move toward 3,908.
Invalidation
A sustained H4 close above 4,073, followed by acceptance above the resistance zone, would weaken the bearish outlook and could open the path toward the 4,125–4,160 resistance area.
Conclusion
The current setup favors selling rallies rather than chasing price lower. The 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement offers a strong confluence zone for potential short entries, while the nearby demand zone remains the key support to monitor before a possible continuation toward 3,908. Short 
XAUUSD (1H): Trendline Resistance ya Demand Zone Retest?Gold price abhi ek crucial demand zone (4,660 - 4,670) aur descending trendline ke beech squeeze ho raha hai. Jaisa ki chart par blue path show kar raha hai, price abhi thoda resistance face kar raha hai aur ek baar phir se niche 0.5 level (4,660) par liquidity grab karne aa sakta hai.
Agar price is strong support area ko hold karta hai aur ek accha reversal pattern banata hai, toh hum ek massive bullish breakout dekh sakte hain jo trendline ko break karke seedha upper supply zones tak jayega.
Agar descending trendline successfully break aur sustain hoti hai, toh upside continuation possible hai toward higher resistance levels.
LEVELS:
Resistance (Trendline): 4,690
Support / Buy Zone: 4,660
First Target: 4,727
Main Target: 4,765
Invalidation: H1 candle close below 4,643
(Disclaimer: Always use proper risk management before entering the trade!) Long 
